My Predictions
posted at 11:20 am on November 3, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
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Earlier, Allahpundit gave his predictions for the national race. I’m a bit more optimistic, especially given the movement over the last few days, but I’m more or less a born optimist anyway. I think John McCain will win a squeaker over Barack Obama, 273-265, by holding Florida, Nevada, and adding Pennsylvania as a trade for Virginia:
Note that I leave Minnesota in the blue column today, despite the virtual dead heat Survey USA shows in its final polling. As Jazz Shaw and James Joyner note, the RCP average shows Obama significantly ahead, but they include the Strib’s MinnPoll that routinely overstates Democratic strength. The same poll has Al Franken ahead of Norm Coleman by four points. Because of its structure, the RCP average lags on movement, and Survey USA shows some movement towards Republicans here — but I don’t think this is the election that moves Minnesota to the red column after 36 years of going blue.
I don’t think this is the election that puts Florida in the blue column, either, or Nevada. Early-vote polling didn’t show enough of an advantage for Obama, and now Republicans will make up the majority of poll-goers in both states. It really comes down to Virginia and Pennsylvania, and a split can favor either candidate. I think Pennsylvania has a real shot at going red, and Virginia’s a toss-up at this point. GOTV will make a difference, but so will those undecideds — and as I’ve said before, if that many people still haven’t made up their mind to vote Obama, then I expect most of them to take the safe fall-back position of McCain.
The Senate and the House look like a lock for Democrats, however. I expect to see a 57-43 split in the upper chamber, counting the independent caucusers for the Dems. In the House, Pelosi will marginally increase her majority to 237-198. There are just too many open Republican seats in this election, regardless of the narrowing of the generic Congressional balloting.
Win, lose, or draw, however, I’ll be broadcasting election results live at AM 1280 The Patriot tomorrow from 8-11 pm CT. We’ll have live chat and live video broadcasting during the returns. Be sure to tune in right here at Hot Air, where we will celebrate the finale of the most remarkable presidential election in my lifetime!
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Or maybe a strange case of mass masochism.
clemycali on November 3, 2008 at 1:18 PM
I worry that our optimism on this site is reminiscent of the 2006 mid-terms… nobody believed the polls than… and lo and behold, they were right.
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 1:19 PM
personally, i am humiliated that there is even speculation that Obummer could carry Virginia.
kelley in virginia on November 3, 2008 at 1:22 PM
Pray. Pray Hard! Then VOTE!
jimbodeano67 on November 3, 2008 at 1:24 PM
Try this story from the UK!
This rocks and if you go look at MY predictions on the election, you will see that I used the term “unresponsive”
label!
God Bless America, God Bless McCain/Palin, God Bless You!
Mark Garnett on November 3, 2008 at 1:24 PM
And when McCain wins, I want to meet “manly rash” who has been my shining beacon for the past 6 weeks.
kelley in virginia on November 3, 2008 at 1:24 PM
I worry that our optimism on this site is reminiscent of the 2006 mid-terms… nobody believed the polls than… and lo and behold, they were right.
Republican on November 3, 2008
My sentiments exactly! I got caught up in this before, can’t do it again.
Joe Pyne on November 3, 2008 at 1:27 PM
Is there a doctor in the house? I think I may have ulcers and other gastric disorders due to this election and the prospect of that loser Obama becoming our next president. I vascillate between believing McCain wins 273-268 and thinking Obama wins by 50 Evs. What’s the prescription?
uncalheels on November 3, 2008 at 1:27 PM
Well, it’s over for me. I already voted by absentee ballot for McCain. However, I live in California, a so deeply blue state, that my vote will be lost in a sea of Obamaphiles. In fact, unless the election is close, I suspect that they won’t bother to count the mail in votes.
The people here in Lala land can’t wait to vote themselves some more entitlements. Thus the state is swimming in a sea of red ink. In spite of all my efforts, my daughter is still undecided…she says she doesn’t know whether to vote for The Suit or The Coot.
Uniblogger on November 3, 2008 at 1:28 PM
Faith in GOD… and ManlyRash of course!
(how’s that for a new recruit sucking up?)
Mark Garnett on November 3, 2008 at 1:30 PM
Here’s to hoping that Kelley’s humiliation will turn to pride and joy!
Jaibones on November 3, 2008 at 1:33 PM
The difference this year from 2006 is that the GOP base is going to come out b/c of Sarah, Anger and Obama. Undecideds are going to break for McCain and they are already are according to SUSA polls in MN, OH and VA. The base sat home in disgust in 06 b/c of Foley, corruption, Iraq, etc. The polls this year do not take into consider GOP turnout. And even in 2006, we were very, very close in VA, MT and MO.
IR-MN on November 3, 2008 at 1:33 PM
Re: North Carolina and the polls…
I think a similar effect is at work here as in Pennsylvania.
Poll-takers are oversampling urban democrats relative to rural democrats.
This means that they take the total number of Democrats likely to vote, and assume that they support Obama at the rate that *urban* Democrats support Obama, and see a win for Obama.
In Pennsylvania, Hillary got most of her support from rural Democrats. Clearly they are less sold on Obama than, say, voters in Philadelphia.
This means that Obama’s support among Pennsylvania Democrats in the polls is likely significantly overstated.
We’ve spent quite a bit of time noting that pollsters are getting the party ID weighting very, very wrong. It’s worth noting that even with the party ID weighting corrected, the pollsters are likely STILL overstating Obama’s strength.
I think the same logic likely applies to quite a few other states — New Hampshire, Ohio, Colorado, and North Carolina among them.
So, no, North Carolina is NOT a swing state.
ClintACK on November 3, 2008 at 1:33 PM
You two folks can CHOOSE to be NEGITIVE NELLIES, but as for me and my house, we will serve the Lord and have faith in REAL AMERICANS to vote for the good of America, not for a radical black liberation white hater, that despises all that is right and good about America!
Mark Garnett on November 3, 2008 at 1:34 PM
I’ve been surfing the blogs — I’m back here just to keep from total depression!!
I will VOTE–I GAVE $$ — I blogged — BUT the “sheep” are just too many and they’ve downed the “kool-aid” by the gallons! I’m in Chicago–(groan) the celebration has started– Rush just said he’s a realist (sigh)–I need to go and run.
Is there really any reason for optimism???
rebuzz on November 3, 2008 at 1:35 PM
That’s true.
Joe Pyne on November 3, 2008 at 1:37 PM
Wow talk about appropriate Temper.
http://standupformccain.com/2008/10/damn-i-love-this-guy.html
Obama who?
Dr Evil on November 3, 2008 at 1:38 PM
I am with Republican on Novemeber 3 – this is just too close to call. A nailbiter.
catlady on November 3, 2008 at 1:39 PM
My prediction matches Ed’s to a tee.
Athena on November 3, 2008 at 1:39 PM
This is not 2006.
If the Dems had put up a more centrist candidate, or McCain had picked a less exciting running mate, it definitely could be 2006 again.
But no way the GOP base sits this election out. Not with Obama the Infanticide running against Sarah Palin the pro-life poster child; not with the Chairman of the Joyce Foundation running against a proud moose hunter; not with General Betray-Us running against a bona fide war hero; not with Senator Government running against Mr. Never Took an Earmark.
There’s just no major wing of the GOP base that can’t look at one of our candidates and feel pride pulling the lever. That’s a HUGE difference from 2006 when we were asked to hold our noses and vote for our incumbent Congress-critters.
ClintACK on November 3, 2008 at 1:41 PM
I do have faith in REAL Americans…. it’s the fake ones that Obama and ACORN have registered, and the voter fraud machine being cranked up, that I worry about… I just feel sometimes that we are not being realistic here in terms of polls… I hope for the best, but I just don’t feel 100% confident.
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 1:41 PM
The latest Fox News poll shows The One by 7. Happy thoughts are not going to close a 7 point deficit. Let’s look to 2012.
Vernon Hardapple on November 3, 2008 at 1:42 PM
I’m hoping for the best and expecting the worst. Unlike the Hollywood morons, I won’t a)claim i’m leaving if Obama wins and/or b)actually not do it.
GoodSamaritan on November 3, 2008 at 1:42 PM
Too bad we didn’t see some of this kind of fire in the debates, I think it could have helped. Like Reagan in 1980, “I paid for this microphone, Mr…. “
Joe Pyne on November 3, 2008 at 1:43 PM
I simply don’t understand what is happening. The gap was closing on friday and its widening on monday? What s going on? It’s crazy.
clemycali on November 3, 2008 at 1:45 PM
Undecideds breaking for Obambi.
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 1:46 PM
repubs do worse on weekend polls….always have
reaganrules on November 3, 2008 at 1:49 PM
Look closer at the Fox poll. McCain is ahead with White Catholics which many pundits have said is a real bellweather. and where is the 7 points? California? those votes don’t count in PA or OH or VA.
kelley in virginia on November 3, 2008 at 1:50 PM
I just hope that many respondents have been lying their asses of to the pollsters.
I would love to see McCain win decisively.
-Dave
Dave R. on November 3, 2008 at 1:50 PM
I call Troll. You’re trying just a bit *too* hard, sweetie.
Fortunata on November 3, 2008 at 1:53 PM
Looks like the Emperor’s New Clothes to me.
Love the way you’ve got McCain winning PA, FL and OH. That’s pretty funny because not a single other non-partisan website has him winning any of these states.
No guys, by tomorrow night, Obama will have this thing all wrapped up and you neo-cons will be pulling out your hair.
Too bad you did such a BAD JOB when you had your chance.
Now get out of the way because CHANGE is about to blow your doors off.
Aloha from Kauai
Uncle_Aina on November 3, 2008 at 1:56 PM
As a Pennsylvania, I have to comment that where I am (SE suburbs of Phila) I see 7-1 McCain signs over Obama. I doubt that’s a very predictive sign, but Kerry had a similar abundance of signs in SE PA, and handily won PA in 2004.
When was the last time PA went Republican? Reagan?
budorob on November 3, 2008 at 1:57 PM
Just because I feel anxiety does not make me a troll. You can still be pro-McCain and be worried/unsure about the outcome. Good grief.
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 1:57 PM
Now that is strange. What would convince an undecided to vote for obama:higher energy prices, higher taxes, civil patrols?
Something is fishy here or we are witnesing a mass delusion and a mass masochism.
clemycali on November 3, 2008 at 1:57 PM
Have you done any phonebanking or anything for Mac in PA?
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 1:57 PM
I hope you’re right — honestly, I just feel that with a crap media, and a lot of people content to be spoonfed their information without objectively checking it out, that too many people will pull the lever for Obama without knowing enough about him.
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 1:59 PM
I’m Manly Rash and I approve this message.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 1:59 PM
Listening to Rush, a woman just stated that the only hope remaining for McCain is that the remaining voters don’t for Obama because of racism.
So, according to this woman, people can’t make a choice about a candidate based on their platform or lack thereof?Voters can’t see Obama’s radical leftist platform and decide, that isn’t for me? They can’t see Obama’s vast ties to Marxist radicalism and decide, that isn’t for me? If we make the choice to support McCain over Obama, we are just racists and th
at’s that.
This is what disgusts me about Obama’s “minions”.
ManInBlack on November 3, 2008 at 2:00 PM
Bingo! I feel exactly the same way! EXACTLY.
Oink on November 3, 2008 at 2:01 PM
Not necessarily, Murph. Stranger things have happened. But that is neither here not there. Now get out there and get out the vote for McCain.
I know you can do it, Murph. Make it happen!
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 2:01 PM
But this is history in the making regardless the outcome!
Oink on November 3, 2008 at 2:02 PM
Something is fishy here or we are witnesing a mass delusion and a mass masochism. – clemycali on November 3, 2008 at 1:57 PM
Yes – and it is on the part of the Drive-By media. They will be in for a rude awakening on November 4.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 2:03 PM
No, look at the facts…it has already been reported that the majority of blacks have voted, Obama’s base.
You would now need 10-12% more of the undecided to go for Obama.
In every election, the undecided has gone to the Republicans more. So even if it was a toss up (50/50), McCain gains an additional 5 -6%, more then a enough to put him over the top.
The key is for the Republicans not to fall for this “Obama has won Cr*p.
right2bright on November 3, 2008 at 2:03 PM
Ya, you’d know alot about Emperor’s without any clothes… that’s the equivalent of Obama on anything from policies to qualifications. F**k off.
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 2:04 PM
Hooray, the open registration was brilliant before election. I just <3 all the Eeyores and liberals that got in.
Perhaps it’s time to give the blogs a break, and go help GOTV.
Enoxo on November 3, 2008 at 2:04 PM
Not quite. You are paying attention to the pollsters when you should be getting out the vote for McCain. You are a Republican, right? So hop to it…make it happen.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 2:05 PM
Libertarian reason for voting. Think about it!
phatman on November 3, 2008 at 2:05 PM
Kelley nailed it, all of those % votes are in Ca, Oregon, Washington, NY…let them have all of those crazy votes.
right2bright on November 3, 2008 at 2:06 PM
Are YOU helping to make it happen? I’ve phonebanked for McCain, donated, donated to PUMA sites… what are you doing?
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 2:07 PM
My prediction:
Virginia will go red.
/eternal optimist
Yossarian on November 3, 2008 at 2:08 PM
Only a fool looks at what hasn’t happened, then make a decision based on what might happen.
How about worrying only about now…go vote.
The polls are the liberals idol, pray to the Poll…Feed the Poll and he will feed us…
right2bright on November 3, 2008 at 2:09 PM
I’m making calls and sending emails. I have also made donations to the effort. I’m also here, encouraging others and rallying the troops – when I’m not distracted by havin to joust with trolls and eeyores such as yourself.
You underestimate – by several orders of magnitude – the effect I have had on this election. You therefore do NOT get a Manly Rash Seal of Approval.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 2:11 PM
Shhhhhh….
The last time the Phillies won the World Series, Reagan won !!
Shhhhh…. (I’m jus’ sayin’)
:-)
pambi on November 3, 2008 at 2:11 PM
I will say this, if McCain does win this election tomorrow, or the next day, or the next…these pollsters will have a lot of explaining to do. Their integrity and professionalism is on the line here. If they want to stay in business, they better get this right or NO ONE will ever believe another poll they put out.
I know I won’t.
Joe Pyne on November 3, 2008 at 2:14 PM
Fair enough. I’ll take an election win for McCain-Palin instead of your “Seal of approval… no offence, but would rather Mac as President — at least that means something.
Yeah, I guess I am being an Eeyore… it’s just tough.
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 2:14 PM
I do the best I can but my confidence is at minus infinite. Simply my heart is broken. After the hope I had yestarday now this. I am almost crying. Honestly. No glimps of a good news. None.
clemycali on November 3, 2008 at 2:16 PM
Oh Mr. Republican…you are so mature.
No, I just don’t want to live in a world dominated by narrow minded people like yourself whose VERY FIRST response is such vile language and aggression.
If you don’t like dissent, move to N. Korea or Myanmar. Meanwhile, I plan to hang out on this website for a while.
In the country our Founding Fathers crafted, my opinion is just as valid as yours, yeah?
I think a much better strategy is to just ignore me, because in 36 hour or so…maybe sooner…Obama is gonna be up there and the crowds are going crazy for the new President of the United States, Barack Hussein Obama.
I’ll be celebrating along with them.
What are you going to do? Hopefully you’ll be energerized too and will put aside our differences and start to work on a better country. If not, why not?
Uncle_Aina on November 3, 2008 at 2:16 PM
You little moby…
Listen to the phony whining…”lo and behold…”, you are spotted the minute you started posting.
The final push and only one thing should be on a Republicans mind, with less then a day to go…that is the finish line, and how sweet victory is.
Anything less then that is a LOSER…
right2bright on November 3, 2008 at 2:17 PM
Republicans never poll well on the weekends.
The Fox poll was weighted +6 Dems.
SueM on November 3, 2008 at 2:20 PM
You Liberal-Dems have written the book on “vile language and aggression”. So spare me the lecture. And yes, your opinion is as valid as mine… however, I must say that quoting the “Founding Fathers” implies that you have respect for the Constitution — which you don’t, otherwise you wouldn’t support people who would appoint judges who would legislate from the bench, thereby circumventing our constitution.
Hussein may wind up President, so you can enjoy your four year run. Because if that happens, it’ll be a Dem wipe-out in Congress in 2010, and President Palin in 2012. Bank on it Uncle Aina.
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 2:20 PM
Riiiiight… we’re all trolls if we offer a disagreement? If I am wrong tomorrow, I will HAPPILY come back tomorrow night and admit it… when you are getting blasted in the face, every day, with a cannon of bullsh*t and pro-Obama rhetoric, it beats you down. Cripes, just today I had to sit through a marketing presentation where the guy talked about how amazing “Team Obama” was as a example in marketing best practices. I left the room before he was done.
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 2:23 PM
I like the prediction, but I want VA too. If M/P cuts it too close we’ll be in the courts until March.
Renascent on November 3, 2008 at 2:23 PM
OK, maybe you’re not a troll. But DO buck up! Most people are voting tomorrow.
Fortunata on November 3, 2008 at 2:26 PM
I’ll try — I will admit to being an Eeyore… but I will do whatever more I can do to help McCain over the finish line here in OH.
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 2:29 PM
I hope you guys are right. It amazes me how many of my co-workers and family members have decided to vote for Obama. These people would never have considered Kerry 4 years ago.
Happy thoughts it is!
Vernon Hardapple on November 3, 2008 at 2:30 PM
Now this map looks doable!
I must admit that I was a bit more optimistic and gave VA and one EV from Maine to McPalin as well. :)
Kirin on November 3, 2008 at 2:30 PM
Republican cheer up. Rasmussen Swing State numbers are out and Mac is doing better than last week. He’s tied or ahead in all states but CO and VA. He’s closing strong. You can’t be a eeyore. You need to earn your moniker!
IR-MN on November 3, 2008 at 2:31 PM
Well I’m still optimistic with an Obama win. He will screw things up so BADLY that I will at least have the satisfaction of “I told you so”.
Badger40 on November 3, 2008 at 2:36 PM
Do you get to vote for Boehnor in your district? Could you snog him for me?
Fortunata on November 3, 2008 at 2:38 PM
LOL — I have Steve Chabot… and I wouldn’t snog Boehnor, I don’t swing that way! lol
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 2:41 PM
We’ll deal with it IF it happens.
Fortunata on November 3, 2008 at 2:43 PM
Republican-
I’m not so amped up as you brah. Please don’t attack my respect for the Constitution. I could be a Federal Judge for all you know.
No I’ve come over here for the same reason I used to go to the Young Republicans of Texas meetings – to get a feeling for where you guys are at. If you read the Huffington Post all day, then you won’t get the whole picture.
Frankly I am a little amazed to see all the ways you think McCain will win – I just don’t see it. But that’s OK, it’s natural to hold on to hope as long as possible. That’s just human nature, yeah?
However I do hope that some of you calling him Obami or whatever hateful thing, will realize that this is a Democracy and that this is a critical time to end divisiveness. I’m sure some of you will attack me on this, but hopefully some others will see the wisdom in it.
Uncle_Aina on November 3, 2008 at 2:43 PM
Below is Mcguyver’s prediction:
McCain 428, ……Obama 110, …………..!!!!!!
Click on Image to enlarge:
The way I arrived at this prediction is by left clicking on each individual state at CNN and then on the “VIEW PREVIOUS OHIO WINNERS” for example.
Every state that had less than a 10% win for Kerry I put into Red for John McCain, with the exception for Vermont.
The reason for that is because Vermont loved John McCain in the primary (by 68%) and I cannot see even these New England liberals vote for a socialist, they are pretty independent there.
In California, Kerry won by only 9%, believe it or not, so I had to paint it red, too ( McCain was California’s favorite in the primary).
Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois were won by Kerry with less than 10% but because the Democrat candidates are from there I had to paint them blue.
I almost threw in NJ as well, but I’m going easy on Obama.
I know you are thinking that I’m crazy.
But follow me here:
1) We’ve had several anonymous posters at Hillbuzz.com, that stated, the internals from Obama’s own campaign know….. that, they have to have a 10% lead in order to win because of the Bradley effect.
2) All the leads in all the polls have Democrats heavily weighted in their sampling. Implying of course, that more Democrats will be voting….. and I beg to differ.
Not too mention that they have anywhere from a 60% – 80% poll refusal rate.
So, who’s responding to polls? Answer: Not voters who are flipping to McCain!!
Because of the enthusiasm for Palin, more Republicans will be voting, and, the early votes in California bear that out, for example.
2a) The pollsters are weighting undecideds heavily in the polls as well. And those are now trending towards McCain.
3) I lived on the Left Coast for a decade, and the friends I know that would be registered Democrat or Independent, and voted for Kerry, would NEVER… EVER… vote for a socialist Obama!!
On more occasions than I can count, here in the HotAir comments, we’ve seen people reporting that friends and family members who have voted straight Democrat ticket for years…., will be voting McCain!!!
So why don’t you try it at CNN and see what predictions you come up with?
Mcguyver on November 3, 2008 at 2:44 PM
What, not even as a favour for a fellow AirHead?
Fortunata on November 3, 2008 at 2:45 PM
Uh…. no…. my lips are chapped… lol
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 2:47 PM
Go and mow the astroturf you moron. I’m slowly reachin’ for ma gun and spittin’ a stream of arugula juice…
Fortunata on November 3, 2008 at 2:49 PM
As a new “Hot’er”, (I’m a guy or I’d be a HOTTIE), but anyway I have made my call on page 2 but would like to STATE AGAIN that part of the main reason for poll poop is that this year, for the first time ever in polling, the number of NON-RESPONCES is HUGE! Again, I state, if these were for Obama the King we’d know it… These are folks that do NOT want to participate in the phoney polls, they do NOT want to be called racist / redneck…
If we have 70% that are REFUSING to answer, what should that tell us that have faith in the American people…
I believe that McCain will win 281 to 257…
Put it in the bank…. ( oh wait, that’s Mr.Rash’s line )
Mark Garnett on November 3, 2008 at 2:49 PM
Oh… I forgot…
Because even the people who believe that Obama will win (but are voting for McCain) they will be voting the GOP back into a lead in the House and.. into the Senate!!
Mcguyver on November 3, 2008 at 2:53 PM
The “change” we’ll get will certainly blow, that’s for sure. Seriously, how dumb do you have to be to cheer the victory of a guy who promises to bankrupt industries vital to this country?
xblade on November 3, 2008 at 2:55 PM
So then why is Obama up nationally if McCain is tied or ahead in the swing states? Can Rasmussen explain this?
clemycali on November 3, 2008 at 2:55 PM
And we’ll need about 10-15 years to recover from the disaster if we are lucky enough to get rid of him after his first term in office. And hey, the media is going to shiled for him and blame the “disastrous heritage from the Bush administration”.
clemycali on November 3, 2008 at 2:57 PM
Bush won PA in 88 and if you look at 2004 Bush came close to
taking the state. I am from Johnstown, PA but now live in Central PA. PA will be close, really close.
I wouldn’t say western, pa is racist… I just know alot of
people in western pa that despite being utterly mad a Bush, that just don’t want to vote for Obama. My in-laws are your traditional PA democrats, catholic and a former BETHLEHEM STEEL Worker. They speak in generalizations about Republicans being only for the “big wigs”. They voted for Gore in 2000. They didn’t like snooty Kerry in 2004 and no way would they vote for Obama.
My father in-law told me he doesn’t know of any of his
former mill workers that are voting for Obama. Some are voting for McCain and some are just not voting.
McCain has a shot here in PA. I am worried about FL though.
joest73 on November 3, 2008 at 2:59 PM
Used to wakeup shave,shower & click Drudge.Now I go to hotair first.
Its going to be a MCCAIN WIN – a shocker!
Believe Obama can get 44-48% in battleground states:NC VA OH PA FL.
Concerned about MSM deterring Mccain voters in the west.
So,I’m still worried about NM CO & NV but smelling a huge surprise possible in Mi NH & NJ.
Polls are total BS! They assume, no presume 95% Dem voters for O-B. Over poll % of urban, black & <25 yr olds…
Latebreaking story about Coal, Joe the plumber, Murtha/Biden/Barack condescending wisecracks about rednecks,bitter Americans clinging will, thin the % of dems & independents that can pull it for O – and rally the base.
The real joker in the deck is the PUMAs – they are real, motivated Americans who will reject “The One” and flip in (1/7 x 18 million =)BIG numbers for MccainPalin.
Vote.
Tune out the MSM.
Turn on family, friends & get ready for the MSM & ObamaBiden
to get thrown under their own bus, roadkill for the beltway vultures!
Don’t tread on the USA
PS.
Its my virgin post, thank God for ManlyRash Ed & Rush
RED.inca on November 3, 2008 at 3:00 PM
That is the potential disaster situation. Obama wins the popular vote by a good margin and McCain wins the Electoral Vote. Stay inside for a few days….
joest73 on November 3, 2008 at 3:02 PM
I always find the idea that the GOP is for the “big wigs” ridiculous — how can people think this when Hollywood and big-monied Libs like Soros are spoonfeeding the Dems?
Republican on November 3, 2008 at 3:06 PM
Yes, New Labour have wrecked Britain in less than 10 years, Obama could still do a lot of damage in his one-term presidency. That’s why he won’t get it.
Fortunata on November 3, 2008 at 3:11 PM
WHAT STATES WILL BE TOO CLOSE TO CALL, WITH ACCORN REGISTRATIONS CHALLENGED BY THE GOP, AND VOTING MACHINES CHALLENGED BY THE DNC? MY PREDICTION IS 2000 REPEATING OVER MULTIPLE STATES, WITH RECOUNTS, REVOTES, TRIALS AND APPEALS.
Mark30339 on November 3, 2008 at 3:12 PM
Pretty bold in your predictions. I, as much as 98% of the respondents here on Hot Air, would love for that to be true. I would pay good money to see the look on Olbemann’s face if that were to happen.
However, if you are wrong, you will have no, zero, nada, credibility from here on out. You do know that don’t you?
As a coach myself, I want enthusiasm and a no quit attitude from all my players, but wild trash talking, and bold off the chart predictions, just make us look foolish.
Joe Pyne on November 3, 2008 at 3:15 PM
From Ramussen:Like Reagan, Obama’s tax-cutting message became the single most visible part of his campaign and 31% of voters expect their taxes to decline if the Democrat wins tomorrow. Only 11% expect a tax-cut with a McCain victory.
I think I’m going to vomit.
kriscoleman on November 3, 2008 at 3:16 PM
Unc: If you’ve been paying attention as you posted, you’ll have seen that The One’s promises coupled with his clear record of voting with his party make it clear that the only hope of bi-partisan governance in the next 2 years is through McCain. McCain has reached across the aisle on many issues, irritating many in the GOP. If any candidate can pull the country together (and I’m uncertain that any candidate can) it is McCain. There will be much not to like for those of us who support him in this election.
The differ at their core. McCain views this country’s foundation as it’s strength while The One sees that foundation as it’s flaw. I’m still hopeful that many who are presently telling pollsters that they support The One are either lying or simply won’t be able to pull a lever for him tomorrow.
Otherwise, it will be time to batten down the hatches and weather what I hope will be only a 2 year storm. I say 2 years because The One’s supporters will be very disenchanted in 2010 when they find they still have to do distasteful things to survive, such as pay mortgages or rent and put gas in their tanks. The videos of tomorrow night’s celebration in Chicago will serve as painful reminders of His promises that went unfulfilled.
EconomicNeocon on November 3, 2008 at 3:17 PM
The center-left parties in the West have all been taken over by the middle-class yuppies. Actor luvvies, media-types etc. New Labour and the Dems personify this. The center-right parties used to be the home of the “respectable” middle-classes but are now seeing a re-alignment of the white working class. In Britain, this last will vote Tory in the next election unless they vote BNP (far right).
Fortunata on November 3, 2008 at 3:18 PM
reread those quotes…three times.
When you see the finish line, you don’t start whining and whimpering, you pick up your feet and sprint…then on Wednesday you tell your marketing manager, looks like he may have to find another example of “closing the deal”.
right2bright on November 3, 2008 at 3:22 PM
If this is true then Americans will deserve the government they get. But I don’t think so.
Fortunata on November 3, 2008 at 3:24 PM
All the rhetoric about “we are ahead”, and “we can’t lose” is a setup so when they do lose, they can point and say “something has to be wrong, everyone predicted we would win”, and the law suits began based on their predictions.
So very obvious.
right2bright on November 3, 2008 at 3:24 PM
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