Zogby: McCain up 1
posted at 12:18 am on November 1, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
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Right now, it’s only on Drudge, and … well, it’s Zogby. Still, it’s going in the direction we all believed the race was heading:
ZOGBY SATURDAY: Republican John McCain has pulled back within the margin of error… McCain outpolled Obama 48% to 47% in Friday, one day, polling. He is beginning to cut into Obama’s lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all…
This may get pretty interesting. We’ll watch the other tracking polls, which have bounced all over the place the last few days. By Monday, we’ll get a better sense … or we’ll all be drinking heavily.
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If Obama wins, I will drink with you.
rockdalian on November 1, 2008 at 12:20 AM
I’m hopeful.
backwoods conservative on November 1, 2008 at 12:20 AM
Hopeful, here, too.
ONWARD !!
pambi on November 1, 2008 at 12:22 AM
The Obama infomercial bombed. Coverage of him kicking the press off his plane won’t be much better.
McCain has an outside chance.
Christoph on November 1, 2008 at 12:23 AM
If Obama wins buy more ammo
bill30097 on November 1, 2008 at 12:23 AM
Psychologically this is important if nothing else: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YfACHQrvxqU
D0WNT0WN on November 1, 2008 at 12:23 AM
Momentum or Hiccup?
All I can say is, you gotta be pretty darn close to even to hiccup your way over the line.
McCain is going to win this thing. Then it’s Katie Bar The Door!
gridlock2 on November 1, 2008 at 12:23 AM
rockdalian-
If Obama wins, I will drink…
profitsbeard on November 1, 2008 at 12:23 AM
This can be done. Let’s all get out there and do whatever we can to drag McCain across the finish line. I’m donating 12 hours a day to the campaign for each of these final days. Let’s make this happen!
t.ferg on November 1, 2008 at 12:23 AM
If you were undecided which way would you fall this late into the game?
Maybe this is Obama having same issues as he did against Hillary during last months of primary?
I sure as hell HOPE so.
Shivas Irons on November 1, 2008 at 12:24 AM
Cardiganfox on November 1, 2008 at 12:24 AM
Zogby is an Anti-American/Pro-Jihadi Leftist Delusional Democrat Traitor; he and his brother, as Arab Christians, are not only Democrats, but also Anti-Semitic and Pro-Jihadi; those are demostrable facts.
Zogby is also the complete and utter ass-clown who completely proved during the 2004 Election cycle, that his “Polls” are as useful as used Toilet paper!
I PRAY McCain wins!
I wouldn’t believe a Zogby “poll”, if my life depended upon it!
Dale in Atlanta on November 1, 2008 at 12:24 AM
Heh..Allah will be farking unconscious. Go to sleep, Edward…you did a yeoman’s job today.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 12:24 AM
Easy: hope it’s momentum, but act as if it’s a hiccup.
In other words: make the phone calls and hit the streets!
Kensington on November 1, 2008 at 12:24 AM
Are we barring the door against the
race rioterspassionate, disenfranchised voters? Or for the influx ofillegalsundocumented workers?I’m picking up more ammo, regardless.
knob on November 1, 2008 at 12:26 AM
If what you say is true, then Zogby should be in the tank for Obama, no? If he is coming out with this poll now, then it means McCain is even farther ahead than anyone imagined.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 12:27 AM
I can’t believe McCain might actually pull this off….but boy, if he does, I’ll be sitting in my basement crawlspace sipping the Crown Royal Special Reserve while the riots rage outside…
moc23 on November 1, 2008 at 12:27 AM
I have my air horn ready to go for the post-upset drive around town. Just make sure you get the Eeyore’s around you to vote.
MarcusBrody on November 1, 2008 at 12:27 AM
I will breathe a sigh of relief if McCain wins because that means this country dodged a socialist bullet.
I doubt I will be “happy” about it.
But I will be rolling on the floor with glee watching the pundits freak out over the win.
Elizabetty on November 1, 2008 at 12:29 AM
If he is coming out with this poll now, then it means McCain is even farther ahead than anyone imagined.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 12:27 AM
MR: I can’t dispute your logic, I’m just skeptical of anything that ass puts out though…..highly skeptical..
Dale in Atlanta on November 1, 2008 at 12:29 AM
Zogby says its a one day poll lets hope its a trend
rsdm9154 on November 1, 2008 at 12:29 AM
Anecdotal but the real deal:
I am an RN, work in the hospital. I spent today caring for really sweet guy, big ‘ol teddy bear, mid 50’s. This evening, I asked him point blank who he was voting for. That’s not my usual style but these are extraordinary times.
He had no idea what my politics were.
He said, “Well, I haven’t made up my mind yet.”
I said “You don’t know, how can you not know yet?”
He said, “Well…you know we don’t have a great choice between the two.”
Then, quietly-not making eye contact, “I just don’t think Obama has enough experience.”
That was it. I had spent the whole day with this man. I had an idea of his character. I saw how he did not want to cause a stir. Just a sweet guy who WILL NOT vote for Obama, No vehemence. Just your everyday JOE who won’t do it, no way, no how.
HE is one of these late undecided’s.
keebs on November 1, 2008 at 12:29 AM
It’s over.
McCain won.
Haha, sike.
iamse7en on November 1, 2008 at 12:31 AM
It’s been said, but I’ll say it again. Zogby’s firm’s final poll had Bush in the lead. Zogby himself, outside of his firm’s polling, predicted Kerry was going to win because he thought the undecideds were breaking for Kerry–tthey didn’t, they broke for Bush.
So, Zogby himself has said that Obama is going to win. This poll is from Zogby’s firm, which was accurate in 2004.
That said. Don’t rely on polls other than for motiviation. Get out to vote. Go door to door. Phone Bank. Take 10 friends to the booth with you. It’s not over until the precints close on November 4th.
Enoxo on November 1, 2008 at 12:31 AM
Remember what Rush said, Dale: in the closing days of the election the pollsters will be more concerned with their reputations than with their political biases. Money is money and these guys live and die by the accuracy of their results. It appears that in this game of chicken, Zogby flinched first.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 12:32 AM
Zogby’s poll gives me some hope, even if it is Zogby.
BTW, Another unsettling video of Obama surfaced within the last 24 hours…THIS IS A MUST SEE:
Obama 2007: Use ‘Price Signals’ to Change Energy ‘Behavior’ Even if it Hurts Middle Class
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bueCxeXZAUU
CP on November 1, 2008 at 12:33 AM
Since America has never elected a radical liberal as POTUS, I doubt we’ll start now. Liberals that have won have run as moderates.
Has any man ever entered the White House on the platform of raising taxes, weakening the military, redistributing wealth & increasing welfare?
If I’m wrong, then I’ll be doing a lot more than drinking.
I’ll be huffing acetone.
Dorvillian on November 1, 2008 at 12:33 AM
Nailed it.
keebs on November 1, 2008 at 12:34 AM
Way ahead of you on drinking heavily. *hic*
Nethicus on November 1, 2008 at 12:35 AM
It appears that in this game of chicken, Zogby flinched first.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 12:32 AM
Man, I HOPE so….
Sorry, I’m a glass-half-empty type of guy right now; but I’ll vote for McCain, and keep my fingers crossed.
I’ll say this though; I’m from Central PA, and my family and friends are all up there.
IF PA goes for Obama, I will really be shocked!
I hearing anecdotal evidence up there, that shows a level of contempt for Obama that is unprecedented; be interesting to see if translates into votes for McCain-Palin..
Dale in Atlanta on November 1, 2008 at 12:36 AM
Well, the fact that Obama called Americans selfish, kicked reporters off of his plane, one of his surrogates lowers the rich bar to $120,000, and more comes out about the Joe “probe” and all of them got some major exposure, so why wouldn’t the polls move towards McCain?
MobileVideoEngineer on November 1, 2008 at 12:36 AM
If this happens, and McCain’s elected, I will search high and low for Arianna Huffington’s reaction…I want to see that fey leftist wail and weep.
Richard Romano on November 1, 2008 at 12:37 AM
Neither. McCain in reality has been ahead by 2-3 pts, but up until now the effort to discourage republican voters had determined how the results should fall.
Some survey by foxnews came out today that O’Reilly referred to indicated young voters might not come out as predicted, so my guess is that this is INSURANCE. In the tank Zogby wants to scare Obama voters to make sure they vote.
I would LOVE LOVE LOVE to see the full court press to make it look like Obama has already won BACKFIRE by convincing all the Obamabots that they don’t need to wait in no stinking 2 hour line to vote, Obama has it IN THE BAG.
EVERY conservative in my classes at school (all 5 of us!) have been telling all our liberal classmates how sad we are that it’s going to be a landslide, that we’re not even going to vote, that all of our friends and family as well have decided not to vote. (I’m in MO where is is CLOSE) And you should see how happy they look…our hope is they will sit their lazy butts at home rather than wait in line on Tuesday. Worth a shot…there’s no talking to an Obamabot, trust me, I have tried.
JustTruth101 on November 1, 2008 at 12:38 AM
Me too, and I don’t drink.
:)
Bob's Kid on November 1, 2008 at 12:38 AM
It will be interresting to see what the other pollsters come up with
rsdm9154 on November 1, 2008 at 12:39 AM
I’m all stocked up on the booze. I’ve got champagne for McCain and rock-gut vodka for Obama.
The champagne is on ice.
I don’t like crystal balls. They break too easily.
Kini on November 1, 2008 at 12:39 AM
Eh its Zogby and I dont trust him his brother is too tight to the democrats.
Still have hop CNN reported that McCain’s rallys in thepast few days have started to get larger and larger.
William Amos on November 1, 2008 at 12:41 AM
Let’s all pray for the Bradly Effect!
RightWinged on November 1, 2008 at 12:41 AM
GOTV! Make the only poll that matters a win for us!
SAZMD on November 1, 2008 at 12:42 AM
Can Obama Take The Heat?
Drudge
Kini on November 1, 2008 at 12:42 AM
This is bad. Polls this close could encourage Obama supporters to vote. We don’t want that, quick, we need a headline that asserts the election is over.
El_Terrible on November 1, 2008 at 12:44 AM
Already occurring in Utah. Stores are seeing a huge surge in sales and having a tough time keeping up with demand.
batter on November 1, 2008 at 12:46 AM
Hiccup.
omriceren on November 1, 2008 at 12:46 AM
http://www.youtube.com/user/benandnaomi
3 year old SARAH PALIN!!!
ninjapirate on November 1, 2008 at 12:46 AM
Encourage them to vote on November 5, 2008
Kini on November 1, 2008 at 12:46 AM
Also: Zogby.
omriceren on November 1, 2008 at 12:46 AM
Yes! We need Obama’s email list, tell them all that the electin is over and the Messiah has wom!
JustTruth101 on November 1, 2008 at 12:49 AM
A good friend of mine in Atlanta has promised me a bottle of Bollinger’s when McCain wins and I plan to collect.
johnsteele on November 1, 2008 at 12:49 AM
sike?
sike?
sike?
What on earth is sike, cartoon?
RushBaby on November 1, 2008 at 12:49 AM
That Was Adorable!
Kini on November 1, 2008 at 12:49 AM
Hey, Allah! Stop posting on Ed’s account!
irishspy on November 1, 2008 at 12:49 AM
OMG.
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2008/10/31/national/w203225D04.DTL&tsp=1
If this is true, Obama’s aunt is living in the U.S. illegally.
Enoxo on November 1, 2008 at 12:51 AM
You can make phone calls from your home to the battleground states: http://www.JohnMcCain.com
Click on “make calls”
I’ll be calling this weekend….who’s with me?
Todd Beamer and brave Americans took down the terrorists in a field in Pennsylvania….I think we can make some freakin’ phone calls to take down this marxist, anti-Constitutional al-Mansourian Candidate!
Let’s roll!
ex-Democrat on November 1, 2008 at 12:54 AM
Well, BHO could whip out his birth certificate and try and sponsor her or something.
Oh wait. He doesn’t like showing that. Ship her out.
progressoverpeace on November 1, 2008 at 12:54 AM
I don’t remember Zobgy in 2900, but in 2000 he was the ONLY polling outfit who accurately said that the race was even going into the last weekend before Election Day while everyone else was saying that Bush had a five-point lead–which according to The Others, Bush lost that weekend in some strange sudden collapse.
it seemed like the Usual Suspects wanted to create a momentum for Gore on the day before the election by claiming Gore had jumped five points in two days ( after no changes for two weeks or so ). Zogby was the only one who managed to get and publish an accurate poll in those last days
If he’s right again, that means America dodged the Mother of All Bullets
Janos Hunyadi on November 1, 2008 at 12:55 AM
In 2900, Zogby will be saying Robo-Kerry 753 is beating Cyber-Reagan 564.
Speedwagon82 on November 1, 2008 at 12:56 AM
According to Ace…http://ace.mu.nu/archives/277090.php
She’s also getting government benefits illegally, and donated to Obama’s campaign.
Enoxo on November 1, 2008 at 12:56 AM
Assuming it’s even his aunt…..rumors that Frank Marshall David is Obama’s biological father, which would make ALL of this Kenyan stuff b*llfeathers.
Bottom line: who IS this guy?
McCain/Palin ‘08
ex-Democrat on November 1, 2008 at 12:56 AM
Let’s roll.
ex-Democrat on November 1, 2008 at 12:57 AM
I don’t remember Zobgy in 2900[..]
Janos Hunyadi on November 1, 2008 at 12:55 AM
Ahh, the good old days in the future. They were the best. Sorry I feeling a little giddy. ;-)
kahall on November 1, 2008 at 12:57 AM
I saw that Futurama episode! ~_^
Kini on November 1, 2008 at 1:00 AM
This poll news is going to kill the lefties. Remember how they were after he fell on his face with his German victory speech? That’s what’s coming from them.
America is still a brave and courageous country that loves competition. This election is either a declaration of that spirit, or a whimpering cry of defeat and a desire to return to the fetal position with Senator Government. Americans are beginning to really feel this, all kick-started by Joe The Plumber. I expect to see effects all through Congress, too.
progressoverpeace on November 1, 2008 at 1:01 AM
GOLD! hahahaha…..let’s roll.
ex-Democrat on November 1, 2008 at 1:02 AM
If he’s right again, that means America dodged the Mother of All Bullets
Janos Hunyadi on November 1, 2008 at 12:55 AM
I don’t believe that is correct.
Rassmussen
IBD or TIPP or something
RCP
ALL had more accurate polls last time than Zogby.
But, I’m just too darn lazy to look it up now, and I don’t want to jinx McCain either..
Dale in Atlanta on November 1, 2008 at 1:03 AM
JustTruth101 on November 1, 2008 at 12:38 AM
heeheeeheee
funky chicken on November 1, 2008 at 1:04 AM
Obama has this supposed deep desire to help others by spreading the wealth around yet his own brother and his aunt live in squalor. Apparently Obama thinks you should pay his illegal aunt’s living expenses while he, a millionaire, gives nothing to his own family.
He’s a millionaire socialist who wants people like Joe the plumber to pay his illegal family’s benefits.
This is all about reparations and nothing to do with fairness.
Guardian on November 1, 2008 at 1:05 AM
Zogby in 2004, obviously, not ‘2900′.
everybody’s a comedian, but a typo is not a punchline……
Janos Hunyadi on November 1, 2008 at 1:05 AM
WoosterOh on November 1, 2008 at 1:06 AM
I’ll be at McCain/Palin headquarters tomorrow here in Henderson, NV. Rudy G is going to visit in the afternoon!
funky chicken on November 1, 2008 at 1:07 AM
I have plenty of friends who have sponsored their relatives coming from other countries. All you have to pay a bond and promise the govt that you will certify that your relative will receive no public assistance for 5 years, and you can pretty much bring over anyone you want as long as they can support themselves, or you can support them.
Come on, Senator Obama, surely you can put up the dough to sponsor your Aunt and Uncle. Use some of the money you don’t donate to charity..spread some of your own wealth around.
Wasn’t it Obama that said “I am my brother’s keeper, I am my sister’s keeper” at the DNC 2004 convention, and that is supposed to be the rallying cry of his new America? Shouldn’t he practice what he preaches, or is that just for working class folks like me?
JustTruth101 on November 1, 2008 at 1:07 AM
the big point is not the accuracy of this one poll. the big deal is how people will perceive this. this one poll changes the momentum to the 86% of americans who don’t know the difference b/w zogby and rasmussen.
and as the commenter stated above, it will suck energy out of the obama team
darkegop on November 1, 2008 at 1:08 AM
…don’t worry, don’t try to predict….
…worry is blasphemous…prediction, in the face of all the smoke and mirrors, is foolish….
…vote, pray…and drink…drink early…drink often….
…and if you’ve been registered by ACORN, you can drink yourself to death and then vote….
Puritan1648 on November 1, 2008 at 1:08 AM
Obama 49.1%, McCain 44.1% rolling average
McCain up 1, Obama down 1
WoosterOh on November 1, 2008 at 1:09 AM
I was talking about 2000 where Zogby was right; I remember him being wrong and being an ass about it in 2004, but am not sure. In 2000, everyone else lined up with the “Gore momentum” talking point
That was how Zogby got his street cred……..
Janos Hunyadi on November 1, 2008 at 1:09 AM
Our aces in the hole:
Joe the Plumber
Tito the Builder
Sarah the Star of the Conservative movement
And last, but not least, our next president of the USA, John Sydney McCain who gave us the above.
carbon_footprint on November 1, 2008 at 1:09 AM
Direct link to page where you can start calling in battleground states:
http://www.johnmccain.com/dashboard/
from your own home….
funky chicken on November 1, 2008 at 1:10 AM
Zogby just posted:
amerpundit on November 1, 2008 at 1:10 AM
How good of a weekend will Colin Powell have now that he realizes his picking the fading horse at the end of the race wasn’t the pathetic no-risk move he thought it was?
econavenger on November 1, 2008 at 1:11 AM
LOL
funky chicken on November 1, 2008 at 1:11 AM
The “sudden collapse” of Bush’s 5 point lead in 2000 was the hit piece on the Thursday before the election of his 15 year prior DUI conviction. That was the October surprise of that election.
karenhasfreedom on November 1, 2008 at 1:12 AM
I’m in a similar situation, in school full of devoted followers, but I live in California. Pretty much I just reassure them that our votes don’t matter, cuz Obama is ahead by like 25 points in the state.
My hope is that a high conservative turnout (marriage amendment on ballot) will flip a solidly blue state into the red column. Its a long shot, but I’ll do it anyways.
El_Terrible on November 1, 2008 at 1:13 AM
Don’t we get to drink either way?
TexasDan on November 1, 2008 at 1:15 AM
Momentum or hiccup? It’s momentum and McCain’s been trending upward for DAYS.
Oink on November 1, 2008 at 1:16 AM
It’s for sure I will be.
Oink on November 1, 2008 at 1:16 AM
That was on a Thursday? I thought it came out the Sunday before the election? I expect an October surprise designed to neutralize Palin on this upcoming Sunday.
carbon_footprint on November 1, 2008 at 1:17 AM
There was no ’sudden collapse’: no studies show that over a million voters changed their voting decision on the basis on this story–which was from 1973, not “15 year prior”
Janos Hunyadi on November 1, 2008 at 1:17 AM
Take a breath. It’s Zogby.
We’ve all been saying for weeks that the polls are all wrong.
We can’t suddenly change our minds on that because one poll is telling us something we’d like to hear (and believe is true).
What are we? Liberals?!?
If the polls can’t be believed (and they can’t) then that’s as true today as it was yesterday.
That said… I’m going to enjoy watching the liberal heads explode tomorrow as they spin, spin, spin away this poll.
ClintACK on November 1, 2008 at 1:19 AM
Obama’s October surprise was 30 minutes of dreary infomercial Obama ending with angry Obama.
econavenger on November 1, 2008 at 1:19 AM
I’ll say this though; I’m from Central PA, and my family and friends are all up there.IF PA goes for Obama, I will really be shocked!
I hearing anecdotal evidence up there, that shows a level of contempt for Obama that is unprecedented; be interesting to see if translates into votes for McCain-Palin..
Dale in Atlanta on November 1, 2008 at 12:36 AM
I’m in PA, and I’m telling you, John McCain is going to win Pennsylvania.
It’s incredible how many ‘mccain’ or ’sarah!’ signs there are.
It’s also incredible how quickly western pa (pittsburgh area) has gone from ‘D’ in 2004 to ’split’ in 2008 (THANX MURTHA!)
I thought bush would lose PA both times, and i was right. But i really really think McCain wins on Tuesday. Oh, and Pennsylvania LOVES Palin… it’s almost scary.
McCain will win. and he’ll win Pennsylvania.
battleoflepanto1571 on November 1, 2008 at 1:19 AM
That would be miraculous! I wondered what Palin was doing in Carson City, CA, then I saw the crowds that turned out to see her…stunning. And CA did elect both Reagan and Ahnold. Would CA be red if not for LA and San Fran (like IL, which has the blueberry of Chicago turning an entire red state blue?)
JustTruth101 on November 1, 2008 at 1:19 AM
This poll is like the Doolittle Raids of WW2. Strategically insiginificant, yet a major morale shift on both sides.
It won’t take a very big chink in the Barry’s armor to reveal that there’s nothing inside.
innominatus on November 1, 2008 at 1:20 AM
that ’strikethrough’ should have been a ‘quote’ :)
battleoflepanto1571 on November 1, 2008 at 1:20 AM
Your collection of anecdotal evidence is probaby as accurate–or more accurate–than all these ‘weighted’ ’scientific’ polls which have up to a 20-point Democratic differential ( and an agenda )
Janos Hunyadi on November 1, 2008 at 1:23 AM
My “sudden collapse” phrase was quoting a poster from above, who had said it was mysterious. And 1973, ok, it was 27 years earlier, but all I remember thinking at the time was how unfair it was to have that come out so close to the election with no time for Bush to get his story out on how he had stayed sober for years and years since then. That hit piece was devastating to his election back then. We could have avoided that whole Florida mess without that intentional hit to manipulate the election process.
karenhasfreedom on November 1, 2008 at 1:23 AM
So on Tuesday we get the Enola Gay?
Mark1971 on November 1, 2008 at 1:23 AM
I don’t think this poll is correct, but it is evidence that the pollsters (even with their built-in biases and the plethora of fake dem voter regs and silly calculations for who will actually vote) are cracking. To put McCain ahead in a poll is a phase change.
progressoverpeace on November 1, 2008 at 1:23 AM
Yep…all those bible-thumping gun-toting bigots that Obama denigrates as he sips wine in San Fran are in reality God-loving, 2nd amendment believers who are in fact compassionate and sacrificially charitable hard working human beings. Folks like us are sick and tired of being called racists when it couldn’t be further from the truth.
JustTruth101 on November 1, 2008 at 1:23 AM
Well put.
progressoverpeace on November 1, 2008 at 1:25 AM
Thank goodness the press revealed early how truly in the tank they are. Any more attacks on Palin will cause another backlash…they have to be very, very careful how they attack her now.
OT: Palin is on Great now, and you should see how Todd looks at her. He is so proud that is his wife. That guy is awesome.
JustTruth101 on November 1, 2008 at 1:26 AM
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