Round three: CO, NM; Update: Fox calls Ohio for Obama; Update: CNN calls Iowa for Obama; Update: Fox calls Virginia for Obama; Update: Denver Post calls Colorado for Obama; Update: NBC calls the election for Obama
posted at 9:06 pm on November 4, 2008 by Allahpundit
At this point I’d be shocked if either of them mattered, but the polls have closed so here’s a new thread for results.
As I’m writing that, CNN calls Minnesota and Michigan for The One.
Update: Turns out my prediction was too conservative: I had Ohio going for McCain. Fox calls it for The One. And with that, the hour of reckoning is at hand.
Update: I said in this post over the weekend that under no circumstances could Maverick lose more than one among Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Virginia. Unless the network projections are drastically wrong, he’s already lost two. According to MSNBC, with both PA and OH in the ledger, Obama has 195 EVs with 55 still to come from California. Florida would put him over the top.
Update: Ohio’s the first red state from 2004 to flip, incidentally, and the only one Obama needs thanks to its high EV number. He can win the election now simply by holding Kerry’s states.
Update: The nets will be appropriately cautious about calling Florida early after the fiasco eight years ago but Obama’s leading steadily by 150,000-200,000 votes with 60 percent reporting and the bellwether counties don’t look good. If that flips, we’re approaching landslide territory.
Update: Obama wins New Mexico, unsurprisingly.
Update: The polls are closed now in Nevada and Montana too, but neither will matter. CNN calls Iowa for The One.
Update: With 84 percent reporting, Obama’s now ahead in Virginia by 13,000 votes.
Update: With 91 percent reporting and a lead of more than 50,000 votes, Fox hands Virginia to The One. That gives him 220 EVs, according to my tally. California will put him over the top.
Update: More blood on the floor: The Denver Post says Colorado belongs to The One. We should have a call on California from the networks within the next five minutes, and that should wrap things up.
Update: And there’s California, and there’s the election.
Blowback
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No more for me. Time to embrace the horror.
I’m all for optimism, but at this point its just foolishness. The game is over.
The only silver lining for me is that my security clearance may go sour and keep me from getting that commission. I used to dread that possibility; now, well, at least I wouldn’t serve at the pleasure of this empty-souled America-hating con man.
As for me, no more TV or Internet. For a long time. I’m going fishing and drinking a lot.
Good night and good luck, folks. We’ll need it.
Pray for our country. Please.
Professor Blather on November 4, 2008 at 9:47 PM
How was Mars?
Jim Treacher on November 4, 2008 at 9:47 PM
Ireland
Dritanian on November 4, 2008 at 9:47 PM
There was a modified Obama campaign sign on the road on the way home today that said impeach on it LOL
lorien1973 on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
It’s done.
terryannonline on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
Explaining about Ohio now. Da yoot killed McCain, apparently
CherokeeJack on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
I have to admit all the PA congressional races are close
William Amos on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
i blame mccain and his H-O-R-R-I-B-L-E campaign that let obama slide on his many, many, many, many disgusting qualities which are to long to list right now.
Nuge em on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
A disorganized conservative movement has let this happen to America. This is horrible how will we ever recover?
lanesmerge on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
64% of Ohio young voters went to Obama. 48% said McCain would continue Bush policies, 47% said he wouldn’t. 52% of Indies went to Obama, 45% went to McCain.
82% of Clinton voters and a majority of women in general went to Obama.
amerpundit on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
Fixed.
You might add the monumental stupidity of the Osama Obama-trolls who drank the Kool-Ade and will be quitting their jobs tomorrow, because the Big O will pay for their gas and mortgages.
Some of the so-called “Republicans” on the radio (think Hugh Hewitt) are giving up. I’m not.
And if the Marxist totalitarian wins, I will not be loyal. I’ll do whatever small bit I can to see him hamstrung and, if possible, hounded from office.
I love my country too much to do otherwise.
MrScribbler on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
The celebrated Obama ground game — paid for by Doodad Pro, et al — that allowed him to compete seriously in all
5750 states has not purchased a landslide. This is a rebuke of Bush, not of conservatism.The best advice I can give to you is to have faith in God. He has blessed the United States of America when we honored His Word. If we are falling away from His Word, we will be judged accordingly and no politician can save us.
Terrie on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
Back from a fine meal and some good wine
… whose suicides did I miss?
Have the media ceded ALL to Obama, yet?
Are more than 15% of actual votes counted anywhere, yet?
profitsbeard on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
MSNBC thinks it’s 44%-54%. with twice as many votes counted.
Phoenician on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
An Obama voter in Pennsylvania admits to CNN that he voted multiple times…
Also on youtube here
Brazilian Neocon on November 4, 2008 at 9:48 PM
Yes it IS Bush’s fault. He strayed away from conservative values and betrayed his constituency. And until the GOP learns this lesson, it won’t be winning in the future.
By the way, instead of calling me derogatory names for supporting Ron Paul, why don’t some of you actually provide some arguments?
MedSchoolCatholic on November 4, 2008 at 9:49 PM
To you, I suppose, it seems that way. I see it differently.
Sarah Louise Palin – 45th president of the U.S.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 9:49 PM
I wonder how long we’ll have to wait for the celebratory Kalishnikov rifle firings from the Gaza Strip?
alwaysright43 on November 4, 2008 at 9:49 PM
Anyone know what the gun licensing laws are in New York state?
It truly is a consideration for this suburbanite. Any suggestions on what I should purchase? I assume a sweet little hand gun would be appropriate.
While a shotgun is probably makes more sense against Obama’s new force, it won’t make much sense in the suburbs on NYC.
IrishGirl17 on November 4, 2008 at 9:49 PM
I now think PA is gone, looking at the Official State site, it does look a tad tight, still doable, but tight.
Mark Garnett on November 4, 2008 at 9:49 PM
Because that stupid lady is still county Lake County votes.
Oink on November 4, 2008 at 9:49 PM
The American people are hopelessly stupid, short-sighted, and self-destructive.
BDS was even more powerful than I thought. This is totally a repudiation of Bush.
I pray to God that there is still something left to save in 2012, but I’m not optimistic. We’re now officially careening down that slippery slope of Euro-style socialism, and there’s no turning back once the vote-buying government handout programs are in place. When the takers outnumber the producers, a return to free market capitalism becomes pretty much impossible. Obama, Pelosi, and Reid will solidify that formula within the first 100 days.
aero on November 4, 2008 at 9:49 PM
Don’t tease. Are you serious, Katy?
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 9:49 PM
So I say it again:never trust a Clinton, never trust a democrat, never trust a former Hillary voter. All traitors.
clemycali on November 4, 2008 at 9:49 PM
Excuse me?
No offense to MR, but since when has HA been a haven to pansies? And when did MR become the HA mouthpiece? WHO IS MANLYRASH anyway?
Ugly on November 4, 2008 at 9:50 PM
I’m looking forward to a nice, hate-filled 4 years of seeking to destroy Obama at every turn. Are we gonna start a rightroots movement or what?
Also, how’s the Franken/Coleman race going?
doodleduh on November 4, 2008 at 9:50 PM
Where you getting this?
RedNewEnglander on November 4, 2008 at 9:50 PM
Relax….the media is lying as usual.
The votes have not been counted yet.
We will win Ohio and we will win PA and VA.
SaintOlaf on November 4, 2008 at 9:50 PM
Quite frankly, I get so fed up with everyone trying to pin the blame on Palin. John McCain was nothing more than every Democrat’s favorite Republican until he picked her. Sure the Couric interview blew, but come on! Can you imagine your whole value being summed up in about 8 weeks? Palin is a wonderful asset to the Republican Party.
Kamikaze on November 4, 2008 at 9:50 PM
That’s true even if Obama wins. I hope everyone remembers that just in case.
Esthier on November 4, 2008 at 9:50 PM
Is it time to pull an “Atlas Shrugged”? Time to shrug, people.
Burghardt on November 4, 2008 at 9:50 PM
I told you people for weeks, Ohio is not going to Obama. I may not be as wise as Manly, but I know my own state.
MobileVideoEngineer on November 4, 2008 at 9:50 PM
Well I for one welcome our new Marxist overlords!
packsoldier on November 4, 2008 at 9:50 PM
I don’t believe that all the polls have closed and everyone is ready to give up!!!!!!!!!!!!
Please, look at some maps other than FOX. CBC news out of Canada is showing that it is still very close, the Electoral vote page is showing McCain ahead.
Am I missing something here? I will not give up until I know that I have to give up!
Manly……..you just keep telling us those things that we need to hear to keep our faith!
antiquechick on November 4, 2008 at 9:50 PM
You still can’t say you got it wrong and you are definitely wrong about 2012 — need a little more than a bunch of cheerleading on a blog. Here have some koolaid my distinguished commenter.
Bradky on November 4, 2008 at 9:50 PM
I agree. McCain’s campaign were idiots with the media rollout of Sarah Palin.
haner on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
I was under the impression that the dems have no ideals, and no compunctions when it comes to opposing the Republicans and lying when necessary to win at all costs at the expense of Americans. And with the complicit media, it’s been a bit tough for conservatives to appear to live up to their ideals.
4shoes on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
yeah… paul was the conservative… paleoconservative
Fozzy Bear on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
McCain lost when he through the NCGOP under the Bus for its Rev. Wright ad. effectively taking the issue off the table.
jp on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Al Franken in the Senate?….no frigging way!
SaintOlaf on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
The only thing that matters now is keeping the rest of the South solid.
Speedwagon82 on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Sometimes people need to be given what they ask for; so they can see that wanting is far better than having.
lorien1973 on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Never in my life have I been so ashamed of my home state… PA. Drink up people. I’ve got a case of Stella and i don’t think many will be left tomorrow morning. I’m 22 and my generation is officially a joke. I’m getting phone calls from liberal friends trying to rub this in my face. All i have to say is that when their parents don’t have the money to support them anymore they won’t hear and ‘I told you so’ from me… it’ll be more along the lines of ‘kill yourself’.
ConservativePenguin on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
MURTHA, JOHN P. (DEM)
24,830 52.8%
RUSSELL, WILLIAM (REP)
22,201 47.2%
William Amos on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
They’re too busy fighting the Israeli invasion force at the moment. Something about a tunnel and explosives.
Phoenician on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Yesssss!!!!!! Romney/Jindal 2012! (You know, only if McCain doesn’t pull this out. I think there’s still a chance.)
ErinF on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Well at least Chavez is happy now. I be he will be ready for a sit down with the almighty tomorrow.
Brat4life on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Bah! You’ll do… :p
Fortunata on November 4, 2008 at 9:51 PM
I renounce my faith.
doodleduh on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
KANJORSKI, PAUL E. (DEM)
51,831 51.1%
BARLETTA, LOU (REP)
49,657 48.9%
William Amos on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
Ohio, 19.65% reporting ….
McCain, John (R) 49.59% 479,454
Obama, Barack (D) 48.68% 470,660
It ain’t ove til it’s over
fogw on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
Anyone know if Russell is beating Murtha?
Mooseman on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
Votes are still being counted on Ohio. They are calling these things WAAAAAAAAAAAAY to early. This is screwed up.
katy on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
I agree with whoever said they may have to retract PA and possibly Ohio.
bdestini on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
Antiquechick, you have a link for these boards? I’d really like to take a look. Something is very rotten in Denmark.
shoregulls on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
The thing I blame the most for this election is simple…
the media
silentMajority on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
Cunningham was saying the other night that most Americans thought that the Republicans still controlled the Congress. If that is the case, then no wonder!
WisCon on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
Instead of placing blame, let’s say a prayer and ask God for a miracle and that he will be glorified!!
katesmom on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
By what I am seeing from here, Obama doesn’t have a blow out. The youth vote and African AMericanv ote are not significantly different from before. The only way they could have won is lower Republican turnout which means, the MSM succeeded in its plan of depressing voter turnout.
promachus on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
This is what I hate about elections.
Everybody decides who has won before a bunch of people even get a chance to vote, and before the votes of those who have voted are actually counted. why not just have oh, 15 people vote, and extrapolate the results out to everyone else?
Alana on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
OK! The Wild Turkey is giving me a bit of a nasty edge. Time to switch to whine! Oh wait! We’ve got more than enough whine around here.
Manly! I got your back!
Vince on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
My parents are gloomy in OH and send their apologies. Dad voted a straight Repub ticket first time in his 78 years. He’s a former newspaperman and is disgusted with what the media has become…
IF this happens. What do we do about our 401k?
I’m a small business owner. Work for cash only?
I have such a headache.
illustr8r on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
Still premature to be assigning blame.
But…. if there’s blame to be assigned, how about President Bush? For never even trying to express conservative economic principles. For pursuing a failing strategy in Iraq for too long. For any number of failings that made it an uphill battle for McCain (or any Republican nominee) to win election this year.
Or, heck, let’s blame the financial crisis — if that bubble had held off for another three months, it would have made a huge difference in this election.
And let’s not forget:
It’s too soon to be assigning blame.
ClintACK on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
Great job America. Vote in a man that you know is going to raise your taxes. He has already raised your hope with false promises.
carbon_footprint on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
why are they not calling MS, VA, IN for McCain?
CNN just called NM for BO and Mccain is 61% 33% in early voting
this thing may totally flip from what the msm is calling
audiotom on November 4, 2008 at 9:52 PM
Umm, 50% of catholics voted Obama in PA? Why are they Catholics if they don’t adhere to basic Catholic principles?
TheBlueSite on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
Keeping hope alive may have been decent electoral politics, but it was clearly bad analysis.
phronesis on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
The individual who appears to have won the race for President of the United States (I will NEVER address him directly as “President”); is now, already the following:
a) most inexperienced person to ever hold the office
b) the first Affirmitive Action person to hold the office
c) the least deserving person to ever hold the office
7 years are the Jihadis attacked us and Murdered 3000 of our fellow citizens, the Idiotic people of this country have put an Anti-American/Pro-Jihadi/Anti-Semitic/Anti-White Racist Marxist-Muslim into the Oval Office.
51% of the people in this country have freaking LOST THEIR F&%KING MIND!
I want to be officially, on the record, to do the following and Declare:
a) that individual is already, the WORST President we’ve ever had!
b) I would like to call for his IMMEDIATE IMPEACHMENT, for whatever cause, as soon as possible!
Dale in Atlanta on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
Don’t fear him who can kill the body; fear Him who can cast both body and soul into hell.
Gina on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
Amen Terry and never again. Liberals have called us every name in the book for years and we just take it. No more. I’m going to see if they can take what they dish out. No matter what happens, we reorganize tomorrow and start again.
Liberals, just don’t “even” try that crap about oh now we all need to come together. Screw you. We needed you during the last eight years and you tore this country to shreads in front of our enemies. If the country didn’t mean anything to you then, why should it to me now just becasue “you” stole an election?
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
This whole government dependence, robin hood economics, dissent squashing garbage is embarrassing.
Give me liberty or give me death. What happened to the good old self reliant America?
I’m off to buy a shotgun and stock up on shells…just in case.
mountaineer for liberty on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
haner:
I don’t blame Palin, in fact if she had not been nominated and McCain had lost there would be people who would be blaming him for not picking her.
I am going to bed, and hopefully by the time I get up this really will be decided.
I did my duty, I voted for the Republican ticket.
But for Chrisake people keep in mind, someone had to lose. The Republican party is still here, the Republic is still here and this is just one more freaking election.
Now if Obama really wins {shudder} the man has to actually govern. His free ride will come to an end. No doubt the media will try to shield him, just like they did Bill Clinton, but there are real problems out there to deal with and the honeymoon will only last so long.
Terrye on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
all the Lies, half-truths and smears we let the MSM and Dems get away with over Iraq, National Security, Katrina, Plame…..etc….are why we are in this problem. Only hardcore political conservative junkies know the truth on those issues. With avg voters Bush was guilty to some degree on horrible things.
jp on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
Great. Fox is exchanging cookies. We are so f.u.c.k.e.d.!
carbon_footprint on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
Dammit…it was fun while it lasted. Just beware what you asked for, America…especially PA and OH. Don’t say you weren’t warned.
SouthernGent on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
If the red counties have been counted; and blue counties remain. Then yes, it is.
lorien1973 on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
I’d like to shove those cookies up the Bass’s Ass.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
Whatever. That’s like Joe cheated, I should too. You get caught, you get a zero.
haner on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
Finally! People agree with me. The GOP needs an enema. Go back to small-government conservatism, and oust the pro-war neocons.
MedSchoolCatholic on November 4, 2008 at 9:35 PM
I don’t agree with you. Your a mental midget who spins isolated debate points and turns them into facts for your personal cause.
I watched your video, you truly have a small liberal mind tinged with fascism.
winemkr on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
Thanks, but I don’t drink during battle.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 9:53 PM
I blame BUSH for betraying his conservative roots.
I blame McCain for betraying his conservative roots.
Weve gotten what we deserve.
What comforts me is that I truly believe Nobama will be SUCH an awful President that SARAH PALIN will win in 2012!
Sigh..
Conservaboomer on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
HEY ALLAH, Thanks for opening our home up to miscreants right before the election for ALL THE TROLLS to come in at the last minute and f*ck everything up.
If we wanted to subject ourselves to this crap we could go to dKos & HuffingSome Paint.
NightmareOnKStreet on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
I hope Oprah trips and falls crushing Barack Obama under her fat ass. Then I hope she rolls over and crushes Michelle Obama.
Michelle Obama as the firs lady??? WHYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY???
What the hell is going on?
gumble on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
Fox TV cookies. High-def Fox TV cookies.
GOD.
CherokeeJack on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
Always. I’ve never had a reason to be ashamed of the place I’ve always lived. I enjoy traveling other places, but I consider it a privilege to be able to call myself a Texan.
Though, wow, McCain’s barely ahead here. Guess Austin put the bongs down to vote this year.
Esthier on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
I might point out by HA’s own link to the website that Ohio is still very much in play. With so few precincts reporting, it only takes 52% of the remaining voters to vote McCain to win Ohio. That’s not much, at all.
And while PA does indeed look a lost cause (I guess they don’t care much about their industry), VA is looking good, and Florida is almost certainly going McCain. I say this as a resident.
Scott H on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
The good news: Our stupid white guilt can be cleanses once and for all and we can get past this s.h.i.t. once and for all.
carbon_footprint on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
That’s the thing. I’m in Ohio and almost all of the blue counties have been counted and McCain is still winning.
MobileVideoEngineer on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
Boy, do I feel bad
I just told my seven-year-old homeschooler that it looks like Obama is going to win and he burst into tears and said, “What are we going to have to do?” “Is he going to make me go to public school?” I have been so caught up in this election that I may have given him the that our well-being depends on the government.
Renae on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
When does Hugo Chavez, Castro, (guy from Iran) call and congratulate the new Overlord???
We are DOOMED!
cblesz on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
You guys don’t seem to realize that your girlish screeching is instantly being preserved for the ages. How about some composure? I realize I’m being annoying.
Jim Treacher on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
51% of the people receive money from Washington. Freedom is dead.
lorien1973 on November 4, 2008 at 9:54 PM
I think they were worried that the wishy washy base wouldn’t get out in force unless he threw them a bone. Party loyalty is not the hard right strong suit.
“don’t blame me I’m a conservative not a Republican…”
Bit them in the ass this time. You Betcha!
Bradky on November 4, 2008 at 9:55 PM
Because many of them don’t even know what Catholicism teaches. Many of them are just cultural Catholics who only go to church on Easter and Christmas.
MedSchoolCatholic on November 4, 2008 at 9:55 PM
Whatever Jim…
cblesz on November 4, 2008 at 9:55 PM
++++1 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
4shoes on November 4, 2008 at 9:55 PM
You think the Media might be in the tank for Obama, and shilling for him, still?
Naw…
profitsbeard on November 4, 2008 at 9:55 PM
So does W. already have the KC135′s on alert to support the IAF?
Lot’s of unfinished business to clean up before Jan 21st
phreshone on November 4, 2008 at 9:55 PM
I’ve seen: its Palin’s fault, the media, etc. The harsh reality is that our side is at fault and here’s why. The RNC saw what almost took place in 2000 in FL. 2004 was only a few thousand difference in in Ohio that made the difference. For 8 years ACORN and similar groups have been loading their benches with plantation blacks, homeless, drunks, illegals, cadavors and more. What has the Rep party been doing? Cocktail parties and don’t worry about those radicals. Well now the s$%t is in the fan and it doesn’t smell too good. It will be hard to change things with black beret club totin thugs soon to be drafted into the Civilian Defense Force and funded the same as our military! Frankly I see no turn around in the voting blocks with amnesty, open borders, maniacs like Schumer, Dodd, Reid, Pelosi, Frank and many like them. When tyranny strikes we must not bring a knife to a gun fight.
wepeople on November 4, 2008 at 9:56 PM
phronesis:
Manly never offered analysis, only encouragement. What say Republicans take a break from the usual backstabbing and just be nice to each other? Too much to hope for?
Terrye on November 4, 2008 at 9:56 PM
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