Online bookies: Palin the odds-on favorite for 2012 nomination
posted at 4:45 pm on January 2, 2009 by Allahpundit
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Ever so slightly over Mitt and Huck.
Despite a slew of negative press this fall about Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) running mate, online gaming site Superbook.com puts Palin’s odds at 3.5-1, the best among Republican hopefuls.
Other top GOP contenders include former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, whose odds are set at 4-1, and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, at 5-1…
Another online site, BetUs Sportsbook, made Palin and Romney 4-1 co-favorites.
We’ve been over this. Barring a catastrophic first term, The One will be heavily favored for reelection, leading young’uns like Jindal and Palin to bow out and bide their time until 2016. (Even Palinistas as devout as Coulter agree that she should wait, as do you guys.) Mitt might run since he’d be 69 and facing a crowded, charismatic field in 2016, but unless he stands a real chance to win, I figure he’ll pass too in the interest of avoiding further expense and aggravation. Result: A Huckabee-Pawlenty snoozefest, leading grassroots conservatives to tear at their hair in anguish and boredom until some dark horse like Mark Sanford jumps in to make things moderately more interesting. Exit question one: Can you feel the excitement? Exit question two: Might Mitt run, conceivably, out of some sense of party loyalty even if he thought he was likely to lose? If there’s a leadership vacuum at the top of the GOP and the frontrunners are all weak and southern, would he jump in to rebrand the party with a midwestern/northeastern face and a reputation for financial expertise? Dean Barnett always swore to me that Mitt was motivated by a true sense of civic duty more so than any personal ambition. We’ll see.
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I never gamble unless ordering out.
Exit question one: Can you feel the excitement? Yes I Do
Exit question one: Can you feel the excitement? leadership vacuum
You answered your own question.
Kini on January 2, 2009 at 4:50 PM
The world is ending in 2012, so why bother thinking about it?
ThePrez on January 2, 2009 at 4:51 PM
I hope she gets nominated. She’s so hot. What this country needs is a PILF.
factoid on January 2, 2009 at 4:51 PM
I am soooo ‘Cuda-ed out. And it’s FAR too early to think about this yet.
JetBoy on January 2, 2009 at 4:53 PM
I will work tirelessly for her if she runs.
Firebird on January 2, 2009 at 4:53 PM
Concerning whom? Open ended question.
You answered:
Might wanna wait a couple years. Mit may have a heart attack, as does Huck. B.H.O. may get flogged by some wacked out person. The odds are endless.
upinak on January 2, 2009 at 4:53 PM
She should gather money and wait until the last possible moment to announce. The key will be how far the destruction of the US under Purple-lipped Messiah has progressed.
Jim62sch on January 2, 2009 at 4:54 PM
She is trying to lay low, the press can’t let it go.
Palin-Rice 2012
Firebird on January 2, 2009 at 4:55 PM
Rice is too liberal.
upinak on January 2, 2009 at 4:55 PM
It’s fun to speculate, but the past has always showed us that unforeseen events will intervene and change things in ways we can’t imagine. We have no idea how the next four years will unfold.
Mark1971 on January 2, 2009 at 4:58 PM
Palin-Rice? Please.
Rice would have been fine before she went over to State and got absorbed into the stripey-pants Borg that lives in foggy bottom. Now she’s barely better than Obambi, babbling about dialogue and restraint by Israel.
Palin-Bolton 2012!
Unadulterated Conservatism. You heard it here first!!
Cicero43 on January 2, 2009 at 5:00 PM
And why is it so hard to believe that his first term won’t be catastrophic? Unless you think his trillion dollar stimulus package(aka New Deal Part II) will turn this economy around.
I think the more accurate question is if/when his catastrophic first term is coming to a close, will the drive-bys have the stones to portray it as such?
Doughboy on January 2, 2009 at 5:01 PM
I agree with everything Allah says here, but:
What if Obama has a bad first term and the mid terms are good for the GOP? If things are good for Jindal to throw his name in I thnik he runs away with it, especially in the primaries.
eski502 on January 2, 2009 at 5:03 PM
Oh, please. I’ll be grateful to get through the next four years with the A$$hat in Chief in charge.
Mitt was the right guy for the times we’re facing particularly with regard to the economy. More prescient types understood this. I wouldn’t blame Mitt if he stayed out and let the Huckmeister take on the Magic Negro in 2012.
Cody1991 on January 2, 2009 at 5:04 PM
This is so boring.
lexhamfox on January 2, 2009 at 5:04 PM
Don’t forget Ron Paul! He will be the first President in history to actually reduce the size of government. Reagan talked a good game, but he still left us with bigger government than Carter.
lodge on January 2, 2009 at 5:07 PM
This is so boring.
lexhamfox on January 2, 2009 at 5:04 PM
+10 ;))
Cody1991 on January 2, 2009 at 5:07 PM
How boring is it???
Snowed In on January 2, 2009 at 5:08 PM
Aw, come on…after 8 years of WJC you can still yearn for that?
/
Bob's Kid on January 2, 2009 at 5:10 PM
Very
eski502 on January 2, 2009 at 5:10 PM
Palin – Willis 2012
Yippee-kay-aye
Die Hard
faraway on January 2, 2009 at 5:13 PM
Palin Rice! Are you completely insane? Rice has been a total incompetent boob at State! Her Land for Peace deal with Israel is part of what has caused all this! C’mon!
Palin will never be supported by the RNC bigs! It’s going to be Mitt Romney! You rubes need to get in line and support the candidate that the RNC tells you to support! You have no say in it! Palin is too conservative for the Republican party and those who are running it! Mitt is your choice so swallow hard and get ready to get on his band wagon. I’m sure Laura, Sean and Beck already are! Mitt, Mitt, Mitt!!! LOL!!! Oh…and Obama will slaughter him!!!!
sabbott on January 2, 2009 at 5:13 PM
Hey Allah, we will be in a high inflation period just like the 70s under Carter. There will be one way BO can win a second term. People in 3 years will miss the Bush presidency with the inflation under control and when our unempolyment level was at 6%. Under BO unemployment will shy rocket up to 12% or even higher.
Republican can win back the white house in 2012 if we have a Bobby or a Sarah, or a Mark as our nominee.
BroncosRock on January 2, 2009 at 5:14 PM
Yeah but not until December of 2012.
apollyonbob on January 2, 2009 at 5:15 PM
Boring as watching a sloth hold up a bank run by turtles.
Er, wait, that doesn’t sound boring..
OneGyT on January 2, 2009 at 5:15 PM
Does this mean I can blame the RNC for McCain this time around? And to think that all this time I only blamed the MSM.
Snowed In on January 2, 2009 at 5:16 PM
Rice has kept America safe for 7 years, to say she caused the Gaza problem only shows what a F’n idiot you are.
The RNC bigs? Oh now I’m scared.
Oh and Obama is a homo!
Firebird on January 2, 2009 at 5:20 PM
Since the next three years will probably be quite disasterous, especially if Obama acually implements his economic plans, I’d say we’ll have a good enough shot for the Palin and Jindal crowd to jump in.
t.ferg on January 2, 2009 at 5:24 PM
After witnessing these pro-Hamas rallies around the U.S., Sarah Palin and her faith in G_d, and the U.S. *she likes the U.S., she really likes it…..She is the only person I can imagine that should be in the Whitehouse. The Purple Lipped One is the most G_dless man to enter the Whitehouse, and he certainly hates the U.S., he and his James Brown looking wife will absolutely have America hanging its head in shame.
nondhimmie on January 2, 2009 at 5:31 PM
Palin/Jindal 2012!!!
She should run in 2012. Have you heard of Obama’s economic “stimulus” package? Green jobs etc.
This is going to be a huge failure. Not to mention Hillary as Secretary of State. Oy Vey!
Also, his obsession with fitness and showing of his moobs is creepy. He is not going to dedicate himself to the office.
Closing Guantanamo will be beyond idiocy and supremely dangerous for our country.
As you can tell I am not part of the Hope wagon.
Republicans will win 2010, Palin will run 2012 and win by a huge margin.
jencab on January 2, 2009 at 5:34 PM
Yeehaw. We can only hope The One’s first term is his last.
No. Not really.
Aronne on January 2, 2009 at 5:36 PM
Can that name please be retired. It isn’t funny or witty. Every time it’s used it makes the GOP seem petty and yes racist.
Please stop.
harry on January 2, 2009 at 5:38 PM
+10
Snowed In on January 2, 2009 at 5:46 PM
Wow…and how soon Bobby Jindal has been tossed under the bus too…
JetBoy on January 2, 2009 at 5:51 PM
2012 is not on the menu at this time. Way tooooo early, as we need to focus on the now through 2010. Bad enough we just suffered through a freakin (2) year presidential campaign, let’s not make it a (4) year deal this time around.
Keemo on January 2, 2009 at 5:52 PM
OMT: No more Clinton’s & no more Bush’s!!!! Can we all agree on that now?
Keemo on January 2, 2009 at 5:54 PM
Geeze people give it a break.
0Bama isn’t in office yet and the campaign for 2012 started before the last vote in the last election was counted.
Can’t we look around for the next three years or so and see if we might find someone better than the current GOP ‘rock stars’? The entire world is probably going to be vastly different by the time we have to choose again, and we may need someone with an entirely different set of skills, competences and personality than we want now. By then we may need a Patton at the reins (or we may need a Ghandi).
Lets not burn our bridges before we come to them. (Metaphor mixed intentionally).
LegendHasIt on January 2, 2009 at 5:57 PM
Gingrich-2012
Palin and Jindal should wait.
V15J on January 2, 2009 at 6:06 PM
Ronnie Van Zant 2012
eski502 on January 2, 2009 at 6:07 PM
Why should we “bar” a catastrophic first term? Obama is only a four-year Senator, two of which were spent campaigning, and with a Democrat Congress he will probably lurch between the leftist Pelosicrats and the more centrist Hillarycrats, and could end up vacillating and dithering in Carteresque fashion. What does Obama really know about governing?
He will have plenty of opportunities to mess up, and Republicans need to get ready to take back the House in 2010, and the stage might be set for a Jindal or Palin candidacy in 2012. Both will be six-year Governors by then, and both could try to get their messages out by making policy speeches outside their states, and Palin should bone up on foreign policy.
Has Obama girded his loins yet? Remember, he will be tested by an international crisis, saith Joe Biden.
Steve Z on January 2, 2009 at 6:08 PM
Just great! Last year I had the news media picking the RNC candidate. Now the bookies are doing it. At least they’re a little more respectable.
Tommy_G on January 2, 2009 at 6:10 PM
coup
bill30097 on January 2, 2009 at 6:21 PM
Obama vs. Palin? The most intellectual pol in the country vs. the stupidest? The come-together candidate vs. the polarizing social con? The good father vs. the bad (grand)mother? The Constitutional Law professor vs. the sportscaster? President of the Harvard Law Review vs. Miss Wasilla? Columbia Univ. & Harvard Law vs. Hawaii Pacific U., N. Idaho College, Univ. of Idaho and Matanuska-Susitna College?
Oh please let it happen!
Noneya on January 2, 2009 at 6:22 PM
She’s hot but I hope she gets some serious coaching in between now and then because on present form she would completely bomb.
Bush barely won against a fat egotist (2000) and a monumental condescending bore (2004). Alas they were both male. I think Palin has a massive handicap being female *and* terrible at presentation.
Much as I like her, she needs a lot of work.
Ares on January 2, 2009 at 6:23 PM
That’s a bit unfair when spending millions of his own money is required to prove his civic duty to your satisfaction.
Buy Danish on January 2, 2009 at 6:28 PM
Okay one more comparison with JFK and the filthy bastard about to take office. Lee Harvey Oswald is the only reason that JFK has a positive legacy. He was in Dallas in November 1963 because he desperately needed to get Southern Democrats on his side. The Kennedy administration was almost completely and totally a failure even if you discount the war the man inflicted on the nation.
Now, I’m not saying that somebody should take out Obama but untested, inexperienced, empty suits are not the best leaders when it comes to serious times and serious problems. At least JFK was tempered by serving in a war and coming up in a family of politicians. Obama hates and distrusts the military, doesn’t understand the basics of statecraft, and has assembled a team whose only qualification is loyally supporting while he was race-baiting agitator in Southside Chicago.
highhopes on January 2, 2009 at 6:34 PM
Thankfully, if she was dumb enough to think about running, she won’t have to publicly commit until one year before the election.
First and foremost she has to be a successful govenor.
patrick neid on January 2, 2009 at 6:38 PM
Palin a bad grandmother?? noneya you are an F’ING douchebag. She is a better person than you will ever be. She is also the next president.
ousoonerfan15 on January 2, 2009 at 6:38 PM
Which is kind of weird. How often is a member of the losing ticket one cycle even on the very next cycle’s ticket? At least recently, not often. Mondale?
anuts on January 2, 2009 at 6:44 PM
My brother in law and I, were discussing this last night, he is up in Montana, he has a brother that lives in Alaska…My brother in law thinks she should bag it, why should she put herself through it again, she gets treated like ca ca. Yes he voted for her, of course he would vote for her again as would I.
Dr Evil on January 2, 2009 at 6:46 PM
Noneya on January 2, 2009 at 6:22 PM
What a freakin douche bag…
Keemo on January 2, 2009 at 6:49 PM
So was Clinton, Macaca, Giuliani, (yawn) Fred, etc.
LevStrauss on January 2, 2009 at 6:49 PM
noneya is garbage
joey24007 on January 2, 2009 at 6:51 PM
But it would be good to get her out of the way and just lose in 2012. Hell I might even vote for her just to Dole-Kemp her. Two interviews were rough enough on her, what’s she going to do, have all her interviews with sympathetic Hannity while he gently pats her on the head the whole time?
LevStrauss on January 2, 2009 at 6:52 PM
A Russian college professor said the USA will not last past 2010 . . . I guess we’re jumping ship before the end of the world so we won’t be blamed.
rplat on January 2, 2009 at 6:55 PM
Hmm…you got called garbage and a dbag, there must be an element of truth to what you say.
I am surprised you didn’t get the…”but if we just coach her or if she just studies up, she’ll be a whole lot better”. Funny that we are picking the next leader of the free world and they talk about her like she’s Billy Madison and still think she is the best pick. Why don’t we just pick somebody who already has a brain, novel idea I guess?
LevStrauss on January 2, 2009 at 6:57 PM
I look forward to the day someone on HA makes the argument that Palin has mainstream (as in beyond the base) appeal.
So far, no one has and the polls never have supported the idea.
Ares on January 2, 2009 at 6:58 PM
She can’t run on executive experience in 2012 – won’t fly. And if she needs so much coaching why should she really be a serious contender? Oh yeah because she’s hot…/sarc off
Great…. make her first campaign slogan “Vote for me because in the dead of the night you know you want me..”
Jesus wept!
Bradky on January 2, 2009 at 6:58 PM
Give it up, girly. You got the hots for Sarah and your fighting your lust for her with vitriol.
“The lady dost protests too much methinks.” Hamlet
gracie on January 2, 2009 at 6:59 PM
Either A. The Messiah is a complete disaster and Palin runs and wins… You betcha. or B. The Messiah brings Hope! and Change! and CHuckles ends up winning the nomination and getting humiliated. These situations both sound pretty good to me.
Illinidiva on January 2, 2009 at 7:00 PM
Huck = McCain.
winged on January 2, 2009 at 7:01 PM
If that’s the base, what the hell do they stand for? Amorphous self identity politics?
LevStrauss on January 2, 2009 at 7:02 PM
Hell, if Huck gets the nomination, I’ll join Hagee’s ministry, preferably a paid position, because the end times, she’s a coming!!!
LevStrauss on January 2, 2009 at 7:04 PM
heh… in McLane we trust?
Hog Wild on January 2, 2009 at 7:05 PM
RE: Palin-Rice 2012 and the comments about Rice.
I don’t know her opinion on key issues. As Bush’s SOS she has followed policies, but ho wmuch of them are hers which she convinced him to follow, versus his or Cheney’s which she implemented as was her responsibility?
Red State State of Mind on January 2, 2009 at 7:05 PM
Meh, no thanks on Palin.
Yes please on the Sanford, Romney and Jindal.
therightwinger on January 2, 2009 at 7:07 PM
Chuckling…and I shouldn’t.
I like the woman but after eight years of a man who sounded like a blithering idiot, she won’t stand a chance in hell unless she gets some good coaching. Witness Obama. he says nothing at all but he says it *well*. That’s the mood. Palin can garble up some great ideas but it won’t sell beyond 20% of the country.
Ares on January 2, 2009 at 7:08 PM
Whew! I’m glad that’s over with! We were getting too close to the election for this indecision to go on-and-on.
eeyore on January 2, 2009 at 7:10 PM
we need that mManiac Ron Paul!!!
joey24007 on January 2, 2009 at 7:12 PM
well Conservatives institute government mandated health care!!!!
Like Romney!!!!!
joey24007 on January 2, 2009 at 7:13 PM
Sarah Palin 2009 Calendar Becomes an Amazon Bestseller
selias on January 2, 2009 at 7:14 PM
I don’t think we should be looking in the house of Bush. The people that helped squander the Republican majorities and nearly handed the Dems a filibuster proof senate shouldn’t receive first consideration.
Get a governor or even someone from the HOR if they make a name for themselves in the next few years, right now I think Jindal’s looking the best though we may want to save him for 2016.
LevStrauss on January 2, 2009 at 7:15 PM
Nah, tried that and lost. When are you going to figure out that maxim yourself?
LevStrauss on January 2, 2009 at 7:18 PM
McCain-Hagel 2012
We need those independents!!!
joey24007 on January 2, 2009 at 7:18 PM
Larry Elder/Michael Steele 2012
jbh45 on January 2, 2009 at 7:18 PM
no thanks on anyone who is not named Palin.
An Era of Hate on January 2, 2009 at 7:20 PM
Palin-Huntsman!
of course Mike Huckabee will start kneecapping Huntsman because he is a Mormon … just like he did to Romney
joey24007 on January 2, 2009 at 7:24 PM
LevStrauss on January 2, 2009 at 7:04 PM
Why don’t we just pick somebody who already has a brain, novel idea I guess?
Nice elitist statement there Mr. brilliant. Looks like you and Noneya have much in common. Hope things work out between the two of you.
Why would anybody with a brain want to serve this country in public office? With people like Lev and Noneya, why does anybody bother?
Keemo on January 2, 2009 at 7:24 PM
Paul – Guy who doesn’t like Jews in the Federal Reserve 2012
Bringing America Back!! … to the 19th century!
joey24007 on January 2, 2009 at 7:26 PM
Palin/Bachmann 2012
Continent First!
benny shakar on January 2, 2009 at 7:31 PM
Ofraud/Camelot Barbie
You know, you know 58 states first you know?
An Era of Hate on January 2, 2009 at 7:35 PM
57 states
False unifying “third-wayer” like the fascist progessives Wilson and FDR.
So good he had his kids baptized in an racist, America hating church.
Not a professor, a lecturer.
Admitted due to their legacy policy.
V15J on January 2, 2009 at 7:37 PM
Well, being a complete cynic for a moment, coaching seemed to work for Obama. Aside from his experience as a junior lawyer for 5 minutes, writing two shamefully self-indulgent autobiographies, and indulging in a little racial warfare the man has achieved nothing at all.
Against such a low standard, Palin could float if she were able to speak coherently and persuasively.
Ares on January 2, 2009 at 7:37 PM
It’s gonna be a helluva long time before I’m Cuda’ed out. I found this post from Team Sarah. It’s words to a Sarah Palin song to the song “Gone Country”. Enjoy.
Going Sarah!
She’s a good Christian girl, came of age in Wasilla
Hunted moose with her Daddy, and rode the snowmachine
A feisty little filly, was the captain of her high school team
They won the state championship, fulfillin one of many dreams
Fell in love with her high school sweetheart Todd
Boy and Girl eloped to save her old man dough
She’s Sarah Palin, Alaska’s best
She’s Sarah Palin, tougher’n the rest
She’s Sarah Palin, facin another test
She’s Sarah Palin, here she comes
She was on the city council and also was the mayor too
Raisin four great children on salmon and caribou
She fought the old boys’ club, determined with grit and will
Won the governor’s job with the votes of Alaskans she loves
Cleaning up her state, and havin baby Trig
And pretty soon ole Mac made her his pick
She’s SaraCuda, looks great in boots
She’s SaraCuda, oh how she shoots
She’s SaraCuda, from sturdy roots
She’s Sarah Palin, here she comes
She wowed the folks at the convention, speakin up for Johnny McCain
Took Joe Biden in debate, and fired up the whole campaign
It seemed that ole Ronnie Reagan the gipper had been reborn
But the economy died, election lost, and wounded pride
Hibernatin Mommabear licking her wounds
But she’ll be back soon, I’ll write another tune
She’s Sarah Palin, just doin her part
She’s Sarah Palin, a servant’s heart
She’s Sarah Palin, at home in ole WalMart
She’s Sarah Palin, Whew! work of art
We’re Sarah’s People, doin our part
We’re Sarah’s People, with servants’ hearts
We’re Sarah’s People, make a fresh new start
We’re Sarah’s People, Ohhhh.here we come
She’s Sarah Palin
She’s Sarah Palin
Everybody’s Sarah’s People,
Yah, We’re Sarah’s People,
We’re all Sarah’s People
Sapwolf on January 2, 2009 at 7:45 PM
Hey … weren’t you fighting seagulls for french fries in the parking lot at McDonalds?
joey24007 on January 2, 2009 at 7:46 PM
Don’t bet against it!
SouthernGent on January 2, 2009 at 7:48 PM
Go Sarah Go. But I dont think a Palin/Rice Ticket is going to work. Its going to require maybe a
something something /Palin ticket with her being VP material again. Its also going to depend on what the Dems cough up.
johnnyU on January 2, 2009 at 7:51 PM
Whats this gambling angle?
Nevermind Mitt,and Jindal!
For SarahCudu,
It is said,
It is written!
Therefore,it will be!:)
canopfor on January 2, 2009 at 7:52 PM
Cudu=Cuda,Ugh!
canopfor on January 2, 2009 at 7:54 PM
nomination? Well she is very Nom-able.
- The Cat
MirCat on January 2, 2009 at 7:54 PM
YES!
Sapwolf on January 2, 2009 at 7:56 PM
LOL! That just cracks me up. Reminds me why I love HA.
That was post of the week.
Sapwolf on January 2, 2009 at 8:02 PM
I agree with you that we may find the best candidates fo rnational tickets from the ranks of the HOR or the Governorships. But that wasn’t my point. My point was that we (or at least “I”) don’t know C Rice’s policy positions. I don’t automatically assume that she is 100 % in line with W even though she was his SOS. Similarly, I “hope” Palin doesn’t support every one of McCain’s policies even though she supported almost all of them during the campaign.
Red State State of Mind on January 2, 2009 at 8:02 PM
I might be wrong,but I think,Huckabee has found
his second calling,the gig on Fox,and Huckabee
has said he likes being on Fox!
canopfor on January 2, 2009 at 8:05 PM
I think the seagulls won.
Red State State of Mind on January 2, 2009 at 8:06 PM
She needs to run in 2012, whether she wins the presidency or not (it’s a foregone conclusion to me that she’ll get the nomination). When she’s on the stump, she is masterful at tearing up The One, and it unsettles him. John McCain was an idiot for not utilizing her more this way.
Yes, Obama after one term will be a challenge to stop (not because he’ll have a great first term, but simply because he will raise lots of money), but the Barracuda unleashed (with no Grandpa McCain to hold her back) will be fierce.
Besides, who is going to be the change candidate in 2012?
EMD on January 2, 2009 at 8:07 PM
Actually she is very liberal on quite a few veiws. As I can’t find the links I remember her speaking about marriage and why she was against it, due to her upbringing and the fact that her parents wanted her to excel in a career and not marriage. Honestly I think she may be a lesbian, but who cares none of my business? She also has no real opinion on abortion or illegals. It was an interesting interview. And as I like Rice for a great mind as she HAS worked her buns off, her judgement to me lacks and has much to be desired.
upinak on January 2, 2009 at 8:08 PM
OMT:No more Clinton’s and no more Bush’s!!!!
Keemo on Jan 2,2009 at 5:54PM.
Keemo: AMEN,and h#ll yes!:)
canopfor on January 2, 2009 at 8:10 PM
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