Comments on: Final Mason-Dixon battleground numbers: dead heat

By: casel21

casel21 — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 03:00:01 +0000

I can never understand why someone would be discouraged from voting because of an exit poll.

Are people sitting there watching TV and saying to themselves: “I guess I shouldn’t bother driving 8 blocks and pulling down a lever.”

By: technopeasant

technopeasant — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 22:51:08 +0000

I agree. Obama supporters are such arrogant twits. They cannot hide their adoration of him to a pollster or in an exit poll. Obama is a frontrunner who is not the second choice of many. What you see, in terms of his projected vote count, is what he’s going to get, as been often commented on by political junkies. McCain should pick up the bulk of the undecideds, but will it be decisive in his favor? i don’t think anybody truly knows the answer to that question today.

By: fred5678

fred5678 — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 18:28:31 +0000

If an “undecided” voter hasn’t swallowed the Kool-aid by now, he NEVER will.

I can well imagine an “undecided” voting for McCain, but all gullible people have already been counted in the Obama column.

By: Time to Shovel on a Little More Coal « Conservatives For McCain

Time to Shovel on a Little More Coal « Conservatives For McCain — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 17:20:34 +0000

[...] a gander at Mason-Dixon’s battleground polling here and you’ll start to see the potential impact of Obama’s recent comments. And if you [...]

By: sheebe

sheebe — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 16:53:00 +0000

Last Friday when I was working. There were Obamabots everywhere in the parking lots. A few came up to me. But I told them to stay back. I cannot take that chance. I pick deposits up and am scared all the time. They weren’t pushy and apologized. I was surprised. I told them I was a McCain woman. They said nothing. So I was happy that I didn’t have to get mean. Would be so cool if CA. actually got pis*ed and tons of people voted McCain. I know I am dreaming. He has my vote and my hubby’s vote.

By: VekTor

VekTor — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 16:50:33 +0000

This is exceedingly good news. I am much more optimistic about seeing this. With the exception of my state, Colorado, in every battleground state listed he is not only failing to hit 50%, but he’s no higher than 47%.

If he hasn’t closed the sale by now with the allegedly “undecided”, it’s not going to happen. I’m predicting that McCain takes every battleground listed, with Colorado being a razor-thin margin.

There have already been dozens of articles on why the “undecideds” are likely to break very heavily towards McCain… and the fraction of hangups and refuse-to-responds in polling this year are staggeringly high. This provides another indication about an unaccounted-for distortion in the polling. I believe O supporters are much less likely to refuse to respond to polling.

If every poll accurately reported how many calls went unanswered, how many were hangups, and how many refused to respond, I think it would be much easier to see what a small fraction of total data these decisions are being made upon.

In the world of today’s technology, it’s much easier to “opt out” of putting your opinion into the polling mix. We have no reason to assume that those who opt out are demographically and politically identical to those who choose to share their opinions to pollsters.

By: Public Secrets

Public Secrets — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 16:43:21 +0000

Predictions…

It’s the day before Election Day here in the US, time for every pundit, would-be pundit, and sidewalk Solon to make his or her predictions about the outcome. Not me. As I expected, the race has just become too close……

By: Ryan Gandy

Ryan Gandy — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 16:12:04 +0000

ricardoz on November 3, 2008 at 9:46 AM

I know two.

I’ll make sure to take pictures of their mugs and send them. ;)

By: AlexJ

AlexJ — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 16:08:23 +0000

In the primaries Obama never exceeded his poll numbers at the voting booth. I don’t believe there was any weighting to help him. Sooo.. what do the raw numbers say?

By: BalticWildboar

BalticWildboar — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 16:07:09 +0000

New Europe hopes you are right too. Here in Lithuania (troops serving with the US in AFG), where a new Conservative govt was just elected, the choice is stark. McCain, defender of Georgia and (little known fact) Chairman of the International Republican Institute, which promotes democracy in Belarus, Europe’s last dictatorship vs. ?

By: Obama Briefs « Currently Off The Wall’s Weblog

Obama Briefs « Currently Off The Wall’s Weblog — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 16:06:42 +0000

[...] Final Mason-Dixon Battleground Poll Numbers: Statistically A Dead Heat [2] [2] [2] [2] [2] [2] [2] This is why leftists and media are scared – election has become a toss-up. [...]

By: Kidd

Kidd — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 16:01:20 +0000

I am calling it for McCain/Palin.
Not only do the polls tend to over sample democrats but most people I know tend to either not talk to pollsters or will tell them what they want to hear or what is PC. I think Obama will win the popular vote based on his vote totals in large urban areas, solid blue states like Californa, New York etc will inflate his vote totals with out having an effect on the Electorial College.
Obama will win my state based on the King County effect ( about 1/3 of the states population lives in King County which is solidly Democrate).
People tend to be PC to avoid hassle in public situations but once in the privacy of the voting booth they will do what they feel is right.
As far as why Obama won the Democratic primary..look to the cacus states..the fear of being labeled racist played into those open debates as opposed to a voting type primary.

By: Miss_Anthrope

Miss_Anthrope — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:59:22 +0000

joest73 on November 3, 2008 at 9:48 AM

Marine_Bio on November 3, 2008 at 10:01 AM

I just spoke with a coworker, who was inundated by Obama supporters on Halloween. He said the previous record for his house was 9 visits in 3 days, but he got 9 visits that night alone!

He asked if they talked to each other, because these visits were getting tiresome and a bit confusing. They just thought he would somehow forget to vote if they didn’t visit him 9 times the Friday before an Election…

What idiots!

By: Falshrmjgr

Falshrmjgr — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:58:07 +0000

This would be one of the reasons that I dislike early-voting. By the time the news (for example) of Obama’s “Bankrupt the coal industry” comments come to light, a huge proportion of the electorate is already committed.

Of course if they were dumb enough to vote for Obama in the first place, then they are probably immune to logic anyhow…

By: nevada56

nevada56 — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:42:49 +0000

McCain will win, his mojo is too powerful.

By: predator

predator — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:25:09 +0000

SaintOlaf,
I like your way of thinking, and I sure hope you’re right!

By: SaintOlaf

SaintOlaf — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:17:24 +0000

Colorado: Obama 49, McCain 44, Undecided 4
Florida: Obama 47, McCain 45, Undecided 7
Nevada: Obama 47, McCain 43, Undecided 8
Pennsylvania: Obama 47, McCain 43, Undecided 9
Virginia: Obama 47, McCain 44, Undecided 9
Ohio: McCain 47, Obama 45, Undecided 6
Missouri: McCain 47, Obama 46, Undecided 5
North Carolina: McCain 49, Obama 46, Undecided 5

Now let’s look at those numbers including the people that won’t admit to voting for Mccain because of the fear of being accused of being racist. (There are no undecideds at this point..if they have not been brainwashed by the media pumping Obama for two years, they never will)

Colorado: Obama 49, McCain 48
Florida: Obama 47, McCain 52
Nevada: Obama 47, McCain 51
Pennsylvania: Obama 47, McCain 52
Virginia: Obama 47, McCain 53
Ohio: Obama 45, Mccain 52
Missouri: Obama 46, Mccain 52
North Carolina: Obama 46, Mccain 54

By: predator

predator — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:12:06 +0000

McCain/Palin have no chance of winning my state, it’s as blue as blue can get. Obama will get our EVs. But it won’t stop me from casting my vote for Mac and Sarah. It’s up to you folks in the battlegrounds to Stop Obama Now! God bless your efforts.

By: ejfrench

ejfrench — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:09:12 +0000

Khalidi tape update

Go to http://www.DebbieSchlussel.com

Turns out a children’s dance troupe (Sanabel AlQuds Dabka troupe) performed at the event; this dance troupe does a very interesting simulation:

a mock beheading of children draped in US, UK, and Israeli flags!

In the simulation, the children swing fake swords and the flags fall to the floor and the dancers stomp on them.

Debbie Schlussel does not know if the troupe did the simulation during the event but she infiltrated the group at a later date and saw the act at subsequent performances.

Can you believe a newspaper covering up for this!!!

By: julian

julian — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:04:58 +0000

My projections

McCain 278
Obama 257

McCain 318
Obama 217

Cheer up folks, the White House is going to be occupied by the mavericks

By: Virginia Shanahan

Virginia Shanahan — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:02:00 +0000

McCain was not my first choice to represent the Republican ticket. Heck, he wasn’t even my second or third. But, I will be voting for him and I would like to tell you why:
http://conservativepolitics.today.com/2008/11/03/why-i-am-voting-for-john-mccain-for-president/

By: akoilfieldtrash

akoilfieldtrash — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:01:11 +0000

Sorry wrong thread

By: Marine_Bio

Marine_Bio — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 15:01:10 +0000

joest73 on November 3, 2008 at 9:48 AM

Oh yeah, not one GOP call, but I’ve had 3 robocalls in the last 4 days here in Southern VA, all for the Dems.

The most obnoxious was the night of the infomercial, because it was a recording of Biden. Talk about feeling violated.

By: Repubtallygirl

Repubtallygirl — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 14:57:12 +0000

Here in Florida, I am trying to maintain my ‘hope’ is that the GOP voters will show up in masses tomorrow.

By: akoilfieldtrash

akoilfieldtrash — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 14:54:57 +0000

I am in the oil fields in Alaska and I can let you know that the emails about “Barry’s Coal plan” have been shooting around from Alaska to Wyoming to Colorado. I have people in not only oil and coal but other industrial jobs that are scared to death of him. The leadership of the unions are voting for Obama but I would wager a lot of the non-leadership just cant handle is views. Stay Strong and keep faith