Rasmussen: Reid in deep trouble in Nevada
posted at 3:55 pm on September 15, 2009 by Ed Morrissey
Has anyone noticed how quiet Harry Reid has been on pushing ObamaCare? Reid has let Max Baucus (D-MT) take the public lead in pushing for health-care reform and has limited himself mostly to general statements of support for industry reform. Rasmussen’s new polling in Nevada shows why. Reid trails both of his potential Republican challengers, and has gone under water on favorability in his state:
In what is currently a difficult political climate for Democrats, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid trails two potential Republican challengers seeking to unseat him as he faces reelection next year in Nevada.
The first Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of the 2010 race shows Sue Lowden beating Reid by 10 percentage points, 50% to 40%. Lowden is chairwoman of the Nevada Republican Party and the preferred candidate of the Republican party establishment.
GOP hopeful Danny Tarkanian beats Reid by seven points, 50% to 43%. Tarkanian is a former basketball player for the University of Nevada-Las Vegas and the son of a legendary college basketball coach.
The Senate Majority Leader has a big problem at home with his image. Only 45% have a favorable opinion of Reid, while a solid majority of 54% view him unfavorably. Voters were more than twice as likely to view him strongly unfavorably (42%) as strongly favorably (20%), pointing to a big, big problem in getting re-elected in 14 months.
Part of the reason is ObamaCare. The overhaul of the health-care system is as popular in Nevada as it is nationwide, opposed by 52% of Nevada voters and supported by only 45%, exactly what the lastest numbers show nationwide. Fifty-one percent say it will make health-care worse, and 74% say it will lead to higher taxes on the middle class. Reid’s leadership in the Senate makes him responsible for those outcomes, and it has made him unpopular at a very bad time.
But just as with the Democrats nationwide, the independents are the key. In the Rasmussen poll, independent voters pick Lowden over Reid by a whopping 3-1 margin, 62%-20%. Reid doesn’t do much better with independents against Tarkanian, losing that matchup 65%-29%. Reid loses every age demographic and almost every income demographic against Lowden.
Generally speaking, when an incumbent drops below 50% support, the challenger has a good shot at winning. Getting back to 50% support would be a miracle for Reid. It won’t happen while Obama pushes ObamaCare.
Blowback
Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.
Trackbacks/Pings
Trackback URL
Comments
Comment pages: « Previous 1 2
Having a Senator named Tarkanian would be almost as bad as having one named Franken. I know nothing about Sue Lowden but better her than Whorehouse Harry Reid or the son of the most crooked college basketball coach in history.
Percy_Peabody on September 15, 2009 at 4:53 PM
Don’t fear the reaper Reid!
daesleeper on September 15, 2009 at 4:53 PM
I hope Tarkanian drives Reid out of business. ;)
Ryan Gandy on September 15, 2009 at 4:54 PM
We can carve “Here lies the career of Harry Reid. He never learned” on his political tombstone…
JIMV on September 15, 2009 at 4:54 PM
Sorry Ed, I drifted off. What was that?
Blacksmith8 on September 15, 2009 at 4:55 PM
From Ed’s article to God’s eyes….please!
sharinlite on September 15, 2009 at 4:57 PM
OK, Reid, check
Dodd, Check
Specter, Check
Who else is a potential goner from the Dem side?
Landrieu? Is her term up? I think the demographics has changed enough in LA to ensure that she won’t win again.
Any other vulnerable Dems?
karenhasfreedom on September 15, 2009 at 4:58 PM
Sarah’s Dad and father-in-law were in Nevada campaigning for Tarkanian. Hmmmm.
JimK on September 15, 2009 at 5:08 PM
Boxer is in a fight of her career. Hopefully she will be GONE!
jbh45 on September 15, 2009 at 5:09 PM
Actually I don’t know who it is. That’s a paraphrased quote from some rambling stupid speech he made about illegal aliens. It was very funny.
Cindy Munford on September 15, 2009 at 5:11 PM
Reid telling the biggest newspaper in his state that he hopes they go out of business probably didn’t help. Ya wonder whom they will endorse? Probably not Reid.
Steve Z on September 15, 2009 at 5:13 PM
Hugh Hewitt did a “Ten for Tark” request on his show. I think it was pretty successfu.
Cindy Munford on September 15, 2009 at 5:13 PM
Landrieu is not up in 2010–the other Republican Louisiana Senator, for whom politics made strange bedfellows, is up for re-election.
Another potential vulnerable Democrat is Blanche Lincoln (AR), especially if Mike Huckabee challenges her.
Bennet, an appointed Senator of Colorado replacing Salazar, is also in a close race right now.
There may also be a possibility in Delaware if the Republicans can find a good candidate against Beau Biden. Are there any DuPonts left? They used to own that state…
Steve Z on September 15, 2009 at 5:24 PM
..oh, give me a break, Percy. Grow a set and man up to the fact that the SON of Tark (not Tark himself) is running to unseat Dingy Harry. Isn’t this how we got our tit in the wringer in the first place? You know, like, I can’t vote for McCain because he’s not conservative enough. So now we’re worrying about the son of some guy while this old stooky, the menopausal botox be-yotch, and the Pantload-in-Chief is running our country into the ground.
Also, I’m thinkin’ that being the crookedest college roundball coach is kinda like saying, “the most unscrupulous used-car salesman on the lot”. The crap that is overlooked by the NCAA these days would make Tark look like a saint by comparison.
..and this from a UCLA grad who was in Westwood when the Wizard coached the Bruins.
VoyskaPVO on September 15, 2009 at 5:30 PM
I live in Nevada. Unemployment is at 13% in Las Vegas and everyone who bought a house in the past 4 years is underwater or in foreclosure. And the best Reid can do for his constituents is to tell the Las Vegas Review Journal (biggest newspaper in the state) that he hopes they go out of business and hold a telephone town hall in the middle of the workday?
Send him back to Searchlight.
divamomvicki on September 15, 2009 at 5:31 PM
Good riddance. You and your constant pertisan bull sh$$ won’t be missed. you are a phony and a crook.
rjoco1 on September 15, 2009 at 5:32 PM
Contrary to whatever, Dingy Harry may be good for us to keep around. He’s the gift that keeps on giving.
owlpellets on September 15, 2009 at 5:35 PM
Anybody else watching Beck. The Acorn broad in the pink shirt looks either real horny or like kid in the grocery store that needs to pee really bad.
owlpellets on September 15, 2009 at 5:38 PM
If the polls stay where they are, Reid could announce his retirement in order to save a well-deserved ass-kicking next year.
perroviejo on September 15, 2009 at 5:41 PM
More time to spend with his family?
owlpellets on September 15, 2009 at 5:43 PM
In this internet age, it is very hard to run as a centrist at home while pushing a far-left agenda in DC.
Just ask Tom “The Limo Man” Daschle.
Laurence on September 15, 2009 at 5:53 PM
Sacrificial Old Goat.
CynicalOptimist on September 15, 2009 at 5:57 PM
If you want the OPPOSITE of Harry Reid, check out Sharron Angle.
I was a volunteer on her primary campaign against Dean Heller in 2006. She lost by only 400 votes.
Sharron served 4 terms (8 years) in the NV assembly. She was famous for being the ONLY member of the Assembly to vote NO on a major new tax bill, got enough attention that the Governor vetoed it. The veto held.
Very strong against illegal immigration, strict fiscal conservative, etc., etc. Really great person.
Check her out on the issues here.
fred5678 on September 15, 2009 at 5:58 PM
Harry Reid does not speak for this Nevadan.
jcrue on September 15, 2009 at 6:09 PM
‘bye.
Bruno Strozek on September 15, 2009 at 6:12 PM
Hmph. If I were advising campaign staffs, cap&trade and “environmental issues” a.k.a. “Global Warming!” would be more important.
Casino guys, owners and workers both: Harry wants to shut you down. All those big displays and bright lights outside? — gone; irresponsible use of energy causing unnecessary CO2 emissions. All those private jets the high-rollers use to come give you money? — gone; irresponsible use of energy, etc. All those cars and buses rolling up I-15 to drop coins in the slots? — gone; irresponsible etc. etc. ad nauseum.
Air conditioning? –gone, until you can put in windmills (in a place the wind rarely blows) or solar panels (which won’t cool you much at night). Winter heating? –gone, same thing; you can’t have oil or natural gas, either (they emit CO2, which is badbadbadbad) and of course NO NUKES! NO NUKES! A THOUSAND TIMES NO NUKES!
“Health care” is a good stick to beat him with, but Nevadans live in a desert, dependent on energy (mostly from elsewhere) to even survive, let alone make a living. Harry says energy makes you sick, and wants to cut off the supply. What’s the Strip going to look like when he gets his wish?
Regards,
Ric
warlocketx on September 15, 2009 at 6:21 PM
Hey, where’d my comment go?
warlocketx on September 15, 2009 at 6:24 PM
I hope you reid, goes down so far we can not see your sorry hinny! You are among the worse of the worse. Got all the taxyapers money you want? I have a feeling, you will be held accountable at some time. You are among the first that needs to go.
L
letget on September 15, 2009 at 6:27 PM
Reid’s in trouble …..
Excellent!! Couldn’t happen to a nicer guy.
dissent555 on September 15, 2009 at 6:41 PM
Sharon Angle is running for senate too and she rocks. Harry is shovel ready (politically speaking).
Mojave Mark on September 15, 2009 at 6:43 PM
Looks as if ObamaCare may pull the plug on grandpa
doctor horton on September 15, 2009 at 6:58 PM
Still a long time before the election. Yet, it’s hard to believe that the Democrats are poised to lose a second Senate Majority leader because of the folks back home giving them the pink slip.
highhopes on September 15, 2009 at 7:09 PM
But the reasons these turds stay in office is because of the seniority power they wield. It ain’t over yet-he’ll spread pork all over the state.
MaiDee on September 15, 2009 at 7:18 PM
Reid looks like the owner of a small off the main route motel. One that you would likely want to drive past late in the evening. Having said that, just today I castigated Glenn Beck for making fun of the founder of Acorn. Just couldn’t help myself. Sorry, Glenn.
Kissmygrits on September 15, 2009 at 7:51 PM
Wasn’t it just 8 short months ago that this was being said about Republicans?
Way to go, Dem’s!!!!!!
David2.0 on September 15, 2009 at 8:10 PM
Reid can get work at a black jack table part time.
seven on September 15, 2009 at 8:27 PM
From Sharron Angle’s website:
Together, we can change the way things are done in Washington. I believe in the greatness of
America and its people. I believe that limited government is the key to ensuring a bright future.
I believe it’s time for a change in Washington and defeating Harry Reid in 2010 is the best
place to start.
As a candidate for the U.S. Senate, I need your help!
If you are fed up with the direction current our country, fed up with one-party rule in Washington
where Barack Obama and Harry Reid have free reign to undermine the core principles that our
country was founded upon… Then join me in the fight to defeat Harry Reid and his liberal
agenda. With your help it can be done!
TN Mom on September 15, 2009 at 9:01 PM
What a perfect story for the end of a long day.
Hog Wild on September 15, 2009 at 9:03 PM
Under the bus with him!
Mangy Scot on September 15, 2009 at 9:24 PM
The prostitutes, mobsters, pit bosses, and, hocksters in Nevada deserve better than Reid.
JoeinTX on September 15, 2009 at 10:00 PM
good riddance @sshole!
woodNfish on September 15, 2009 at 11:16 PM
This corrupt, treasonous (war is lost), bullying (censor Rush Limbaugh), pompous hack hasn’t lost yet, Nevada. Keep up the pressure.
Christian Conservative on September 16, 2009 at 7:49 AM
Anybody else watching Beck. The Acorn broad in the pink shirt looks either real horny or like kid in the grocery store that needs to pee really bad.
owlpellets on September 15, 2009
Lay off the hate. It had been a couple hours since her last rock, needle, huff, whatever… Where’s your compassion?
SKYFOX on September 16, 2009 at 9:06 AM
You would hire him to handle money?
Slowburn on September 16, 2009 at 9:06 AM
Comment pages: « Previous 1 2