Comments on: Just a reminder: The exit polls can’t be trusted

By: Hot Air » Blog Archive » Open thread: The official freaky deaky exit poll freakout post

Tue, 04 Nov 2008 21:40:51 +0000

[...] headline, for the record: There’s no need to freak out, as righties, lefties, and even your resident Eeyore agree that the data will oversample Democrats and distort what’s really happening on the [...]

By: damnum absque injuria » Election Day Open Thread

damnum absque injuria » Election Day Open Thread — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 11:19:26 +0000

[...] voted yet, or are likely to talk to people who haven’t, now is a good time to remind you not to trust the exit polls. They’re only marginally more scientific than online polls, and for the same reason: they do a [...]

By: Not to bring up polls again, but… « WitSnapper | The Blog

Not to bring up polls again, but… « WitSnapper | The Blog — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 08:07:40 +0000

[...] voter subsets historically lean Democratic, this year especially so. Obama voters this year are enormously eager to talk to exit pollsters; given that 18 of 20 Democratic primary exit polls this year yielded [...]

By: Reminders « HOWDY!

Reminders « HOWDY! — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 05:46:42 +0000

[...] Reminders Hot Air has a reminder up. The exit polls can’t be trusted. [...]

By: The Wide Awake Cafe » Seeing Through the Dung of the Polls and the Media

The Wide Awake Cafe » Seeing Through the Dung of the Polls and the Media — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 05:04:42 +0000

[...] the American people will see through the dung of the polls, the press, the execrable exit polls and that Charlatan, Barack Obama and get out and vote for John McCain [...]

By: There's My Two Cents

There's My Two Cents — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 04:58:38 +0000

Things To Keep In Mind About Polling…

I wanted to pass along a couple more articles about polling before we collectively begin to follow polls on an hourly basis. First, from the IBD/TIPP poll (remember, this is the most accurate poll from 2004)……

By: Yes my friends, exit polls are BS! « The Daley Gator

Yes my friends, exit polls are BS! « The Daley Gator — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 02:47:46 +0000

[...] Yes my friends, exit polls are BS! Your best bet? Ignore them! [...]

By: bullseye

bullseye — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 01:05:36 +0000

I thing the lamestream media will be going all out on a last ditch effort to save obama.

My wife, son and I will be working the polls as much as possible tomorrow for McCain-Palin and our congressional candidate.. Our son is too young to vote.

The margin is there for McCain.

For some stupid reason I have this thought going through my head that Obama will only win 8 states. When McCain wins, hunker down folks.

I really want to see McCain-Palin win along with Murtha getting humiliated and Franken looking like a todal t*rd.

cheers!!

By: Aslans Girl

Aslans Girl — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 21:13:44 +0000

Last time, I went out shopping after voting so I missed the doom and gloom exit polling. I plan to do the same this year and not turn the web or TV on ’till 7pm (CST). Hopefully, by that time, everything will be looking rosy for Mac!

-Aslan’s Girl

By: Cindy of TX

Cindy of TX — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 21:04:29 +0000

Anther problem with exit polls: most of them are taken in metropolitan urban areas, which would most likely result in over-sampling pro-Obama precincts. Think about it. I live in a more rural area, and there are no exit pollers around here. Perhaps it is because I am in Texas, not known to be a battleground state – and maybe some of you from rural PA, OH, FL, or other states could post some info about this.

By: Dudley Smith

Dudley Smith — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 20:55:28 +0000

TeeDee on November 3, 2008 at 3:10 PM

Dude, that’s not helpful

By: The Right Side of Life » Blog Archive » Notable Weekend Links (11/3/2008)

Mon, 03 Nov 2008 20:31:39 +0000

[...] Just a reminder: The exit polls can’t be trusted [...]

By: Speedwagon82

Speedwagon82 — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 20:12:11 +0000

The fact that they oversample libtards is why libtards trust them so much.

By: TeeDee

TeeDee — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 20:10:39 +0000

I’ve been polled, twice. I lied both times, saying I was voting for 0bama. I know I’m not the only one.

By: tomw

tomw — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 19:40:45 +0000

The exit polls should not be publicized until all the states in the same Time Zone have closed their polls. Actually, I would prefer that they not be used at all, as they must skew voter intentions in states further to the west.
They are likely useless for predicting actual votes, but extremely useful in influencing those yet to vote.
Remember:
Polls are not to gather opinion, but rather to change it.

tom

By: Mark Garnett

Mark Garnett — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 19:30:49 +0000

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2123779/posts

Hummmmmmmmm, rookie mistake, here’s the link…

Sorry

By: PeteTheFloridian

PeteTheFloridian — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 19:30:07 +0000

The only polls that matter are those of the Supreme Court!

By: Mark Garnett

Mark Garnett — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 19:29:59 +0000

Please read this one folks: THIS WILL MAKE YOU ALL HAPPY !!! GET OUT AND VOTE !!! IF WE GET OUT, WE WILL WIN, IF WE BELIEVE THE MSM, WE LOSE!

By: unseen

unseen — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 19:26:46 +0000

fox poll/ McCain up in NC, FL, OH down in CO and VA

By: Gina

Gina — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 19:25:26 +0000

Just a quick reminder for those of you worried about the predictive ability of Intrade: In the New Hampshire primary, they had Obama 99 vs 1 for Hillary.

Also, according to InTrade, Sarah Palin had no chance of being picked as McCain’s VP.

By: Fortunata

Fortunata — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 19:18:41 +0000

Queasy on November 3, 2008 at 1:29 PM

You’ve got Fallout 3? Any good? :p

By: Mutnodjmet

Mutnodjmet — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 19:16:38 +0000

Here is some simple math that will help: Obama over polls by 7%, on average, in the exit polls. If you have exit poll data tomorrow, then add 7% to McCain’s tally – BOOM, the actual result.

For example, “exit polls” in Florida have Obama up by 1%. Therefore, McCain takes the state by 6%.

By: Mcguyver

Mcguyver — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 19:15:17 +0000

And your point would be…..?

*scratches face with middle finger*

By: gary

gary — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 19:05:06 +0000

I hang up on ALL pollsters! Don’t wanna be bothered and
I’ll be voting (along with my whole family) for McCain
tomorrow!!

By: DelD

DelD — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 19:04:29 +0000

Just a quick reminder for those of you worried about the predictive ability of Intrade: In the New Hampshire primary, they had Obama 99 vs 1 for Hillary.