PPP poll: Palin’s favorability at 37/55
posted at 9:07 pm on September 24, 2009 by Allahpundit
Head-to-head with Obama, she’s steady from last month: He led her 52/38 in August and leads 53/38 now. But her favorables are in the toilet, dropping from 47/45 in July to 40/49 in August to … 37/55. The positive spin for Palin fans, I guess, is that the less the public sees of her, the worse she seems to do, which turns the conventional media wisdom on its head. Now that she’s reemerged to hit the lecture circuit, it’ll be interesting to see if she spikes up in October.
Another ominous trend: Her favorability among Republicans was higher last month than Huckabee’s even though he fared better against Obama overall (this month he trails by seven points after trailing in August by just three), but now he’s nudged past her even within the party.
He beats her among Republicans even in a hypothetical contest against Obama, winning 77 percent and losing just 13 while Palin tops out at 70 percent and loses 18. Even when you break it out by ideology, expecting the ‘Cuda to win big among conservatives, it’s a statistical wash:
Exit question: Where’s all the GOP Huck love coming from? Does he have that many fans of his Fox show? Or is he just drawing good vibes as the funny, genial southern guy, in contrast to the more polarizing personas of Palin and Romney?
Blowback
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so what, she is landing body blows while the others twiddle.
rob verdi on September 24, 2009 at 9:09 PM
I don’t like this poll so it is wrong.
portlandon on September 24, 2009 at 9:10 PM
NO SOCIAL LIBERALS IN THE REPUBLICAN PARTY.
The End.
Purge all RINOs.
Khorum on September 24, 2009 at 9:11 PM
Believe nothing PPP says about Palin. They are a democrat polling firm based here in Raleigh, NC. Their spin machine is always “on”. This is the same polling firm that asked the anti-Christ question in New Jersey.
SouthernGent on September 24, 2009 at 9:11 PM
If they would read her Asia speech, a few just might change their mind.
huckleberryfriend on September 24, 2009 at 9:11 PM
Heh.
Allahpundit on September 24, 2009 at 9:11 PM
BUUUURRRRRRRRRN THEM!
DaveS on September 24, 2009 at 9:11 PM
Go…Reaganette…
M-14 2go on September 24, 2009 at 9:12 PM
Wow, I strongly agree with and support Palin, which right now puts me in the minority. Does this mean ACORN will get me a sweetheart deal on a house?
jimmy2shoes on September 24, 2009 at 9:12 PM
That’s fine spin, but they also polled Obama’s approval rating and public support for ObamaCare and the results were in line with other major pollsters.
Allahpundit on September 24, 2009 at 9:12 PM
That is a good question. I think he’s a great speaker, when he’s got something to say, but I don’t really like him. I like Palin and Romney much much more.
4shoes on September 24, 2009 at 9:12 PM
None of the above.
txag92 on September 24, 2009 at 9:12 PM
Palin will remake the political landscape and will play an important role in drawing reform minded candidates in 2010; she will be the #1 force in thwarting Obama/Pelosi in the coming 12 months.
Watch. CHANGE is coming!
daytrader on September 24, 2009 at 9:12 PM
Snake oil.
Dr.Cwac.Cwac on September 24, 2009 at 9:14 PM
At the current rate of destruction, either Ogabe will declare himself President for Life or he will have to run for office from prison.
Bishop on September 24, 2009 at 9:14 PM
She has no chance… 2012 is never going to happen…
That being said, she needs to give a shoutout to Winner & Associates on her facebook blog… it would be best if a MSM outlet ran a blip on the story and all she did was say “hmmmmmm” and sent out the link to the MSM source and to wikipedia’s entry to astroturfing… and another link talking about Axelrod’s astroturfing activities…
http://mypetjawa.mu.nu/archives/198910.php
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Astroturfing
http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/mar2008/db20080314_121054.htm
ninjapirate on September 24, 2009 at 9:15 PM
She’s the only one taking risks right now by challenging Obama. It’s no surprise her numbers are lower than the rest of the potential candidates; they’re playing it safe. Indies are notorious for liking more civil discourse and the more they perceive someone is “attacking”, they will move away.
All of these polls show one thing: that Sarah can win the nomination, as her numbers are very good with the GOP and especially with conservatives.
I expect that once she gets out there next year, promoting her book and campaigning for conservatives, her numbers will improve.
yogi41 on September 24, 2009 at 9:15 PM
Allahpundit,
I know you hate Palin because she’s not the atheist of your choice. But my God, (I meant to add that) 2012 is a long way off. Do you have do your part at least once a week to character assassinate her this early? I watched the L.A. Times do that with Condi Rice. You really hate God that much that you feel the need to keep down a true conservative, just because she’s religious?
I wish you would SHUT IT. Unless you have a better alternative, you are just the cynic nobody needs.
Danzo on September 24, 2009 at 9:16 PM
That’s fine spin but a stopped clock is right twice a day.
Stephen M on September 24, 2009 at 9:16 PM
Sarah tried to warn them
But they held their blue noses up high
All the time she warned them
But they only passed her by
She tried to tell them
But I guess they didn’t care
They turned their backs and
Left her standing there
All the destroyed parts of America that have fallen after him
All the lonely feelings and the burning memories
Everything Obama trashed each time he closed a freedom door
Destroyed parts of America lost forevermore
Obama tried to get me to take a job a while ago
When I saw it was just printing more fiat money for his thugs and cronies I didn’t want to go
The country the Founding Fathers gave to me
Obama is just tearing it all away
Now there’s nothing left for me to say
All the destroyed parts of America that have fallen after him
All the lonely feelings and the burning memories
Everything Obama trashed each time he closed a freedom door
Destroyed parts of America lost forevermore
When years have passed they’ll start thinking
What fools they’ve been
They’ll look back into the past and
Think of way back then
They’ll know that America lost everything they thought that it could win
I guess they should have listened to their friends
All the destroyed parts of America that have fallen after him
All the lonely feelings and the burning memories
Everything Obama trashed each time he closed a freedom door
Destroyed parts of America lost forevermore
Destroyed parts of America lost forevermore
MB4 on September 24, 2009 at 9:16 PM
If palin pushes the right issues Obama’s fall will raise her up.
Ideas win battles not weekly polls
William Amos on September 24, 2009 at 9:17 PM
The media ruined her and she is poison with the “moderates,” the average non-politics junkie. I like her but I think we’d do much better with someone new. It’s a shame but thank the media.
brak on September 24, 2009 at 9:17 PM
Bishop on September 24, 2009 at 9:14 PM
I’ll take Option B.
tru2tx on September 24, 2009 at 9:17 PM
I think she’s got a long term strategy to slowly undo the image she got tarred with, rightly or wrongly, during the election.
I like what she’s done lately.
p0s3r on September 24, 2009 at 9:18 PM
Door number two, Monty.
MB4 on September 24, 2009 at 9:19 PM
why do you even quote this poll? how about Rasmussen, how is that going?
this is like the straw poll at the event where Romney and Huckabee attended where they were way ahead…
then another poll came out a week later with a much larger sampling and she was way ahead…
all these polls are useless until she starts to do public events and actually works at raising her profile…
so, why even quote this poll? just to put Palin in a headline so it generates traffic?
PhilipJames on September 24, 2009 at 9:19 PM
Petraeus won’t betray us.
WWS on September 24, 2009 at 9:19 PM
If you don’t love Palin you hate God!!!!!
exception on September 24, 2009 at 9:19 PM
Christian conservatives. Personally I never believed them to be true economic conservatives, but just say you love fetuses and hate homosexuals and they’ll gush all over you.
Maybe both?
Norman Blizter on September 24, 2009 at 9:20 PM
It ain’t over til GOD says it’s over and if GOD wants Sarah to lead us, she will. He’s already made the dems and liberals act like they don’t know up from down. HE, the real ONE, is in charge, don’t doubt me.
Kissmygrits on September 24, 2009 at 9:20 PM
Well the good news is that there’s still absolutely no reason to abandon her for at least 2.5 years. Get back to me in 2012. Until then, at least, I’m still backing her.
Kensington on September 24, 2009 at 9:20 PM
Palin’s willing to roll in the fight. What’s Huck done recently? Anything?
beatcanvas on September 24, 2009 at 9:20 PM
That poem is worse than anything Jewel wrote.
Proud Rino on September 24, 2009 at 9:21 PM
PPP…You Lie!
johng on September 24, 2009 at 9:21 PM
Anybody but Huck. Seriously. I’m an evangelical Christian but I can’t stand that smarmy, obnoxious, squirrel-eating, father-of-dog-hanger, lying, tacky gift-scrounging hick. But then I’m what the Huckster calls a Shi’ite Republican so what do I know?
Laura on September 24, 2009 at 9:21 PM
There’s still a lot of green between now and 2012.
Palinistas! Stand Firm! Your time is coming!
HondaV65 on September 24, 2009 at 9:21 PM
Another Palin bashin thread another reminder to donate to Sarahpac and also to Hannah Giles and O’keefe
Donations to fighters not to pandering old RINOs or GOP approved good ole boys whose TURN it is!
dhunter on September 24, 2009 at 9:22 PM
Well, while we’re viewing polls
http://poll.pollcode.com/C6TQ_result?v
She seems to thrash the others pretty soundly.
This poll is as trustworthy as any other these days.
CC
CapedConservative on September 24, 2009 at 9:22 PM
Sarah Palin is doing more to fight the Obama agenda than Huck-a-phony and Mitt the Flipper COMBINED. I support Sarah Palin and I don’t care what some ridiculous poll says 3 years out.
D0WNT0WN on September 24, 2009 at 9:22 PM
Huck’s chomping at the bit to show everyone that he can be just as compassionate as any Democrat.
Kensington on September 24, 2009 at 9:22 PM
Allah, don`t you know it`s your duty as an American to suppress any negative reporting of a favored potential candidate? I think that`s in the Constitution.
ThePrez on September 24, 2009 at 9:23 PM
I can’t figure the Huck thing either. Smarmy is my impression.
katy the mean old lady on September 24, 2009 at 9:23 PM
Don’t underestimate this woman.
Key West Reader on September 24, 2009 at 9:23 PM
For the life of me I can’t understand how a stick of celery is not beating Obama in a head to head poll at this point. After all we know now…Obama over the Huckster?…Obama over Palin?…really?
Vigilante on September 24, 2009 at 9:24 PM
know
Vigilante on September 24, 2009 at 9:24 PM
It’s weird because we haven’t seen much of Palin the past few months…. Everything she does now comes from a small medium called facebook.
A good interview of policy would do wonders for Palin in regards to the polling. She has a decent team of advisers from what I read so she should be able to get out there and discuss our issues more substantial in the near future. She gets tons of coverage so she just needs to get a decent interview and she will be fine since the interview will dominate the coverage on the cable news shows.
TimeTraveler on September 24, 2009 at 9:24 PM
Reporting bad poll numbers of Obama is reason for celebration.
Reporting bad poll numbers of Palin is reason for lynching of the heretics!
MadisonConservative on September 24, 2009 at 9:25 PM
Huck’s not a quitter like Caribou Barbie. At least Huck was a two term governor, not a two year one.
Norman Blizter on September 24, 2009 at 9:26 PM
Sorry Laura! Missed your post.
What Laura said. In spades.
katy the mean old lady on September 24, 2009 at 9:26 PM
It’s 2009. There is no reason for her to work on anything but a base yet.
exception on September 24, 2009 at 9:26 PM
Sarah is Obamas nemesis, either he succeeds and she’ll become sidelined or he fails and she’ll be vindicated.
There’s no nuances here.
the_nile on September 24, 2009 at 9:26 PM
Perhaps I’m too emotionally involved. However, the PPP spin machine is much more streamlined than I am.
SouthernGent on September 24, 2009 at 9:27 PM
My imitation of 90% of HotAir commenters:
*sticks fingers in ears*
LA La LA La. I can’t hear you!
La LA La LA. I can’t hear you!
LA La LA La. I can’t hear you!
*Takes fingers out of ears*
Allahpundit, you are an evil RINO bastard!
/Seriously, ignoring reality is never helpful.
Jeff M (Formerly Jeff_McAwesome) on September 24, 2009 at 9:27 PM
Because Republicans are less appealing than a stick of celery.
Norman Blizter on September 24, 2009 at 9:27 PM
Come on.
Any poll (real poll, unlike the one you linked) is fine if you watch them for trends. They may sample and weight differently, but trends are trends.
And thanks for the “CC” bit. I would never have known who posted that.
DaveS on September 24, 2009 at 9:27 PM
You old-timers remember Bryan? His post on Huckabee’s anti-conservatism is an excellent starting point; everything from Shi’ite Republican slurs to his “Club for Greed” (Growth).
Laura on September 24, 2009 at 9:27 PM
He was never nominated for a republican vice presidential nomination. She didn’t have nearly as much pressure as Palin had when she returned to Alaska to govern the state.
TimeTraveler on September 24, 2009 at 9:27 PM
I like her. I think that she has a lot of potential. I think that Sarah Palin could be an excellent candidate (especially if she was paired with a good fiscally conservative executive who combined could shrink government).
However, I have to wonder if she can overcome the bad impressions of her in the media. A lot of my friends here in Canada think that she can see Russia from her porch, and they don’t even watch SNL!!!
If she can continue to articulate good, solid conservative positions that helps to defeat Obama in 2012 and replace him with a small goverment conservative, then she deserves a Presidential Medal of Freedom!
I just don’t know if SHE can be the one to beat Obama head to head in 2012 with all the bad press / preconceptions against her. I think she’d be better off looking to be a strong voice in the Senate or in the House and build from there while pushing the core issues against the Dems.
That being said, if she throws her hat in the ring (and I could vote), she’d be my pick. She has vales that don’t change, and she doesn’t shrink from stating them. That takes grit and courage. The world needs the next POTUS to have grit and courage!
Canucker on September 24, 2009 at 9:28 PM
pure BS.
Onager on September 24, 2009 at 9:28 PM
@ p0s3r on September 24, 2009 at 9:18 PM
Here are some tips if she wants to fix her image.
Stop with the whole “main street” crap. There ARE other words to describe average Americans, see, I did it right there.
She needs to drop the whole “death panels” thing and needs to stop saying things that she can’t heavily verify, and even when she can, she needs to speak like a little more of a politician. Nobody wants to elect someone who is accusing the other person of having nazi death squads for the elderly. You can get the elderly concerned enough by just saying that Obama is going to get the government involved with deciding what treatments the elderly can have.
thphilli on September 24, 2009 at 9:28 PM
I think the reality is that since Sarah Palin stepped down as Governor she has been keeping a rather low profile, doing the bare minimum to remain in the the public conscious. Conversely Huckabee is on TV every week and thanks to FNC has quite a high profile amongst conservative voters because of it. Likewise Romney has been keeping a very low profile ever since the health care debate started and that is helping to boost Huckabee’s numbers.
Personally I don’t believe we will see any real significant movement in Palin’s numbers until next spring when her book comes out and that’s when we will begin to see some solid shifts in public opinion about her.
Hellrider on September 24, 2009 at 9:29 PM
If she can’t take the pressure, she has no business being a presidential candidate.
Norman Blizter on September 24, 2009 at 9:29 PM
How is posting the numbers of a poll a character assisination?
terryannonline on September 24, 2009 at 9:29 PM
Allah,
While you are right that even a biased-sample poll is telling if you track it month to month, something about the ppp poll doesn’t add up…
Her favorability is 37%
Her vote share vs Obama is 38%
——–
Huh? We don’t like her but we vote for her?
And, somehow, Palin gets something like 7 million LESS votes than McCain AFTER obamacare, capntax, cops stupidly, Iran, Honduras……..
battleoflepanto1571 on September 24, 2009 at 9:29 PM
She needs some schoochildren to sing songs about her.
Mmmm mmmm mmmm!
Lanceman on September 24, 2009 at 9:30 PM
Let’s see what Allahpundit is telling us all, because this is big news…
Palin, three years out of a race not even I would advise her to run in, is polling a few points below the President of the United States.
Oh my God! Stop the presses! This is HEADLINE stuff!
Anybody see my point?
So what is Allahpundit’s motive? Oh… it’s a no news day, and all the news that’s fit to print… I see.
No I don’t.
Danzo on September 24, 2009 at 9:30 PM
Palin’s and all conservative’s numbers may be down right now, but just wait till the full effect of Obama hits, with his unavoidable tax hikes and continued economic doldrums a potted plant will have a good chance of being elected in 2012.
bkm on September 24, 2009 at 9:30 PM
Why is it that I don’t know a soul who likes Huckster. When I’m at tea parties, I see Sarah signs, not any other candidate. Then on various conservative blogs, Sarah is always ahead of the pack. Who are they polling????
PrincipledPilgrim on September 24, 2009 at 9:31 PM
What? It’s not “obligatory” this time?
xax on September 24, 2009 at 9:31 PM
Baffling, isn’t it? But the answer is registered voters like my mother who watch 15 minutes of Katie Couric and read the lifestyle section of the paper and consider themselves well informed.
Laura on September 24, 2009 at 9:31 PM
SP needs to go work some Habitat for Humanity sites.
exdeadhead on September 24, 2009 at 9:31 PM
Thank you SouthernGent
Allah do you think you could have mentioned that?
CCRWM on September 24, 2009 at 9:32 PM
@ terryannonline on September 24, 2009 at 9:29 PM
ANYTHING negative towards Palin gets certain people foaming at the mouth. Personally I don’t get how you could be attached so vehemently to a political candidate. Maybe its because she is an attractive woman and certain men have been shunned by their wives or something, idk. Its weird.
thphilli on September 24, 2009 at 9:32 PM
Forget the polls, it’s still early. If she’s able to get past the Evil League of Evil (ie the MSM, with MSN being the leader), then I think the poll numbers will start favoring her.
Eclectic on September 24, 2009 at 9:32 PM
Any relation to M.O.’s awesome arm…. pits?
/sorry, couldn’t resist
Key West Reader on September 24, 2009 at 9:32 PM
No, but they can get you a sweetheart deal on a 15 year old hooker
Jeff from WI on September 24, 2009 at 9:32 PM
battleoflepanto1571 on September 24, 2009 at 9:29 PM
What doesn’t make sense in what you just posted?
DaveS on September 24, 2009 at 9:33 PM
It just is damn it! Now fall in line or shut up!
/sarc
ThePrez on September 24, 2009 at 9:33 PM
Can we get a non Demo poll sometime?
CCRWM on September 24, 2009 at 9:33 PM
Until Palin gives a hard hitting interview, her numbers will never change so she needs to work on her future media roll out with her advisers.
TimeTraveler on September 24, 2009 at 9:34 PM
And just to be fair, most of those respondents also say that George W. Bush is the reason we have a poor economy.
And that Carter is the greatest living former president.
Lanceman on September 24, 2009 at 9:34 PM
I like celery.
I find your appeal somewhere around the ranking of a puddle of congealed camel diarrhea.
MadisonConservative on September 24, 2009 at 9:34 PM
@ bkm on September 24, 2009 at 9:30 PM
Should we have to wait for the other side to completely implode before our potential presidential candidate can get to 50/50 favorability with the public? Why is everyone so attached to her. She is tainted. NEXT politician.
thphilli on September 24, 2009 at 9:34 PM
I prefer more and more threads about the surrender monkey in the White House.
…. but the photo of Sarah was a refreshing change.
fogw on September 24, 2009 at 9:34 PM
Danzo on September 24, 2009 at 9:30 PM
Go have a cosmopolitan. It’ll chill you out and you’ll quit taking everything out on a blogger hired to do what he does. Jesus.
mimi1220 on September 24, 2009 at 9:34 PM
For the love of God, AP, how come you insist on playing dumb?
You point out that the poll smells fishy because of the overstated Huck support, then you claim that their polling data is in line with others.
B.S. It’s a POS bogus poll, and I think you know it.
connertown on September 24, 2009 at 9:35 PM
1976 Gallup polling:
Gerald Ford Vs. Ronald Reagan
Gallup Ford Reagan
07/10/76-07/10/76 58.00% (-3.0) 36.00% (+5.0)
Gallup
06/25/76-06/28/76 61.00% (+11.0) 31.00% (-12.0)
Gallup
06/11/76-06/14/76 50.00% (-3.0) 43.00% (+2.0)
Gallup
05/15/76-05/15/76 53.00% (-7.0) 41.00% (+6.0)
Gallup
05/01/76-05/01/76 60.00% (+4.0) 35.00% (+3.0)
Gallup
03/15/76-03/15/76 56.00% (+5.0) 32.00% (-9.0)
Sarah Palin has had her 1976 defeat in 2008.
Obama is having his Carter administration now.
Palin will win her Presidency in 2012.
portlandon on September 24, 2009 at 9:35 PM
This is the same polling company that decided to run a poll to prove that Palin was the favorite of the “birthers”
no bias here … move on
joey24007 on September 24, 2009 at 9:35 PM
What? Waste a perfectly good chance to take a swipe at Palin? Never!
Love you too, AP! XOXOXOXO
TwinkietheKid on September 24, 2009 at 9:35 PM
You know guys…as for Palin fallin’, I feel your pain. I was solidly in McCain’s court this past election…well, after teh Fred dropped out anyway. And now, early yet, you see your candidate fall.
She’s the victim of overexposure. And the victim of her own supporters. What people will be looking for in a POTUS candidate in 2012 won’t be a partisan…or at least a candidate supported by partisans.
We’ve seen the GOP screw up. And the Dems are doing it royally now. We need a strong, conservative leader and candidate in 2012. We need someone who KNOWS congress, and it’s inner workings.
We need John Boehner.
Boehner/Graham 2012
JetBoy on September 24, 2009 at 9:35 PM
Ogabe isn’t going to poll bad on mythical matchups right now anyway; people aren’t going to think seriously about that because his term is only starting. *shudder*
Bishop on September 24, 2009 at 9:35 PM
@fogw on September 24, 2009 at 9:34 PM
You seriously have to call the president a monkey? GTFO. There are enough reasons to criticize him.
thphilli on September 24, 2009 at 9:36 PM
I like Sarah Palin. I really do. She is right on the free market, energy, and small government. She has guts, brains, and good instinct. But she is not the one to beat Obama in 2102. I’m sure this will bring out the hate, but the GOP has got to nominate someone who isn’t a religious fundamentalist. We can’t fight the left’s unholy alliance with radical Islam by elevating our own religious zealots. Clearly, voters are more comfortable with liberal fundamentalism than they are with Christian fundamentalism, and they will return Obama to office if Palin is the other choice. Reason, rationality, common sense. That will beat Obama. Yes, she’s got lots of Reagan’s views, but he was no religious zealot. That makes them very, very different. Hate commences now…
Rational Thought on September 24, 2009 at 9:36 PM
So exactly how often do you eat camel diarrhea?
Norman Blizter on September 24, 2009 at 9:36 PM
I’d support her. I still do.
madmonkphotog on September 24, 2009 at 9:36 PM
I thought that Palin was damaged goods and beyond repair but you know, I think this is one tough cookie and she’s out hunting now and has bagged a couple of good ones already. I think the punditry hates her because she is a commoner, not an exceptionally brilliant person. However, she, like Beck, touch a real common sense emotional chord in people who are not elistist smarties or just brainwashed by the elitist press. It hurts me to see Allahpundit apparently take pleasure in her high negatives. Instead, he should be furious at how the MSM has savaged her. Interesting loyalties there, eh?
mbabbitt on September 24, 2009 at 9:36 PM
Maybe they have developed a taste for squirrel fried up in a popcorn popper.
farright on September 24, 2009 at 9:36 PM
If Palin wants to increase her chances at one day taking the oval office she should join a Jew-hating, racist church. Or, hold a campaign event in the house of a former terrorist.
V15J on September 24, 2009 at 9:36 PM
She has almost 1,000,000,000 people who follow her on her Facebook page. That’s pretty good numbers if you ask me.
Are you all going to sit around and talk, talk, talk or are you going to get up and fight for your country? She’s brave enough to stand in front of an international crowd that takes on the Chinese while our Dear Leader is in the UN throwing Israel under the bus.
Allah you can be an athiest, but you don’t live in a country of athiests. Sorry. We were founded on the principles of freedom. One of them being freedom of religion, not freedom from religion.
Huck and Romney are waste cases and should be hung out to dry, just like every other pretend Conservative. If she isn’t the Republican nominee in 2012, I’m voting Libertarian.
shomegirl on September 24, 2009 at 9:37 PM
As if she hasn’t done that already.
Norman Blizter on September 24, 2009 at 9:38 PM
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