Gallup: Obama now leads by 10 among both traditional and “expanded” likely voters
posted at 3:00 pm on November 1, 2008 by Allahpundit
Share on Facebook | regular view
Zog says McCain +1, Gallup says Obama +10, and Rasmussen splits the difference. Whatever happens, someone’s getting their face rubbed in a pile of warm shinola on Wednesday morning. Nate Silver thinks he knows which one it’ll be. We’ll do more of this on Monday, but here’s CNN’s interactive electoral vote feature in case you want to try mapping out scenarios. As things stand, McCain has to take all six toss-up states plus Pennsylvania plus one other state to win.
Let’s enjoy the left’s suffering now, while we can.
“Look, I have this sense of impending doom; we’ve had a couple of elections stolen already,” Mr. Downs said. “The only thing worse than losing is to think that you’re going to win and then lose.”
He considers that prospect and mutters, almost involuntarily, “Oh, God.”…
Ms. Kuhlman shakes her head and says, “If he doesn’t get this, I’ll be crying so hard.”
A young woman, Shana Rosen, walks by. She is from Denver and said she had told her boyfriend that their love life was on hold while she sweated out Mr. Obama’s performance in Colorado. Ask Lucy Slurzberg, an Upper West Side psychotherapist, how many of her liberal patients speak of their electoral fears during their sessions, and she answers: “Oh, only about 90 percent of them.”…
For many liberals, the chance to elect Mr. Obama, who would be the nation’s first black president, gives the United States a second chance to walk across the stage of world history. (Which also makes the possibility of his loss unspeakably more depressing; given his present lead in every poll, many liberals fear that race will explain any defeat.)
I offer you your optimistic metaphor of the day. No explanation necessary.
You must be logged in to post a comment.
Blowback
Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.
Trackbacks/Pings
Trackback URL
Comments
Comment pages: « Previous 1 ... 3 4 5 6 7 Next »
Well try this poll (for any suicide candidates that need a fix).
http://sunlituplands.blogspot.com/2008/11/gop-internal-polls-nj-ca-mi-pa-show.html
CC – BHO: “my Muslim faith”
CapedConservative on November 1, 2008 at 8:33 PM
*channeling George Costanza* It’s shrinkage!!!
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 8:34 PM
Ehhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh……no. But I guess steak will have to do. *towels off after cold shower*
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 8:35 PM
Lead us down the garden path Manly!
Domino on November 1, 2008 at 8:37 PM
I saw the same poll earlier and I say what I said then:its hard for me to believe that McCain is only 1 point behaind Obama in California and he is leading in New Jersey.
I believe he is close in Pennsylvania and maybe slighty ahead in Missouri and Ohio but I don’t buyt this poll. Even is nice to read good news from time to time.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 8:37 PM
Unless you want me to address you as ’sweety.’ Your call.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 8:37 PM
FWIW: Tito (”The Builder”) Munoz was on Huckabee tonight. Guys like Tito shame me because I see them and I realize how much more they appreciate the U.S. than I. And I think we live in a great country.
Huckabee’s hammering the tax issue pretty well.
OT: for language lovers, here’s the link to William Safire’s NYT On Language column in tomorrow’s Sunday Magazine. He addresses the 2008 coinages:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/02/magazine/02wwln-safire-t.html?_r=1&oref=slogin&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&pagewanted=print
BuckeyeSam on November 1, 2008 at 8:38 PM
Prefer ‘Honey’ or ‘Sugar’, but just chalk it up to my Hornet nature and my Texan upbringing.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 8:39 PM
I lead no one nowhere and if you follow me you are a fool.
I only point the way…THERE: victory for John McCain. Make it happen, people. Stand up and fight. Keep fighting until Bambi makes his concession speech. This election is in YOUR hands.
I’m just the obnoxious court jester.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 8:40 PM
You neglected the Cabernet Sauvignon. How could you go to Ruth’s Chris and not have a bottle of Cabernet with your Filet Mignon? Not to mention the Bombay Sapphire martini appetizer, dry, three olives.
If you’re going to win, win big.
turfmann on November 1, 2008 at 8:40 PM
Our Josef Goebbels media pounding Obarry’s talking points non-stop 24/7 for 20 freakin’ months will do that to ya.
I hope our seditious media enjoys ‘08 because it’s the last time they’ll be relevant….perfidious b*stards.
Let’s roll.
ex-Democrat on November 1, 2008 at 8:40 PM
Just saw the Drudge headline “Civilian National Security Force”.
Smells like Stazi to me.
shaken on November 1, 2008 at 8:40 PM
Absolutely….Sweet Thang.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 8:41 PM
Actually, I’m not personally an entertainer .. I’m a lawyer .. (same thing sometimes, I guess). I just own a percentage of the company who owns the studio and the webcams.
Believe me, I catch my fair share of grief for not getting on board the Socialism Express.
I was going to tell them to point the cameras away from the festivities if he wins on Tuesday .. but I didn’t want to give up the site hits. An ironically capitalist decision.
cgoode777 on November 1, 2008 at 8:41 PM
I actually prefer Chicken Fried Steak with a side of Mashed Potatoes with creamed gravy on both. Peach cobbler for desert….but if it’s steak you’re serving, I won’t complain. I’ll bring the beer.
It’s shrinkage……funny stuff.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 8:42 PM
As an Ohioan on the ground, I can confidently say that McCain will win Ohio. Why do you think all of Obama’s surrogates here are pulling out all of the stops? It’s because they know that even with all of the fraud, Ohio is lost for Obama. They are just trying to make it look respectable now.
************************
I see the same thing here in Columbus. The Obama support is well below the Kerry support in 2004.
buckichick1 on November 1, 2008 at 8:42 PM
Anyone seen this over at Drudge? What is a Civilian Security Force?
ronsfi on November 1, 2008 at 8:43 PM
Bilge water. Tanqueray 10, up, with a splash of white vermouth and a few drops of sweet vermouth, plus two olives.
I know from martinis, my friend, and have the inflamed liver to prove it.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 8:43 PM
What do you call one million lawyers chained together at the bottom of the sea?
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 8:44 PM
Sure he does “Paper Tiger” look it up.
Dr Evil on November 1, 2008 at 8:45 PM
A good start. LOL
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 8:45 PM
Stazi combined with workers defense brigades. Nothing new. The same old marxist themes and nobody in the media questions this kind of speaking. What do you mean by that sir? And why do we need a Civilian National Security Force when we have Police and an Army to defend us?
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 8:45 PM
That’s what I was talking about!
Domino on November 1, 2008 at 8:46 PM
O.K., I’ll deal with madame. But “young Lady” is right up there with, “can I see some I.D.?”
anniekc on November 1, 2008 at 8:46 PM
Ask Obama, Clemy. He’s the one proposing i.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 8:47 PM
Make it happen, Domino. Deliver California and I, Manly Rash, will have YOUR baby.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 8:48 PM
Most ladies would be flattered to get carded.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 8:49 PM
I don’t need to ask him because I know what he means but I wonder why the imbeciles in the media don’t dare to ask him a simple question about this. And not only him but although his surrogates. I want to see them trying to explain this.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 8:49 PM
They won’t, because they are useful idiots.
Defeat them, my dear. That is all you need to know. If Romania has taught you anything, it has taught you that.
Defeat them.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 8:51 PM
You may choose your path to an early grave, my friend, and I shall choose mine. A toast to you as I sip my delicious concoction.
*hic*
turfmann on November 1, 2008 at 8:53 PM
This straw poll has mccain every week winning in a landslide. I guess people feel more comfortable voting without others knowing who they vote for.
http://news.aol.com/political-machine/2008/10/31/aol-straw-poll-oct-31-nov-4/
jaboba on November 1, 2008 at 8:56 PM
Hi Manly.. I early voted a couple weeks ago.
I’ve got a couple neighbors who are staunch Dems and have their Obama stickers and signs, (I think they suffer BDS) But there’s 10 X more McCain stuff around than Obama.
This is even after a couple nights of McCain signs mysteriously coming up missing around town.. One thing is for sure down here in Florida, the gun shops are doing huge amounts of business. Saw more people at the gun shops than early voting. (Felons can’t buy guns..)
Fires1 on November 1, 2008 at 8:57 PM
The punchline to the weakest and most overused lawyer joke ever?
Truth be told, I wouldn’t mind seeing a million or so of my colleagues perish at the bottom of the big pond.
Profession’s full of assholes and idiots.
cgoode777 on November 1, 2008 at 8:59 PM
Possible but still not very convinced that AOL straw poll is acurate.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 8:59 PM
Sorry Goode, had to do it. You should run for Congress.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:00 PM
Yeah- that’s why I said it. Any woman over 30 enjoys he rarely asked, “I.D. question”
anniekc on November 1, 2008 at 9:01 PM
I don’t think it is going to be that close, where there is registration fraud going on by ACORN, I believe an Army of Lawyers will intervene. This isn’t the state of Illinois where Obama marginalized other Democrats this is the Country U.S.A. he is up against Republicans who have more then a few Lawyers in their ranks too:)
http://sarah-palin-2008.blogspot.com/2008/11/coming-in-on-wing-and-lot-of-prayers.html
Dr Evil on November 1, 2008 at 9:02 PM
FWIW, I live in a formerly very red area of blue Illinois and I thought I’d be seeing a bunch of Obama signs. Instead, three McCains (mine included) and two Obamas. With a bunch of a local Republican state rep’s signs mixed in. I thought home-town boy would have a bunch more.
Just today, a new McCain sign popped up across the street; could it be a “late decider breaking for McCain”? Hope so.
-Aslan’s Girl
Aslans Girl on November 1, 2008 at 9:04 PM
Saw it. Watched the short video – those four words ought to scare the hell out of Americans.
dugan on November 1, 2008 at 9:05 PM
jajoba:
According to our own pessimistic Allah, the aol poll is crap because it is an online poll and because so many folks in the country still have dial up and as such use aol.
That is just Allah’s way of pissing on your parade.
Terrye on November 1, 2008 at 9:06 PM
PS, my area is a Chicago ‘burb which is why I thought there’s be more Obama signs, esp. since my area has recently gone more blue than red.
Aslans Girl on November 1, 2008 at 9:07 PM
Sorry, you must be pissed.
carbon_footprint on November 1, 2008 at 9:08 PM
Aren’t they called “militias” and doesn’t Obama want to take their guns away? ;)
obladioblada on November 1, 2008 at 9:09 PM
Sent the Video out to my address book with a note:
“Get your brown shirts at any Obama for President or Acorn Headquarters.”
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:10 PM
Hitler called them “Brown Shirts and who is to say that president Obama won’t do the same. If this doesn’t frighten people then they must be totally brain dead. Wait until he directs the confiscation of all guns.
rplat on November 1, 2008 at 9:10 PM
Yes they are but Obama does not dare to use the term. He tip toes around it. He intends to take only the guns of those against him and not of the democratic workers militias aka the Civilian Security Force.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 9:12 PM
A *hic* men, my brother…… *falls off chair*
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:12 PM
So we all volunteer and turn on dear leader..get your guns now!
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:13 PM
Get out the vote, Fires. You are on the front lines. Make it happen.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:14 PM
I sincerely hope you were in the same room :)
mikeyboss on November 1, 2008 at 9:15 PM
Not only Hitler did that. Lenin did the same and all the comunists regimes in Eastern Europe started with that kind of paramilitary forces dressed as civilian forces to fight against all those who opposed the party’s rule. We don’t have to look much further than Venezuela, Chavez has his militias too, or Zimbabwe. That’s for I’d like to see one of the tv talking heads trying to explain this.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 9:15 PM
You guys are relentless. LMAO.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:17 PM
There will be no “dear leader.” Only a sorry-ass Chicago pol getting frog-marched into a federal courthouse after Tony Rezko sings like a canary.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:19 PM
Yes, I know, but I want to discharge the “change” we can believe in.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:19 PM
I’m running for president, Sweet Thang. Would like to be on my staff?
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:20 PM
Not worth your keystrokes, Hornet.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:20 PM
My thoughts exactly. It smacks of communism.
Obama needs to explain what exactly he means by National Civilian Security Force.
dugan on November 1, 2008 at 9:21 PM
No offense taken. Truly.
I probably tell more lawyer jokes than anyone I know in or out of the profession.
Congress? Nah. Politics has been successfully perverted to the point where no sane person with an i.q. in the trips would even think about it.
I’ll just keep armchair quarterbacking, thanks.
cgoode777 on November 1, 2008 at 9:22 PM
hint: their uniform will have starched brown shirts…
right4life on November 1, 2008 at 9:23 PM
….with a red acorn on them.
dugan on November 1, 2008 at 9:24 PM
its the chicago way capiche??
right4life on November 1, 2008 at 9:25 PM
I can bet 2 cold Martini’s that nobody in the lame MSM is going to ask this question. Not to Obama and not to any of his surrogates. And this is huge.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 9:28 PM
As long as I don’t have to be a humidor.
Did I tell you my kidney stones turned out to be a possible back injury…..
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:30 PM
Obama DOES support infanticide!
Watch these videos and see his actual voting record below and click HERE to hear Obama’s arguement against medical intervention for babies who survive this horrid act
“I suspect that doctors feel that they would be under that obligation, that they would already be making these determinations, and that essentially adding an additional doctor, who then has to be called in an emergency situation to come in and make these assessments, is really designed simply to burden the original decision of the woman and the physician to induce labor and perform an abortion.”
Hear his words, see his record, then you decide who lies and who offends. Despite our views on abortion, certainly we can all agree that babies who survive botched abortions are deserving of medical care. Why doesn’t Obama and why does he lie about his own record?
Virginia Shanahan on November 1, 2008 at 9:33 PM
Whoa. Talk to me. How the hell can they f*ck up a diagnosis like this?
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:34 PM
The devil comes in many disguises.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:34 PM
I’ll happily make them for you if you promise some authentic Romanian cuisine.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:35 PM
CT scan, negative, blood, negative.
I still have this horrible pain in my back and the doctor sent me for a xray on my back for Monday. I laughed it off, until I lifted some bags and WHAMO! I can’t walk straight now. Guess I have to eat crow and get that xray.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:36 PM
And they often involve dead children. This bastard must be destroyed.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:36 PM
I don’t like hearing this. Make it go away.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Deal.:)) But now at the subject:how we can make this latest quote from Obama a topic of tomorrow’s tv talk shows? Do we know who is going from McCain’s on these shows? We should mail them and tell tehm to bring up the topic of the “Civilian Security Forces”.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Absolutely. If we had a REAL media, this would have blown him out of the water. Instead, silence.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:38 PM
because he’s an evil frightening man. If he gets power, he’ll stop at nothing to expand and keep that power.
right4life on November 1, 2008 at 9:39 PM
I blame all that dirty dancing last Saturday….AND I WAS DRESSED LIKE THE DEVIL and had MANY drinks.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:40 PM
Question for those of you in the know …
Are any of you cats on the inside with the Hot Air people? I’d like to give them access in some capacity .. or at least linking rights .. for our live web feeds (1 from the air, 1 street level) of the victory rally/defeat riot on Tuesday night.
I’m not looking to make a buck here .. although the hits will obviously help the site .. just thought the people around here might be curious to peek in. Especially in the event of a crushing Obama defeat.
If anyone has any helpful info, feel free to email me at cgoode777@gmail.com.
Word.
Word to you all.
cgoode777 on November 1, 2008 at 9:40 PM
I’ll keep you in my prayers…back pain is awful…
right4life on November 1, 2008 at 9:40 PM
National Civilian Security Force….Does the bow tie come with the brown shirt?
ohiorebel on November 1, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Prefer Hornette?
Saltysam on November 1, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Thank you, right. It is, but I will survive. I figure an Obama defeat will still have me dancing in the streets.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:42 PM
HEY GUYS!
Here in the desert Southwest, in the idiot state of New Mexico, a swing state, I just got a robocall…..
“Did you know that Obama’s aunt is living in the United States as an illegal alien……”
So, it begins….
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:43 PM
Nope. You can call me sting, if hornet offends you.
How you doin’, Salty?
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:44 PM
The media will be conspicuously and scandalously silent.
YOU are the voice.
And you and you and you…all of you out there. And me.
Spread the word. Send it out.
The internet is your horse. YOu are Paul Revere. Tell the world. Make it happen – as though the fate of the republic were in your hands.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:44 PM
The design of the uniform is not one of my concerns but the ideea scares the hell out of me. The man is dangerous. Does anybody except Drudge picked this up?
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 9:45 PM
You pay for it all. But, if you are illegal or make less than $42K, you get it free, plus a free ham, uh, turkey…don’t want to offend the Muslims.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:45 PM
I wish I took a leak before I read this.
*running upstairs to change my pants*
Saltysam on November 1, 2008 at 9:45 PM
buy more ammo
bill30097 on November 1, 2008 at 9:45 PM
You stay healthy and in one piece, Sweet Thang. We need you.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:45 PM
FANTASTIC! I’m on top of the world!
Saltysam on November 1, 2008 at 9:46 PM
Texas Tech 22
Texas 6
Halftime
Go Red Raiders!
carbon_footprint on November 1, 2008 at 9:46 PM
I’m sure you meant it rhetorically, dear ronsfi.
It’s the first step to a Venezuelan form of government.
Entelechy on November 1, 2008 at 9:46 PM
I could be on my deathbed and would still get manage to log onto HotAir.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:47 PM
A step that stumbles into the gutter. We are Americans and have no use for Venezuelan government.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:48 PM
Even the Venezuelan people are resisting. We will overcome.
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:49 PM
good. Then haul your sorry, sick ass out opf bed and scare up some votes for McCain. Farking slacker. ;-)
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:49 PM
Yes we can! (sorry, Bambi)
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 9:50 PM
Hey, I got a lifelong Democrat to vote for Bush in 04 and she will be voting for McCain in 08, along with her mother and probably her sister…they are ALL democrats…
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Si Se Puede! Beat Bambi!
HornetSting on November 1, 2008 at 9:51 PM
yeah I’m watching it…its a great game…the boys from Texas know how to play football (oklahoma too)
right4life on November 1, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Offend me?
Nahh.
Sting it is, though. Nice ring, Sting.
Saltysam on November 1, 2008 at 9:52 PM
Comment pages: « Previous 1 ... 3 4 5 6 7 Next »