Nothing’s definitive yet, especially given Toomey’s head start on fundraising, but when you’ve got top dogs in the NRSC wondering aloud in front of reporters whether he stands a chance against Specter, it’s safe to say things are in flux.

“I don’t think there is anybody in the world who believes he can get elected senator there,” said Sen. Orrin Hatch, the vice chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee.

Asked if the NRSC would back Toomey, Hatch said, “I don’t think so” and that the party should look for “someone who can win there.”…

Hatch later equivocated and said, “I’m not saying he can’t win – nobody gave me a chance when I ran.”…

On Wednesday, Cornyn said he didn’t know if Toomey would be the “only candidate” or the “strongest candidate” in the GOP primary.

“It’s too early to endorse,” Cornyn said.

Funny, it wasn’t too early to endorse Specter over Toomey a few weeks ago. The logical choice if they go for a challenger is Tom Ridge, but Ridge hasn’t held office in Pennsylvania since 2001, long before the state party began to bleed moderates. Would a pro-choice Republican, even with his credentials, stand a chance against Toomey? Let’s take your temperature on this. Assume that Ridge would be a 2-1 underdog against Specter in the general and Toomey would be 10-1. Should Ridge jump in to give the party a better chance of winning the seat or should he stay out so we can take our chances on the pro-life longshot? Food for thought from JPod while you decide: “Politics is not about casting the easy vote for the person you admire. It’s really about choosing the least bad alternative.”