Gallup: Just seven states left where GOP leads in party ID
posted at 9:50 pm on January 28, 2009 by Allahpundit
Utah, Wyoming, Idaho, Alaska, Nebraska, Kansas, and Alabama, and the last two are barely red. Total combined electoral votes: 35. The news isn’t quite as dismal as it seems — Texas is technically a blue state by this measure, even though it’s reliably red at election time — but eyeball the map at the link and note how many southern states are suddenly leaning Democratic. Jay Cost has a long, thoughtful post on how Republicans have traditionally overcome the ID advantage (hint: superior turnout and an uneasy coalition in the broad Democratic base), but toss a galvanizing figure like The One into the mix and it becomes a lot harder to pull off.
Cost’s other big point is that partisan trends can shift very rapidly, so if the crap sandwich is as crappy as we think, the map will surely be redder by 2012. Even so, I don’t envy whoever’s tasked with dethroning the Messiah. Exit question: How do you out-organize an incumbent who built the most fearsome national organization in modern political history?
Blowback
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So the democrats lead in fifty?
MB4 on January 28, 2009 at 9:52 PM
Ding, ding, ding! We have a winner!
Dr.Cwac.Cwac on January 28, 2009 at 9:53 PM
I question the timing.
BHO Jonestown on January 28, 2009 at 9:53 PM
Enforcing the law and blocking fraudulent and illegal campaign contributions would be a nice start.
brak on January 28, 2009 at 9:53 PM
Early days yet…give it 1 year and let’s have a look at that map, shall we?
AUINSC on January 28, 2009 at 9:54 PM
Easy. Don’t elect Mike Duncan or Chip Saltsman as head of the GOP.
Dr.Cwac.Cwac on January 28, 2009 at 9:54 PM
holla!
Noneya on January 28, 2009 at 9:54 PM
+1
And I don’t think this is a good way to judge how states will vote. There are a lot of pretty Red states not on that list, and once the hopenchangey feeling wears off, the list will expand.
Sir Corky on January 28, 2009 at 9:54 PM
RICO suits against ACORN, SEIU, et. al.
Dr.Cwac.Cwac on January 28, 2009 at 9:55 PM
Looks like a good place to start rebuilding a nation once Chaiman Obamao has finished dismantling our once great country and giving it to the Russians, Chinese, and Iranians.
Gird.Your.Loins.
TheAdmiral on January 28, 2009 at 9:55 PM
This is what happens when the GOP shoots for the middle.
Jim62sch on January 28, 2009 at 9:55 PM
Well, fearsome is right, but he hasn’t built jack, unless you consider the MSM, campaign finance fraud (that was so transparent anyone could see it, and experience it for themselves with the help of a little gift card and a funny name and address to donate under), and the dirtiest criminal racket in the voting business safely on his side.
Is that what you meant by the “fearsome national organization”?
progressoverpeace on January 28, 2009 at 9:55 PM
Who cares? They just won the election. Plus, every degenerate that is uninformed and on welfare identifies automatically as a Democrat. How many of them actually vote?
therightwinger on January 28, 2009 at 9:55 PM
How do you out-organize an incumbent who built the most fearsome national organization in modern political history?
I was going to answer “By obeying the law” but then I realized that didn’t apply to the dems.
Still, looking at the red/blue map by county I’m far more confident than this poll puts things. Those heavy urban areas (and the entire state of Wisconsin) are what carry the dems, and they are withering on the taxation vine.
Bishop on January 28, 2009 at 9:56 PM
It’s just a bad measurement. Like you said about Texas, look at where I’m from in KY for instance. We’re a solidly Democratic state that votes for Republican presidents senators.
TheNolan on January 28, 2009 at 9:56 PM
1. Question the timing
2. Question the pollster
3. Question the agenda behind the poll
4. Now that the party has united in the House, it all could flip with the debacle of a stimulus bill. Thank God for Rush.
Starlink on January 28, 2009 at 9:56 PM
Someone overlay that map with amount of social spending as a percentage of each states economy. There’s your answer.
Dr.Cwac.Cwac on January 28, 2009 at 9:57 PM
How do you think I picked my location of my survival cabin? Stocking ammo, guns, and food for the future.
Mr. Joe on January 28, 2009 at 9:57 PM
Pretend inferiority and encourage his arrogance.
- Sun Tzu
MB4 on January 28, 2009 at 9:57 PM
Plus, every degenerate that is uninformed and on welfare identifies automatically as a Democrat. How many of them actually vote?
Noneya, that’s at least one we know of.
Bishop on January 28, 2009 at 9:57 PM
uh yeah barry and the rest of the dems might have sealed there 2012 fate tonight. If this bill is as bad as it looks.
ousoonerfan15 on January 28, 2009 at 9:58 PM
Nah, like “peak oil” you’re seeing “peak DNC” saturation. The tide turns now.
There’s a reverse corollary to the Pelosi/Obama good cop/bad cop situation that I thought the House Republicans might be running into…
If the Repulicans don’t play ball, Obama HAS to deal with Pelosi… that means they get joined at the hip. That anchors Obama’s tap dancing as a centrist and will limit his political maneuvering.
If the Reps can do that and hold off the legislation in the Senate… we might get through this dark knight with our wallets and country intact.
Skywise on January 28, 2009 at 9:58 PM
How do you think I picked my location of my survival cabin? Stocking ammo, guns, and food for the future.
Mr. Joe on January 28, 2009 at 9:57 PM
Dude! Singing my song, Northern Minnesota if things get bad.
Bishop on January 28, 2009 at 9:58 PM
Yeah, and Democrats carried just 10 states in ’88. They carried 32, and the presidency, four years later.
amerpundit on January 28, 2009 at 9:59 PM
Oh Noes!!!
This means exactly what??
This is going to affect the election next week in a profound way.
But it could affect the vote on the abortion that is the ‘Stimulus Package’…maybe
Again, we must remember Rush’s wisdom…Polls do not measure public opinion…theses days they try to shape them…
or something…
BigWyo on January 28, 2009 at 9:59 PM
“I don’t envy whoever’s tasked with dethroning the Messiah.”
Not to worry, he’ll do it to Himself in 2012.
To quote another Democrat, the Republicans in 2012 will rally around “It’s the economy, stupid”.
GarandFan on January 28, 2009 at 10:00 PM
Now I don’t usually whine about your choices Allah but obviously you think there was way too much cheering on the site tonight. Did you just happen to have a bucket of cold water that you needed to do something with?
Cindy Munford on January 28, 2009 at 10:00 PM
GOP = Whig
Kill it off and replace it.
james23 on January 28, 2009 at 10:01 PM
Who the heck did they poll in SC? Obviously heavily weighted in the midlands and coastal areas. Please. SC is safely red. Forever.
SouthernGent on January 28, 2009 at 10:01 PM
So the state that elects Coburn and Inhoffe is blue?
Mark1971 on January 28, 2009 at 10:01 PM
Obama got SMOKED in every county (77) in Oklahoma and its not on the list? BS and meaningless poll. Oklahoma is the reddest state IMHO and I am proud to live here.
guido911 on January 28, 2009 at 10:02 PM
I was going to answer the Exit Question, when I scrolled down and read your quote of sun tzu, which was a much shorter version of what I was going to write…so I’ll just say ditto.
Weight of Glory on January 28, 2009 at 10:02 PM
Right on brother! One shot..One kill!
AUINSC on January 28, 2009 at 10:03 PM
When the “economic recovery program” fails miserably, the GOP will win in 2012 with ease. I wouldn’t worry about it. This is still a center right country that is still anti-communist at its heart.
nazo311 on January 28, 2009 at 10:04 PM
Doesn’t matter… we’re done as a nation. Election night brought me over to Allah’s pessimistic dark side, and this “stimulus” confirms what I’ve repeatedly said: America is finished, and will never recover. Pretty pathetic, really.
And just for fun, a question for Barry… Should we spend billions on global warming (which is a proven hoax), STDs, etc. etc. or should we rid ourselves of independent oil by using our own vast resources, which not only stops us from sending $700 billion overseas every year.. but it creates thousands and thousands of jobs for Americans and contributes to OUR OWN economy.
RightWinged on January 28, 2009 at 10:04 PM
Sorry AP but the GOP ain’t gonna benefit from any partisan swing thanks to it’s country-club mentality. The GOP consists of religious white heterosexuals… and that’s it.
Noneya on January 28, 2009 at 10:05 PM
Socialist public school teachers, and their unions, have made their mark on America. Bend the sapling, and you don’t have to bend the tree. We Americans are more ignorant, more helpless, more leftwing, and more of us vote Democrat, naturally.
RBMN on January 28, 2009 at 10:05 PM
America is finished, and will never recover. Pretty pathetic, really.
Don’t do the quotes really, but something about “these are the times that try men’s souls” came to mind.
You should dig a hole, climb in and pull the dirt in after you. Seriously, wtf.
Bishop on January 28, 2009 at 10:06 PM
Wonder how much that has to do with blue dogs and republicans losing their way and belief system
Defector01 on January 28, 2009 at 10:06 PM
I blame the RINOs lead by Juan McCain.
Espouse conservative ideals?
Zorro on January 28, 2009 at 10:07 PM
My wife was looking at the returns after the last election. We live in what was once a solid red county just outside a major city. The lower and middle parts of our county have been infiltrated with idiots from philadelphia who left philly because of 50 years of mismanagement by the donkies resulting in high crime, taxes, crummy neighborhoods and crooked politicians, judges deciding cases based on enveloped full of money from roofers etc..
So, what do they do?? These jacka$$e$ left and came to a solidly republican county.. Then they continue to pull the BIG D in the elections… SO, the county is slipping toward the D side.
Ditto for the really expensive properties just north of New Hope along the Delaware River. Those are multimillion dollar horse farms. What is happening there is that the New Yawkers are coming down to escape the crime, taxes and decay caused by a half century of democraptic rule.. And what do these geniuses do?? you guessed it, they pull the big D.
So, we are getting hit on both sided of the demographic scale.. The high end multimillionaires and the blue collar union types who could finally leave the shitty.. er city.
I made a casual comment about North Carolina. My wife saw something that the same thing happened there. An outflow of democraps from the disease ridden cities into the once red areas is causing the problem.
I don’t know how to stop that. These morons just don’t see that the reason they had to flee was the bankrupt philosophy that they continue to support.
bullseye on January 28, 2009 at 10:08 PM
AP, along with quite a few others here, is an atheist and I seriously doubt that any of us here could get into any country club.
MB4 on January 28, 2009 at 10:08 PM
Things are not nearly that gloomy. McCain ran the worst campaign in recent history and had nothing to offer but confusion and contradiction. There was absolutely no conservative enthusiasm except for the brief Palin spurt that McCain was able to cool like a large piece of dry ice. The Republicans need a powerful, intelligent and youthful conservative presidential candidate in 2012 and a stable full of tough, conservative congressional candidates. Political fortunes can turn on a dime and my guess is that they will.
rplat on January 28, 2009 at 10:08 PM
Obama is alienating more people weekly with his silliness and naivete and arrogance.
Give him time and plenty of rope.
Auto-erotic self-strangulation of the political variety will be his undoing.
profitsbeard on January 28, 2009 at 10:09 PM
I thought weirdos like yourself posted @ huffington post and dailykos..you know, the mentally unstable sites.
therightwinger on January 28, 2009 at 10:09 PM
One week into Hopeandchange and we’re already giving up? I think not.
Mr. D on January 28, 2009 at 10:10 PM
Just give us a couple of years of BO and we’ll be ready for real change.
Mojave Mark on January 28, 2009 at 10:10 PM
An outflow of democraps from the disease ridden cities into the once red areas is causing the problem.
I don’t know how to stop that.
I have found Claymore’s and S-mines to be quite effective; if you set the tripwires just right they will still go off even when the libs traipse across your property.
Bishop on January 28, 2009 at 10:10 PM
Does “Rove, you magnificent bastard!” have anything to do with it?
jimmy the notable on January 28, 2009 at 10:11 PM
That poll………
……….. and $2.06 will buy you a gallon of gas in California.
But a crap sandwich…..
…… is extra.
Seven Percent Solution on January 28, 2009 at 10:12 PM
“Country club” mentality . . . that’s insane and your extended analysis of a “Republican” also borders on blatant ignorance.
rplat on January 28, 2009 at 10:12 PM
I would NEVER EVER EVER vote for a Democrat, but if I was asked, I would not identify myself as a Republican.
When the Republican party comes back to me, I will consider wearing the “R” label again.
edgehead on January 28, 2009 at 10:12 PM
Are you sure you rocket surgeon you? Cuz, as an atheist, who never leaves his apartment except for booze (much less the country-club), I’m not sure you’ve convinced AP of this…but you are right..he is a total cracker.
AUINSC on January 28, 2009 at 10:13 PM
How much of this is attributable to groups like ACORN making false registrations?
CP on January 28, 2009 at 10:13 PM
……….. tell the truth to the American people?
Seven Percent Solution on January 28, 2009 at 10:13 PM
thanks to it’s country-club mentality.
Sour grapes when you tried to join the local club? They told you no shirt, no shoes, no service?
Bishop on January 28, 2009 at 10:13 PM
Amen, Virginia and Florida are the states we live in and both of them stunk this election. The county I live in Florida remained Republican but fat lot of good it did.
Cindy Munford on January 28, 2009 at 10:14 PM
A Senate filibuster of the pork bill would be like a successful defibrillator use on this party.
Chubbs65 on January 28, 2009 at 10:14 PM
Okay,nice try!
Where are the results from the other 8 states?
canopfor on January 28, 2009 at 10:14 PM
Well, maybe if we were the waitstaff. Right, former Gov. Howard Dean?
Dr.Cwac.Cwac on January 28, 2009 at 10:14 PM
I think this is a meaningless poll. But for what it’s worth, have republicans act like an opposing party and as conservatives, then we will see red all over, except for the socialist state of Massachusetts.
jencab on January 28, 2009 at 10:16 PM
I refuse to join any club that would have me as a member.
- Groucho
MB4 on January 28, 2009 at 10:17 PM
I never answer polls.
Merovign on January 28, 2009 at 10:18 PM
I have half a mind to join a club and beat Noneya over the head with it.
Groucho
MB4 on January 28, 2009 at 10:19 PM
Every office held in my county is held by a democrat. A republican couldn’t get elected here on a bet. Clinton couldn’t win this county when he ran against Dole. Showing Texas as blue is hogwash. Even the larger cities are more purple than blue. They identify as democrats and vote conservative in the national elections.
Sue on January 28, 2009 at 10:19 PM
Sorry AP…..
Noneya on Jan 28,2009 at 10:05PM.
Noneya: Hey your on a h#lleva roll,first you refer to
Sarah as a S—T,on the other thread,and now your
yapping about AllahPundit!
canopfor on January 28, 2009 at 10:20 PM
Larry Craig, Ted Haggard and Mark Foley are the alpha GOP heterosexuals!
benny shakar on January 28, 2009 at 10:20 PM
Noneya is either dead or my watch has stopped.
- Groucho
MB4 on January 28, 2009 at 10:21 PM
Larry Craig, Ted Haggard and Mark Foley are the alpha GOP heterosexuals!
benny shakar on January 28, 2009 at 10:20 PM
So which one are you currently dating?
Bishop on January 28, 2009 at 10:22 PM
I find that Noneya is very educating. Every time I see a comment of his on Hotair, I go into the other room and read a book.
- Groucho
MB4 on January 28, 2009 at 10:22 PM
Noneya is either dead or my watch has stopped.
She might have had an “accident” with the IED she was planting.
First Alphie as a human shield for an IDF soldier, now noneya.
*sheds a tear*
Bishop on January 28, 2009 at 10:24 PM
noneya…. you got a little thing for AP? huh? huh?? yeees you do. Come oooon. Ya kinda like him don’t ya?
Your secrets safe with the airheads. really…
katy on January 28, 2009 at 10:25 PM
Excellent, but s/b “So, the democrats have fooled the voters in 50?”
Entelechy on January 28, 2009 at 10:25 PM
Pwn hard. Pwn often.
blatantblue on January 28, 2009 at 10:26 PM
Did you know that alphie is now benny?
Entelechy on January 28, 2009 at 10:27 PM
And the left consists of multicultural idiots. Whats your point?
blatantblue on January 28, 2009 at 10:28 PM
As compared to Barney Frank, Chris Dodd, benny shakar…the are the beta Donk ????sexuals…just asking…you started it.
AUINSC on January 28, 2009 at 10:28 PM
Oklahoma was the only one of the United However Many States, where every county voted mostly for McCain.
I cited that tonight on my blog, in fact, to call out my normally Blue Dog DINO congressman, Dan Boren. Whom I expected to be among the eleven Dems. not voting for the stimulus bill today.
He’s voted mostly conservatively for three years already, but tonight, he let us all down, around here.
But two reasons for our overwhelming ‘Dem.’ registrations around here(myself included), is because of how the system of primary elections are set up here in Oklahoma.
The second reason is that we were all dumb once, at age 18.
Smarter than that, now~
localmalcontent on January 28, 2009 at 10:30 PM
You do nothing. His base will turn on him soon enough. .
Guardian on January 28, 2009 at 10:30 PM
Not to mention the non-heteros!
SouthernGent on January 28, 2009 at 10:30 PM
Yeah, I don’t see those numbers holding, once the Obamagasm has subsided and the brain-dead masses stop convulsing enough to actually listen to what the pollster on the other end of the line is asking.
Bruce in NH on January 28, 2009 at 10:30 PM
Sort of a bigoted statement imo, but anyway, what is the number of that demographic? I would think it would be rather large.
Is it the “white” or the “religious” that bothers you? Either /or, its a bigoted view.
Itchee Dryback on January 28, 2009 at 10:31 PM
Proud T’n'A guy right here
blatantblue on January 28, 2009 at 10:31 PM
It could be one of those menage a trois or menage a quatre thingies for all we know.
MB4 on January 28, 2009 at 10:32 PM
just more bad news for me on a bad day……..
RIP Billy Powell, Fly on Freebird.
eski502 on January 28, 2009 at 10:33 PM
Did you know that alphie is now benny?
Entelechy on January 28, 2009 at 10:27 PM
Can’t be, Alphie got killed by his own grenade, HA posted the footage just a few weeks ago.
Bishop on January 28, 2009 at 10:33 PM
What an odd statement.
Are you bigoted against gays? I thought that was a respected demographic on whatever planet you’re broadcasting from.
Itchee Dryback on January 28, 2009 at 10:34 PM
He’ll do it himself. Hot air ships get pricked easily, and unexpectedly.
Entelechy on January 28, 2009 at 10:34 PM
It could be one of those menage a trois or menage a quatre thingies for all we know.
MB4 on January 28, 2009 at 10:32 PM
Good point, benny is a liberal all.
Bishop on January 28, 2009 at 10:34 PM
Pr0n
blatantblue on January 28, 2009 at 10:35 PM
AFTER all.
Laughing to hard to type correctly.
Bishop on January 28, 2009 at 10:35 PM
How does that work? Were parts added or taken off to get from one to the other?
Cheshire Cat on January 28, 2009 at 10:35 PM
Since most everything for benny and Noneya is gay, why are they not more cheerful?
Entelechy on January 28, 2009 at 10:36 PM
No, Cheshire Cat, alphie just moved to Alaska.
Entelechy on January 28, 2009 at 10:37 PM
Yawn.
It's Vintage, Duh on January 28, 2009 at 10:39 PM
The GOP’s problem has been and still is that there is no party building going on. The GOP rides waves of public sentiment and has no real strong sub groups other than Conservative Christians and wealthy Americans.
That makes the GOP unstable around election time and is the real reason the GOP cannot match Organized labor or NAACP or any other large subgroup of Democrats.
The GOP will never be completely competitive UNTIL it drops the elitist veiw that a small group can run campaigns all over the country.
The GOP MUST start spending money in expanding its membership and having a more solid organization that is more reliable in election times.
With out a solid foundation the GOP house is built on shaky ground.
William Amos on January 28, 2009 at 10:40 PM
Politics is fashion. Skirts go in and out of fashion, and the left and the right alternate in power. We just hope that the politics is getting better, though in many ways since FDR America has changed for the worse. Maybe we’ll get back limited government as cool.
thuja on January 28, 2009 at 10:40 PM
Add our HA gay buddies, who’re way more cheerful than you, and you’re proven wrong, wrong, wrong.
Entelechy on January 28, 2009 at 10:43 PM
There will be states such as Ohio and Michigan that will only get more blue.
Of course, they could try to not bludgeon their own citizens with using trade as a political weapon, ala Reagan and onward.
Those remaining states are just “middle of nowhere” red states. No real non-agricultral industry to speak of, sold out to some Third World country, or a low population density state.
sethstorm on January 28, 2009 at 10:43 PM
I am actually glad to see this kind of report because I think it is going to be difficult to win the American people back and we need to run scared and work hard. We need a conservative direction, but don’t think that alone will do it.
Phil Byler on January 28, 2009 at 10:44 PM
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