Open thread: Polls close in NY-20; Update: Murphy by 65 votes? Update: Thousands of absentees
posted at 9:28 pm on March 31, 2009 by Allahpundit
The boss is spot on: If we lose, it means nothing, and if we win, it means everything. This is Gillibrand’s district, which used to be solid red until she stole a victory there a few years ago by pretending to be a Blue Dog. The question is whether bailout/stimulus fatigue will drive it back into our column or whether The One — who finally endorsed the Democrat a few days ago — can keep it blue. More background here from MKH, noting that Murphy is now a slight favorite to win after trailing early on by 16 points. Jim Tedisco, the Republican, tried to make up the difference yesterday by campaigning through the night. It feels like Groundhog Day at this point. Will the GOP see its shadow or we will have six more years of political winter?
I don’t want to get people too excited, but if Tedisco pulls this out we might just be in for a humpbot cameo.
Update: Live results here. With 206 of 610 precincts reporting, Tedisco leads by four.
Update: Dave Weigel snarks, “Jim Tedisco’s ability to blow a 20-point lead proves that the GOP is back, baby.”
Update: With 505 of 610 precincts reporting, it’s Tedisco by … less than one percent.
Update: With all 610 precincts reporting, it’s Murphy 77,344, Tedisco 77,279. Are there 66 absentee ballots out there for the GOP? Should only take us a few weeks and, perhaps, a long court battle to find out!
Needless to say, there shall be no humpbot tonight.
Update: There won’t be a winner for a long, long time.
With 100 percent of precincts reporting, Murphy had 77,344 votes to Tedisco’s 77,279. Somewhere between 6,000 and 10,000 military and absentee ballots remain uncounted, according to the Associated Press, and overseas absentee ballots will continue be accepted until April 13. In short, no winner will be declared any time soon.
Blowback
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Should have run a more conservative RINO. This one tastes too much like Coke.
Should have run someone who embraced Limbaugh and ran on an “Apocalypse Now” platform.
HondaV65 on March 31, 2009 at 10:16 PM
Exactly like Chicago
Knucklehead on March 31, 2009 at 10:16 PM
If it’s close ACORN will swing it for the dem. How can we even call this a democracy anymore. I have lost faith that we have honest elections anymore.
petunia on March 31, 2009 at 10:16 PM
down 250…
begin the exodus to Texas…
phreshone on March 31, 2009 at 10:16 PM
Delaware ended up being a 50/50 draw.
Notorious GOP on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
3 precincts left in Saratoga. Murphy up now.
BardMan on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
607/610 precincts reporting
Dem 76,573
Repub 76,231
All of Columbia is in. More from Saratoga remaining, that favored Tedisco.
Enoxo on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
damn
76573 to 76321 in favor of the Demobot
Sekhmet on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
oh..well nevermind…looks like he’s not even going to pull out the first ballot even.
AUINSC on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
I know I always find a bunch of votes in my trunk after leaving my polling place when the Republican candidate is ahead. It is like magic or something.
18-1 on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
So they know how many votes to add to their count.
WashJeff on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
Tedisco by 30….19 precincts to report, 9 in heavy Murphy vs 10 in heavy Tedisco. Scary stuff.
malan89 on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
its over
Amadeus on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
Murphy by 250 and its almost over.
rob verdi on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
Murphy up by Columbia is in.
Chekote on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
That looks like it, folks.
Three precincts left and 200 votes down.
Steele had better start praying for a favorable recount.
KingGold on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
Scratch that. Refresh fail.
malan89 on March 31, 2009 at 10:17 PM
just 3 precincts left and they’re in saratoga. He could easily make up 250 in that district.
Notorious GOP on March 31, 2009 at 10:18 PM
607/610 precincts
D= 76,573
R= 76,321
Loxodonta on March 31, 2009 at 10:18 PM
Down by 250 all saratoga
WashJeff on March 31, 2009 at 10:18 PM
Democrat precincts report later, because they need to know how many votes to deliver.
joe_doufu on March 31, 2009 at 10:18 PM
We should fire Steele and hire Rove….
we also need to throw the donk games back into their own faces…
in the end the GOP needs to get serious about the small ticket races at the township, county, state, and local levels….
sven10077 on March 31, 2009 at 10:18 PM
But the three remaining precincts are in Saratoga, an area he’s doing good in. It can still happen!
Micheal on March 31, 2009 at 10:18 PM
Or in MN’s case, to “find in their cars”.
malan89 on March 31, 2009 at 10:18 PM
Can we please stop blaming every loss on ACORN? The polls showed it was almost even.
Speedwagon82 on March 31, 2009 at 10:18 PM
Drudge has Team Republican,only
up by 102 votes?
canopfor on March 31, 2009 at 10:18 PM
Humpbot denied ???
elgeneralisimo on March 31, 2009 at 10:19 PM
Not only could he make it up in Saratoga, there’s still absentee ballots to be counted.
This could end up being another Coleman-Franken election, which will be disputed for months afterward.
teke184 on March 31, 2009 at 10:19 PM
Actually, the classic was Florida 2000.
I remember thinking I should hit the sack with Bush up by 50K and 95% or so of the precincts reporting – and being amazed at the next hour or so as the remaining precincts came in.
18-1 on March 31, 2009 at 10:19 PM
Meanwhile, it looks like the end is nigh for Norm Coleman. But anyway, enjoy your hip-hop victory.
capitulus on March 31, 2009 at 10:19 PM
Nooooo, to many California immigrants here already!
Vigilante on March 31, 2009 at 10:19 PM
The peoples gets what the peoples wants and apparently the peoples of New York want to follow Cali into oblivion with Minnesota right behind.
The Southern Free States are starting to look like a fine place for relocation.
Bishop on March 31, 2009 at 10:19 PM
Murphy ahead by 252 with only 3 precincts left in a county that favors Tedisco. Recounts and court coming up.
forest on March 31, 2009 at 10:19 PM
goes back to the 1800s….
sven10077 on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
No matter how this ends tonight, this thing won’t be over for months.
malan89 on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
Why is the importance of this race being overemphasized so much. It is neither a bellwether, a referendum on Obama or anything else. 2010? Now that WILL be a referendum.
echosyst on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
10:13 p.m. UPDATE: Wow, just got a lot closer. With 591 out of 610 precincts reporting, Tedisco leads 74,251 to 74,221 — a mere 30 vote lead!
Lance Murdock on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
Which side has more funds for lawyers?
sherry on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
from NRO-campaign spot
Lance Murdock on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
Murphy’s up now; ACORN must be digging those ballots out of attics and poll worker’s car trunks as we speak.
Midas on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
2k military absentee votes to be counted.
canditaylor68 on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
Rethuglicans are a joke. Theres no way they can win this. Democrats have both the black and Hispanic vote + the liberal vote also. The bigot vote is not enough to override
nice343 on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
Tedisco wins, expect recount.
bilups on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
Rove destroyed the Republican party with his big government politics.
Chekote on March 31, 2009 at 10:21 PM
Lance Murdock on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
ancient history
go to
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2009/by_county/NY_US_House_0331.html?SITE=NYSAR&SECTION=POLITICS
CK MacLeod on March 31, 2009 at 10:21 PM
You’re behind the times, man.
Tedisco is down by 250 with 3 precincts to go.
KingGold on March 31, 2009 at 10:21 PM
Overheard in the Dem precints: “Just keep counting until we win!”
Midas on March 31, 2009 at 10:21 PM
this is sickening and a waste of time and to think I still had faith in America. Peace out. and Trolls, “you won” – eat it with your porridge.
seesalrun on March 31, 2009 at 10:21 PM
Crapitulus it just means the newsies will have to admit that the donks have held congress for the last two and a half years….
wow a Donk won in New York with a “coincidentally late reporting stronghold”…..
“stop the press”
sven10077 on March 31, 2009 at 10:21 PM
Perhaps one simple election reform to try and enact – demand that *no* precinct results can be reported until *all* are counted.
Presuming Democrat precincts are just bad at math, it will delay results a little bit, but it would greatly reduce the appearance of impropriety…
18-1 on March 31, 2009 at 10:21 PM
Tedisco down 81, one precinct left.
pmanley on March 31, 2009 at 10:21 PM
Yeah…and you forgot to mention the ‘dead’ vote and the ‘persons from a paralell dimension’ vote..that puts your guy way over the top.
AUINSC on March 31, 2009 at 10:22 PM
down 81 with one precinct to go
phreshone on March 31, 2009 at 10:22 PM
Tedisco down 80 with 1 precinct left.
This one’s *DEFINITELY* going to a recount.
teke184 on March 31, 2009 at 10:22 PM
609/610 precincts reporting
Dem 77,208
Repub 77,127
Enoxo on March 31, 2009 at 10:22 PM
Taking a while for the last three. The election judges must have parked far away.
WashJeff on March 31, 2009 at 10:22 PM
609/610 precincts
D= 77,208
R= 77,127
Loxodonta on March 31, 2009 at 10:22 PM
yeah i just noticed
Lance Murdock on March 31, 2009 at 10:22 PM
Note how the person that has to cast thing in racial terms is calling *other folks* ‘bigot’?
LOL
Midas on March 31, 2009 at 10:22 PM
murphy by 80 with 1 precinct left
doug1981 on March 31, 2009 at 10:22 PM
They have the black, hispanic, and liberal votes! Oh noez! They’ve only had those for, uh, years. “The bigot vote”? This from the party of Robert Byrd? Really?
Did you just come here to spurt age-old lefty talking points? At least come up with some new attempts at insults.
amerpundit on March 31, 2009 at 10:22 PM
I agree, but he is a ruthless operator who had a good fundraising machine….
ie
more the job than DL Hughgley Steele….
sven10077 on March 31, 2009 at 10:23 PM
if tedisco wins 2 to 1 in the last distict he will win overall. Of course it wont be called tonight though.
ousoonerfan15 on March 31, 2009 at 10:23 PM
I’ll believe when I see it.
Knucklehead on March 31, 2009 at 10:23 PM
I’ll take a loss if Steele gets fired for this failure to hold a winnable seat, but the GOP isn’t that lucky.
jjshaka on March 31, 2009 at 10:23 PM
Murphy by 81. One precinct left. Gulp.
Ponz on March 31, 2009 at 10:23 PM
looks like +/- 20 votes… final in…
phreshone on March 31, 2009 at 10:23 PM
If 2,000 military ballots have to be added, Tedisco wins easily.
bilups on March 31, 2009 at 10:23 PM
Yeah, funny how often Reps lead and then late-reporting precincts come up with enough votes to put the Dem over the top. What a coincidence. Lawyer airlift!
boko fittleworth on March 31, 2009 at 10:23 PM
Ok, NOW can we start the Steele deathwatch?
Kid from Brooklyn on March 31, 2009 at 10:23 PM
Which means the Republican loses. Dems work the vote in the back room until they win, Republicans roll over and take it.
Midas on March 31, 2009 at 10:24 PM
Dead people take longer to cast their votes.
Daggett on March 31, 2009 at 10:24 PM
Am I sure the Democrats waited to report in Colombia in order to manufacture votes?
No.
Does this fit the pattern of corruption we see from them in every close election?
Definitely.
It’s bad enough we have to suffer a dishonest media, but we shouldn’t stand for a corrupt election system.
And yet we do, year after year after year….
Nessuno on March 31, 2009 at 10:24 PM
recount for sure.
pmanley on March 31, 2009 at 10:24 PM
Murphy by 81, it will be a recount
rob verdi on March 31, 2009 at 10:24 PM
Dead heat until the Dems magically find more votes for Murphy, enough to survive a mandatory recount.
Wonder how long it will take for the first charge of disenfranchisement or voter intimidation or precinct irregularities?
BardMan on March 31, 2009 at 10:24 PM
Rethuglicans are a joke. Theres no way they can win this. Democrats have both the black and Hispanic vote + the liberal vote also. The bigot vote is not enough to override
nice343 on March 31, 2009 at 10:20 PM
Uh oh…someone here used exactly the same language in an earlier thread but with a different screen name. Anyone else remember that?
Bishop on March 31, 2009 at 10:24 PM
Dude, you forgot the gay vote too.
Notorious GOP on March 31, 2009 at 10:24 PM
If the last precint is near the other two, it will be a tie.
WashJeff on March 31, 2009 at 10:24 PM
Sure, when gobs of ballots stop appearing from trunks. We’ll see in this case.
ddrintn on March 31, 2009 at 10:25 PM
Recount…once the fraudulent Dem votes are counted, Murphy wins.
AUINSC on March 31, 2009 at 10:25 PM
Ah, but see these ‘found’ ballots over here from these machines that somehow went uncounted? There are 2,500 votes in them, 98% of which are for the Democrat, so… *shrug*
Midas on March 31, 2009 at 10:25 PM
If the final Saratoga precinct has the same numbers as the previous, it’s Tedisco by about 30.
Loxodonta on March 31, 2009 at 10:25 PM
not possible plausible and by design a Chicago thuggery. Let’s try a house to house tally and then MAYBE expose it. Going to bed, repulsed again.
seesalrun on March 31, 2009 at 10:25 PM
And the Jewish vote.
ddrintn on March 31, 2009 at 10:25 PM
Who are you going to replace him with?
Chekote on March 31, 2009 at 10:26 PM
OK……….
………. time to count the Military votes.
Seven Percent Solution on March 31, 2009 at 10:26 PM
Yep
Knucklehead on March 31, 2009 at 10:26 PM
They should just make Al Franken win this one too.
Jim Treacher on March 31, 2009 at 10:26 PM
With all the reckless spending the Dems are doing, the GOP should be 15 points ahead. But they lost their credibility on spending thanks to Bush and Rove.
Chekote on March 31, 2009 at 10:26 PM
It’s over, Murphy won, Muahahahahahahaha!!!!!!!!
True_King on March 31, 2009 at 10:26 PM
Tedisco by 30? Really?
Terrye on March 31, 2009 at 10:27 PM
LOL if it weren’t so True.
portlandon on March 31, 2009 at 10:27 PM
I think a broom with a brooks brothers suit could do a better job managing the machine…
sven10077 on March 31, 2009 at 10:27 PM
Yeah…the troll trainee (apparently).
ddrintn on March 31, 2009 at 10:27 PM
Damn that last precinct is taking its time
Sekhmet on March 31, 2009 at 10:28 PM
Lizard People… FTW
phreshone on March 31, 2009 at 10:28 PM
Are these close elections rig by lawyers for lawyers to fund lawyers?
WashJeff on March 31, 2009 at 10:28 PM
Chekote:
If spending mattered that damn much to people, no Democrat would be winning right now.
Terrye on March 31, 2009 at 10:28 PM
showing the donk playbook….
hold off reporting ’til the end
manufacture to secure
recount ’til we win
sven10077 on March 31, 2009 at 10:28 PM
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