CNN poll of Republicans: Huckabee 22, Palin 21, Romney 21

posted at 5:57 pm on June 2, 2009 by Allahpundit

They poll this every three months, always with the same large-ish margin of error (4.5 points), and thus far always with similar results. Namely, Huck, Mitt, and Sarahcuda bunched together at the head of the pack.

What makes this one noteworthy is how far Palin’s declined since February, when she led with 29 percent. The Levi/Bristol tabloid nonsense is taking its toll.

The poll indicates that 13 percent of Republicans would back former House Speaker Newt Gingrich in 2012, with 6 percent supporting former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. Ten percent of those questioned say they would most likely back someone else…

The poll’s release also comes as Romney’s recent schedule gives the impresison of a man intent on running for the White House again. On Monday, Romney criticized the Obama administration over national security at a speech sponsored by the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank. Friday he was the keynote speaker at a major Republican Party dinner in Virginia. He’s campaigned recently for GOP gubernatorial candidates in Virginia and New Jersey, and he’s a frequent guest on cable news programs and Sunday talk shows.

Asked Sunday about a bid in 2012, Romney told Fox News that “I’m not going to close that door” — although, he added, “I’m not going to walk through it either.”

Who benefited from Palin defectors? Er, not sure: Huck’s actually lost four points himself since the last poll while Mitt, ominously, remains stuck at 21 notwithstanding his financial acumen in an age of recession and his attempts to position himself as a party elder statement. Exit question: If Palin decides not to run, which of the remaining two will pick up the lion’s share of her supporters? The temptation is to say Huck because of her following among conservative Christians but I think that misunderstands the core of Palinmania. Her fans don’t love her because she’s a social con, they love her because they see her as a Jacksonian. And while superficially Huck is closer to that model than an urbane millionaire like Mitt, I think Huck’s reputation for being a big-government conservative, fairly or not, will haunt him going forward. My guess is that Romney will pick up the Palinistas if he runs. Which, let’s face it, he almost certainly will.

Update: Dude?

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Obama can not win in 2012. If he does can you imagine what his second term would look like?

Do Americans want America to become like France or Sweden?

If Obama wins in 2012 Good bye USA. Welcome to Chinese hegemony in about 2030.

Crux Australis on June 3, 2009 at 1:35 AM

I agree, I really like Romney, Palin ticket. After Obama’s Muslim love affair, being a Morman, would be be the least of our worries, as we dig our way out of this.

Iran having nuclear energy for electricity, and we are made to have windills. This is total BS. We need to get back to basics. America must be able to cut it, drill it, kill it or nuke it. Get back to capitalism; Romney and Palin could do the job…they can articulate this message on the road. We already know the dirty laundry.

Off Topic:

“Cheney is our Churchill”

The HBO special on Churchill, Sunday night, was fantastic and had hubby and myself, crying for this hero that Obama hates. How can you hate Churchill? Unless you’re a Nazi?

luvstotango on June 3, 2009 at 1:38 AM

Ace of Spades blog currently has poll up right now:

Who do you support for the Republican presidential nominee in 2012?

Current standings:

Sarah Palin: 48% 450 votes

Mitt Romney: 18% 172

Bobby Jindal 9% 85

Newt Gingrich 7% 69

Mark Sanford 7% 68

Tim Pawlenty 5% 51

Eric Cantor 4% 35

Mike Huckabee 1% 7

votes cast: 937

technopeasant on June 3, 2009 at 2:01 AM

Huck has a podium on FOX.

If Palin had the same podium on FOX how would her public image change?

The Levi/Bristol tabloid nonsense is taking its toll.

And the M McCain presence. And the running left wing comedy and talk shows. Palin has a steady stream of negatives coming from people working very hard to shape her image before she does.

Romney is getting in the news a bit and he has the advantage of being off Huck’s radar somewhat, while the MSM, the RINOs and the left are focused on Palin

It is heartwarming to see the Left and the progressives RINOs working together on overdrive to stop Palin from becoming familiar to the public on her own terms. It is a new form of bipartisanship

If Palin was that stupid, they would let her kill herself. It is to Palin’s credit they fear her so much they must drown out any sounds from Alaska

entagor on June 3, 2009 at 2:55 AM

entagor on June 3, 2009 at 2:55 AM

I firmly am convinced that Secretary of Defence Gates did not meet with Sarah in Alaska a couple of days ago or that Obama was not seen conversing with Obama in Philadelphia at the Governor’s Conference in December 2008 because the template devised by the Obama war room to destroy Sarah Palin is based on the template unveiled during the 2008 campaign: dumb, not curious, stupid, unintelligent, white trash, right-wing religious fanatic wacko nut job which the Obama war room does not want to do anything to undermine or jeopardize its own strategy.

Thus Obama avoids Sarah, will not speak to her and will not even acknowledge her existence. I predict Obama, the MSM and the entertainment industry will keep coming back to this theme and keep hammering away and hammering away until Sarah proves she is extremely intelligent, competent and savvy or they completely destroy her credibility.

It appears Obama and his allies have not done a very good job at doing the latter after the end of the 2008 campaign. Otherwise Sarah would not still be in the running for POTUS in 2012.

technopeasant on June 3, 2009 at 3:08 AM

If Mike Huckabee only appeals to evangelicals than someone please explain to me why he has won every 2012 poll that has been taken? While you’re at it, also explain to me why he was one of the top choices among Indpendents in the recent Fox Dynamics poll. Not bad for a Bible beater, eh?

Mike Huckabee is for total tax reform (Fair Tax), A+ rating from the NRA, 100% pro-life and pro-family rating, and wants the world’s strongest military. He is the real deal. A conservative with cross over appeal. His favorable ratings spank Romney’s and put Palin’s to shame.

I thought you guys wanted to beat Obama.

No one has answered my original questions yet. (Crickets chirping.)

Iowans Rock on June 3, 2009 at 8:13 AM

I have to say it again.

I will not vote for any ticket that has even a whiff of Huck.

No way, no how.

If that means 4 more years of BO, so be it.

Sinner on June 3, 2009 at 8:36 AM

All of you who say that Huck is is on top because of his national exposure on his television show, radio program, and best selling book are correct. What this means is that his support will only keep expanding over the next three years as he uses this national platform.

You may refer to his stent on tv and radio as just messing around, but I’m sure that’s what Reagan’s critics also said about his media popularity between 1976 and 1980.

Iowans Rock on June 3, 2009 at 8:52 AM

Meanwhile, Pawlenty is preparing to run. I agree that the attraction to Sarah isn’t the same as to Huckabee.

AnninCA on June 3, 2009 at 9:18 AM

I have to say it again.

I will not vote for any ticket that has even a whiff of Huck.

No way, no how.

If that means 4 more years of BO, so be it.

Sinner on June 3, 2009 at 8:36 AM

AS much as I can not stand Huck or his supporters anti-mormon bigotry I would vote for him over BO.
He does have some good points about him.
He can debate and handle the media and give a good speech.
He will go soft on some issues no doubt but on many he will do fine.

kangjie on June 3, 2009 at 9:34 AM

2 words. Gomer Pyle.

Kissmygrits on June 3, 2009 at 9:39 AM

For all those people who say oh if we lose in 2012 then so and so will win in 2016.
By 2016 there will be nothing left to conserve in the dear old usa, in fact if we don’t do serious damage in the 2010 election we are in huge trouble(I’m not just talking about the repubs).
By 2016 at least one the conservative 5 on the supreme court will retire(scalia will be 80 by then). We can’t afford to give them this complete control of everything

kangjie on June 3, 2009 at 9:46 AM




James on June 3, 2009 at 9:57 AM

Huckamania at 22%? Hardly! The best thing that Huckabee could do in politics right now would be to run against Mark Pryor for the Arkansas Senate seat–he could probably win it, since he’s popular in Arkansas.

After Obama’s Muslim love affair, being a Morman, would be be the least of our worries, as we dig our way out of this.

Romney was pilloried in 2008 for his Mormonism, as being part of a “cult” and not being able to win Evangelical votes, but that shouldn’t be a problem in 2012, which is going to be an “it’s the economy, stupid” election. Romney is probably the most articulate and knowlegeable candidate we have on economic issues, and he has been more and more outspoken lately against the Obama Administration’s reckless spending. As the son of the former Governor of Michigan, he can also speak knowledgeably about what needs to be done to revive the auto industry, as opposed to Obama’s caving to the UAW.

In 2008, Romney was also questioned about his conservative credentials after his “moderate” stances as Governor of Massachusetts, but he still has time to solidify his credentials before 2012.

Regarding Sarah Palin, in the long run it’s a GOOD thing for this Levi Johnston / Bristol Palin circus to play itself out NOW, rather than in 2012. Levi Johnston has made a total @$$ of himself on TV, and it’s a sure bet that he will soon be banished from the Palin family, and that Bristol Palin will fall in line behind her mother, and this will be long-since forgotten by 2012. Meanwhile, Palin should get herself re-elected as Governor in 2010, bone up on foreign-policy issues, and be an outspoken advocate for domestic energy development, which is bound to re-surface as an issue, especially if Obama imposes cap-and-trade on CO2.

It’s still VERY early, and another leader could emerge between now and 2012, but Romney does look like a good bet right now. He would probably need to look for a running mate with solid foreign-policy experience.

Steve Z on June 3, 2009 at 9:59 AM

I think Huck’s reputation for being a big-government conservative, fairly or not, will haunt him going forward.

Oh, it’s fair.

Huckamania at 22%? Hardly! The best thing that Huckabee could do in politics right now would be to run against Mark Pryor for the Arkansas Senate seat–he could probably win it, since he’s popular in Arkansas.

I have advocated the same, although I thought he might run against Lincoln. But given her term is up next year and he hasn’t made a sound about running, I guess he isn’t interested, at least not in taking HER on. She is pretty popular with the voters here, although Pryor has the whole family dynasty thing in his favor.

In any event, I tend to agree that Huck’s exposure on TV and radio gives him greater name recognition and therefore is probably more responsible for his higher numbers in these polls than any real understanding of his record or his position on the issues. The same would be said for Mitt and Sarah, who get the lion’s share of the exposure in the MSM as potential 2012 GOP candidates tho. The fact that Mitt’s coverage is largely neutral and Sarah’s is overwhelmingly negative, yet she maintains her competitiveness with other Republicans who aren’t subject to even a fraction of the trashing that she has to endure kind of tells me she’s a stronger candidate than these polls would seem to indicate.

I could have gotten on board with a Mitt/Sarah ticket if it weren’t so probable that Mitt’s camp was responsible for much of the negative coverage of her immediately after the election. I’m not sure I’d like to see her running with someone who could so easily turn on her if it were expedient to do so. She needs to start surrounding herself with people whose first loyalty is to HER.

NoLeftTurn on June 3, 2009 at 10:20 AM

Mitt’s business sense will not be very pertinent by the time Ogabe has nationalized everything…

sven10077 on June 2, 2009 at 6:42 PM

You may be right about that but, at this juncture, Romney would be my pick, for the reasons I cited earlier.

The United States of America requires an “adult” President, and one who was raised with and shares the values, standards, morals and principles, of most Americans.

In is my belief that the next president must completely understand the economics of Capitalism and one who can think and speak, on his feet, and one who is a bona fide Constitutionalist. The last thing the United States needs is a contrarian president with questionable reasoning abilities and dubious roots. Romney fits that bill.

sinsing on June 3, 2009 at 10:22 AM

Final results on the Ace of Spades blog poll last night:

Sarah Palin: 50% 625 votes

Mitt Romney: 18% 222

Bobby Jindal: 9% 112

Mark Sanford: 7% 87

Newt Gingrich: 7% 85

Tim Pawlenty: 6% 69

Eric Cantor: 3% 40

Mike Huckabee: <1% 11

final votes cast: 1251

NB: among conservatives (Ace of Spades is a conservative blog) I believe there is a growing realization that Sarah Palin is a viable Presidential candidate in 2012 if she runs.

technopeasant on June 3, 2009 at 10:24 AM

Neither Huckabee, Palin nor Romney can assert they are ‘the one to beat’ but none of them either can be dismissed at this point either as not a major player or viable. it should be a lot of fun to watch from the sidelines how this unfolds over the summer with three ‘horses’ neck and neck and neck currently.

technopeasant on June 3, 2009 at 10:28 AM

Go Mitt

la.rt.wngr on June 3, 2009 at 10:45 AM

I think having everyone piled up is good. Anyone who gets attention right now is skewered immediately, even by the GOP. *haha

It’s not good to be noticed.

AnninCA on June 3, 2009 at 10:46 AM

Iowans Rock on June 3, 2009 at 8:13 AM

I answered you, but forgot about the links policy. If my comment doesn’t show up, I provided 3 links to polls that Huckabee didn’t win.

Huckabee would be better than Obama. I don’t like him because he comes off as insincere. The Mormon-bashing and “floating cross” ads, showing a campaign ad to reporters that he’d decided not to air, etc. demonstrates (IMO) his inability to connect with people in a genuine and sincere fashion.

But, I’m only one vote. See you in the primaries!

cs89 on June 3, 2009 at 10:55 AM

Palin, Huckabee and Romney? We really need someone else in there.

shick on June 3, 2009 at 11:16 AM

Please, NO Huckabee.

76United on June 3, 2009 at 11:17 AM

Hucks going nowhere. Which is how it should be.
Its like howdy doody for goodness sake.

If the conservatives don’t get behind Romney,and get behind him EARLY– then they/we deserve everything we get.

Handel on June 3, 2009 at 11:44 AM


thats it.

Handel on June 3, 2009 at 11:45 AM

Just checking- did both my linked comments disappear?

cs89 on June 3, 2009 at 2:03 PM

*Peeks head out of bushes*

*looks at Republican favorites*

*shrugs shoulders at Republicans repeated stupidity*

*walks back into wilderness*

With Palin or Huck the party will continue to be a joke. With Romney we will just lose because there are too many mormomhaters, the same reason why Flake will never go as far as he deserves.

LevStrauss on June 3, 2009 at 2:49 PM

Her fans don’t love her because she’s a social con, they love her because they see her as a Jacksonian.

Yeah those moose chili commercials really made me think of a war hero that hates central banks.

LevStrauss on June 3, 2009 at 2:52 PM

Who are these republicans they keep polling? Who watches CNN anymore anyway?

rollthedice on June 3, 2009 at 4:01 PM

LevStrauss on June 3, 2009 at 2:52 PM

Think “man/woman of the people” and personal attacks on family by political enemies, emphasis on individual liberty, fiscal discipline, etc.

cs89 on June 3, 2009 at 4:15 PM