Open thread: Polls close in NY-20; Update: Murphy by 65 votes? Update: Thousands of absentees

posted at 9:28 pm on March 31, 2009 by Allahpundit

The boss is spot on: If we lose, it means nothing, and if we win, it means everything. This is Gillibrand’s district, which used to be solid red until she stole a victory there a few years ago by pretending to be a Blue Dog. The question is whether bailout/stimulus fatigue will drive it back into our column or whether The One — who finally endorsed the Democrat a few days ago — can keep it blue. More background here from MKH, noting that Murphy is now a slight favorite to win after trailing early on by 16 points. Jim Tedisco, the Republican, tried to make up the difference yesterday by campaigning through the night. It feels like Groundhog Day at this point. Will the GOP see its shadow or we will have six more years of political winter?

I don’t want to get people too excited, but if Tedisco pulls this out we might just be in for a humpbot cameo.

Update: Live results here. With 206 of 610 precincts reporting, Tedisco leads by four.

Update: Dave Weigel snarks, “Jim Tedisco’s ability to blow a 20-point lead proves that the GOP is back, baby.”

Update: With 505 of 610 precincts reporting, it’s Tedisco by … less than one percent.

Update: With all 610 precincts reporting, it’s Murphy 77,344, Tedisco 77,279. Are there 66 absentee ballots out there for the GOP? Should only take us a few weeks and, perhaps, a long court battle to find out!

Needless to say, there shall be no humpbot tonight.

Chocolate Bunny Kill

Update: There won’t be a winner for a long, long time.

With 100 percent of precincts reporting, Murphy had 77,344 votes to Tedisco’s 77,279. Somewhere between 6,000 and 10,000 military and absentee ballots remain uncounted, according to the Associated Press, and overseas absentee ballots will continue be accepted until April 13. In short, no winner will be declared any time soon.


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humpbot, humpbot, HUMPBOT!!!

homesickamerican on March 31, 2009 at 9:30 PM

tedisco up with just about 30% in

ousoonerfan15 on March 31, 2009 at 9:30 PM

“well HE may have lost but I WON…”

-Ogabe

sven10077 on March 31, 2009 at 9:30 PM

I just love humpbots….

d1carter on March 31, 2009 at 9:30 PM

Humpbot?

My liver couldn’t take it!

aquaviva on March 31, 2009 at 9:30 PM

Here are a few places to check.

amerpundit on March 31, 2009 at 9:31 PM

i have Tedisco up by 2 points with 20% in

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/?ref=fp2

doug1981 on March 31, 2009 at 9:31 PM

Any word from ACORN workers……….

……….. still casting votes?

Seven Percent Solution on March 31, 2009 at 9:32 PM

I don’t want to get people too excited, but if Tedisco pulls this out we might just be in for a humpbot cameo.

Yea! Haven’t seen the humpbot in quite some time! I hope he wins!

4shoes on March 31, 2009 at 9:32 PM

I don’t know much about Tedisco, is he going to turn out to be a RINO?

DerKrieger on March 31, 2009 at 9:32 PM

I have followed the twists and turns and it was a dead heat a week ago. I really have no idea but if Tedisco loses, oh well in a short time we came close to winning back a seat. We win, its hardly a return to power but its a good start.

rob verdi on March 31, 2009 at 9:32 PM

I don’t want to get people too excited, but if Tedisco pulls this out we might just be in for a humpbot cameo.

Yeeeeeeeeeeeeeesssssss.

Weight of Glory on March 31, 2009 at 9:32 PM

Tedisco up by 4 with 28% in

doug1981 on March 31, 2009 at 9:33 PM

Tedisco up by nearly 4,000 with 54% in

*fingers crossed*

SouthernGent on March 31, 2009 at 9:33 PM

I’ll remain cynical so that I’ll be pleasently surprised if he wins.

V15J on March 31, 2009 at 9:33 PM

following it here.

canditaylor68 on March 31, 2009 at 9:33 PM

Pleeease let the humpbot make an appearance for this race!

batter on March 31, 2009 at 9:34 PM

I don’t know much about Tedisco, is he going to turn out to be a RINO?

DerKrieger on March 31, 2009 at 9:32 PM

In all honesty he will be a RiNO-, that is the most we can get from his district….

wonder how many clerics ACORN has casting “raise dead” and “scrying”?

sven10077 on March 31, 2009 at 9:34 PM

Can we turn this into a drinking game………?

……… Never let a good opportunity go to waste!

Seven Percent Solution on March 31, 2009 at 9:34 PM

tonight in NY we have some loosah named Lesko running for supervisor.

frickin guy totally played off the whole “change” thing. annoying.

blatantblue on March 31, 2009 at 9:34 PM

It’s the Battle of Saratoga all over again!

But bigger!

It’s the Battle of the Obama Bulge, it’s Okinawaboma, Iwobama Jima, Obamagrad!

Actually, Tedisco needs to break 43% in Essex and 53% in Otsego and he’s just not doing it. We’re doomed.

Actually, I haven’t the slightest idea what I’m talking about.

Obamashima!

CK MacLeod on March 31, 2009 at 9:34 PM

I smell inevitable court challenges. Too close to call.

BardMan on March 31, 2009 at 9:35 PM

Its 50 50 now

William Amos on March 31, 2009 at 9:35 PM

Tedesco trailing by just 200 votes now

William Amos on March 31, 2009 at 9:35 PM

Tedisco up by nearly 4,000 with 54% in…

*fingers crossed*

SouthernGent on March 31, 2009 at 9:33 PM

Oooops…that’s in one county…Saratoga.

SouthernGent on March 31, 2009 at 9:36 PM

wonder how many clerics ACORN has casting “raise dead” and “scrying”?

sven10077 on March 31, 2009 at 9:34 PM

LOL
A D&Der, eh?

Count to 10 on March 31, 2009 at 9:36 PM

And now up 100. We could go back and forth all night.

BardMan on March 31, 2009 at 9:36 PM

What count are you following, Mr Amos? The one at the Saratogian has Tedisco up slightly.

CK MacLeod on March 31, 2009 at 9:37 PM

Meant to say 1,000. =)

BardMan on March 31, 2009 at 9:37 PM

More than half in, Tedisco reclaims lead.

amerpundit on March 31, 2009 at 9:37 PM

Any NY’ers have info on Delaware County?

SouthernGent on March 31, 2009 at 9:37 PM

I sent Tedisco money….not much, but I did.

Now how can I help take out Snowe, Collins, and Sphincter? Three traitors who helped destroy my country?

Palin/Bachmann 2012
Finally Some Republicans with B*lls

ex-Democrat on March 31, 2009 at 9:37 PM

saratogan has Tedesco down for me ???

William Amos on March 31, 2009 at 9:37 PM

southern, saratoga county from what I have heard is the county everyone is watching. He HAS to win there

ousoonerfan15 on March 31, 2009 at 9:38 PM

Boy that is tough, on first click it was murphy, on the refresh it was Tedisco by 800.

rob verdi on March 31, 2009 at 9:38 PM

And there he goes back up

William Amos on March 31, 2009 at 9:38 PM

Tedisco up by 2 with 51% in

doug1981 on March 31, 2009 at 9:38 PM

How is it that a district that was “solid red” is such a close race? I mean, why would a Dem have any shot at this whatsoever? If a Dem has a shot here, isn’t it, by definition, far from “solid red?”

PersonalLiberty on March 31, 2009 at 9:38 PM

I say that no matter what happens, someone needs to find a bag of votes in the back of a car somewhere to muddy the results; Minnesota needs a friend to share its Coleman/Franken fiasco.

Bishop on March 31, 2009 at 9:38 PM

PersonalLiberty on March 31, 2009 at 9:38 PM

It isn’t solid red anymore. Gillibrand changed it.

doug1981 on March 31, 2009 at 9:39 PM

Any NY’ers have info on Delaware County?

SouthernGent on March 31, 2009 at 9:37 PM

not too much — lot of kids from my area go to college up there

lotsa boozing

:x sorry

blatantblue on March 31, 2009 at 9:39 PM

It better be a very seductive Humpbot video!

canopfor on March 31, 2009 at 9:39 PM

Not only does a Dem have “a shot,” the Dem won by a landslide just last Nov. The handicapping on this one was nuts.

CK MacLeod on March 31, 2009 at 9:39 PM

How is it that a district that was “solid red” is such a close race? I mean, why would a Dem have any shot at this whatsoever? If a Dem has a shot here, isn’t it, by definition, far from “solid red?”

PersonalLiberty on March 31, 2009 at 9:38 PM

Yankee Republicans are different from Southern ones. Think Frum vs. Sanford

SouthernGent on March 31, 2009 at 9:40 PM

A commenter at RedState, evidently from NY says:

Whoever wins Saratoga and Dutchess County wins the election big time. If one candidate wins Saratoga and the other wins Dutchess, the former wins narrowly. Saratoga is the true bellweather of tonight.

INC on March 31, 2009 at 9:40 PM

Please tell me there’s no Lizard people on the ballot!

canopfor on March 31, 2009 at 9:40 PM

Yankee Republicans are different from Southern ones. Think Frum vs. Sanford

SouthernGent on March 31, 2009 at 9:40 PM

Hey, we’re not all that bad. :)

doug1981 on March 31, 2009 at 9:41 PM

Sorry, can i ask what is a humpbot? i have a picture in my mind but i don’t think thats what it is….

dangitt on March 31, 2009 at 9:41 PM

Saratoga 92/188
Murphy 11,663 44%

Tedesco 15,009 56%

William Amos on March 31, 2009 at 9:41 PM

Go Tedisco!!!!!

jencab on March 31, 2009 at 9:41 PM

Call me what you will but I am at a total loss to understand why anyone would vote for a Liberal. I just don’t understand it.

I’m so ready to split the country in two so the Libs can run themselves into the ground without taking all of us with them.

DerKrieger on March 31, 2009 at 9:42 PM

Sorry, can i ask what is a humpbot? i have a picture in my mind but i don’t think thats what it is….

dangitt on March 31, 2009 at 9:41 PM

A robot that humps things.

amerpundit on March 31, 2009 at 9:42 PM

Wow, its almost a dead heat with 63% in

doug1981 on March 31, 2009 at 9:42 PM

tedisco by 300,
that its for me. wake me when its over.

rob verdi on March 31, 2009 at 9:43 PM

Scott Murphy(Dem) 46,645 50%
James Tedisco GOP) 46,969 50%

William Amos on March 31, 2009 at 9:43 PM

This is going to be close. It’s tied at 50%, Tedisco leading with about 200.

Enoxo on March 31, 2009 at 9:43 PM

Things are looking VERY Good.

Tedisco by about 8 in Saratoga, and only half the precincts reporting.

KingGold on March 31, 2009 at 9:44 PM

Scott Murphy(Dem) 50,559 50%
James Tedisco(GOP) 51,415 50%

William Amos on March 31, 2009 at 9:44 PM

well i guess what i had in my mind is spot on….

dangitt on March 31, 2009 at 9:44 PM

couldn’t help myself, Tedisco by 900

rob verdi on March 31, 2009 at 9:44 PM

415/610, still 50% tied… but Murph has jumped up about 100 over.

Enoxo on March 31, 2009 at 9:44 PM

If it’s close, there are plenty of Democrat votes in a car trunk somewhere.

ddrintn on March 31, 2009 at 9:45 PM

Saratagonian: 51,415 to 50,559. Tedisco leading.

amerpundit on March 31, 2009 at 9:45 PM

DerKrieger on March 31, 2009 at 9:42 PM

We tried that once back around 1860 and the bastiges followed us home.

Oldnuke on March 31, 2009 at 9:45 PM

I fear no evil I fear no evil….oh – it was a Franken dream. Sorry. C’mon New York. LEAVE NO ROOM FOR ACORN ERROR. Jeeese.

seesalrun on March 31, 2009 at 9:45 PM

If Tedesco loses, you’ll we NEVER convince me that it was a fair election.

We don’t HAVE fair elections anymore….the Chicago Democrat criminals took care of that.

Taking on ACORN: acccdf.com

Let’s roll.

ex-Democrat on March 31, 2009 at 9:45 PM

I hope Tedisco pulls it off.

Chekote on March 31, 2009 at 9:45 PM

ACORN “bring out yer Dead !”

William Amos on March 31, 2009 at 9:46 PM

Tedisco

by 409,or 454 !!

canopfor on March 31, 2009 at 9:46 PM

Sorry, can i ask what is a humpbot?

dangitt on March 31, 2009 at 9:41 PM

No, you may not. It’s something that you have to witness yourself, but only at the appropriate time.

FloatingRock on March 31, 2009 at 9:46 PM

Scott Murphy(Dem) 51,878 50%
James Tedisco(GOP) 52,815 50

William Amos on March 31, 2009 at 9:46 PM

I’m ready for my humpbots Allah.

Lance Murdock on March 31, 2009 at 9:47 PM

Do they have automatic recounts in NY?

Chekote on March 31, 2009 at 9:47 PM

424/610… 50% tied. Murphy with less than 60 vote lead.

Enoxo on March 31, 2009 at 9:47 PM

You know, you guys don’t click very well. I hardly ever get results less than Tedisco +800.

CK MacLeod on March 31, 2009 at 9:47 PM

It looks like all of Murphys strongholds are counted- Warren and Washington.
He would have to pull a big number in Columbia- his last stronghold.
Tedisco is as safe as if he was in his mothers arms.
Eat your heart out, Barone!

jjshaka on March 31, 2009 at 9:48 PM

In 2010, you’re going to have to let me handle the refreshing.

CK MacLeod on March 31, 2009 at 9:48 PM

424/610… 50% tied. Murphy with less than 60 vote lead.

Forget what I just said… Tedisco is up by over 1,000!!!

Enoxo on March 31, 2009 at 9:49 PM

Scott Murphy(Dem) 53,250 50%
James Tedisco(GOP) 54,201 50%

William Amos on March 31, 2009 at 9:49 PM

So what’s the recount rules in NY. Mandatory recount = GOP loss.

WashJeff on March 31, 2009 at 9:50 PM

436/610 50% tied

Dem 53,250
Repub 54,201

Enoxo on March 31, 2009 at 9:50 PM

See, there ya go, Amos, much better clicking.

CK MacLeod on March 31, 2009 at 9:50 PM

Sorry,can i ask what is a humpbot?

dangitt on Mar 31,2009 at 9:41PM.

dangitt: Its a cross between a SuperComputer and a female
rabbit!:)

canopfor on March 31, 2009 at 9:50 PM

Gotta win a lot of small battles to win the war…I guess we’ll see if one of last little islands of red left in NY gets swallowed up in a sea of blue.

AUINSC on March 31, 2009 at 9:51 PM

Murphy still has a lot left in Columbia, unfortunately.

CK MacLeod on March 31, 2009 at 9:52 PM

So rethuglicans actually believe they have a shot at this seat LOL

nice343 on March 31, 2009 at 9:52 PM

So what’s the recount rules in NY. Mandatory recount = GOP loss.

WashJeff on March 31, 2009 at 9:50 PM

That’s what I am worried about. The Dems cheat.

Chekote on March 31, 2009 at 9:52 PM

468/610 50% tied

Dem 58,076
Repub 58,885

Enoxo on March 31, 2009 at 9:52 PM

Onw ould think that the Republican would be up by several points. I’m not surprised about this – it’s what happens when a GOP candidate acts like a GOP candidate instead of a conservative candidate…

jdawg on March 31, 2009 at 9:52 PM

I don’t suppose Al Franken is a NY election judge?

Crusty on March 31, 2009 at 9:53 PM

Nail biter… twitter has that the Obama campaign is live blogging this too…

canditaylor68 on March 31, 2009 at 9:53 PM

So rethuglicans actually believe they have a shot at this seat LOL

nice343 on March 31, 2009 at 9:52 PM

Come up with that all by yourself?

HornetSting on March 31, 2009 at 9:54 PM

So what’s the recount rules in NY. Mandatory recount = GOP loss.

WashJeff on March 31, 2009 at 9:50 PM

Heads they Win, Tails we lose.

Amadeus on March 31, 2009 at 9:54 PM

If a nail biter, it will be litigated to death.

Chekote on March 31, 2009 at 9:54 PM

Yankee Republicans are different from Southern ones. Think Frum vs. Sanford

SouthernGent on March 31, 2009 at 9:40 PM

Patently false, I’m afraid!

blatantblue on March 31, 2009 at 9:54 PM

So rethuglicans actually believe they have a shot at this seat LOL

nice343 on March 31, 2009 at 9:52 PM

If Me$$iah is so popular, and all why is a dem seat so close?

sven10077 on March 31, 2009 at 9:54 PM

So rethuglicans actually believe they have a shot at this seat LOL

nice343 on March 31, 2009 at 9:52 PM

You are now officially an HA cartoon character…lefty the droolbot.

AUINSC on March 31, 2009 at 9:55 PM

496/610 precincts reporting

Dem 62,147
Repub 63,197

Enoxo on March 31, 2009 at 9:55 PM

Looks like Murphy is coming up short!

Trent1289 on March 31, 2009 at 9:56 PM

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