AP pre-spin: These elections mean nothing and the GOP is doomed

posted at 4:48 pm on November 2, 2009 by Allahpundit

The Republican’s up 18 points in a swing state that went for Obama last year by six. The incumbent Democratic governor of New Jersey is in the fight of his life despite outspending his opponent three to one and having the president stump for him personally. Gallup’s generic ballot, at the moment, looks eerily similar to how it looked before the GOP tidal wave in 1994.

All meaningless.

So even if political winds start blowing harder behind them and even if they can capitalize on Democratic missteps, Republicans still will have a long way to go over the next year because of their party’s own fundamental problems — divisions over the path forward, the lack of a national leader and a shrinking base in a changing nation.

The GOP would overcome none of those hurdles should Republican Bob McDonnell win the Virginia governor’s race, Chris Christie emerge victorious in the New Jersey governor’s contest, or conservative Doug Hoffman triumph in a hotly contested special congressional election in upstate New York.

In fact, 2009 seems to have underscored what may be the biggest impediment for Republicans — the war within their base…

[W]ith Democrats in control, the onus is on the GOP to get its act together. George W. Bush, the president many Republicans came to see as an election-day albatross, is gone, but the party troubles born under him linger.

That’s as much as I’ll quote; follow the link for details about how Limbaugh and Beck have become “the angry white face of the party.” Ace’s commentary on media bias is always sharper than mine and this is no exception: His whole post is worth reading, especially the part about the media’s concern-trolling over a GOP civil war while Blue Dogs and progressives are having a knife fight over the public option, but this bit is sufficient for quoting.

Imagine if the Democrats were clearly ahead in these races. Try to imagine the AP’s “analysis” reading: Victories in these races do not prove Obama’s popularity or ability to swing races, and do nothing to erase the enormous obstacles he faces in passing health care reform or cap and trade legislation.

You would never see that. If that were the case, it would, in fact, be a referendum on Obama, about how wicked-awesome he is.

In fact, should the Democrats win, that is precisely what AP will say tomorrow.

So they will, and don’t be surprised if it comes packaged in a nudge to centrists that they’re now free and clear to take the plunge on a “robust” public option because Corzine won a bluer-than-blue state by two points or whatever. Since we’re doing pre-spin, though, make a mental note of these campaign mailers from Deeds and Corzine that Jim Geraghty’s collected so that you’re prepared for the inevitable “the results say nothing about Obama” gyroscope tomorrow night. Exit question: Does anyone know the total number of campaign events that The One has done for Deeds? I can’t find it on Google and I’m curious to learn just how much Hopenchange magic was poured into a looming 18-point blowout.


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Actually, if you read the article, it is all true:

So even if political winds start blowing harder behind them and even if they can capitalize on Democratic missteps, Republicans still will have a long way to go over the next year because of their party’s own fundamental problems — divisions over the path forward, the lack of a national leader and a shrinking base in a changing nation.

What part of the above is untrue? There are divisions over the path forward, there is a decided lack of a national leader and the percentage of the electorate that is registered Republican *IS* shrinking. Everything in that paragraph is true.

Seeing something one doesn’t agree with or doesn’t want to see printed doesn’t mean the article is incorrect.

The Democrats are ALSO seeing a shrinking percentage of the electorate in many places. It is the Independents who are the growing demographic in the electorate over the past 5 years or so.

Texas used to be Democrat. Then it was Republican. Now it is more Independent than Republican and Democrat combined.

crosspatch on November 2, 2009 at 6:21 PM

Is it racist to say that Acorn is the angry black face of the Democratic party?

pedestrian on November 2, 2009 at 6:24 PM

Remember this when voting…

Obama: weakening American more and more every day.

profitsbeard on November 2, 2009 at 6:26 PM

“White House senior adviser Valerie Jarrett said Sunday on ABC’s “This Week” that the rise of a Conservative Party challenger in a closely watched upstate New York House election shows that the Republican Party leadership is “becoming more and more extreme, and more and more marginalized.”

.
The AP’s just following its marching orders.
.
I love how victory shows that republicans are MORE marginalized. That’s funny.

dont taze me bro on November 2, 2009 at 4:59 PM

Valerie Jarrett is desperate. She’s showing herself to be the evil nincompoop that she is, having coasted her entire life on “status” and “prestige” on the backs of people who seem entirely limited by their worship of such.

Jarrett, Axelrod, Emanuel…far too overrrated for their own good and certainly for the general public’s.

Lourdes on November 2, 2009 at 6:26 PM

…though I’d never underestimate their BANALITY OF EVIL, nor their capacity for both.

Lourdes on November 2, 2009 at 6:27 PM

Let the lawsuits and re-counting begin…!

“Look! We just found another box of uncounted Democrat ballots!”

Seven Percent Solution on November 2, 2009 at 6:28 PM

crosspatch on November 2, 2009 at 6:21 PM

What’s “untrue” is that the GOP’s problems are “fundamental”.

Both major parties are often divided over strategy and tactics, but this article tries to pass opinion off as news–a common media ploy by those too lazy or stupid to actually know what’s actually happening.

The Party without a POTUS almost always lacks a leader; who was the Demo leader for the eight years of W?

This article is crap posing as insight

Janos Hunyadi on November 2, 2009 at 6:29 PM

NTWR on November 2, 2009 at 5:57 PM

Vermin.

justltl on November 2, 2009 at 6:38 PM

Not you, the subjects of that article.

justltl on November 2, 2009 at 6:39 PM

“The GOP is being destroyed on the outskirts of Bagda.. I mean Richmond, Trenton and District 23… All is Well”!

jjshaka on November 2, 2009 at 6:39 PM

These elections mean nothing and the GOP is doomed

Heh heh, good luck with that.

Blacksmith8 on November 2, 2009 at 6:41 PM

This has all the inside dope you would expect from the journolist vis a vis echo chamber of David Ploufe – Axelrod – The Raging Cajon

Since the clothes are nearly dry — lets put the temperature of the dryer cycle on JUST AIR for synthetics.

Americannodash on November 2, 2009 at 6:41 PM

I find it unlikely that the geniuses that brought us Scozzy Bear are going to save the country.

ronsfi on November 2, 2009 at 6:44 PM

I wonder if ACORN knows they have joined up with the party of the KKK? — What? You thought Abe Lincoln formed the KKK?

Is this satire? Because there is no news in it. Does anybody recall the Democrat leader in 2003? 2007? Heck they are even afraid to tell you that the Democrats ran Congress, and the burget for two years before Obama. And even Obama voted for the mess he says was left him — Didn’t he make the mess?

tarpon on November 2, 2009 at 6:45 PM

White House spin election night?

Uh, we inherited Nancy Pelosi

DSchoen on November 2, 2009 at 6:45 PM

“Look! We just found another box of uncounted Democrat ballots!”

Seven Percent Solution on November 2, 2009 at 6:28 PM

Shhhh, you’re supposed to wait until AFTER the voting to “find” “uncounted” ballots.

Blacksmith8 on November 2, 2009 at 6:47 PM

Yeah. There’s somebody ‘doomed’ alright:

http://gatewaypundit.firstthings.com/2009/11/new-video-surfaces-showing-obamas-pastor-mentor-praising-marxism/

The gift that keeps on giving, especially next year.

CPT. Charles on November 2, 2009 at 6:54 PM

Not you, the subjects of that article.

justltl on November 2, 2009 at 6:39 PM

Ha ha, thanks for clarifying. :)

NTWR on November 2, 2009 at 6:57 PM

You can believe that Ramn, Axelhead and Zero are burning up the lines tonite with ACORN personel and scheming voter fraud that should put them all in prison. Eric Holder is also being called tonite and telling him to turn his head as he did with the black panthers. Fraud will be widespread and avoided coverage by the MSM. Citizens get out your cameras and catch these crooks in action. Send it to Beck or to FOX or to Rush. Clean out the swamp for once and for all. RINOS are weary as well as the libs.

bluegrass on November 2, 2009 at 7:04 PM

These elections mean nothing and the GOP is doomed

Tthe Normandy invasion means nothing and the Allies are doomed.

MB4 on November 2, 2009 at 7:23 PM

Democratic divisions over the path forward, the lack of a national leader ie: an incredibly shrinking presidentbase is changing a nation.

chickasaw42 on November 2, 2009 at 7:27 PM

These rats considered the scenarios months ago and are prepared for all of them.

This will affect their plans in Washington to go forward with Socialism about as much as the hundreds of thousands (or millions, who knows?) of Tea Partiers in D.C. and across the country affected them.

If nothing else, it may just hasten their ramming through of their Marxist junk.

Dr. ZhivBlago on November 2, 2009 at 7:43 PM

These are not the elections I thought I knew.

B Man on November 2, 2009 at 8:10 PM

I hope so!!!

The GOP has become little more than a bunch of Democrat-Lite traitors. Let the whole lot of them either finally admit to their real standards and officially convert to the dark side, or slink away from the political scene never to return.

It’s high time for a truly new and grassroots and conservative party to take the place of those bumbling two-faced clowns. They are worse than useless.

Dark-Star on November 2, 2009 at 8:17 PM

Texas used to be Democrat. Then it was Republican. Now it is more Independent than Republican and Democrat combined.

crosspatch on November 2, 2009 at 6:21 PM

Actually, in terms of registration, Texas is still Democratic, because in a lot of counties the local races are still on the Democratic line, even with candidates who are relatively conservative, so people register Democratic in order to have a say in their local elections, then vote Republican in the general.

At the higher levels, there was a bit of a shift left in 2006 and 2008, but of course not nearly as far as in other parts of the country and due in large part with general dissatisfaction with Republicans at the national level. Hard to see that trend continuing in 2010 with the current anger towards the Democrats in D.C., though some of the more partisan people in the Perry-Hutchison primary run could try to de facto take their ball and go home for the general election (which also depends on how smart a campaign whoever gets the Democratic nomination runs in a year when Obama and Pelosi aren’t going to be an asset outside of the central sections of Austin).

jon1979 on November 2, 2009 at 8:40 PM

If you should quit breathing and spend a couple of years underground in a coffin do NOT let the Republicans trick you into believing you’re dead.

snaggletoothie on November 2, 2009 at 9:26 PM

In fact, 2009 seems to have underscored what may be the biggest impediment for Republicans — the war within their base…

Yes because you see, when the democrats have the White House, filibuster proof House and Senate but can’t get their agenda pushed through, it’s because they are “united” and the Republicans are in disarray.

With a Republican winning by a huge margin in Virginia (that was proof the country was changing to liberal when Obama won by 6 points,now ….means Republicans can’t get their act together according to the AP),poised to win in New Jersey(with a 600,000 registered democratic advantage) and also in New York,it is proof that the Republicans have a long way to go and Obama is doing fine.

yea…yea…that’s it liberals.
Let’s go with the “losing is proof we are winning line”.
….and the stimulus was a great success……and “smart power” is working great internationally……and Obama has kept all of his promises and gets an A- so far……yea…yea….that’s the ticket.

Absolute morons!!!

Baxter Greene on November 2, 2009 at 9:37 PM

Absolute morons!!!

Baxter Greene on November 2, 2009 at 9:37 PM

No, they know better. They’re just DNC propagandists.

ddrintn on November 2, 2009 at 10:57 PM

This reminds me of the coverage of the big tea party march on Washington. They really really did their best to prove that nobody marched… yet it keeps coming up, over and over. That thing that was too small to report.

Yep this election means nothing… I bet it sure slips into a lot of commentary for the next few weeks at least… and then next fall, this election will be examined in every single detail.

And always the conclusion will be that it didn’t mean anything at all.

petunia on November 2, 2009 at 11:15 PM

Then why oh why are they running those noxious ads every five minutes with Obama trying to get the voters “fired up” for Creigh Deeds to lead the glorious Commonwealth of Virginia?

Obama sounds, in these ads, like an already out of date buffoon.

Dhuka on November 2, 2009 at 11:37 PM

I saw a lying, talk radio level hater at Fox who even thinks that the candidate with the most votes is the one who wins an election. The unbiased geniuses at AP and CNN know better.

snaggletoothie on November 3, 2009 at 2:02 AM

GOP slips in party identification in October.

Don’t get so excited that you take your eye off the ball. Try to keep a broad perspective of what is going on and try not to let your enthusiasm overwhelm you. There is a LOT of work to do.

These races are tight, it is quite possible that the Democrats will win everything outside of Virginia. Be prepared for that.

crosspatch on November 3, 2009 at 3:21 AM

If these elections are so meaningless, why has POTUS invested so much time into them?

LarryG on November 3, 2009 at 11:45 AM

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