WaPo: Palin’s net favorable rating now at -13
posted at 5:40 pm on July 24, 2009 by Allahpundit
I’ll give you the sample up front to save you time. Dems 33, Reps 22, Inds 41; Libs 20, Mods 39, Cons 38. That’s actually the smallest percentage of Democrats sampled in a WaPo poll in 18 months.
The good news? She’ll have plenty of time and money now, thanks to SarahPAC, to turn the numbers around. The bad news:
The last line, obviously, is the killer. This same poll finds the current GOP field shaking out this way: Huckabee 26, Romney 21, Palin 19, which may sound like a fluke but isn’t really. As noted the last time I blogged a 2012 poll, Huck frequently fares best head to head against The One in hypothetical match-ups. If he and Palin have to battle it out for evangelicals in the primary, he’ll be sorely tempted to leverage those numbers on how she handles complex issues to accuse her of ignorance on policy — but how do you make that attack without bleeding over into self-defeating ad hominem nastiness? Run an ad charging her with ignorance and it’ll be read as charging her with stupidity, which isn’t true and the unfairness of which will make her seem sympathetic. Plus, Huck’s never been real adept at concealing his personal disdain for opponents he’s attacking. He might have to skip this area altogether, let the public come to its own conclusions, and focus instead on painting her as a RINO for supporting a path to citizenship and some sort of financial rescue while on the trail last year.
Another fun fact from the poll. Make of it what you will.
Evidence of a public preference for a Keynesian “do something, anything!” approach during a recession, or a broader signal of where America’s secret economic heart truly lies?
Oh, one more thing: 58 percent now say Sotomayor should be confirmed, a higher post-hearing number than WaPo recorded for either Roberts or Alito. Naturally, even though there’s not a thing they can do to stop her, Cornyn and Hatch declared today that they’re voting no anyway. Smart thinkin’, GOP.
Blowback
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This may seem like a joke, but I am serious…
Dear Lord,
Please no Huckabee.
MobileVideoEngineer on July 24, 2009 at 5:42 PM
Right wing news polls Conservative bloggers.
2) Do you believe Sarah Palin is still a viable potential contender for the Republican nomination in 2012 after announcing that she will resign as Governor of Alaska?
Yes: 42 (63%)
No: 25 (37%)
I know what Allahpundit voted!!! =)
portlandon on July 24, 2009 at 5:43 PM
Huckabeeeeeeee????Nooooooooooooooooooooooo.
sandee on July 24, 2009 at 5:44 PM
A thousand posts or bust.
Knucklehead on July 24, 2009 at 5:44 PM
As with THE ONE, I have actually listened to what Huckabubby has said.
I won’t say never, but the guy is a populist, and not a conservative, IMNHO.
Ragspierre on July 24, 2009 at 5:44 PM
Check the first column. The earlier polls were Registered Voters or Likely Voters. The most recent one is blank because they polled Adults. Of course she will do worse when you increase the sampling of regular guests on the Springer Show. Obvious this is agenda driven, and shows no change in support, just a change in the sample.
Ted Torgerson on July 24, 2009 at 5:45 PM
#7 comment out of 677!!!
Apologetic California on July 24, 2009 at 5:45 PM
The Kenyans got not one damn thing to do with this. /s
portlandon on July 24, 2009 at 5:45 PM
Eh, I’m open to letting most GOP’ers tell me why I should support them come 2012.
However, if Huckabee is the GOP nominee, I’m done with the whole party.
myrenovations on July 24, 2009 at 5:45 PM
Huckabee will never be the nominee.
terryannonline on July 24, 2009 at 5:46 PM
It’s one poll. Polls are snapshots. Others show a more favorable picture. Most, even supporters, would agree, she’s got some “persuasion and outreach” to do.
Next question?
Robert_Paulson on July 24, 2009 at 5:46 PM
So long as we let the Left choose our candidates for us, as WaPo is doing, we will be at an extreme disadvantage.
This WaPo polling seems, just as their polling last year provided evidence of, to be an attempt to cull any recognizable conservative from the list of possible GOP candidates. Agitprop at its finest. Lenin would be proud.
coldwarrior on July 24, 2009 at 5:46 PM
Barbour/Jindal 2012.
Get behind it people!
alohapundit on July 24, 2009 at 5:46 PM
Only if it’s a wake.
califcon on July 24, 2009 at 5:46 PM
Sarah is fine. She is still tied for 2nd place after ALL of the abuse she has taken. Just wait 2 days when she is untied from the governor’s chair. Allah did you see the Palin tweet on not allowing Illegal Aliens drivers licenses?? How can you say she supports amnesty after a tweet like that?
ousoonerfan15 on July 24, 2009 at 5:47 PM
Allah, Hucklebuck, and this poll are all so full of crap you can smell them in standing in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean. Any pundit or any pollster who says that that moronic hillbilly preacher from Arkansas would be the best candidate against Obambi needs to be drawn and quartered.
Percy_Peabody on July 24, 2009 at 5:47 PM
Huck no!
Mitt hell no!
Palin 2012!!!!!!
jencab on July 24, 2009 at 5:47 PM
A resounding “Me Too”.
sherry on July 24, 2009 at 5:47 PM
That’s all I need to know.
You go Sarah. They have much fear.
fogw on July 24, 2009 at 5:47 PM
The polls are worthless. If his administration survives until 2012 the anyone-but-obama vote will insure victory no matter who the nominee is.
DeweyWins on July 24, 2009 at 5:48 PM
By the way, the single best thing for Sarah Palin is for the 2012 GOP nomination field, assuming she runs, to feature several candidates. The more, the better for Palin.
Robert_Paulson on July 24, 2009 at 5:48 PM
“2012: America Decides”
Huckabee vs Edwards
exception on July 24, 2009 at 5:48 PM
“Conservative” democrats?
You have *got* to be sh*tting me, WaPo.
How can people who have sex with animals be “conservative”?
noblejones on July 24, 2009 at 5:48 PM
Hell no to Huck.
Hell yes to Demint.
Dire Straits on July 24, 2009 at 5:48 PM
I’d think Jim DeMint singing “Waterloo” would pretty much smash Hukabee and his “gi-tair” in the ratings (and votes)
Marcus on July 24, 2009 at 5:48 PM
Bolton/Norris 2012. If the ‘stache don’t get ya then the roundhouse kick to the face will.
TheUnrepentantGeek on July 24, 2009 at 5:48 PM
Here’s a novel strategy. Whichever Republican nominee the State run media hates and denigrates the most is the one that we should nominate. They fear something about Palin, and it is a good sign that she would be good on the issues for the conservatives.
alohapundit on July 24, 2009 at 5:49 PM
Interesting Washington Compost comes out with this to avert attention away from Obama’s stinker on health care and all else.
jencab on July 24, 2009 at 5:49 PM
I adore this comment. I want to send it flowers and perhaps marry it.
myrenovations on July 24, 2009 at 5:49 PM
Me three!
califcon on July 24, 2009 at 5:49 PM
Meh.
I’m in the “give-it-time” category on Sarah Palin’s net fav numbers.
Huck’s a waste of a primary vote, tho, imho. He’s lose in the big league…hands down. And, he’s very VERY lack-lustre.
bluelightbrigade on July 24, 2009 at 5:49 PM
F**k Yeah!
bluelightbrigade on July 24, 2009 at 5:50 PM
I don’t give a flying flit. I love Sarah and will vote for her if she runs. I am a lady and can not for the life of me understand why any WOMAN thinks she is anything but a good mom, a lovely lady, a good gov., and a decent person. Those who don’t agree, shame on you! Just look at mo, hc, and the
‘ladies’ aroung bho. GADS!!!
L
letget on July 24, 2009 at 5:50 PM
Well, you’re doing YOUR part Allah. Thanks for all the favorable press.
Hope Huckabee doesn’t even attempt it.
Christian Conservative on July 24, 2009 at 5:51 PM
Barbour is the only one I’d openly resist at this point. Even conservatives won’t like him once his lobbying background is fully exposed and his weird flirtations with the CCC in MS are reported on. I think he’s one of our best strategists, but 2012 — against Obama — would be tough for him.
Robert_Paulson on July 24, 2009 at 5:51 PM
I like Sarah, but my money is on BARBOUR as the big news as “the day” approaches, too. He rebuilt after Hurricana Katrina, he can rebuild after Hurricane Obama.
Marcus on July 24, 2009 at 5:51 PM
Today is July 24, 2009. Calm down.
redwhiteblue on July 24, 2009 at 5:53 PM
Stop posting these polls which are so obviously skewed.
She is within 6 points of beating Obama head to head, according to Rasmussen last week.
ABC/CBS/NBC polls are irrelevant.
doug1981 on July 24, 2009 at 5:53 PM
With Barbour on the ticket Obama won’t have a chance in Mississippi.
Ted Torgerson on July 24, 2009 at 5:54 PM
LOL – Glenn Beck interviewing Fatty slob Glenn Beck live on FoxNews.
LMAO!!!
Marcus on July 24, 2009 at 5:54 PM
So many polls and the data on all of them seem to be saying:
1. The Big 3 are still The Big 3 and not one of them can break away from the pack, yet.
2. From the favorables in the Republican and Conservative columns, only Palin or Huck stand a chance at being the nominee. Both do well enough to win the primary, but for now, neither would win a general election.
3. Romney is doing well as a general election candidate, but not as one for the primaries. If this continues for the next 3 years, he won’t make it out of the primaries.
yogi41 on July 24, 2009 at 5:54 PM
Sane (albeit skeevy) Politicians: “Anyone who runs against ‘Teh One’ will be villified as a Greedy Racist™ and ruined forever.”
Insane (and equally skeevy) Politicians: “I’m runnin’ for Prezidint!”
TMK on July 24, 2009 at 5:55 PM
So 58% say Sotomayor should be confirmed. So what, 52% voted for Obama and look how smart the American public was on THAT issue.
johnsteele on July 24, 2009 at 5:55 PM
His name is Robert Paulson. His name is Robert Paulson! I love “Fight Club”. Have you read Palahniuk’s “Diary”? Great stuff. As for Barbour, is he worse with special interests than Ochimpy? Careful how you answer that, Tyler Durden is wacthing you….
alohapundit on July 24, 2009 at 5:55 PM
Second look at Huckleee? Nope. Seen enough already. Same with Rudy McRomney.
Mike H on July 24, 2009 at 5:55 PM
I doubt this sampling of 1001 adults who answered the phone is as accurate as some would like to believe.
“This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone July 15-18, 2009, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults including users of both conventional and cellular phones. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.”
portlandon on July 24, 2009 at 5:55 PM
I wouldn’t support voting for Sotomayor even as a minor strategic ploy. It gains too little to feel too dirty.
frankj on July 24, 2009 at 5:56 PM
How the hell do you draw that conclusion when the numbers are clearly trending against him? A 16 point drop in the “confident” column and a 15 point increase in the “not confident” column is evidence of a Keynsian “do something, anything” approach???
thirteen28 on July 24, 2009 at 5:56 PM
This is tiring. Didn’t you enough comments this morning?
BTW, Palin and Huckabee are not going to fight for evangelical vote. if anything, Palin is already eating into Romney’s base and if she declares, she’ll easily flip over Huck’s base too. Remember, half of GOP voters will be women. Palin’s favorables might be low with women in general but they are very high with conservative women. GOP men can’t match that. Identity politics , baby!
promachus on July 24, 2009 at 5:56 PM
And as an additional thought, why would anyone take any poll from from WaPo, the NYT or ANY of today’s media seriously?
johnsteele on July 24, 2009 at 5:56 PM
Thanks. Doing the work the media won’t.
atheling on July 24, 2009 at 5:56 PM
+1 Exactly
alohapundit on July 24, 2009 at 5:57 PM
You are a master at baiting…;)
jerrytbg on July 24, 2009 at 5:57 PM
The only way he’s going to be able to leverage “any of those numbers” is if she REMAINS ignorant of complex national/international issues. And now, with the fact that she’s essentially unemployed and has all the time in the world to “bone up” (as CK keeps saying) on the topics at hand…her ‘ignorance’ shouldn’t be a factor to even consider in 2012 (God willing).
LiquidH2O on July 24, 2009 at 5:58 PM
Getting hard up for anti-Palin posts, Allah?
That poll is nonsense. The sample is whacked out.
Lynn2008 on July 24, 2009 at 5:58 PM
Smuckabee? People are getting desperate to replace THE ONE.
Browncoatone on July 24, 2009 at 5:58 PM
Some combination of Bolton/M. Cheney/Palin/D. Cheney.
JUST GIVE US REAL CONSERVATIVES IN EVERY ELECTION
J.J. Sefton on July 24, 2009 at 5:58 PM
Disregard all polls that do not poll Likely voters.
doug1981 on July 24, 2009 at 5:58 PM
I honestly prefer McCain to Huckabee. This is such a disaster.
I’m definitely going to vomit blood if this crap keeps up.
John_Locke on July 24, 2009 at 5:59 PM
Palin 2012 – 2014 1/2!
benny shakar on July 24, 2009 at 5:59 PM
First things first. Sarah needs to get into national debate helping conservatives take back Congress. Success and survivial with that will dicatate her future.
califdreamnred on July 24, 2009 at 5:59 PM
I would rather Barbour run for senate seat that may come open because Cochran is getting pretty old.
Dire Straits on July 24, 2009 at 6:00 PM
I stepped out for awhile. Came back and found the air had gone out of the threads I was watching.
Ah, ha!, thought I, must be a new Palin story up.
Yep.
guntotinglibertarian on July 24, 2009 at 6:00 PM
Bolton/Cyborg Bolton Clone ’12!
TMK on July 24, 2009 at 6:00 PM
Btw, the only thing of Huckabee’s I want to be “taking a second look at” is his PAC. When he’s demonstrated an ability to get anyone excited enough about him and his ideas to even consider donating money to him…then we can talk about Huck.
LiquidH2O on July 24, 2009 at 6:01 PM
LOL, wow… good catch people. Even Allah is having to resort to ridiculousness such as leaving out the facts to push his moronic agenda.
MobileVideoEngineer on July 24, 2009 at 6:02 PM
I love these comments. Dummy dems have no idea Palin beat them at their own game. Smart dems know this and haven’t a clue what to do. The dem attack dog, the MSM, has shot their wad attacking Palin, a strategy that usually worked in the past.
Not this time.
darwin on July 24, 2009 at 6:02 PM
Huckabee?! Why don’t we just nominate McCain again?
No to Mitt.
No to Newt.
No to …?
Yes to DeMint!
ncjetsfan on July 24, 2009 at 6:02 PM
Yeah, never speaketh ill of Saint Sarah of Palin. Only good things, lest ye be a RINO.
JetBoy on July 24, 2009 at 6:03 PM
Boy you are real scare of this women(ALLA) next week maybe you can run a poll were she has lost support from dogs & cats
thmcbb on July 24, 2009 at 6:04 PM
Well that decides that, then!
Riiight, because Senators are sworn to pander to racist blocs and exploit bigotry, not uphold the Constitution.
Chris_Balsz on July 24, 2009 at 6:04 PM
Looking for another 1000+ coments threat.
Falz on July 24, 2009 at 6:04 PM
like Sarah, but my money is on BARBOUR as the big news as “the day” approaches, too. He rebuilt after Hurricana Katrina, he can rebuild after Hurricane Obama.
Marcus on July 24, 2009 at 5:51 PM
guntotinglibertarian on July 24, 2009 at 6:06 PM
LOL
I swear I think AP IS Benny Shakar
Amadeus on July 24, 2009 at 6:07 PM
Eh, maybe it does reflect what Americans believe they want (though I think Obama’s drop shows the reality), but at least Reagan’s numbers got better (even if not significantly so).
Esthier on July 24, 2009 at 6:07 PM
Early days yet.
Lets wait and see how Governor Palin is fairing in the polls in just over a year after her book has come out and the 2010 midterms are over. My guess is those polling numbers will be somewhat different by then.
Dreadnought223 on July 24, 2009 at 6:08 PM
Riiight, because Senators are sworn to pander to racist blocs and exploit bigotry, not uphold the Constitution.
Chris_Balsz on July 24, 2009 at 6:04 PM
guntotinglibertarian on July 24, 2009 at 6:08 PM
No not yet…have to get the Romney folks fired up. But it does have potential.
Dire Straits on July 24, 2009 at 6:08 PM
Allahpundit isn’t an atheist. His religion is Numerology.
Jim Treacher on July 24, 2009 at 6:09 PM
LOL! Hey Jetboy, how are your RINO picks polling? 0.2%? 0.1%?
TMK on July 24, 2009 at 6:09 PM
People only entertain the notion of Huckabee as a possibility because the press hasn’t bothered to report on him and all of his f*** ups in Arkansas. They only know the story they hear and haven’t taken the time on their own to get to know the guy and his record. I have already schooled half a dozen Northeast relatives of mine (all true conservatives) on why this jackass is not who he appears to be on Fox News. I say let the media build Huck up as the frontrunner so the opposition can start unleashing all the dirt on him. It won’t even take very much digging. A cursory search of the archives at the Democrat-Gazette will yield tons of material.
NoLeftTurn on July 24, 2009 at 6:10 PM
Thankyou Allah I return home from work to the beautiful Sarah front and center, what a way to start the weekend!
You do owe us though after Reid, Peelosi, Waxman and Emmanuel mugs up there though eeeeeeeuuuuuck!
Seems I never see Huckabilly, thank God.
Obviously Sarah comes up and all the oxygen leaves the room. She is the only one besides Pinnochio that can draw a crowd the rest can’t draw 1/2 what Sarah does.
Now she’s free from JuanMcGoodOldBoyItsMyTurnNowIDeserveItBecauseIAmARino McCain, and soon the Governorship.
The target is free to become the shooter, the prey free to become the predator, the Pit Bull without the lipstick!
Palin/Bolton or Pali/Patreaus 2012
dhunter on July 24, 2009 at 6:10 PM
Your going to get him all riled up again.
Amadeus on July 24, 2009 at 6:10 PM
Yeah, I’m probably the only guy in here that gave the maximum contribution to
McCainPalin, but when I dare now to express my reservations about her readiness and electability, the knives come out.guntotinglibertarian on July 24, 2009 at 6:11 PM
Washington Post / ABC Poll we are supposed to take seriously?
Uh, ABC IS the administration network, must I remind HA readers.
If it ain’t Rasmussen it ain’t shit.
Also, Sarah is gonna be free starting Monday, so expect the gradual increase in popularity and support.
Also, Jindal is not running in 2012.
Barbour is a southerner and male and white.
Huckabee is a FISLIB.
Sarah is a western libertarian conservative. Just right.
Palin/Cheney 2012 is unbeatable.
And yes, anyone who votes against it is……a…….
SEXIST!!!!!
Sapwolf on July 24, 2009 at 6:11 PM
A looming sadness descended on the Paliniac tribe….
Bradky on July 24, 2009 at 6:11 PM
Hold your fire…hold…hold…
Season hasn’t started yet …but it will…mark my words.
jerrytbg on July 24, 2009 at 6:12 PM
Ol’ boner shaker alone is good for 500 comments.
guntotinglibertarian on July 24, 2009 at 6:12 PM
I wouldn’t tease him too much. He liked McCain for 2008.
Esthier on July 24, 2009 at 6:12 PM
The more the polls make her “unattainable” for the nod, the more desirable tome she becomes.
Jeff from WI on July 24, 2009 at 6:13 PM
I’m a religious conservative and there is NO WAY that I would ever vote for Huckabee. No way, No how.
conservative homeschooler on July 24, 2009 at 6:13 PM
I have a locket on my key chain with the “No Left Turn” road sign on it. :)
LiquidH2O on July 24, 2009 at 6:13 PM
There’s gotta be someone else… :(
Upstater85 on July 24, 2009 at 6:13 PM
More like Palin and Huckabee co-hosting a fox show after Hannity’s time slot.
Bradky on July 24, 2009 at 6:13 PM
LOL… Allah are you campaigning for Huck?
upinak on July 24, 2009 at 6:14 PM
If it were Rasmussen then I would believe it.
Amadeus on July 24, 2009 at 6:14 PM
AP mocks Cornyn and Hatch for refusing to earn easy Amigo points by jumping on the bandwagon. That’s what I mean.
Chris_Balsz on July 24, 2009 at 6:14 PM
And many on here won’t forgive him for it ;)
Upstater85 on July 24, 2009 at 6:14 PM
You have no clue what’s coming do you?
Sapwolf on July 24, 2009 at 6:14 PM
There is. But he couldn’t pass muster with the snake handlers.
guntotinglibertarian on July 24, 2009 at 6:14 PM
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