Unemployment rises again
posted at 10:54 am on August 20, 2009 by Ed Morrissey
The Obama administration got its second straight week of bad news on the job front. Intial unemployment claims increased this week to 576,000, 26,000 higher than analysts expected, and the four-week average rose to 570,000. The increasing claims belie the notion that the job market will see any signs of recovery in the near term, and make claims of success from the stimulus package even less believable than before:
The number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits rose unexpectedly for the second straight week, a sign that jobs remain scarce even as other data show the economy is stabilizing.
The Labor Department said Thursday the number of new jobless claims rose to a seasonally adjusted 576,000 last week, from a revised figure of 561,000. Wall Street economists expected a drop to 550,000, according to a survey by Thomson Reuters.
Economists closely watch initial claims, which are considered a gauge of layoffs and an indication of companies’ willingness to hire new workers.
The figures are volatile, and had been trending down, after remaining above 600,000 for most of this year. The new report indicates that the labor market is still weak. In a healthy economy, initial claims are usually around 325,000 or below.
The problem isn’t just with the initial jobless claims. The Bureau of Labor Statistics tracks the average weeks of unemployment for claimants, and the news there looks especially bad. The average now stands at 25.1, up from 24.5 in June, and August will likely be higher. That number is by far the worst in the past decade; in the supposedly “jobless recovery” in 2003-4, the worst that number ever got was 20.1 weeks.
The BLS also tracks “discouraged workers,” those who have left the workforce altogether and are not seeking jobs. That number has also reached highs not seen in at least a decade, with 796,000 workers currently falling into this category. Compare that to the last recession and recovery, where that number never rose above 534,000.
Obama has a big problem. The stimulus package has utterly failed to prevent unemployment from getting above the target line of 8%. After some initial optimism about the economy, employers are once again shedding jobs and reducing costs, particularly as they see Obama’s expansive — and expensive — legislative agenda work through Congress. At the time when Obama says, “Trust me to run health care,” voters are realizing that he couldn’t get the economy right while mortgaging the Treasury. Maybe Obama should focus on fixing what he’s already broken before breaking something else.










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Some will be off the coast of Brazil extracting oil from beneath the ocean floor.
WashJeff on August 20, 2009 at 11:25 AM
I wouldn’t mind living in Brazil. :)
txag92 on August 20, 2009 at 11:27 AM
Unions, ACORN, Axelrod’s companies, Organizing for Obama
faraway on August 20, 2009 at 11:27 AM
Let me guess…unemployment is 9.9%? We’ll know that the MSM has finally turned on Obama (and they will eventually turn, they always do) when they admit that unemployment is greater than 10%
DrAllecon on August 20, 2009 at 11:27 AM
Hey, remember when Bush tried to establish oversight of the government agencies of Fannie and Freddie in 2003 to make sure they were using sound accounting practices for all of their policies, and the Democrats fought Bush tooth and nail every step of the way to PREVENT more oversight?
http://www.nytimes.com/2003/09/11/business/new-agency-proposed-to-oversee-freddie-mac-and-fannie-mae.html
Yeah, those Democrats. Always seem to forget what they were saying at different times in the past.
Barney Frank (D, Mass.) is featured prominently as fighting tighter scrutiny of his pet organization and denying there is even problem with the organization.
It would be funny if the consequences of such asshattery weren’t so dire on our economy.
Good Lt on August 20, 2009 at 11:27 AM
What else should we expect when economic decisions are made by Romantic Liberals instead of Rational Liberals (although the Romantics would like to think of themselves as rational). You can always tell the difference between Romantic Liberals and Rational Liberals: The Romantics like to tell everyone how smart they are and how dumb everyone else is. The Rational Liberals don’t have to depend on labels, they just have to marshal a rational argument to make their point.
Obama = Romantic because Govt-Take-Over_Health-Industry is suppose to equal Little-Deficit-Full-Recovery
willardcsmith on August 20, 2009 at 11:27 AM
Do we really have to wait 3.5 more years to see Obama among the ranks of the unemployed? There must be a way to make that happen sooner.
…well a man can dream, can’t he?…
ornery_independent on August 20, 2009 at 11:27 AM
What’s even more pathetic is that your idiot president claimed that if stimulus passed, unemployment wouldn’t pass 8%. Now they claim they misread things and that they were worse.
Do you really want people who can’t even figure out how bad the economy is to run -anything- ? I wouldn’t. How about you?
lorien1973 on August 20, 2009 at 11:28 AM
Funded by a corrupt government organization. Obama and the Ex-Im Bank were made for each other.
http://www.wfaa.com/sharedcontent/dws/wfaa/localnews/news8/stories/wfaa071227_mo_bankdrugs.5adabe14.html
izoneguy on August 20, 2009 at 11:28 AM
Unions, ACORN, Axelrod’s companies, Organizing for Obama
faraway on August 20, 2009 at 11:27 AM
As I said before, I’d rather pluck Henry Waxman’s nose hairs than work for any of the above.
txag92 on August 20, 2009 at 11:28 AM
I wonder how MSNBC handled this this morning? Last week they were rejoicing over the 10/100ths drop.
kingsjester on August 20, 2009 at 11:30 AM
Government payrolls expanded again, proving that this “stimulus” bill wasn’t intended to stimulate the economy, but rather to stimulate THE GOVERNMENT.
On article linked on Drudge notes that 700 of 796 “stimulus” jobs in NH are state government jobs and not private sector jobs.
Hope. Change. Economic fail.
Good Lt on August 20, 2009 at 11:30 AM
You would need a hedge trimmer for that job.
farright on August 20, 2009 at 11:30 AM
One thing no one ever mentions in these unemployment numbers is the fact once your unemployment runs out, the government drops you from their unemployment statistics, for they consider you to have “found a job” whether or not you actually did. They don’t count you as unemployed. You just disappear.
bradley11 on August 20, 2009 at 11:31 AM
The problem is that his borrowing is only going to the increase the problem is the short, mid and long terms. Unless we get very business friendly…it going to a slower 5 years.
We have the absolutely wrong guy in the white house in the worse time.
Oil Can on August 20, 2009 at 11:32 AM
If a farmer creates a big trough for his pigs, constantly fills it up with food for the pigs, and the pigs over eat to the point they die or cannot be sold; who is at fault? The pig for eating too much or the farmer for creating the situation for the pigs?
Now the housing bubble: The government for creating the trough, or the bankers and mortgage companies for feeding at it?
WashJeff on August 20, 2009 at 11:32 AM
We have a recently repaved road here in town that is apparently “shovel ready” as there has been a Porkulus propaganda sign (cost to you: about $3000) erected proudly announcing how we’re “putting Arkansans to work.” Never mind that the road doesn’t need work, or that this is an incredibly busy thoroughfare with lots of businesses and drivers bound to be inconvenienced by the needless repaving of the repaved road (we have a penny sales tax in the city that more than pays for our streets here). The sign has been up since late June. It’s now August 20, fully two months since the sign went up, and presumably even longer since the funds were dedicated to this pointless project. If the need to put Arkansans to work is so pressing (and don’t get me wrong: we NEED jobs here!) then why isn’t this shovel ready project already underway?
I’ll let the trolls field that question.
NoLeftTurn on August 20, 2009 at 11:32 AM
Some folks are getting a jump on that early, if you read the polls.
With exploding costs for the health “reform” bills and cap-and-trade beginning in some cases as early as his second term, I don’t have any doubt that whatever poor schmuck gets elected in 2016 is going to have plenty to blame on our current President.
DrSteve on August 20, 2009 at 11:32 AM
It’s the economy stupid….
The problem is….bad news for us, is also “good” news for us.
That is the heartache…American needed to actually see how wrong this guy is, for them to see the truth.
For us to succeed, Obama had to fail, and in failing has hurt everyone in America.
He is just a disaster….the problem is, how much worse before their is a general “revolt” and he changes policy.
I am afraid that he won’t change, Pelosi we know won’t, so look for even worse news.
Pretty soon he will be “half way across the river” and will say, what the heck, might as well keep going…
right2bright on August 20, 2009 at 11:33 AM
Bleeds Blue (11:13)
Janet Reno in a speech 03-20-09 DOJ archives…
Let me help you with translation…the above means.. if you rich, conservative banking guys don’t lend money to poor people so they can buy a house under the Community Re-investment act..DOJ will take you to court.
Skandia Recluse on August 20, 2009 at 11:33 AM
Just got told yesterday IBM is outsourcing their AS400 account to an offshore team in Brazil.
I cant blame the company for wanting to increase profits. Its cheaper for them to send work outside of the US where they dont have to pay as much in taxes and deal with the regulations.
If Congress and the President really wanted to help America they should look at the policies in place that are causing jobs to be sent overseas
offroadaz on August 20, 2009 at 11:34 AM
AMEN and LOL at the 57 states…I totally needed that laugh this morning. :)
anj413 on August 20, 2009 at 11:34 AM
It is much more compounded by many that were in that “gray” area, many on the positive side, but with the downturn, they are now suffering.
So this economy is pulling otherwise stable people downward.
I have many friends, that in a somewhat stable economy, would have no problem…but with the slowdown, they are now lumped in with “those that were irresponsible”, and as time goes on, more and more of these will be sucked down.
right2bright on August 20, 2009 at 11:36 AM
Liberals say: Obama is doing great. He really knows how to fix this economy.
lorien1973 on August 20, 2009 at 11:36 AM
That can’t be stressed enough…they are outsouring (many companies) because they don’t have to deal with taxes, labor laws, bureaucrats with their hand out.
right2bright on August 20, 2009 at 11:38 AM
“Obama has a big problem. ”
not from his perspective.
hundreds of thousands of people need governments good hands now more than ever.
notagool on August 20, 2009 at 11:38 AM
Employment = Down
Revenue = Down
Spending = Up
Not a very good formula.
fourdeucer on August 20, 2009 at 11:38 AM
Exactly.
Funny (or is it sad) how libs are now whining they miscalculated how bad things were, or planned the stimulus to actually work over the course of a few years. Hah!
Teh Won and his crack team of experts explicitly kept repeating that he was aware that this was the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression.
He then opted to fire off the largest stimulus package in human history, in order to overwhelm and get far ahead of the crisis quickly.
Dem lies and excuses are flying now because the brilliant
stimulus plansspending scams are exposed. Their political hackery is being laid bare when they are trying to cram Crap & Trade, Obamacare, and God knows what else down our throats.Progressivism is a disaster. Nothing more. Nothing less. And this needs repeating, loudly, and often.
red winger on August 20, 2009 at 11:39 AM
Some will be off the coast of Brazil extracting oil from beneath the ocean floor.
WashJeff on August 20, 2009 at 11:25 AM
I wouldn’t mind living in Brazil. :)
txag92 on August 20, 2009 at 11:27 AM
I actually have a standing offer in Santa Carina, which looks very enticing these days.
Archimedes on August 20, 2009 at 11:40 AM
And millions of foreclosed homes are rotting. The banks hate to take a loss and are holding many of these bad loans “hoping” things will turn around enough to not lose to much money. I thought that was what TARP was for?
See the problem is – the government gets a pot of cash and they start using it as a general slush fund. Just what they have done with SS. The government puts a gun to the head of these banks to first lend to sub-prime borrowers and now is ready to pull the trigger. Once the commercial paper comes due then all hell will break loose and the government will stand aside and let it crash. That is when the government will step in and seize all the banks.
Get ready.
izoneguy on August 20, 2009 at 11:42 AM
Nonsense.
It’s Obamanomics – the greatest slayer of capitalism the world has ever known.
And since capitalism by definition is eeeevil, it’s the greatest good we’ve ever known.
O BAM A
O BAM A
O BAM A
I really want to see more Obama cheerleaders in these comment threads telling us that we really aren’t seeing what we’re seeing. I think it’s cute.
Good Lt on August 20, 2009 at 11:42 AM
Tell you what, you can blame Bush but the CRA is all Dem all the time.
Eventually the real housing bubble is going to burst. You ain’t seen nothing yet. What is going to be interesting is what happens when this house of cards falls, and it will. The only thing that could have saved it is if The One had done anything to get the economy chugging instead of all this wasteful spending to pay off buddies and secure power. Too bad for our dear leader that it doesn’t look like it worked.
ORconservative on August 20, 2009 at 11:43 AM
I’ll start blaming him now.
Beaglemom on August 20, 2009 at 11:43 AM
izoneguy……..you put it much better than I.
ORconservative on August 20, 2009 at 11:44 AM
Not to worry.
WOW. Godbama will have jobs for everyone once he comes down off the mountain.
ziggyville on August 20, 2009 at 11:44 AM
I think in the end it would have been better to fight in court.
izoneguy on August 20, 2009 at 11:44 AM
Yep — because there is a history of lending discrimination dating back at least to FDR which caused and hastened the decline of inner cities.
Or, are you in favor of lending discrimination?
The mortgage crisis is stupendously larger than minority lending or sub-primes. Those vast tracts of condos standing empty in Florida, Vegas and California were built by speculators who never expected to sell them to poor people — they thought they’d flip them to suckers who would pay $400 thousand for a $200 thousand dollar house because they could sell them to the next sucker for $500 grand. And the Bush Administration loved the the bubble because it blinded people to the fact that their incomes were stagnant and their health care costs were rising.
And a de-regulated Wall Street loved it, too, taking whatever problems a cyclical downturn might have caused and blowing it up fantastically with pointless derivatives that served only to increase bonuses, approved by their lap-dogs at Moody’s. Greed was not good.
“When it collapsed, Lehman had about a 30:1 debt-to-equity ratio, meaning it had borrowed $30 for every dollar in capital it held. Morgan Stanley currently has a debt-to-equity ratio of 30:1, while Goldman Sachs has one of about 22:1.”
This is an illuminating article, as well. If you can read.
Frank Partnoy, a professor at the University of San Diego School of Law who has written extensively about the credit-rating industry, says that the conflict is a serious problem. Thanks to the industry’s close relationship with the banks whose securities it rates, Partnoy says, the agencies have behaved less like gatekeepers than gate openers. Last year, Moody’s had to downgrade more than 5,000 mortgage securities — a tacit acknowledgment that the mortgage bubble was abetted by its overly generous ratings. Mortgage securities rated by Standard & Poor’s and Fitch have suffered a similar wave of downgrades.
Bleeds Blue on August 20, 2009 at 11:46 AM
I actually have a standing offer in Santa Carina, which looks very enticing these days.
Archimedes on August 20, 2009 at 11:40 AM
Can I go with you?
txag92 on August 20, 2009 at 11:47 AM
just googled Santa Carina, beautiful!
NickelAndDime on August 20, 2009 at 11:47 AM
If you’ve got a decent model for making predictions, sometimes you’ll guess high, sometimes low, but you should always be close. Seems Obama’s team consistently underestimates unemployment and often isn’t even all that close. At that point, anyone interested in the truth understands the “prediction model” isn’t working and they need to come up with something better.
Jobless rates won’t go above 8% if the stimulus is passed?
Cash for Clunkers program runs out of money in a week?
Stimulus that isn’t stimulating?
Is this the way the government wants to run healthcare?
taznar on August 20, 2009 at 11:47 AM
Unofficial numbers are much higher. In some minority communities, extremely high. I’ve read that roughly 35% of people 19-25 are looking for work but can’t find it. I would expect violent protests and crime increases if this continues.
JiangxiDad on August 20, 2009 at 11:48 AM
Very happy to say that I have been removed from the 15% here in Michigan. And it only took 350 days!
Thanks Obama!
/sarc
ConservativeLawStudent on August 20, 2009 at 11:51 AM
Looks like Chris Dodd got a HA commenter account.
daesleeper on August 20, 2009 at 11:52 AM
It’s amazing how much stupidity you continually pack into each comment. You really try hard to ignore the cause of the subprime collapse, don’t you? Which was government intervention in the markets – through coercion and incentives.
lorien1973 on August 20, 2009 at 11:53 AM
My brother got laid off a few months ago, and Virginia seems to be deliberately delaying his benefits. Do you think is a widespread practice to attempt to keep unemployment down?
DFCtomm on August 20, 2009 at 11:54 AM
Lack of funds, probably. I know FL’s unemployment fund is having issues.
lorien1973 on August 20, 2009 at 11:55 AM
When I saw your name I was hoping it was a reference to being a KY wildcats fan, but I’m getting the feeling that’s not what you mean by blue.
DFCtomm on August 20, 2009 at 11:57 AM
Obviously tax revenues are down, so you may be right. It still works in their favor if they are bottle necking entry into unemployment, but tossing everybody who has “quit looking for work” out. The number is much higher than they are letting on.
DFCtomm on August 20, 2009 at 12:00 PM
One thing no one ever mentions in these unemployment numbers is the fact once your unemployment runs out, the government drops you from their unemployment statistics, for they consider you to have “found a job” whether or not you actually did. They don’t count you as unemployed. You just disappear.
bradley11 on August 20, 2009
So it there a reliably accurate unemployment figure that isn’t colored by politics?
SKYFOX on August 20, 2009 at 12:00 PM
If the people cannot pay then yes. The ability to garner a loan should not be dased on the color of your skin – that is the definition of discrimination.
Giving loans to people because they live in poor hoods and are black does not make sense. And it really makes no sense if these people cannot ever have a hope of paying a loan back. The banks need to be able to run as a business and not a community give away program. The CRA should be abolished.
If you want a loan – go get a job and show that you can pay on time.
Otherwise – drop dead.
izoneguy on August 20, 2009 at 12:02 PM
So can we now officially ignore anyone and everyone who proclaims the recession is over and or slowing down and might pick back up any minute (despite negative growth quarters to the contrary)???
Branch Rickey on August 20, 2009 at 12:03 PM
Yep. Democrats do their best to destroy capitalism and then say “Look, we told you it wouldn’t ever work. Here, we’ll fix it.”
29Victor on August 20, 2009 at 12:04 PM
YES
I wonder how many libs are sitting around saying: But, but, but the MSM said the recession was over!
izoneguy on August 20, 2009 at 12:05 PM
Bleeds Blue is a “KY” fan though
faraway on August 20, 2009 at 12:05 PM
No doubt, hanging around URANUS with Barney Frank…..
izoneguy on August 20, 2009 at 12:06 PM
We CAN lower the unemployment numbers. Just get copies of the VA pamphlet; “Your Life, Your Choices,” into the hands of everybody out of a job. Once they see that their families would be better off if they killed themselves, the state would be much better off.
Star20 on August 20, 2009 at 12:09 PM
About the mortgage industry:
The various players are playing a desperate game of “hide the sausage” right now in order to avoid the inevitable, namely recognizing all the bad debt on the books and writing down the loss. This hasn’t happened yet and it probably won’t until banks start going under for lack of cash flow.
Problem with that is that doing so would immediately expose many of the major banks as underwater and insolvent. It would also accelerate the housing collapse as the homes would need to be auctioned off and therefore would cause another downward spiral in prices.
It needs to happen of course, in order to force the market to hit bottom (which would bring tons of buyers out of the woodwork), but that also involves a lot of these powerful banksters going out of business or even getting arrested for fraud (it’s very illegal for a bank to accept deposits when it’s insolvent).
This isn’t going to happen of course, because all the people in Washington who are supposed to be prosecuting are either in the pocket of the banks or former employees. The old mafia is drooling at this level of corruption.
Add to that deficit spending, which cannot continue unless bond yields are raised. This will drive up mortgage rates and of course drive even more people into foreclosure. The federal government has two choices: Stop deficit spending and watch billions of dollars in programs and benefits disappear, or continue the spending and watch the rest of the housing market go boom. The second option is arguably worse because even if bond yields go up, there is still the inherent risk of default the longer we keep piling on debt, not to mention skyrocketing carrying costs of that debt.
Look at U-6 unemployment numbers, which is closer to the real deal. Right now we’re talking around 16% national unemployment.
TheMightyMonarch on August 20, 2009 at 12:13 PM
Let’s also not forget the 20% down which has gone the way of the dinosaur in recent years. It not only reduces LTV ratios and helps minimize default risk, but shows that the buyer has the ability to save and accumulate a substantial amount of money before entering into a long-term mortgage.
TheMightyMonarch on August 20, 2009 at 12:16 PM
Hey Blue-
The #1 reason for foreclosures in this crash has been owners with negative equity walking away from their homes.
The law states primary homeowners ARE NOT LIABLE for anything once they stop paying a mortgage. Not principal, not interest, nothing. They just get a 7 year ding on their FICO score, and often that can be overcome in less.
Remind us which side of the aisle that law came from.
Chuck Schick on August 20, 2009 at 12:16 PM
I can see using the abbreviation of Kentucky was a mistake.
DFCtomm on August 20, 2009 at 12:16 PM
I’m in favor of discriminating against lending to people who can’t pay it back.
Chuck Schick on August 20, 2009 at 12:18 PM
Another brilliant riposte from the right. It’s astounding how quickly you run out of facts and fall back on this sort of thing.
Not that I wouldn’t mind hanging around and having a few drinks with Chairman Frank but I am orientated in a different direction. You can ask my wife.
Bleeds Blue on August 20, 2009 at 12:20 PM
*from the “Let’s FIRE all the inside-the-beltway-thieves-and-start-OVER” department*
Anyone know if Jim Jones had kids? We could sure use one of his descendants laying that old ‘kool aid shuffle’ on a certain 536 folks that come to mind………
Katfish on August 20, 2009 at 12:20 PM
At this rate, people better HOPE they have any CHANGE left in their wallets!
pilamaye on August 20, 2009 at 12:22 PM
Laws against lending discrimination have been around for, what, 40 years? And suddenly the real estate market and banking system as a whole collapse in 2007? You don’t think maybe there were other factors? Is having one thought, misguided though it is, enough to overwhelm your brain and force out any of the other dozens of variables that undoubtedly contributed to the collapse. Like, oh, banks not asking people to prove their income? Or the bubble mentality that was incontestably present? (keeping it simple for your)
Bleeds Blue on August 20, 2009 at 12:24 PM
The housing crises now is totally beyond the CRA and tied directly to Odumbo.
The banks do not want anything that puts them in the red on their books. There are countless homes not even accounted for and God only knows what the actual number is. In order for any of the stimulus bs to have worked, this bubble of unaccounted for liabilities (kind of like the real unemployment numer) had to be addressed. Instead we got money for favors rendered and step one of Obamacare.
One thing is for sure, books about this administration are going to be blockbusters.
ORconservative on August 20, 2009 at 12:24 PM
Read up on government lending laws since Clinton. Reno is a good target here, she wanted to use the DoJ to go after lendors who tried to be sane in who they lent money to.
And how they practically forced banks to loan money to people that everyone knew they couldn’t pay back. And look into how ACORN helped the practice along.
Really. Stop being retarded, okay?
You trying to pin this on Bush or whatever really just makes you look totally ridiculous.
lorien1973 on August 20, 2009 at 12:28 PM
Not that I wouldn’t mind hanging around and having a few drinks with Chairman Frank
Stop – my sides are hurting because I am laughing so hard right now….
Please leave us now with those blues thoughts….
izoneguy on August 20, 2009 at 12:28 PM
I guess what I’m saying is. Be a troll if you want. But if you want to stand out, be a troll with at least a small sense of reality to make it interesting for us.
lorien1973 on August 20, 2009 at 12:28 PM
Obummer is out back shedding as we speak.
izoneguy on August 20, 2009 at 12:29 PM
I guess what I’m saying is you might provide a semi-objective link (as I did) or something to back up your statements rather than just spewing the Party line. How many mortgages did those mean people at ACORN force on those pathetic, helpless bankers who are mere naifs in the tough old economy? You do have a number, right?
Bleeds Blue on August 20, 2009 at 12:35 PM
I did.
faraway on August 20, 2009 at 12:37 PM
Only one possible answer, unemployment statistics are RACIST!!
I bet they would go down under a white president.
jukin on August 20, 2009 at 12:38 PM
It’s the bubble mentality that has kept our debt-based economy afloat ever since the New Deal and the fatally flawed idea that deficit spending can jumpstart an economy without it blowing up down the road. Now we’re running out of suckers. The tech bubble blew up when investors started realizing that most of these companies produced nothing and would never be profitable. The housing bubble blew up when we ran out of suckers to buy $500,000 1-bedroom condos.
Right now we are seeing a desperate attempt to blow a stock bubble. They’ve lured in a few suckers but this recent rally amounts to a “pump-and-dump” and probably won’t last long. There are simply no market fundamentals to support it. Most of it is based on the hope that we hit bottom in March, and it just HAS to go up??! Right? RIGHT??!
The federal government can’t continue to issue new debt, especially when most of the spending has been designed to prop up failing banks and special interests instead of actually allowing capital to go where it needs to go (a job far more suited for the free market than for politicians).
This is a debt-based recession and people are maxed out, and out of money to pump into a new bubble. The federal government is facing a combination of declining tax revenues and pressure to either raise interest rates to jack up bond demand or just stop issuing debt altogether. Either option is going to suck for a lot of people, but mostly for the little guy (as always).
TheMightyMonarch on August 20, 2009 at 12:41 PM
You really don’t get how it worked, do you?
The Feds passed a rule saying that x% of loans made to certain cities need to be made to low income people (even if they were subprime loans – the ones that were almost guaranteed not to be paid back). If you don’t make that x% of loans, you cannot loan any money in that area at all.
So, in essence, you have the federal government forcing banks to loan money to people who will never pay it back. They backed those loans with Fannie/Freddie as a promise to make sure the banks would keep lending money.
It’s not about pathetic bankers or evil bankers, idiot. It’s about poorly formed policy that was designed to help people (good intentions, as always!) actually, in end, made things a lot worse.
Why can’t you see that?
lorien1973 on August 20, 2009 at 12:42 PM
She has been active in advocating for the Association of Retarded Citizens, you’ve likely had plenty of opportunity to chat. Hope the de-institutionalization works out for you!
Bleeds Blue on August 20, 2009 at 12:42 PM
And still the O-Bots will blame Bush. Still, there are a few less than there were a few months ago but there are some die hard followers of this cult and they’ll keep on that train no matter how long ago the tracks ran out.
Yakko77 on August 20, 2009 at 12:46 PM
Because I haven’t a single reliable figure that proves or even suggests that — among the millions of defaults over the last years — a significant number of them were on mortgages that would not have been made without CRA pressure. Lies, damn lies and — you don’t even have a statistic.
I do know that roughly half the sub-prime loans made in the 00s were by fly-by-night loan companies who were not covered by the CRA, that banks leveraged themselves recklessly, that rating agencies failed miserably and that interest rates were kept artificially low by the Fed.
So get me a number.
And, oh, just to humor me, maybe admit that AIG’s ruinous speculation in credit default swaps might have had something to do with it as well.
Bleeds Blue on August 20, 2009 at 12:49 PM
Tax and spend our way to prosperity — how’s that working out for ya?
Christian Conservative on August 20, 2009 at 12:49 PM
.
Let’s also not forget the federal government’s failure to prosecute all this fraud. Or people like Barney Frank, Chris Dodd, and Barack Obama who took money and favors from these crooks as the housing and financial markets neared collapse.
The banks may have been the criminals in this case but the cops are bought and paid for and won’t be making arrests any time soon.
TheMightyMonarch on August 20, 2009 at 12:56 PM
you want a number from us, but we’re supposed to believe whatever you say, just because YOU say it…
right…
right4life on August 20, 2009 at 12:56 PM
Frustrating to no end to see this pattern over and over again with statists. Most here can see the banks and mortgage companies over did it. The statists, like Bleed Blue, stop there since it fits their template: corporations\business are greedy and bad for the people.
The statist does not seem to have the ability, or desire, to look at why did teh banks become “greedy.” This problem only arised in the last 20 years…what changed. Deregulation the statists says. They could now bundle mortgages and sell them. Never asking to whom. Fannie and Fredie is of course the answer (I think AIG too). Why could F & F buy these things, implied Government guarantee.
Goes back to my analogy eariler. If a farmer creates a trough with unlimited food, do you blame the pigs for getting too fat or the farmer?
WashJeff on August 20, 2009 at 12:57 PM
Apparently the jobs that were created, were the ones involved in making and installing the sign.
MarkTheGreat on August 20, 2009 at 12:57 PM
You would lose, the govt take your bank, and the loans get made anyway.
MarkTheGreat on August 20, 2009 at 12:59 PM
Nope, unoxygenated blood which explains the brain problems.
chemman on August 20, 2009 at 1:00 PM
The only lending discrimination that ever existed, was that banks didn’t want to loan to people who couldn’t pay it back.
Thank god, govt took care of that problem. /sarc
MarkTheGreat on August 20, 2009 at 1:01 PM
***
President Obama (PBUH) and his congressional buddies didn’t design the “stimulus” spending to help the economy and unemployed. It’s purpose was to pay off their left wing amigos with our tax money.
***
The One’s agenda is to convert the U.S.A. into the United Socialistic States Of America. He is right on track to his goals–they are not our goals.
***
Almost all his / their actions will hurt the economy more–and the wild spending will cause big tax increases, much higher energy costs due to devaluation of the dollar vs. the Euro used to pay for imported natural gas and oil.
***
You ain’t seen nuttin yet as far as unemployment and lack of jobs, stagflation, etc. Jimmy Carter II is back–and working overtime.
***
John Bibb
***
rocketman on August 20, 2009 at 1:02 PM
..mirror image of the Bush years — up until The Botox Be-yotch and that old Stookey took over congress on 1/1/2007.
Just sayin’.
VoyskaPVO on August 20, 2009 at 1:02 PM
When a housing bubble bursts, all housing loose value, fast.
Let’s not forget the maid in California who was complaining about not being able to make payments on her $400K house.
MarkTheGreat on August 20, 2009 at 1:03 PM
More likely an attempt to keep the state from running out of cash.
MarkTheGreat on August 20, 2009 at 1:05 PM
Are you going to answer my question about laws protecting homeowners when they walk away from a mortgage?
There are many reasons for foreclosures, but that is #1.
You guys thought that one up.
Chuck Schick on August 20, 2009 at 1:06 PM
I believe it is called the U6, it’s also maintained by the Labor Dept. It includes just about everyone who doesn’t have work, and is reasonably close to the way these numbers were calculated during the depression.
MarkTheGreat on August 20, 2009 at 1:07 PM
Bleeds Blue,
Umm, and how exactly have things changed? Banks are still behaving recklessly (overpricing worthless assets on their balance sheets via “mark-to-make-believe” accounting) and the Fed is buying its own short term treasuries to keep interest rates artificially low and re-inflate the housing bubble.
When do you direct your outrage at the Obama administration for continuing to perpetrate the greatest economic swindle in history?
At least President Bush could plausibly claim he didn’t know what the consequence of these policies would be. President Obama has no such defense.
Mike Honcho on August 20, 2009 at 1:09 PM
From today’s boortz.com:
These two professors put forth their Cloward-Piven strategy in an article in The Nation magazine. The issue date was May 2, 1966. David Horowitz summarizes the strategy thusly:
The strategy of forcing political change through orchestrated crisis. The “Cloward-Piven Strategy” seeks to hasten the fall of capitalism by overloading the government bureaucracy with a flood of impossible demands, thus pushing society into crisis and economic collapse.
…
Here’s a bit from The Nation article: The essential features of a campaign using the Cloward-Pivin Strategy.
1. The offensive organizes previously unorganized groups eligible for government benefits but not currently receiving all they can.
2. The offensive seeks to identify new beneficiaries and/or create new benefits.
3. The overarching aim is always to impose new stresses on target systems, with the ultimate goal of forcing their collapse.
MarkTheGreat on August 20, 2009 at 1:09 PM
From market-ticker.org
The Mortgage Bankers Association released its latest update:
The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 64 basis points from 8.22 percent in the first quarter of 2009 to 8.86 percent this quarter.
and
The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans somewhere in the process of foreclosure. The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the second quarter was 4.30 percent, an increase of 45 basis points from the first quarter of 2009 and 155 basis points from one year ago. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure and at least one payment past due was 13.16 percent on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the highest ever recorded in the MBA delinquency survey.
MarkTheGreat on August 20, 2009 at 1:11 PM
Let’s not forget that the FSLIC’s fund for buying up distressed banks has been exhausted.
MarkTheGreat on August 20, 2009 at 1:12 PM
I’ve already posted links pointed to over-leveraging and and the failure of the rating agencies which greased the way for the sale trillions bad financial products.
Regarding the CRA, try here: Traiger & Hinckley LLP Study Shows CRA Banks Were Substantially
Less Likely Than Other Lenders to Make the High Cost Loans That Helped
Fuel the Foreclosure Crisis
NEW YORK–(Business Wire)–A Traiger & Hinckley LLP study of 2006 mortgage loan data suggests
that the Community Reinvestment Act, a federal law that requires banks
to help serve the credit needs of their local communities, including
low- and moderate-income neighborhoods, deterred banks from engaging
in the kinds of risky lending practices that are provoking the
foreclosure crisis.
Or here:Point in fact,” she said, “only one in four higher-priced first mortgage loans were made by CRA-covered banks during the hey-day years of subprime mortgage lending. The rest were made by private independent mortgage companies and large bank affiliates not covered by CRA rules.”
Or here: I’m a conservative; I believe in conservative principles. One of my complaints about conservative commentators these days is that they lack the facts. Now, there are some that do their due-diligence and have sound arguments, but others just assume certain things that are actually false.
One of these topics on which many conservative commentators are wrong is on the notion that the Community Reinvestment Act caused the mortgage crisis. This is false. The CRA did NOT cause the mortgage crisis. There have been comprehensive surveys conducted by the Federal Reserve and its member banks that have shown that CRA related loan products perform almost identically to non-CRA loan products.
Ball’s in your court.
Bleeds Blue on August 20, 2009 at 1:13 PM
Where’d you get the crazy notion that we’ve run out of facts.
It’s just that it took so little time to refute everything you said, there was time left for some jocularity.
MarkTheGreat on August 20, 2009 at 1:14 PM
Laws against lending discrimination have been around for, what, 40 years? And suddenly the real estate market and banking system as a whole collapse in 2007?
That’s because there never was any discrimination in housing.
Then the govt came along and ordered the banks to start lending money to people with bad credit histories.
Bleeds Blue on August 20, 2009 at 12:24 PM
MarkTheGreat on August 20, 2009 at 1:15 PM
Blue- you’re still dodging the question.
Forcing banks to eat every primary mortgage is the #1 reason for this mess.
That has ZERO to do with the CRA.
Who came up with that law?
Chuck Schick on August 20, 2009 at 1:16 PM
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