Round three: CO, NM; Update: Fox calls Ohio for Obama; Update: CNN calls Iowa for Obama; Update: Fox calls Virginia for Obama; Update: Denver Post calls Colorado for Obama; Update: NBC calls the election for Obama
posted at 9:06 pm on November 4, 2008 by Allahpundit
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At this point I’d be shocked if either of them mattered, but the polls have closed so here’s a new thread for results.
As I’m writing that, CNN calls Minnesota and Michigan for The One.
Update: Turns out my prediction was too conservative: I had Ohio going for McCain. Fox calls it for The One. And with that, the hour of reckoning is at hand.
Update: I said in this post over the weekend that under no circumstances could Maverick lose more than one among Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Virginia. Unless the network projections are drastically wrong, he’s already lost two. According to MSNBC, with both PA and OH in the ledger, Obama has 195 EVs with 55 still to come from California. Florida would put him over the top.
Update: Ohio’s the first red state from 2004 to flip, incidentally, and the only one Obama needs thanks to its high EV number. He can win the election now simply by holding Kerry’s states.
Update: The nets will be appropriately cautious about calling Florida early after the fiasco eight years ago but Obama’s leading steadily by 150,000-200,000 votes with 60 percent reporting and the bellwether counties don’t look good. If that flips, we’re approaching landslide territory.
Update: Obama wins New Mexico, unsurprisingly.
Update: The polls are closed now in Nevada and Montana too, but neither will matter. CNN calls Iowa for The One.
Update: With 84 percent reporting, Obama’s now ahead in Virginia by 13,000 votes.
Update: With 91 percent reporting and a lead of more than 50,000 votes, Fox hands Virginia to The One. That gives him 220 EVs, according to my tally. California will put him over the top.
Update: More blood on the floor: The Denver Post says Colorado belongs to The One. We should have a call on California from the networks within the next five minutes, and that should wrap things up.
Update: And there’s California, and there’s the election.
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Ask that lady in 4 years if Obama payed her mortgage and put gas in her car. My guess would be NO! And If he is making her work for her welfare check, you know she ain’t gonna be happy.
Bicyea on November 4, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Thank you sincerely.
And I really am Michael Barone
*puckers*
carbon_footprint on November 4, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Then maybe you should leave.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Blacks and self hating whites have given us the new banana republic of the world.
Robb on November 4, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Are you as Christian hating Republican?
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Good morning!
BadgerHawk on November 4, 2008 at 10:32 PM
In some ways, we are still paying for the Carter presidency. Bush spent the entire 8 years cleaning up atfer the Clinton mess. Now with this Obama in the office and liberal majorities, the world will be set back some 50 years back.
promachus on November 4, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Fozzy, I hate to dash your dreams, but there ain’t gonna be no major election reform in your lifetime. Why on earth would the Dems do that when the present system works perfectly for them??
uncalheels on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
Hang in there, mate. We’re Americans…not the bloody French! :-)
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
I’m so pissed that Murtha won
Lance Murdock on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
I cant wait to hear Mac and Sarah together one more time tonight
ousoonerfan15 on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
I can’t believe this. Most people want this? And it looks like Al Franken will be elected?
I never thought I would have to say this about the USA but (as I listen to Motorhead)…
You Can Go To Hell…
Fuzzlenutter on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
I know some folks who will be really surprised when the Big O takes there money and schools still suck. And then takes some more money and unemployment continues to suck.
That’s what really makes this sad. Millions of people have voted to keep their children, and their children’s children, shackled with poverty.
hawksruleva on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
McCain getting ready to concede. I’m crying.
terryannonline on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
We aren’t starting from scratch here. Let’s pick up where we left off with Ronaldus Maximus and go from there.
jbtripp on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
You are in the wrong place then, obviously.
Spirit of 1776 on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
worst election since Watergate, even worse this time though
jp on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
how is the al franken colemon race looking?
goldeagle11 on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
Yeah. I’m truly shocked about PA and OH. After what the Obamedia and campaign did to Joe the Plumber, and after Obama told PA he was out to bankrupt their huge coal industry. I knew Philly would go for Obama…but the whole state?
And Murtha won huge–bigger than he won last time.
funky chicken on November 4, 2008 at 10:33 PM
You need to go away.
James OK on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
And you know what? We love you and we pray for you.
carbon_footprint on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
The North East is complete now, Shays has lost his seat in congress as well.
damian1967 on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
wise_man Obama can’t function he has no core. He may self destruct in ways we can’t imagine. This will hurt people,
and pain and the blame always goes to who is in the White House. I fear for him. The Clintons are still behind the scenes…and they want payback….
dec5 on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
Murtha holds his seat and Franken is in the lead. The most liberal Senator in history beats a war hero for the presidency.
Conservative revolution time.
mountaineer for liberty on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
but ban the rightwinger who just realized that having redneck politicans isn’t such a good idea, after all.
doodleduh on November 4, 2008 at 10:29 PM
huh?
kareyk on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
People will always re-elect people who give them cake and pie.
lorien1973 on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
I am going to start marketing chocolate flavored boots. That way the bootlickers won’t have a foul taste in their mouth.
Where do I sign up for the Civilian National Security Service?
Obama’s own SS?
James on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
Stop with the redneck insults already. If you actually believe what you’re saying, then you’ve never met a real redneck in your life, making you one of those cocktail party Republicans liberals accuse all of us of being.
Esthier on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
I like them all too. But this is not really as much about the candidates as it is about the American electorate. Lets face it, our country has been dumbed down terribly thanks to all levels of education and the MSM. Nominating the greatest candidate will help, but we need to do a lot more than that. We will all have to take an active roll in re-educating our fellow citizens and getting them to the polls next time. We really need to start thinking about how we will organize ourselves to start doing that.
This is a very depressing and crashing blow, but many of us prayed extensively for this election and God will help us turn this into a much greater victory.
neuquenguy on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
And now I am sad. Sadder.
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
Penn State District 12 voters really are idiots
Lance Murdock on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
clemicali:
You are from Romania, so I will assume that there are certain things about our history you do not know. The GOP will recover from this, in fact it might even be stronger. The Democrats right now are where the GOP was in 2004. Think about that.
Terrye on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
Terrye on November 4, 2008 at 10:27 PM
Sure, ban anyone who dares criticize Sarah Palin. That’s brilliant.
alex342 on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
Remember, Joe Biden warned us all ‘mark my words, he will be tested’
And he will. People will point a gun at us, to test us. Someone around the world will test Obama by attempting to harm US civilians or our military. And blood will be spilled. Be prepared for this, in what ever form this happens.
wise_man on November 4, 2008 at 10:34 PM
Not yet.. but soon and besides, France now has a more conservative leader than we will in Jan.
beththebaker on November 4, 2008 at 10:35 PM
Um…
…on the Foxnews.com front page, they have California colored RED.
There’s no other news I can find about it.
Glitch, or has momentum just switched?
Religious_Zealot on November 4, 2008 at 10:35 PM
How many people voted twice or more in PA and OH?
James on November 4, 2008 at 10:35 PM
And that has been the problem with his presidential run.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 10:35 PM
we should all move to France, they are more conservative
jp on November 4, 2008 at 10:35 PM
Australia, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea will be the whims and fancies of North Korea and China.
The entire Middle East will be at the mercy of Iran.
The whole world will be at the mercy of European and the UN type bureaucrats.
Eastern Europe will be gulped down by Russia.
Latin America by the Chavez-Moralez-Casto gang.
Hail the brave new world!
promachus on November 4, 2008 at 10:35 PM
Barone is becoming a bummer…he’s basically calling Fl for Obama.
silentMajority on November 4, 2008 at 10:35 PM
It occurs to me that we could hope that everything we know about Obama is wrong. That he is really proud to be an American and won’t sell out his own country. That he is a true convert to Democracy. I know it’s a long shot but it would be a better outcome for the country.
I hope he personally fails so he is a one termer..but that he is a decent administrator and makes better decisions than he has in the past. I mean he puts country first when all is said and done. I hope Obama will be a better President than I think he will be now. I hope he has put away his socialism and come to his senses.
petunia on November 4, 2008 at 10:36 PM
ManlyRash is the Republican cheerleader on Hot/Air!
Folks,when a team lose’s its game,
you don’t blame the cheerleader.
Ka-Piche:):)
canopfor on November 4, 2008 at 10:36 PM
HOLY FREAKIN’ HELL!?
*chokes*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 10:36 PM
alex:
That is not what I said. Palin was not my first choice to be honest with you. But I have rarely seen a politician inspire people the way she did. She might not have attracted people who probably would not be attracted to the GOP anyway, but she gave the base someone they could identify with and look up to. That was worth something.
Terrye on November 4, 2008 at 10:36 PM
Agreed, 100%. I cannot imagine how difficult it has been for him in that job with all the deranged maniacs and the hate being directed at him from his own party. I haven’t agreed with everything he has done, but damned if he wasn’t the right man at the right time.
Had the privilege of speaking with him years ago when he was our governor. He’s a regular guy, comfortable in his own skin, and put me at ease instantly. I may be the only person in America that will miss him, but miss him I will.
Proud Texan on November 4, 2008 at 10:36 PM
Until I hear McCain concede, I am not.
sherry on November 4, 2008 at 10:36 PM
So Much for the Republican Rule forever…
HAHAH
damian1967 on November 4, 2008 at 10:36 PM
Sadly, 4 years of Michelle Obama, this is going to be a nightmare to have that pig telling me how much I suck.
tessa on November 4, 2008 at 10:36 PM
Petunia, it gets worse.
The United States and its European and Asian allies kept military pressure on the Russians, while their economies relatively boomed. Under the leadership of Reagan and others, they destroyed the Soviet Union.
What country will save America?
Your electorate voted for this. McCain warned them and they voted for this.
With Obama controlling the levers of power — a man so cold he can support infanticide and partial birth abortion, a megalomaniac who creates his own symbols of power before even gaining office, a political thug, a person who sought out domestic terrorists and other communists (the Weather Underground plan to kill 25,000,000 Americans who couldn’t be reeducated according to an FBI informant is a peachy touch), a media almost totally in the bag for him — how much will the American people’s choice matter?
Obama will command the most powerful military on Earth too, and 100% of America’s nuclear forces. No state or collection of states could withstand that.
The 1861-1865 American Civil War? If Obama became as ruthless as some believe him capable to be, that would be a best case scenario.
But the author Robert Heinlein put it best and I’m paraphrasing from memory:
Christoph on November 4, 2008 at 10:36 PM
Well. . .
There’s still California!
MrLynn on November 4, 2008 at 10:36 PM
McCain needs to see it thru. No conceding, til tomorrow.
capejasmine on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
One bonus for 2012 – how many readers will NYT have then, if it still exists?
hawksruleva on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
sh#t,that should be when a team is losing
their game!!
canopfor on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
A bolt of lightening from above….PLEASE! He’s already dead and she will melt.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
Can Palin clean up her image and run in 4 years.
Yes or no?
If no… Screw politics…
Palinpuma on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
I don’t post on here very often, but you folks have got to chill-ax. I am a conservative; I have never, ever voted for a democrat, and I never, ever will. Obama won, and he’s got a big fat majority in Congress. OK. They’ll either do a good job (exceedingly unlikely), or they’ll overplay their hand and send the democrat party to the wilderness for a couple of decades. It’s a win-win situation for conservatives. Obama will move to the center like Bill Clinton did, and be an inconsequential president like Clinton was, or he’ll overplay his hand, lose Congress in 2 years, and…be an inconsequential president like Clinton was. He’s got the job. That was the easy part. Doing the job? That pretty little man is in so far over his head that utter failure, or inconsequential seat-warmer are the only 2 ways an Obama presidency can go.
Rational Thought on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
gag reid and pelosi speaking in washington
ughhh
historic mandate …
audiotom on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
I know a lot of conservatives don’t like McCain but I honestly adore the man and I’m gonna miss him when this ends.
silentMajority on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
Radio is old and outdated and Fox News swings whichever way Murdoch wants it to swing. It’s not a reliable ally.
Darth Executor on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
canopfor:
Very true, Manly has been a champ.
Terrye on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
Reid: We Have a Mandate.
amerpundit on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
Ditto.. a big hug for Manly!!!
beththebaker on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
I am finally a hyphenated American. I am the selfish-american!
James on November 4, 2008 at 10:37 PM
Listen. America is amazing. What other country other than ours could have elected a black man to President just 40 years after Jim Crow? God bless America.
Grow Fins on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
Nope, not mine. While my unit was actually engaged in combat, he voted to withhold funding and made a statement that “US Troops Are Just Air Raiding Villages & Killing Civilians”.
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
Reid and Pelosi gloating – I think I’m going to puke
gophergirl on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
Then what the hell are you doing here?
People vote for the president, not the vice president. If McCain loses, we can’t blame Palin.
Esthier on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
OK, Reid and Pelosi are on. I’m going to bed. I cannot stand these people and will devote my will and what dollars I have to defeat them.
Thanks Allah, Manly, Ed, Michelle and everyone for everything. I’ll be back to help pickup the pieces.
Mandate my ass Reid. Change, Hope. Liberals are dopes.
Good Night!
jbtripp on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
You weren’t secure either way, Teddie Roosevelt with a superior army or Woodrow Wilson with a superior army. Looks like Woodrow will win. Plenty of death, but for a “moral” purpose and “progressive” policies at home but obviously there is no relation between “progressive” and progress.
Either relax or buy depends.
LevStrauss on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
Great. Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama for infinity.
carbon_footprint on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
Crazy night. And yet, I still feel calm. Just a little sad for the future of the country. It says a lot about the electorate as a whole if we elect guys like Franken to the Senate and Obama to the Presidency.
lorien,
keep those rightroots thoughts on the back burner.
Night all.
BadgerHawk on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
NYT’s can kiss my patootey.
I’ve cancelled my subscription to tv guide as well. They like to pan conservatives, and raise up the others. No thanks. I’ll just poke thru my dish guide…while I can still afford it.
capejasmine on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
Oooh, Harry Reid used the “m”(andate) word….I wonder if he’ll get lambasted tomorrow morning in the news.
bds1976 on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
Hope Mccain will stand off till the morning at least, until we have all the poll no.s If they anywhere near close in Ohio, he should ask for a recount.
All his life, he’s been fighting Republicans. Now is the time to stnad up and fight, you old coot!
promachus on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
Amen.
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
During the last update, OH got a lot closer.
dish on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
The nasty, divisive Harry Reid just said,
“A mandate to stop fighting over the things that divide us.”
jgapinoy on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
From RCP:
Congressional Job Approval
RCP Average
Approve 17.3
Disapprove 74.0
The idiots who again voted for the Democrats will be just as easily swayed back to our side in 2 years.
WisCon on November 4, 2008 at 10:38 PM
It’s gone now.
-sigh-
Must have been a glitch.
Religious_Zealot on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
Usually a very good point. In this case though, the known goal of the core ideology in play with Obama is to make sure the US does not survive as a “go it alone” sovereign “greedy” caitalist “arrogant bully” superpower. Obama will be a Black Swan President taking power in the middle of a Black Swan financial meltdown with crisis nuclear threats. All bets are off.
I’m also betting there are several hardcore Marxist lawyer/judges who have been sponsored and groomed for decades under the radar on a parallel track to Obama. They will surface with their deceptive records and biographies when he appoints them to the Supreme Court. It makes no sense that he was the only one groomed as a “Mansourian Candidate.” These guys have been targeting the judicial system even more than the Presidency.
econavenger on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
Me too.
phronesis on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
Wow .. don’t know what they did to the site, but it’s running a ton faster for me than it usually does in high traffic .. wonder if they finally beefed up their server ..
Lessee ..
… what else can I talk about …
… does anyone know how the election’s going?
cgoode777 on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
NOW it’s time to drink. As I said earlier, I’ll be out back water boarding myself with the garden hose…
Mr_Magoo on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
Get ready for 30 million uneducated, untrained, new citizens….ready to accept their freebies….we have to launch a fight for our lives and livlihood or we will have this night again and again and again.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
Well, they elected a guy who hasn’t accomplished a single thing of note in all of his years of public service, so apparently accomplishing something is not high on their list of reason to vote for him.
Don’t expect that to change in 4 years, pal. They’ll vote for him for what he represents, not for what he does.
PackerBronco on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
Land of milk and honey…
CherokeeJack on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
The majority of American voters chose the cipher over the patriot.
It’s tragic, but I’m holding myself together because my poor son is just destroyed. We went to McCain’s rally last night in Henderson, and it was wonderful.
McCain is a wonderful man and a true patriot.
funky chicken on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
I still heart ManlyRash. Why? Because we will need cheerleaders for the fight ahead.
This will be the first year that I won’t be watching the swearing in of the President on TV.
*ugh*
illustr8r on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
Swing state votes are so close, I would call for a recount,..Acorn worked them all…McCain step up to the plate,..you asked us to fight,…we did,..NOW YOU FIGHT!!
christene on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
That is true. If the numbers hold, I hope he governs wisely and does all that faith justice.
Spirit of 1776 on November 4, 2008 at 10:39 PM
uncalheels… i hate to dash your dreams, but this isn’t going to last… there will be election reform because i intend to start a revolution from this oppression.
now which side do you plan to be on? the fraud side? or one of the good guys?
choose now so i can see you coming when you try to stab me in the back.
Fozzy Bear on November 4, 2008 at 10:40 PM
Fox’s website map has California for McCain?
boomer on November 4, 2008 at 10:40 PM
Which would be amazing if they weren’t specifically voting for him because of the color of his skin. As it is, it’s like they’re just trying to make up for something with a superficial act.
It won’t change anything.
I’m glad to see you optimistic, though I don’t like your reason for being so, but nothing changes this way.
Esthier on November 4, 2008 at 10:40 PM
I do not understand this. Nothing is making any sense. There just seems to be no way PA and OH are going and going big for Obama. I still think they have called some states too early.
The only way I see OH going Obama is voter fraud.
I just do not get this.
I think they are going to have to recall PA. I do not believe it went Obama.
freeus on November 4, 2008 at 10:40 PM
Mark it well: 10:15PM MST. The time that the election in New Mexico was stolen.
At that moment, without any additional precincts reporting, the vote totals flip-flopped and changed from a huge lead for most Republicans, to a huge lead for all the Democrats. That was the FIRST injection of some of the 2 million extra ballots that our corrupt democrat Secretary of State printed.
Probably two more rounds of that coming.
You listening FBI?
LegendHasIt on November 4, 2008 at 10:40 PM
OH GOD Reid is unbearable to listen to
silentMajority on November 4, 2008 at 10:40 PM
Frankly I’m not as worried about Obama as I am his associates and the people he will appoint to the Cabinet and the courts. Therein lies disaster. How does “The Honorable William Ayers, Secretary of Education” grab you.
johnsteele on November 4, 2008 at 10:40 PM
hawkdriver: You’re in Fayetteville, correct?
nosliwelyk on November 4, 2008 at 10:40 PM
I agree. What has happened to our country, when someone as hateful, and obviously racist as Franken gets elected?
This just isn’t the country I knew anymore. It’s just a sadness I don’t think I’ll get over, anytime soon. :(
capejasmine on November 4, 2008 at 10:40 PM
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