This seems significant, both for the sample type and its composition, in showing a large plurality of opposition to ObamaCare proposals in Congress. Pew Research surveyed 1500 adults last week and found that 47% oppose the efforts to overhaul the American health-care system, while only 34% approve. That sample included a 11-point split favoring Democrats over Republicans, 34%-23%, with 37% independents:
Regarding health care reform, many of the key provisions remain popular though support for the overall package has slipped. More people now generally oppose the health care reform proposals in Congress (47%) than favor them (34%). This represents a decline in support for health care reform since mid-September, shortly after President Obama’s nationally televised address to Congress on the issue.
The split outstrips what Gallup found in a survey conducted among 5000 adults at about the same time:
In the third quarter of this year, 48% of Americans identified politically as Democrats or said they were independent but leaned to the Democratic Party. At the same time, 42% identified as Republicans or as independents who leaned Republican. That six-point spread in leaned party affiliation is the smallest Gallup has measured since 2005.
Even with almost double the partisan split found by Gallup (and confirmed by Rasmussen), ObamaCare gets rejected by a wide margin. Remember also that the Pew poll surveyed adults, not registered voters or likely voters, which produces a skew towards liberal policies and candidates. In the same poll, Obama gets a 52% approval rating, which tends to argue against a conservative skew in the survey — and point out big trouble for Congress if they push through anything resembling the proposals seen in the House and Senate so far.
Interestingly, this is the same survey that Pew published earlier this week on our policy with Iran. They just held off the results of the domestic policy questions until today.
Jim Geraghty wonders: is it time for another Obama prime-time speech?