I just bet a friend $100 that the Obama victory margin would be under 100 EV.

I’m thinking it’s probably something like 311 for Obama vs. 220 for Mac. With O taking NV, CO, NM, OH, PA, and VA. And Mac keeping FL, NC, and IN.

I put the chances of a McCain victory somewhere around 35 to 40%, which means it’s within the ballpark of completely doable, and even if he loses it won’t be a giant landslide blowout in the electoral college.

Of course, I really, really hope that Mac pulls this out, I’m just worried.

Ed Morrissey is “cautiously optimistic”: I think John McCain will win a squeaker over Barack Obama, 273-265, by holding Florida [and] Nevada, and adding Pennsylvania as a trade for Virginia. I pretty much agree with his map. In a shocking……

McCain wins pop. vote 51-47

Amen. Even if the Republicans win the White House, us Conservatives still lose. Just because you’re a Republican doesn’t necessarily mean you’re a Conservative. Colin Powell showed us that last week.

stm58 on November 3, 2008 at 10:10 PM

Wow. Somebody who speaks the truth! I think we’re going to get along just fine, stm58. Keep up the good work.

DcMike2K on November 3, 2008 at 11:00 PM

Because they have careers riding on this. They go with the flow because if one is wrong they are all equally wrong and no one has an advantage in two years.

We conservatives are going on our gut that there are not that enough stupid people in America that will vote to give the election to Obama. It’s a faith thing.

You on the other hand seem to have a penchant for forcing people to your view. Why are you so scared of us? I suspect you have serious doubts about Obama and it’s easier for you to hate McCain rather than support a terrorist sympathizer.

I for one will trust a man who was tortured by communists and never a man who was taught by communists.

Karl Rove
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200

Matthew Dowd, former Bush strategist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 250 Democrats 185 Republicans

George Will, conservative columnist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 378 McCain 160
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 254 Democrats 181 Republicans

Ed Rollins, Republican strategist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 353 McCain 185
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 249 Democrats 186 Republicans

Charles Mahtesian, Politico national politics editor
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 311 McCain 227
Senate Seats: 56 Democrats 42 Republicans
House Seats: 256 Democrats 179 Republicans

Morton Kondracke, Fox News host
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 379 McCain 159
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 269 Democrats 166 Republicans

Alex Castellanos, Republican media consultant
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 318 McCain 220
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 42 Republicans

Obama wins Virginia, Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Iowa and Florida; McCain wins Ohio and Missouri…. Coleman wins in Minnesota; Chambliss loses Georgia; Landrieu loses in Louisiana.

Tom Doherty, New York Republican consultant
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 331 McCain 207
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 42 Republicans
House Seats: 255 Democrats 180 Republicans

and what a fitting end to Joe Lieberman than this:

Obama wins North Dakota, has more paid staff in state than voters… Joe Lieberman thrown to pack of wild dogs behind Cannon Senate Office Building. Washington left without a Bush or Dole in office for the first time since, well, a really long time ago

if these people can see the light,why can’t all of you??
accept it.

Dole 51%
Hagan 49%

Since 40% percent of NC’s registered voters (2.5 million of them) have already voted, and the majority of the total registered voters are Democrats, I feel this is the best case scenario for Dole.

For months they’ve spewed the GOP talking points and help spread the lies,smears and fears of McCain/Pailn. They have zero credibility as a “news” channel and the American people aren’t buying it anymore

DcMike2K on November 3, 2008 at 9:28 PM

BWAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!

An independent group studied ALL the major media outlets and FOX coverage of the candidates was 40% negative for Obama, 40% negative for McCain. They use a stop watch when interviewing each side to make sure they give equal time.

Calling the color blue, BLUE, doesn’t make the claim less credible. FOX calling itself fair and balanced is the truth and they should say it.

The person you are thinking of is Obama. He has to claim he is for pro-growth, but he clearly is not.

Think the French riots a year ago.

DcMike2K: For months they’ve spewed the GOP talking points and help spread the lies,smears and fears of McCain/Pailn. They have zero credibility as a “news” channel and the American people aren’t buying it anymore

Actually, I think Fox News is doing pretty well. How’s MSNBC getting along?

apacalyps on November 3, 2008 at 8:19 PM”

Amen. Even if the Republicans win the White House, us Conservatives still lose. Just because you’re a Republican doesn’t necessarily mean you’re a Conservative. Colin Powell showed us that last week.

Rev. Manning said it best here, though I don’t like a lot of the name calling:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mUuaYXO0ze0

(1) Early voting is surprisingly close (yet all the media has talked about is Obamaniacs clogging the polls)

(2) Republicans don’t respond well to polls — I certaily haven’t granted interviews to the myriad of pollsters that have phoned me over the past couple of months.

(3) The “cool factor” — nobody trying to be cool in a crowd of hipsters is going to admit he’s voting Republican.

But the number one reason that this could be a biggie for McCain is

(4) A blast from the past — “The Silent Majority.” These are taxpayers that will be voting against Obama (rather than enthusiastically pro-McCain). Popular media has not allowed stories about the simmering revolt against the perceived radicalism of Obama to gain traction. But it is a reality.

*salutes*

DcMike2K on November 3, 2008 at 9:28 PM

Ohh, are you mad that your terrorist loving, racist, communist messiah isn’t gonna win?

Boo-hoo. 8(

I hope you are well outside of LA. The riots the race warriors will toss when Obama loses will make the Rodney King riots look tame.