Obama at 50-50?

posted at 9:19 am on March 24, 2009 by Ed Morrissey

Has Obama hit the end of the honeymoon at 60 days in office?  According to a new Zogby poll, Obama has hit 50% in his latest job-approval polls. The Boston Herald covers the details offered by the pollster:

Pollster John Zogby said his poll out today will show Americans split on the president’s performance. He said the score factors out to “about 50-50.”

Some polls show Obama coasting with a 65 percent job approval, but not in Zogby’s tally.

“The numbers are going down,” Zogby told the Herald. “It’s not because of the gaffes, but a combination of high expectations and that things aren’t moving fast enough with the economy.”

The Herald also spoke with a communications professor at Boston University, who believes that Obama has mismanaged his media appearances.  Toby Berkovitz says Obama has become overexposed and needs to be seen working rather than campaigning.  “I wonder when the public will say ‘Instead of being in front of the camera, be in front of a spreadsheet.’ ”

A 50% approval rating would be a stunning drop, but this is Zogby.  His results tend to have more significant swings than other pollsters.  He does get some things correct, but those of us who watch polls for any significant length of time usually like to see if other polls show the same trends.

Rasmussen has.  Over the last few weeks, Scott Rasmussen has repeatedly shown a rapid rate in dissatisfaction over Obama’s performance, and a smaller but still significant decline in approval.  Yesterday’s job-approval rating on the daily tracking poll has Obama at 56%, not the 50% shown by Zogby, but that’s down from the high 60s at the end of January.  Also, the gap between strong approval and strong disapproval has gone from over 30 points to just 5.

If Zogby’s right and it’s all about the economics, then a rebound in jobs would help.  Unfortunately, jobs are a lagging indicator of an economic recovery, and we haven’t seen the leading indicators yet, as Obama’s policies have mostly kept capital on the sidelines.  The AIG bonus controversy, which Democrats hoped to use to lever populist outrage against capital, blew up in their faces and convinced capital investors to shelter themselves from the storm.  Zogby may or may not have overstated the decline, but he’s got the direction right.


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I think his polls will remain high for the same reason putin remains popular in russia(although a little less so of late)… because he controls the media/pravda.

TTheoLogan on March 24, 2009 at 9:25 AM

I think you’re probably right — at least for awhile, but I’d still like to take the opportunity to point out the big difference between pravda and our media: pravda is forced to tow the government line, but our MSM volunteers to be lapdogs for Democrats.

Kensington on March 24, 2009 at 12:49 PM

I think Obama is too strange. People are starting to wonder about him. Too many changes too quick.

Terrye on March 24, 2009 at 12:51 PM

ManlyRash is on Rush right now talking about the Zogby poll.

AubieJon on March 24, 2009 at 12:54 PM

Hearing manlyrash calling into Rush right now about this poll.

ex-Democrat on March 24, 2009 at 12:54 PM

AubieJon on March 24, 2009 at 12:54 PM

beat me to it! good job

ex-Democrat on March 24, 2009 at 12:55 PM

GETALIFE

You never answer. Do at least get paid for the BS you post?

Jamson64 on March 24, 2009 at 1:13 PM

Gallup polls ‘adults,’ ie, people of no demonstrated knowledge about current affairs.

Rasmussen samples ‘likley voters,’ ie, people who are more likely to inform themselves.

Zogby? I think he just makes it up.

snickelfritz on March 24, 2009 at 1:18 PM

GETALIFE

You never answer. Do at least get paid for the BS you post?

Jamson64 on March 24, 2009 at 1:13 PM

That’s a trend, can’t recall seeing this poster own up on even passing gaffes such as the “Special Olympics” derogatory remark emanating from TOTUS. It’s going to be a long 3 years and 10 months, but we have that poster to kick around (well, when that poster shows up). And kicking verbally, not literally, so no “canvassers” wanting my “pledge” to Obama show up at my door, OK?

65droptop on March 24, 2009 at 1:23 PM

GETALIFE
You never answer. Do at least get paid for the BS you post?

Jamson64 on March 24, 2009 at 1:13 PM

I think Begala is paying her too much. But then, Forehead “works” for Clinton News Network himself, which means that he’s one hole shy of an outhouse.

Del Dolemonte on March 24, 2009 at 1:31 PM

about the press conf tonight: is it true (or just urban legend) that bambi has the answers fed into his ear microphone or typed into his teleprompter or does he just “wing it”?

kelley in virginia on March 24, 2009 at 10:05 AM

Who knows, but after all the accusations hurled by the Nutroots about Bush during the 2004 debates, I have no problem hurling a similar charge at Obama.

There was a report a few weeks ago that the WH tech people were trying to rig a Teleprompter-type machine in the Dear Leader’s podium that he could read from without being seen. We may see it used for the first time tonight. Watch him closely and see how many times he looks down.

I don’t think they can hide an earpiece. But if you saw American Dreamz, at least Hollywood has thought of a President needing to have everything fed to him through an earpiece. Of course, that President was based on George Bush, not Mister First Class Intellect.

rockmom on March 24, 2009 at 1:37 PM

GETALIFE

You never answer. Do at least get paid for the BS you post?

Jamson64 on March 24, 2009 at 1:13 PM

Getalife is an auto-comment-generator. It’s a programmed thing.

Entelechy on March 24, 2009 at 1:37 PM

Do not underestimate the risks involved in preempting American Idol – twice.

My daughters are, shall we say, unhappy.

Say what you will about the show, but it has more viewers than a news conference and has no commercials.

No new friends for Obama from the Idol demographics and more than just a little love lost from those networks that lost their advertising revenue for the second time in a month.

Rank and blind narcissism, if you ask me.

turfmann on March 24, 2009 at 11:09 AM

Some have suggested that this was very deliberately done by the White House to cost Fox a lot of money by preempting Idol. I would not put it past Rahm and his gang of thugs.

I wonder if the moron from The Washington Post will ask 0 about his NCAA tournament bracket.

rockmom on March 24, 2009 at 1:41 PM

Getalife is an auto-comment-generator. It’s a programmed thing.

Entelechy on March 24, 2009 at 1:37 PM

Not quite sure about that-I think she’s a poorly paid college kid.

The reason I don’t think she’s a robotic auto comment generator is because she does on occasion actually reply to other peoples’ specific comments. And then runs like hell when actual facts are presented to shoot down her lies.

Del Dolemonte on March 24, 2009 at 1:52 PM

getalife is Michelle Malkin just trying to piss us off.

No one can really be this dense.

I noticed the DOW has not kept up its rally thus far. I guess that getalife will have to take back that big fat thank you to President Obama for ending the recession.

Terrye on March 24, 2009 at 3:17 PM

rockmom:

Well Idol is one of the few things I actually watch. I am kind of ashamed to admit it. It might cost Fox some money, but it might also be that the Obama people figure folks will turn on the TV because Idol is supposed to be on and then watch in boredom until the press conference is over.

I will not watch Obama. I refuse to. He can get his ratings some other way.

Terrye on March 24, 2009 at 3:19 PM

This president is good at creating government jobs and menial jobs. His policies do not inspire capital investment. He is everything I expected him to be. However, his wife’s garden caught me by surprise. Been a while since the POTUS grew his own vittles.

EconomicNeocon on March 24, 2009 at 4:03 PM

I will not watch Obama. I refuse to. He can get his ratings some other way.

Terrye on March 24, 2009 at 3:19 PM

Get yourself a stack of foam “bama bricks”(tm). Hit the mute button. Hurl away. Bonus points for bank shots off the teleprompter.

Yoop on March 24, 2009 at 4:22 PM

Hey, Bush stuck around with low ratings, so what the heck he may be thinking?

I do wonder, though, if The One can handle it…he comes across as having a rather fragile ego.

Perhaps that’s a misread…

Dr. ZhivBlago on March 24, 2009 at 5:18 PM

“Obama was the editor of the Harvard Law Review!!!! WOWWWWW!!!” is losing its power to move most people, I guess. It was inevitable; what’s surprising is to see so many people expressing misgivings so early. I didn’t think those sort of things would be read until Obama had completely wrecked the health care system, for example.

ddrintn on March 24, 2009 at 5:26 PM

Soon……..

…………. polls will mean nothing.

Seven Percent Solution on March 24, 2009 at 5:31 PM

Wow, hopefully we’re going to look back on this whole Obama/Reid/Pelosi/Frank thing and say whew – that was close!

marklmail on March 24, 2009 at 5:32 PM

but a combination of high expectations and that things aren’t moving fast enough with the economy.”

I would argue that things are not moving too slowly, but moving too recklessly with the economy. The whole “throw the kitchen sink at it” approach does not, in my opinion, inspire confidence that the administration actually knows what it’s collectively doing. That, and the seeming disconnect that the public senses between what The O said DURING the campaign, and what he’s done so far SINCE the campaign – many of his disciples fell in love with him because he was offering so much that was 180 degrees out from the Bush administration. Lovely rhetoric, but much of it was simply that. That comes as a gigantic disappointment to the Loyal Followers.

uncivilized on March 24, 2009 at 5:39 PM

Get yourself a stack of foam “bama bricks”(tm). Hit the mute button. Hurl away. Bonus points for bank shots off the teleprompter.

Yoop on March 24, 2009 at 4:22 PM

Thinking about leaving the set on, putting in my CD of the soundtrack of “Fiddler on the Roof” (yes, I know…but it was the first musical we listened to when I was in elementary school, so there’s a sentimental attachment to it), and singing along, very loudly and VERY off-key. Can’t hurt.

uncivilized on March 24, 2009 at 5:43 PM

I would argue that things are not moving too slowly, but moving too recklessly with the economy. The whole “throw the kitchen sink at it” approach does not, in my opinion, inspire confidence that the administration actually knows what it’s collectively doing.

uncivilized on March 24, 2009 at 5:39 PM

Well, it’s that FDR fetish. I think deep down most Democrats (at least most Dem politicians) yearn for some Great Depression so they can trot out some other ineffective New Deal that nevertheless will serve to keep them in office by passing out just enough goodies. Heck, LBJ cooked up a New New Deal while we were in good times, and we’re still paying for it.

ddrintn on March 24, 2009 at 5:44 PM

Dow 7,660.21 -115.65 (-1.49%)
NASDAQ 1,516.52 -39.25 (-2.52%)
S&P 806.25 -16.67 (-2.03%)

Ogabe’s “daily tracking poll”….

hey GetAClue….that downticking is Captain Ears Cook’s croc ticking….

sven10077 on March 24, 2009 at 5:54 PM

sven10077 on March 24, 2009 at 5:54 PM

As one of my fellow commentors at Power Line puts it:

Recession is when your neighbor loses his job.

Depression is when you lose yours.

Recovery is when Obama loses his.

Del Dolemonte on March 24, 2009 at 5:58 PM

No, I do not get paid and not Michelle but I am everywhere.

getalife on March 24, 2009 at 5:59 PM

Thinking about leaving the set on, putting in my CD of the soundtrack of “Fiddler on the Roof” (yes, I know…but it was the first musical we listened to when I was in elementary school, so there’s a sentimental attachment to it), and singing along, very loudly and VERY off-key. Can’t hurt.

uncivilized on March 24, 2009 at 5:43 PM

“Rabbi, is there a blessing for the Barack?”

“May G-d bless and keep the Barack … far away from us.”

Rosmerta on March 24, 2009 at 6:37 PM

The U.S. Border Patrol plans to poison the plant life along a 1.1-mile stretch of the Rio Grande riverbank as soon as Wednesday to get rid of the hiding places used by smugglers, robbers and illegal immigrants.

If successful, the $2.1 million pilot project could later be duplicated along as many as 130 miles of river in the patrol’s Laredo Sector, as well as other parts of the U.S.-Mexico border.–Houston Chronicle

WHERE IS THE FENCE?!

Do you realize the further erosive soil loss, widening of the channel, and choking of the Rio Grande riverbed filled in with eroded soil, resulting in more severe flooding implications given the regional rain of severe thunderstorm downpours.

I appreciate the Border Patrol needs to function. Put in the electronic fence FIRST before removing all vegetation from the “great river” meant to provide agricultural irrigation and water for every population, human and wildlife. Don’t tell me the chemical is safe to drink and eat.

maverick muse on March 24, 2009 at 6:40 PM

Del DoleMonte

Getalife is an auto-comment-generator. It’s a programmed thing.

Entelechy on March 24, 2009 at 1:37 PM

Not quite sure about that-I think she’s a poorly paid college kid

I’ve seen a Craig’s List ad offering token payment to “writers” for responses to any variety of topics. Fishing for comments, weird.

maverick muse on March 24, 2009 at 6:45 PM

Recession is when your neighbor loses his job.

Depression is when you lose yours.

Recovery is when Obama loses his.

Touché!

maverick muse on March 24, 2009 at 6:48 PM

Can anyone name anything Obama has actually accomplished other than get elected with no resume of accomplishments at any time in his career? How about an A in some class he took? How about experience running a organization that has a track record of success? Maybe some paper he wrote on some subject while at Harvard. Autobiographies about dreams are impressive only to a Buckley where intelligence must not have been passed on and even he is having second thoughts. Obama has more in common with Howdy Doody than any other historical entity and we don’t even know who Buffalo Bob is in his case.

rsl775 on March 24, 2009 at 6:48 PM

With his insane spending Obama will increase the accumulated debt astronomically. 50% of Americans are uniformed or math challenged

Basilsbest on March 24, 2009 at 6:53 PM

Heck, LBJ cooked up a New New Deal while we were in good times, and we’re still paying for it.

ddrintn on March 24, 2009 at 5:44 PM

Goes to show how horribly things turn out when charity is coerced via taxation for government programs enacted by corrupt politicians and run by inept self promoting bureaucrats self referenced as “public servants”.

Until we “reset” to rescind legislation, all the Socialist wheeling and dealing will continue grinding us into dust.

maverick muse on March 24, 2009 at 6:55 PM

“Obama was the editor of the Harvard Law Review!!!!

President, not editor. A more political position. By the way, Obama contributed nothing to his edition of the law review. That’s a break from tradition.

rrpjr on March 24, 2009 at 7:31 PM

One of the hardest thing to override is trying to make liberals see the way. Their convictions are hard to change or questioned. They are the kind that will continue to travel that road even when they realize it is the wrong road after 1,000 miles of travel.

Getalife is such a liberal. He is convinced that what The One is doing is right (at least that word enters his domain) when these polls are indicators that it is not.

It should not be on us to make him see our way. Ignore his postings because questioning what he is saying will only lead to further aggregation and heartache.

OneConservative on March 24, 2009 at 7:41 PM

Soon……..

…………. polls will mean nothing.

Seven Percent Solution on March 24, 2009 at 5:31 PM

It’s already soon-when C-BS is reduced to oversampling Democrats by 30% to get the poll results getalife asks for, we’ve officially entered Bizarro World.

Del Dolemonte on March 24, 2009 at 7:57 PM

I was polled on this Zogby poll.. and enjoyed answering the questions about the economy and how well I thought Obama was doing. They asked some good questions and more of the results are starting to come out.

popularpeoplesfront on March 24, 2009 at 9:57 PM

If Zogby is right.. “91% of Democrats rate Obama favorably, compared to 14% of Republicans” then we’ve got a potential for a very serious problem. Only 9% of Democrats can admit Obama is screwing up. If the economy continues to tank then these stats point towards a major catalyst for violence. It could be set off when the rabid followers of Obama begin to blame people who are protesting against the decisions Obama has made. Imagine one of the recent “Tea Parties” with 4,000 people being attacked for not supporting the president.

popularpeoplesfront on March 24, 2009 at 10:09 PM

Imagine one of the recent “Tea Parties” with 4,000 people being attacked for not supporting the president.

popularpeoplesfront on March 24, 2009 at 10:09 PM

Imagine Ogabe’s FBI “mysteriously” not able to prosecute a genuine hate crime….

fact is if they want to play violent they are gonna learn that one side has a lot of vets with guns, and CQB training and they have urinating on themselves and whining…unless they break out the NoI, Crips and Bloods, and La Raza gangbangers…

and if they do that let’s be honest the issue will be resolved and we will not be judged the “causative” by madam history…

sven10077 on March 24, 2009 at 10:29 PM

About Getalife… et al….

Can we please completely ignore the trolls! If we don’t feed them, they won’t come. Plain and simple. Remember when Axelrod paid bloggers to comment on conservative sites to make it look like it was a lost cause? Can we not at least for now assume the same thing of these trolls and move on?

Chaz706 on March 25, 2009 at 1:52 AM

Del DoleMonte

Getalife is an auto-comment-generator. It’s a programmed thing.

Entelechy on March 24, 2009 at 1:37 PM

Not quite sure about that-I think she’s a poorly paid college kid
I’ve seen a Craig’s List ad offering token payment to “writers” for responses to any variety of topics. Fishing for comments, weird.

maverick muse on March 24, 2009 at 6:45 PM
Questions:
How many of these “writers” are on HA; and how much would it cost to do the same to Kos, DU, et al?
Who is funding these idiots and how are they connected to the DNC?

mad scientist on March 25, 2009 at 7:46 AM

the decline is significant because ot is the swing voters who are shifting

The AIG bonus controversy, which Democrats hoped to use to lever populist outrage against capital, blew up in their faces and convinced capital investors to shelter themselves from the storm.

The Dems played it badly because
1. They were the ones who write the guarantees the execs would collect bonuses from the bankrupt company before Uncle Sam got his money back
2. They publicized the fact the bonuses were dished out to work the public to stoke outrage
3. Then, they did not stop the bonuses.
4. A 90 percent retroactive tax scares everyone and limiting pay up front on an entire job category scares everyone

The public is not outraged about finacial talent leaving American banking, the public is outraged about the talent taking the millions with them

Whether the DEMs hurt themselves because financial talent is bailing is another question. Losing pools sharks from the pool hall only makes hustlers weep

entagor on March 25, 2009 at 10:38 AM

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