Gallup poll of Republicans: Romney 26, Palin 21, Huckabee 19
posted at 4:30 pm on July 16, 2009 by Allahpundit
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Within the margin of error, as these early polls of Republican frontrunners always are. Interestingly, while Sarahcuda’s favorable rating among Republicans remains dramatically higher than either Mitt’s or Huck’s (partly due to the fact that she’s much better known), she can’t put any daylight between herself and them as a choice for the nomination. And then there’s this:
On the plus side, she hasn’t really lost — or gained — any ground with Americans since last fall. On the minus side, you can imagine the Huckabee attack ad already: She’s unelectable.
Question: If both Romney and Palin announce that they’re running, does Huck drop out and play kingmaker instead? He’d have an outside shot to win a head-to-head race with Romney on the strength of the “anyone but Mitt” vote from evangelicals and “true conservatives.” He’d have an outside shot to win a head-to-head race with Palin on the strength of the “anyone but Sarah” vote from centrists. But what shot does he have to win a three-way race when the “anyone but Mitts” will probably break for Palin and the “anyone but Sarahs” will probably break for Romney? The smart move, I’d think, would be to stay out and sell his endorsement to one of the other two candidates, possibly in exchange for the VP slot. He can do more for Mitt than he can for Palin by giving him the Christian seal of approval, but maybe that prospect is reason enough for the ‘Cuda to recruit him and keep him on her side. Could he suppress his disdain for Romney even in return for a spot on the ticket, though? And could Mitt tolerate the idea of working with him for four years in return for winning the nomination? Magic eightball says: Unlikely.
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Talk is cheap. Would you vote for Palin if she was the nominee? Or Huckabee?
If you answer is “Yes”, than all the hot air your blowing is meaningless isn’t it?
If you say “No” than you want Obama to win and finish destroying what is left?
Choose Wisely.
portlandon on July 16, 2009 at 8:03 PM
I can’t explain why but Palin is inevitable and also super awesome.
smokinjoe on July 16, 2009 at 8:05 PM
Don’t forget the $200,000 Gov. Palin got in ten days after she step down.
If Huck is going to win Iowa why would this take place:
OneVision–Got to C4P and listen to Rush today about the exact same subject. Hint Palin is Golden.
Finally, Gov. Palin want O as one of her political trophies.
Clyde5445 on July 16, 2009 at 8:12 PM
Case in point…Rush TODAY on this poll..
unwashed minion on July 16, 2009 at 8:14 PM
Healthcare…………..Romneycare
Raise taxes………….raised taxes
Anti Gun…………….anti gun
Pro-abortion…………pro abortion
Not conservative……..not conservative
Not religious………..religious
For equality of women…not for women equality
Payback cronies………payback cronies
Unethical……………mostly ethical
No character…………character
Charisma…………….no charisma
Little hair………….great hair
Not so smart…………smart
inexperienced………..experienced
no military service…..no military service
coattails……………no coattails
winner………………recent loser
*
Which column is Obama….which is Mitt
right2bright on July 16, 2009 at 8:16 PM
Gov. Palin’s book tour next year is going to be the clincher. Most people have not seen the real Sarah Palin yet. There is more to Gov. Palin than meets the media eye and the perception out there right now. The only place to go is up.
Clyde5445 on July 16, 2009 at 8:24 PM
That is just not rational. Romney is the business guy. He knows how to take a failing company and turn it into a winner. Palin has tons of potential and the right philosophy and drive. Romney can teach her how to run the country and she can be a check and balance on those matters that some people are worried about Romney. After they have a successful 8 years Palin can take over with whomever is next in line as vp.
peacenprosperity on July 16, 2009 at 8:37 PM
In a perfect world, they would both get behind Mitt in an attempt to unite the GOP behind a single person, instead of keeping it fractioned. The only way for us to win is to unite as a party. If Huckabee plays his religious shit again, its another 4 years of Obama without question.
thphilli on July 16, 2009 at 8:40 PM
Obviously you haven’t. They significantly changed the nature of the program as soon as he left office.
peacenprosperity on July 16, 2009 at 8:43 PM
Mitt is a flip flopper…. He is a moron and I will never vote for him.
TimeTraveler on July 16, 2009 at 8:53 PM
Done. Listened to every word Rush had to say in that audio clip. No question that he is singing Sarah’s praises over the 72% favorable rating Sarah has among Republicans. And she deserves that praise for having those numbers in spite of the beating she has taken from the MSM. However, as the C4P website’s quote of the Gallup poll states:
“But her lead on this measure largely reflects the fact that she is better known than the two former governors, given the substantially lower ‘no opinion’ figures for her.”
So while Sarah’s celebrity-level status produced that kind of a favorable rating, whether she can sustain that magnitude of a lead over time, no one can truly know. One would expect that lead would dissipate if Mitt begins grabbing more positive headlines and becomes even more visible nationally. This is all speculation though, isn’t it? No one really knows how this will all play out.
Although I still think Mitt would be the stronger candidate with a greater amount of executive leadership experience, as it stands now I would certainly prefer Sarah over many, many others. We’re in for an interesting ride.
OneVision on July 16, 2009 at 9:01 PM
OneVision on july 16, 2009 at 9:01 PM
This argument by the Gallup folks that Palin received much higher favorable numbers (72) than either Romney (56) or Huckabee (59) based on her being better known is ludicrous. Who has his own TV program on Fox News (Huckabee) and who is being touted by the GOP establishment (Romney) as ‘the next one’ and is a steady presence on the 24/7 cable networks?
And who both ran in the GOP primaries in 2008 (Huckabee and Romney)and who did not (Palin)?
And who has been absent from national politics for the last 7 and 1/2 months except for a two week excursion into NY state (Palin) and was not a steady presence on TV during that time?
And finally remember those polled were Republicans and Republican-leading independents who by extension would be the folks most concerned who were the contenders for the Presidency in 2008 and would be in 2012 and would know who the players were? That’s like saying that a person that specializes on horse betting does not know who the regular jockeys are or the track record of their horses.
technopeasant on July 16, 2009 at 9:34 PM
SP will not run in 2012, but she will pick the nominee. Huck-a-phony better play nice.
exdeadhead on July 16, 2009 at 9:41 PM
It is too early to discuss 2012. Much is going to happen before then.
Phil Byler on July 16, 2009 at 9:44 PM
SP is playing long ball, building a political machine capable of terminating big government programs. It does not yet exist. SP is an effective communicator because she connects with commoners, who do not expect perfection, only adherence to the consistent principles of God and country that have guided her life. (Sorry AP. That’s who SHE is, and she should remain true to herself. Please don’t Tier II me.)
She is our One, who will expose the false promises and false hopes of liberalism, and beat it back some, maybe substantially, hopefully.
exdeadhead on July 16, 2009 at 9:57 PM
Silly people…. at the rate things are going, in November 2012, we’ll all be so busy foraging for food, we’ll forget to vote.
BPD on July 16, 2009 at 10:01 PM
Get your bumperstickers now
http://www.gomittens.com
james23 on July 16, 2009 at 10:05 PM
james23 on July 16, 2009 at 10:06 PM
Mitt is nothing but a square jawed, straight Lindsay Graham. He is the architect of Obama health care lite in Massachusetts.
wraithby on July 16, 2009 at 10:19 PM
Damn you! You tricked me!
Lanceman on July 16, 2009 at 10:21 PM
Mitt Romney was for killing babies before he was against it.
BPD on July 16, 2009 at 10:54 PM
The GOP’s “we’ll fool those idiots yet again, they’ll vote for the one we want” game isn’t going to work, I’m afraid.
ddrintn on July 16, 2009 at 10:55 PM
Mittens is the candidate of the Bushtard Establishment G.O.P. that drove the Party to such towering achievements in 2006 and 2008. He was, like, Bush’s favorite candidate. They saw Mittens as “the successor”.
That doesn’t tell you all something about the Mittens?
The fact that Mitt Romney couldn’t beat Himmler for Mayor of Jerusalem is lost on his supporters, and on Allah, I guess.
victor82 on July 16, 2009 at 11:12 PM
Did you ever see the Far Side cartoon entitled “What dogs hear”?
Well here is what Allahpundit’s Posts Sound Like to Me:
Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah, “Sarah Palin” blah blah blah, “not qualified”, blah blah blah, “polls” blah blah blah, “Cuda” blah blah blah, “heartache” blah blah blah, blah blah blah, blah blah blah. “Romney”, blah blah blah, “Huckabee” blah blah blah.
Just sayin’. Geez.
kg598301 on July 16, 2009 at 11:21 PM
victor82 on July 16, 2009 at 11:12 PM
But that “True Conservative” John McCain is the one who pulled Sarah Palin out of relative obscurity and handpicked her to second him.
I don’t hold that as a strike against her, but if you’re basing your pick on who is pushing someone….
thecountofincognito on July 16, 2009 at 11:34 PM
Looks like the Fredheads just can’t get off the big red borrowed truck of intellectual laziness.
Mitt is pro-abortion? Really?
Get off the Fred Thompson flavored laxative.
BKennedy on July 16, 2009 at 11:53 PM
I don’t understand the draw to Romney. Didn’t he start state-run healthcare that isn’t working out too well?
He reminds of of a televangelist.
njpat on July 17, 2009 at 12:09 AM
Last go round, I think it was because he seemed likeliest in the field to win. I supported him on that basis. This time, I think most of it is an “anybody but Palin!” thing.
ddrintn on July 17, 2009 at 12:35 AM
Bush was a disaster! He and his RINO ilk bastardized conservatism completely!
Mitt would be another GOP disaster!
Rae on July 17, 2009 at 1:58 AM
Huckabee needs to disappear!
My prediction is that he will sneak in as the nominee as people bicker about Romney and Palin, just like how McCain got past Romney and Thompson.
Romney/Palin 2012 is the right ticket!
Dr B on July 17, 2009 at 2:15 AM
The way I see it is that Mitt has the fiscal knowledge to pull us out of the dire mess Mr. Obama has made.
Sarah has the core energy we need to pull us out of our complacency and resignation.
I live in MA and hate the universal care Mitt Romney left us with, but I also realize that it was the democrats that screwed it up to something horrendous. This state is a mini current day Washington D.C. All spending and no reality.
This is why I keep my sights on the person that I think has the knowledge and ability to undo the damage. I think Mitt Romney has this ability given his background. I may not agree with everything he says and does, but I do think he is patriotic and can bring us back to fiscal responsibility and the basics, with what I know about him.
On the next hand, Sarah Palin has the instincts and understanding to do the grass roots digging and planting even if that means not running for POTUS or any other office.
If it means turning this country around, back to what the Founding Fathers desired, then Mitt Romney or Sarah Palin has my vote. I just wish is was today rather than 3.5 years from now…
Miss Molly on July 17, 2009 at 2:27 AM
Correct me if I’m wrong, but wasn’t Mitt the guy who considered giving newborn a “laptop”? I don’t know about you guys, but I detect a whiff of the “governator” in Mitt. Arnold’s personal charisma and strong pledge for low taxes helped him get elected. Look what he’s done to CA.
I don’t want to vote for a semi conservative to defeat a liberal. I’ll vote for Fred Thompson, Sanford (unlikely), or Tom Mcclintock.
Or SOMEONE. Anyone other than the current frontrunners.
Mad Kimchi on July 17, 2009 at 6:04 AM
True. I heard it myself today. Rush was talking about this very topic.
Considering all the bashing on Palin (by both sides) 5 points is small potatoes.
We need to focus on 2010. She will turn the tide. I hope Romney rolls up his sleeves and fights for us.
Geochelone on July 17, 2009 at 6:06 AM
I agree. How can republicans never have heard of Romney? Impossible. Huckabee has his own TV show on Fox and the Romney’s have been in politics for 5 decades.
Geochelone on July 17, 2009 at 6:11 AM
I like all three to some degree, but Huckabee much less than the other two.
I don’t think Palin will be in a position to win in 2012. Romney exudes competence and can talk on his feet. The problem that I suppose I have with him is that his Romneycare in Massachusetts seems like an enormous albatross.
How can the GOP nominate a candidate who pushed to enact a healthcare program in Massachusetts that the GOP would never support as a federal program. To me, it’s akin to nominating a doctor who performs abortions as the candidate. His position on the issue is antithetical to a core GOP position.
BuckeyeSam on July 17, 2009 at 7:24 AM
Not Romney. You people batter the msm and then believe what they tell you. The gop establishment hates Romney because he is an outsider. He is beholden to no one in the party. You people forget that the abuse Palin is getting now from the msm and the snotty elite republicans was being directed at Romney during the primaries.
Do some homework. What they are calling Romneycare and bashing him with is not the program he put in place. The democrats chnged it as soon as they could. And it is not just the msm but also the elitist republicans. The msm and the republicans want us to beat up Romney and Palin for the next 3 years so they can put some politically correct loser in the race. The republicans will not win with anything but Romney/Palin in 2012. Write it on the barn wall and in 4 years go back and read it and say “Darn if he wasn’t right.”
peacenprosperity on July 17, 2009 at 7:45 AM
Mitt will do for the GOP what his old man did for Packard
Jeff from WI on July 17, 2009 at 8:10 AM
Hey, Mitt is an expert on turning around failing businesses. Who better to “run the economy?” That’s what conservatives want, isn’t it, the politician most qualified to “run our economy?” He could do a much better job of “running the economy” than Ochavez is doing.
Beltway Boys for Mitt, 2012!
james23 on July 17, 2009 at 9:30 AM
As we have learned from the Sarah Chronicles, the actual record of accomplishments of a Governorship do not matter.
It is the perception of that record that you can create that really matters.
If people say “Socialist RomneyCare” enough times loudly enough, then the truth will no longer be relevant to the discussion (What ever the truth may be).
If Alaska’s Permanent Fund is socialism, then so is RomneyCare.
Nevermind what the actual facts are, just yell it loud and long and it will become the accepted truth.
This is our HopeyChangitude “New Politics”.
Brian1972 on July 17, 2009 at 9:33 AM
On “RomneyCare” — don’t forget that Romney was elected by the people of Massatwosh*ts and, being the same people who elect Ted Kennedy and John Kerry every six years, they probably really wanted government run health care. Romney did the best for them that he could.
rcw on July 17, 2009 at 9:52 AM
Yes, Palin is better known that either Romney or Huckabee, however it’s because the media has been blasting her constantly for a year.
Despite all of that negative information, she is still more popular than either Romney or Huckabee.
Another plus is that everything negative about Palin is already out there and been processed by the electorate.
What’s going to happen to either Romney or Huckabee, when the media go into full dirt digging mode on them?
MarkTheGreat on July 17, 2009 at 10:02 AM
Doesn’t matter what he actually did. It only matters what his opponents say he did.
Have you not learned the new way of political discourse?
Off to the re-education camps for you!
Brian1972 on July 17, 2009 at 10:03 AM
Exactly. Many people think Sarah Palin is some sort of religious extremist, even though her record and rhetoric indicate anything but.
BPD on July 17, 2009 at 10:08 AM
Mitt will play well with the ” I’ll vote for him because he’s dreamy” female voter crowd.
Jeff from WI on July 17, 2009 at 10:16 AM
What’s going to happen to either Romney or Huckabee, when the media go into full dirt digging mode on them?
MarkTheGreat on July 17, 2009 at 10:02 AM
Were you not paying attention in 2007? They camped outside Mitt’s house for months and interrogated his landscaper. They dug up a story about his dog from the early 80s. They researched his freaking grandfather!
thecountofincognito on July 17, 2009 at 10:34 AM
Man, if you don’t think they know everything they need to know about huckster then you’ve been living in a cave somewhere. They have all the dirt they need on huckster, he’s from arkansas and former governors from arkansas know where all the bodies are buried, and if and when they feel he is a threat they will use it at the optimum time. That’s how they work. JC Watts likely would have been the first black president but as soon as they saw him taking off he mysteriously received a manila envelope on his desk and he retired abruptly from politics. Do you think these republicans just have some kind of brain fart when they vote or say something inexplicable and out of character? Nope. They have received a phone call or e-mail. I guarantee the dnc has some very interesting lindsy grahm photos that they remind him of on a regular basis. They have nothing on Romney or he would have already retired to the golf course, counting his hundreds of millions and living the good life instead of trying to serve his country.
peacenprosperity on July 17, 2009 at 11:59 AM
The fact that SuperMitt knows when to kneel to liberal pressure does NOT recommend him for any federal office. You think there’s LESS demand for regulation and spending in DC than in Springfield, MA?
Republicans, once elected, do not “grow” towards culling the Ponzi scheme of the welfare state. If anything they morph into Democrats. Eg W Bush. That’s why you don’t start by moving left in the primaries..not if you give a damn about avoiding a national collapse.
Chris_Balsz on July 17, 2009 at 10:21 PM
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