rightwingprof on October 23, 2008 at 11:39 AM

Are you at Penn State? Former Boilermaker here in SoCal, but we’re rooting for Joe Pa and the Lions all the way this year!

It’s a longshot, but any shot is a shot worth taking now. Reassuring burst of sunlight through the clouds? Or heartbreaking psy op by the demon media aimed at lifting conservatives’ spirits, the better to crush them later?

Actually, I find myself really surprised by the fact that the media isn’t trying to claim that the race is tighter than it is. Usually, the media likes having a real dog fight all the way to election day because it drives viewership and readership. If you start saying it’s a blowout, people stop watching. This time, I think they’re so dead-set in favor of an Obama victory that they’re just going to hook it up.

I heard that something like 70% of the kids in Pittsburg schools drop out before graduating. Sounds like Obama country to me.

NC will not flip. The county I live in is a great example.

Drunken Angry Clown on October 22, 2008 at 9:46 PM

I hope you are right. I believe most NC counties will stay red, but I don’t think that’s the case with Wake and Mecklenburg were a big chunk of the population lives.
The 29% black is very likely almost all Obama, if the rest is anything close to 50/50 you have the 2-1 ratio I have been hearing banded about. I am very much hoping you are right, but I don’t know how these numbers translate into a McCain victory here.

Newt? Rudy? Zombie Reagan? Bueller?

I was thinking zombie Reagan right off the bat. We’re on the same page. That or Mechanizing the Lincoln statue in the memorial and someone speaking through him from inside the head.

If it worked on Pinky and the Brain, it can work for us!

NC will not flip. The county I live in is a great example. In the 2004 election there was a ratio of 3 democrats to 1 republican and the county still went for Bush. When registration closed for this election cycle, the ratio is now evenly split between democrats and republicans with a remaining 20% registered as ‘unaffiliated’ (aka Independent). A much more favorable mix for the GOP. On November 5th there are going to be a whole hell of a lot of pundits and pollsters trying to figure out just what the fark happened. McCain will be the next president elect.

Drunken Angry Clown on October 22, 2008 at 9:46 PM

Remember how people thought the Dems had a chance with NC in 2004 because of Edwards?

I definitely agree with you. I will also place Hannity, Fox & Friends (the weekday bunch), and Gutfeld on that last. They really need to replace a lot of people in that network starting with the “All Star Panel”.

jencab on October 22, 2008 at 8:30 PM

I’ve been hard on Hannity, but I am really appreciating his efforts to balance out the constant stream of negativity that most of the media is spewing. I like Hannity better when he’s by himself. I find Colmes to be so annoying — like a petulant pre-teen, both intellectually and emotionally — that I have a really hard time watching H&C. I rarely do.

Who’s Gutfeld?

Brit is probably the best anchorman there is. And I loved it when he locked horns with Juan on Fox News Sunday with the late Tonny Snow. I don’t know if they still do, I haven’t watched FNS (or much TV) in a long time.

neuquenguy on October 22, 2008 at 8:30 PM

I miss Tony Snow. He was terrific.

I’m not usually blind to what liberals think, but I have to say I was really shocked to discover (during Tony’s last days and following his death) that a lot of them really hated him. I remember being taken aback by the casual way my work colleagues (university) so off-handedly made vicious remarks about him as he was nearing the end. I thought he was great, both as a journalist and as a press secretary.

God bless him.

neuquenguy on October 22, 2008 at 7:25 PM

I’m not aware of any voting results from the early voting here in NC… just the overall number of early votes. Yeah almost 500,000 votes so far… so? No way of knowing who they were for. Just the break out of the voting blocks.

481,467 total votes cast
138,633 black (29%)
324,398 white (67%)

NC will not flip. The county I live in is a great example. In the 2004 election there was a ratio of 3 democrats to 1 republican and the county still went for Bush. When registration closed for this election cycle, the ratio is now evenly split between democrats and republicans with a remaining 20% registered as ‘unaffiliated’ (aka Independent). A much more favorable mix for the GOP. On November 5th there are going to be a whole hell of a lot of pundits and pollsters trying to figure out just what the fark happened. McCain will be the next president elect.

Surely Pa. will come around. After all, they are intelligent peop….. Oh wait. They have voted Murtha into office about a hundred times.

Never mind.

Star20 on October 22, 2008 at 6:52 PM

Hey, that’s Johnstown – one congressional district in PA. Don’t judge the rest of PA by one area. Send Sen. McCain, Gov. Palin, Todd Palin, Rudy Giuliani, and other moderates into PA. If there are other surrogates that are known as hunters and pro-gun rights folks – send them too. Send the Democrats for McCain and high profile PUMAs. Let Fred Thompson and some of the other southern folks go to Virginia and North Carolina.

I’m not sure McCain can win PA because it’s become a much bluer state, but he has crossover appeal to independents and Democrats that George W. Bush didn’t. Plus the gun rights issue is a serious one in this state. The first day of deer season is an unofficial state holiday. Obama may or may not do better than Kerry in Phila., but he’s unlikely to do as well in Pittsburgh. Kerry’s second wife, Teresa Heinz-Kerry was still fondly regarded in the Pittsburgh area as the widow of a highly-regarded GOP senator from Pittsburgh. Kerry was soft on gun rights, but he didn’t have the history of anti-gun votes that Obama has.

Or heartbreaking psy op by the demon media aimed at lifting conservatives’ spirits, the better to crush them later?

One tequila,
Two tequila,
Three tequila,
Floor!

The bigger factor overall, however, is that journalists are like most people, only more so. They tend to get locked into certain narratives, and it takes big events to shake them.

Krauthammer got locked into skepticism about Palin, and he has also had difficulty getting budged from the idea that Obama has a mesmeric hold on the populace. Hume is locked into the notion that the financial crisis was a devastating blow to the McCain campaign. He likes to say you couldn’t have planned worse news for McCain except maybe by moving the blow-up even closer to the election. I suspect they’d have to be be hit by either a truly major event working against Obama-Biden and/or by major, trusted opinion polls showing McCain-Palin leads. JtP and Biden’s 6-Months-To-Armageddon comment won’t qualify until and unless the the poll leads show up.

We all need to donate to the close congressional races, too. I have been pumping money into the Russell campaign to unseat that pig Murtha. I think it has been a good investment. I also donated to a nearby Michigan race that the DNCC has flooded with lies in ads about the freshman incumbent. I live in a safe R congressional district, so I am trying to target my donations to hold back the Pelosi/Reid/Obama sunami. We all need to dig deep.

*swills beer*

Good analysis…I think Cavuto may be the most decent and intellectually honest person on TV…

Palin is no drag on the ticket…would it be closer if McCain picked Pawlenty?

I have no buyer’s remorse with Sarah…just the opposite. Elite’s don’t get her. Plain and simple…I believe most Americans do…if McCain wins, its because of her.