Rasmussen “passion index” down to -8

posted at 2:22 pm on July 9, 2009 by Ed Morrissey

Yesterday, we noted that the Rasmussen “passion index” dropped two points when their survey took place completely after June’s unemployment numbers.  Normally I would not revisit a rolling poll the very next day, but the survey has shown an even greater change than yesterday’s.  The difference between strongly approving and strongly disapproving of Barack Obama’s job performance slipped three points overnight, bringing it to -8 and showing an accelerating decline in Obama’s overall support:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 30% of the nation’s voters now Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Thirty-eight percent (38%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of –8. The President’s Approval Index rating has fallen six points since release of a disappointing jobs report last week (see trends).

Thirty-nine percent (39%) now give the President good or excellent marks for handling the economy while 43% say he is doing a poor job. Those are by far his lowest ratings yet on the economy …

Overall, 51% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President’s performance so far. Forty-eight percent (48%) now disapprove.

That’s now within the margin of error, showing a virtual dead heat on Obama for the first time ever.  The decline has been rapid since the July 2nd announcement of the unemployment numbers, as their graph shows:

If anyone wanted to know when Barack Obama began to own the recession, it seems to have been July 2nd, 2009.  Four months after getting almost $800 billion in “stimulus” funds, millions have lost their jobs, and Obama keeps piling up the debt.  The erosion can be seen in Obama’s approval numbers on the economy, where he has also sunk below 0 in the overall differential.

Scott Rasmussen says this is less about Obama personally and more an indication how his presidency rides on the economy:

However, the real message in these numbers has less to do with politics and more to do with the fact that this President’s fate will be determined by the economy. … So, when you’re thinking about the potential impact on the 2010 elections, the key question is what will the economy be like next year at this time. If the economy recovers, jobs are being created, and GM is doing well, the President’s numbers will be up. If the economy is still struggling, unemployment is high, and GM is seeking more bailout money, then the President and his party will have a difficult fall.

More and more, the numbers reflect the fact that people don’t believe that the economy will get better or that jobs will recover — and that pessimism directly conflicts with Obama’s promises of recovery.  If it doesn’t get better fast, people will conclude that Obama is an economic charlatan, and that will doom the Democrats in 2010.


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I wonder what will turn out to be the bigger circus. T. Kennedy’s memorial or MJ’s?

Different crowd. Teddy’s demise will bring out all the leftists of America. If ever there were a place for Islamic terrorists to strike it is at this service! I’d even pretend to show concern.

highhopes on July 9, 2009 at 8:55 PM

He is on his way to Barock bottom. Keep the heat on folks, its working like a charm.

Geochelone on July 9, 2009 at 8:58 PM

McCain was a brilliant candidate to represent republican values except for Amnesty, Global Warming, Campaign Financing, and the fact that he cheered for obama’s win.

HornetSting on July 9, 2009 at 3:40 PM

Aside from that he was just fine. So what is your beef dude? /sarc

Geochelone on July 9, 2009 at 9:00 PM

James Manning is still giving Obama hell in this video. Wow!

JiangxiDad on July 9, 2009 at 3:55 PM

Thanks for the link you “long legged mac daddy”, LOL.

Geochelone on July 9, 2009 at 9:04 PM

Fixing that passion index is simplicity itself: make sure that the drones at the Labor Department who put out the unemployment numbers are severely beaten about the head and shoulders – voila!! – unemployment numbers for July drop to 7%.

Surprised it hasn’t happened already.

guntotinglibertarian on July 9, 2009 at 3:47 PM

He spent the first four months after the election in repeated petulant tantrums against Rush Limbaugh and Fox News because they dared to criticize him while the rest of the media grovelled at his feet. What’s he going to do when the public has clearly soured on him?

Another five points down and he’s going to proceed with the formation of the Obama/ACORN Citizens Corp and begin “re-educating” America.

I’m kidding…somewhat, anyway. The guy kisses Hugo Chavez’ ass and sides against the people of Honduras in favor of Hugo’s lackey, Zelaya. It’s hard not worry about what else this arrogant, vindictive, Marxist SOB has in mind for us.

Django on July 9, 2009 at 9:09 PM

Teddy’s demise will bring out all the leftists of America. If ever there were a place for Islamic terrorists to strike it is at this service! I’d even pretend to show concern.

highhopes on July 9, 2009 at 8:55 PM

If I were a terrorist, I would send flowers not bombs.

burt on July 9, 2009 at 9:52 PM

I knew these numbers would come, but it’s gratifying that they have come so quickly. IMO, I think these numbers show that the majority of Americans did not cast their vote for this guy. O/ACORN invented a whole lot of votes for him. Sure, his approval rating was high in January, but Americans are usually kind to new POTUSes whether they voted for him or not. And those who actually did vote for him, are thinking that maybe they really didn’t know who he was. Hopefully, they will have learned their lesson that getting news from MSM isn’t a bright idea. I just love the fact that their irritating smug smiles are gone. Now, I can wear mine *evil grin*. Bwahahaha.

My new bumper sticker should read “I told ya so!” LOL.

-Aslan’s Girl

Aslans Girl on July 9, 2009 at 9:53 PM

If I were a terrorist, I would send flowers not bombs.

burt on July 9, 2009 at 9:52 PM

Good point!

It is a quandry for terrorists. Do you take out a gathering of public officials for the PR value despite the fact that that those attending Teddy Kennedy’s funeral are allies to terrorism.

highhopes on July 9, 2009 at 10:03 PM

Wow,I started the DEAD TED thing hours ago…LOL

Jeff from WI on July 9, 2009 at 10:22 PM

Hey Ed,

Fire Allah and hire this guy

Jeff from WI on July 9, 2009 at 10:22 PM

Geochelone on July 9, 2009 at 10:32 PM

Hey Ed,

Fire Allah and hire this guy

Jeff from WI on July 9, 2009 at 10:22 PM

Geochelone on July 9, 2009 at 10:32 PM

LOL..Thanks, I accept!

Jeff from WI on July 9, 2009 at 10:37 PM

African-American unemployment very very high. Will Obama still be first black PRes. when this is all over?

JiangxiDad on July 9, 2009 at 2:29 PM

Obama isn’t the first black Pres. Bill Clinton was.

Obama is the first woman Pres.

atheling on July 9, 2009 at 10:58 PM

But Obama is a.) arrogant and b.) too willing to risk it all in favor of getting the liberal holy grails put through. He’ll keep pushing, regardless of polls and economic numbers. And at some point, he’ll know he’s not going to get reelected and then you’ll see some seriously nasty crap start coming out of the White House.

Thunderstorm129 on July 9, 2009 at 2:37 PM

I think you are right.

I also think that he is surrounded by sycophants who will never tell him the truth, thus he will continue his catastrophic course.

This will not end well for him.

atheling on July 9, 2009 at 11:02 PM

Unbelievable that poll didn’t get a thread.

AnninCA on July 9, 2009 at 3:02 PM

Actually, it’s not unbelievable. It’s typical.

atheling on July 9, 2009 at 11:08 PM

While waiting for a flight home this afternoon I happened to catch a bit of CNN’s Situation Room. Blitzer had Donna Brazille on as a guest and she had the temerity to claim that the Big 0′s approval ratings were finally leveling off to normal level’s. Leveling off my foot! They have been on steady decline for weeks and yet, not one person challenged her BS.

glennbo on July 9, 2009 at 11:09 PM

hahah.. hopefully this trend continues

WAKE UP AMERICA

gatorboy on July 9, 2009 at 11:18 PM

Don’t underestimate this guy ability to talk himself out of these low poll numbers and out sides ability to shoot ourselves in the foot

ChunkyLover on July 9, 2009 at 2:26 PM
Agreed. Rush Limbaugh is due to say something extremely stupid any day now. Just the distraction Obama and the media need.

Go RBNY on July 9, 2009 at 2:32 PM

Are you kidding? “I want Obama to fail” started the ball rolling. The only one in the media to have the guts to say so, that I know of, besides possibly Levin.

ddrintn on July 9, 2009 at 11:36 PM

I also think that he is surrounded by sycophants who will never tell him the truth, thus he will continue his catastrophic course.

This will not end well for him.

atheling on July 9, 2009 at 11:02 PM

In some ways the fact that the media isn’t holding him accountable is a blessing is disguise. Its like Barry telling Michelle that her butt isn’t huge cause he’s afraid she will rip his arms out of their sockets, so she keeps on packin’ on the pounds in the Caboose compartment until one day the train won’t leave the station anymore, if you know what I mean.

All of a sudden like reality sets in a Barry has a 13% approval rating, the liposuction truck pulls up the the WH front gate and then the Media joins in the pork fest.

Lord, make it happen.

Geochelone on July 9, 2009 at 11:43 PM

Found it interesting to see Kirsten Powers (damn she’s hot) trying to defend the Community Organizer in Chief’s falling poll numbers on Hannity last night.

I wonder how long her and these other Libtard strategists will be able to defend the indefensible (and keep a straight face doing it)?

Dr. ZhivBlago on July 10, 2009 at 12:43 AM

Dr. ZhivBlago on July 10, 2009 at 12:43 AM Powers means it. She even has faith in the future since The One has only been in office (insert the number of months here as it will keep changing with time)months. She also runs right back to the “inherited” adjective. Gee, didn’t The One claim to have a plan? Well it is not working too quickly or too well and the debt makes anyone apprehensive. Moreover, somebody should remind these dolts that we had a real estate and finance debacle and a general cyclical downturn. Yea, Kirsten thinks that it makes perfect sense to practically nationalize not only the financial sector but also bellweather mega corporations (autos) while passing the largest pork barrel bill in the history of mankind. To pass it, The One and his toadies claimed that the projects were “shovel ready” when the Republicans spotted some back loading. Now look at the small percentage of the taxpayer funds which have already been spent! If you believe that a general tax cut would not work, you go in like a surgeon and treat only the diseased parts and to the minimum extent possible. Yet Annointed One and his administration are handling these problems like FDR handled (and possibly mishandled) an entirely different set of problems in different circumstances and a different economy. The liberals are really going to have to spin like tops when the fruit of the present policies is harvested.

President Reagan faced a structurally unsound economy. And tax cuts in addition to a largely pro business management of the economy — worked! But there was also a handling of specific areas of difficulty. Remember the Air Traffic Controllers strike? The ailing auto industry? Volker’s handling of the interest rate monster? And liberals are trying to debunk him! But even with an excellent leader, it took time and good management. But he managed NOT to put the next two generations in debt.

IlikedAUH2O on July 10, 2009 at 1:36 AM

If anyone wanted to know when Barack Obama began to own the recession, it seems to have been July 2nd, 2009.

That’s just when the rest of the world realized he owns it… he’s “owned” it for 7 months, starting with his signature on Stimulus II.

ConservadorRebelde on July 10, 2009 at 1:39 AM

highhopes on July 9, 2009 at 10:03 PM

Nah, muslim terrorists hate liberals too. The liberals are just too stupid to know it and they blame themselves or us.

Ward Churchill is typical, not an aberration.

dogsoldier on July 10, 2009 at 6:51 AM

I’d get more excited about Obama’s lowering poll numbers if he was out of a job when they hit -10 or so.

Jeff from WI on July 10, 2009 at 7:31 AM

Wait until if/when the poll rises a point. The msn will have a blitz on how Obama’s poll numbers continue to rise.

JellyToast on July 10, 2009 at 7:33 AM

Wait until if/when the poll rises a point. The msn will have a blitz on how Obama’s poll numbers continue to rise.

JellyToast on July 10, 2009 at 7:33 AM

LOL..true

Jeff from WI on July 10, 2009 at 7:46 AM

Someone upthred said that Barry O didn’t get the votes, ACORN invented them for him. If only it were so – he did get the votes, thanks largely to a compliant media saturated with fellow traveleres with a vested economic interest in “the narrative”. You gotta remember than not all peopl have the time or inclination to actually seek out the facts, and when all the news channels seem to be in lockstep, the norming effect is powerful.

That being said, others have made disparaging remarks towards McCain. I think that he seriously had a shot, and while being less SoCon than most here, he would have done far better for this country than That One. Remember, it was McCain and basically McCain alone who picked Palin, whom his advisers then began tearing down almost immediately. He picked the right VP candidate, but made the mistake of listening to his light Colonels when he should’ve been listening to his Sergeants.

If the Republicans can start firing on all cylinders re: the economic crisis, they will crush the D’s in 2010 and 2012. Forget all the normal SoCon tactics, now is the time to bring the biggest weapon to the fight: fiscal conservativism, which a majority of independents side with. The SoCon firing squad can wait.

Take it for what you will, that’s my opinion.

flashoverride on July 10, 2009 at 7:53 AM

If the Republicans can start firing on all cylinders re: the economic crisis, they will crush the D’s in 2010 and 2012. Forget all the normal SoCon tactics, now is the time to bring the biggest weapon to the fight: fiscal conservativism, which a majority of independents side with. The SoCon firing squad can wait.

Take it for what you will, that’s my opinion.

flashoverride on July 10, 2009 at 7:53 AM

The GOP is its own worst enemy when it comes to getting a message out. They can’t win if the only message is “Obama and the economy suck” but they are in a quandry over a fiscal conservatism message when so many incumbents spent the last eight years spending like drunken Democrats. It’s more than a little hypocritical for them to come to the table now as “fiscal conservatives.”

And, by the way, the SoCons are not going away and will not be dismissed (McCain learned that the hard way). Ignore their issues as part of the GOP agenda at your risk. The spending has to be brought under control but there is plenty that the filthy liar has done to offend SoCons and SoCons mobilize and vote. Fiscal conservatives- not so much as a bloc.

highhopes on July 10, 2009 at 8:06 AM

Found it interesting to see Kirsten Powers (damn she’s hot) trying to defend the Community Organizer in Chief’s falling poll numbers on Hannity last night.

She’s hot for sure, but as a lib she’d abort your babes.

wildcat84 on July 10, 2009 at 8:49 AM

The GOP is its own worst enemy when it comes to getting a message out. They can’t win if the only message is “Obama and the economy suck” but they are in a quandry over a fiscal conservatism message when so many incumbents spent the last eight years spending like drunken Democrats. It’s more than a little hypocritical for them to come to the table now as “fiscal conservatives.”

It won’t be if they spend the next year ACTING like fiscal conservatives. But yes, they will be hypocrites if they vote for more porkulous and rail on Obama’s tax and spending.

wildcat84 on July 10, 2009 at 8:51 AM

It won’t be if they spend the next year ACTING like fiscal conservatives. But yes, they will be hypocrites if they vote for more porkulous and rail on Obama’s tax and spending.

wildcat84 on July 10, 2009 at 8:51 AM

And it doesn’t count if they claim to be fiscally conservative because they only blew $1.5B when the administration was looking for $2B in spending.

highhopes on July 10, 2009 at 9:11 AM

If the Republicans can start firing on all cylinders re: the economic crisis, they will crush the D’s in 2010 and 2012. Forget all the normal SoCon tactics, now is the time to bring the biggest weapon to the fight: fiscal conservativism, which a majority of independents side with. The SoCon firing squad can wait.

Take it for what you will, that’s my opinion.

flashoverride on July 10, 2009 at 7:53 AM

The Republicans are tainted. We need the creation of a new consevative party to begin now. The current bunch of Republicans are useless. New action oriented people are needed. The John McCain style politicians need to go away.

saiga on July 10, 2009 at 10:00 AM

Whoes butt is he looking at now???????

If it were M”S he wouldn’t have to look so hard.

Rick007 on July 10, 2009 at 10:15 AM

Obama:

http://www.cowboyway.com/Clips/HesAGutlessWonder.wav

Jeff from WI on July 10, 2009 at 10:44 PM

In light of recent events I’d think you people would be wise to avoid any reference to a “passion index.”

benny shakar on July 11, 2009 at 2:58 AM

In light of recent events I’d think you people would be wise to avoid any reference to a “passion index.”

benny shakar on July 11, 2009 at 2:58 AM

In light of recent events, I wonder if your boy is still an “unqualified success”? How’s he doing on those unemployment numbers, benny?

ddrintn on July 11, 2009 at 10:03 AM

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