AOL Hot Seat Poll: Your prediction
posted at 12:25 pm on November 4, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
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Yesterday, Allahpundit and I gave you our predictions for the presidential race. Now it’s your turn. Today’s AOL Hot Seat Poll asks who you think will win:
Keep checking back during the day to see how the state-by-state numbers turn out.
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Looks like the Axelrod kids are busy.
Jim Treacher on November 4, 2008 at 12:26 PM
Went to the polls at noon here in northern Virginia (DC suburbs) and there were literally no people in line. Maybe they figured that after the Redskin game, voting was superfluous.
NNtrancer on November 4, 2008 at 12:26 PM
voted.
Love that 81% think the media will lose credibility if Obama loses :D
YellowDawg on November 4, 2008 at 12:27 PM
McCain and Palin for the win. Oh, yeah.
haikusrock on November 4, 2008 at 12:27 PM
Most normal Americans are at work today, Jim. Watch McCain’s numbers begin skyrocket after 4 PM.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 12:28 PM
Come on, Pennsylvania – show the media who’s boss.
savvydude on November 4, 2008 at 12:28 PM
i voted present [not sure] ’cause you actually gave us that option!
/i feel … dirty …
Buckaroo on November 4, 2008 at 12:28 PM
The Drive-By media is going down tonight.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 12:29 PM
Robert Duvall just called me and told me that the election is going to be very close. He needs me to go vote…Hank Williams Jr called yesterday as well. I didn’t know Robert Duvall was a Republican! I’ve already voted here in the N.panhandle of WV. Lines around the school gym for the first time since I’ve lived here. Go Mav! Go Sarahcudda!
Now back to ignoring the computer and TV (with the exception of Rush.)
dish on November 4, 2008 at 12:29 PM
Sarah will win the election. McCain will owe her big time.
fogw on November 4, 2008 at 12:30 PM
All right, “who will win” virtual dead heat. Good stuff.
Darth Executor on November 4, 2008 at 12:30 PM
Obama spent 15 mins voting. I guess he was trying to find the “present” box.
saltydogg14 on November 4, 2008 at 12:31 PM
Should be a slaughter in WV – didn’t it go for Hillary! big time only to see the two superdelegates go for His Changeyness?
HUGE turnout here outside of Philly in total GOP land. They’re parked on the road like it’s a soccer tournament in progress.
SlimyBill on November 4, 2008 at 12:31 PM
Guess I am not normal. I don’t even feel like working today. But here I am! **Sobs**
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 12:32 PM
Splendidly played, Sir!
SlimyBill on November 4, 2008 at 12:32 PM
Walked into my polling station today, got a number to stand in line. Saw some neighbors, chatted a bit. Opened up the book I had brought with me and realized it was the wrong one. (Reading a trilogy and brought #3, not #2.) Took my number, went home, exchanged books, and went back. The line had advanced and I had less than 20 minutes to wait.
Piece of cake. The Poll Captain (is that the offical title of the station?) said we were the busiest polling station in the county.
I don’t know if that’s a good sign or bad.
By the way, the trilogy is pretty good – Axis of Time by John Birmingham. Alternative history. I strongly recommend it! ;-)
Grantman on November 4, 2008 at 12:32 PM
Interesting state by state results in that poll.
bilups on November 4, 2008 at 12:33 PM
My hopes and prayers ask that this country makes the right decision. Which is, of course, John McCain.
YoungAmerican on November 4, 2008 at 12:33 PM
Team Maverick SarahCuda!
286 Electorial
54 McCain
46 Hopey
canopfor on November 4, 2008 at 12:33 PM
The state results paint a nice electoral picture for McCain.
cadams on November 4, 2008 at 12:33 PM
I wonder how many think that the media will lose credibility even with an Obama win.
phreshone on November 4, 2008 at 12:33 PM
You can thank your Christian friends after McCain/Palin wins. The man upstairs is listening to their prayers.
romanianhacker on November 4, 2008 at 12:34 PM
Nah. He was trying to convince Michelle not to vote for McCain.
She knows how empty his suits are.
BacaDog on November 4, 2008 at 12:34 PM
FTFY
YellowDawg on November 4, 2008 at 12:35 PM
McCain takes both the popular and electoral vote. Republican turnout is much higher than expected. Youth vote doesn’t show. Heavy crossover democrat votes for McCain. Independents break for McCain three to one. Media and pollsters shocked, begin to blame each other.
Weight of Glory on November 4, 2008 at 12:36 PM
No lines here in Vail, CO.
My eye twitched involuntarily as I began to fill in the box next to the name McCain.
I never thought the day would come.
road2utopia on November 4, 2008 at 12:37 PM
“Election Day fun!”
It’s more like having a colonoscopy without the meds.
Bill Clinton called me here in S. Cal. to tell me that I must vote against Prop 8 to reinstate the marriage to it’s former status, (4 million votes were made null by 4 members of the Cal Supreme court because they thought it was unconstitutional to deny gays their ‘civil right’ to marry and pay taxes to the public schools to indoctrinate the kids to their agenda).
Bill Clinton telling me that I must accept gay marriage is pretty darn rich, but it’s understandable. His ‘marriage’ is a joke too.
Christine on November 4, 2008 at 12:37 PM
McCain wins by 5%
pseudonominus on November 4, 2008 at 12:37 PM
A bit off topic, but Ed, I love your evil look in the poll picture.
Darth Executor on November 4, 2008 at 12:38 PM
This is true. Thank you ManlyRash.
Surfs Up.
surfer girl on November 4, 2008 at 12:38 PM
Why am I find it difficult to believe Bill Clinton personally took time out of his busy day voting for McCain just to call you?
Darth Executor on November 4, 2008 at 12:39 PM
My fear is that it’s going to come down to absentee/provisional ballots (military? what, they get a vote too?) and it’ll be 2000 all over again.
But I’ve got my Bulleit Bourbon for the evening.
rbj on November 4, 2008 at 12:39 PM
“Christine on November 4, 2008 at 12:37 PM”
“if gays wannabe as miserable as the rest of us i say let ‘em!” — W. Pewterschmidt, “Family Guy”
:-)
Buckaroo on November 4, 2008 at 12:39 PM
Out of curiosity, what are you gonna do if McCain loses?
Darth Executor on November 4, 2008 at 12:39 PM
Sounds good to me.
jimbodeano67 on November 4, 2008 at 12:40 PM
Are we voting for our individual state or the election outcome? For NC, that would give two different answers.
Valiant on November 4, 2008 at 12:41 PM
He’s not gonna lose, Darth.
BacaDog on November 4, 2008 at 12:41 PM
I voted…, but I’m kinda bias.
Kini on November 4, 2008 at 12:41 PM
“Darth Executor on November 4, 2008 at 12:39 PM’
not to speak for him, but unlike the koslambs who will be beating down the doors of their therapists’ offices tomorrow i’ll expect he’ll be fine …
Buckaroo on November 4, 2008 at 12:41 PM
take Cap’n Ed’s map, toss Virginia and Iowa into the MCCain column, but take Nevada away and give it to Barry, and voila, you have the final totals. Mac 288, Barry 250.
I have it on very reliable sources that devine intervention is taking place in PA.
DrW on November 4, 2008 at 12:42 PM
I voted at 10 am in Baltimore in an overwhelmingly democrat neighborhood in the heart of the city. I was the ONLY person in the polling place. Not sure what that may mean.
gatorgirl on November 4, 2008 at 12:42 PM
I read somewhere where AOL had McCain among their members. That was a pleasant surprise.
Hening on November 4, 2008 at 12:42 PM
Andrew Sullivan is a lunatic.
WisCon on November 4, 2008 at 12:43 PM
“Content Loading, One Moment Please…”
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 12:43 PM
I don’t know any Republicans voting for Obama.
I do know quite a few Democrats voting for McCain.
I expect that’s true of a lot of people.
beatcanvas on November 4, 2008 at 12:43 PM
I am so ready for this election to be over!
McCain/Palin 08
Don’t forget to vote.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 12:43 PM
“Hening on November 4, 2008 at 12:42 PM”
no broadband at the sedona ranch?
:-)
Buckaroo on November 4, 2008 at 12:44 PM
Darth Executor: he left recorded messages on Cal residents several days ago…no…he’s taking time from his sexcapes to drop off his ballot. You bet he voted for Sarah.
Christine on November 4, 2008 at 12:44 PM
Was surprised to see Romney out poll Palin for 2012. He was a do nothing governor of MA. Retired on the job. Took a page from the big O’s playbook and voted present.
I hope Stevens wins his seat in Alaska so Palin can eventually replace him when he has to go to jail. Plus one less Demo-rat in Congress.
Go Sarah Go!
shmendrick on November 4, 2008 at 12:44 PM
Prediction:
McCain 286
Obama 252
Go Red States! Trapped in California, my only usefulness is in Props 4 and 8.
ktrush on November 4, 2008 at 12:44 PM
Wondered where you were. We have new trolls for you to eat.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 12:45 PM
There, there, my arctic princess…all will be well.
Trust me on this. Manly is good. Manly is wise. Manly knows.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 12:45 PM
I really have no idea what will happen. At this point, it seems like it’s all just guessing — may as well roll dice.
eforhan on November 4, 2008 at 12:46 PM
McCain/Palin ticket wins
Obama , Axelrod and Co. will have some serious ’splaining to do to some very serious people…
and
Name Patrick Fitzgerald as well as things like “FBI Investigation”, “Federal Grand Jury”, “Indictment” will dominate the news cycle very soon
runner on November 4, 2008 at 12:46 PM
“shmendrick on November 4, 2008 at 12:44 PM”
A-HEM! Saracuda is going to be living at the naval observatory for the next 4 years, not the halls of the sneate!
:-)
Buckaroo on November 4, 2008 at 12:46 PM
90% right :-) Just hope it’s not wishful thinking…
Very happy to finally be able to post a comment on Hot Air :-)
eytan69 on November 4, 2008 at 12:46 PM
“Manly is Great, Manly is Good, let us thank him for this food!”
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 12:46 PM
Buckaroo: Gay marriage isn’t the worst of it…they gay lobby wants to take over the public schools and have succeeded in some areas like San Fransciko. However, what will stop some looney from wanting to marry his horse, or several men, etc?
Christine on November 4, 2008 at 12:46 PM
This Bucks County PA woman just voted McCain and is feeling great. There was a Manion rep outside the polls jingling change in his pocket telling folks this is all the change you will have left after you vote for Mr. Change. He was pretty effective. I am feeling the red spread in PA.
msmveritas on November 4, 2008 at 12:47 PM
Darth, I dont think he looked evil. I did notice the picture and thought that guy looks like a young Orson Wells or maybe a over fed James Cagney…FBI director J. Edgar Hoover possibly…no no I got it…a well rested Edward G. Robinson.
A prediction: Obama 39%
birdhurd on November 4, 2008 at 12:47 PM
Hmmmmmm….*rubs hands* are you wearing one of those skin-tight surfer suits? Manly Rash is…curious.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 12:47 PM
Wasn’t the predictions thread yesterday?
CanadianGuy on November 4, 2008 at 12:47 PM
“gatorgirl on November 4, 2008 at 12:42 PM”
1. they voted absentee
2. they are still snoozing
3. acorn will “take care” of them around 2 p.m.
/none of those are really good scenarios, huh?
Buckaroo on November 4, 2008 at 12:48 PM
Whoa this is showing a McCain landslide…someone calm me down, I just took my pants off.
LibertyBoyNYC on November 4, 2008 at 12:48 PM
My prediction? No second termers this time around.
My collie says:
You forget that we have to “work-in” the four horsemen of the apocolypse between now and then. Repent. The end is near.
My collie says:
CyberCipher on November 4, 2008 at 12:48 PM
Go Red States! Trapped in California, my only usefulness is in Props 4 and 8.
ktrush: I know, kinda crushes the will to even care.
Christine on November 4, 2008 at 12:49 PM
“Christine on November 4, 2008 at 12:46 PM”
hey, were I in cali today you can be sure i would be yes on 8 — i just threw in the fg quote for an attempt at levity …
/sorry …
Buckaroo on November 4, 2008 at 12:49 PM
Bah. Thank God fo the food. Thank Manly for the courage to consume it.
Where the fark have you been? Go here and read.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 12:49 PM
Screw running pointless unimportant “studies” and getting paid for it. What do I have to do to get this job??
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 12:49 PM
**Smacks Manly**
Shup and rub my shoulders!
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 12:49 PM
The polls will spike for Mac once the grown ups and taxpayers start to vate when they get home from work.
Alden Pyle on November 4, 2008 at 12:49 PM
Come on, Pennsylvania – show the media who’s boss.
savvydude on November 4, 2008 at 12:28 PM
Come on all States — show the media and the Left wing Liberal’s who’s boss!!!!!!!!
sheebe on November 4, 2008 at 12:50 PM
TOAST!!
And a good read… just a quick scan gets :D Will read more fully during lunch.
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on November 4, 2008 at 12:50 PM
That’s like asking what I’m going to do if the sun doesn’t rise tomorrow morning. Don’t be silly.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 12:51 PM
I live in north Louisiana; my line was about 15 minutes long. I noticed LONG lines at other sites as I drove back home. The turnout is quite large. We have an important senate race in our state that I’m watching in addition to, of course, the Presidential race. I think the Landrieu/Kennedy race is closer than people think, but probably South La. will pull her over. Damn.
paustin110 on November 4, 2008 at 12:51 PM
I’d just Love to see BHO win the popular vote and Juan McCain the electoral.
IMO that would be the ultimate ‘in-your-face’!
Hal-9000 on November 4, 2008 at 12:51 PM
*looks frantically for scented massage oil* I’ll be back in a couple of hours, folks.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 12:52 PM
black panther intimidation
ConservativePartyNow on November 4, 2008 at 12:52 PM
Okay, now this was funny, really funny…this is stuff the late night shows would pay big bucks for (if they weren’t in the bag for Obama).
right2bright on November 4, 2008 at 12:53 PM
I would assume that AOL’s audience leans right? I voted conservative answers and found I was mostly in the majority. What gives? Even Huffing-a-Ton-and-Blows polls leaned right!
jbtripp on November 4, 2008 at 12:53 PM
Should I take my nightstick to the polls? I’d love to beat somebody down. Get rid of all this anxiety.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 12:53 PM
So, we’ll go to the bus station and throw a bunch of winos in a van and get them to vote for a pack of cigarettes but our military won’t get to.
Remember when the Democrats lawyers were scouring Florida clutching a memo describing how to void military votes in 2000?
This is why I’m a Republican!
Is there any more deserving demographic than our military when it comes to cutting someone some slack over the rigid election laws. I have been the Voter Assistance Officer for a unit once as an additional duty. It’s not easy.
hawkdriver on November 4, 2008 at 12:54 PM
I’m glad there are still a majority of people here who believe McCain will pull through. It’ll make tonight a lot more fun.
Typhonsentra on November 4, 2008 at 12:54 PM
Finally! I got my new password to work. :)
I’ve been lurking for awhile, so I’m thankful for the chance to finally comment and add my two cents:
McCain/Palin. Just got home from voting here in Washington state, and there was maybe 30 people at our polling place. No line, no “youth vote.”
We’ll go blue, but I believe we’ll at least get a Republican governor (go Dino Rossi)!
duanesm on November 4, 2008 at 12:54 PM
Wrong. AOL has a mass majority of Liberals.
upinak on November 4, 2008 at 12:54 PM
LOL!
My vote would be number 3, but considering it is an all white neighborhood maybe number 1.
gatorgirl on November 4, 2008 at 12:55 PM
I’ve been very, very naughty, Sweet Thang.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 12:55 PM
Where is the surf’s up?
Rode a Stewart for years at Trestles, and T-street…but now stuck out here on the East coast…they surf, but they really don’t.
right2bright on November 4, 2008 at 12:55 PM
“jbtripp on November 4, 2008 at 12:53 PM”
the aol weekly poll has had John up TWO TO ONE all campaign long. going explanation is aol is nowadays almost exclusively rural “clingers” …
Buckaroo on November 4, 2008 at 12:55 PM
McCain campaign already filed suit. We’ll see. Drunks and idiots are all the democrats can get to vote for this Empty Suit.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 12:55 PM
Wow! All but 7 states show McCain winning in the state by state breakdown of that poll!
Alden Pyle on November 4, 2008 at 12:56 PM
“right2bright on November 4, 2008 at 12:55 PM”
iirc, sg is in socal …
Buckaroo on November 4, 2008 at 12:56 PM
They know what Manly knows. And what Sean Malstrom knows.
ManlyRash on November 4, 2008 at 12:56 PM
I’ll let Upinak take care of you. I would LOVE to tear a couple of those racist Panthers apart.
HornetSting on November 4, 2008 at 12:57 PM
They’ve been going down for the entire election cycle. Tonight is just the money shot…
phreshone on November 4, 2008 at 12:57 PM
I voted yes on 8 and proud of it too! Gays get same benefits as married couples do. And the fact that the Supreme Court basically flipped us off like our voting it down before didn’t count.
sheebe on November 4, 2008 at 12:57 PM
It takes democrats atleast 15 minutes to vote…so the results could be skewed.
tomas on November 4, 2008 at 12:57 PM
Maybe military service should be a prerequisite for the right to vote . . .
jazz_piano on November 4, 2008 at 12:58 PM
you guys…I am so nervous about this fraud/double voting, etc. HE STOLE IT IN THE PRIMARIES AND IS STEALING IT AGAIN. Thousands of irregularities. How can we possibly watch all of them??? Is there a way to do that?
You know, the ONE thing the FED could do which would actually be truly bipartisan would be election universality. I mean, every state…same procedure…ID required on site and invisible ink on your thumbprint which lasts DAYS. Oh, forget early voting. WHAT KIND OF AWFUL IDEA WAS THAT???? If anything, it might need to be three-day voting…or something like that. Common sense, America. Sheesh.
Mommypundit on November 4, 2008 at 12:58 PM
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