Early indications: Things looking good in … New Jersey?

posted at 5:23 pm on November 3, 2009 by Allahpundit

Short and sweet from K-Lo:

Everything the RNC is looking at data-wise right now on New Jersey looks good for Christie.

For what that’s worth hours before the polls close…

For more specifics, read MKH. In sum, everything depends on turnout. Because it’s a blue state, high turnout means trouble, low turnout — and it’s been low so far, especially in bluer districts — means Christie’s got a shot. The CW among conservatives is that Corzine will win narrowly (and indeed, he’s favored at 53 percent at the moment on InTrade) but I’m feeling a rare twinge of optimism fueled by my sheer contempt for him. Jerseyans can’t seriously be ready to reelect this loser. The prospect of it is simply too depressing to contemplate.

As for Christie, he’s making nice with The One in advance by insisting that a win tonight would say nothing about the president’s stature or lack thereof. That’s smart politics from a guy who’s angling to represent a state dominated by Democrats, but no one — least of all the White House — really believes it.


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A Christie win will horrify and terrify the Democrats.

John the Libertarian on November 3, 2009 at 5:26 PM

You mean the folks who happily profit from killing unborn infants? I doubt they’ll be horrified. Angry, definitely. They’ll come up with even more ways to cheat. Micropayment donation sites, anyone?

hawksruleva on November 3, 2009 at 5:58 PM

Usually, the teachers’ union has its clowns out in front of the polling place electioneering; the leftists are dispirited this time. In a clean election, with light turnout, Corzine is done.

Travis Bickle on November 3, 2009 at 5:52 PM

This calls for a song for our buddy Corzine….

here ya go Governor….

ted c on November 3, 2009 at 5:58 PM

It all points to the fact that most Democrat voters are ignorant, and only vote in Presidential (or a little more in big even years) elections, because they’ve been spoon fed a pack of lies daily by the MSM. Not so for these off year elections.

kirkill on November 3, 2009 at 5:58 PM

Early indications: Things looking good in … New Jersey?

Not for long…check Intrade…

patch on November 3, 2009 at 5:59 PM

New Jersey looks good for Christie.

Maybe they have him confused with Christie Todd Whitman.

When did it become “Jerseyans”? When I was growing up there, we were called Jerseyites.

Tony737 on November 3, 2009 at 5:59 PM

Sorry to rain on the Victory Parade here, folks, but remember, THIS IS NEW JERSEY.

The Election isn’t over until Mr. Hoffa Casts his Vote.

victor82 on November 3, 2009 at 6:00 PM

Didn’t Pookie get up off the couch today? I thought he got his marching orders from The Won and a phone call from his cousin…

ted c on November 3, 2009 at 5:55 PM

Pookie sez he ain’t doin’ nuttin’ ’til he gits sum Obama money up frunt.

thomasaur on November 3, 2009 at 6:00 PM

Keep in mind, 53% on Intrade is totally different than 53% in the polls. A 53% chance on Intrade really is virtually dead-even, whereas if you are up 6 pts in the polls, then despite the margin of error, you are probably a decent favorite, I’m guessing maybe 60% chance or more to win.

On the other hand, if you are up 60-40 in the polls, you’ll be virtually certain to win, so you’ll be probably at greater than 95% on Intrade.

You probably all know this already, anyway, just thought maybe it should be pointed out in case someone didn’t.

RINO in Name Only on November 3, 2009 at 6:02 PM

If Christie wins, expect the nutroots to go on a jihad that an infidel Republican won their loyal blue state.

Speedwagon82 on November 3, 2009 at 6:02 PM

thomasaur on November 3, 2009 at 6:00 PM

Pookie’s a capitalist.

kingsjester on November 3, 2009 at 6:02 PM

One problem: The people that have O bumper stickers are either ignorant or shameless in their statists beliefs.

BadgerHawk on November 3, 2009 at 5:41 PM

Yes. My analysis should be limited in scope to the Blue Dogs and Indies. The rest are beyond hope.

Geochelone on November 3, 2009 at 6:03 PM

Hoboken craziness

Owen Giannini, 13, got up at 5 a.m. on Tuesday to stand outside the bus terminal in Hoboken, wearing a Beth Mason T-shirt.

Why get up that early for Mason? “Because she pays $10 an hour,” the 13-year-old smiled.

Spotting a Corzine T-shirt, life long Hoboken resident Alex Rodriguez said he is supporting Beth Mason.

Claire Moses/Hoboken NowAlex Rodriguez, 42, said he is voting for Hoboken mayoral candidate Beth Mason. “I was homeless,” he said. “None of the mayors helped me out. None

William Amos on November 3, 2009 at 6:03 PM

The kraken robot will be a humpin’ later.
lorien1973 on November 3, 2009 at 5:26 PM

Laura in Maryland on November 3, 2009 at 5:29 PM

I hope he’ll be a humpin’ tonight, but let’s give humpbot a name.

How about “Pookie”?

TXUS on November 3, 2009 at 6:03 PM

O/T Breaking on Fox, health care to be postponed until new year.

fourdeucer on November 3, 2009 at 6:03 PM

From C4P:

Exits from #Virginia and #NJ: Virginia: McDonnell 54.5, Deeds 45

NJ: Corzine 47, Christie 47, Daggett barely registering

Enoxo on November 3, 2009 at 6:04 PM

Pookie’s a capitalist.

kingsjester on November 3, 2009 at 6:02 PM

No Pookie’s a looter.

thomasaur on November 3, 2009 at 6:05 PM

patch on November 3, 2009 at 5:59 PM

don’t see anything definitive in InTrade, btw, in re C & C in NJ. Low volume of trades focusing on 50/50. I’m curious what you think is definitive about it.

CK MacLeod on November 3, 2009 at 6:06 PM

No Pookie’s a looter.
thomasaur on November 3, 2009 at 6:05 PM

The President seems very familiar with him.

kingsjester on November 3, 2009 at 6:07 PM

No Pookie’s a looter.

thomasaur on November 3, 2009 at 6:05 PM

Shut yo’ mouf, Yo. Pookie only be stealin’ from da gubmint.

TXUS on November 3, 2009 at 6:08 PM

The White house is downplaying the role that Facts play in our conceptions of reality.

Geochelone on November 3, 2009 at 6:08 PM

Shut yo’ mouf
TXUS on November 3, 2009 at 6:08 PM

But we’re talkin’ ’bout Shaft Pookie.

kingsjester on November 3, 2009 at 6:10 PM

Sorry to rain on the Victory Parade here, folks, but remember, THIS IS NEW JERSEY.

The Election isn’t over until Mr. Hoffa Casts his Vote.

victor82 on November 3, 2009 at 6:00 PM

I agree with victor here, take this with a grain of salt. Or maybe a dash of pepper. I can see us going to bed thinking good thoughts of conservatives dancing in our heads, only to wake up to recounts, Stuart Smalley’s, and Oceans rising at an alarming rate.

kirkill on November 3, 2009 at 6:10 PM

No Pookie’s a looter.

thomasaur on November 3, 2009 at 6:05 PM

Nah, Pookie’s a moocher. His famous cousin is a looter though, the Looter in Chief actually.

Monica on November 3, 2009 at 6:11 PM

Are there any Pookie exit poll numbers yet?

That’ll really tell this NJ race.

The Pook Factor.

ted c on November 3, 2009 at 6:11 PM

If Corzine squeaks this one out, will he thank Pookie?

ted c on November 3, 2009 at 6:11 PM

Nah, Pookie’s a moocher. His famous cousin is a looter though, the Looter in Chief actually.

Monica on November 3, 2009 at 6:11 PM

I stand corrected, thank you.

thomasaur on November 3, 2009 at 6:12 PM

In my voting place in Downtown Jersey City, a more upscale area with people making 6 figures easy if you’re not one of us longtime residents, Dagget’s name was kind of hidden. 2 columns over from Christie, but on the 2nd row, which took me a minute to find.

The turnout at 6 PM seemed low compaired to last year.

In the areas towards the more rundown sections of town I say only 3-4 people out, 2 had VOTE shirts on and one had an SEIU hoodie, they had no one to talk to, so lets hope the more packed areas in Jersey City, Newark and Camden didn’t get their $5 and pack of smokes to go out and vote like other years.

Rbastid on November 3, 2009 at 6:15 PM

Christie needs to win by 2 or 3 % at least else the ACORN community organization will steal this thing like they did minn.
Corsines got lots of dough to spread around to buy a couple of car trunks full of votes,

and the community organizer in chief was in town to rally the theives,

lets hope they pull in an Olympic size vote for Pinnochio!
DEAD LAST Haaa haaahaaahaaahaaahaaa send in the clown, or puppet or real boy or whatever, the Chitown punk!

dhunter on November 3, 2009 at 6:18 PM

CNN exit polls now out> its all aobut Obama.

Fifty-five percent of Virgina voters polled say that Obama was not a factor in how they voted, with 24 percent suggesting that their vote was meant to express opposition to the president, and 18 percent indicating that their vote was meant to express support for Obama.

Six in 10 New Jersey voters said Tuesday that President Obama had no effect on their vote in this off-year gubernatorial election, according to early CNN Exit Poll data.

William Amos on November 3, 2009 at 6:19 PM

13% of Dede supporters don’t even know she suspended her campaign.

I would like to meet these idiots and take pictures.

Geochelone on November 3, 2009 at 6:19 PM

If Corzine squeaks this one out, will he thank Pookie?

ted c on November 3, 2009 at 6:11 PM

If he doesn’t, I’ll be thanking Pookie for stayin’ on da couch.

TXUS on November 3, 2009 at 6:20 PM

More CNN exit polls

Nearly a third of the voters heading to the polls in this off-year election pitting Democratic Gov. John Corzine against Republican Chris Christie, 31 percent, said the economy was the most important issue, while 26 percent said property taxes, 20 percent indicated corruption and 18 percent identified health care.

William Amos on November 3, 2009 at 6:22 PM

From FOX, Major saying White House will not comment on any races tonight, trying to run away as fast as they can looks like to me. I am sure they will say , again, these have no bearing upon the ONE.

bluemarlin on November 3, 2009 at 6:23 PM

I envy New Jerseyans and Virginians today. I am yearning to throw the bums out. Let me at ‘em!

evergreen on November 3, 2009 at 6:23 PM

William Amos on November 3, 2009 at 6:19 PM

I don’t believe these exit polls. I wouldn’t answer them either. You know, being labeled a racist and all that good stuff.

Knucklehead on November 3, 2009 at 6:24 PM

Stations close in 33 minutes in VA. Watching this link:

https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/election/DATA/2009/37C2EDEB-FACB-44C1-AF70-05FB616DCD62/UnOfficial/2_s.shtml

Firefly_76 on November 3, 2009 at 6:26 PM

Knucklehead on November 3, 2009 at 6:24 PM

Eh CNN is trying to give Obama cover. Im sure most who answered “No” wanted to avoid being labelled as “racist” for making it about Obama.

Notice the later ones. The issues except healthcare all favor the GOP.

William Amos on November 3, 2009 at 6:26 PM

Awesome– but I need more proof

orfannkyl on November 3, 2009 at 6:28 PM

Please God. Oh, please, please God.

Diane on November 3, 2009 at 6:29 PM

More CNN exit polls

Nearly a third of the voters heading to the polls in this off-year election pitting Democratic Gov. John Corzine against Republican Chris Christie, 31 percent, said the economy was the most important issue, while 26 percent said property taxes, 20 percent indicated corruption and 18 percent identified health care.
William Amos on November 3, 2009 at 6:22 PM

–Don’t the media have an unofficial agreement not to provide the exit poll results until the polls are closed? So CNN really can’t say a whole lot of substantive stuff until later in the night.

Jimbo3 on November 3, 2009 at 6:31 PM

From FOX, Major saying White House will not comment on any races tonight, trying to run away as fast as they can looks like to me. I am sure they will say , again, these have no bearing upon the ONE.

bluemarlin on November 3, 2009 at 6:23 PM

Look for a major announcement tomorrow maybe like troop levels for McChrystal to dampen the news that Pinnochio got some strings clipped and is wobbling badly, wildly flailing from one failed mission to the next, but (thank God) never completing a thing!

Kind of like when he had to go to Detroit for a speech when all the Tea Partiers were in town. What Tea Partiers? Pinnochio had his eyes tightly shut as he escaped the presence of the dumb masses who are so unappreciative of his superior intellect and vision.
Only his friends in Detroit would believe a word Pinnochio would utter and think of him as anything other than a lying punk Fascist!

dhunter on November 3, 2009 at 6:32 PM

Allah

Is anyone going to live blog the elections tonight?

Dr Evil on November 3, 2009 at 6:32 PM

What happened to HA’s trolls?

Schadenfreude on November 3, 2009 at 6:33 PM

Craig Crawford’s Trail Mix, I am A Trail Mixer.

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/trailmix/2009/11/obama-prepares-for-the-worst.html

Dr Evil on November 3, 2009 at 6:33 PM

Does anyone know what site online is going to be good for watching the numbers come in? I know CNN had a good system running for the last elections. Anybody else have a good site?

Brat4life on November 3, 2009 at 6:34 PM

Does anyone know what site online is going to be good for watching the numbers come in?

I usually wantch CNN’s website but Fox is as good as well

William Amos on November 3, 2009 at 6:37 PM

Don’t the media have an unofficial agreement not to provide the exit poll results until the polls are closed? So CNN really can’t say a whole lot of substantive stuff until later in the night.

Jimbo3 on November 3, 2009 at 6:31 PM

Yes, but only exit poll results on who the person actually voted for, not other stuff like William posted.

Knucklehead on November 3, 2009 at 6:37 PM

My wife and I took our daughters bright and early over to our voting site. We shook hands with the wife of our local delegate up for reelection and wished her the best. We then went in and excitedly voted for Bob McDonnell, Ken Cucinelli, and Bob Bolling.

The wave is soon to hit the beach. Polls close T-20 mins.

ted c on November 3, 2009 at 6:40 PM

Brat4life on November 3, 2009 at 6:34 PM

Try this link here after 8pm for the results.

RepubChica on November 3, 2009 at 6:40 PM

So NJ changes from a libtard Gov to a RINO Gov who will, like Christie Toad Witless, be indistinguishable from Olympia Snowe, Arlene Spectre, Lindseed Graham, John McPain, or Susan Collins. BFD

bill30097 on November 3, 2009 at 6:40 PM

I just thought of this.

The Democrats Healthcare Plan. DIE QUIKLY! Thats right. The democrats want you to die quickly. Like before you are born.

CriticalUpdate on November 3, 2009 at 6:41 PM

RepubChica on November 3, 2009 at 6:40 PM

OK Thanks!

Brat4life on November 3, 2009 at 6:42 PM

So NJ changes from a libtard Gov to a RINO Gov who will, like Christie Toad Witless, be indistinguishable from Olympia Snowe, Arlene Spectre, Lindseed Graham, John McPain, or Susan Collins. BFD

bill30097 on November 3, 2009 at 6:40 PM

A little improvement, don’t cha think?

TheAlamos on November 3, 2009 at 6:44 PM

What happened to HA’s trolls?

Schadenfreude on November 3, 2009 at 6:33 PM

Still waiting for their talking points?

tom on November 3, 2009 at 6:47 PM

Yahoo’s election results works fast. I have a feeling this will be over nearly as quickly as the polls close, except in NJ.

AnninCA on November 3, 2009 at 6:49 PM

AnninCA on November 3, 2009 at 6:49 PM

And the first troll checks in………..

red131 on November 3, 2009 at 6:50 PM

And the first troll checks in………..

red131 on November 3, 2009 at 6:50 PM

Here ya go, take care it for us pretty please?

Knucklehead on November 3, 2009 at 6:55 PM

As much as I want the Republicans to win, never underestimate the power of fraud, especially in NJ.

Dasher on November 3, 2009 at 6:58 PM

They are calling NJ live on the radio here
http://nj1015.com/

njpat on November 3, 2009 at 7:00 PM

So NJ changes from a libtard Gov to a RINO Gov who will, like Christie Toad Witless, be indistinguishable from Olympia Snowe, Arlene Spectre, Lindseed Graham, John McPain, or Susan Collins. BFD

bill30097 on November 3, 2009 at 6:40 PM

They have to start somewhere. I hope they take the first steps tonight.

bluemarlin on November 3, 2009 at 7:03 PM

Christie is dropping like a lead balloon on intrade…Corzine up 15! :-(

Caper29 on November 3, 2009 at 7:11 PM

I voted Christie at 6pm tonight.

Dash on November 3, 2009 at 7:12 PM

About Intrade someone else mentioned that they had Sarah Palin being dropped by McCain by a huge margin. Didn’t happen. They thrive on rumors.

sandee on November 3, 2009 at 7:13 PM

OK, folks, here it is from the horse’s mouth (me):

There is no way that Corzine would ever allow this election to be lost.

They have pulled out all the stops, including voter fraud on a scale never before seen.

Even if the “final” count tomorrow showed Christie ahead by 50,000 votes (which it won’t), I guarantee you that a Franken debacle would ensue that would negate that result.

jay12 on November 3, 2009 at 7:17 PM

And no jokes about the opposite end of the horse, please. (Well, OK, I can take it).

jay12 on November 3, 2009 at 7:18 PM

You know why Christie is dropping on Intrade?

They know that he’s a nice, huge, tasty fat morsel for the ACORN Zombies who will walk the streets, filing lawsuits to keep polling places open until 3 AM, getting Jimmy Hoffa to the polls, and relentlessly hunting him down to consume his flesh, just as he thought he had his election in the bag.

Somewhere, George Romero is smiling.

victor82 on November 3, 2009 at 7:20 PM

CNN Exit Polls

MB4 on November 3, 2009 at 7:25 PM

Live on the web….conservative radio station/live blogging
http://nj1015.com/

njpat on November 3, 2009 at 7:29 PM

The way this race in New Jersey is panning out also shows that Harry Reid has nothing to worry about next year.

If a disgrace of an administration such as Corzine’s can pull itself up from the abyss to win re-election, Democrats can make just about anything happen that they really want to happen.

jay12 on November 3, 2009 at 7:32 PM

I keep reading how the Pubs are divided. It seems to me the Dems have the Presidency, the House , and Senate and cannot pass a health care bill.

CWforFreedom on November 3, 2009 at 7:36 PM

I keep reading how the Pubs are divided. It seems to me the Dems have the Presidency, the House , and Senate and cannot pass a health care bill.

CWforFreedom on November 3, 2009 at 7:36 PM

Funny that.

Geochelone on November 3, 2009 at 7:41 PM

CNN has Christie beating Corzine 58-33 among independents. In NJ independents outnumber Dems and GOP.

dedalus on November 3, 2009 at 7:42 PM

Turn out low and Corzine lead in Newark and Bergen County not strong enough. Dem officials not happy right now.

dedalus on November 3, 2009 at 7:44 PM

Turn out low and Corzine lead in Newark and Bergen County not strong enough. Dem officials not happy right now.

dedalus on November 3, 2009 at 7:44 PM

Good news!

njpat on November 3, 2009 at 7:45 PM

You mean the folks who happily profit from killing unborn infants? I doubt they’ll be horrified.
hawksruleva on November 3, 2009 at 5:58 PM

They are not horrified because few of them have SEEN the procedure. As long as the murder is hidden, they don’t mind endorsing it for lies like ‘choice’.

AnotherOpinion on November 3, 2009 at 7:46 PM

Early indications: Things Palin looking good in … New Jersey 2012?

. Be honest AP, you can hardly wait, can you?

Fuquay Steve on November 3, 2009 at 7:47 PM

DCCC Chair Downplays the importance of Elections. He says they are way overrated and we would do well without them.

Bwaaaahhh

Geochelone on November 3, 2009 at 7:47 PM

Turn out low and Corzine lead in Newark and Bergen County not strong enough. Dem officials not happy right now.

dedalus on November 3, 2009 at 7:44 PM

Pookie’s stuck in traffic with the bags of ballots.

Caper29 on November 3, 2009 at 7:58 PM

Pookie’s stuck in traffic with the bags of ballots.

Caper29 on November 3, 2009 at 7:58 PM

He/she is too late…polls are closed.

njpat on November 3, 2009 at 8:03 PM

There is no way that Corzine would ever allow this election to be lost.

They have pulled out all the stops, including voter fraud on a scale never before seen.

Some guy who’s sleeping with the fishes ’cause he didn’t know when to keep his mouth shut will be found clutching just enough absentee ballots to put Corzine over the top.

Thank you, blabbermouth dead guy.

SagebrushPuppet on November 3, 2009 at 8:03 PM

Comment From David Matthau, Reporter David Matthau, Reporter: Gannett Newspapers says:

Republican movers and shakers here at Christie HQ say their poll number are looking very good in the key parts of the State they need to carry. I guess we’ll find out soon if that’s really the case. Tuesday November 3, 2009 8:02 David Matthau, Reporter

njpat on November 3, 2009 at 8:04 PM

Corzine dropping significantly on inTrade. Last trade at 50. Bid at 44.

Maybe even the dead voters have given up on Goldman Jon.

dedalus on November 3, 2009 at 8:07 PM

Ocean County
REP – Chris Christie Kimberly M. Guadagno 8,519 61.45%
DEM – Jon S. Corzine Loretta Weinberg 4,019 28.99%

njpat on November 3, 2009 at 8:18 PM

Looks like the ACORN votes are missing. If ACORN had been full strength with vote fraud, the dems would have had Virginia.

seven on November 3, 2009 at 8:18 PM

Ocean County
Votes Processed – Polling Place/Percent 13/384 3.39%
Vote Count Percent
REP – Chris Christie Kimberly M. Guadagno 11,786 61.70%
DEM – Jon S. Corzine Loretta Weinberg 5,611 29.38%
IND – Kostas Petris Kevin Davies 101 0.53%
IND – Jason Cullen Gloria Leustek 35 0.18%
IND – David R. Meiswinkle Noelani Musicaro 14 0.07%
IND – Joshua Leinsdorf Ubaldo Figliola 5 0.03%
IND – Gary T. Steele Theresa A. Nevins 16 0.08%
IND – Gary Stein Cynthia Stein 17 0.09%
IND – Alvin Lindsay Jr. Eugene Harley 6 0.03%
IND – Gregory Pason Costantino Rozzo 8 0.04%
IND – Kenneth R. Kaplan John Paff 37 0.19%
IND – Christopher J. Daggett Frank J. Esposito 1,446 7.57%
Write-In 19 0.10%
Total 19,101 100.00%
http://www.clerk.co.ocean.nj.us/cgi-bin/election.pl

njpat on November 3, 2009 at 8:21 PM

Chrisite is ahead in Monmouth Cty

njpat on November 3, 2009 at 8:23 PM

My sister, who I love dearly, just came at me with this.
*phone conversation*
Me: Hey, did you vote today?
Sister: No, I live in Pennsylvania..*teacher in NJ, for 22 years*
Me: Right, so what was the buzz around the old teachers lounge?
Sister: Are you serious, everyone knows Christie is an enemy of the teacher.
Me: You’re not coming to Thanksgiving at my house this year, goodbye.
click

Fishy.Gov on November 3, 2009 at 8:24 PM

Fishy.Gov on November 3, 2009 at 8:24 PM

That is the teacher’s union telling them that.

njpat on November 3, 2009 at 8:25 PM

But will Christie have enough voted to overcome the crucial “missing” ballots that will show up in someone’s car trunk on Thursday margin.

Bruce in NH on November 3, 2009 at 8:37 PM

That’s Seattle elections. And they’re not car trunks, but rather filing cabinets in the back room, ballots stuck between the drawers.

ericdondero on November 3, 2009 at 8:47 PM

hahahahaha Intrade now has Corzine at 38.5!

das411 on November 3, 2009 at 8:48 PM

They’re getting ready to call it for Christie at the NJ Radio station covering the elections.

Critical Bergen County is coming in with a Christie lead for 4%. That’s a heavily Dem County.

ericdondero on November 3, 2009 at 9:21 PM

More CNN exit polls

I trust Pravda more that the Obama Boot licking CNN.

old trooper2 on November 3, 2009 at 10:31 PM

Eat it, New Jersey.

Coronagold on November 3, 2009 at 10:37 PM

eh, the Dems haven’t learned yet.

johnnyU on November 4, 2009 at 9:04 AM

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