Rasmussen Obama index at -13

posted at 12:15 pm on October 21, 2009 by Ed Morrissey

Well, the decision to go to war with Fox News has really paid dividends for this White House. According to the latest Rasmussen presidential tracking poll, Barack Obama now has a passion index of -13, with only 27% of respondents strongly approving of his performance and 40% strongly disapproving.  Overall, Obama has a -6 approval deficit:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows that 27% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -13. That’s just a point above the lowest level ever recorded for this President. It’s also the sixth straight day in negative double digits, matching the longest such streak …

Overall, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President’s performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) disapprove.

This polling follows that of other independent pollsters such as Pew and Harris showing eroding support for both Obama and his agenda.  Skewed polling, such as that of the WaPo/ABC and NYT/CBS surveys, hint at similar erosion even while wildly oversampling Democrats.  Rasmussen uses likely voters, a much more predictive method, which should have Democrats very, very worried about pursuing their radical agenda.

Time for a prime-time press conference!  Or another speech to the joint session of Congress, perhaps.  If Obama really wanted to reverse this trend, he might want to think about giving Fox’s Chris Wallace an exclusive interview.  However, he can’t do that while his press secretary continues to sound like the Baghdad Bob of media relations.

In fact, given Robert Gibbs’ public declarations, the only way the White House could now reverse itself would be to push Gibbs overboard.  How long will it take before Gibbs decides to spend more time with his family?

Blowback

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I’m losing faith in all these polls. Yesterday all I heard was the results from the WaPo/ABC poll and you would think the whole country was demanding a public option. I find that hard to believe.

I’m thinking many of these polls have predetermined results based upon who is paying the bill.

joedoe on October 21, 2009 at 1:25 PM

With all this the stupid party(AKA the Republican party)puts up a Obama like so called Rep. in the special election in New York.Of course Newt the stupid one supports her.Now Rush & Mark have come out for the true conservative hope it will help him.P.S. Newt get the hell out of the way.

thmcbb on October 21, 2009 at 1:28 PM

Jettisoning this worthless, lying clown would be Obama’s greatest accomplishment in life to date, IMOP.

NoDonkey on October 21, 2009 at 12:53 PM

Sad but true. Then again, getting rid of DC Bob would make the press briefings far less entertaining than when you have a fat ignorant slob making stuff up as he speaks.

highhopes on October 21, 2009 at 1:29 PM

I’m thinking many of these polls have predetermined results based upon who is paying the bill.

joedoe on October 21, 2009 at 1:25 PM

That’s so cynical! :-0

highhopes on October 21, 2009 at 1:30 PM

joedoe on October 21, 2009 at 1:25 PM

Rasmussen is probably the best poll and the only one I ever even look at.

cjk on October 21, 2009 at 1:30 PM

Time to go on Letterman again? Oh, no, wait….

Wethal on October 21, 2009 at 1:39 PM

Don’t you hate it when Precedent Dumbass uses the word “Folks”?
He uses it the same way cops use “Sir” on a perp.
“Watch your head on the roof, sir.”

PaddyJ on October 21, 2009 at 1:43 PM

Read Thomas Frank in today’s WSJ. Frank misinterprets Beck and Obama’s critics. Mr. Frank it is not that we think that the words of the lizard lips lady at the WH establish that she is a Maoist, but that her words indicate that President Obama is not the post-partisan centrist that he campaigned as.

That Obama is not a centrist is not a surprise to conservatives, but it is kryptonite to independents and senior voters.

All of this reminds me of Shelby Steele’s overlooked The Bound Man.

In the book Steele says:

“Obama’s supporters do not look to him to DO something; they look to him primarily to BE something, to represent something. He is a bound man because he cannot BE two opposing worldviews at the same time – he cannot grant whites their racial innocence and simultaneously withhold it from them.”

Obama is now President, if he shut up and acted as a figurehead, he would be fine. We just don’t want him to do anything. Every time he tries to do something, his numbers go down.

Angry Dumbo on October 21, 2009 at 1:43 PM

Don’t worry too much about Gibbs and his future…I’m sure that The View has a spot reserved for him.

GnuBreed on October 21, 2009 at 1:46 PM

I’m losing faith in all these polls. Yesterday all I heard was the results from the WaPo/ABC poll and you would think the whole country was demanding a public option. I find that hard to believe.

I’m thinking many of these polls have predetermined results based upon who is paying the bill.

joedoe on October 21, 2009 at 1:25 PM

That’s because we’re getting close to the end. Polling is a “rough” picture, at best.

AnninCA on October 21, 2009 at 1:55 PM

He is a bound man because he cannot BE two opposing worldviews at the same time – he cannot grant whites their racial innocence and simultaneously withhold it from them.”

Maybe there were a lot of white voters last election who were willing to be “open-minded” and vote for “the first African-American President” and receive “racial innocence”. But when he tries to take huge amounts of their MONEY for expensive socialist giveaways, and deprive them of health insurance and Medicare benefits, they revolt!!!

Forty percent now Strongly Disapprove of Obama, according to Rasmussen. About the same fraction of voters who call themselves conservatives, and may actually LIKE Fox News!

Martin Luther King’s dream has come true. Voters are now judging this President not on the color of his skin, but on the content of his character. Ya might wanna work on that little detail, Barry O.

Steve Z on October 21, 2009 at 2:02 PM

Don’t worry too much about Gibbs and his future…I’m sure that The View has a spot reserved for him.

GnuBreed on October 21, 2009 at 1:46 PM

Does that mean that Gibbs is secretly a woman? /sarc

Steve Z on October 21, 2009 at 2:03 PM

If Obama really wanted to reverse this trend, he might want to think about giving Fox’s Chris Wallace an exclusive interview. However, he can’t do that while his press secretary continues to sound like the Baghdad Bob of media relations.

At this point, if I were Fox News, I’d tell Obama that he’s welcome to an hour…on the Glenn Beck show.

The economy is cratering. Obama will be begging to get on Fox News sometime this winter–when most of the country is shivering from a cold winter, there are too many unemployed and no prospects of an economic turnaround, Fox News and the Wall Street Journal have thoroughly dissected every aspect of the healthcare legislation that Congress passed in the dead of night, and Congress is on the verge of enacting cap-and-tax to add greatly to future energy costs.

Have a nice winter, Obama. You ain’t gonna be having a happy holidays.

BuckeyeSam on October 21, 2009 at 2:08 PM

Does that mean that Gibbs is secretly a woman? /sarc

Steve Z on October 21, 2009 at 2:03 PM

No, but he plays one on TV.

BuckeyeSam on October 21, 2009 at 2:09 PM

Just hope he’s not tanking too soon. We need these numbers this time next year and in 2012.

davek70 on October 21, 2009 at 12:24 PM

He was hemorraging support during the summer and then things seemed to level off and even go up a few points after his address to Congress and the Nobel Prize. But he seems to have settled around a 50% average.

I think it’s gonna stay at that level for a little while. But if/when any of the following occur, he’ll take another hit in his ratings: Obamacare passes, unemployment hits 10%, he refuses the troop increase in Afghanistan, taxes are raised.

If he does all of those, then he’ll likely drop another 10-15 points and remain there for a long time.

Doughboy on October 21, 2009 at 2:09 PM

think it’s gonna stay at that level for a little while. But if/when any of the following occur, he’ll take another hit in his ratings: Obamacare passes, unemployment hits 10%, he refuses the troop increase in Afghanistan, taxes are raised.

If he does all of those, then he’ll likely drop another 10-15 points and remain there for a long time.

Doughboy on October 21, 2009 at 2:09 PM

Probably you’re right, although I think we’re all very confused about what to do in Afghanastan.

AnninCA on October 21, 2009 at 2:11 PM

although I think we’re all very confused about what to do in Afghanastan.

AnninCA on October 21, 2009 at 2:11 PM

No, we’re not.

progressoverpeace on October 21, 2009 at 2:12 PM

although I think we’re all very confused about what to do in Afghanastan.

AnninCA on October 21, 2009 at 2:11 PM

And The Precedent’s intentional dithering, in order to bleed the US and harm our interests (i.e. giving aid and comfort to the enemy) is not “confusion”. Get a grip on reality, if you can.

progressoverpeace on October 21, 2009 at 2:13 PM

The truth of the matter is that the 47% is all democrats

bluegrass on October 21, 2009 at 2:19 PM

Probably you’re right, although I think we’re all very confused about what to do in Afghanastan.

AnninCA on October 21, 2009 at 2:11 PM

It’s not that complicated. The generals need an extra 40,000 troops. Obama has 2 choices: 1) give the generals what they requested or 2) decide that the mission isn’t worth sacrificing anymore American lives and pull us out of there. That’s it. And it’s a decision he needs to make immediately. Will he take a hit politically regardless of what he chooses? Of course. But that’s the burden of being the most powerful person in the world.

This “kicking the can down the road” routine is reprehensible. All the other crap he’s done or is proposing to do shows what a lousy President he is. But refusing to commit to a strategy in Afghanistan while Americans(not to mention other countries’ soldiers) are dying is proof that he has no business sitting in the Oval Office.

Doughboy on October 21, 2009 at 2:20 PM

Doughboy on October 21, 2009 at 2:09 PM

Wonder what’s going to happen when he gives his acceptence speech for the Peace Prize…

lovingmyUSA on October 21, 2009 at 2:20 PM

Does that mean that Gibbs is secretly a woman? /sarc

Steve Z on October 21, 2009 at 2:03 PM

What do you mean “secretly”?

mankai on October 21, 2009 at 2:25 PM

Doughboy on October 21, 2009 at 2:20 PM

The disgusting reality is that in the mean time soldiers will die while this pimp in the oval office considers his choices on the basis of domestic politics alone. I can safely state that any soldier who dies is worth at least ten times as much to this country as that fatherless rodent in the White House.

cjk on October 21, 2009 at 2:34 PM

Wonder what’s going to happen when he gives his acceptence speech for the Peace Prize…

lovingmyUSA on October 21, 2009 at 2:20 PM

Isn’t that award being given on December 10? That’s a month and a half away. There is absoutely no way the man can stall that long on a decision.

And yes, I realize he can drag it out til then. I just meant politically, he’d be committing suicide.

Doughboy on October 21, 2009 at 2:47 PM

Pillsbury Doughboy
Should have been fired long ago.
Worst Press Sec …. EVER!

Haiku Guy on October 21, 2009 at 2:50 PM

And yes, I realize he can drag it out til then. I just meant politically, he’d be committing suicide.

Anyone ever get the feeling that he’s only appearing like Barack the Candidate long enough to get all of his crap passed and then the mask comes off? What if he really isn’t that keen on a second term, especially if things get really rough? I just don’t see how the indecision and ideology on steroids survives another 3+ years at this rate.

volnation on October 21, 2009 at 3:04 PM

Probably you’re right, although I think we’re all very confused about what to do in Afghanastan.

AnninCA on October 21, 2009 at 2:11 PM

For once I agree. The Brits couldn’t handle it and the Russians couldn’t. What was possible in Iraq is not possible there because of the terrain. What is obvious however, is you can’t kick this can down the road. We are getting people killed while we dither. The only reasonable choices are “go all in” or “get out”. Half measures are not going to work.

duff65 on October 21, 2009 at 3:06 PM

How long will it take before Gibbs decides to spend more time with his family?

Very keen insight. But part of me hopes he decides to “press on in the fight” because he is such a horse’s patoot that he actually is helping to defeat his master’s agenda every time he opens his mouth. WORST PRESS SECRETARY EVAH! Oh yeah.

johnnybgood on October 21, 2009 at 3:20 PM

Talk about the world turning upside down! The most undignified and petty Administration in my memory. It is kind of fun to see the big zero falling from his pedestal.

The higher they rise the harder they fall.

mozalf on October 21, 2009 at 3:32 PM

Think Scott McClellan vs. Tony Snow.

Pablo on October 21, 2009 at 12:37 PM

I loved Tony Snow. :( God bless his soul.

Susanboo on October 21, 2009 at 3:58 PM

The declining support for Him as shown in the polling data begs the questions:

1. Who are these people that are changing their mind?
2. What event or policy (since Nov 2008) caused them to change their mind?
3. Is it possible they are just now becoming aware of what we knew 2 years ago?

BobMbx on October 21, 2009 at 4:06 PM

I’m losing faith in all these polls. Yesterday all I heard was the results from the WaPo/ABC poll and you would think the whole country was demanding a public option. I find that hard to believe.

I’m thinking many of these polls have predetermined results based upon who is paying the bill.

joedoe on October 21, 2009 at 1:25 PM

the WaPO poll is an outlier, it oversamples Democrats and produces much different data than all the other polls.

The best way to read a poll is to look at a poll of polls wher everything is averaged out. Realclearpolitics.com is a great site for this.

Every other reputable poll I can think of from Fox News to Pew to Rasmussen to Gallup has very different findings than WaPo.

Daemonocracy on October 21, 2009 at 4:12 PM

Even with skewed polling from the WaPo Obama only got 48% approval on his handling of health care and only 51% supporting public option without bipartisan support…the number of 53% or whatever was based on a very leading question that managed to ask people if they wanted the single payer system without actually saying anything about single payer..and even with all that you would have to shave about 10 points off of it for the crappy sampling. It was an outlier.

Meanwhile, Rasmussen, Harris, Fox and even Gallup are not showing anything like majority support for a public option.

Terrye on October 21, 2009 at 4:36 PM

Standard canned response from VoyskaPVO on this subject:

“If you follow the Rasmussen D.T. like I do (let’s face it, I lead a pathetic, numbers-consumed existence as a software developer), you will note that the poll numbers are in an ever-diminishing cycle downward. Ever since he went negativ on 6/30/09 he has only risen as high as -3 once and to -5 a few times. But the three-day moving average poll trends steadily downward.”

VoyskaPVO on October 21, 2009 at 4:52 PM

However, he can’t do that while his press secretary continues to sound like the Baghdad Bob of media relations.

I would compare Gibbs more to ACORN’S Glen Isaacson. You don’t see that cretin anymore, but it’s too late.

ACORN and the Obamunists have the same combative attitude toward media relations and while that might play in the friendly confines of Chicago, most Americans find it off putting at best.

These guys view any critic as a threat to be marginalized or better yet, destroyed. That’s what happens when your politics becomes religion.

RadClown on October 21, 2009 at 5:00 PM

Here is an example of a poll released today which is sheer lunacy:

American Research Group (ARG)

F UF
OBAMA
OVERALL 57 41
SEPT 50 45

INDEPENDENTS
OCTOBER 57 42
SEPT 36 57

OTHER RECENT POLLS OF INDEPENDENTS VS ARG:

ARG 10/21 57 32
PPP 10/21 46 44
HARRIS 10/17 40 60
FOX 10/15 42 47
ECON/YOU GUV 10/15 50 43
MARIST 10/14 45 47
RASMUSSEN DTP 10/14 na 61

COMMENT:

We are supposed to believe that Obama is polling at 57F while the Rasmussen DTP and Gallup DTP today show him at 47% and 50% respectively today.

And we are supposed to buy the supposition that Obama has had a 36 point turnaround in his Indie F/UF fortunes in one month when other pollsters do not show anything close to these numbers.

Pure propaganda!

technopeasant on October 21, 2009 at 5:56 PM

I’ll bet a Nebraska quarter that the President will be on Bill O’Reilly if his polling numbers continue to fall.

yoda on October 21, 2009 at 8:29 PM

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