Gallup: Obama now leads by 10 among both traditional and “expanded” likely voters
posted at 3:00 pm on November 1, 2008 by Allahpundit
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Zog says McCain +1, Gallup says Obama +10, and Rasmussen splits the difference. Whatever happens, someone’s getting their face rubbed in a pile of warm shinola on Wednesday morning. Nate Silver thinks he knows which one it’ll be. We’ll do more of this on Monday, but here’s CNN’s interactive electoral vote feature in case you want to try mapping out scenarios. As things stand, McCain has to take all six toss-up states plus Pennsylvania plus one other state to win.
Let’s enjoy the left’s suffering now, while we can.
“Look, I have this sense of impending doom; we’ve had a couple of elections stolen already,” Mr. Downs said. “The only thing worse than losing is to think that you’re going to win and then lose.”
He considers that prospect and mutters, almost involuntarily, “Oh, God.”…
Ms. Kuhlman shakes her head and says, “If he doesn’t get this, I’ll be crying so hard.”
A young woman, Shana Rosen, walks by. She is from Denver and said she had told her boyfriend that their love life was on hold while she sweated out Mr. Obama’s performance in Colorado. Ask Lucy Slurzberg, an Upper West Side psychotherapist, how many of her liberal patients speak of their electoral fears during their sessions, and she answers: “Oh, only about 90 percent of them.”…
For many liberals, the chance to elect Mr. Obama, who would be the nation’s first black president, gives the United States a second chance to walk across the stage of world history. (Which also makes the possibility of his loss unspeakably more depressing; given his present lead in every poll, many liberals fear that race will explain any defeat.)
I offer you your optimistic metaphor of the day. No explanation necessary.
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Wizbang
Terrye on November 2, 2008 at 7:20 AM
Berg released tape of Obama’s GRANDMOTHER SARAH HUSSEIN OBAMA STATING SHE WITNESSED HIS BIRTH IN KENYA. HERE’S AN AFFIDAVIT BY BISHOP RON McREA OUTLINING THE CONVERSATION & A LOT OF OTHER STUFF ABOUT OBAMA’S VISIT TO RAILA ODINGA… AND HIS MILLION DOLLAR DONATION TO ODINGA’S CAMPAIGN & MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING THAT THE FUNDS WERE (AMONG OTHER THINGS) TO BE USED FOR VIOLENCE AS A LAST RESULT (SIC) “…TO DISCOURAGE VOTER PARTICIPATION IN HOSTILE AREAS…”
I listened to the tape, don’t know what to make of any of it. Please READ (SHORT)AFFIDAVIT YOURSELF AND TRANSCRIPT OF CONVERSATION WITH RECORD OF PHONE CALLS..
HOPE THIS IS SOMETHING THE MEDIA LETS THE VOTERS DECIDE. FEEL FREE TO MOVE THIS POST IF THIS IS A DEAD THREAD. I’M NOT GOING TO WAIT FOR ED OR ALLAH TO POST A THREAD ABOUT IT.
.
As soon as my better half wakes up we’re driving a few states away to see our daughter, whose face was bitten by a dog. Hope there’s good news here or in the polls soon. Fingers crossed…
http://countryfirst.bravehost.com/grandmaO/Telephone_Interview_with_Sarah_Hussein_Obama_10-16-08.wma
NightmareOnKStreet on November 2, 2008 at 7:34 AM
Berg released tape of Obama’s GRANDMOTHER SARAH HUSSEIN OBAMA STATING SHE WITNESSED HIS BIRTH IN KENYA. HERE’S AN AFFIDAVIT BY BISHOP RON McREA OUTLINING THE CONVERSATION & A LOT OF OTHER STUFF ABOUT OBAMA’S VISIT TO RAILA ODINGA… AND HIS MILLION DOLLAR DONATION TO ODINGA’S CAMPAIGN & MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING THAT THE FUNDS WERE (AMONG OTHER THINGS) TO BE USED FOR VIOLENCE AS A LAST RESULT (SIC) “…TO DISCOURAGE VOTER PARTICIPATION IN HOSTILE AREAS…”
I listened to the tape, don’t know what to make of any of it. Please READ (SHORT)AFFIDAVIT YOURSELF AND TRANSCRIPT OF CONVERSATION WITH RECORD OF PHONE CALLS..
HOPE THIS IS SOMETHING THE MEDIA LETS THE VOTERS DECIDE. FEEL FREE TO MOVE THIS POST IF THIS IS A DEAD THREAD. I’M NOT GOING TO WAIT FOR ED OR ALLAH TO POST A THREAD ABOUT IT.
.
As soon as my better half wakes up we’re driving a few states away to see our daughter, whose face was bitten by a dog. Hope there’s good news here or in the polls soon. Fingers crossed…
NightmareOnKStreet on November 2, 2008 at 7:35 AM
In case you don’t read long posts:
OBAMA’S GRANDMOTHER ON TAPE ALLEGEDLY SAYING SHE WITNESSED HIS BIRTH IN KENYA – SEE POST ABOVE FOR LINKS & AFFIDAVIT ON OBAMA’S DEALINGS WITH ODINGA, ETC.
I REPORT. YOU DECIDE
NightmareOnKStreet on November 2, 2008 at 7:38 AM
Here’s what Rupert Murdoch has been saying about Obama down here in Oz getting ready to deliver the Boyer Lectures
“Obama? He just worries me. I’ve met him three times. He’s very nice. Very intelligent. But when you talk to him about economics, he seems very naive. Hopefully, he’s just saddled with policies for the election. As president, it’s a question of whom he brings around him and will he listen to them.”
kingsley on November 2, 2008 at 7:43 AM
Now Grandma Obama is being kept away from interviews. Wonder if the tape above has anything to do with that.
NightmareOnKStreet on November 2, 2008 at 7:44 AM
After the Zogby poll was released it didn’t take the wormy media pollsters long to declare it a fluke. It was amazing how they stepped on each other heads in their rush to denounce Zogby and push their own mathematical trash polls. These pollster idiots have a golden goose by the neck and if they’re discredited they lose their place at the feeding trough. It’s a sad state of affairs when a nation is totally manipulated by television talking heads and self indulgent commercial pollsters . . . unfortunately, that’s what we have become.
rplat on November 2, 2008 at 7:56 AM
If the tape has her saying anything like that then its about the party winning and they’ll have to put Biden in there I’d imagine. It’ll be an interesting chain of events. Maybe I’ll keep my flag flying after all. :)
What happens in that case? Do they default to the other Presidential runner or does it default to his running mate?
This is assuming the story is even vlid.
johnnyU on November 2, 2008 at 7:58 AM
I want to start this off by stating something that everyone here should already know: Barack Obama cannot win this election! He can’t. He’s unable to close the deal here in an election that almost any other Democratic candidate—even ol’ Slow Joe Biden—would have run away with. He hasn’t been able to make the sale. But…and this is an important ‘but’—WE can lose it. We lose it by allowing him, his campaign, and his lapdogs here and in the media demoralize, divide, and dispirit us. In the next 72 hours or so, we are going to be exposed to a propaganda and psychological onslaught on such a scale as has been rarely seen before. Obama and his people are going to pull out all the stops here: psychological and emotional button pushing, and yes, even in some cases physical intimidation—these will all be used by the Obama campaign to divide and break us. We have to stand firm and stand united. To be as Mike Gallagher describes, “Happy Warriors” in the face of this final push by Obama and his media and pollster allies. Now is not the time for us to quarrel amongst ourselves; nor is it the time to surrender to despair. By now we know full well the handles of the Obama fifth columnists posting here: barry norris, mycowardice, Dave Rywall, Nonfactor, and others. Ignore their clumsy and ham-handed efforts to sow despair and dissension—when they post, give them the “Nelson laugh” or just plain ignore them and move on. When one of our own begins to stumble a bit…help them back up on their feet and give them a supportive shoulder to lean on until they’ve recovered and they’re back on their feet again. And if you’re feeling discouraged, there’ s a lot you can do to buck up your spirits: walk away from the computer for a bit and spend some time with the family, read a book, watch a movie—I’d recommend something light and funny, talk to friends, or, and this is really the best way to improve your morale: make some phone calls for the McCain campaign or swing on by your local Victory Office. By getting involved, you’re acting instead of reacting—you’re doing something to contribute towards your own destiny rather than just feeling like you’re being swept along in the tide. Plus, there’s the side benefit of sticking a finger in the eye of the Obama campaign of psychological, emotional, and physical intimidation.
After the election is after the election. Right now though—we have a job to do, so let’s do the best job we can and put the rest in God’s, or Fate’s, most capable hands.
Matt Helm on November 2, 2008 at 7:59 AM
Geeze Nightmare… I hope your daughter is ok.
johnnyU on November 2, 2008 at 8:00 AM
McCain’s pollster gives us very good news (updated)
Pulling all the threads together to see a pattern
Posted by: Dave_in_Fla
NightmareOnKStreet on November 2, 2008 at 8:04 AM
Unless I am missing something, that transscript says she witnessed him being born but doesnt acknowledge it was in Kenya necessarily.
johnnyU on November 2, 2008 at 8:08 AM
Well put, Matt. The simple prescription to the malady that is Obama is for each and every one of us to exercise our right to vote. Nothing you will do in the next four years will matter more than adding your lonely voice to the deafening choir of “NO” to Obama and all that he believes. Think of the tininess of the solo voice when compared to the hair-raising majesty of a choir singing Beethoven’s 9th. We are so much more together than we are apart.
Remember the sacrifice of all those who lie silently at Arlington and innumerable places of rest around the world that gave everything so that we could live freely without tyranny. They sacrificed so that we would never know the darkness that Obama wants to cloak us under.
Your vote matters – even mine in Massachusetts, where every Democrat has a free ride virtually unopposed.
Illegitimi non carborundum!
turfmann on November 2, 2008 at 8:23 AM
1) OT: JohnnyU, thanks for the kind words about my daughter. She just sent me pix and I feel much better. Got her by the ear with 2 fang punctures & about 1 inch cut under the chin. Ironically, she has 2 English Mastiffs that weigh 310 lbs together and they’d never bite.
.
2) Re: my post, what did any of you think of the affidavit & the violence & money with Obama/Odinga?. Any merit, make you cringe or laugh?
NightmareOnKStreet on November 2, 2008 at 8:41 AM
Funny, the very free speech they condemn, they rely on to get a pulse of what the public is talking about.
Also, I really have my reservations on the Obama Grandmother audio although in one statement she says she witnessed the birth, and then she says she was in Kenya while he was being born in the USA.
Senator Dole’s campaign took a wild shot and it cost him 8 points or more overnight. eh, I’d get more info on this before going too big with it.
johnnyU on November 2, 2008 at 8:50 AM
JohnnyU, what did you think of the affidavit on Obama/Odinga (while I’m waiting for my husband)
NightmareOnKStreet on November 2, 2008 at 8:53 AM
Yeah, I agree. Unless something really solid comes out, I don’t think the McCain campaign is going to press this issue, nor do I think it should.
Matt Helm on November 2, 2008 at 8:57 AM
I voted for Dole and I will vote for McCain…McCain will lose as will the rest of us.
tomas on November 2, 2008 at 9:11 AM
How can you vote for McCain when you already voted several times for Obama? Take a hike, troll.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 9:47 AM
I can’t let tomas’ be the last statement on this blog article.
I know Bob Dole, and John McCain is no Bob Dole.
I have seen the crowds join John and Sarah in every battleground state. I do not believe the weighted polls brought to us by MSM.
My church organist will play “America the Beautiful” after the closing hymn today.
And I have instructed my broker to buy, buy and buy some more tomorrow to do my part and keep the market up.
Stand Up. Vote for John McCain and Sarah Palin. Fight.
We can win. Let’s do it.
gracie on November 2, 2008 at 9:50 AM
It’s almost as if the pollsters get together and decide-
MUST. DESTROY. REPUBLICAN. HOPE. HIGHER. NUMBERS. NOW.
anniekc on November 2, 2008 at 9:57 AM
ManlyRash on November
shut up bitch…your response it one of a troll.
You are an Obama pawn
tomas on November 2, 2008 at 10:06 AM
Thank you, gracie.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 10:06 AM
Some might call it conspiracy but I call it consensus – groupthink.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 10:07 AM
I think McCain will win the Electoral Vote and Obama wins the popular vote. Destroying the electoral college system will be the new rallying cry for four years. Queen Oprah will declare it “un-American”. Movies will be made and songs sang.
Marcus on November 2, 2008 at 10:09 AM
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/p-j-gladnick/2008/11/02/hidden-audio-obama-tells-sf-chronicle-he-will-bankrupt-coal-industry
allahallahoxenfree on November 2, 2008 at 10:09 AM
At WHAT point does the evidence mount high enough that this jackass shouldn’t even be a Senator much less President?
allahallahoxenfree on November 2, 2008 at 10:14 AM
That point will be reached on November 5th.
irongrampa on November 2, 2008 at 10:20 AM
An Obama insider stated “We owe the LAT big time”. That from a LAT staffer, where the power is crowing about how they have the “ultimate; I owe you” from the next president
Apparently Obama’s handlers know what is on the tape and it is devastating, in the sense it undermines his “he is just a neighbor”, and the poem and Obama’s reaction is not what they want seen. Apparently Obama’s table is the “who’s who of I don’t want to know who”.
This comes from a LAT insider, he/she hasn’t seen the tape, but rumors are rampant around the LAT. And moral is at an all time low.
Lots of dissension in the LAT, most want the tape viewed, knowing that the tape was given to the LAT to be reported and keep the source secret. And they know the reason for not showing the tape.
One of the problems is the tape angle could show who did the tapping. But most feel that is just a cover angle.
right2bright on November 2, 2008 at 10:29 AM
tomas-tomas-tomas…wadda we gonna do with you.
You are so transparent, so obvious, pulling the old “I have always voted democrat, but this year I just can’t”.
These “robo” statements have been on every talk show, every post…well let me get right to the point.
You are full of sh*t. A lying sack of sh*t.
You have never intended to vote Republican…never.
Just be honest…wait, is there any such thing as an honest liberal? let me answer my own question, NO!
right2bright on November 2, 2008 at 10:33 AM
Well, while your out swilling your bear and getting drunk…I will be out supporting the republican party. Punk.
tomas on November 2, 2008 at 10:39 AM
No one’s buying it, tomas.
Grafted on November 2, 2008 at 10:47 AM
I don’t have anything to prove to you trolls…you are what is bad about my party.
tomas on November 2, 2008 at 10:53 AM
I think we are all being set up. the perfect storm to steal an election is about to hit.
1. History in the making.
2. Massive voter fraud by ACORN
3. Dems in high places assisting in voter fraud, exhibit A, Ohio Secretary of State refusing to look into 200,000 funny registrations.
4. Real voter intimidation the likes of which we have never seem,,, ACORN and Truth Squads.
5. The race card
6. A media that has become an arm of the Obama campaign.
7. Foreign shady donations and open support and interest for an Obama win from our enemies.
8. A Marxist candidate with terrorist friends.
9 A Marxist candidate with a cult like following who wants his own National Security force.
10 The unheard of chance of a lifetime for one party rule with a filibuster proof Senate.
With all of that,, is it really that much of a stretch to imagine that there is not pressure put on some of these polls.
Would not the polls be the ace in the hole??
Obama needs to be ahead in the polls to have the greatest and best chance to win this election. If the fraud doesn’t win him the election,, the lawsuits will! If the perception is that Obama is ahead,, and he loses,, the screams will be he had to have won because he was ahead in the polls! The pressure on the courts to hand Obama the election will be tremendous!
The only remedy is that McCain MUST WIN WITH A SIGNIFICANT MAJORITY to help nullify any lawsuits!
This will be key!
Am I being paranoid??
I hope I am! It is his supporters, though, that are threatening riots and that blood will even run in the streets should he lose!!
JellyToast on November 2, 2008 at 11:07 AM
Yes, you are being paranoid. Don’ go wobbly. Stand firm. Keep up the get out the vote efforts. Nevermind any threats of riots.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 11:11 AM
[quote]Even Babe Ruth struck out from time to time. Perhaps she will come to her senses and apologize. If so, use her guilt as a weapon. Tell her you were really hurt and truly heartbroken by the way she treated you. Explain that you love your country and want it safe and secure so she can be safe and secure. If she doesn’t come to her senses, egg her house.[/quote]
You are just an asshole ManlyRash. If she is sorry, MAKE HER PAY! If she isn’t – MAKE HER PAY!
PS. No one struck out more than Babe Ruth actually.
A Axe on November 2, 2008 at 11:11 AM
FOAD troll
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 11:11 AM
Yea, but when his bat connected with the ball…ahhhh. Sultan of Swat. Remember to vote for McCain!
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 11:13 AM
No wobbles here, McCain will do it. Take that to the bank, my country will do the right thing.
irongrampa on November 2, 2008 at 11:38 AM
Go back and read my 7:59 AM post, people. NOW IS NOT THE TIME FOR INTERNAL DISSENSION. Keep a united front. If you’re feeling wobbly, call or email (it’s time like this a PM function on this site would really be a good thing as it would allow for confidential and quick communication) someone or just step away from it all for a couple of minutes or hours; and then come back refreshed and raring to go. Don’t fight with any Obamabots posting here–that gives them what they want and it allows them to sow even more seeds of chaos and despair.
Above all, let us not devour our own. If someone is feeling weak, try the compassionate word first before the bracing Pattonesque head-slap. Happy Warriors, everyone!
Now, let’s go out and kick Bambi butt!
Matt Helm on November 2, 2008 at 11:50 AM
Total BS.
Mccain will win in a landslide!
Mccain will take PA,NJ,NY,CA,IA,MI,CO,NM..in addition to VA,NC,Fl and the rest of all the red states!
Frankly I would be shocked if Hussein even manages to win Illinois.
The American people will not elect a terrorist, no matter how much the traitorous media tells us to.
SaintOlaf on November 2, 2008 at 12:19 PM
Amen, brother. We can do this, folks. It’s up to us and us alone in the next 48 hours. Send out emails. Make phone calls. Talk to family, friends and beighbors. Make it happen.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 12:33 PM
There you go, AP, that should hold you for the next three days.
Hey, did you guys know that polls are polls?
Jim Treacher on November 2, 2008 at 1:06 PM
I suspect that on election day the gulping we hear from Allah will come from a bottle of scotch. Hopefully, he’ll still be conscious when McCain is declared the winner.
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 1:14 PM
This is the fact tomas, if you were a Republican, in the final 48 hours nothing would deter you from being the winner.
Only a loser or a troll would say that McCain cannot win. You are no fan of Palin, or McCain…yet they are the ones who are representing “your party” supposedly…but in the final 48 hours you still have to knife McCain in the back…
If you are not 100% behind the candidate at this date, if you think that Obama is the best choice, carry on…but we will call you what you are.
A sniveling, weak, liberal, pretending to be “open minded”.
With the finish line is sight, this is not the time to whine…if you are a Republican (an I doubt you are), suck it up for the team and push home a victory.
right2bright on November 2, 2008 at 12:46 PM
Again, I say bullshit to the polls.
Fight to the last bullet then the kbars come out.
bloviator on November 2, 2008 at 1:05 PM
woo hoo woo hoo hoo!!!!!!!!!!!!
Domino on November 2, 2008 at 2:47 PM
right2bright on November 2, 2008 at 6:13 PM
…you guys do realize that you’re sounding almost exactly like the Kerry supporters in 2004, right? Back then, all the polls were Republican tools. Go figure.
Mal Carne on November 2, 2008 at 6:28 PM
Do you REALLY believe this? You can’t be serious. You’re saying he’ll do better than Nixon or Reagan? McCain will be lucky to keep it close, but he isn’t winning the East Coast or the West Coast.
Krydor on November 2, 2008 at 6:38 PM
oh, pish posh, Mal. Join the team. Fight for Mccain. Do what is right for America.
McCain in 2008. Do your part!
ManlyRash on November 2, 2008 at 7:34 PM
If they were traditional voters, Obama would be down by 100.
Ronnie on November 2, 2008 at 7:55 PM
You do realize that those polls had Kerry winning, right?
Jim Treacher on November 2, 2008 at 8:56 PM
Um, sorry. No. You’ll disagree with the blogger, but look at the numbers. If I can coax Pollster.com to produce the same stats, I’ll do it.
I doubt you’ll believe the data… but there it is. You might be remembering some anecdotes (and the media has a “the race is tightening” story it universally trots out around this time, no matter who’s being elected). But the numbers say otherwise.
Mal Carne on November 2, 2008 at 9:14 PM
And here’s the link to the polls this time in 2004. Bush had the lead in 66 polls taken since September, Kerry lead in 7 of those polls, and we had a couple of ties.
I’m sorry, but the polls this year look nothing like the polls in 2004.
Mal Carne on November 2, 2008 at 9:20 PM
Huge difference between 2004 and 2008 and John Kerry and Barack obama
If it had not been for the meltdown in the markets Mccain would be up 10 or 12 points.
Go back to the septemeber 10th polls of this year, Mccain was threatning in Wisconsin, Minnesotta and even New Jersey.
People really do not want to vote for Obama,it just that they can’t stand Republicans
kangjie on November 3, 2008 at 9:33 AM
I inted to vote more than once for McCain
tocoloro on November 3, 2008 at 12:49 PM
The most curious item of all is that it seems like for every piece of bad news about Obama that comes to light, he seems to pick up a little in the polls. That is certainly counter-intuitive and causes me a great deal of suspicion when dealing with the polls.
CC – BHO: “my Muslim faith”
CapedConservative on November 3, 2008 at 4:36 PM
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