IBD/TIPP: Obama +2, under 50%
posted at 4:44 pm on November 2, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
TIPP got the 2004 almost exactly correct, and now they’re showing a much closer national race than almost every other pollster. They now have Barack Obama ahead of John McCain by only 2, 46.7% to 44.6%. Outlier? Prophets? We’ll see on Tuesday, but if they’re right, two points in particular have to be worrying Team Obama:
The race tightened again Sunday as independents who’d been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates.
The internals are interesting, but the topline results show two potentially disturbing trends for Obama. First, Obama has never gotten to 50% in the TIPP poll, and now has dropped below 47%. A Democrat hasn’t won 50% of the vote in decades, and Obama may have the same problem John Kerry had in 2004. Related to that is the high level of undecideds. Almost 9% still have not made up their minds about the election, and as I wrote earlier today, that bodes ill for Obama. If he hasn’t made the sale with this group by now, it’s likely that most of them will wind up in McCain’s column on Tuesday.
How do we know this? Independents have begun to break for McCain. McCain now leads 45-43. A week ago, Obama led 43-38 with 19% undecided. The entire 7% that has come out of the undecided column in that period have gone to McCain, and 12% of them still have to make up their minds. Interestingly, slightly more Democrats than Republicans are undecided — not good news for Obama.
If TIPP is right — and at the moment, they’re occupying a lonely spot among national pollsters — then it calls into question the notion that Obama is leading in all of the battleground states. We’ll see who was right on Tuesday.
Blowback
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Hopenchange. And prayers.
lorien1973 on November 2, 2008 at 4:47 PM
I’ll get down on bended knee and pray TIPP is right tonight.
p0s3r on November 2, 2008 at 4:47 PM
Riot control on stand-by.
ThePrez on November 2, 2008 at 4:49 PM
Who’s crystal balls get broken first.
Kini on November 2, 2008 at 4:49 PM
I still don’t get zogby, nor his explanation.
He had Mccain +1 friday (one day of polling), but the average is still +5 Obama? How does that happen?
lorien1973 on November 2, 2008 at 4:49 PM
Thanks for this post. It’s appreciated.
My own little internal poll tells me I (Bush supporter) was totally bummed before Election day 2000 and 2004 and to quit doing this to myself.
Marcus on November 2, 2008 at 4:50 PM
I’m right, damn it. McCain for the win. Make it happen, people.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 4:50 PM
Looks really, really good.
But don’t believe any polls — even the ones we like.
Two days to go. Whatever you hear, whatever you read, VOTE!
ClintACK on November 2, 2008 at 4:51 PM
Somebody in his organization leaked the INTERNAL poll.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 4:51 PM
Look at the Catholics breakout in the IBD-TIPP poll.
Know which state has alot of Catholics? PA.
aquaviva on November 2, 2008 at 4:51 PM
Upset?
grapeknutz on November 2, 2008 at 4:51 PM
Yeah…IF McCain pulls this out, I’d hate to see what’s going to happen in places like Chicago, Detroit, etc. It’ll take more than just riot squads.
flipflop on November 2, 2008 at 4:51 PM
Oh please, let it be so.
Glenn Jericho on November 2, 2008 at 4:52 PM
Work hard, hope for the country, and have the champagne and the humping robot video ready…
Realist on November 2, 2008 at 4:53 PM
I have a great feeling. I have a lot of relatives in Va. And some in West Va. They got the email on the coal. So those people will get the message. But, in Va. it looks real good. Can’t wait till Tuesday!!!!
sheebe on November 2, 2008 at 4:54 PM
I wonder about what makes up a non-decided voter. They just aren’t sure and just about anything would push them over one side of the fence or the other.
Now that same kind of person steps into the (still) private place of a voting booth. Would that kind of person play it safe with a candidate who has been a household word for decades and whose record is well known, or that other guy who they know so little about.
Do you all think that such a person is more likely to play it safe? – or am I just being unrealistically optimistic?
kurtzz3 on November 2, 2008 at 4:54 PM
Keep up, it’s Dancing Robot Head. :P
- The Cat
MirCat on November 2, 2008 at 4:54 PM
I don’t understand Zogby. But what he says , and his poll results, only agree coincidentally, and both are usually wrong.
JiangxiDad on November 2, 2008 at 4:55 PM
It will be, Glenn. But you have to be part of it. Vote. get out the vote. Stand and fight. Make it happen.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 4:55 PM
I’m praying for McCain and Palin.
My hopes include Obama getting nailed for voter fraud and illegal campaign fund acceptance.
I also hope that when Obama loses, the media drops him like a sack of dirt.
As far as change goes, I want to keep that jingling in my pocket.
mindhacker on November 2, 2008 at 4:56 PM
My stomach hurts…
ProudPatriot on November 2, 2008 at 4:57 PM
I just had another Obama supporter come by today, I guess they’re pushing for the early
and oftenvote. I told him that I have a rule about not discussing politics anymore because it’s gotten too ugly. He put me down as “undecided” which is just fine by me.WINK
There are now McCain/Palin yard signs sprouting in Toledo which is new. There aren’t as many as Bush ones from four years ago, but given that those got trashed it’s understandable.
So why isn’t The One so safely ahead?
rbj on November 2, 2008 at 4:57 PM
McCain’s going to win this. Obama’s going down.
VanPalin on November 2, 2008 at 4:58 PM
The PUMAs have been screaming that Barry HO has to have at least a +10 lead in the polls to be actually even to account for the skewing.
And Morris has been saying that if Barry HO goes under 50% its all over for him.
It may be crap, but if the coal and gas price thing can break out onto FOX Monday, it may help presuade a few leaners to get on the McCain bandwagon.
Iblis on November 2, 2008 at 4:59 PM
Work hard, hope for the country, and have the champagne and the humping robot video ready…
Realist on November 2, 2008 at 4:53 PM
*
That one got me. LOL
marklmail on November 2, 2008 at 4:59 PM
SNL surge?
Dr Evil on November 2, 2008 at 5:00 PM
We’ve sparred MR, but I pray you are right on this one.
Angry Dumbo on November 2, 2008 at 5:01 PM
So, if these guys are spot on again, we still lose by 2 points? I’m so happy I could cry.
Bottom line is that even IBD/TIPP, though more accurate than the others, is still not on the money.
Fox News just reported that Pew shows McCain by 1 point among likely voters (down 5 among all registered). The pollsters are trying to move to the number they really believe, without all the MSM hype, at the last minute when the GOP vote suppression has already taken hold and there is still time to salvage their reputations. “Hey, look, we got it right at the very end–we’re geniuses!”
FalseProfit on November 2, 2008 at 5:01 PM
My wife and aunt are in NV for GOTV (we live in SoCal which is where I am right now). My wife just called from where the group is and put me on the phone with Sarah Palin’s parents (about 5 minutes each with Mom and Dad). Really nice folks. There is a lot of excitement and optimism out in NV and they are working hard.
Pianobuff on November 2, 2008 at 5:01 PM
McCain will win with a healthy margin.
I think this Obama thing has been all from the top down. It has not been a grassroots effort. It has been manufactured from the media and from groups like ACORN. ACORN gives the Obama campaign an appearance of a grassroots swell. That is a false appearance.
And as for the minority vote,, blacks have always voted with the Democrat.
Any wow factor with Obama has to be equally muted by the very real fear factor.
JellyToast on November 2, 2008 at 5:01 PM
Dang it I just may bust my budget and buy some Guiness for Tuesday night. Either way it will be a reason to get blitzed.
aikidoka on November 2, 2008 at 5:02 PM
I’d guess they’re dems used to having voting be simple and convenient–vote straight Dem. But this time, something, any number of things is nagging, and voting Republican, being something they never did before, will be a new and scary sensation. They’re going against what they perceive as their type and their group by crossing that line, and that can’t be comfortable. But somehow Obama just scares some part of them too much to pull the lever for him.
I wonder if some of the undecided will decide to stay home.
JiangxiDad on November 2, 2008 at 5:02 PM
I’d like to sell all my stocks, but I’m afraid that if I do then with my luck McCain will win and the Dow will go up 2000 in one day.
pedestrian on November 2, 2008 at 5:03 PM
rbj, down here in the bitter clinger country of Ohio, it’s looking good for McCain. Obama will not win Ohio.
MobileVideoEngineer on November 2, 2008 at 5:05 PM
SEND MONEY TO GOPTRUST.com They run Wright ads.
marklmail on November 2, 2008 at 5:06 PM
The Sad Grandpa effect :)
VanPalin on November 2, 2008 at 5:06 PM
I just watched Raymond Arroyo, otherwise known as the part-time writer for NRO and host of “The World Over” on the Catholic channel EWTN.
They talked about the life issue which is so vital to Catholics, not the cafeteria Catholics.
A priest who is often advertised on the Drudge Report was adamant that Catholics must vote for pro-life candidates AKA John McCain and Sarah Palin.
Hopefully enough Catholics get the picture, and vote for life, not for death and socialism.
jencab on November 2, 2008 at 5:07 PM
Stand up and fight with me, AD. Vote for mcCain. Get your family, friends and neighbors to vote for McCain. Get out the vote. Fight and keep fighting and don’t stop fighting until Bambi gives his concession speech.
It’s up to us now – you, me and everyone else who loves this country.
Make it happen.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 5:08 PM
Works for me;)
Dr Evil on November 2, 2008 at 5:09 PM
Keep fighting the good fight, MVE. Our side WILL win.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 5:09 PM
I have only one regret…
….. and that is not betting on the various swings states for a McCain win.
The trading price for them is so cheap on Intrade.com, that one could invest in them across the dart board…. and come out smelling like a rose.
I. Did. Not. See. That. Coming.
Oh well, I’m set pretty good as it is, selling short Obama trades and buying long McCain trades….
…..yippee-ki-yay!!!!!
Mcguyver on November 2, 2008 at 5:10 PM
My horse sense tells me the ‘undecideds’ are very predominantly McCain.
In other words, for this election the undecideds may swing it. It gives me serious hope.
petefrt on November 2, 2008 at 5:10 PM
surgin?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PiWGk4Ejup4
Dr Evil on November 2, 2008 at 5:11 PM
I’m with you, PP. This is the first day in weeks that I’ve kept the television off almost all day.
I may not watch anything again until Tuesday night!
IrishGirl17 on November 2, 2008 at 5:12 PM
*eyes glazing over* All I know is that McCain will win.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 5:12 PM
I refuse to let the media and their polls create a self-fulfilling prophecy. That’s great that IBD/Tipp has it close, but in the end we just need to ignore all the white-noise that can be 24 hour cable news and vote.
I’ve been working my butt off to convince friends and family to go for McCain and ignore the polls. It sounds like other hotair readers are doing the same. It’s going to be a loooooong night!
Think of the election like this if you need motivation
watchmen on November 2, 2008 at 5:12 PM
I spoke today to my Aunt and Uncle and thier best friends. One is a die hard republican and the rest have voted democrat back to the 70′s. They encouraged me by telling me they are voting John McCain. Obama to them has no experience and no one knows anything about him.
They are not sold on Sarah Palin but I advised them she is a consertative and to wait and see that the mainstream media has it wrong.
We can still win this, do not give up.
Gracelynn on November 2, 2008 at 5:13 PM
McCain will win. But you need to do your part. Get out that vote. Make it happen.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 5:13 PM
If at all possible, encourage people to vote before work, that way they won’t fall for the voter suppression. I think the polls open at 6:30 am here in Ohio, even though I’m unemployed right now, I’m going in as soon as they open.
MobileVideoEngineer on November 2, 2008 at 5:14 PM
Let’s hope so.
rbj on November 2, 2008 at 5:14 PM
It’s not rioting. It’s clearing the way for urban renewal.
alflauren on November 2, 2008 at 5:15 PM
I don’t know gang- this is a wierd election. As we were driving around KC today, we took notice of signs in yards, stickers on cars, what have you. I saw low-middle income homes with Mccain signs in the yard and VERY small businesses with Obama signs in the window! A lot of high end cars with Obama stickers, a lot of pick ups with Mccain/Palin ones. In my own neighborhood, I’ve noticed that most of the ethnic, (asian, middle eastern) have Obama signs, and the corporate people tell me they’re for McCain but wouldn’t put a sign out for fear of vandalism- same for their cars. I’ve also asked people ad nauseum if they’ve been “polled” this year, and haven’t had a single “yes”.
People seem to have very odd reasons for their vote this year-
anniekc on November 2, 2008 at 5:17 PM
Fasting and praying tomorrow for a victory and saving of this nation.
Bullhead on November 2, 2008 at 5:18 PM
Special bonus riot points to that idiot Daley for encouraging a million people to gather in downtown Chicago. After all, it’s guaranteed to be a celebration…
Realist on November 2, 2008 at 5:18 PM
My .02 on why Obama hasn’t closed. We just don’t know the guy.
The media doesn’t care to look much beyond the two autobiographies he has written. He didn’t release his college transcript or his medical records. He has relatives popping up all over the world and he appears to give different, more substantive speeches to big money donors than he does to the public at large. We learn his mom was Bristol Palin’s age when she had him and his Kenyan father was married to two other women at the time he married her. Somewhere Mitt Romney just answered a question about Mormons and polygamy. ; )
Stanley Kurtz, David Freddoso, and Jerome Corsi have all been effectively silenced for having the audacity to peek behind the curtain. Like Obama’s response to his relationship with Bill Ayers, if its no big deal why are you so upset about people looking into it? Why did you mischaracterize your relationship? If it is just a Republican thing, why did Hillary raise the same questions?
Bottom line, folks are undecided because Barak Obama only spent 143 days in the Senate before he announce his campaign for the Presidency. People have not been given enough information on him beyond the HopeyChange one note symphony he reads off the teleprompter at his public rallies.
Angry Dumbo on November 2, 2008 at 5:18 PM
Just some disjointed facts:
TIPP shows Senator Obama up by 2.1% with 8.7% undecided.
Drudge has this headline:
Audio: Obama Tells Paper He Will Bankrupt Coal Industry…
From wikipedia:
27 states produce coal. The major coal-producing states are (in descending order as of 2000, with annual production in thousands of short tons):
Wyoming (338,900).
West Virginia (158,257)
Kentucky (130,688)
Pennsylvania (74,619)
Texas (49,498)
Montana (38,352)
Illinois (33,444)
Virginia (32,834)
North Dakota (31,270)
Colorado (29,137)
Indiana (27,965)
New Mexico (27,323)
Utah (26,656)
Ohio (22,269)
Alabama (19,324)
Arizona (13,111)
Total United States: 1,437,174
I smell a quick attack ad….
patch on November 2, 2008 at 5:19 PM
My dad keeps telling me about the race riots and general animosity growing up in Baltimore during the 60′s. He thinks the same thing will happen if Obama loses.
I hope so (Obama losing that is).
m064404 on November 2, 2008 at 5:19 PM
lorien:
I think the plus 1 for McCain with Zogby was a one day thing, but their overall 4 day tracking was plus 5 for Obama. Or something. Hell if I know, but it might mean that there was a movement toward McCain at the end of the polling period.
Terrye on November 2, 2008 at 5:21 PM
I’m inclined to think this poll is closer to reality than the other. However, I still think Obama wins. My guess is a really close popular vote with Obama failing to break 50% but picking up enough electoral votes in Colorado, Iowa, and perhaps New Mexico to pick up the win. It seem very unlikely Obama will win Florida or Ohio and calls into question polls that show him easily winning those states. I’m also skeptical of Obama winning Virginia.
Personally, I’m more worried about the Senate. McCain isn’t particularly conservative and no one is going to be able to find an easy way out of this economic mess. Better to hang on to enough Senate seats to block any truly egregious and target the 2010 Congressional elections. I’d rather not be stuck with a faltering economy AND McCain’s populist “conservatism” when the next round of elections come around.
JDScott on November 2, 2008 at 5:21 PM
Please include where you live. My entire neighborhood is blanketed in McCain/Palin and Palin! signs but this ain’t Seattle. (N. Dallas)
Marcus on November 2, 2008 at 5:21 PM
I stopped watching them already everything is ratings driven not reality based what gins up the most coverage. It bothers me that if this is so much media hype and Obama/Biden Lose this will be on the MSM’s head for any violence that occurs because they inflated the supposed lead for Obama who is after all self admittedly a Far Left Progressive Liberal..when was the last time this Country elected one of those? We have not elected a Regular Liberal in Years…Bill Clinton ran as a Moderate. All of a sudden the U.S.A. has become “Progressive” since when?
Dr Evil on November 2, 2008 at 5:23 PM
I wish the GOP had gotten the word out about that Obama videotape on coal (how he’ll bankrupt anyone who tries to build a new coal mine, etc.) earlier. This is the kind of thing that can put a lot of those “undecided” voters (especially those in SW Virginia, Ohio, Kentucky, WV, and Pennsylvania) into the McCain column.
The Dims are working overtime here in AZ. I’ve had 5 calls from them this weekend, and even had some come to my door yesterday.
Note to AZ voters: Watch out for Proposition 202. It is being pushed by a pro-illegal immigration group that is trying to gut AZ’s existing employer sanctions law. The proposition is deceptively worded to try and make voters think it’s imposing tougher sanctions on employers, but it is not — it will actually weaken them. Don’t be fooled. Vote NO on Prop 202 (and keep AZ’s existing laws in place).
AZCoyote on November 2, 2008 at 5:24 PM
Tuesday will be a dissapointing time for all who
through caution into the wind,and accepted,and
bitterly clung to their cup’th run over with
the bitterly tasting Liberal Kool-Aid,and for those
who blindly followed a Socialist towards a dream of a
Communist vision of ‘Lady Liberty’,AMERICA!
Listening to talk radio,especially these last few
nights,has been a none stop, (top of the news hour
breaks) of Team Maverick/SarahCuda as barely hanging
on!
The liberal narrative is perception/deception,that the
polls are so far ahead for der Socialist HopeLess/
ChangeLess/GaffeBiden Team that there is no hope or
mircle that can pull this election back from the brink!
of defeat for Team John McCain/Sarah Palin,and thats crap!
This is BULLSH#T,this race is tight,DO NOT BELIEVE THE
MSM,it’s still political war so to speak,and when the last vote is cast,and the last polling station closes,then we
shall all know,until then,bow into the wind,chin up,and
stay resloute!!:)
canopfor on November 2, 2008 at 5:25 PM
I was scared in 2004 with all the anti-war, anti-Bush sentiment and a Vietnam vet running for the Democrats. Yet they lost. And they’ll lose again Tuesday.
jazz_piano on November 2, 2008 at 5:25 PM
Did someone say that Fox said Pew reports McCain by one?
I have to say, I have not even had Fox on lately. For some reason I can read this stuff without getting pissed off, but if I watch it on TV I worry I might throw something. Don’t want to ruin the TV or anything.
Terrye on November 2, 2008 at 5:25 PM
Please, sell all first thing tomorrow!
PatMac on November 2, 2008 at 5:26 PM
People who are “undecided” are just loking for an excuse NOT to vote for O’Barry.
Coal may be king.
(Popcorn and fire extinguishers futures are way up!)
profitsbeard on November 2, 2008 at 5:26 PM
Head Games Coming Your Way:
(1) Calls for McCain to just give up and quit, because the race is over. This one is a favorite of the trolls who lurk on pro-McCain sites.
The ONLY way McCain loses this race is if the media, operating as a full-fledged wing of the Obama campaign, breeds enough Eeyores amongst you to keep enough people home for Obama to squeak out wins. Hillary Clinton should have won Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Indiana, by larger margins that she did. Ohio should have been a 13-point win, Pennsylvania should have been a 12-point win, and Indiana should have been a 9-point win. Eeyores staying home, saying, “Oh bother, TV say me stay home, me sad, need dydee changed!” is what cost Hillary those extra points.
Dr Evil on November 2, 2008 at 5:27 PM
You might even call it … a ShamWow factor.
Rosmerta on November 2, 2008 at 5:27 PM
That means Obama would have been +7 the other 3 days of the 4. Makes no sense. No matter where you stick McCain +1. Agree?
lorien1973 on November 2, 2008 at 5:28 PM
Yes its true. I saw it earlier going from the kitchen to the office. It’s among likely voters but I don’t know anything else. But my jaw droped when I saw the headline. So it seems that Aogby was right the other day and so was Dick Morris that was saying yestarday on Hannity&Colmes that we are witnesing an earthquake in making.Go Mac.:))
clemycali on November 2, 2008 at 5:30 PM
St. Anthony, you are glorious for your miracles and for the condescension of Jesus Who came as a little child to lie in your arms. Obtain for me from His bounty the grace which I ardently desire. You were so compassionate toward sinners, do not regard my unworthiness. Let the glory of God be magnified by you in connection with the particular request that I earnestly present to you.
Grant us victory over the dark forces of socialism in all of its manifestations.
As a pledge of my gratitude, I promise to live more faithfully in accordance with the teachings of the Church, and to be devoted to the service of the poor whom you loved and still love so greatly. Bless this resolution of mine that I may be faithful to it until death.
St. Anthony, consoler of all the afflicted, pray for me.
St. Anthony, helper of all who invoke you, pray for me.
St. Anthony, whom the Infant Jesus loved and honored so much, pray for me. Amen.
Now is a good time for prayer, my friends. We cannot do this alone.
turfmann on November 2, 2008 at 5:31 PM
lorien:
I think so, but the truth is I am so confused by these polls at this point that I am not sure of anything.
Terrye on November 2, 2008 at 5:32 PM
It means that Obama is dropping like a rock in the polls and the pollsters are trying to keep up with the reality trying to salvage what reputation they still have. I suppose by tommorrow is going to here at CNN that is going to be a “close election”.
clemycali on November 2, 2008 at 5:33 PM
clemycali:
My God, they had Obama by 13 a few days ago. This is getting really weird.
Terrye on November 2, 2008 at 5:33 PM
This is what I am reading, but if you look at Real Clear Politics it has the Pew poll at Obama +7 with likely voters. So I don’t know what is going on with that.
Mark1971 on November 2, 2008 at 5:34 PM
I wonder if the Aunti thing had something to do with this. If he is such a powerful and smart person why didn’t he even know she was illegal? And poor? Sloppy. Bad character.
Terrye on November 2, 2008 at 5:35 PM
I think you are exactly right, JT.
But it will be for naught if we don’t VOTE. So VOTE, people. We can seriously win this!
James OK on November 2, 2008 at 5:35 PM
Mark:
Still, that is cut almost in half, it was 13. Who knows?
Terrye on November 2, 2008 at 5:36 PM
A rumor based on a newscrawl item based on one interesting Pew internal, that McCain led by 1 among those who have not yet voted. With relatively high early voting and extra high participation from African Americans – who for some reason are more enthusiastic than usual this time around, can’t figure out why – that would still likely work out to a McCain loss.
But Pew sucks anyway so don’t worry. Basically just CYA and re-joining the pack after two consecutive extreme outlier weeks.
More important: the GWU Battleground poll, which doesn’t poll weekends partly because weekends are thought unfavorable to Rs and more difficult to poll, had it 47-44-9 nationally and 47-46-7 in the battleground states on Fri.
If McCain is closing with momentum (on his own via GOTV or with the help of the Wright ads and latest Obama coal tape, for instance) and winning undecideds by a decent margin, these are already ELECTION-WINNING polls, even before you figure in any Bradley or systematic urban-favorable polling errors.
On the other hand, IBD/TIPP and BG (bipartisan firm of veteran pollsters) could be the outliers, and the landsliders could be accurate… I guess. That’s what all the media, the pundits, and Democrats (want to) believe.
Won’t matter to us if Republicans, Pumas, and conservative Indies and Dems don’t turn out big time. Don’t you want to see Chris Matthews and Peggy Noonan weeping in each other’s arms???? Of course you do! Make it happen!
CK MacLeod on November 2, 2008 at 5:36 PM
While you are at it, Turf, toss in a novena for Manly. I’m in need of a lifeline.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 5:37 PM
Went door to door this morning (Sub of Denver)got great responces from most but ran into some Obama houses, man those people can be nasty.
KBird on November 2, 2008 at 5:37 PM
To be clear, the Friday Battleground Tracker was O by 3 nationally, by 1 in the Swing States.
CK MacLeod on November 2, 2008 at 5:38 PM
I have to say, I have not even had Fox on lately. For some reason I can read this stuff without getting pissed off, but if I watch it on TV I worry I might throw something. Don’t want to ruin the TV or anything.
Terrye on November 2, 2008 at 5:25 PM
Seriously. It’s amazing how upbeat you can stay without a bunch of skeevy pundits getting up in your face!
anniekc on November 2, 2008 at 5:38 PM
It’s weird but in a way logical. Dick Morris explained it very well. It’s “Joe the plummer” that put it for the people to understand Obama’s tax hike plan, Obama’s accusation of “selfisness” for the people that are not eager to giver their money in excess to the state, the new Civil Force, the new pastor Wright ad that runs evan here in California, the illegal auntie that gave him campaign money and he doesen’t want to know about her and now is the coal thing. Of course he is loosing votes. Is this enough to put McCain in the White Hose? I don’t know. But I quote Manly “pray and vote, pray and vote”.
clemycali on November 2, 2008 at 5:38 PM
annie:
Ain’t that the truth?
Terrye on November 2, 2008 at 5:40 PM
I can already taste the schadenfreude. It tastes like applie pie, baseball, and the Star Spangled Banner.
James OK on November 2, 2008 at 5:40 PM
Sorry, McCain/Palin as a lost cause is salvageable by fervent prayer…
You, not so much…
/sarc off
*tee hee hee*
(keep up the good work!)
turfmann on November 2, 2008 at 5:41 PM
I forgot the birth certificate controversy. We don’t even have his birth certificate.
Is there anything that we “know” about Obama that is not contained in his two autobiographical books? This is like hiring a young person based on their resume without checking references.
Angry Dumbo on November 2, 2008 at 5:42 PM
Make calls, GOTV, keep pushing. FWIW, I think Obama will win the popular vote regardless of the Electoral Vote. We’ll see.
SAZMD on November 2, 2008 at 5:42 PM
Pish posh. McCain will win this and win it handily. Manly Rash said so. And Manly Rash is right. Buy. BUY.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 5:42 PM
Praying for MR, also. Keep up the good work!
James OK on November 2, 2008 at 5:43 PM
Don’t tease me with good news like this. I’m an old man. My heart can’t take it!!
Star20 on November 2, 2008 at 5:44 PM
I had a friend send me a scary email yesterday.
Obama gets impeached because he cannot prove citizenship, Biden is too ill to take office…so, welcome President Pelosi. I almost lost my lunch.
I still have faith. McCain will win. Count on it.
HornetSting on November 2, 2008 at 5:44 PM
PatMac said tomorrow. I rather think he is hoping to pick up some cheap stocks before they rise after the election.
JiangxiDad on November 2, 2008 at 5:45 PM
It’s amazing how positive one can remain when you don’t watch the MSM.
marklmail on November 2, 2008 at 5:45 PM
I met a CA Hillary delegate at McCain/Palin headquarters here in NV yesterday. She talked about how she was pushed, hit, and SPIT ON by Obama supporters in Denver. She said it was extremely scary…and this was no little, shrinking violet gal. She said she gets in Obamabot faces when they protest outside of McCain/Palin rallies, and tells them that the democrat party is now the party of hate.
She was amazing…the Californians have been out in force here knocking on doors and manning call centers in NV. I’m off now to replace them since they have to leave soon to be back in time to get to sleep for work tomorrow morning.
funky chicken on November 2, 2008 at 5:46 PM
James OK on November 2, 2008 at 5:40 PM
I’m focusing now on the correct visualization – it’s not of Chrissy and Peggy weeping, but I think it might be bad luck to share it…
CK MacLeod on November 2, 2008 at 5:46 PM
McCain will win. This is OUR country,we don’t elect socialists.
irongrampa on November 2, 2008 at 5:46 PM
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