US, NATO get permission for Russian, Asian supply lines

posted at 9:20 am on January 21, 2009 by Ed Morrissey

Score one for the outgoing Bush administration in the war on terror.  The US reached agreement with Russia and other central Asian nations to allow supply lines for the NATO coalition in Afghanistan.  This will allow for alternatives to transmitting materiel through Pakistan:

Russia and neighboring Central Asian nations have agreed to let supplies pass through their territory to American soldiers in Afghanistan, lessening Washington’s dependence on dangerous routes through Pakistan, a top U.S. commander said Tuesday.

Securing alternative routes to landlocked Afghanistan has taken on added urgency this year as the United States prepares to double troop numbers there to 60,000 to battle a resurgent Taliban eight years after the U.S.-led invasion. …

U.S. and NATO forces get up to 75 percent of their “non-lethal” supplies such as food, fuel and building materials from shipments that traverse Pakistan, a volatile, nuclear-armed country.

Russia had blown hot and cold on allowing NATO supply lines into Aghanistan.  Besides simply resenting the Western aid that defeated the Soviets in Afghanistan in the late 1980s, Vladimir Putin has bitterly opposed NATO expansion into former Soviet satellites such as Ukraine and Georgia.  At the same time, Russia doesn’t need radical Islamists on the loose in the region, and better to have NATO engaged in that war and tied down in Afghanistan than having the Russian Army dealing with the problem themselves.

This could change the politics in the region considerably.  The US has had to act cautiously with Pakistan to preserve the lines of communication into Afghanistan.  Those routes are still the most direct and least expensive, but even with more expensive alternatives, the US and NATO can act more forcefully with Islamabad.  We can cut off aid or use other pressures to get the Pakistanis to start attacking the terrorists that have created safe havens in the frontier provinces.

Pakistan may already realize that.  They announced yesterday a successful mission which killed 60 Islamist militants in Mohmand.  Mohmand is adjacent to Bajur, where the Pakistanis have actively fought Islamist terrorists for months.  The announcement indicates that the Pakistanis have begun to seriously expand the fight geographically — or at least want to be seen as doing so.

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Is Obama going to be able to take credit for this?

Tommy_G on January 21, 2009 at 9:22 AM

Maybe Obama can use some of that negotiating time to get us an air route through Iran. I’m not too keen on having our troops resupply at the mercy of Putin.

BadgerHawk on January 21, 2009 at 9:24 AM

Given the falling price of gas, Putin may need the cash. And perhaps he thinks he can later extract concessions on Georgia and the Ukraine from Obama.

Wethal on January 21, 2009 at 9:24 AM

Great, instead of having our supply lines run through a nuke-armed madhouse run by nutcases, we now have them running through a nuke-armed madhouse run by a single nutcase.

Reminds me of Minnesota weather where I can happily claim that even though it’s -20 today, it was -40 last week; wow, what an improvement.

Bishop on January 21, 2009 at 9:29 AM

I’m not a fan of us having to rely on Russia.

CP on January 21, 2009 at 9:31 AM

Putin isn’t nuts, Bishop. He’s a lot of things, but crazy isn’t one of them.

Pablo on January 21, 2009 at 9:33 AM

for some unknown reason, bambi wants to shift all the “war” (this includes opinion as well as actual defense materiel) to afghanistan. he stated over & over about defeating the tally-ban in pock-e-stan.

because i don’t know the problems & the region well, would you all say this is a good strategic move?

kelley in virginia on January 21, 2009 at 9:35 AM

Russia is merely acting in a way to insulate their ally in the region, Iran.

Vashta.Nerada on January 21, 2009 at 9:37 AM

Pablo

You are right, Putin is nuts. But he doesn’t have unlimited bargaining power. This is especially true now with the pending crisis in Russia following the collapse of the oil prices. He has to give in on some issues even if he would rather not.

RedSoxNation on January 21, 2009 at 9:38 AM

Putin isn’t nuts, Bishop. He’s a lot of things, but crazy isn’t one of them.

Pablo on January 21, 2009 at 9:33 AM

very true…he’s stone-cold and steely-eyed…a very frightening individual..

anyone that has someone killed with POLONIUM…is scary!

right4life on January 21, 2009 at 9:41 AM

Putin isn’t nuts, Bishop. He’s a lot of things, but crazy isn’t one of them.
Pablo on January 21, 2009 at 9:33 AM

A semantic difference on the definition of “nuts”, nothing more.

Putin may not be “crazy” in the colloquial sense, or in the way we might view jihadis, but Russia under his official governance and now shadow rule is anything but a model of sanity. Too many people critical of the government and its officials disappear or get murdered, sane leaders don’t build that sort of power structure.

Bishop on January 21, 2009 at 9:42 AM

CP on January 21, 2009 at 9:31 AM

There’s not a whole lot of alternatives here.

It’s either through that nuthouse called Pakistan or Russia and other Asian states.

BallisticBob on January 21, 2009 at 9:56 AM

I’m not a fan of us having to rely on Russia.

CP on January 21, 2009 at 9:31 AM

Many thought the same in WWII but it got Hitler defeated. The enemy of my emeny is my friend rings true once more. In this case the enemy is muslim terrorists.

kanda on January 21, 2009 at 9:56 AM

Huh… I wonder what the trade off was (although money was undoubtedly involved I doubt that was the key cost).

Stand down on Ukraine?

This is very much a gift to Obama from Bush. This card, played properly could do a lot to strengthen relations between Europe, Russia and the US. (and away from China)

Skywise on January 21, 2009 at 9:58 AM

Pick yer poison. Always good to have a Plan B.

a capella on January 21, 2009 at 9:59 AM

a capella on January 21, 2009 at 9:59 AM

Yep.

BallisticBob on January 21, 2009 at 10:02 AM

Hmmm…Whilst I agree more pressure needs to be put on Pakistan to deal with the Taliban problem inside their own boarders (shifting the supply lines will definitely help in that respect). I cant help thinking that NATO is handing Russia some serious political leverage re-routing the supply lines for Afghanistan through Russian territory and its sphere of direct influence.

Dreadnought223 on January 21, 2009 at 10:06 AM

Bet this makes India happy.

Maquis on January 21, 2009 at 10:07 AM

This is very much a gift to Obama from Bush. This card, played properly could do a lot to strengthen relations between Europe, Russia and the US. (and away from China)

Skywise on January 21, 2009 at 9:58 AM

Yep Bush really kept the good work going right up to the end of his term. Lets hope Obama follows the lead of his predecessor.

kanda on January 21, 2009 at 10:10 AM

Could we get some real, sustained Pakistani cooperation if we let them know we’re going to help India set up a ballistic missle shield as part of a joint defense agreement otherwise?

DarkCurrent on January 21, 2009 at 10:10 AM

Skywise on January 21, 2009 at 9:58 AM

Thats the key question… whats the trade off…

Pooty did not do this out of the kindness of his heart.

Once the infrastructure starts to build, it means transport, buildings, and jobs for Russians… is it a simple economic payoff? (Russians economy is in the serious tank).

Or, as Pooty so demonstrated with Natural Gas, does this give him one more thing to hold hostage?

Or, is it even simpler? Does he see a kindred spirit in the New Socialist President of the US?

Romeo13 on January 21, 2009 at 10:10 AM

I see a Bond movie coming…oh wait…already did.

kirkill on January 21, 2009 at 10:18 AM

Or, is it even simpler? Does he see a kindred spirit in the New Socialist President of the US?

Romeo13 on January 21, 2009 at 10:10 AM

Ow. You might be on to something there.

Maquis on January 21, 2009 at 10:25 AM

… a successful mission which killed 60 Islamist militants …

That’s a good start, but they have a long way to go before they can prove that they’re actually on our side.

Tony737 on January 21, 2009 at 10:33 AM

Nothing to celebrate. Relying on Putin for anything is inadvisable to say the least. He is a mad dog, with absolute power, and absolutely no restraint, is capable of anything. In a few months he is gonna cause a government collapse in Ukraine, get rid of their president, and then move in the tanks to ‘protect’ the Russian citizens residing there. To those in the west objecting he will order to decide between Afgan supply route or Ukraine (or Georgia, or Estonia , etc)

runner on January 21, 2009 at 10:36 AM

Obama/Putin press conference:

Obama: “I looked in his eyes and saw Marx”

Putin; “I saw the same thing in his eyes”

joepub on January 21, 2009 at 10:36 AM

In a few months he is gonna cause a government collapse in Ukraine, get rid of their president, and then move in the tanks to ‘protect’ the Russian citizens residing there. To those in the west objecting he will order to decide between Afgan supply route or Ukraine (or Georgia, or Estonia , etc)

runner on January 21, 2009 at 10:36 AM

Maybe. But if that was the case would you NOT want the opposing military anywhere near your land where it could see your defenses, get terrain info, etc?

I’m not saying we can trust Putin but the question is did Putin pull his tricks for Putin or for Russia?

Short term, tactically, though, this is better for us because we can tell Pakistan to take a flying leap.

Skywise on January 21, 2009 at 10:43 AM

This is great news.
This opens so many doors in dealing with the tribal areas in Pakistan,prevents our efforts in Afghanistan from being disrupted by the jihadist and their supporters in Pakistan’s government, and puts that government on notice.

Great news indeed.

Baxter Greene on January 21, 2009 at 10:47 AM

Thats the key question… whats the trade off

Obama has to orally service Putin now

UNREPENTANT CONSERVATIVE CAPITOLIST on January 21, 2009 at 10:51 AM

Why doesn’t the U.S. just invade Pakistan and replace its government? But, then, I suppose if it were circa 1944 we wouldn’t want to upset the ruling Nazis in Belgium in order to march to Berlin.

JDPerren on January 21, 2009 at 10:54 AM

Not exactly “great” news but news nonetheless. There is a third route into Afganistan, but it runs through Iran. That’s not gonna open up any time soon.

This would have been Obama’s first foreign policy challenge had W not taken care of it already.

What was the trade-off? Cash? Infrastructure? Guarantees not to admit Georgia and Ukraine into NATO? All of the above?

Ace ODale on January 21, 2009 at 10:57 AM

did Putin pull his tricks for Putin or for Russia?

Oh, I do’t know kid…did Hitler pull his tricks for Hitler or for Germany ?

runner on January 21, 2009 at 10:58 AM

Oh, I do’t know kid…did Hitler pull his tricks for Hitler or for Germany ?

runner on January 21, 2009 at 10:58 AM

Good point, but Putin hasn’t taken over all of Europe…yet…

Skywise on January 21, 2009 at 11:06 AM

A bit off topic but there are concerns in India that election of Obama may reverse the improvement in US-India relationship as Obama has plans to intervene in Jammu & Kashmir. Besides that there is also concern that Pakistan is beyond redemption and resentment with US for bailing out Pakistan which is perceived here in India to funnel terrorist activities against India.

Gaurav on January 21, 2009 at 11:10 AM

Many thought the same in WWII but it got Hitler defeated. The enemy of my emeny is my friend rings true once more. In this case the enemy is muslim terrorists.

kanda on January 21, 2009 at 9:56 A

If that were the way Putin saw it he would be helping us contain Iran instead of arming them. I am fairly certain he has another motivation and when we figure it out, I doubt we will like it.

Dawnsblood on January 21, 2009 at 11:18 AM

The more I think about it… the more I bet its pure cold hard cash that is the payoff.

Russia’s economy tanked when oil dropped. They need another hard currency revenue stream, and I’m sure we will be paying for the use of Russian roads and such… and I’ll bet there is a rider on it that says they MUST use Russian companies, and drivers, when they move across Russian territory…

Jobs, and cash… to stave on the Russian economic collapse.

Romeo13 on January 21, 2009 at 11:30 AM

Gaurav on January 21, 2009 at 11:10 AM

I hope the US is starting to understand India is our real, natural ally in the region and is building the relationship, covertly if necessary.

DarkCurrent on January 21, 2009 at 11:35 AM

If the Obama administration ever accomplishes anything similar, it will be trumpeted from the treetops.

It’ll be a three day story.

The Bush Administration? Bury it.

NoDonkey on January 21, 2009 at 11:35 AM

If the Obama administration ever accomplishes anything similar, it will be trumpeted from the treetops.
.
It’ll be a three day story.
.
The Bush Administration? Bury it.
.
NoDonkey on January 21, 2009 at 11:35 AM
.
That sums it up with the whores running most of the MSM.

DavePa on January 21, 2009 at 11:55 AM

Funny story about India–at least I thought so.

I was in the locker room at my Gym this morning and this guy was talking to a friend about a trip to Sedona, Az. He said he “saw an Indian dressed in wool in the dead of summer-you know, an Indian like a Pakistani Indian..”

I just laughed to myself and was glad there wasn’t an Indian or Pakistani there. Could have been ugly.

joepub on January 21, 2009 at 11:59 AM

Good point, but Putin hasn’t taken over all of Europe…yet…

Skywise on January 21, 2009 at 11:06 AM

Ahh….60 years ago one needed Blitkreig to conquer Europe. Today, all Putin has to do is close a gas valve. And he knows it.

BobMbx on January 21, 2009 at 12:47 PM

LOL Now we have to worry about Putin stealing them.

Rick007 on January 21, 2009 at 1:40 PM

This will help us get tougher with Pakistan. Good move Bush.

This means no NATO membership for Ukraine or Georgia. Good move Putin.

ThePrez on January 21, 2009 at 1:58 PM