Poll: Obama slipping further on economy
posted at 1:35 pm on July 2, 2009 by Ed Morrissey
Share on Facebook | printer-friendly
Rasmussen’s new poll, taken before the release of June’s unemployment numbers, shows significant slippage for Barack Obama on the economy, his central issue. Only 42% of American voters give him excellent or good marks on handling the economy, the lowest ratings he has yet received. His personal approval rate has fallen to 53%, and the “passion index” has dropped to -2:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 33% of the nation’s voters now Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Thirty-five percent (35%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -2. This is the third straight day the Approval Index has been below zero (see trends).
A Rasmussen video report notes that 42% now give the President good or excellent marks for handling the economy . That’s his lowest rating to date …
Overall, 53% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President’s performance so far. Forty-six percent (46%) disapprove.
Obama has hit a new high among those rating him fair or poor on the economy at 56%. Just a week ago, 47% approved of his economic policies, as opposed to 50% disapproval, a margin of 3% — a statistical dead heat. Obama had been seen more favorable than not on the economy as late as the second week of May, when he held a 51%-48% advantage.
The demographics of his decline portend more bad news for Obama and his Democratic allies in Congress. Only the youngest voters support him on fiscal policy, and only barely, 52%-46%. Every other age demographic above 30 years of age has majorities now showing disapproval. Independents have begun to run away in massive numbers; they now oppose him 75%-23%, a huge break away from Obama and a sign that his supposed moderate stances have been exposed as shams. Every income level except the lowest also has majorities disapproving of his handling of the economy. Voters outside the “political class” oppose Obama 65%-33%.
Obama doesn’t fare well on national security, either. Rasmussen reports that Obama only has 44% approval on these issues, and 55% opposing him. Majorities of both women and men view him disfavorably. Every income level has majorities opposed to Obama, and independents disapprove 68%-31%. Obama only wins within the $60K-$75K income level; even his base of support among the lowest income earners narrowly reject Obama’s national-security policies, 52%-47%.
Obama isn’t just coming back to Earth in the polling. He’s losing independents and demonstrating his radical bent on policy, and more and more Americans have begun to see it.
You must be logged in to post a comment.
Blowback
Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.
Trackbacks/Pings
Trackback URL
Comments
Comment pages: 1 2 3 4 Next »
I think Quinnipac’s poll had him at 57% today.
AnninCA on July 2, 2009 at 1:37 PM
But….the bailout officially worked right? These Indies are just racists. /s
portlandon on July 2, 2009 at 1:37 PM
Can’t blame this on Bush. It’s Obama’s economy now.
coldwarrior on July 2, 2009 at 1:37 PM
They must only be polling Dems. There is no way his numbers should be that high.
rollthedice on July 2, 2009 at 1:38 PM
Slipping? More like headdive.
upinak on July 2, 2009 at 1:38 PM
Thank y’all for waking up 9 months too late!
SouthernGent on July 2, 2009 at 1:39 PM
more and faster, please.
homesickamerican on July 2, 2009 at 1:39 PM
I think I could give a pretty accurate depiction of the demographics of the 33% who “Strongly Approve,” but I won’t.
Star20 on July 2, 2009 at 1:40 PM
Check out the discrepancy in the overall unemployment numbers that TJ Green caught on the other thread.
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_06052009.htm
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
elduende on July 2, 2009 at 1:40 PM
I am still waiting for when they start polling on the number of Americans who think he is an actual traitor. I put it around 38%, now. I’d also like to see polling on how many think The Precedent is really trying to kill the US. I put that around 45%.
progressoverpeace on July 2, 2009 at 1:41 PM
Is this the same number of people who still have jobs and can buy things? Or are these the people getting Stimulus for their Green companies and profit/loss doesn’t matter?
These are the people still in college/grad school with mum and pop paying the bills?
Stupid people. Took you long enough.
Shocker.
myrenovations on July 2, 2009 at 1:41 PM
Is “poor” as low as it goes?
No “catastrophic” category?
Count to 10 on July 2, 2009 at 1:41 PM
This is so depressing. I’m sorry, but the idea that 42% of the people one sees on a daily basis give this guy good or excellent marks on his economic policies is not “good” news in my view.
As for the “independents”…the idea that dolts who can’t choose between liberty and tyranny and stick with it perpetually sit in the catbird’s seat every election cycle just ticks me off. All Obammy needs to do to get back into their good graces is send them a measly check and promise them a pony for Christmas.
Or better yet, a unicorn.
guntotinglibertarian on July 2, 2009 at 1:42 PM
Icarus falls back down to earth
blatantblue on July 2, 2009 at 1:42 PM
AnninCA on July 2, 2009 at 1:37 PM
You might want to look and see how Quinn fared compared to the 08 results.
Hint: they sucked.
artist on July 2, 2009 at 1:43 PM
Worse. They are living off of educational grants and loans, and expect to get a job with government when they graduate.
Count to 10 on July 2, 2009 at 1:43 PM
Oh and RAS absolutely NAILED the 08 results.
artist on July 2, 2009 at 1:43 PM
Wow, that’s scary. He can’t win reelection without independents. I don’t care how many dead voters ACORN digs up.
And just think. The economy’s still gonna get a lot worse before it has any chance of recovering. His numbers by the fall are gonna be horrendous.
Doughboy on July 2, 2009 at 1:43 PM
B-b-b-b-ut HE QUOTES NIEBUHR!!!!
CDeb on July 2, 2009 at 1:43 PM
I can solve the healthcare problem immediately. These 42% of voters can be removed from life support because they’re clearly braindead.
BuckeyeSam on July 2, 2009 at 1:43 PM
I really hope this isn’t the Republican strategy for winning back 2010… Keep pointing out slipping poll numbers…
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 1:43 PM
Only one solution: A new trillion $$$ stimulus package!
Plus buy a second dog.
Plus blanket the covers of all the news and fashion magazines with Michelle and her recession-proof formula for toned upper arms.
albill on July 2, 2009 at 1:43 PM
I will. Single moms and the “most vulnerable among us’>
guntotinglibertarian on July 2, 2009 at 1:43 PM
Actively destroy the economy and people start to disapprove of it? Who’d have guessed?
Daggett on July 2, 2009 at 1:44 PM
BLACKS are a built-in 15% positive. They could be living under a box and still say, “It’s better than a Bush box” “We love the Obama box!”. So, as much as the press loves to pump up Obama, he’s not that popular.
marklmail on July 2, 2009 at 1:44 PM
And in other news, the Republicans continue their civil war. Details at 10.
Knucklehead on July 2, 2009 at 1:45 PM
You forgot the dead.
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 1:45 PM
And he reads the classic Pakistani poets! In the original Urdu!
guntotinglibertarian on July 2, 2009 at 1:45 PM
Change that from “is” to “might be”, and you might have something there.
Count to 10 on July 2, 2009 at 1:45 PM
Obviously they have to provide an alternative, but why isn’t this a good strategy? Point out the Democrats’ record and promise to offer real change, not the Alinsky kind.
Doughboy on July 2, 2009 at 1:45 PM
given by AP and SweetThangMeggy…
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 1:45 PM
That’s because us oldsters have seen this story before and we know how it ends.
It ends with Bambi being attacked by Thumper.
PackerBronco on July 2, 2009 at 1:45 PM
Obviously, the truth is leaking out somehow and more people are seeing the boy-king for what he really is. Just shows that the Obama-fellating state-run media has to work harder to prop up this miserable executive failure-fest.
How long before Rush gets the blame for Ogabe’s falling numbers?
SKYFOX on July 2, 2009 at 1:46 PM
The other strategery was to tell Independents that we were in fact Democrats.
myrenovations on July 2, 2009 at 1:46 PM
I kept up with whose record was good in the primaries. And then I gave up. Sometimes, the pollsters do make the right adjustments and deliver pretty good results.
Right now? People are in such flux, I think. It makes it hard to weight things.
AnninCA on July 2, 2009 at 1:47 PM
None of these policies will lead anywhere except to misery.
Never in the history of this country has extreme leftism produced prosperity, which will always be the name of the game.
The Dow will drift lower and unemployment will remain high until he cuts tax rates to revive private and corporate spending.
Now the RNC/GOP must put forth an alternative in stark contrast to this mess in 2010. It will be there for the taking.
jjshaka on July 2, 2009 at 1:47 PM
Not to worry, hussein will have acorn,..oops,..c.o.i,..work those polls.
christene on July 2, 2009 at 1:47 PM
Just a guess. Blacks equal 12% or 13% of the population. I’d bet 95% of them “Stongly Approve.”
White liberals in the northeast and California would “Stongly Approve” no matter what he did, as well.
Star20 on July 2, 2009 at 1:47 PM
How about some ideas of how to offer that real change?
8 Repubs voted for Cap-in-the-knee… And now we have Franken (oh Gaia!)
Anyone for Audit the Fed? Oh, that’s right, Hannity is promoting Country Western, Christian Music that points out Obama’s Slipping Poll Numbers…
All I’m saying is that the cons are going to have to put some hard work in to even win back either the House of the Senate in ‘10
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 1:48 PM
If only…
ladyingray on July 2, 2009 at 1:48 PM
Collin Powell has been doing a marvelous job.
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 1:48 PM
No, no. We’re gonna try Compassionate Conservatism. The sheep out there really love alliteration.
guntotinglibertarian on July 2, 2009 at 1:49 PM
Approval ratings are solid among the Getalife and dead Husband Harry Dick demographic…
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 1:49 PM
Oh, yes. How could we forget Compassionate Conservatism…
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 1:50 PM
Yes. That would be a great poll to see. Good correction, Count.
progressoverpeace on July 2, 2009 at 1:51 PM
You will be able to see them all at JACKOOS memorial service.
izoneguy on July 2, 2009 at 1:51 PM
Great catch. Clarity often comes with EMPLOYMENT and PAYING TAXES. That’s why (unless the economy is humming in 2012) this buffoon doesn’t stand a chance.
marklmail on July 2, 2009 at 1:51 PM
The cable broke on the elevator, and you have dropped from the 70th floor to the 62nd floor. You haven’t seen anything yet.
Vashta.Nerada on July 2, 2009 at 1:51 PM
Remember Bush’s approval ratings were slipping… but he still won 2004? Why? Because Kerry was a pvssy and more importantly had nothing to offer…
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 1:51 PM
Does this mean I have to find a new Messiah?
GrayDog on July 2, 2009 at 1:52 PM
United Western Bancorp has reported the sale of mortgaged-backed securities with an unpaid principal balance of $47.3 million of lower tranche mortgage backed securities secured primarily by “option-adjustable-rate” mortgage loans (the “Option ARM Securities”) to an unaffiliated third party for $378,000. That means they are taking a 99% loss.
Folks, the banks are holding this junk on their books at par. Well, that is a fraud and a sham. The truth is the big banks hold billions of this junk on their books and they are insolvent. We need mark to market accounting so investors get an accurate picture. Eventually the truth cannot be denied. I heard Donald Trump on television complaining because even wealthy developers can’t get loans for good projects that will create jobs. The banks are not loaning because they know they are sitting on crap collateral. They need every dime to boost their balance sheets in a bid to survive. Most of them probably won’t make it anyway unless the government is now backstopping all bad bets.
My point, just wait until Obama’s numbers don’t get the benefit of all the market pumping that has been going on since he took office.
flyfisher on July 2, 2009 at 1:52 PM
This is kind of bad news…imagine what Obama will do when he feels the sting of low poll numbers…he’s going to write checks like it’s going out of style.
joeindc44 on July 2, 2009 at 1:52 PM
Amen!
The commercial real estate market is ready to explode and collapse and is going to make the housing crisis look like child’s play.
Of course, the MSM is not covering it. But hey, MJ died.
Knucklehead on July 2, 2009 at 1:53 PM
Too bad Palin can’t count or read this poll.
/shakar
LibTired on July 2, 2009 at 1:54 PM
or they decided to just take the dump because they can. More to come on this next stage, for sure.
AnninCA on July 2, 2009 at 1:54 PM
The problem with that theory is that the “young” aren’t really all that keen on “EMPLOYMENT”: they’d rather collect measly “benefits” and play video games.
And as for taxes, well – thanks largely to GW Bush, way over 50% of the young aren’t paying any.
Employment and taxes are only issues for the “rich”…you, know, the yacht-owning, champagne-guzzling two-income families wallowing in their obscene $75,000 plus incomes.
guntotinglibertarian on July 2, 2009 at 1:54 PM
NEWS FLASH: Obama has just saved or created another 600,000 jobs.
Cicero43 on July 2, 2009 at 1:55 PM
oops…i screwed up that last screen cap. My bad.
guntotinglibertarian on July 2, 2009 at 1:55 PM
How long will those numbers hold up? I suspect they will go into a gradual slide as the job picture worsens. The last report I read said that only 20% of this year’s college graduates had employment when they graduated, compared to 50% for last year’s graduates.
flyfisher on July 2, 2009 at 1:55 PM
While AP snarks off about Conspiracy Theory Nutbag Beck because one of his guests points out that Americans have gone back to sleep…
… we see that the more pain Americans feel, the more they disapprove of Obama. Of course they are being irrational and crazy to blame this on him…
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 1:56 PM
I thought that was due to our scaring the crap out of the voters with our Osama masks and stealing Ohio?
myrenovations on July 2, 2009 at 1:56 PM
Thanks for bringing that up. Now most of the commenters are in a fetal position rocking back and forth drooling and blubbering. Way to kill a good thread;)
Laura in Maryland on July 2, 2009 at 1:56 PM
Must be the group that used the graphic version of the poll.
Limerick on July 2, 2009 at 1:56 PM
As it becomes more obvious that Obama is incapable of the truth, the only transparency is the lies and deception he uses to disguise his intentions for our country.
volsense on July 2, 2009 at 1:58 PM
It’s because things weren’t as bad in 2004 as the drive-bys wanted everyone to believe. Iraq wasn’t going well, but it hadn’t deteriorated to where it did in 2006(right before the surge turned it around). And the economy was in the midst of the boom of 2003-07. The one area where Bush couldn’t really defend himself was the excessive spending, but Kerry had no credibility in that area.
If 2012’s domestic and foreign situations come close to resembling 2004’s, then yes Obama wins reelection in a walk. But that would require unemployment dropping 4 points from where it is right now and preventing Iran from getting a nuke.
Doughboy on July 2, 2009 at 1:58 PM
In the end it really doesn’t matter why they sold the MBS at a 99% loss. What matters is that banks are sitting on worthless collateral while Americans are being told our banking system is on the road to recovery when “they” (the powers that be) know full well it is a sham.
flyfisher on July 2, 2009 at 1:58 PM
And the young aren’t really concerned about what 50 year old cons keep saying: “He’s losing his support, I tell you…”
Current Republican message: Leave the cult of the Obama cuz like everyone else is…
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 1:58 PM
I keep wondering what this waste of skin will do next.
He’s spent trillions and the unemployment numbers are still 9.5%, big surprise/sarc.
He’s taken over the automobile industry, the banking industry, and yet, the banks are still not loaning money, except if you cannot pay it back, and the auto industry still has to pay union leaches.
He’s trying to take over the healthcare industry…why can’t we just HELP OUT the American Citizens that do not have insurance, weed out the illegals and other welfare cheats and make affordable healthcare available to them?
He’s destroying this country for the farce of climate change, formally global warming…
What else can he do? Oh yeah, amnesty to pay back the illegal aliens that voted for him. By then, this will truly be a third world nation.
I hope everyone is up for a fight.
BTW, I have a bunch of liberal friends that are just giggles and happiness over Stuart Smalley as senator….Stupid cannot be fixed.
HornetSting on July 2, 2009 at 1:59 PM
My bad… sorry…
First, I didn’t bring it up… guntoting did ;)
Second, I’m waiting for some loyal Bushist to come on and defend Compassionate Conservatism…
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 2:00 PM
screw the msm
people gon feel the pain
and nothing the msm can do will stop that.
They can’t stop icarus’s fall
blatantblue on July 2, 2009 at 2:00 PM
But he saved GM and Chysler … Didn’t he???
Dire Straits on July 2, 2009 at 2:00 PM
Oh, Wall St. knows. Of that, I’m positive.
AnninCA on July 2, 2009 at 2:00 PM
It depends on what the meaning of “saved” is. I’m still working on “is” though, so I’ll get back to you.
Doughboy on July 2, 2009 at 2:01 PM
You’d be surprized.
Vashta.Nerada on July 2, 2009 at 2:01 PM
Michael Gerson does it on a weekly basis.
myrenovations on July 2, 2009 at 2:02 PM
So essentially, people were comfortable in 2004, so they reelected Bush. If Obama makes his constituents comfortable, they’ll vote for him… Um, isn’t that what the Stimulus is.
All I’m saying is that the Republicans better put their game face on. It’s going to be hard. Like HornetSting said the other night… We are going to see all sorts of freaks crawling out of the word work in ‘10 and ‘12…
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 2:02 PM
It is easy to ignore the current polling data but once the Misery Index has been reincarnated watch out.
fourdeucer on July 2, 2009 at 2:02 PM
what’s scary is that there are that many Americans that won’t put the kool-aid down long enough to hit reality.
katablog.com on July 2, 2009 at 2:03 PM
Ah yeah… because conservatives weren’t compassionate before Bush came along ;)
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 2:04 PM
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 2:02 P
I also think people felt safer under bush than longjohns
blatantblue on July 2, 2009 at 2:04 PM
whoa, flyfisher, that is brutal, if that 1% market value is representative of the value of the other banks’ mortgage assets, they are in deep deep trouble, and more of them are going to fail.
but, wasn’t the purpose of the TARP to give the banks the money to go ahead and sell these worthless mortgages, take the hit to the books, and move on?
james23 on July 2, 2009 at 2:04 PM
He and his minions will turn on the press soon and that will be his downfall. They already have primed that pump.
bloggless on July 2, 2009 at 2:04 PM
Reparations. You know it’s going to happen at some point. The Black Caucus is pushing for it again.
Knucklehead on July 2, 2009 at 2:05 PM
I felt safer under Bush (and I would have under Dole) than Clinton. He still got 2 terms.
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 2:05 PM
The 2010 midterms are about 16 months away, right? Based on current policies, trends, and the backlog of financial disasters queued up I think unemployment will still be high (maybe even higher than now), debt will be soaring, and Uncle Sam will be floundering around internationally like a clown with a bucket on one foot and pants full of cream pie — oh and the Donks will have held Congress for 4 years.
Typically when that happens, the party in power gets HAMMERED in the midterms — especially if they hold House, Senate, and Presidency. They won’t be able to (successfully) blame the Pubbies. So lots and lots of people will show up and vote AGAINST the incumbent – and lots of Obamabots will just stay home (the reverse of 2008).
SunSword on July 2, 2009 at 2:05 PM
At Last!
GrayDog on July 2, 2009 at 2:05 PM
Of course, Upstater is correct on the need for actual policies for 2010 and 2012.
But the polls indicating a nose dive in Independents is instructive. They are not responding to Obama policies.
We know where to go we just need the proper candidates to get there.
myrenovations on July 2, 2009 at 2:05 PM
Yes, and we can all rest easy knowing that he wants to “save” healthcare, too.
bloggless on July 2, 2009 at 2:05 PM
I like to call Reparations, the Stimulus.
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 2:05 PM
I hope they try it
they can kiss their majority bye bye if they do
blatantblue on July 2, 2009 at 2:06 PM
So I’d say, great. Now send out the armies of Republicans to get these Indies on our side…
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 2:06 PM
Stupid hurts.
ladyingray on July 2, 2009 at 2:07 PM
I am growing more and more discouraged every day. I WANT TO WORK. PERIOD. It’s not going to happen under Bozo. And to think we have 3 1/2 more years of this tool.
txag92 on July 2, 2009 at 2:07 PM
Well , if you build your foundation up on pillars of styrofoam , you get what you get.
the_nile on July 2, 2009 at 2:07 PM
Yes and no.
“Slipping” was inevitable — he was at 91% the week after 9/11, 75% the day of the IRaq war, and 65% the day we got Saddam.
His “pre-911″ poll numbers were from 50-60%, and his pre-election poll numbers were from 45-55%, with about 50% exactly near election day. So basically, virtually ALL of the people who liked bush in the summer of 2001 still liked him in the fall of 2004.
WIth Obama, we’ve seen a substantial fall from his “historic” high 60s-January 2009 level already. For Obama to fall to the 40s this soon would be incredible.
http://www.hist.umn.edu/~ruggles/Approval.htm
battleoflepanto1571 on July 2, 2009 at 2:07 PM
You might have a point, but I’m not willing to bet on it.
Upstater85 on July 2, 2009 at 2:09 PM
At Last!
GrayDog on July 2, 2009 at 2:05 PM
That use to be one of my favorite songs. Now it’s ruined.
txag92 on July 2, 2009 at 2:09 PM
Comment pages: 1 2 3 4 Next »