Open thread: Polls close in NY-20; Update: Murphy by 65 votes? Update: Thousands of absentees

posted at 9:28 pm on March 31, 2009 by Allahpundit

The boss is spot on: If we lose, it means nothing, and if we win, it means everything. This is Gillibrand’s district, which used to be solid red until she stole a victory there a few years ago by pretending to be a Blue Dog. The question is whether bailout/stimulus fatigue will drive it back into our column or whether The One — who finally endorsed the Democrat a few days ago — can keep it blue. More background here from MKH, noting that Murphy is now a slight favorite to win after trailing early on by 16 points. Jim Tedisco, the Republican, tried to make up the difference yesterday by campaigning through the night. It feels like Groundhog Day at this point. Will the GOP see its shadow or we will have six more years of political winter?

I don’t want to get people too excited, but if Tedisco pulls this out we might just be in for a humpbot cameo.

Update: Live results here. With 206 of 610 precincts reporting, Tedisco leads by four.

Update: Dave Weigel snarks, “Jim Tedisco’s ability to blow a 20-point lead proves that the GOP is back, baby.”

Update: With 505 of 610 precincts reporting, it’s Tedisco by … less than one percent.

Update: With all 610 precincts reporting, it’s Murphy 77,344, Tedisco 77,279. Are there 66 absentee ballots out there for the GOP? Should only take us a few weeks and, perhaps, a long court battle to find out!

Needless to say, there shall be no humpbot tonight.

Chocolate Bunny Kill

Update: There won’t be a winner for a long, long time.

With 100 percent of precincts reporting, Murphy had 77,344 votes to Tedisco’s 77,279. Somewhere between 6,000 and 10,000 military and absentee ballots remain uncounted, according to the Associated Press, and overseas absentee ballots will continue be accepted until April 13. In short, no winner will be declared any time soon.


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hawkdriver on April 1, 2009 at 1:32 AM

Danger on April 1, 2009 at 12:56 AM

MB4 on April 1, 2009 at 1:07 AM

It is because of men and women in uniform like yourselves
that we have the Freedom to express our thoughts, opinions,and enjoy the lifestyles we have.

Thank you.

Baxter Greene on April 1, 2009 at 1:42 AM

MB4 on April 1, 2009 at 1:07 AM

It is because of men and women in uniform like yourselves
that we have the Freedom to express our thoughts, opinions,and enjoy the lifestyles we have.

Thank you.

Baxter Greene on April 1, 2009 at 1:42 AM

Your welcome but I last wore the uniform, well, let’s just say it was quite a while ago and leave it at that.

MB4 on April 1, 2009 at 1:45 AM

OK. Who broke the internets this time?

It wasn’t me!

Loxodonta on April 1, 2009 at 1:35 AM

Everyone should make sure they have the patch for Confiker from Microsoft. Macs don’t have to worry.

msmveritas on April 1, 2009 at 1:45 AM

msmveritas on April 1, 2009 at 1:45 AM

Thanks. I’m Catholic and I’m ready to feel guilty about practically anything, practically anytime.

But not this time.

Loxodonta on April 1, 2009 at 1:48 AM

Dude, the new HUGE Hot Air logo at the top is WEAK.

This an April Fool’s joke? It’s not so easy on the eyes. Makes me want full rss articles even more.

iamse7en on April 1, 2009 at 1:52 AM

Dude, the new HUGE Hot Air logo at the top is WEAK.

iamse7en on April 1, 2009 at 1:52 AM

You don’t think bigger projects more of an alpha male image?

Loxodonta on April 1, 2009 at 2:04 AM

Say, you don’t think the format being temporarily broken and the big new logo have anything to do the PJM ads going away and being replaced with new ads, do you?

Karl on April 1, 2009 at 2:11 AM

I dunno. I have an ad blocker.

iamse7en on April 1, 2009 at 2:14 AM

Thanks. I’m Catholic and I’m ready to feel guilty about practically anything, practically anytime.

But not this time.

Loxodonta on April 1, 2009 at 1:48 AM

LOL, Catholic guilt is tough to shake I know. It looks like they were messing with the page here, so mystery solved. I had just read over at AoSHQ about the Confliker worm threat for April Fools Day so I thought I would do a public service announcement.

msmveritas on April 1, 2009 at 2:17 AM

As to your deployment and your family, you all will be in many people’s prayers. I wish you success and a safe and whole return.

Loxodonta on April 1, 2009 at 1:16 AM

It is because of men and women in uniform like yourselves
that we have the Freedom to express our thoughts, opinions,and enjoy the lifestyles we have.

Thank you.

Baxter Greene on April 1, 2009 at 1:42 AM

Thanks for the kind words and especially the prayers,

Good Night all

Danger on April 1, 2009 at 2:19 AM

Catholic guilt is tough to shake I know.

msmveritas on April 1, 2009 at 2:17 AM

Nope. It’s really easy to shake.

Every day.

Loxodonta on April 1, 2009 at 2:30 AM

Razor thin, or probably not.

SouthernGent on April 1, 2009 at 3:19 AM

Given the absentee ballots Tedisco should win the vote. Of course, if he does not win by enough to avoid a recount, well, we all know how *good* the dims are at recounts.

MB4 on April 1, 2009 at 3:33 AM

we all know how *good* the dims are at recounts.

MB4 on April 1, 2009 at 3:33 AM

It’s the count that counts!

Hopefully our guy has more on the ball in terms of recount defense than Coleman did. Yeesh, we’re dealing with soulless sleazeballs, prepare for the worst and be ready to fight.

Maquis on April 1, 2009 at 4:59 AM

Are She-Hulk references okay? I know Aunt Esther is off-limits.

[Jim Treacher on April 1, 2009 at 2:45 AM]

Darn right about Aunt Esther. I always liked her.

Dusty on April 1, 2009 at 6:27 AM

So, it will be months before we know who won this thing?

I wonder how many more votes the Democrats will find under a sink somewhere.

Terrye on April 1, 2009 at 7:17 AM

What the hell is the matter with people? After three months of watching obama shove our country down the toilet with his fist, who in their right mind is going to continue to support libcom policies? I guess half of the voters in NY are still out of their right minds.

ErinF on April 1, 2009 at 7:24 AM

Are She-Hulk references okay? I know Aunt Esther is off-limits.

My husband refers to her as Ape Woman. He’s the antithesis of political correctness. I just call her Beullah.

ErinF on April 1, 2009 at 7:27 AM

Nascar, meth and living in tin boxes on wheels changes people. Good thing for Mexicans, we don’t need them to dig our ditches any more.

capitulus on April 1, 2009 at 6:59 AM

The Judge Smails award for effete lib snobbery goes to….

pretty funny the race card gets blind at your pap….

sven10077 on April 1, 2009 at 7:37 AM

Nope, Hot Air definitely doesn’t tolerate racism on the part of its posters. Calling the first lady an ape is now just “politically incorrect.”

DeathToMediaHacks on April 1, 2009 at 7:37 AM

My husband refers to her as Ape Woman. He’s the antithesis of political correctness. I just call her Beullah.

ErinF on April 1, 2009 at 7:27 AM

It’s surly racist rednecks like you and your husband that makes having BHO as president even more satisfying. Now go off and clean your trailer. Lord knows it needs it.

capitulus on April 1, 2009 at 7:38 AM

Oooh, a Star Wars expert. Survey says you haven’t gotten laid since the first Bush administration.

As opposed to a guy who’s never seen a girl naked, let alone gotten laid?

Red Cloud on April 1, 2009 at 7:48 AM

sven10077 on April 1, 2009 at 7:41 AM

If your goal is to be as classy as the people you called “moonbats” “insane” “froth mouthed” “deranged” and “unpatriotic” you’ve done it, congrats!

DeathToMediaHacks on April 1, 2009 at 7:51 AM

Oooh, a Star Wars expert. Survey says you haven’t gotten laid since the first Bush administration.

capitulus on April 1, 2009 at 7:46 AM

“guilty as charged”…

if by “1st Bush administration” you mean last evening….

don’t worry though Crapitalist we are all about to get laid by the DC wienie…

sven10077 on April 1, 2009 at 7:51 AM

DeathToMediaHacks on April 1, 2009 at 7:51 AM

a person who remains within a failing paradigm is a “special Olympian*” me if Kos has set the “new tone” of “what works” I’ll thump him in spades….

*since it has been established by Chicago Jesus that Special Olympians are “sub par and all

sven10077 on April 1, 2009 at 7:53 AM

As opposed to a guy who’s never seen a girl naked, let alone gotten laid?

Red Cloud on April 1, 2009 at 7:48 AM

Hey, I saw Nailin Palin. President Sarkosy and I give it 2 thunbs up – up where I’m not at liberty to divulge.

capitulus on April 1, 2009 at 7:53 AM

Hey, I saw Nailin Palin. President Sarkosy and I give it 2 thunbs up – up where I’m not at liberty to divulge.

capitulus on April 1, 2009 at 7:53 AM

San Fran Nan is speaker of the house and Barney Frank revered…

you can tell us what tickling your own duodenum is like Crappy…

sven10077 on April 1, 2009 at 7:57 AM

Hey, I saw Nailin Palin. President Sarkosy and I give it 2 thunbs up – up where I’m not at liberty to divulge.

Ooh, a porno, that’s the pinnacle of your naked ladies experience?

Failboat.

Red Cloud on April 1, 2009 at 7:58 AM

o/t I just got a request for a donation from Tedisco. What can more money at this point do for him? Don’ they just have to count the absentee ballots?

ctmom on April 1, 2009 at 8:00 AM

o/t I just got a request for a donation from Tedisco. What can more money at this point do for him? Don’ they just have to count the absentee ballots?

ctmom on April 1, 2009 at 8:00 AM

he needs to lawyer up since Ogabe’s Secret Squirrel friends have acorned the hell out of the election unless I miss my guess.

sven10077 on April 1, 2009 at 8:05 AM

sven10077 on April 1, 2009 at 8:05 AM

Okey Dokey, sounds like a good investment.

ctmom on April 1, 2009 at 8:14 AM

he needs to lawyer up since Ogabe’s Secret Squirrel friends have acorned the hell out of the election unless I miss my guess.

sven10077 on April 1, 2009 at 8:05 AM

I hate to say this, but that’s probably going to be the pattern from here on out for the foreseeable future. Remember the libbie credo: The ends justifies the means–no matter how many people are hurt…no matter how many lives are ruined.

Matt Helm on April 1, 2009 at 8:15 AM

Ugh, so close! Well, it’s still a good sign.

misslizzi on April 1, 2009 at 8:25 AM

Your welcome but I last wore the uniform, well, let’s just say it was quite a while ago and leave it at that.

MB4 on April 1, 2009 at 1:45 AM

Whether it was yesterday or 20 years ago,you still served
and it is much appreciated.

Baxter Greene on April 1, 2009 at 8:25 AM

Matt Helm on April 1, 2009 at 8:15 AM

If they try the “ballots in the trunk” bs again, surely the media will call them on it! Surely?

ctmom on April 1, 2009 at 8:26 AM

capitulus on April 1, 2009 at 7:53 AM

I watched Nailin Capitulus’s mama…was surprised to see that she had a dick she likes to stick in your mouth…

RepubChica on April 1, 2009 at 8:29 AM

Ugh, so close! Well, it’s still a good sign.

misslizzi on April 1, 2009 at 8:25 AM

Although Riehl makes a pretty good point, this should have been an election that Tedesco should have run away with–the GOP outnumbers the Dems by tens of thousands of votes. I think Riehl has a valid contention in that he argues that the GOP has lost touch with the people. The GOP needs to reconnect with that surging mass of us who are going to tea parties, who are discontent with the growing weight of government in our lives, and who are sick and tired of being told what to do and when to do it by a bunch of elitist twits who think they know what’s best for us.

Matt Helm on April 1, 2009 at 8:29 AM

How’s the lovely morning going today at the PJ’s Capitulus? Fried chicken sizzlin’ in the grills yet with Mos Dumb playin’ in the background? Go out and rob anyone today for your rent?

RepubChica on April 1, 2009 at 8:32 AM

If they try the “ballots in the trunk” bs again, surely the media will call them on it! Surely?

ctmom on April 1, 2009 at 8:26 AM

The one thing about the Democrats that does not shock me anymore is their audacity and effrontery. They genuinely believe that the law does not apply to them. They’ve ditched the Founding Fathers and the Constitution and have returned to Absolutism and their version of Divine Right.

Matt Helm on April 1, 2009 at 8:33 AM

What the hell is the matter with people? After three months of watching obama shove our country down the toilet with his fist, who in their right mind is going to continue to support libcom policies? I guess half of the voters in NY are still out of their right minds.

ErinF on April 1, 2009 at 7:24 AM

It’s gonna take time. We’re already seeing a conservative revival in this country with the tea parties and the skyrocketing ratings for FoxNews and Rush(thanks, Barry!). Even the GOP is starting to get it.

But the last ones to jump on board are always the American people. Call it reluctance. Call it ignorance. Call it denial. But they’ll cling to every last bit of hope that Obama wasn’t a disastrous mistake even when the evidence is staring them right in the face.

Give it time. His numbers have shown some slippage and that trend is likely to continue.

Doughboy on April 1, 2009 at 8:42 AM

Close race… In comes ACORN and a team of community thugs. This race will go to the thugs, as laws don’t apply to Liberals.

Keemo on April 1, 2009 at 8:42 AM

Is this Republican fool actually going to lose this eat? In a state where taxes are about to be higher than California, where the governor is unpopular, where Wall Street and all it’s bailed out banks reside? How could this one slip away from him?

The absentee ballots should benefit him, considering his considerable early lead and that the military tends to go for the Republican, but the fact that it is so close is embarassing and almost ensures another weak willed and unreliable fiscal conservative in the house.

Daemonocracy on April 1, 2009 at 9:01 AM

Somewhere between 6,000 and 10,000 military and absentee ballots remain uncounted

Surely our GIs will put Tedisco over the top…?

jgapinoy on April 1, 2009 at 9:04 AM

Didn’t his lead drop after he dissed Rush?

rollthedice on April 1, 2009 at 9:33 AM

Will one not drop out like sore loser Norm?

The lawyers are loving it.

getalife on April 1, 2009 at 9:50 AM

Tedisco could win this…

therightwinger on April 1, 2009 at 9:53 AM

Will one not drop out like sore loser Norm?

The lawyers are loving it.

getalife on April 1, 2009 at 9:50 AM

Dow 7,510.39 -98.53 (-1.29%)
NASDAQ 1,500.06 -28.53 (-1.87%)
S&P 785.78 -12.09 (-1.52%)

sven10077 on April 1, 2009 at 9:59 AM

The DCCC’s Chris Van Hollen said it best:

“From 21 points down to securing a majority of the vote tonight, congratulations to Scott Murphy who ran an extraordinary campaign focused on his record as a successful businessman who helped to create jobs and his strong support for President Obama’s economic recovery act. As votes continue to be counted, we’re confident that Scott Murphy will expand his lead.

“Scott Murphy’s strong showing in this district where Republicans outnumber Democrats by more than 70,000 represents a rejection of the obstructionist agenda and scare tactics that have become the hallmark of House Republicans.”

Looks like the dem will not be a sore loser like Norm.

getalife on April 1, 2009 at 10:02 AM

Of course, your leader telling New York to drop dead did not help.

getalife on April 1, 2009 at 10:07 AM

getalife on April 1, 2009 at 9:50 AM
getalife on April 1, 2009 at 10:02 AM
getalife on April 1, 2009 at 10:07 AM

Do you have a troll pass for the trollway or do you pay as you go through?

carbon_footprint on April 1, 2009 at 10:08 AM

Do you have a troll pass for the trollway or do you pay as you go through?

carbon_footprint on April 1, 2009 at 10:08 AM

Which part of freedom do you not understand?

getalife on April 1, 2009 at 10:17 AM

Which part of freedom do you not understand?

getalife on April 1, 2009 at 10:17 AM

Let’s see, I understand the free, with thanks to our troops, and I understand the dom (dumb) with thanks to you and your comments.

carbon_footprint on April 1, 2009 at 10:20 AM

Didn’t Gillbrand win this by 28%?

therightwinger on April 1, 2009 at 10:25 AM

Didn’t Gillbrand win this by 28%?

therightwinger on April 1, 2009 at 10:25 AM

shhh don’t harsh their mellow…

sven10077 on April 1, 2009 at 10:39 AM

The closeness of these races is starting to freak me out a little. You start getting to the “what are the odds of that happening…”

Count to 10 on April 1, 2009 at 10:47 AM

The closeness of these races is starting to freak me out a little. You start getting to the “what are the odds of that happening…”

Count to 10 on April 1, 2009 at 10:47 AM

That implies it is a game of chance…

were I blessed with Soros’ money I’d start cross referencing the voting rolls with the obituaries and see how many dead people were “so concerned I had to vote”….

The donks have ACORN to make EVERY race within striking distance forever….

the GOP has to win 60% or more of the vote to be safe.

sven10077 on April 1, 2009 at 10:49 AM

Wonder when all of those “uncounted” ballots from the Dem districts will start showing up??? 5..4..3..

Dire Straits on April 1, 2009 at 11:08 AM

Didn’t Gillbrand win this by 28%?
therightwinger on April 1, 2009 at 10:25 AM

Point made. Gillibrand won by a significant margin just a few months ago so this election represents a major shift in voter attitude.
For the record: http://www.elections.state.ny.us/NYSBOE/elections/2008/General/USCongress08.pdf
Scroll down to the 20th Congressional District.

diogenes on April 1, 2009 at 11:18 AM

Will one not drop out like sore loser Norm?

The lawyers are loving it.

getalife on April 1, 2009 at 9:50 AM

Why the hell is it when a Republican is excersizing his constitution rights to a fair election, he is a sore loser, and when a loser tax and spend envirowacko Gore does it it’s called stealing an election?

UNREPENTANT CONSERVATIVE CAPITOLIST on April 1, 2009 at 11:31 AM

DeathToCapitalistPigs on April 1, 2009 at 7:37 AM

Your snivelling is hilarious.

Jim Treacher on April 1, 2009 at 1:05 PM

Hey, the artistic expression is better than a urine-dunked cross.

CynicalOptimist on April 1, 2009 at 2:34 PM

Apparently after a correction, the lead is down to 25 now. And that’s not factoring in the absentee ballots.

Doughboy on April 1, 2009 at 4:20 PM

Doughboy on April 1, 2009 at 4:20 PM

I wondered if anyone else had heard this.

ladyingray on April 1, 2009 at 4:22 PM

It’s surly racist rednecks like you and your husband that makes having BHO as president even more satisfying. Now go off and clean your trailer. Lord knows it needs it.

capitulus on April 1, 2009 at 7:38 AM

Behold the lefty love for the masses.

Your kind made having Dubya in there for two terms all the more satisfying. :)

ddrintn on April 1, 2009 at 5:46 PM

Apparently after a correction, the lead is down to 25 now. And that’s not factoring in the absentee ballots.

Doughboy on April 1, 2009 at 4:20 PM

That is correct:

The Saratogian

Total 610/610 Murphy 77,217 Tedisco 77,192

KittyLowrey on April 1, 2009 at 10:43 PM

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