Carl Cameron: Optimism growing inside McCain camp
posted at 9:18 pm on November 3, 2008 by Allahpundit
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It won’t be easy but it is do-able. What’s got Maverick, Salter, and other senior aides suddenly so bubbly? Their internal polls, in all likelihood. Lead pollster Bill McInturff pronounced the race too close to call in a memo sent out late last week that claimed things were trending their way in the battlegrounds. They must have gotten more good news over the weekend. Someone had better tell Joe the Plumber because he’s sounding even more pessimistic than I am.
Stats wizard Nate Silver puts their odds at 1.9%. Click the image to watch.
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Me likes a happy McCain…..
(especially a happy Mark Salter)
XWing5 on November 3, 2008 at 9:20 PM
Good luck with that. Hope it’s well founded.
sheesh on November 3, 2008 at 9:22 PM
” Be swift to save us , Dear God, before the darkness falls.” amen
lobosan5 on November 3, 2008 at 9:22 PM
Sadly, I am not as optimistic.
ourulz2000 on November 3, 2008 at 9:22 PM
Geeeee, thanks for the great news…..
anniekc on November 3, 2008 at 9:22 PM
How can you be more pessimistic than: already decided he’s lost by a landslide?
MattMacD on November 3, 2008 at 9:22 PM
I’m tellin’ y’all…these battleground states are closing for McCain-Palin.
SouthernGent on November 3, 2008 at 9:22 PM
Nate Silver should know that 82.17% of statistics are made up on the spot.
alchemist17 on November 3, 2008 at 9:23 PM
2%. I’ll take those odds. Where do I pluck down $100 ?
lorien1973 on November 3, 2008 at 9:24 PM
Thank you, Allah!
Achilles on November 3, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?
lorien1973 on November 3, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Excitement with a side of “cautious optimism”.
blankminde on November 3, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Drinking your own bathwater will do that to you.
Fletch54 on November 3, 2008 at 9:25 PM
not that i really care, but what’s intrade at the moment?
Buckaroo on November 3, 2008 at 9:25 PM
I cant hardly wait for tomorrow, I bought scotch for it but i dont know if i can wait, im so stressed!
HoosierCon on November 3, 2008 at 9:26 PM
As we’ve said all along… the undecideds will break McCain because he’s safe. There are enough of them to give him the win. This isn’t rocket science… it’s just getting out the vote.
Fozzy Bear on November 3, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Nonsense. Our Dear Leader, Our Messiah, the Most Majestic One, will win tomorrow. It is ordained. You are ordered to vote for him. ;)
RBMN on November 3, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Kerry camp was pretty happy on Election Day 4 years ago. It means nothing. Both sides want to appear happy to keep their supporters and voters energized for one more day.
PackerBronco on November 3, 2008 at 9:26 PM
IT’S ALL OVER THEN!!
McCAIN HAS IT IN THE BAG!
WOOOOOOOOOOOOoooooooooooo……
the sky is Falling on November 3, 2008 at 9:26 PM
McCain has been on fire today on the campaign trail. He and Cindy know something and I am optimistic.
I am telling you we are going to win this. Get out early and VOTE!!!!!
jencab on November 3, 2008 at 9:26 PM
…………. and don’t believe anything until the votes are counted.
………………….. we will make History.
Vote……………… VOTE……………….. VOTE
Seven Percent Solution on November 3, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Pardon me for partaking in a bit of the “pessimism” Allah is famous for, but isn’t it normal to shift into high gear the night before and project confidence?
MadisonConservative on November 3, 2008 at 9:26 PM
America sure needs a crypto-Marxist pathological liar in the Oval Office.
Clinton missed the crypto-Marxist part.
profitsbeard on November 3, 2008 at 9:26 PM
In 24 hours we will know which way the early states swung. No more guessing. It will be over tomorrow. It’s about freaking time it’s over!
terryannonline on November 3, 2008 at 9:26 PM
I thought the Germans bombed Pearl Bailey. Never mind.
VOTE REPUBLICAN/CONSERVATIVE DOWN THE LINE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
J.J. Sefton on November 3, 2008 at 9:27 PM
I’m McCain loses, I’m stealing plants from my neighbor’s front yards – only those that voted for Obama though. I’m just spreading the foliage wealth!
lorien1973 on November 3, 2008 at 9:27 PM
Believe it!
BO cannot and will not win.
Have faith in the American People.
God Bless John McCain and Sarah Palin.
God Bless America.
I am a Marin County Conservative.
surfer girl on November 3, 2008 at 9:28 PM
The unknown is the palin factor. That’s my prediction. Even Obama’s camp has said so. How many people, who haven’t voted in years, are going to her rallies and will vote this year…just because of her?
lorien1973 on November 3, 2008 at 9:28 PM
A slew of polls will come in late tonight and early tomorrow. The thing is if the polls right now show McCain threatening Obama’s lead, then that would just push Obama voters to the poll in record numbers. Maybe their internals show a turnout model similar to 2004, and if that’s so, then damn. I hope the smiling isn’t from the relief that it’s over.
Apologetic California on November 3, 2008 at 9:28 PM
lorien1973 at 9:27 PM-
Why stop at plants?
Wealth has so many forms.
Like Obama.
profitsbeard on November 3, 2008 at 9:28 PM
BUT PALIN IS A DRAG ON THE TICKET!
Has anyone seen Biden in
weeksmonths?Enoxo on November 3, 2008 at 9:29 PM
I think there is a trend toward McCain and if we could put the election off a week or two that would be great. Unfortunately, lots of people have already voted and the clock stops in less than twelve hours.
highhopes on November 3, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Not necessarily. If McCain knew he was a long shot, he might be trumpeting the “Vote now!” line, which is what I hear Obama doing.
fossten on November 3, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Obama underperformed his polls in the primaries, he could be in for several surprises.
obladioblada on November 3, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Obama’s early voting lead in all states is only at 1% now. And that’s just party identification–there are plenty of Democrats who are NOT voting for him.
Enoxo on November 3, 2008 at 9:30 PM
(Channeling John Wayne….)
Stay focused, everyone. VOTE!!!!
Dr.Cwac.Cwac on November 3, 2008 at 9:30 PM
Gateway Pundit is terrific.
RushBaby on November 3, 2008 at 9:30 PM
I don’t believe what the MSM tells me about the war in Iraq, the economy, the state of society, etc… I sure as heck am not going to believe them about the polls.
Elizabetty on November 3, 2008 at 9:30 PM
Come on bitter clingers, you’re our only hope.
phronesis on November 3, 2008 at 9:30 PM
Wow! At the eleventh hour these guys are trying to cover all their bases.
Tommy_G on November 3, 2008 at 9:31 PM
I just think that Mac is relieved that it’s almost over. Gotta be tough on a 72 year old man. I’m just glad it’s almost over too. We’ll be alright and the nation will survive. Just think, we can do this all over again when the first candidate’s announce for 2012 in a couple of years.
Can’t wait…..NOT
Hummer53 on November 3, 2008 at 9:31 PM
And there is no clear advantage. Also, Conservatives and republicans always vote in higher numbers ON ELECTION DAY.
Elizabetty on November 3, 2008 at 9:32 PM
Show up. Vote. Make it count. Bring the undecideds. Get it done.
This is the Captain, that is all.
Fozzy Bear on November 3, 2008 at 9:32 PM
Happy, happy, joy, joy!!!!!!
tree hugging sister on November 3, 2008 at 9:32 PM
Captain Jean-Luc Picard: I will not sacrifice the Enterprise. We’ve made too many compromises already; too many retreats. They invade our space and we fall back. They assimilate entire worlds and we fall back. Not again. The line must be drawn here! This far, no further! And *I* will make them pay for what they’ve done.
Hold the line. Vote.
lorien1973 on November 3, 2008 at 9:32 PM
I would chalk this all up to hopefulness except for 1 thing-
This is all based on a polling method that oversamples Democrats by an unprecedented margin.
A party ID that makes 2006 look like a banner year for GOP registration.It makes no rational sense to overwieght by 8 to 13 percent.
I think this has always been circle jerk wish fulfillment by the MSM and polling outfits.
Either that or else every single pollster has made exactly the right guess on a tidal wave of support for Democrats.
And I think the McCain internals are telling them this is complete and utter crap.
jjshaka on November 3, 2008 at 9:32 PM
Believe. Vote. Pray Hard.
HornetSting on November 3, 2008 at 9:33 PM
I’m doing the opposite by distributing my dog’s waste (which I religiously collect) among the Obama supporters in the neighborhood. After all, these people wouldn’t applaud my efforts in reducing my footprint by letting my dog’s poop to disintegrate where it lies instead of ending up in one of those evil plastic bags, right?
Even if McCain wins, I might well treat these neighbors with the Obama nuggets they so richly deserve.
highhopes on November 3, 2008 at 9:33 PM
I am optimistic as well, but I don’t think we’re there yet. I would have like to have seen McCain up in more states, and not just even. Too bad the election isn’t on Thursday, since I feel like his pace of closing would get us there by then.
Still, he has finished better than I expected, and I think there is a small chance for one of the most amazing victories in US politics to occur.
alflauren on November 3, 2008 at 9:33 PM
The Germans did bomb Pearl Bailey. It was the Japs who bombed Minnie Pearl.
Marcus on November 3, 2008 at 9:33 PM
Everyone get your butts out to vote and drag like minded people with you.
KBird on November 3, 2008 at 9:33 PM
Look, if you had asked John McCain and his team 2 months ago about their chances to prevail on November 4th, they would have talked up a good narrative but deep down they probably would have known that the chances of the McCain campaign prevailing in the election in this political and economic climate could have been best described as a long shot. Right now I see the race as neck and neck; it’s anybody’s game.
technopeasant on November 3, 2008 at 9:34 PM
The Biggest lifter yet to my nauces feeling of doom n gloom- that is what I get for being in avoidable circumstance of liberal, nieve, and stupid DEMturds.
Home is truely where my heart is.
Safe N sound- clinging to my Religion and guns,,, :) lol
Maybe we shall see a grace of miracle if vote machines malfunction and balance out the true worthiness of legal voters….
McCain/PALIN 08
hawkman on November 3, 2008 at 9:34 PM
Today Ladies and Gentelmen, we are in the valley, clad in our battlegear, awaken to the day by a force from within, a purpose, a mission, battle lies ahead!
We have been joined this “MORNING IN AMERICA” by PUMA’s, Reagan Democrates, RHINO’s, Conservatives, peoples of all faiths, of all social backgrounds, of ALL races, arm in arm, shoulder to shoulder, clinging to our God, our Guns, our Flag, our Constitution!
We are looking up at a huge mountain, with a fortress of the far left radicals inside awaiting our attack. The Socilialists, protected all the way up the hill by the MSM, and with Pundits blocking our paths, the task is daunting and will require all of the effort a human can muster!
But we are bolstered by our faith, comforted by that still small voice inside… Fortified by the knowledge that from our efforts here today our children and thiers will grow up in a FREE, PROUD, STRONG AMERICA… The America of our Founders, of our Grandfathers and Fathers, of our FALLEN HEROS who gave it all for our RIGHT TO FIGHT TODAY!
Drawing comfort from our friends, family, church and our mission we march onward, “RUSH”ing up the hill, tossing aside all the Pundits, embarrasing the MSM, confronting the radicals and leaving them wondering what hit them…
VICTORY AWAITS for all those willing to lay it all on the line today! Are you ready? Will you fight? Will you vote?
LET’s ROLL!
Mark Garnett on November 3, 2008 at 9:34 PM
The same pollsters are predicting a historic turnout. For that to happen, there have to be historically high numbers of Republicans as well as Democrats.
obladioblada on November 3, 2008 at 9:34 PM
He was campaigning for the transexual vote today–something about girl-boys or boy-girls. I just assumed that meant he was in SF. Wonder why he would be in CA?
JiangxiDad on November 3, 2008 at 9:34 PM
You are a devious man. I like, I like.
HornetSting on November 3, 2008 at 9:35 PM
At the McCain headquarters I volunteered at here in Raleigh, I was told that they could not keep “Democrats for McCain” yard signs in. (To be fair, I’ve not seen any of them but I live in a mostly Republican area). Anyways, one of the guys working there said there have been “groups of gay guys” coming as well. LOL. I think we can thank Hillbuzz for that. This is purely anecdotal, but a lady I work with was undecided until she early voted. She told me when she got in the privacy of the booth she just could not vote for Obama because she has no idea who he is “and he’s never been in charge of anything”. I thanked her! More interesting, she is a Yankee invader from PENNSYLVANIA and she told me the people of her homestate will not vote for Obama.
SouthernGent on November 3, 2008 at 9:35 PM
Two photos of crying African-ancestried folks on Drudge (Obama squeezing out one drop of saline solution for the “typical white woman” / Granny who just died, and a newspaper image of a black female foreigner weeping for the future Otopia under the Great Mocha Leader)… maybe they both know something?
profitsbeard on November 3, 2008 at 9:35 PM
Add to that,a UNIFIED REPUBLICAN BASE,who
are just as excited and hopeful as Team Maverick/
SarahCuda,
and that means,TOTAL VICTORY for tomorrow!!
canopfor on November 3, 2008 at 9:36 PM
*P*R*A*Y*
Remember what the Bible taught you:
“Teach a man to set a fire, and you warm him for a night.”
But set a man on fire, and you warm him for the rest of his life.”
*************************************************************
++++++ VOTE McCAIN / PALIN TOMORROW!!! +++++++
*************************************************************
Lockstein13 on November 3, 2008 at 9:36 PM
Have faith in the American people and in God. No way God is letting Obama happen, unless of course it is time for the Apocalypse, because then all bets are off and the fit hits the shan big time. Wars (I mean being tested), unemployment, corruption, stealing elections, lies are true, truth is evil, the ends justify the means, yeah Obama could bring all that.
odannyboy on November 3, 2008 at 9:36 PM
What does he know… and when did he know it! I’ll have what what he’s having..
katy on November 3, 2008 at 9:37 PM
There’s a better chance of a George W Bush 3rd term than a McCain win. Book it!
presidentbush on November 3, 2008 at 9:37 PM
Yeah and all those Quants on Wall St that developed those CDO’s said that the CDO’s would never default. Oh right, they were wrong. One point nine percent is all I need.
Lance Murdock on November 3, 2008 at 9:37 PM
presidentbush on November 3, 2008 at 9:37 PM
HornetSting on November 3, 2008 at 9:38 PM
GOD!!!!!!!!! I can’t take thiiiiissss anymore!!!! Where the hell are my MEDS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
katy on November 3, 2008 at 9:38 PM
There are two unknowns as I see it. The Palin factor, he supposed drag on the ticket is just wishful thinking by the fawning media. And the PUMA factor, which is being totally ignored by the media.
bdestini on November 3, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Did anyone else notice a strong shift in the Real Clear Politics electoral map this afternoon. Check out the numbers without the tossups. This is a significant change from over the weekend. Tomorrow will either be a short night or a long night. There is no inbetween.
trxa on November 3, 2008 at 9:38 PM
The truth will set you free.
BO has been exposed on a number of fronts.
The people know it is time to set things straight.
They think we are stupid rubes.
They need to get over it. Hate and rage and playing victim will not sustain you.
Conviction will.
VOTE.
Starlink on November 3, 2008 at 9:40 PM
bdestini, I agree.
And I would add a 3rd factor: Joe the Plumber. (Huge!)
Why shouldn’t the mood be upbeat for Mac?
NObama won’t win this thing.
Jenfidel on November 3, 2008 at 9:40 PM
In the blister pack adjacent to the sink.
carbon_footprint on November 3, 2008 at 9:40 PM
I’m resting a lot on the pumas. Am I shtoopid?
katy on November 3, 2008 at 9:40 PM
Mark: beautifully said!!!!
And Fozzy? next to Manly, u rule dude!
Chewy the Lab on November 3, 2008 at 9:40 PM
I think that’s what’s happening and it only has to show up in the battleground states. I still think McCain will lose, but it will be closer many are predicting — Pennsylvania will decide this.
CanadianGuy on November 3, 2008 at 9:40 PM
Reminder: If 7% or more Hillary voters follow through with the PUMA strategy (in the right places), McCain wins. That’s 950K votes out of 18 million Hillary Clinton voters…..
Vashta.Nerada on November 3, 2008 at 9:41 PM
McCain knows he’s going to win because he has rigged all the voting booths. I sure hope he has, anyway. Remember,
“Winning isn’t everything, but it beats anything that comes in second.”
–Paul “Bear” Bryant
keep the change on November 3, 2008 at 9:41 PM
If anything, you have to wonder what they know that we don’t. They do their own internal polling to determine where money should be spent. This could be a really good sign.
McPalin 08′
romanianhacker on November 3, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Carl has been right down the middle in his coverage he tells it when it’s going bad as wll as going well unlike Major covering Obama. Listening to him is like getting a press release from the Obama camp.
KBird on November 3, 2008 at 9:42 PM
Yeah. I think so. I fear their numbers are not as big as promised or talked about.
lorien1973 on November 3, 2008 at 9:42 PM
FWIW…and for those of y’all that believe…my parents are thoes old time prayer warriors and they are praying and fasting (as I hear many others are as well).
God speed, America.
SouthernGent on November 3, 2008 at 9:42 PM
katy on November 3, 2008 at 9:43 PM
If Obama is so confident of victory then why is he campaigning tomorrow?
I’ll tell you why: because he saw the same internals that McCain did. He knows what McCain knows and what I have known for several weeks.
Obama is going to lose tomorrow – not in a squeaker but by a sizable margin. States that he thought were in the bag for him will be defecting to McCain. This thing will be over by 11 PM EST tomorrow night.
And you, my friends, will have the pleasure of going from channel to channel to savor the “What the Fark Just Happened?” look that every talking head will have plastered on their faces. You will savor the Olbermann meltdown and watch with glee as Chrissy Tingles wets his pants.
And then you will come back here and say “Gee Manly, if I only listened to you, I would not have spent so much money on antacids and booze.”
John McCain will become the 44th president of the U.S.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 9:43 PM
Zogby 2004 Nov 2 electoral count
Kerry 311
Bush 213
http://web.archive.org/web/20041103083803/http://www.zogby.com/
JellyToast on November 3, 2008 at 9:43 PM
The PUMAS have been awfully quiet these past couple of weeks. They want Hillary to have one more shot at the gold. If Obama is in, no dice. They will vote and they will help us win.
HornetSting on November 3, 2008 at 9:43 PM
I hope they’re right. But I think too many people have already voted. Those that are left for tomorrow have to vote in a lot higher percentage for McCain than I think they will.
But there’s always hope. The polls were wrong in all of the past elections I can remember.
Common Sense on November 3, 2008 at 9:44 PM
I agree. It would be karmic justice if the bitter clingers put McCain the Whitehouse.
lorien1973 on November 3, 2008 at 9:44 PM
No – and neither are they. They realize that Hillary has only one chance to run for president again and it can happen only if Obama is defeated. These folks are both organized and very, very pissed.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 9:45 PM
Palin guaranteend McCain would win PA. If McCain also wins Virginia, then it will be looking very good indeed. Also I just heard that PA doesn’t allow early voting, so there is no way to gauge how it’s going to go.
technopeasant on November 3, 2008 at 9:45 PM
And they will have been as spectacularly wrong in this election as they were in 1984.
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 9:46 PM
I have been praying and fasting.
surfer girl on November 3, 2008 at 9:46 PM
Yeah. I think so. I fear their numbers are not as big as promised or talked about.
katy on November 3, 2008 at 9:46 PM
Get inspired! GET PUMPED UP! VOTE! AND DRAG EVERYONE ELSE YOU CAN TO VOTE! MCCAIN / PALIN!
We need John McCain to do one more great service for his country!
NEED TO BE INSPIRED? Watch these clips get psyched and LET’S ROLL to the POLLS!
lanesmerge on November 3, 2008 at 9:46 PM
God I keep screwing up the quote thing DUH!
katy on November 3, 2008 at 9:47 PM
Not only are we PUMAs angry and looking for Hillary to have onemore shot; alot of us really do like McCain and many more of us just love Sarah Palin. I may disagree with her on one choice social issue (no it is not abortion) but I applaud her and can’t wait to see her as VP and possibly president.
bdestini on November 3, 2008 at 9:47 PM
5 Reasons why Obama will lose:
1. DNC shoulda picked Hillary in the first place. PUMAs grumble.
2. Obama should have put Hillary on his ticket. PUMAs snarl.
3. McCain picks Palin because Obama allowed him to (see 2.) PUMAs get organized. Everybody talks Palin. Base gets excited.
4. Joe the Plumber. Ordinary Americans wake up.
5. Coalgate. Workers enraged (hopefully)
And finally, Obama just can’t help letting the mask slip at crucial moments.
America saves itself.
Ozwitch on November 3, 2008 at 9:47 PM
Not if you read what the PUMA’s themselves are saying and the incredible lengths they’re going through to help McCain!!
tree hugging sister on November 3, 2008 at 9:47 PM
Whoa. A real live PUMA. Are you serious?
HornetSting on November 3, 2008 at 9:48 PM
Remember: PIMF
ManlyRash on November 3, 2008 at 9:48 PM
Let me rephrase that a bit. Hillary supporters know that 8 years if Obama wins two terms, or perhaps even 12 years (more likely) if Obama wins, then loses to a republican in a Reaganesque fashion, she has no hope of ever becoming president. Her (and their) only option is for Obama to lose tomorrow.
Vashta.Nerada on November 3, 2008 at 9:48 PM
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