Online bookies: Palin the odds-on favorite for 2012 nomination
posted at 4:45 pm on January 2, 2009 by Allahpundit
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Ever so slightly over Mitt and Huck.
Despite a slew of negative press this fall about Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) running mate, online gaming site Superbook.com puts Palin’s odds at 3.5-1, the best among Republican hopefuls.
Other top GOP contenders include former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, whose odds are set at 4-1, and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, at 5-1…
Another online site, BetUs Sportsbook, made Palin and Romney 4-1 co-favorites.
We’ve been over this. Barring a catastrophic first term, The One will be heavily favored for reelection, leading young’uns like Jindal and Palin to bow out and bide their time until 2016. (Even Palinistas as devout as Coulter agree that she should wait, as do you guys.) Mitt might run since he’d be 69 and facing a crowded, charismatic field in 2016, but unless he stands a real chance to win, I figure he’ll pass too in the interest of avoiding further expense and aggravation. Result: A Huckabee-Pawlenty snoozefest, leading grassroots conservatives to tear at their hair in anguish and boredom until some dark horse like Mark Sanford jumps in to make things moderately more interesting. Exit question one: Can you feel the excitement? Exit question two: Might Mitt run, conceivably, out of some sense of party loyalty even if he thought he was likely to lose? If there’s a leadership vacuum at the top of the GOP and the frontrunners are all weak and southern, would he jump in to rebrand the party with a midwestern/northeastern face and a reputation for financial expertise? Dean Barnett always swore to me that Mitt was motivated by a true sense of civic duty more so than any personal ambition. We’ll see.
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Historically speaking, the odds are against Barry getting reelected. It is rare for two consecutive presidents to serve eight years, much less three in a row. Second, the next four years are going to be a disaster anyway, so prepare to spend the time treading water politically and financially.
Vashta.Nerada on January 5, 2009 at 10:14 AM
Benny, how about we look in your closet?
I wonder what we would find? S&M items? A gay man? Some dirty laundry you haven’t washed for one reason or another? Or how about a washed out has-been who is obsessed with Palin and can’t help themselves.
Get a clue Benny…
upinak on January 5, 2009 at 11:36 AM
Mitt will run, Obama sees it coming, he even called Mitt last week to “chat”.
hanzblinx on January 5, 2009 at 12:10 PM
Upinak, did I understand correctly that you are in Alaska? If so, I was wondering if you could confirm or correct something I heard the past weekend from a couple of Alaskans I know. They said that Alaskans were supportive of Palin before she was picked as the VP candidate, but now they oppose her due to news stories about her during the campaign. Troopergate was specifically mentioned. They implied that Alaskans were disappointed to learn that Palin was not as transparent as she had promised to be.
I am assuming that Palin is an efffective and ethical governor and that most of the negative stories are the MSM’s attempts to destroy her.
SheofTwoMinds on January 5, 2009 at 3:14 PM
I’m sure upinak will speak to this when she returns to the thread, but in the meantime, from what I’ve seen she is still quite popular:
Y-not on January 5, 2009 at 6:55 PM
Those who talk like that weren’t happy about her to begin with. Talking out of both sides of their mouth so to speak.
Yes they liked her when she first started, as she got EVERYTHING done which she said she would do, in a year. Unheard of in any State Government Agency anywhere. Also, most were upset with the “Taser Gate” crap, which we heard about endlessly. When you hear it 24/7, you just want to tune out everything or believe it and go insane. I am going to assume these two Alaskans were also from Anchorage… which is the second most liberal city here. Juneau the first. What most people don’t seem to understand is Trooper/Taser Gate was a personal issue for that family, yet opinions are like buttholes, everyone has one.
I still support her, her conservative budget cuts (which she is still doing), the fact she is not giving up on the pipeline or the contract, the fact she has given everyone (who qualified) the energy rebate… she didn’t HAVE to do that! She has done quite a bit of good… but you will always have those few who will ALWAYS look for the bad when all you see is good.
upinak on January 5, 2009 at 7:33 PM
From what I have read and heard, Gov. Palin seems to be doing an outstanding job in Alaska. As a VP candidate I could find her as very acceptable. But to counter the next four years ahead of us, we are going to need a figure head who will cut a wide swath through congress on both sides to counter what is coming in the next four years not only for us here in the states, but to the world. Who that would be, I don’t know. If he doesn’t appear, I’m pretty sure Gov. Palin will be tapped. Why she would accept is beyond me.
N4646W on January 6, 2009 at 3:29 AM
Y-not, upinak, N4646W,
Thanks for sharing your perspectives with me. The two Alaskans are in-laws of my chiropractor and strongly endorsed Palin when she was tapped for VP. I was puzzled as to why they seemed to not know better than to believe the media’s portrayal of her. I suspect they may have low resistance to PDS spores, with which the media has contaminated our water supply.
SheofTwoMinds on January 6, 2009 at 12:46 PM
And is still contaminating.
Levi quit his job because of the Media.
Levi’s Mom is not being hounded by them. I guess a fair trial isn’t going to happen.
Taser/Trooper Gate is rearing it’s head again… and Wooten is on Desk Jockey jobs due to threats to his life. And monegan is running for Mayor.
I am sooooooo freaking tired of the BS. I am sorry you had to meet those types of Alaskans. They do not represent real ones.
upinak on January 6, 2009 at 1:02 PM
Minor pet peeve of mine. If they’re listing her at 3.5-1 (7-2 in more familiar terms), that’s a long way from odds-on–which would mean she was so heavily favored that you would have to lay more in your wager than your possible win. She’s the favorite on that line, no more and no less.
silverpie on January 7, 2009 at 3:36 PM
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