AOL Hot Seat Poll: Your prediction
posted at 12:25 pm on November 4, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
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Yesterday, Allahpundit and I gave you our predictions for the presidential race. Now it’s your turn. Today’s AOL Hot Seat Poll asks who you think will win:
Keep checking back during the day to see how the state-by-state numbers turn out.
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The robot humps tonight.
saint kansas on November 4, 2008 at 12:58 PM
I predict I’ll be drinking A LOT tomorrow … and avoiding television and the Internet for at least the next six months or so.
My biggest (selfish) concern: I just can’t handle serving in the military as this empty-suit soulless Amerikka-hater as my Commander-in-Chief. I swear I’m thinking about getting out because of it. And I’m not alone. At drill last month, EVERYONE agreed. Not one dissenting voice. Our instructors, even the senior officers, all voiced similar sentiments. The military is seriously concerned.
You’ll be the ones losing your money and jobs if Idiot-Boy wins. We’ll be doing the dying.
Sigh. Like I said, I predict drinking. And no TV for a long time.
Good luck to all of you. You may need it.
Professor Blather on November 4, 2008 at 12:58 PM
The AOL Straw Polls picked McCain every time even with votes in the millions before they changed it to make it harder to game it. Even with the smaller voters, still in the hundreds of thousands, McCain still won every time.
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 12:58 PM
Downward spiral!
Eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
Ooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
KAAAAAAAAABLAAAAAAAMMMMMOOOOOO!!!!
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 12:59 PM
Grue is in the kitchen! Yay!
upinak, I’m at work too, but am sneakily on Hot Air instead of taking care of bidness … am I jinxing McPalin with my wickedness??
Rosmerta on November 4, 2008 at 12:59 PM
Very good. A deviant after my own heart.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 12:59 PM
After cleaning the toilets (in 5+ years of marriage, I have yet to allow my wife to clean one), we walked the kids up to vote. It’s a beautiful day here in MO, and I am happier than I’ve been in weeks. We’re going to win.
jazz_piano on November 4, 2008 at 12:59 PM
Hate to be the overriding pessimist here, but… I honestly don’t see how McCain can win this election tonight.
Prepare for four abysmal years under Barack the Magic Negro.
Jockolantern on November 4, 2008 at 1:00 PM
Oh ouch. So that’s how Obama plans to disarm the country.
My sympathies, Prof.
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 1:00 PM
No. I don’t think it should be, but they should make every effort to count their votes.
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 1:00 PM
I only get on from work, so if you are so am I. :)
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 1:00 PM
God bless you, Professor Blather, and thank you for your service to America. have no fears, God is watching over us.
Rosmerta on November 4, 2008 at 1:01 PM
Only if it’s not a sexy wickedness.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:01 PM
Hate to be the overriding pessimist here, but… I honestly don’t see how McCain can win this election tonight.
Prepare for four abysmal years under Barack the Magic Negro.
Jockolantern on November 4, 2008 at 1:00 PM
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 1:01 PM
Am I a bad person for loving that song?
Barack the Magic Negro
Lives in DC
The LA Times they call ‘im that
Cause he’s black but not au-then-tic-leeeeeee
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 1:02 PM
No I don’t think that.
I think many of us are Americans. And we are ALL Nervous of the outcome of this election more so then others. Is it fair to say that we as a Nation (on either side of the political spectrum) are worried.
Many of us do not want our lives run and other do not know how to cope without having thier lives run for them.
This is making many people, aggitated, angry, nervous, pissy, witchy and just plain going out of their minds.
I am worried about this outcome…. but I am also a early 30’s voter. I am allowed to be worried more so then many others because my generation is just… plain stupid!
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:03 PM
Grue, you owe me a laptop screen. Iced Tea everywhere.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 1:03 PM
Wow, jazz! Do you have a single brother??
I’m glad you’re feeling so happy and confident. GO McPALIN!
Rosmerta on November 4, 2008 at 1:03 PM
Me too. I’m retiring and starting a business in June anyway. I just hate the idea of that anti-military SOB with his name on my 214.
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 1:03 PM
Read Sean Malstrom’s analysis. Then come back and apologize.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:03 PM
Sounds like a job for one of your highly qualified Camp Perry 1000yd competitors.
LimeyGeek on November 4, 2008 at 1:04 PM
I was kidding (mostly), but I’ll admit to wondering if our standards for voting are too lax. We don’t trust kids under 21 to drink responsibly, but we let them vote? And should people who don’t pay taxes get to decide how to spend our tax dollars?
jazz_piano on November 4, 2008 at 1:04 PM
Blather **Salutes**
Understandable. I opted back out due to family illnesses i couldn’t control, but Zi think it also bothered me that B.O. would be Commander in Chief. Let’s be honest. It would be like serving under Am-a-dinner-jacket and wondering if you were going to have to eat dirt in the dessert to survive the next 4 years.
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:05 PM
early 30’s voter as well…very nervous…….but strangely at peace.
gatorgirl on November 4, 2008 at 1:05 PM
Meh. McCain wins. We publish. I become famous and you brag to your friends that you slept with me. What could possibly go wrong?
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:05 PM
Blame Paul Shanklin :D
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 1:06 PM
Do you blame anyone for getting out lately due to this? Hell, would starting a business be any better?
Good Luck to you just in case.
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:07 PM
I hear there’s gonna be about 2 million
peopleobamabots in downtown Chicago tonight for The Light Giver’svictorypity party.I so hope and pray that they all attend with faces as long as John “F’in” Kerry’s (aka Horseface) mug.
44Magnum on November 4, 2008 at 1:07 PM
I did my duty early this morning. A lot more people voting in my little Hoosier berg than usual it seemed to me. I think they are trying to make up for Gary.
Terrye on November 4, 2008 at 1:07 PM
No, just a single sister and sister-in-law. (:
jazz_piano on November 4, 2008 at 1:07 PM
That was a very interesting read, and reflected a lot of my own thoughts in greater detail. Thanks for the link :)
LimeyGeek on November 4, 2008 at 1:07 PM
Ahhh we do NOT sleep together 9sorry don’t sleep with co-workers, it is a morals thing) and we both become rich.
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:08 PM
Are you headed to Chicago for the barbeque, Grue? Roasted moonbat. Yummmmmm!
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 1:08 PM
Free Food + Blaze Battling (the Grue is a pyro)
Win-win!
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 1:08 PM
Not all of us are stupid!
:)
Dr. Conservative on November 4, 2008 at 1:09 PM
I’ll take that as a maybe.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:09 PM
We’ll still get rich, though.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:09 PM
I’m new here, but have been reading HotAir for a while now. Really glad to be a part of this exceptional community. :-) I’m not taking lunch today, to leave an hour early to make sure I make it to vote on time. I’m from Maryland, and while it may be a “blue” state over all, St. Mary’s County where I’m from is pretty red over all. MANY more McCain signs than Obama signs around my area.
Highlar on November 4, 2008 at 1:09 PM
Strange you should mention that…… ;)
LimeyGeek on November 4, 2008 at 1:10 PM
Dr I never said all of us were. But a large majority of early 30’s are. Still stuck on stupid in the teens and twenties. Most haven’t grown up and I doubt they will.
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:10 PM
I love the smell of roasted moonbat. Smells like…victory.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:10 PM
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 1:03 PM
faced the same issue when hubby retired in 2001–he was told that he could have any signature on his papers. Don’t know if that’s true or not, because, thank God, we have President George W. Bush’s signature on his 214
dish on November 4, 2008 at 1:11 PM
Welcome, Highlar.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:11 PM
Complete the meal with a shot made with Michelle My Bell Obama’s tears…
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 1:12 PM
Limey… does you wife have a good site for arrows to buy over the internet? I think I should stock up on alunium darts for hunting since ammo is becoming limited and I found out it will cost over 100 dollars for shipping to get ammo sent to me. I wanna see how much darts cost.
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:12 PM
Not stupid, upinak – just not informed. I blame the schools. I didn’t know a thing about politics until I began educating myself – after grad school, to my shame.
And don’t blame your generation – the rot set in long before that! :)
Clinging to my mantra: ALL IS WELL (Julian of Norwich: “All will be well, and all will be well, and all manner of thing will be well”
Rosmerta on November 4, 2008 at 1:12 PM
Okay, somebody needs to beat these black panthers down.
I volunteer! Let me at them.
Rush is talking about this now.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 1:12 PM
Welcome aboard, Highlar. I’m mid-30s, and I’ll be there are more of us conservatives than we think.
jazz_piano on November 4, 2008 at 1:13 PM
Oh yes. Michelle’s sweet, sweet tears. I will savor them.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:13 PM
I feel the same way, Professor Blather. Except it’s my man who serves. All I have to do is send care packages, cheerlead and worry. Chin up. We can weather the storm.
tuffy on November 4, 2008 at 1:14 PM
Manly and hornet.. good Grief get a room LOL!
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:15 PM
I like my mantra (Manly of Somerset)”No matter where you go, there you are.”
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:15 PM
What? I offered him a shot of Michelle Obama tears….didn’t do it. I’m more into attacking someone right now.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 1:15 PM
Only if you join us. I’ll bring the video camera.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:15 PM
Only surprising result on the poll: substantial majority agrees that Obama is indeed proposing socialism.
Interesting.
ClintACK on November 4, 2008 at 1:16 PM
McCain/Palin the Bradley effect whatever you want to call it. If it is close, I predict the Lawyers are standing by with their briefs in hand, and law suits to file. BIG GRIN.
Dr Evil on November 4, 2008 at 1:17 PM
I, for one, would be THRILLED if ALL of you military guys quit and came home. My skills with weapons systems have seriously atrophied these past few years (as I age). We are going to need your guys help.
My collie says:
Like I said, the four horsemen are closer than you think.
CyberCipher on November 4, 2008 at 1:17 PM
Oh, for the love of Pete. I want to beat somebody down right now. I am so mad that people are getting intimidated by these 60’s throwback Black Panther idiots. They can have their nightstick…..You know what they say about a knife and gun fight…
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 1:17 PM
We should all pray (secularly or not) to see that robot again some time tonight.
Esthier on November 4, 2008 at 1:17 PM
No, I really don’t blame anyone. I have 32 years in. It’s all I’ve done since I was a barely 17. I’m tired from the deployments though and the kids that are still in need leaders who are still energetic. I’m just really tired after over three years in theater in just the last five years.
Plus I promised my Mom before she died to do something with my artwork. I’m going to open a studio here in Fayetteville near Ft. Bragg and do military figurines. Thanks for the well wishes, I think it’ll work out nicely.
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 1:18 PM
Here’s what I think will be sung in Chi-town tonight. With Teh One is the choirmaster.
RIP, Eazy E.
Dr.Cwac.Cwac on November 4, 2008 at 1:18 PM
This is a prediction I made elsewhere on the internets a week ago, and I’m still mostly comfortable with it:
The “swing” states:
Colorado: Obama +5
Florida: Obama +2
Indiana: McCain +3
Iowa: Obama +8
Minnesota: Obama +10
Missouri: McCain +1
Nevada: Obama +3
New Hampshire: Obama +3
New Mexico: Obama +7
North Carolina: McCain +2
Ohio: Obama +2
Pennsylvania: Obama +8
Virginia: Obama +5
Wisconsin: Obama +8
Total: Obama 325, McCain 213
Big S on November 4, 2008 at 1:19 PM
“Live by the sword, die by the sword.”
Or, in the words of Minsc, “Live by the sword, live a gooood loooong time!!”
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 1:20 PM
Obama not worried, that is only 7 of the 57…
right2bright on November 4, 2008 at 1:20 PM
Make a website as well. I have “friends” as Manly could account for and a few others whom know me. I can get your stuff out to others as well via the internet.
What comes around goes around is my motto. I help you… it will help me down the road.
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:20 PM
We’re Walmart shoppers for that kinda thing.
My solution for the nightmare scenario of leftist fascism run rampant – buy a blackpowder muzzleloader and stock up on powder, shot and slugs. No background checks. Perfectly utilitarian for hunting. Save the hi-tech bullets for two-legged gremlins, with or without badges ;)
LimeyGeek on November 4, 2008 at 1:20 PM
I completely agree, but what can be done?
Dr. Conservative on November 4, 2008 at 1:20 PM
I voted before going to work. I wanted my McCain vote registered early on.
worlok on November 4, 2008 at 1:21 PM
The Dems have sown division among the races, and I fear we’re going to reap what they’ve sown when McCain wins. As someone else noted, this campaign has set race relations back decades.
jazz_piano on November 4, 2008 at 1:21 PM
And you’ve tied in the other thread on porn and “fairness.”
Esthier on November 4, 2008 at 1:21 PM
Unfortunately, I’m from Illinois. Just got back from voting. Thought I’d cancel out a dead, Chicago, ACORN registered Obama voter. It’s the least I can do.
As I turned into my polling place and saw the sign, “Vote Here”, I couldn’t help but get goose bumps and tears in my eyes. Having lived under a dictatorship before, voting truly is a moving experience. Just want to take the time to thank our Vets and their families for their sacrifices to preserve this right — not only for us Americans but for the people of Iraq and other nations we’ve liberated. Thank you from the bottom of my heart!
Cpoy2 on November 4, 2008 at 1:21 PM
You obviouosly have never seen the “muzzleloaders” here in Alaska. I swear I would be taking out a elephant with them. They are big enough.
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:22 PM
Amen, and bless you.
jazz_piano on November 4, 2008 at 1:22 PM
Amen. I will do what I can to help any friend at HA who needs it.
One for all and all for one – we don’t rest ’till the job is done.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:23 PM
It ain’t over, till it’s over…
You guys are here for America, we know it, and appreciate it…
And for all you newbies…
Pay homage to Professor Blather, a true American and a great poster that has put me in my place a time or two.
right2bright on November 4, 2008 at 1:23 PM
LOL. I am a genius. A legend in my own mind.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 1:25 PM
Well Dr. I got my best friend (who is a conservative Dem) to become a Republican who is also…. wait for it… Black. Yep a black woman!
I just point out what she thought and heard but didn’t research and showed her what the problem was. She didn’t realize that a lot of the crap she was getting was literally fed to her. She eventually realized I wasn’t lying to her and converted as I like to call it.
That is all… just show them… every time they are wrong. But not in a harmful or put down way. Just show them what they thought was right and let them figure it out. It does work.
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:25 PM
BTW, I called for about 90 minutes last night. Awesome, called in NC and had many positive phone calls…only negative had a certain “twang and accent” that seemed to be black, but even there a few “I gotcha covered”.
right2bright on November 4, 2008 at 1:25 PM
I left active duty Nov 06 and had been missing the military a bit. I became a dad in Nov 07 (can’t believe she’s almost 1!) so I didnt want to go back active and make my wife and kid move every few years. I still wanted to try and do my part so last saturday I oined the Guard. It was REAL tough taking the enlistment oath when it came to the following the orders of the President part. I’m in WA, so the part about following the orders of the Gov was tough to say too, unless tonight goes well.
Barry as commander in chief will be tough to swallow if it does indeed turn out that way. I feel as if I still owe the country, so I dont regret going back in. Barry can never diminish the heroic acts of our greatest patriots like Washington, Adams, Lincoln, etc. If the age of obama comes to pass it will be merely a brief chapter in this long story of the greatest nation ever on God’s green earth.
That being said, I completely understand those military members who have sacrificed and given more than can reasonably be expected wanting to leave the service. Nobody wants to work for a boss who they know doesn’t respect them. I fear we will lose too many great leaders this way.
I hope hawkdriver runs for office though. You’d be great!
hump1201 on November 4, 2008 at 1:26 PM
Thanks for joining our ranks here in America…we were built by people like you…and Professor Blather joined the service to allow people a chance of the same.
right2bright on November 4, 2008 at 1:27 PM
Not sure I can handle that kind of volume to begin with, but it’s in the plans.
break
Although Rush is going on about the BPanthers in the “City of Brotherly Love” (BWAHAHAHAHAHA) snort, sorry, he also sounds very confident.
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 1:28 PM
Completely with your own seal of approval!
Esthier on November 4, 2008 at 1:29 PM
We attend an inter-racial church. Our pastor spoke recently to a Black woman about God knowing us even before we’re born. She had never heard about this (!) and decided to vote for McCain.
It’s possible that Obama will get a smaller percentage of the Black vote than Gore and Kerry did . . . watch closely. Black people are wising up to Planned Parenthood’s genocidal ambitions toward them.
jazz_piano on November 4, 2008 at 1:31 PM
The media will be surprised tonight when John Murtha and Al Franken suffer defeat. If you watch one of the several affiliates of the ONN, you will see glum faces as the states fall one by one:
Pennsylvania goes to McCain Palin
Virginia goes to McCain Palin
Florida goes to McCain Palin
Ohio goes to McCain Palin
The Obama News Network (ONN) has affiliates formerly known as NBC, ABC, CBS, CNN, MSNBC, etc.
Lincoln Borglum on November 4, 2008 at 1:31 PM
jazz yep.
I have quite a few black friends (whom I love to death) and the ones who are democrat are good people, just different opinions.
But here is the twist. All of my black friends (dems or repubs or other) are ALL voting McCain.
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:33 PM
Great thread….thanks…
athyrio on November 4, 2008 at 1:34 PM
Although stupidity knows no generational boundaries, this very phenomenon of a higher proportion of irrational though in younger generations is why so many of us are feeling like our country has been stolen from us.
It certainly isn’t the same country it was when I signed my enlistment papers or my DD-214.
Marine_Bio on November 4, 2008 at 1:34 PM
I’m pulling for McCain/Palin.
GOD SAVE THE REPUBLIC.
madmonkphotog on November 4, 2008 at 1:37 PM
Florida undecideds are voting for McCain.
Cuban4McCain on November 4, 2008 at 1:38 PM
I don’t know about some of you – I still feel confident for our side! This is still a GREAT country! One where everyone is entitled to their opinion, no matter how wrong they are! The best thing about this election is that it has gotten so many people off their duff! People ARE involved! I don’t take my voting privilege lightly because until I was a naturalized citizen I was not allowed to vote! I became a member of this great country in 1975 and have not missed an election since! No, not all have gone the way I voted, but vote I did! It is tough to be in Illinois – where I had never heard of Mr. Obama until he ran for national office. We “enjoy” a very bad business climate here, but that still does not stop me from running my business the way I need to – I have 8 people employed in my company.
PLEASE DON’T LOOSE HOPE (that is a word that’s been bantered around a lot lately!!). Remember, the fat lady is not even on the stage yet – let alone that she has not opened her mouth to sing!!!!
mkosin on November 4, 2008 at 1:38 PM
*INSERT OBVIOUS JOKE HERE*
LimeyGeek on November 4, 2008 at 1:39 PM
I love black people too…..but I couldn’t eat a whole one.
LimeyGeek on November 4, 2008 at 1:40 PM
In NC, they are all voting for Obama, even a couple who have been conservative Republicans…they just can’t help themselves.
right2bright on November 4, 2008 at 1:40 PM
Hooah!
I couldn’t do it. For one, it would be too much like the staff work I do now rather than flying. Plus, the media makes it very hard to be conservative and not be “perfect”. I don’t know how most Conservatives in the spotlight handle the scrutiny. I will become more involved and supportive actively after I retire with the party. This was the first election in a long time where I was able to help with phones and surveys and such at our local office.
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 1:41 PM
I hope I don’t embarrass you by saying that after having lived with my brother a summer in Orlando and my experience with Cuban Americans in the Army, I have never met a group of Americans who are more rabidly patriotic than you folks are. And I salute you.
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 1:44 PM
Ugh. I just saw on cnn.com (of all places) that Karl Rove is predicting a landslide win for Obama. WTF?!?
He can fork off.
Republigal on November 4, 2008 at 1:46 PM
My daughter “voted” today. She’s 5 so I made a ballot for her.
She voted for McCain.
She’s talking about it now. It’s something to hear.
From the mouth of babes.
jimbodeano67 on November 4, 2008 at 1:47 PM
Ultimately it boils down to where someone’s identity lies. The most poignant example is in the linked photo. I don’t know him, but this man is my brother in sprit.
Marine_Bio on November 4, 2008 at 1:49 PM
Feaking AWESOME!
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 1:49 PM
Rove’s numbers are based on analysis of the past 14-day trends of every public poll. So, they are only valid if the polls are valid. I question the validity.
McCain wins 279-259
cannonball on November 4, 2008 at 1:52 PM
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