CNN poll of Republicans: Huckabee 22, Palin 21, Romney 21
posted at 5:57 pm on June 2, 2009 by Allahpundit
They poll this every three months, always with the same large-ish margin of error (4.5 points), and thus far always with similar results. Namely, Huck, Mitt, and Sarahcuda bunched together at the head of the pack.
What makes this one noteworthy is how far Palin’s declined since February, when she led with 29 percent. The Levi/Bristol tabloid nonsense is taking its toll.
The poll indicates that 13 percent of Republicans would back former House Speaker Newt Gingrich in 2012, with 6 percent supporting former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. Ten percent of those questioned say they would most likely back someone else…
The poll’s release also comes as Romney’s recent schedule gives the impresison of a man intent on running for the White House again. On Monday, Romney criticized the Obama administration over national security at a speech sponsored by the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank. Friday he was the keynote speaker at a major Republican Party dinner in Virginia. He’s campaigned recently for GOP gubernatorial candidates in Virginia and New Jersey, and he’s a frequent guest on cable news programs and Sunday talk shows.
Asked Sunday about a bid in 2012, Romney told Fox News that “I’m not going to close that door” — although, he added, “I’m not going to walk through it either.”
Who benefited from Palin defectors? Er, not sure: Huck’s actually lost four points himself since the last poll while Mitt, ominously, remains stuck at 21 notwithstanding his financial acumen in an age of recession and his attempts to position himself as a party elder statement. Exit question: If Palin decides not to run, which of the remaining two will pick up the lion’s share of her supporters? The temptation is to say Huck because of her following among conservative Christians but I think that misunderstands the core of Palinmania. Her fans don’t love her because she’s a social con, they love her because they see her as a Jacksonian. And while superficially Huck is closer to that model than an urbane millionaire like Mitt, I think Huck’s reputation for being a big-government conservative, fairly or not, will haunt him going forward. My guess is that Romney will pick up the Palinistas if he runs. Which, let’s face it, he almost certainly will.
Update: Dude?
Blowback
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He’s too high in Saturated Fat. But with the right Sauce Oprah will eat anything.
portlandon on June 2, 2009 at 6:32 PM
Don’t talk to me about FB, woman.
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 6:32 PM
I’m at a loss for words, but some response seems required…
DarkCurrent on June 2, 2009 at 6:33 PM
*Squeezes out a tear for my friend, not fb friend, blatant*
;P
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 6:33 PM
NO HUCKHU AKBAR!!!!!!!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!
If it takes to my last breath I will work like a maniac to defeat Huckaschmuck! I am with one and all that would leave the party. He has too much socialism in him, and I do not trust the man. He will NOT win against Obama!
freeus on June 2, 2009 at 6:34 PM
LOL, yeah. “How will the Republican base take to someone whose father is pro-gay marriage? Hmmmmmmm?” Same with Romney and his Mormon faith, like last go-round. They can savage and destroy ANYONE if we let them.
ddrintn on June 2, 2009 at 6:34 PM
I think Gov. Huckabee having a show on Fox that appears at least 6 times per weekend (apart from promo spots on Hannity and what-all) doesn’t hurt either.
Blaise on June 2, 2009 at 6:34 PM
Ginrich is great but can’t win. The top three can defeat obama after the havoc and destruction he caused.
seven on June 2, 2009 at 6:35 PM
Huckabee is Jimmy Carter’s real clone.
PrezHussein on June 2, 2009 at 6:37 PM
Huck has a solid and active base of evangelical voters and thats all. He’ll always have decent numbers from that group, but he will not be able to expand on that base. He won’t do squat in battleground states.
In 2010 and 2012, we could make headway in some states trending Blue and Purple. Sending Huckabee out to states like NV, NH or MN ain’t going to help. We need a solid conservative, but not someone who reinforces the big-government and the Bible thumping Republican stereotypes.
swamp_yankee on June 2, 2009 at 6:37 PM
except Steadman but I digress….
sven10077 on June 2, 2009 at 6:38 PM
Sure would like to get one of those groups to go jump in a lake.
petunia on June 2, 2009 at 6:39 PM
We need a experienced and successful business mind. Go Mitt.
sinsing on June 2, 2009 at 6:39 PM
No.
Yes.
Although, when he comes out supporting same-sex marriage it could shake things up.
exception on June 2, 2009 at 6:41 PM
The only thing Huck has going for him, is that he’s such a likable guy, personality-wise. Good sense of humor, smart, outgoing. The kinda guy you’d want at your BBQ.
Other than that…ugh.
JetBoy on June 2, 2009 at 6:42 PM
Mitt’s business sense will not be very pertinent by the time Ogabe has nationalized everything…
sven10077 on June 2, 2009 at 6:42 PM
Huck will appeal to no one outside the south. If Palin runs, she’ll peel away a chunk of his voters. His numbers are a mirage b/c of his TV show. Think about it, Palin has done NOTHING nationally for months and she still polls this high. If she was on FOX 24×7 like Huck, Romney, and Newt think where the numbers would be.
If she runs, it’ll come down to establishment (Romney) vs grassroots (Palin).
BTW, Allah, I heard the tool Lawrence O’Donnell was on PMSNBC earlier saying Pawlenty was the best chance for the GOP in 2012. Post that clip for comedy relief. Esp if he was on w/ Thrill Up My Leg Matthews.
davek70 on June 2, 2009 at 6:43 PM
More “ugh”.
What kind of “good businessman” choses politics over…staying in business?
JetBoy on June 2, 2009 at 6:44 PM
No words are needed
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 6:47 PM
That was almost as good as The Obambho Admin saying they were most afraid of Huntsman in ’12. Than appointing him as ambassador to China the next week. You can’t write scripts for dark comedies this good.
portlandon on June 2, 2009 at 6:47 PM
Lots of time yet. Someone completely different might come to the head of the pack by 2012.
Terrye on June 2, 2009 at 6:48 PM
Please not another “establishment” Republican! We certainly don’t need Dole 2.0 or McCain 2.0 in 2012.
Which is why this “Palinista” will never vote for Romney. I’d rather vote Constitution or Libertarian. And don’t get me started on that excreable Huckabee, who is a socialist-in-fundamentalist-clothing.
Norwegian on June 2, 2009 at 6:48 PM
Yeah, like McCain was our best chance last year. It’s like Eisenhower taking suggestions from the Nazi high command. “I would advise Gen Eisenhower NOT to make any crossing on June 6…”
ddrintn on June 2, 2009 at 6:49 PM
Palin is my favorite. But Pawlenty is my sleeper.
By 2012, people will be so sick of Camelot 2.0 and all the pomp, rhetoric, the razzle dazzle and the fancy date nights on the taxpayers dime. The folksy, well heeled and simple Pawlenty will seem like a breath of fresh air
And Pawlenty governs in a Blue-Purple state, so he doesnt have the luxury of governing like Sanford.
swamp_yankee on June 2, 2009 at 6:51 PM
Huck in the lead – the most RINOish of them all! He could win in SC and Florida and Georgia – the GOP has the order of its primaries all wrong so Huch might just have to win those…thats how we got McCain –
Ugh – we need to teach conservatism to voters!
Romney, Palin, Jindal would be my picks.
I would vote for Cheney in a heartbeat! But to win the General we would have to have an attack of an enormous nature – and I dont want Americans to die. No much as I think he would have been better than Bush – he isnt running.
winged on June 2, 2009 at 6:51 PM
If Palin runs, the entire South is hers.
ddrintn on June 2, 2009 at 6:54 PM
So would most. I just wish he had a Stronger heartbeat.
portlandon on June 2, 2009 at 6:55 PM
John McCain is out there, right now, teaching the masses about ‘conservatism’. We need people to show up and shout John McCain down and tell him, he has not clue what it is…….It’s time for real conservatives to take a stand and tell these rinos, in their faces, that we don’t buy into their form of ‘conservatism’, bi-partisan bending over to the democrat’s demands.
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 6:56 PM
If the GOP goes with another RINO like the Huckster or Romney (Who endorsed the RINO Christie in NJ over a real Conservatie) they are doomed.
bill30097 on June 2, 2009 at 6:56 PM
100% agree.
Pawlenty may play well in the midwest, but he has no chance in the south.
davek70 on June 2, 2009 at 6:57 PM
I think McCain’s got a decent idea of what conservatism is
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 6:58 PM
You forgot the /sarc or you are really mad that you can’t figure me out.
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 6:59 PM
I would love a Palin/Pawlenty ticket. I just don’t see anyone beating Palin IMO. If she started campaigning tomorrow, her numbers would shoot up.
deidre on June 2, 2009 at 6:59 PM
Same with the Rocky Mountain West. Palin won a straw poll in my rural Colorado county a few months ago with 91% of the vote.
Norwegian on June 2, 2009 at 7:00 PM
The RINO Allahpundit uses a terribly wrong Communist News Network quote. Romney campaigned for a Democrap wannabe in NJ againt 2 real Republicans. I would have tolerated Romney but that is unforgivable.
bill30097 on June 2, 2009 at 7:01 PM
lol not sarcing
not mad
he’s not the best, but he’s got some idea
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:01 PM
You need to come to China so we can fix you. Something isn’t right, but we’ve got natural remedies for everything. Even JetBoy could get his compressor shaft straightened.
DarkCurrent on June 2, 2009 at 7:01 PM
I don’t like Huckabee and Palin can’t win, so go Romney!
WisCon on June 2, 2009 at 7:02 PM
It’s gonna be Huck. I’ve been saying this for months. Someone hold me.
LibTired (KO) on June 2, 2009 at 7:02 PM
Zai Jian
doesn’t that mean bye or something
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:03 PM
To say the least, my eyebrow went up a la Spock.
SouthernGent on June 2, 2009 at 7:04 PM
Huckamania!Libertarian-mania!Tzetzes on June 2, 2009 at 7:04 PM
Pawlenty is actually a born again christian and very strong proponent of Life. He’s not a firebreather because he cant afford to be in MN, but he is solid. I think he’ll do pretty good in the South if they knew him better and he would be strong in the rust belt and upper midwest.
Just throwing him out as a sleeper.
Palin/Patreaus 2012
swamp_yankee on June 2, 2009 at 7:06 PM
Voted for Huckabee once…won’t do it again unless he’s the GOP frontrunner of course.
Palin needs to lock her daughter up in a convent or something and find a way to get some positive air time. Problem is, as with any primary the rest of them will be busy attacking her and everyone else.
As VP pick, she didn’t have to deal with that aspect. Wonder if that was a positive or a negative for her?
Dr. ZhivBlago on June 2, 2009 at 7:07 PM
That might be a pretty good ticket at that.
ddrintn on June 2, 2009 at 7:07 PM
Depends on the tone
DarkCurrent on June 2, 2009 at 7:09 PM
You speak mandarin?
if so thats badass
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:10 PM
OT–I do not know if this was posted yet but here is Gov. Palin statement on this:
Governor Palin Statement on William Long
“The stories of two very different lives with similar fates crossed through the media’s hands yesterday – both equally important but one lacked the proper attention. The death of 67-year old George Tiller was unacceptable, but equally disgusting was another death that police believe was politically and religiously motivated as well.
William Long died yesterday. The 23-year old Army Recruiter was gunned down by a fanatic; another fellow soldier was wounded in the ambush. The soldiers had just completed their basic training and were talking to potential recruits, just as my son, Track, once did.
Whatever titles we give these murderers, both deserve our attention. Violence like that is no way to solve a political dispute nor a religious one. And the fanatics on all sides do great disservice when they confuse dissention with rage and death.”
Governor Sarah Palin
From SarahPAC.
Thisis called leadership. I haven’t seen any comments by the other two mentioned at all.
Huckabee is two-faced plays nice to your face the stabs you in the back when you are not looking. Has made several disappointing remarks about Gov. Palin.
Romney just does not connect to the people.
Gov. Palin connects with the people and is true to her word. What you see is what you get.
Clyde5445 on June 2, 2009 at 7:10 PM
If Certain People had supported Romney the first time around, we wouldn’t be having this conversation.
Seixon on June 2, 2009 at 7:12 PM
ABO.
Anyone But Obama.
Anyone who criticizes Barry the Childish is preferable to Barry the Childish.
profitsbeard on June 2, 2009 at 7:12 PM
Huckabee is an apologetic wimp.
Mitt is a dud and is known to go comatose now and then (I assume that’s why he was so late in talking about the apology tour).
Palin probably wouldn’t get elected because they’d smear her 24 hours per day.
Next?
Daggett on June 2, 2009 at 7:12 PM
Hello.
Frankly, I’ve had enough of voting for poseurs and guys you’d like to have a beer with.
Give me a straight-laced nerd who has no problems being in the White House for more than 48 hours.
The Ugly American on June 2, 2009 at 7:13 PM
Do not talk about me behind my back.
HISSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS
I’m heading home from work so I’ll get back to you then – with my claws unsheathed.
ladyingray on June 2, 2009 at 7:14 PM
Romney was my favorite out of last year’s field, but he’s now old news.
What would they say? That she’s a serial killer? She has nowhere to go but up, thanks to the overkill.
ddrintn on June 2, 2009 at 7:14 PM
Yup.
The Ugly American on June 2, 2009 at 7:15 PM
Some. It’s a basic requirement outside my apartment.
DarkCurrent on June 2, 2009 at 7:15 PM
awesome
i have a lot of respect for those who learn mandarin. arabic is hard, but nowhere hear as difficult as mandarin
that’s like quantum physics, while arabic is like calculus.
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:17 PM
Oh wow! You’re a math scholar too!
ladyingray on June 2, 2009 at 7:18 PM
Pa
They will smear anyone they are afraid of 24 hours a day. They smear Palin because they fear her. They are afraid of her politically. And they are afraid of her culturally because she blows up their foundation of identity politics.
They were nice to McCain before 10.08 when it looked like he might actually win. They were nice to Jindal before he was heralded as an up and comer. Then they turned him into Kenneth from 30 Rock.
They are being nice to Huck now because they know he is a joke of a national candidate and a stereotypical Republican.
swamp_yankee on June 2, 2009 at 7:19 PM
could easily vote for Cheney, I could vote for Mitt or Palin…Huck, sorry.
Conservative Voice on June 2, 2009 at 7:19 PM
smartass
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:20 PM
My Mandarin is only baisic day-to-day survival level, but I speak Japanese fluently. String Theory is nothing.
DarkCurrent on June 2, 2009 at 7:21 PM
Oh great, the R front runners are Huckabee the televangelist, Palin who goes all deer-in-the-headlights when asked what newspapers she reads and Romney who’s a more accomplished flip flopper than Kerry.
It seems the elected R political gene pool has gone dry. We need to look elsewhere.
edshepp on June 2, 2009 at 7:21 PM
JEEZE
japanese
well, there ya go
thats just as hard as mandarin, right?
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:21 PM
Don’t make me hurt you, blatant. McCain wouldn’t know a conservative if she came up and slapped the stupid out of him.
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 7:22 PM
I’m going to have the two of you locked down in a bunker when I’m in power. Only one will complain.
DarkCurrent on June 2, 2009 at 7:23 PM
Much harder, unless you’re a native Korean speaker.
DarkCurrent on June 2, 2009 at 7:24 PM
I have no quarrel with you, my lady. My cat does, but that is a different story. I got the biggest chuckle when I saw that picture…..how ironic…the cat belches feathers in your house and you still honor him by making him your picture…..hee hee.
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 7:24 PM
CNN???
Liberals know the value of, and feel compelled to, picking the enemy?
Pay no mind.
silverfox on June 2, 2009 at 7:24 PM
Well, think about it
he’s pro life
anti tax
against porkulo nimbus and pork in general
strong defense
yes he’s done some things we all hate, i.e. immigration
and no i didn’t want him as our nominee
but hes decent in my book
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:26 PM
I would sleep soundly every night, knowing that Darth Vader had the country’s back.
I HEART Dick Cheney. Liz too.
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 7:26 PM
wow
yea arabic just has normal characters
idk how you handle all the symbols
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:27 PM
It wouldn’t matter. Once the MSM is finished with whoever else you could come up with, you’d be ready to dump him/her as well.
ddrintn on June 2, 2009 at 7:27 PM
I hope you are right, but I think you underestimate the stupidity of Obama’s followers.
Speedwagon82 on June 2, 2009 at 7:27 PM
John McCain VOTED for the pork bill, my pretty. He talks a good game, but at the end, he’s in the trough with the other piggies.
John McCain was also for shutting down Gitmo.
Strong defense. Nope.
And yes, amnesty obviously gets my feathers ruffled.
Don’t make me come up there and paddle you, young man.
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 7:28 PM
Sweetie, McCain voted against Porkulo-Nimbus Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009
http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=111&session=1&vote=00061
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:31 PM
Allah,
You said yourself, the margin of error is a huge 4.5%. We can’t conclude that there are defectors. All three are statisically tied in both polls. You know this of course…
takeamericabackin10 on June 2, 2009 at 7:31 PM
Hornet, yes he wants to close Gitmo, but I doubt he wants to drop the fight against the mujahideen around the world.
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:32 PM
Honey, only after he VOTED for the one in October, Tarp I. Oh, and suspended his ‘campaign, ie, bend over and allow obama to win’ to run back to Washington DC to help screw the citizens.
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 7:33 PM
Sweetcheeks, I’m talking about porkulo nimbus
not TARP (which wasn’t good dont get me wrong)
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:34 PM
If Sarah runs in 2012, she will WIN period.
She has the grassroots support, charisma, convictions, conservatism, and courage.
If she doesn’t, her supporters will not jump on anybody elses bandwagon in any serious amout of money, time, etc.
The reason is that Mittens can’t beat Obama and Palin’s supporters won’t even bother because Mitt will rule as a moderate even if he won.
Plus, if Mittens loses to Obama in 2012, Sarah will stomp the pack in 2016.
Sapwolf on June 2, 2009 at 7:35 PM
McCain would make:
1) A very nice Senator in a Blue state
2) An okay Senator in a Purple state
3) A lousy Senator in a Red State
4) A pitiful Presidential candidate
The thing that pisses me off most about McCain that he held sway in AZ when AZ was a deep Red Golwater state, but never used the bully pulpit to advance conservativism. Other than liberal and bi-partisan issues, the only things that he got passionate about were Defense and earmarks.
swamp_yankee on June 2, 2009 at 7:35 PM
Blue, we put those detainees in our prisons, we are going to have more crazies coming out of the system, like the one that killed that soldier and the ones that wanted to blow up National Guard planes and temples.
No, he is putting the population in peril and that is not good national defense.
IF the enemy is already here, ie, because of his amnesty agenda or his need for detainees to be in our jails, the rot will come from within.
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 7:36 PM
Jeb Bush-Liz Cheney would be pretty hilarious. If only.
OneGyT on June 2, 2009 at 7:37 PM
Sugarbritches, both had PORK. Does it matter? BTW, I’m from the south, you cannot out ‘butter’ me, honeybuns.
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 7:38 PM
Well that’s assuming we let them into the public.
I doubt any of the mujahids will be dropped into Main Street, USA.
Rather, they’ll be put into Supermax, which to me, is more palatable. They get the golden carpet treatment down in Gitmo.
Moussaoui is in Supamax, as is Padilla.
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:38 PM
Of course both did, but at least he showed some spine with the second one.
Gotta’ give him credit for that at least.
Don’t honeybun me, sugarlips
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:38 PM
The ‘symbols’ are just rote memorization, and there are inherent patterns that help after you get to a certain point. With Japanese the difficult part is the grammar and contextual stuff, which might as well be Martian for English natives. With Chinese you have to deal with the tones, but at least the syntax is roughly similar to English.
DarkCurrent on June 2, 2009 at 7:40 PM
I personally think it is way too early to be worrying about the next campaign.
I think we should be focusing on getting rid of the open primaries. I think campaigns should be limited to 90 days for primaries, 90 days for the general. I think the amount of money being spent on campaigns is criminal. This is all getting really, really old!
Special K on June 2, 2009 at 7:42 PM
There is that pattern stuff with arabic too — totally obnoxious.
As for syntax, it’s rather straightforward
big dog is dog big
I’m glad I don’t have to deal with intonation completely changing the meaning of a word.
Are you planning on studying mandarin further and becoming fluent?
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:43 PM
Romney was at a rally for Chris Christie in NJ last week and only attracted “about 50,” according to the media.
If you recall the Georgia runoff, Romney and Rudy went down and drew crowds in the low hundreds. Stumping for Chambliss, Palin drew thousands.
bw222 on June 2, 2009 at 7:43 PM
Do you mean with the R nomination, or win the presidential election?
DarkCurrent on June 2, 2009 at 7:45 PM
Then stop tossing softballs, dude.
ladyingray on June 2, 2009 at 7:46 PM
Honey, I cannot. McCain spent his entire career rallying against pork, and yet, when it came down to brass tacks, he folded like a lawnchair and voted for pork to be paid by the taxpayers.
Just because he suddenly flip flopped back to being a pork hawk after the fact does nothing for me, sugarbooger.
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 7:46 PM
Yikes!
ladyingray on June 2, 2009 at 7:47 PM
And probably converting our trash into jihadists.
HornetSting on June 2, 2009 at 7:47 PM
I think it was a different mentality during TARP I
It was an atmosphere of panic. As much as I don’t like his decision, I cannot look away from his career against pork, and his vote against Porkulonimbus, bunnyhumps.
MEOW!
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:48 PM
He actually belched the feathers outside in the mulch…thank God. Make me a FB friend – I swear, sister to sister, to protect your identity.
ladyingray on June 2, 2009 at 7:48 PM
Nah — 23 hrs a day isolation.
blatantblue on June 2, 2009 at 7:48 PM
He was campaigning for a Rino
bill30097 on June 2, 2009 at 7:50 PM
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