Will bin Laden cut a commercial for this election?

posted at 5:00 pm on October 30, 2008 by Ed Morrissey

The US government expects Osama bin Laden to publish some kind of message in the next few days in order to prove two points: he’s relevant, and he’s still alive.  Both have come into question thanks to an improvement in American effectiveness at silencing al-Qaeda propaganda efforts and attacking senior Taliban/AQ leadership in Pakistan.  One counterterrorist source says the terrorist have had a “bad month”:

Multiple senior government officials tell ABC News the intelligence community is anticipating a message from Osama bin Laden before or just after the presidential election.

As we race toward Election Day, sources say a number of intelligence analysts have concluded it is critical for al Qaeda’s top leader to be seen or heard, if only for public relations purposes. Those analysts believe that if bin Laden is not heard from, he runs the risk of being considered irrelevant or impotent. The U.S. intelligence community has some indication that there is some confusion among Islamic radicals about their leadership.

According to sources, the full weight of the intelligence electronic eavesdropping and human sourcing is right now desperately looking for any hint of a bin Laden statement. So far there is only rumor, no hard evidence a message is coming, officials said.

This sets up an interesting conundrum.  In 2004, John Kerry blamed his narrow defeat at the hands of George W. Bush on the emergence of the OBL tape that reminded everyone that the world remains a dangerous place.  If the tape emerges this time, it could have the same effect as in 2004.  If counterterrorist forces succeed in blocking the tape, the success may benefit the candidate who has spent the most time complaining about the failures of the war effort.

I don’t think Kerry lost because Osama spoke in late 2004, and I don’t think an Osama message would doom Obama, either.  Americans know that bin Laden and his merry crew of homicidal lunatics still live in the Pakistani hinterlands, although thanks to a stepped-up effort from US forces in Afghanistan, fewer and fewer of them will live much longer.  Even the militant jihadis won’t get terribly impressed with Osama’s ability to keep breathing, since AQ has done almost nothing else of late.

The American victory in Iraq made Osama bin Laden irrelevant.  His defeat there proved that OBL was no divine prophet, but merely a nutcase with lots of money and poor taste in picking commanders.  When he breathes his last, few will mourn and even fewer will care.


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OBL was no divine prophet, but merely a nutcase with lots of money and poor taste in picking commanders.

Sounds like Obama!

lorien1973 on October 30, 2008 at 5:02 PM

Hit drudge

blatantblue on October 30, 2008 at 5:02 PM

Zombie JFK, Zombie bin Laden…. How many more Mr. Speaker, How Many More?

BKennedy on October 30, 2008 at 5:03 PM

I thought he was on the A list Obama endorsement video earlier…

Vashta.Nerada on October 30, 2008 at 5:04 PM

If the tape emerges this time, it could have the same effect as in 2004. If counterterrorist forces succeed in blocking the tape, the success may benefit the candidate who has spent the most time complaining about the failures of the war effort.

*channeling a moonbat*

Chimpy McBushitler will make sure that Halliburton leaves the channels open. The tape will come through, thanks to the Bush-Cheney-Rove Axis of Fascism. Game over, man. Game farking over. Auuuuuughhhhhhhhhhhhhhh………

ManlyRash on October 30, 2008 at 5:05 PM

Everytime they say he’s dead…he pops up somewhere. It wouldn’t surprise me.

lodge on October 30, 2008 at 5:05 PM

“Trick or Treat”

bloggless on October 30, 2008 at 5:06 PM

LOL, Clinton stumping for McCain again. “When the crisis hit, Barack got on the phone to ask people what to do”

lodge on October 30, 2008 at 5:09 PM

If no tape emerges, it could prove the efforts to kill him have been effective.

ballz2wallz on October 30, 2008 at 5:09 PM

WEEKEND AT BERNIE’S IV

seejanemom on October 30, 2008 at 5:09 PM

“The American victory in Iraq made Osama bin Laden irrelevant. His defeat there proved that OBL was no divine prophet, but merely a nutcase with lots of money and poor taste in picking commanders.”

Unfortunately, you can’t convince the traitorous “Democrats” of that, and Barak HUSSEIN Obama (PBUH)(SWT)(SAW) will still surrender in Iraq, if elected.

It will be the first surrender in history, that ocurred AFTER the War was won!

Dale in Atlanta on October 30, 2008 at 5:10 PM

BREAKING:

BIN LADEN RELEASES NEW COMMERCIAL

Tacitus_SGL on October 30, 2008 at 5:11 PM

OBL was no divine prophet, but merely a nutcase with lots of money and poor taste in picking commanders.
Sounds like Obama!

lorien1973 on October 30, 2008 at 5:02 PM

LOL!

tru2tx on October 30, 2008 at 5:14 PM

In 2004, John Kerry blamed his narrow defeat at the hands of George W. Bush on the emergence of the OBL tape that reminded everyone that the world remains a dangerous place. If the tape emerges this time, it could have the same effect as in 2004.

There was also the Beslan hostage situation right before the 2004 election. That may have had some effect.

His defeat there proved that OBL was no divine prophet

He never claimed to be a divine prophet, only the follower of a divine prophet and sure enough Al-Qaeda’s actions were grounded in the traditional sources of Islamic theology: the Koran and the teachings of Mohammed.

aengus on October 30, 2008 at 5:15 PM

I’m really starting to miss the old boy.

There’s nothing funnier than some greying, demented dunderhead, stinking of cave-mildew and rat shit, filming himself on a rent-a-phone with dwindling islamo-minutes, shaking his fists at the world and promising to destroy us.

Really. It’s hilarious.

LimeyGeek on October 30, 2008 at 5:16 PM

WEEKEND AT BERNIE’S IV

seejanemom on October 30, 2008 at 5:09 PM

OMG LMAO!!

*eats*

Grue in the Attic on October 30, 2008 at 5:18 PM

ManlyRash on October 30, 2008 at 5:05 PM

*fake war-movie German accent*

You speak Moonbat very well, my friend.

A little too well, perhaps…?

MrScribbler on October 30, 2008 at 5:18 PM

This post makes it sound like bin ladin was in Iraq.

Xolom on October 30, 2008 at 5:18 PM

If Rove is still a Magnificent Bastard, then yes.

thirteen28 on October 30, 2008 at 5:19 PM

I am Osama bin-Laden and I apprrrrrove this message. Samalamadingdong!

Tzetzes on October 30, 2008 at 5:21 PM

An OBL communication would of course help McCain. Some Americans would be reminded that the world is dangerous and the Light Worker ain’t the guy to keep us safe.

Sugar Land on October 30, 2008 at 5:28 PM

I Double Dawg Dare you to Osama…

Kaptain Amerika on October 30, 2008 at 5:31 PM

I saw over at Wizbang that there was some sort of message from Al Qaida asking that Bush and his party be humiliated. Praise Allah and all that crap.

These people are sooooo crazy.

Terrye on October 30, 2008 at 5:31 PM

MrScribbler on October 30, 2008 at 5:18 PM

LMAO

ManlyRash on October 30, 2008 at 5:31 PM

An OBL communication would of course help McCain. Some Americans would be reminded that the world is dangerous and the Light Worker ain’t the guy to keep us safe.

Sugar Land on October 30, 2008 at 5:28 PM

Which is why it will not happen before November 5th.

Les in NC on October 30, 2008 at 5:32 PM

Time for W to roll out Osama in the “Hannibal Lecter restraint“.

omnipotent on October 30, 2008 at 5:32 PM

Couple of you guys beat me to it.

Nonetheless:

Will bin Laden cut a commercial for this election?

Only if they do a Zombie Osama, like they did Zombie Kennedy as posted here earlier today.

He is long dead, despite the desire of so many diverse people to keep him alive to further their various agenda.

LegendHasIt on October 30, 2008 at 5:32 PM

Those analysts believe that if bin Laden is not heard from, he runs the risk of being considered irrelevant or impotent.

Or dead.

Attila (Pillage Idiot) on October 30, 2008 at 5:36 PM

Which makes “Bush-Republicans” look worse: on video, or a video testifying to the impuissance of OBL and/or reminding everyone why Obama can’t be commander in chief?

ParisParamus on October 30, 2008 at 5:40 PM

I doubt Osama has time to make a commercial this year.
He has to wash his camel,
Clean the cave,
oh yeah, and on top of all the prayers,
He has to plan the six month disaster that Joe “the idiot” eluded to.
Palin will also put a bee in his bonnet when she is elected VP.

HornetSting on October 30, 2008 at 5:44 PM

I’m tired of all the MSM talking heads worrying about stupid Bin Laden tapes. Who gives a crap?

Speedwagon82 on October 30, 2008 at 6:27 PM

I hope he does a half-hour special…just as long as he doesn’t bump any NFL games.

Grafted on October 30, 2008 at 6:48 PM

1. I shouted with glee the day my President said OBL was irrelevant.

2. I pray everyday to defeat the terrorists.

3. Kerry lost because he’s a Creep with a capital C.

Domino on October 30, 2008 at 6:54 PM

He’ll autograph a Koran for Obama.

profitsbeard on October 30, 2008 at 7:00 PM

Palin will also put a bee in his bonnet when she is elected VP.

HornetSting on October 30, 2008 at 5:44 PM

LMAO

There’s room for a whole hive in there.

*eats*

Grue in the Attic on October 30, 2008 at 7:10 PM

Lots of dead people will be voting this election here in the US. Why shouldn’t a dead guy in Pakistan be making a commercial?

trigon on October 30, 2008 at 9:19 PM

Those analysts believe that if bin Laden is not heard from, he runs the risk of being considered irrelevant or impotent.

I reckon if I’d been stuck in a cave for years, my wiener would be on the fritz too….

LimeyGeek on October 31, 2008 at 10:29 AM