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	<title>Comments on: Video: Romney aide says McCain closes well</title>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Queen0fCups</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1528097</link>
		<dc:creator>Queen0fCups</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Oct 2008 02:35:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1528097</guid>
		<description>The so-called conservative pundits, just need to sound relevant.

Let John McCain be John McCain. I wish he were more aggressive, but that is not who he is.

As Rush said today, there are no independent voters. Anyone who says they are an independent is a Democrat in waiting - how can one not know what their core values are?

i think the polls are skewed because of the aggressive voter registrations from Acorn showing an incorrect number of registered Democrats - and I think we know how many of those are false.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The so-called conservative pundits, just need to sound relevant.</p>
<p>Let John McCain be John McCain. I wish he were more aggressive, but that is not who he is.</p>
<p>As Rush said today, there are no independent voters. Anyone who says they are an independent is a Democrat in waiting &#8211; how can one not know what their core values are?</p>
<p>i think the polls are skewed because of the aggressive voter registrations from Acorn showing an incorrect number of registered Democrats &#8211; and I think we know how many of those are false.</p>
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		<title>By: Queen0fCups</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1528086</link>
		<dc:creator>Queen0fCups</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Oct 2008 02:32:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1528086</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;When God puts the hammer down on a county He judges the just right alongside the unjust and everybody suffers. I hope we’re not about to fall under His judgment. That would not be fun&lt;/blockquote&gt;

and if Obama wins, that is exactly how I will view it.

The Mills of God.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>When God puts the hammer down on a county He judges the just right alongside the unjust and everybody suffers. I hope we’re not about to fall under His judgment. That would not be fun</p></blockquote>
<p>and if Obama wins, that is exactly how I will view it.</p>
<p>The Mills of God.</p>
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		<title>By: Queen0fCups</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1528081</link>
		<dc:creator>Queen0fCups</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Oct 2008 02:31:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1528081</guid>
		<description>People don&#039;t stay home and cry because they are demoralized - people stay home because they are mad and want to send a message to their party - like they did in 2006.

I think people are pretty motivated, and ticked off majorly with Obama&#039;s Chicago Way.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>People don&#8217;t stay home and cry because they are demoralized &#8211; people stay home because they are mad and want to send a message to their party &#8211; like they did in 2006.</p>
<p>I think people are pretty motivated, and ticked off majorly with Obama&#8217;s Chicago Way.</p>
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		<title>By: Mojave Mark</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1527937</link>
		<dc:creator>Mojave Mark</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Oct 2008 01:55:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1527937</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;I am confident McCain will win. jencab on October 14, 2008 at 11:02 AM&lt;/blockquote&gt;From your mouth to God&#039;s ears.

When God puts the hammer down on a county He judges the just right alongside the unjust and everybody suffers. I hope we&#039;re not about to fall under His judgment. That would not be fun.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I am confident McCain will win. jencab on October 14, 2008 at 11:02 AM</p></blockquote>
<p>From your mouth to God&#8217;s ears.</p>
<p>When God puts the hammer down on a county He judges the just right alongside the unjust and everybody suffers. I hope we&#8217;re not about to fall under His judgment. That would not be fun.</p>
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		<title>By: Liberty or Death</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1526798</link>
		<dc:creator>Liberty or Death</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 21:22:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1526798</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;jencab on October 14, 2008 at 11:02 AM&lt;/blockquote&gt;

You&#039;re exactly right jencab!  I keep saying this to all I know that are getting depressed over the polls and are thinking of not voting because they think Obama has already won.

This is excatly the result the Obama campaign is hoping for, by using their in-the-tank media shills they are trying to discourage the right, independants, and undecided&#039;s from going to the polls by convincing them Obama has already won and there is no hope!

Every vote counts and we need a strong turnout on Nov 4th, something the left is hoping to suppress with their biased polls, so show them (the media, lefties, et al) that we will not fall for their transparent tactics by getting out there and vote!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>jencab on October 14, 2008 at 11:02 AM</p></blockquote>
<p>You&#8217;re exactly right jencab!  I keep saying this to all I know that are getting depressed over the polls and are thinking of not voting because they think Obama has already won.</p>
<p>This is excatly the result the Obama campaign is hoping for, by using their in-the-tank media shills they are trying to discourage the right, independants, and undecided&#8217;s from going to the polls by convincing them Obama has already won and there is no hope!</p>
<p>Every vote counts and we need a strong turnout on Nov 4th, something the left is hoping to suppress with their biased polls, so show them (the media, lefties, et al) that we will not fall for their transparent tactics by getting out there and vote!</p>
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		<title>By: Shelby</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1526212</link>
		<dc:creator>Shelby</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 19:15:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1526212</guid>
		<description>Thanks Bill Kristol--&lt;strong&gt;NOT!&lt;/strong&gt; Apparently you are the genius that pushed McCain into choosing the incompetent Palin as his running mate! Now little Billy is telling McCain to fire his staff!

Kristol, you are a pathetic loser!!!


Palin&#039;s Talent Scout
Oct. 10, 2008
by Scott Horton

&quot;No wonder Bill Kristol has remained so positive about her while other neocons have fled. He helped push her to the veep ticket-and won out against Karl Rove.&quot;

More:
http://www.opednews.com/articles/Palin-s-Talent-Scout-by-Scott-Horton-081010-701.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks Bill Kristol&#8211;<strong>NOT!</strong> Apparently you are the genius that pushed McCain into choosing the incompetent Palin as his running mate! Now little Billy is telling McCain to fire his staff!</p>
<p>Kristol, you are a pathetic loser!!!</p>
<p>Palin&#8217;s Talent Scout<br />
Oct. 10, 2008<br />
by Scott Horton</p>
<p>&#8220;No wonder Bill Kristol has remained so positive about her while other neocons have fled. He helped push her to the veep ticket-and won out against Karl Rove.&#8221;</p>
<p>More:<br />
<a href="http://www.opednews.com/articles/Palin-s-Talent-Scout-by-Scott-Horton-081010-701.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.opednews.com/articles/Palin-s-Talent-Scout-by-Scott-Horton-081010-701.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: Shelby</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1526185</link>
		<dc:creator>Shelby</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 19:10:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1526185</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Hank William Jr. singing for McCain/Palin.

That isn’t a big suprize and he has a place up in Montana.

http://sarah-palin-2008.blogspot.com/2008/10/httpwww.html

Dr Evil on October 14, 2008 at 1:25 PM&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Speaking of songs, here&#039;s one for you:

&lt;strong&gt;BARRACUDA LADY&lt;/strong&gt;

&lt;em&gt;John McCain
Can you explain
Why you chose Sarah Palin?
A move so bold,
But you are old
And now your health is failin’.

When you are gone
A &quot;hockey mom&quot;
Is going to head our nation!
From what we’ve seen
This beauty queen
Will lead to devastation.

PTA?
Just no way…
Short time in office spent.
Barracuda lady,
Scandals, shady,
For our Vice President?

No thank you, sir!
We’re not for her.
We love our country so.
We’ll stand and fight
For what is right!&lt;/em&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Hank William Jr. singing for McCain/Palin.</p>
<p>That isn’t a big suprize and he has a place up in Montana.</p>
<p><a href="http://sarah-palin-2008.blogspot.com/2008/10/httpwww.html" rel="nofollow">http://sarah-palin-2008.blogspot.com/2008/10/httpwww.html</a></p>
<p>Dr Evil on October 14, 2008 at 1:25 PM</p></blockquote>
<p>Speaking of songs, here&#8217;s one for you:</p>
<p><strong>BARRACUDA LADY</strong></p>
<p><em>John McCain<br />
Can you explain<br />
Why you chose Sarah Palin?<br />
A move so bold,<br />
But you are old<br />
And now your health is failin’.</p>
<p>When you are gone<br />
A &#8220;hockey mom&#8221;<br />
Is going to head our nation!<br />
From what we’ve seen<br />
This beauty queen<br />
Will lead to devastation.</p>
<p>PTA?<br />
Just no way…<br />
Short time in office spent.<br />
Barracuda lady,<br />
Scandals, shady,<br />
For our Vice President?</p>
<p>No thank you, sir!<br />
We’re not for her.<br />
We love our country so.<br />
We’ll stand and fight<br />
For what is right!</em></p>
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		<title>By: Elizabetty</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1526062</link>
		<dc:creator>Elizabetty</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 18:29:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1526062</guid>
		<description>John Zogby is a very blue Democrat and he went out of his way to warn people not to believe Obama has this won because of the polls.

In the next week the bias of the polls will change to closer reflect reality.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John Zogby is a very blue Democrat and he went out of his way to warn people not to believe Obama has this won because of the polls.</p>
<p>In the next week the bias of the polls will change to closer reflect reality.</p>
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		<title>By: freeus</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525813</link>
		<dc:creator>freeus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 17:28:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525813</guid>
		<description>rightwingprof on October 14, 2008 at 11:37 AM

&lt;strong&gt;AMEN and AMEN and AMEN! &lt;/strong&gt;

The Rassmussen/Fox poll that Fox kept, &quot;Fox News Alert&quot; we are all going to die last night, was taken on SUNDAY, OCTOBER 12th. And it was weighed 39.3% Dems to 33% Republicans. Everyone and their grandmother knows data gathered over the weekend is slanted toward the Democrat because Dems are the ones that answer the phones. Lord only knows how many RINOS answered in the &quot;Republican&quot; category when polled for this particular poll. They also are under weighing the numbers of Dems going to cross party lines and voting for McCain. The margin of error for this poll was +/- 3%.  I say McCain is more than likely even, and in some cases ahead of Obama.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>rightwingprof on October 14, 2008 at 11:37 AM</p>
<p><strong>AMEN and AMEN and AMEN! </strong></p>
<p>The Rassmussen/Fox poll that Fox kept, &#8220;Fox News Alert&#8221; we are all going to die last night, was taken on SUNDAY, OCTOBER 12th. And it was weighed 39.3% Dems to 33% Republicans. Everyone and their grandmother knows data gathered over the weekend is slanted toward the Democrat because Dems are the ones that answer the phones. Lord only knows how many RINOS answered in the &#8220;Republican&#8221; category when polled for this particular poll. They also are under weighing the numbers of Dems going to cross party lines and voting for McCain. The margin of error for this poll was +/- 3%.  I say McCain is more than likely even, and in some cases ahead of Obama.</p>
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		<title>By: Dr Evil</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525803</link>
		<dc:creator>Dr Evil</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 17:25:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525803</guid>
		<description>Hank William Jr. singing for McCain/Palin.

That isn&#039;t a big suprize and he has a place up in Montana.

http://sarah-palin-2008.blogspot.com/2008/10/httpwww.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hank William Jr. singing for McCain/Palin.</p>
<p>That isn&#8217;t a big suprize and he has a place up in Montana.</p>
<p><a href="http://sarah-palin-2008.blogspot.com/2008/10/httpwww.html" rel="nofollow">http://sarah-palin-2008.blogspot.com/2008/10/httpwww.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: Terrye</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525789</link>
		<dc:creator>Terrye</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 17:23:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525789</guid>
		<description>But I have not given up.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>But I have not given up.</p>
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		<title>By: Terrye</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525784</link>
		<dc:creator>Terrye</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 17:22:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525784</guid>
		<description>The economic meltdown just kind of threw a wrench in things. I used to worry that Iraq would be the problem, now it is hardly mentioned. Well unless Obama is whining because Saddam is still not running the place.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The economic meltdown just kind of threw a wrench in things. I used to worry that Iraq would be the problem, now it is hardly mentioned. Well unless Obama is whining because Saddam is still not running the place.</p>
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		<title>By: MarkTheGreat</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525775</link>
		<dc:creator>MarkTheGreat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 17:18:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525775</guid>
		<description>I prefer to reference the Bradley affect as voters being afraid to appear racist, so they tell the pollers what they believe the pollers want to hear.

Then vote their conscience.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I prefer to reference the Bradley affect as voters being afraid to appear racist, so they tell the pollers what they believe the pollers want to hear.</p>
<p>Then vote their conscience.</p>
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		<title>By: highhopes</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525745</link>
		<dc:creator>highhopes</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 17:09:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525745</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;My prayer is that we’re looking at the mother of all Bradley effects.

Kafir on October 14, 2008 at 12:27 PM&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Wouldn&#039;t that make us a racist nation and pretty much affirm what Obama&#039;s people claim a defeat means?  

The better spin would be to call it a massive surge in undecided voters coming out and supporting McCain.  I also happen to think that the more accurate analysis if it happens.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>My prayer is that we’re looking at the mother of all Bradley effects.</p>
<p>Kafir on October 14, 2008 at 12:27 PM</p></blockquote>
<p>Wouldn&#8217;t that make us a racist nation and pretty much affirm what Obama&#8217;s people claim a defeat means?  </p>
<p>The better spin would be to call it a massive surge in undecided voters coming out and supporting McCain.  I also happen to think that the more accurate analysis if it happens.</p>
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		<title>By: Physics Geek</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525659</link>
		<dc:creator>Physics Geek</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 16:46:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525659</guid>
		<description>Someone at Wizbang reviewed the 2004 pre-election polls with the actual vote totals. In brief, it appears as though around 90% of the polls taken right before the election underestimated Bush&#039;s vote totals by 3%-6%, with the other 10% overestimating. To be fair, a decent number also underestimated Kerry&#039;s support, so I don&#039;t know what to make of it except for the fact that we shouldn&#039;t let polls determine our actions. So, you know, get out and vote instead of staying home and crying.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Someone at Wizbang reviewed the 2004 pre-election polls with the actual vote totals. In brief, it appears as though around 90% of the polls taken right before the election underestimated Bush&#8217;s vote totals by 3%-6%, with the other 10% overestimating. To be fair, a decent number also underestimated Kerry&#8217;s support, so I don&#8217;t know what to make of it except for the fact that we shouldn&#8217;t let polls determine our actions. So, you know, get out and vote instead of staying home and crying.</p>
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		<title>By: Kafir</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525582</link>
		<dc:creator>Kafir</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 16:27:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525582</guid>
		<description>My prayer is that we&#039;re looking at the mother of all Bradley effects.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My prayer is that we&#8217;re looking at the mother of all Bradley effects.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: MarkTheGreat</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525578</link>
		<dc:creator>MarkTheGreat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 16:26:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525578</guid>
		<description>How is the Rep/Dem split determined?

Is it the last round of electeions?
Or is it current voter registration ratio?

If it&#039;s the latter, it is likely distorted by the fact that the Democrats had a contested race much later than the Republicans did.  Also there are the ACORN registrations and other irregularities.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How is the Rep/Dem split determined?</p>
<p>Is it the last round of electeions?<br />
Or is it current voter registration ratio?</p>
<p>If it&#8217;s the latter, it is likely distorted by the fact that the Democrats had a contested race much later than the Republicans did.  Also there are the ACORN registrations and other irregularities.</p>
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		<title>By: Y-not</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525526</link>
		<dc:creator>Y-not</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 16:13:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525526</guid>
		<description>OT, but per the &quot;headlines&quot; (extended version, not the abbreviate version) and Rush&#039;s web site, Sarah will be on Rush at 1:30 pm Eastern.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>OT, but per the &#8220;headlines&#8221; (extended version, not the abbreviate version) and Rush&#8217;s web site, Sarah will be on Rush at 1:30 pm Eastern.</p>
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		<title>By: Bloodthirsty Liberal &#187; He Ain&#8217;t Dead Yet</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525515</link>
		<dc:creator>Bloodthirsty Liberal &#187; He Ain&#8217;t Dead Yet</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 16:10:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525515</guid>
		<description>[...] we&#8217;ve said it again and again: the guy rises from the dead like no one else: I guess Kevin Madden would know. He tells Megyn Kelly that John McCain has this [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] we&#8217;ve said it again and again: the guy rises from the dead like no one else: I guess Kevin Madden would know. He tells Megyn Kelly that John McCain has this [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Leopold Stotch</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525504</link>
		<dc:creator>Leopold Stotch</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 16:07:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525504</guid>
		<description>John Kerrey was a good closer. And he and McCain are both Vietnam war he ---- LOL  ----- I can&#039;t do it!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John Kerrey was a good closer. And he and McCain are both Vietnam war he &#8212;- LOL  &#8212;&#8211; I can&#8217;t do it!</p>
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		<title>By: petunia</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525490</link>
		<dc:creator>petunia</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 16:03:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525490</guid>
		<description>All the pollsters seem to feel validated in treating this election differently than in the past.

To wit, Gallup/USA is using a new LV model that basically tells us that everyone who says they are going to vote will vote. That is a weird assumption, it has never been true before. 

Anyway, the non-tracking poll shows a 5.5% lead for Obama with a error margin of 3%.  But from their site:

&lt;blockquote&gt;Using Gallup&#039;s traditional model of likely voters, Obama edges McCain 50%-46%. 

Under an alternate model based solely on whether respondents say they plan to vote, his lead is 52%-45%. &lt;/blockquote&gt;

Any other year the number they publish would be a 4% gap.   But clearly they want to have an excuse to show 7%. Does having a black man run really change history that completely?

I wonder if this isn&#039;t an attempt to &lt;strong&gt;produce&lt;/strong&gt; a Bradley effect.  Because that is certain to be the case if you use the higher number.  At least Gallup is showing us the way they are treating this differently.  Many of the others just pick a number.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>All the pollsters seem to feel validated in treating this election differently than in the past.</p>
<p>To wit, Gallup/USA is using a new LV model that basically tells us that everyone who says they are going to vote will vote. That is a weird assumption, it has never been true before. </p>
<p>Anyway, the non-tracking poll shows a 5.5% lead for Obama with a error margin of 3%.  But from their site:</p>
<blockquote><p>Using Gallup&#8217;s traditional model of likely voters, Obama edges McCain 50%-46%. </p>
<p>Under an alternate model based solely on whether respondents say they plan to vote, his lead is 52%-45%. </p></blockquote>
<p>Any other year the number they publish would be a 4% gap.   But clearly they want to have an excuse to show 7%. Does having a black man run really change history that completely?</p>
<p>I wonder if this isn&#8217;t an attempt to <strong>produce</strong> a Bradley effect.  Because that is certain to be the case if you use the higher number.  At least Gallup is showing us the way they are treating this differently.  Many of the others just pick a number.</p>
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		<title>By: Hening</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525461</link>
		<dc:creator>Hening</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 15:55:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525461</guid>
		<description>Democrats have often gone into polls ahead when they were trashed.  It&#039;s amazing that this country has been through two Bush elections and still wants to believe so badly in the false gods of polling.

The MSM and the polling whores lie.  It&#039;s as if they believe if they cook the numbers, people will vote that way.

Ignore the polls and vote.  That is the only thing you have control over.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Democrats have often gone into polls ahead when they were trashed.  It&#8217;s amazing that this country has been through two Bush elections and still wants to believe so badly in the false gods of polling.</p>
<p>The MSM and the polling whores lie.  It&#8217;s as if they believe if they cook the numbers, people will vote that way.</p>
<p>Ignore the polls and vote.  That is the only thing you have control over.</p>
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		<title>By: Marine_Bio</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525456</link>
		<dc:creator>Marine_Bio</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 15:55:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525456</guid>
		<description>This isn&#039;t the first time groups like ACORN have been caught in voter fraud, just the worst year I&#039;ve ever seen.  

In my own mind, I&#039;ve been unable to balance this with the weighting given many of these survey designs.  I wouldn&#039;t be surprised if that was part of the goal for registering Mikey Mouse as written it the Tampabay article for example.  Obviously they never intended to have Mikey show up at the polls.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This isn&#8217;t the first time groups like ACORN have been caught in voter fraud, just the worst year I&#8217;ve ever seen.  </p>
<p>In my own mind, I&#8217;ve been unable to balance this with the weighting given many of these survey designs.  I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised if that was part of the goal for registering Mikey Mouse as written it the Tampabay article for example.  Obviously they never intended to have Mikey show up at the polls.</p>
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		<title>By: joepub</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525435</link>
		<dc:creator>joepub</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 15:49:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525435</guid>
		<description>The real clear poll of polls used to be fairly reliable until the media started using it.  Now, the Newsweek, WAPO, Time polls get thrown into the mix and skew it beyond belief.

If you are a poll-watcher:  Try this:  Average Rasmussen, Zogby, IDB/Tipp.

The others are worthless.  Do that today and Obama is +4...

That sounds about right to me...the Quinnipiac polls out today are just RIDICULOUS.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The real clear poll of polls used to be fairly reliable until the media started using it.  Now, the Newsweek, WAPO, Time polls get thrown into the mix and skew it beyond belief.</p>
<p>If you are a poll-watcher:  Try this:  Average Rasmussen, Zogby, IDB/Tipp.</p>
<p>The others are worthless.  Do that today and Obama is +4&#8230;</p>
<p>That sounds about right to me&#8230;the Quinnipiac polls out today are just RIDICULOUS.</p>
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		<title>By: bonnie_</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/14/video-romney-aide-says-mccain-closes-well/comment-page-1/#comment-1525420</link>
		<dc:creator>bonnie_</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 15:46:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/?p=30597#comment-1525420</guid>
		<description>I, too, believe that McCain will win.  I didn&#039;t think so until he selected Sarah Palin, and gave conservatives someone to vote for.

At the debate, he will once again be reaching for the independents and undecided.  Don&#039;t expect red meat for you, conservatives.  He has your vote.  He gave you Sarah.   Now he means to win the election.

He will, too.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I, too, believe that McCain will win.  I didn&#8217;t think so until he selected Sarah Palin, and gave conservatives someone to vote for.</p>
<p>At the debate, he will once again be reaching for the independents and undecided.  Don&#8217;t expect red meat for you, conservatives.  He has your vote.  He gave you Sarah.   Now he means to win the election.</p>
<p>He will, too.</p>
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