Gallup: Obama now leads by 10 among both traditional and “expanded” likely voters
posted at 3:00 pm on November 1, 2008 by Allahpundit
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Zog says McCain +1, Gallup says Obama +10, and Rasmussen splits the difference. Whatever happens, someone’s getting their face rubbed in a pile of warm shinola on Wednesday morning. Nate Silver thinks he knows which one it’ll be. We’ll do more of this on Monday, but here’s CNN’s interactive electoral vote feature in case you want to try mapping out scenarios. As things stand, McCain has to take all six toss-up states plus Pennsylvania plus one other state to win.
Let’s enjoy the left’s suffering now, while we can.
“Look, I have this sense of impending doom; we’ve had a couple of elections stolen already,” Mr. Downs said. “The only thing worse than losing is to think that you’re going to win and then lose.”
He considers that prospect and mutters, almost involuntarily, “Oh, God.”…
Ms. Kuhlman shakes her head and says, “If he doesn’t get this, I’ll be crying so hard.”
A young woman, Shana Rosen, walks by. She is from Denver and said she had told her boyfriend that their love life was on hold while she sweated out Mr. Obama’s performance in Colorado. Ask Lucy Slurzberg, an Upper West Side psychotherapist, how many of her liberal patients speak of their electoral fears during their sessions, and she answers: “Oh, only about 90 percent of them.”…
For many liberals, the chance to elect Mr. Obama, who would be the nation’s first black president, gives the United States a second chance to walk across the stage of world history. (Which also makes the possibility of his loss unspeakably more depressing; given his present lead in every poll, many liberals fear that race will explain any defeat.)
I offer you your optimistic metaphor of the day. No explanation necessary.
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Have you guys seen this…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1HGp8vqX0rw
CUTE!!!
sammypants on November 1, 2008 at 4:04 PM
+10, Egyptian goddess
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 4:04 PM
Johnny, Obama will NOT win. But if in the more distant future a such a situation comes to pass, I hope you won’t consider that idea again. Keep our flag flying.
America endures and withstands all.
DarkCurrent on November 1, 2008 at 4:05 PM
Amen. If it can survive the likes of me, it can survive anything.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 4:06 PM
My office is right across the street on Michigan Ave .. live not too far away in the gold coast .. and you’re right. Obama wins this thing and the roars are gonna’ be hell.
On the other hand .. we win and I doubt there’ll be a more satisfying area in which to head out donning a McCain/Palin t-shirt.
Incidentally .. I’m part owner of a company called Arts Entertainment, LLC. Have a recording studio in the Fine Arts Building across from Grant Park on Michigan Avenue.
If anyone’s interested, there are live pan/tilt/zoom webcams that will be pointed at the area on election day ..
Good feeds .. pretty clear and very smooth .. take a look if you can stand it … just click on the “live webcams” feed at the top of the page.
http://www.artsentertainment.com
cgoode777 on November 1, 2008 at 4:06 PM
Sorry guys, but that Gallop poll has convinced me it’s all over. My hopes had been rising lately only to be crushed by that damn poll. Obama will win.
But it won’t stop me from voting. It’s a question of damage limitation. Preventing a filibuster proof Democrat senate majority is as important as defeating Obama. We may not achieve the latter but the former is possible.
infidel65 on November 1, 2008 at 4:07 PM
Hope!
I’ve got a friend…First person I’ve EVER known to actually be polled! …She says that she told them that she was voting for Obama, and dem ticket all the way.
She is a diehard conservative and would NEVER vote for Obama.
That made me laugh.
AND it gives me Hope!!!
Okay, it’s only ONE person…but, still…..holding out hope~
What was it that Rush had going on? “Operation Chaos”??? I’m hoping this is what’s up.
So many people angry with the media. And pollsters are a part of that media in many people’s minds.
bridgetown on November 1, 2008 at 4:07 PM
Yes… call everyone you know (who will vote McCain) and make sure they go to the polls… those you know who are on the fence… convince… and then get them to the polls…
GET OFF YOUR BUTT AND VOTE!
ColHogan
Tikrit, Iraq
ColHogan on November 1, 2008 at 4:07 PM
ColHogan on November 1, 2008 at 4:07 PM
Thank You for your Service, Sir!!! Stay Safe!
bridgetown on November 1, 2008 at 4:09 PM
Some amazing news from internal GOP polling.
Marsh on November 1, 2008 at 4:09 PM
Go back to your boss Axelrod and tell him Manly Rash said to stick his astroturferin strategy up his spotty fat ass.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 4:10 PM
Some amazing news from internal GOP polling.
Marsh on November 1, 2008 at 4:09 PM
I found this from Hannity’s forum about this radio broadcast:
“Yes, that was Jim Quinn on 104.7 Pittsburgh. The stuff he puts out there is usually way ahead of even other talk shows.
His show is Quinn and Rose (she’s been on Fox)
He can also be heard on XM (America’s Morning Show?) Not sure of channel.
This is their website: http://warroom.com/“
Marsh on November 1, 2008 at 4:10 PM
Can you imagine? If McCain loses he will have lost to the political kin of those who broke his body and beat his a$$ for years in a Viet Nam prison camp. I wonder if he realizes this.
jay12 on November 1, 2008 at 4:10 PM
Now I don’t understand why she did this. She helped the media with this and make people like infidel65 to be heartbroken and convinced everything is lost. Bad ideea in my book.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 4:10 PM
You posted this before, Marsh. Either dig up some verification or stop posting it, lest you be taken for a spammer.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 4:11 PM
More info on Jim Quinn:
“Quinn and Rose have been fighting the good fight on America’s Morning Shows for over 12 years. Broadcasting from their undisclosed War Room location, somewhere in the heartland, the show combines compelling discussion of popular issues with high production values and an irreverent attitude, presented at a pace that demands attention.
Jim Quinn is one of America’s most tenured and successful broadcasters. His 30+ years career has taken him from Cleveland to Buffalo, New York City, Pittsburgh and more. Despite his extraordinary experience you’ll never hear Jim dwell on the past. Our best days lie ahead and as we hurdle forward our fearless leader keeps a sharp eye on the present and future of us.”
Marsh on November 1, 2008 at 4:12 PM
I’m with ManlyRash on this. Hard to believe that McCain is up in New Jersey and only few points behind in California.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 4:13 PM
Shotgun Polling.
Just throw out random numbers, and when it’s all over, pick the closest one and claim you got it right.
The whole damned political scene is like an elementary school recess at this point.
Merovign on November 1, 2008 at 4:13 PM
I’m sure he does, Jay, which will make his enjoyment of his victory (and mine of my Ruth’s Chris steak) all the more delicious.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 4:13 PM
I suppose there are plenty of pointy headed elitists that would like to get out a bunch of important looking spreadsheets and try to show me the depths of my faulty logic but…
I simply do not believe the premise of the polls. All of them assume that republican turn out will be much lower than ‘04, and democrat turnout will be much higher.
As I look around for indicators that they are correct, I’m unable to find them. They can espouse historical paradigms & statistical infallibility from now till Tuesday.
They’ve been wrong many, many times before. They’re still wrong.
Dorvillian on November 1, 2008 at 4:15 PM
Most libertarians are voting for McCain? That’s not what this article suggests…
http://www.reason.com/news/show/129640.html
MedSchoolCatholic on November 1, 2008 at 4:16 PM
I keep praying that there are still 10 righteous in our country and that the Lord will spare us from being delivered into the hands of one who has supported infanticide and supports those who covet other peoples’ possessions and are asking the state to steal those possessions for their benefit.
AZfederalist on November 1, 2008 at 4:17 PM
How does one have the same margin in ‘traditional’ and ‘expanded,’ when ‘expanded’ supposedly factors a larger percentage of Democrat turnout?
That alone should make this number highly suspect.
snickelfritz on November 1, 2008 at 4:17 PM
A majority of Americans are not stupid. We realize that the media is biased. Why do you think Palin consistently outdraws Obama and Biden combined? The only time Obama has gotten an extremely large crowd was when he was in Missouri recently and that was no accident seeing as though he was right next his own thug state of Illinois.
I think the reason Obama is not coming back here to Ohio is because he knows he can’t win Ohio. Obama’s crowds here in Ohio were absolutely pitiful compared to Palin’s.
MobileVideoEngineer on November 1, 2008 at 4:18 PM
You are really funny. I bet you are a dem. Reps are pumped up. I have never seen republicans this pumped up in a while. I live in Brookline, the heart of liberal-land in Boston, and I have noticed a big change in what is going on. I have met a couple McCain voters too…and people are enthused. Random people who you wouldn’t believe.
At a party yesterday, they actually didn’t want to say anything cus they assumed I was voting Obama as I’m a black guy. but after they make a couple of comments and I agreed with them, they pulled me aside. I told them I was on board, and we had a big laugh at all the liberals who thought we were with them…lol. They said they have many friends who just keep quiet, and not say anything.
That’s the MO of McCain supporters…keep quiet and not say anything, and shock the world. Let’s get out the vote on Tuesday, people. I know mine won’t count, cus I live in liberalland, but if there are this many McCain voters here, I know things are lokking up. McCain will get more than 45% of the vote in MA…mark my words. These people are undercounting McCain voters, cus they are just keeping quiet, or refusing to talk to pollsters.
Chudi on November 1, 2008 at 4:18 PM
He is not risking his credibility, he’s risking that of the pees with the Quinn and Rose show. Additionally, you can not verify your “I know McCain will win” either, so how about we cut the ’stop posting it’.
Spirit of 1776 on November 1, 2008 at 4:19 PM
Consider yourself lucky you have the resources to do so.
Dark-Star on November 1, 2008 at 4:20 PM
I didn’t get to read the entire story, but there was somebody else on here that you were wagering a departure from HA with. If that’s the case, don’t sign off until the arrangements are made.
jay12 on November 1, 2008 at 4:21 PM
Thankyou. I wanted to offer some encouragement/hope to those who may need it and who did not see my earlier post.
Also, I’m a she.
Marsh on November 1, 2008 at 4:22 PM
Did you ever work at a refinery, Marsh?
IrishEi on November 1, 2008 at 4:23 PM
Pardon my assumption, ma’am. You are doing fine.
Spirit of 1776 on November 1, 2008 at 4:25 PM
I’ll be sure to send you the driving directions to the Ruth’s Chris in Manhattan. Bring plenty of cash or an Amex card…I have a very healthy appetite.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 4:27 PM
Quinn made quite a fuss about Obama’s citizenship issue. Right or wrong, nothing has come of it. Quinn is a lot like Hannity. A lot of bark, no bite.
Speaking of Hannity, he turned me off when he failed to save Terry Schiavo, and suckered Rick Santorum into get involved. I’m convinced that Hannity cost Santorum his re-election bid, mainly over the Schiavo failure.
jay12 on November 1, 2008 at 4:28 PM
I apologize if I seemed overly harsh earlier. The information you were linking to is “iffy” at best and completely false at worst. Verification is critical at this stage. But I nevertheless applaud your effort. Welcome to the fight.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 4:29 PM
Nope.
Thank you again. :)
Marsh on November 1, 2008 at 4:30 PM
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 4:30 PM
1 point behind in California. And 22 points ahead in Pennsylvania.
Quinn’s numbers are nuts. It’s an alleged leak poll of an alleged GOP polling firm, which requests to remain anonymous.
Christoph on November 1, 2008 at 4:31 PM
Meh, more MSM propaganda to supress republican tournout, but I ain’t buying it and will be at the polls on Nov 4th to have my say by casting my vote for McCain/Palin!
Don’t give up and don’t buy into the MSM BS, the best way to give the middle finger to the in-the-tank MSM is to get out there and vote!
Liberty or Death on November 1, 2008 at 4:31 PM
I’d vote for Hillary over Obama
tomas on November 1, 2008 at 4:32 PM
The difference is that I have always been up front about my claim. The source claims that someone else claims that certain factual data exists. It looks terrific and certainly fills us with hope, but it could also be a planted story.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 4:32 PM
Oh well. I worked with a girl nicknamed Marsh (for marshmallow) some years ago.
IrishEi on November 1, 2008 at 4:32 PM
Your comment put a smile upon my face.
carbon_footprint on November 1, 2008 at 4:33 PM
She’s not running. The primary is over. Stop drinking.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 4:33 PM
Sean Hannity tried to save a woman’s life and this turned you off? Despicable. Because he pressured a politician to join the fight and it cost him politically? You are despicable.
Hannity is a good man. He would probably even fight for your life… even if it’s worth relatively less than Terry Schiavo in my opinion.
Christoph on November 1, 2008 at 4:33 PM
Folks, professional statisticians know with a whopping average
15%80% refusal-to-respond rate, these polls are utter crap!*
The Obamatons are motivated with religious zeal to answer the pollsters, to shout from the rooftops the coming of the Obamessiah, to evangelize and proselytize for The One.
*
Most normal Americans don’t want to be bothered by a pollster, especially in this very unique election season. Most are content to quietly express their will on election day, a will that very few dare to speak out loud.
*
Trust me, It’ll be McCain in a landslide. I have no doubts whatsoever.
Buck Farack on November 1, 2008 at 4:33 PM
Please don’t go there. The Schiavo story was a fiasco from the very begining.
If McCain is only 1 point behind in California that means we are witnesing the end of time. repent yourself, the second coming is here.
Don’t buy it. I live in California.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 4:34 PM
I’ll drink to that, Buck.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 4:35 PM
Anyone else listening to Biden on FOX telling us all how horrible America is? My God these people are sickening.
IrishEi on November 1, 2008 at 4:35 PM
Nope. I have to remain at my post and buck up morale around this place. If I leave for a few hours and return, there are always three or four HotAirHeads out on the ledge and then I have to talk them back into the building.
ManlyRash on November 1, 2008 at 4:37 PM
Well, that’s a wonderful standard of proof.
Allahpundit, thank God for providing some sanity. Yes, I think Ed is probably closer in his actual prediction (2% win McCain given an hour ago) compared to Allahpundit’s whatever it is (18 point loss — just kidding! — I have no idea what will be).
But Allahpundit called 2006 right when I was one of the optimists lampooning him for pessimism.
Christoph on November 1, 2008 at 4:37 PM
If McCain loses, I’ll be happy that Palin can finally dissociate herself from him and his advisers. McCain-type Republicans and the neocons who surround them are a cancer to conservatism.
MedSchoolCatholic on November 1, 2008 at 4:38 PM
Personally I not all that sure that McCain is going to win. I picked wins popular vote loses electorial vote on the HA poll but I’m even worried that massive voter fraud may tip the popular vote to Obama.
Buzzy on November 1, 2008 at 4:38 PM
No, I don’t listen to Fox. I have a cd with Norma. Better stuff. Obama made me mad yestarday whn he said that people that don’t agree with his socialistic plans are selfish.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 4:38 PM
Your objection is irrelevant. I don’t mean to be rude, so don’t read this in that manner.
But your comments are mere propaganda. If you repeat it enough, maybe people believe you – or more likely just appreciate the optimistic outlook. You could be a plant to fill people with hope. To say one is acceptable and the other is not is unjust, and coming from you is a tad hypocritical. Regardless, I don’t care at all if you take issue with the substance, but please don’t stifle participation. That’s not how HA rolls.
What she posted is something someone said on the radio. Americans aren’t stupid (says Tito the Builder), they can surely process the information along with the NYTCBS numbers.
Spirit of 1776 on November 1, 2008 at 4:38 PM
Cheney endorses McCain with 3 days to go.
What an amazing vote of confidence.
No, wait – panicked pant-sh*tting – that’s what it is.
Panicked pants-sh*tting.
Dave Rywall on November 1, 2008 at 4:40 PM
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 4:41 PM
Keep it up. You will drive a few of the anti-mccain conservatives here to the polls.
phronesis on November 1, 2008 at 4:42 PM
Today is not 2006. The Dems got their chance at power and failed miserably. I do not think this will be lost on the average American voter. The Republicans do not have any power right now except for the Presidency and McCain has distanced himself from Bush pretty well.
Allah is a moron. I wasn’t able to post in 2006 and I don’t remember a whole lot about what was said here, but I repeat, this is not 2006.
MobileVideoEngineer on November 1, 2008 at 4:42 PM
Sorry, OT, but… can she do this ??
http://tinyurl.com/5j338n
pambi on November 1, 2008 at 4:43 PM
Hannity didn’t turn me off because he fought to save Schiavo, he turned me off because he FAILED to save Schiavo.
jay12 on November 1, 2008 at 4:43 PM
Obama is an inflated two-faced weasel.
(I’m pretty sure the Ripley’s Believe It Or Not Museum in St. Augustine had a stuffed version of one, once, but I think moths got it.)
May the moths of information wear enough holes Barry’s campaign to send it crashing by Tuesday.
McCain will plug on, steadily, so the turning point must be Barack coming apart.
Keep poking holes in his “credibility” with every indecisive person you know.
Each changed mind is another thread in the fabric of a preserved Republic.
NOBAMA!
No crypto-Marxists!
profitsbeard on November 1, 2008 at 4:44 PM
Keep it up. You will drive a few of the anti-mccain conservatives here to the polls.
phronesis on November 1, 2008 at 4:42 PM
——
Ha ha. I would expect that 100% of visitors to Hotair vote. 0% for Obama so woopdee doo.
Independents hate Cheney’s guts, so to dust him off with 3 days to go means McCain is worried about losing the base. This will backfire and actually help Obama.
He’s already got Palin running around doing rallies with no McCain signs at them. The situation is truly critical for Old Spice.
Dave Rywall on November 1, 2008 at 4:46 PM
Hi Dave, fulfilling a promise:
Spirit of 1776 on November 1, 2008 at 4:47 PM
Anyone need a better reminder to vote than this?
If Osama Obama wins, sacrifice becomes waste. We must not let our military down.
A Republic becomes a totalitarian Marxist state. Victory becomes surrender.
MrScribbler on November 1, 2008 at 4:47 PM
And it’ll be five tomorrow…or three…or fifty-three. We all know the books are cooked here, so…screw the polls. Just go out and vote and hope and pray that enough people didn’t drink the Obama roofie-laced brewskis.
Matt Helm on November 1, 2008 at 4:47 PM
Dave:
Go home, you are not even a citizen, you can not even vote. You are just some mouthy little Canuck who can not mind his own damn business.
I am an American. I pay taxes to by county, state and federal government, here in America…you do not. I have relatives who fought in every American war {including the Revolution} and served in every branch of the US military…you have not. I am an American, you are not. Unless of course you have been lying about that. So why don’t you go bother some Romanians or Egyptians or Poles or something and leave us alone?
Terrye on November 1, 2008 at 4:48 PM
not just a dumb troll, but a really classy one
yesterday it was calling us ‘dipsh+ts’ so it should be known from now on as “Dipsh+t Drywall”–and be banned
Janos Hunyadi on November 1, 2008 at 4:49 PM
Why don’t you worry about your own country and STFU about ours?
We have enough losers and surrender monkeys here without having to put up with the “imports….”
MrScribbler on November 1, 2008 at 4:50 PM
Hannity didn’t turn me off because he fought to save
Okay, I apologize.
However, how is this Hannity’s fault? Many people tried to save Schiavo. They failed.
Christoph on November 1, 2008 at 4:50 PM
And no Independents do not hate Cheney’s guts. The only people most Independents really hate are mouthy backstabbing little foreigners who kill Americans, bother Americans and harass Americans.
Terrye on November 1, 2008 at 4:51 PM
What would you have wanted to be saved:a woman that was practically in a vegetative state? Ask yourself:would you like to live like this?
It was sad that the Congress tried to intervine in a domestic problem.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 4:52 PM
Don’t be so sure. ACORN probably registered him 50 times.
Disturb the Universe on November 1, 2008 at 4:52 PM
Go over to Wizbangblog.com and read DJ Drummond’s excellent analysis of the polls in his archives. The last two weeks have been enlightening and has kept my BP down. McCain is doing better than these polls would let you believe!
sheriff246 on November 1, 2008 at 4:54 PM
I don’t know who will win. I make no predictions. But one thing is for sure, the polls have been so volatile that someone will have to be wrong.
And even if Obama wins, there will be another election in not so long. And since so many of his people are expecting all sorts of free stuff, they may very well be disillusioned by the next go around.
I talked to a woman the other day who is expecting, cheap gas, free health care and lots of high paying factory jobs. I told her that I had my doubts that any of that would ever happen no matter who wins.
Terrye on November 1, 2008 at 4:54 PM
Dave:
Go home, you are not even a citizen, you can not even vote. You are just some mouthy little Canuck who can not mind his own damn business.
I am an American. I pay taxes to by county, state and federal government, here in America…you do not. I have relatives who fought in every American war {including the Revolution} and served in every branch of the US military…you have not. I am an American, you are not. Unless of course you have been lying about that. So why don’t you go bother some Romanians or Egyptians or Poles or something and leave us alone?
Terrye on November 1, 2008 at 4:48 PM
——–
Your claims of ancestors building America or bl*wing Caesar Rodney are entirely irrelevant: you’re an anonymous poster on an anonymous web board.
Dave Rywall on November 1, 2008 at 4:54 PM
Some polls have Obama easily winning states 51-57. I don’t think I should bother voting with that kind of support for The Obama out there.
aikidoka on November 1, 2008 at 4:55 PM
Also remember that hillbuzz post by “sarah”–the use of psy-ops by the Obamamistas to demoralize and dispirit the opposition by manipulating the polls. DON’T BUY IT! The only poll that counts is on Nov. 4–so show up and bring a friend or 10 or 20 or however many you can.
Matt Helm on November 1, 2008 at 4:56 PM
aikidoka on November 1, 2008 at 4:55 PM
Nice try. Now get lost, idiot.
IrishEi on November 1, 2008 at 4:57 PM
I think it was CG. The prop looked fake when the plane stopped.
csdeven on November 1, 2008 at 4:58 PM
Dave:
And you are an a**hole.
Terrye on November 1, 2008 at 4:58 PM
Heh.
Yeah, it’s going to be difficult for McCain to overcome those electoral votes! McCain may come in at 270+, but with the 114 electoral votes from those states for Obama, ouch!
Spirit of 1776 on November 1, 2008 at 4:58 PM
As Candide would say, “It is time for you to go tend your garden,” while we tend to ours. “You have been sat too long here for any good you have been doing. Depart, I say, and let us have done with you. In the name of God, go!.”
Matt Helm on November 1, 2008 at 5:00 PM
Just a couple more days of reading this idiots posts…after the election, he will be gone.
So I ask you, how much is Obama campaign paying you, what do you get for posting?
And if you are not paid, doesn’t that piss you off that others are getting paid for doing what you are.
But then, what amount of money would it take to for someone like you to be humiliated, embarrassed, ridiculed, and just generally made fun of.
You are a foolish person to think that anyone posting here can’t see that you are just a poor pathetic, liberal kid, trying to make a buck.
Just a couple more days of your posting, then you will be gone…good riddance fool.
right2bright on November 1, 2008 at 5:00 PM
I looked at the electoral map by Rasmussen and it doesn’t look good for McCain. He has locked up only 160 electoral votes with Virginia and Colorado solid blue and obama at 5 points distance in Arizona.
On the other hand Zgoby’s poll is up again on Drudge. It’s really crazy.
clemycali on November 1, 2008 at 5:02 PM
Dave is just a moron, come election day he will be sitting there with one hand in his pants and another in a bowl of popcorn, drooling and twitching and muttering to himself.
Terrye on November 1, 2008 at 5:03 PM
As are you, and as far as being Canadian. I have seen some of your answers from Canadians that quiz you…they doubt you are even Canadian.
Not even a good try, you little scumbag…worthless liberal (is that redundant, I think it is).
right2bright on November 1, 2008 at 5:04 PM
brilliant insight, Dipsh+t Dave: you are as anonymous as everyone else, but as a bonus, you’re a fake and an a++hole
John J. Bradley ( not anonymous ) posting here as…..
Janos Hunyadi on November 1, 2008 at 5:04 PM
The state polls have always seemed to lag by a week, so i think that they are probably useless this close to the election.
phronesis on November 1, 2008 at 5:05 PM
Yep. He’ll implore the masses to “resist the urge to violence”. And that will be the code phrase to begin rioting.
csdeven on November 1, 2008 at 5:05 PM
clemycali:
No one as actually locked up any electoral votes until we do vote. These are just projections. Something I have noticed is that if you look at electoral projections, there is almost as much volatility there as in the other polls. I do not doubt that Obama is ahead in all these projections. The thing is it will all depend on who actually votes. And I am just not sure how that will turn out.
This has been a weird election.
Terrye on November 1, 2008 at 5:05 PM
I was polled in 1992. The questions were very biased toward democrats. When I pointed this out citing academic research methods, and did not give the correct answers, the polster hung up on me.
Right_of_Attila on November 1, 2008 at 5:06 PM
With 9% not decided, what poll could be accurate…but if they can’t decide on Obama, when they walk into the booth, they will always vote for the status quo, they will vote for McCain the known entity.
Remember, if Obama did win, and fill out his term, that 4 years will be the longest he ever held a job…amazing.
right2bright on November 1, 2008 at 5:06 PM
Janos:
He is a Canadian too, which means unlike me he can not legally vote.
Terrye on November 1, 2008 at 5:07 PM
DRywall, how much is O paying you per hour to invade this site?
either orr on November 1, 2008 at 5:07 PM
Admit it, gang… these WILD polls only exsist to offer claims of
‘foul play’ once our McPalin ticket wins.
“That can’t be !! All the polls said … !! RECOUNT !!”
pambi on November 1, 2008 at 5:09 PM
I predict this is Gallup’s last attempt to demoralize us. Look for their poll to tighten in the next 3 days so they won’t be completely embarrassed when McCain wins. Sat, Sun, and Mon, the poll will get down within the margin of error so they can say they were correct no matter who wins.
ZzzzDad on November 1, 2008 at 5:09 PM
“GULP!”
Oh noes.
Jesus. Take a deep breath, faggit.
Muledriver on November 1, 2008 at 5:11 PM
either orr on November 1, 2008 at 5:07 PM
Pay the troll no attention, he has nothing nice to say about Canada either.
N4646W on November 1, 2008 at 5:11 PM
Look…unless things have changed drastically, the early voter turnouts aren’t swinging Obama’s way. The voters he has been counting on are turning out in about the same–or in even less numbers–for early voting as they did last time. Republicans are turning out in equal or near equal numbers to Democrats, and not every single Democrat is going to be voting for Obama. These pollsters have all been bought and paid for by Obama–all. The reason why you’re seeing this big Gallup number is that the Obama people are trying to restore that aura of inevitability and invulnerability they have been carefully cultivating. Don’t believe it! 80% non-responses…wildly skewed poll weighting…bought and paid for pollsters who are ideologically in tune with Obama to begin with.
The only poll–national and state–that matters is the one on November 4. Just do what you can to get others to vote for McCain and remember to respond to that poll on November 4 and leave the rest to God’s hands. That’s all any of us can do in the end.
Matt Helm on November 1, 2008 at 5:12 PM
Whatever nationality I am, at least I know who the Canadian Prime Minister is. Palin doesn’t.
Dave Rywall on November 1, 2008 at 5:12 PM
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