Predictions
posted at 10:15 am on November 3, 2008 by Allahpundit
Now or never. Electoral votes and popular vote percentages — leave ‘em in the comments for gloating/mockery purposes tomorrow night. If you want to refine your EV metric rather than just blindly guess, the CNN calculator is at your service.
You’ll find my map below. Obama 318, Maverick 220, with The One pulling 51 percent nationwide to McCain’s 47. I gave McCain Ohio partly because he and Palin have spent so much time there but mainly because I don’t have the stomach to sketch out a truly gruesome landslide, my reputation for Eeyore-ism notwithstanding. I gave Obama Florida because (a) he’s owned the airwaves there for months, and never more so than very recently; (b) McCain’s advantage among Hispanics in the state is negligible, reflecting Obama’s big lead among that demographic nationally plus the fact that there are now more Hispanic Dems in Florida than Republicans; (c) The One’s ground game has always been superior to McCain’s and he’s made Florida, naturally enough, a special target; and (d) if, as I expect, he wins the popular vote, that has to translate into some big state victories. So Florida it is.
If you disagree and are looking for a McCain victory scenario, your task is simple: Find a way to flip no fewer than 50 blue EVs below into Maverick’s column. Even Pennsylvania and Florida won’t do it; he needs Virginia too or else one of the western states, the likeliest of which would be Nevada. And of course he has to hold Indiana, Missouri, and North Carolina — all of which are now within a point.
You’re welcome to predict the Senate races if you like. I don’t have the stomach for that, either.
Blowback
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If it were just up to the McCain ground game, I would agree. However, I believe that the RNC still has the “get out the vote” advantage. McCain flips Fl, Va, and Pa.
Conservative will drag the Mac across the line. The messiah cannot close the deal.
ralph steadman on November 3, 2008 at 10:45 AM
295-243, McCain.
McCain wins by flipping five of Allah’s blue states: FL, OH, VA, CO, and NV.
Beo on November 3, 2008 at 10:45 AM
Wow, YRM, that’s totally uncalled for. The worst part of it isn’t that your hyperbole is ridiculous and offensive, it’s that it’s blatantly false.
there goes my like for you christoph, what’s offensive of me calling someone out for allowing the supression of votes tactic to work on a thread by posting this laughable map? i call it how i see it, you want to keep slurping up allah, fine. i’m gonan do my best to keep a socialist out of the white house, you can keep feeding the axelturfers and trolls. i’m sure allah doesn’t mean to do this, but he does it anyhow
YRM on November 3, 2008 at 10:46 AM
Prediction: “If” the Dems win they will happy for about 90 days until the reality of the collapsing economy will crush their plans for tax cuts and bigger government.
Sorry to say that if McCain wins he will face the same fate.
My advice to everybody is get out of debt and stop worrying about Washington and worry more about your own financial condition.
SocratesShadow on November 3, 2008 at 10:46 AM
Oops, meant to say PA instead of OH.
Beo on November 3, 2008 at 10:46 AM
As a fellow Washington state guy, I can’t wait to see how many dead people vote again this year.
wccawa on November 3, 2008 at 10:46 AM
These same pollsters have a more recent history of getting BHO’s numbers very wrong (in BHO’s favor, of course).
Secondly, anyone who realizes the importance of this election (it is about whether the US as defined by our Consitution still exists) would understand that this is a far different type of election than ever before. Those who treat this like any other election are out of their friggin’ minds and have no concept of history and no inkling of the total sh#tstorm that America and the world will see if BHO wins.
progressoverpeace on November 3, 2008 at 10:46 AM
I pray you’re right Manly.
FiveWays on November 3, 2008 at 10:46 AM
McCain 281
Obama 257
joepub on November 3, 2008 at 10:46 AM
McCain is going to win Maine, NH, PA, FL, VA, NC, OH, MI, MN, Iw, MO, CO, NV. and there is an outside chance he wins CA with the prop 8 on the ballot. People forget the record turnout among consevartives during in 2004 for anti-gay marriage crap.
unseen on November 3, 2008 at 10:46 AM
Manly Rash is good.
Manly Rash is wise.
Manly Rash knows McCain will win it – and win it BIG.
Make it happen, people. Make it happen.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 10:46 AM
Lose the M on your handle, sir.
Memo to ManlyRash: Let’s broil this sucker.
—
PA is going red… southeastern PA is purple (more blueish than I’d like, to be sure). But the coal regions, which have been mostly Dem since time immemorial, are going for McCain big enough to offset that. And Murtha’s gonna eat a tasty crap sandwich, too.
PA, FLA, VA red, plus what Allah’s got, delivers 281. That’s enough, my friends. 281-257 McPalin.
Comrade Barry will take the pop vote by a fraction of a percent, but not reach 50. Big margins coming from cemeteries in ILL, illegals in CA and cartoon characters in NY.
either orr on November 3, 2008 at 10:46 AM
I think a few things help McCain in these final hours:
1. Lots of people polled (including dems) give false reporting for fear of being labeled “racist”. I’ve seen a lot of reports on the blogs this weekend of lifelong dems that are voting for McCain, just based on the fact Obama is too radical.
2. Hillary’s PUMA vote: I believe her minions are going to be given marching orders to vote against Obama, because she plain out hates him. Especially the feminist voters, because Obama is so blatantly anti-woman.
3. Seniors: This will be the heaviest and most reliable voting block, and I believe unless they are completely senile, they will vote for the guy that won’t raise taxes on their Social Security. This is why I think McCain will take Florida.
4. Most of the up-for-grabs votes will decide at the very last minute. Anybody that hasn’t been hypnotized by Obama’s aura yet is unlikely to decide to go with him in these final stages of the election. These people will either vote McCain or stay home.
Lets get out there and volunteer any way we can tomorrow!
ErinF on November 3, 2008 at 10:46 AM
FL, VA and PA– if BHO gets these it’s lost (as predicted); is there ANY hope of these going McCain/Palin???????
rebuzz on November 3, 2008 at 10:47 AM
Polling = Lying with Numbers
TexBob on November 3, 2008 at 10:47 AM
I know I’m right. Manly is always right.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 10:47 AM
That’s rich, coming from one of the Messiah’s cult following.
with his map, allah has allowed the trolls and axelturfers to come out and spout their crap, we must fight them. stand up and fight!
YRM on November 3, 2008 at 10:47 AM
Too close to call, just so I don’t have to come back here and say I was right or wrong.
mmoran0226 on November 3, 2008 at 10:47 AM
I get 292 for McCain and 246 for The One. That adds up to about $1 billion in damages in almost every major city in the country…and I wouldn’t have it any other way!
LeBron on November 3, 2008 at 10:48 AM
You guys have to stop turning off the “Troll Sniffer” whenever you have open registration.
AubieJon on November 3, 2008 at 10:48 AM
There you go, Allah. You have the Masshole Obama voting endorsement. You must be so proud! Now we know why you opened up registration today of all days.
Blake on November 3, 2008 at 10:48 AM
Mccain 51% Obama 46% Other 3%
McCain with 280
Samhain on November 3, 2008 at 10:48 AM
282-256 McCain wins. He eeks out PA and FL, wins VA by 2.3%, OH by 3% and gets one of Maines EV’s. Obama wins NV, CO, NM, and IA
MFn G I M P on November 3, 2008 at 10:48 AM
Too close to call. GOP turnout vs Dem voter fraud. If Obama wins the military will cast the deciding vote next summer. Not a fantasy – I know whereof I speak. They don’t want to because it opens Pandora’s box but will if they have to. And they will have to when they see Obama acting like Hugo Chavez. Buy more ammo
bill30097 on November 3, 2008 at 10:48 AM
McCain in a landslide. Only one poll matters anyway.
RhetoricalFlourishes on November 3, 2008 at 10:48 AM
Mac holds OH, FL, MO, VA and NC. Flips PA. Loses IA, NM, CO and NV.
McCain 281
Obama 257
Ponz on November 3, 2008 at 10:49 AM
Shouldn’t Obama be up like 15-10 points by now….
seems like with all the money, all the media bias in his favor, in a recession economy, and after 8 years of bush, he’s only running neck to neck with mccain at best…
even pundits say if he’s not up by at leat 15 points by october, he will lose. HE HAS NOT CLOSED THE SALE!!!
seems to me only HE AND THE LIBERAL MEDIA are the ones living in la la land in predicting he’s gonna win..
mccain will be our next president.
im4mccain on November 3, 2008 at 10:49 AM
Good point, unseen, about the gay marriage stuff. That helped GWB in Ohio last time around. But I don’t know as that will be enough to offset the illegals/cartoon characters vote in SF/LA.
either orr on November 3, 2008 at 10:49 AM
YRM,
So, you willing to go on record to call Karl Rove an “axelturfer” because he’s calling it for Obama?
hippie_chucker on November 3, 2008 at 10:49 AM
There is still a large part of the electrate in both OH, PA and to a lesser extent in VA that has never been polled and that are the Amish, that have no tv, telephone, radio, or internet. And in PA, they make up about 5% of the people there, and in OH about the same. I am going to predict that McCain carries FL, NC, VA, OH, and PA, as well as a few surprises out there:
Veitnam Hero: 303
the one: 235
ConservativePartyNow on November 3, 2008 at 10:50 AM
I give McCain Nevada (Veterans and Mormons), Pennsylvania because well I know too many people from PA Obama is not getting the state. Virginia because the polls are so heavily weighted against McCain it is ridiculous, when you see a poll with close to the 2004 spread Republican +3 McCain is too close to call the state for Obama. My big suprise for you is Iowa. I have not spent a whole lot of time there but the people I know do not seem like Obama voters. I think the PUMA’s are strong there. McCain takes Florida on the strentgh of old people, Jews in particular. Allah sites there are more Hispanic Dems ion Florida but we already know which voting block tends to show up les at the polss and is generally more apathetic. And I still don’t buy Hispanics voting for the black guy. Too much racial tension for that. Colorado is a toss up.
Iowa-7
Florida-27
Virginia-13
Pennsylvania-21
Nevada-5
Theworldisnotenough on November 3, 2008 at 10:50 AM
I just have to ask: If McCain wins this thing, will the wacko commie lefties finally move away? That would be so sweet…
ErinF on November 3, 2008 at 10:50 AM
I have faith in the American People!
BO cannot and will not win.
God Bless John McCain and Sarah Palin.
God Bless America.
I am a Marin County Conservative.
surfer girl on November 3, 2008 at 10:50 AM
I’m not sure anyone can predict this. I’m not even going to try.
A McCain win (or even landslide) would be hi-larious (at least, the handwringing from the left, MSM and pollsters would be), but the prevailing winds certainly point toward an Obama presidency. Who knows?
eforhan on November 3, 2008 at 10:50 AM
My prediction
The other scenario I have is that McCain takes Pennsylvania instead of Minnesota.
The Dean on November 3, 2008 at 10:50 AM
McCain will win. Get out and vote and it will happen.
BTW, is Allahpundit always so depressing?
I_hate_politicians on November 3, 2008 at 10:50 AM
McCain 287
Obama 251
The media and Allah make this all seem so unlikely by saying McCain has to win all the toss-up states. However, it is more likely that if McCain wins states like VA, OH, or FL, he will win them all. And a win in PA will ensure the election for McCain. He is not going to win PA and lose VA or OH or NC.
Also if Obama was trailing by 2 or 3 the media would be saying it is a “dead heat”, because it is within the margin of error. But because Obama is ahead by 2 or 3 the media spins it as a lead. Bias?
jmell7 on November 3, 2008 at 10:50 AM
There you go, Allah. You have the Masshole Obama voting endorsement. You must be so proud! Now we know why you opened up registration today of all days.
thank you! my point excatly, one of the many reasons i pray to no avail allah will get fired from this blog, but hey according to what he said on ace’s blog to me, we’re just “grouchy readers”
YRM on November 3, 2008 at 10:51 AM
Even if Allahpundit is blatantly wrong, to call him an axelturfer and a troll on your first day commenting here is just blatantly crappy behaviour.
You don’t have to agree with the guy’s analysis — which as I’ve pointed out has at least a somewhat successful track record — to refrain from calling him a in essence a traitor.
I watched Karl Rove on Fox News a moment ago. He’s a fairly conservative dude, good political bona fides, even something of an expert I hear.
Like myself, he said that McCain could still win it. But he also pointed out that Obama won the last 251 polls in a row and the last time McCain won one is some time in September.
Not counting the small sample 1-day snapshot poll, which aren’t generally considered reliable either.
I think some of these polls are crap, and the ones that aren’t crap STILL show McCain behind, but by a smaller margin.
And Allahpundit’s analysis reflects a better than average case scenario considering those polls.
I think McCain can win it.
But getting away from who’s right or who’s wrong, you were uncouth to your host. Accusing him of being a troll.
Christoph on November 3, 2008 at 10:51 AM
My prediction is that everyone should keep their TV off until 7:00 EST tomorrow. Listen to talk radio and stay online because there is NOTHING positive on TV. That freakish tool on NBC, (whoever the political dweeb is with the stupid beard/mustache thing) has announced it over- “McCain has zero chance- less than zero” I hope he meets up with a deranged Palin lover on his way home from work tonite.
anniekc on November 3, 2008 at 10:52 AM
McCain wins it by taking FL, NV, VA, PA. Registered Democrat voters in early voting isn’t translating into huge Obama leads. This plus undecideds breaking for McCain will take McCain across the threshold.
JimC_ on November 3, 2008 at 10:52 AM
My sense all along is that it will either be Obama by 3-4%, or McCain will blow him out of the water. Funny, all these months later I still feel the same way. I don’t see a long, dragged out process, either.
For what it’s worth. Which is zilch.
Scott P on November 3, 2008 at 10:52 AM
I am 100% certain that McCain will win…and by a hefty margin. There is no doubt in my mind.
:)
dmarie on November 3, 2008 at 10:52 AM
You would be surprised, I have been volunteering talking to Veterans from across the country. Most of us are more conservative, but we realize that throwing out words like socialism is not an economic policy. We realize that talking is strength. We care about the future.
Even with the few veterans that have disagreed with me we have had some respectful, interesting, and complex conversations about our differences.
Veterans for Obama ’08 (O-338 McC-200)
MassHole on November 3, 2008 at 10:52 AM
General Election:
Obama: 48.8% – McCain: 47.7%
Electoral College:
McCain: 271 – Obama: 267
Obama wins the deep blue states big, but McCain squeaks out the late deciders in enough states to win the election
phreshone on November 3, 2008 at 10:52 AM
I predict McCain Palin will pull it off. Obama will not concede despite clear evidence that he should. Main streme media will not give up either.
yalero on November 3, 2008 at 10:52 AM
Electoral: McCain 321, Obama 217
Popular: Obama 50%, McCain 49%
cadams on November 3, 2008 at 10:52 AM
Obama 353
McCain 185
Sea change election. And the irony is that because the right has framed Obama as a socialist (when he’s anything but) Obama will be electoral proof that “socialists” can win. You should have just gone with tax and spend liberal. That was working just fine. But by taking it over the top to socialism, well…yeah.
DeathToMediaHacks on November 3, 2008 at 10:53 AM
The biggest reason I want McCain to win is just to see Gwen Ifill eat it!
ErinF on November 3, 2008 at 10:53 AM
PS-God Bless ManlyRash.
surfer girl on November 3, 2008 at 10:53 AM
It will be over fairly early. Obama will win handily, although I hold out hope that the House and Senate won’t go completely Dem.
I hope I’m wrong, but McCain had to run a perfect campaign to win. The Republicans were unable or unwilling to correct the record on the banking crisis. The real work starts once President Obama is sworn in.
Asher on November 3, 2008 at 10:53 AM
McCain will flip PA for the win, IMHO. He will also carry FL, OH, NV, and NC. Not sure about VA yet, though.
McCain: 273
Obama: 265
In moments of grandeur I do, however, envision a ginormous landslide in Mac’s favor. I think the PUMAs are a bit underestimated, as well as other disillusioned Democrats that may be simply biding their time until election day.
haikusrock on November 3, 2008 at 10:53 AM
I don’t see how any Vet, unless you were drafted and hated every minute of it, could ever support a man who wants to slash the military as much as Obama does.
As to predictions, I have no idea whatsoever, but I hope Allah is wrong and Manly is right. I don’t know if I can handle the crap we’ll take with McCain as president, but I don’t even want to imagine an Obama presidency.
Esthier on November 3, 2008 at 10:53 AM
Via the good graces of a co-worker, we are going to the McCain party at the Biltmore tomorrow night though, and I’d much prefer a victory party…
Scott P on November 3, 2008 at 10:53 AM
McCain-Palin: 285
Obama-Biden: 253
Then the lawsuits and riots will begin.
jbtripp on November 3, 2008 at 10:54 AM
Fly, Johnny…..FLY!!!!!
Limerick on November 3, 2008 at 10:54 AM
I say NV goes red as does FL (Old folks, racist and otherwise). PA will be the pivot point. I’ve been hanging out on PUMA sites the last few days and they’re confident in PA going red. Add to that Murtha’s big mouth and it could happen.
Kafir on November 3, 2008 at 10:54 AM
O man you are going to be in for a huge letdown on the night of November 4. HUGE letdown. Barry’s halo is gone, MH. All that’s left is a callow Chicago thug.
The nation has seen the clothes with no emperor in them.
The nation (i.e., REAL Americans, as opposed to liberals)will elect John McCain and Sarah Palin. And for the next four years – until she is elected president in 2012 – your ears will burn every time you hear that delightful Alaska twang in her voice.
Assuming that you have not been committed to a psychiatric ward by then.
Consider yourself pwned.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 10:54 AM
Even if Allahpundit is blatantly wrong, to call him an axelturfer and a troll on your first day commenting here is just blatantly crappy behaviour.
ok you see why i lost respect for you, i never called him a troll or axelturfer i said he unintentionaly feeds trolls and axelturfers, so i’d watch it on the assumptions and attacks, you’ve seen me on ace’s blog i’ve defedned allah from people who say he’s really a dem, but it ain’t gonna stop my hatred of his blogging (not hatred of him) and how annoying i find him and hope he’s fired
got it? good :)
YRM on November 3, 2008 at 10:54 AM
“One time I thought I wasn’t right; turns out I was wrong about that.”
FiveWays on November 3, 2008 at 10:54 AM
McCain takes CO, FL, MN, PA, Va. (and perhaps NV and IA)
Electoral McCain 300, O-Who 218
Overall National Pop vote McCain 50, Obama 47.
I had called for a 6 point McCain win prior, but given the overtime drive by the MSM for the Barackstar…
Perhaps wishful thinking. But I really don’t buy the polling, which is merely designed for bandwagon effect.
Jason Gillman on November 3, 2008 at 10:55 AM
I predict this thread will top 1000 comments before sundown and will result in at least one banning.
fluffy on November 3, 2008 at 10:55 AM
Allah’s prediction could be right but both Virginia and Florida are razor thin margins no matter who polls and what direction those polls lean. PA is not so close in the last polls but its been trending markedly toward McCain and the latest coal bankruptcy blast could push that state to McCain. My prediction is that McCain holds Virginia and Florida and the big surprise is PA going for McCain and the rest pretty much goes according to Hoyle.
JonPrichard on November 3, 2008 at 10:56 AM
Amish aren’t 5 percent, but they are a significant factor in my area. Haven’t been to a general election yet in my precinct where I haven’t seen either a couple of buggies or a couple of Amish taxis bringing them in. And they don’t vote Dem. Mennonites, the more worldly Anabaptists, vote maybe 85-15 GOP. Watch the Catholic vote outside of Philly. If McPalin carries it, PA is in the bag.
either orr on November 3, 2008 at 10:56 AM
What will really be interesting to see is the market reaction to the election results. An Obama win would mean a certain nosedive. Everyone whose smart would sell.
ErinF on November 3, 2008 at 10:56 AM
Most of them will be catatonic from all the Prohzac.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 10:56 AM
Link please.
fogw on November 3, 2008 at 10:56 AM
That’s true, “throwing out words like socialism is not an economic policy” – it’s a warning. Now, BHO’s economic policy is socialism. Deal with it, troll.
You are such a ridiculous troll. “talking is strength”. LOL. Go back to Kos, asshat.
progressoverpeace on November 3, 2008 at 10:56 AM
Let them make fun of your name..
I love your attitude.. :)
McCain will win..
don’t have the energy to figure out the numbers other than McCain will be over the 270 mark.. Obama might get the popular vote.. and the usual crap about the voice of the people not being heard and ‘selected, not elected’ will be chorused..
VA Senate seat.. Mark Warner might win it.. if anything because of John Warner retiring.. someone might vote Warner not thinking it through..
DaveC on November 3, 2008 at 10:57 AM
I am a pretty real American and slightly liberal. This type of nonsense is what needs to end.
Veterans for Obama ‘08 (O-338 McC-200)
MassHole on November 3, 2008 at 10:57 AM
Death to Media
Free health care, free preschool, free college tuition, price fixing coal plants to bankrupt them, taxing rich people in the name of economic justice. How is that not socialism, or a creep towards socialism?
hippie_chucker on November 3, 2008 at 10:57 AM
I took PUMA as being 20% of people who actually voted for Hillary during the primaries (taking the actual numbers for each state). Mix that in with today’s poll, and McCain gets mininum 300 (and 238 for Obama).
But I’m predicting 338 for McCain.
MrX on November 3, 2008 at 10:58 AM
” These people will either vote McCain or stay home.”
but if it’s the latter the situation becomes far more dire than if it’s the former!
/fwiw, i say the ’08 map MATCHES the ’04 map — wouldn’t that be a kick in the pants!
:-)
Buckaroo on November 3, 2008 at 10:58 AM
First time posting and I hope it’s not as a guest at a wake.
Gotta ask if there is a snowball’s chance in Hades that McCain pulls an upset?
calcajun on November 3, 2008 at 10:58 AM
Most of them will be catatonic from all the Prohzac.
and allah will be devistated that he has to face a lot of happy people ready to go at it w/ him
YRM on November 3, 2008 at 10:58 AM
Allah is wrong. Manly is right. That’s all you need to know.
Now make it happen.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 10:58 AM
My gut tells me either it will be O’Bama by 10 or McCain by 5, depending upon the swing of undecideds.
The coal story will resonate in PA, VA, Ohio etc. Bradley effect will take care of the rest, not in no small part that BO keeps bringing up the “Socialist” label and “Joe the Plumber” label in speeches as recently as yesterday. Why remind voters of your negative labels unless their internals show it is sticking? He is sinking his own ship.
This will work, and would be a 5% edge for McCain. If there is not a groundswell of undecided and those who have second thoughts, it will be O’Bama by 10. I believe the groundswell is there.
“Spread the Wealth”
“Redistribution”
“Bankrupt Coal”
“Skyrocketing energy prices”
“Joe the Plumber”
“ACORN”
“Wright”
“Socialist”
“International testing with crisis”
“Kalidhi”
“Ayers”
“Control of Congress”
“True responsibility for Fannie and Freddie causing meltdown”
“Handout to those that pay no taxes”
If none of this resonates with the public we are in denial, but I think it does, McCain by 5.
Starlink on November 3, 2008 at 10:58 AM
Ed/AP/Michelle — Did you really have to open up comments registration the day before the election? It’s always so messy.
BigD on November 3, 2008 at 10:59 AM
McCain by a landslide. Obama supporters will start celebrating tonight. By tomorrow morning half will be in jail and the other half will be too hungover to vote.
RedWinged Blackbird on November 3, 2008 at 10:59 AM
I don’t understand how talking = strength = caring about the future = vote for Obama. Help me out.
Higher taxes, weaker defense, killing babies, bankrupt energy, screw the constitution, rampant fraud, etc. That’s your idea of a good America?
Fozzy Bear on November 3, 2008 at 10:59 AM
Fine, I misread and therefore misquoted you, and I apologize for that. As a result, I overstated my case, for which I also apologize.
That said, and I hope you’re right — I’m sure you know from our discussions at AoSHQ I’m on your side at least so far as which result we both want and think is possible — Allahpundit’s prediction is within the realm of reason.
Doesn’t mean it’s right, but it’s hardly ridiculous considering what we know now.
Christoph on November 3, 2008 at 10:59 AM
Here it is.
CanadianGuy on November 3, 2008 at 10:59 AM
Psalm 146:3-4
Do not put your trust in princes,
in mortal men, who cannot save.
When their spirit departs, they return to the ground;
on that very day their plans come to nothing.
America,
We’re not looking for a savior, we already have our Lord. We’re looking for a leader to steer this country back onto the path of righteousness.
Don’t regret your vote on November 5th. Vote McCain/Palin.
Thank you.
Capital Mess on November 3, 2008 at 10:59 AM
Allah is wrong. Manly is right. That’s all you need to know.
Now make it happen.
the new book in the bible says it’s so
YRM on November 3, 2008 at 10:59 AM
I don’t think there’s any way Obama takes Florida. As for Virginia, we’ve got the military (if they’ll COUNT THE STINKIN’ ABSENTEE BALLOTS!), we’ve got a large Asian population, whom the “Washington Post” said are going for McCain, and we’ve got the traditionally Republican southern rural areas. Don’t count us out.
Gina on November 3, 2008 at 10:59 AM
Tell us why its time Allah. Me thinks its premature – there are medications to solve that problem. I will predict when appropriate and not sooner.
Fuquay Steve on November 3, 2008 at 11:00 AM
I am a pretty real American and slightly liberal.
MassHole on November 3, 2008 at 10:57 AM
LOL. Slightly liberal but shilling for the return of the USSR. Right …
progressoverpeace on November 3, 2008 at 11:00 AM
Most of them will be catatonic from all the Prohzac.
and allah will be devistated that he has to face a lot of happy people ready to go at it w/ him – YRM on November 3, 2008 at 10:58 AM
Nah. It’ll mostly consist of a lot of neener neener posts. Although I suppose the outpouring of love and adulation for yours truly will be of astonishing proportions.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 11:00 AM
Ah, all Eeyore all the time for senior Allah. Shocking, shocking I tell ya! Whatevs, just go fuckin vote people, this prediction shit doesnt matter. Eeyores, trolls and other scum of this blog, ya’ll can lick my balls when McCain/Palin bring this shit home tomorrow….
Baraky on November 3, 2008 at 11:00 AM
“Veterans for Obama ‘08″
john kerry, kos, who else am i missing here?!
Buckaroo on November 3, 2008 at 11:00 AM
McCain: 270 (291 when Pennsylvania is finally resolved)
Obama: 247
with Pennsylvania still counting and recounting with a record 125% turnout in Philadelphia.
McCain surprises Allahpundit by winning: Florida, Virginia, New Hampshire, Nevada, and Maine’s 1st district.
In February, final counting determines that McCain actually won Pennsylvania — but just like Florida in 2000, liberals will never accept that result.
Obama wins the popular vote in a squeaker, with Republicans claiming persuasively that the greater than 100% turnout in so many urban districts makes a mockery of these claims.
Senate results: 56 Dem, 42 Rep, + Joe Lieberman, who is forced to caucus with the Republicans to get any committee assignments, and ends up a Republican hero when he stands with the GOP on three critical filibusters that lose a few RINOs. (Note: 56 elected Dems –> 57 when Democrat Janet Napolitano replaces McCain with a Democrat.)
((Alternate electoral scenario: McCain loses with narrow margins in several close states, where the margin is substantially lower than the number of fraudulent votes cast.
McCain’s personal experience with electoral fraud is as transformative as his earlier experience with corrupt money in politics. He devotes the rest of his senate career to cleaning up elections.
The McCain-Clinton electoral reform act of 2009 is a profound improvement of our electoral system, and results in Hillary Clinton’s victory in the 2012 Democratic Primary. Palin-Petraeus ’12 narrowly beats Clinton for the White House.))
ClintACK on November 3, 2008 at 11:01 AM
Fogw, here’s Rove’s electoral map-which I dispute-but you asked…
http://www.rove.com/election
hippie_chucker on November 3, 2008 at 11:01 AM
I see it as McCain 280 EV’s with The One getting 258. Maverick picks up PA, NV, OH, NC along with the non-swing red states.
OldeSCfan on November 3, 2008 at 11:01 AM
I think we can stipulate that anyone supporting Obama this election can hardly be called “slightly liberal.”
wccawa on November 3, 2008 at 11:01 AM
I keep thinking that PUMA’s are overly factored in but…
They know that if Barry wins, Hillary will never be president.
I have to believe that offsets extra black voting, so it comes down to moderate vs. extreme liberal.
It would be a quantum shift in this countrys politics to go hard left-even Clinton knew enough to tack to the center.
Obama never got to 51-52 percent in reliable polls.
OK , here I go-
The popular vote is too close to call- less than a million nationally
McCain draws the inside straight across the center- Colorado, Indiana, Missouri, Ohio, Virginia.
Holds Florida , NC.
Media refuses to call the election when their guy doesn’t win -McCain better be prepared for that and Obama refusing to concede.Replay of 2000?
I believe the Obama/Acorn cabal is specifically targeting Ohio to achieve this.
jjshaka on November 3, 2008 at 11:01 AM
McCain by just enough. 271….electoral votes
kanda on November 3, 2008 at 11:01 AM
Is that anything like mildy retarded?
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 11:02 AM
Well broiled troll. I salute you, sirs!
either orr on November 3, 2008 at 11:02 AM
Newsflash… liberal ideology… socialist tendencies… fascist rule… were all outside the founding ideals of America.
Conservatism has been the American way since 1776. Fiscal conservatism, low taxes, small government, strong defense, capitalism, rights to life, liberty, and happiness, Obama is the exact opposite.
Fozzy Bear on November 3, 2008 at 11:03 AM
Prediction:
The rapture happens on November 4 at 6:59 EST.
If not, I may be drinking some special Kool-aid at 7:01 PST.
Glenn Jericho on November 3, 2008 at 11:03 AM
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