McCain gives up on Michigan
posted at 4:05 pm on October 2, 2008 by Allahpundit
Share on Facebook | printer-friendly
Politico reports and Geraghty confirms. Michigan went blue four years ago so McCain doesn’t lose any electoral votes here, but compare the 2004 map with the state of play at the moment at RCP or Electoral-Vote. He can spare 16 of Bush’s EVs and still win the election even if he doesn’t flip any blue states; as things stand now, he’s looking at -7 in Iowa and -5 in New Mexico, with Virginia, Ohio, Florida, Nevada, and even Missouri and North Carolina(!) up in the air. The three Kerry states he has a realistic shot at are Minnesota, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire, but most polls have him behind in each (with a few polls showing a big Obama lead in Minnesota and a recent surge in Wisconsin). Even if he comes back and steals all three, they’re good for only 24 EVs. Obama could wipe out the gain by winning Florida or almost any combo of two of the six states I named above. In fact, including leaners, lefty site FiveThirtyEight has The One with fully 336 EVs right now versus barely 200 for Team Maverick. There is, in short, no more margin for error. Assuming Iowa and New Mexico are lost causes and Obama can hold the rest of Kerry’s cards, every last toss-up state that went for Bush four years ago has to break McCain’s way.
Exit question: Which swing state will Maverick pull out of next? Exit answer: This one.
You must be logged in to post a comment.
Blowback
Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.
Trackbacks/Pings
Trackback URL
Comments
Comment pages: 1 2 3 Next »
McCain has given up on the whole thing as far as I’m concerned. We are getting toward the 11th hour, and he aint getting it done.
saiga on October 2, 2008 at 4:07 PM
We’ll see.
Kronos on October 2, 2008 at 4:08 PM
Michigan is doomed.
I wonder just how much the dems can bleed those folks for.
What will they do when the entire state in on welfare?
Talon on October 2, 2008 at 4:08 PM
Michigan is not and never has been a swing state!
When you see polls saying Michigan, Penn and New Jersey are in play, it is ALWAYS crap.
Ohio, Florida, Nevada, Colorado, now these are swing states.
jawbone on October 2, 2008 at 4:08 PM
Exit Question: if he pulls out of PA or loses PA, he is finished. I cannot believe that a state that voted for Hillary over Obama is a lost cause. COME ON YOU BITTER CLINGERS IN WESTERN/CENTRAL PA!!!! GET OUT THE VOTE!!!!
Agent of the Cross on October 2, 2008 at 4:08 PM
Democrats are really stupid. Granholm crushes Michigan – so they vote in Obama. Democrats ruin Cali, so they run to CO and vote in Democrats.
lodge on October 2, 2008 at 4:08 PM
I am now convinced that Obama will win. I fear for the consequences.
D0WNT0WN on October 2, 2008 at 4:08 PM
Calling for Mitt. Calling for Mitt.
Roger Waters on October 2, 2008 at 4:09 PM
I think the whole country has given up on Michigan. Why should McCain stay in that shitpile
clnurnberg on October 2, 2008 at 4:09 PM
Ohio worries me.
Spirit of 1776 on October 2, 2008 at 4:10 PM
Ugh. What about CO…he has to win that, right, assuming he holds the other Bush states from 200 and doesn’t get NH, WI, or MN, which frankly are long shots anyway and always were, at least the latter two.
changer1701 on October 2, 2008 at 4:10 PM
Michigan was in play, he was competitive here within the last few weeks and he wasn’t even doing much here. He blew it here as he is elsewhere. He could have used Mitt, he didn’t.
It’s over. McCain will lose. The base is not energized for him and I don’t blame them. They are the ones that get out the vote. You just can’t shit on the conservative base for years and expect them to work hard to get you elected. The morons that pushed McCain on us are just that, morons.
echosyst on October 2, 2008 at 4:10 PM
And every year since 1988.
The Bradley Effect better be big enough to be seen from space.
amerpundit on October 2, 2008 at 4:10 PM
THIS IS FAR FROM OVER. STOP BEING WIMPS. THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT THE MSM WANTS.
I’m fighting until the bitter end. If the USA goes down, it won’t be without a fight.
JustTruth101 on October 2, 2008 at 4:11 PM
Com’on John. More all Spanish ads. That ought to help.
BowHuntingTexas on October 2, 2008 at 4:12 PM
Michigan pull out is OK. But he might as well quit the whole thing if he gives up on PA. He needs it to win, and things can and will change over a month’s time. The polls have really overestimated Obama’s support in PA in the past, so I
reckon he probably has about a 4 point lead right now.
McCain needs to double down and hit the HARLY region hard. He’s going to do better than Bush in the western part of the state, but he’s slipping big time in Lancaster, Reading and York right now.
forest on October 2, 2008 at 4:12 PM
What is wrong with the people in Michigan? The liberals have destroyed that state, yet they keep voting liberal.
jencab on October 2, 2008 at 4:12 PM
Heh, yeah, isn’t that the truth. Kinda sucks to have to rely on members of the Aryan Nation, though, to win an election…
changer1701 on October 2, 2008 at 4:12 PM
And your point is?
Mcguyver on October 2, 2008 at 4:12 PM
The USA will not go down and I will fight for my country to the end. The McCain campaign is another matter.
echosyst on October 2, 2008 at 4:12 PM
I thought all of Michigan was already on welfare.
There must be a very high percentage of extremely dumb people there. There state government has nearly killed them and now they want Obama to finish them off.
Unbelievable!
Lynn2008 on October 2, 2008 at 4:13 PM
Now I am right back to where I was a couple of months ago – wishing we had Mitt (or Fred).
dmarie on October 2, 2008 at 4:13 PM
BTW, remember the cute little children in the blue shirts singing to the “Dear Leader” check out this link
I think it’s true Blue Shirts are the new Brown Shirts. It’s just a matter of time before the Blue Shirt thugs start smashing windows and burning books they don’t like…
Agent of the Cross on October 2, 2008 at 4:13 PM
Stories like this would be a lot more interesting to me if I thought McCain had a chance of winning. I mean, I wish he would but come on… everyone knows this a popularity contest that he lost a long time ago. I’ll just keep hoping the “Michelle Obama nodding along to the whitey speech” video pops up soon.
Bill Scrunty on October 2, 2008 at 4:13 PM
I remember watching Bush I vs. Billy and Dole vs. Billy and wishing someone would take Bush and then Dole out back and whale the freakin’ crap out of them for running such a weenie campaign. McCain should be mopping up the stage with the uh-meister. But what’s he doing? He’s still on this stupid bipartisanship garbage and he’s laughing at the fact that his folks allowed Gwen Ifill to be slated to moderate the VP debate. He’s voted for the pork barrel/rescue plan and pissed on the fire he could have lit under the dems for their role in this financial mess.
What a nightmare.
AubieJon on October 2, 2008 at 4:13 PM
This is the only way I see McCain winning, though I fear that McCain might be the last Republican president we see elected for a few decades if he is in office when the economy tanks.
Yes I am a pessimist and cynic but that doesn’t mean I don’t have optimism. I’m optimistic Obama will win and Americans will suffer economically through his 4 years as president. But then something tells me we will have to put up with 4 years of Hillary starting in ‘12.
420sniper on October 2, 2008 at 4:14 PM
This is what happens when you let the MSM pick the candidates. Thankfully, they’ll have destroyed themselves by 2012.
lodge on October 2, 2008 at 4:14 PM
It was a mistake to spend money in that state . . . it was a lost cause from the beginning.
rplat on October 2, 2008 at 4:14 PM
Well, there are a few conservative counties in Michigan…I live in one of them. But I cannot believe that anyone here would continue to put democrats into office after what Granholm has done.
dmarie on October 2, 2008 at 4:15 PM
Me too. My feeling is that we lose that state and thus the entire election thanks to voting fraud.
If McCain was smart, he would send an army of lawyers there NOW!
carbon_footprint on October 2, 2008 at 4:15 PM
There are alot of dumb people in Michigan but honestly McCain never gave a compelling reason for people here to vote for him. He tells them their jobs are gone, tough shit we will give you some retraining money. Well, everybody knows that money never comes and those programs don’t work.
Mitt had a far more hopeful message here and he understood how government is ruining industry, that is why he won here. McCain is tone deaf on all of those issues. He wants the global warming crap legislation for fucks sake.
echosyst on October 2, 2008 at 4:15 PM
Members of the Aryan Nation wouldn’t give a crud about the potential of a pollster thinking they’re racist. It’s a situation where people who don’t want to be thought of as racists simply because they oppose a minority candidate, regardless of why they oppose him, tell a pollster they’re supporting the minority candidate while they vote for the non-minority. They’re afraid that they’ll be thought of as racists simply for opposing him, even if they oppose him for his stances.
amerpundit on October 2, 2008 at 4:15 PM
FixedPolled it for ‘ya………Shall we take a poll? Why not…….. let’s do a poll on who the pollsters are polling and then compare that with the polls of the polls……. That should give us a poll in which we can then poll the peopled polled, then compare the results with a new poll…………… unless McCain is ahead in the polls, then polls don’t matter, until Obama wins a poll then we shall publish the poll with poll results that will then reflect the entire population, if they were polled……..
…………. that’s right, let’s look at the polls.
Seven Percent Solution on October 2, 2008 at 4:16 PM
I think he’s wise to pull out of Michigan but I hope he doesn’t pull out of Pennsylvania.
And, heck, I’m not ready to give up on New Mexico.
JudetheFossil on October 2, 2008 at 4:16 PM
He’s not going to win… Sorry folks. :(
Illinidiva on October 2, 2008 at 4:16 PM
Obama must be defeated!
mindhacker on October 2, 2008 at 4:18 PM
Rush said today all they want to do is depress us so we think this thing is over. It is not. Rush predicted weeks back that the polls were going to inflate Obama to get us down and not to pay attention to them. I hope the Mason-Dixon is right in VA and I believe there are many out there that will not be voting Obama, but say they are for various reasons. Look at the Clintons for heavens sake. I would be willing to bet there are a lot of Dems claiming to be for THE ONE, but when it comes to their votes, they are going McCain.
Where we have the problem is with voter fraud. We are going to have to turn out in droves in order to defeat voter fraud!
freeus on October 2, 2008 at 4:18 PM
Red states need to make themselves (ourselves) hostile to blue state locusts looking to migrate and destroy our states. Blue staters wreak havoc everywhere they migrate after having first destroyed their home states.
If blue states are such great pleces to live then why are no blue states in danger of going red but red states are always in danger of going blue?
DerKrieger on October 2, 2008 at 4:18 PM
A post at the Ace of Spades HQ says that the RNC is taking over for the McCain camp (and it is why “McCain” is “leaving”)
blogRot on October 2, 2008 at 4:18 PM
McLame should be pressing Barry all over and calling the MSM out at every chance.
I am beginning to think they got to the old man. He is in on the fix. It is like the 1919 White Sox.
DeweyWins on October 2, 2008 at 4:18 PM
Wait, wait, wait… Yes the OFFICIAL campaign may be pulling shop, but his people are staying and working for the RNC.
Remember, he took public financing and RNC has taken in a whole lot of money since.
Editor on October 2, 2008 at 4:19 PM
Obama will fix all of Michigan’s problems, give them all union jobs, a tax cut, money for the kid’s college, and low-cost healthcare. All of Michigan will be a paradise, like Detroit.
RBMN on October 2, 2008 at 4:19 PM
Election Projection has Obama at 273 and McCain at 265. There’s a debate tonight that will impact voters’ decisions, according to Rasmussen. There are two more presidential debates. A lot can happen in 30+ days. Yeah, it sucks that McCain is giving up on Michigan but this is hardly the time to jump off a cliff.
ejbentz on October 2, 2008 at 4:19 PM
I hope not. I think this partly is a reaction to the economy, the Democrats we need vote on what’s the bigger threat, the threat to their wallet or to their lifestyle, the financial scare has them running to the Dems, but that might not be the #1 issue in a month. The other thing is the media blockade on our message, PA is an old state, and that means they get their news from old media…problem, big problem. It’s gonna take word of mouth or McCain/Palin finding a way to break through that.
doubleplusundead on October 2, 2008 at 4:20 PM
(OT, but…) I am so dang nervous about tonight, I get butterflies in my stomach every time I think about it. I cannot imagine the stress Gov. Palin must be feeling right now.
dmarie on October 2, 2008 at 4:20 PM
Bluestaters move to red states to escape the high taxation?
420sniper on October 2, 2008 at 4:20 PM
Allahpundit is awaiting his marching orders from Fuhrer Obama.
He all wants us to go “Seig Heil”.
Sakaki on October 2, 2008 at 4:20 PM
This make Colorado even more important now. He needs to get his butt their instead of sitting around talking to Liberal newspaper editors in Iowa.
Mark1971 on October 2, 2008 at 4:20 PM
Being a Michigander, I can not answer that question. I need a moment {sigh}…
I suspected as much since he hasn’t been here recently.
My only explanation is all the voter fraud that takes place in Detroit. Really, I believe that suburban SE Michigan is pretty Republican and western and northern Michigan are very conservative.
I keep telling people here in MI “if you want to see what democratic policies will do for the country, use Michigan as the example!”.
Jenny is a failure as gov and the whole Kwame mess…don’t even get me started on that fiasco. But I bet if Kwame was up for re-election in November, he’d win! Explain that one! This is a double grrr for me since my hubby works downtown and we have to pay income taxes to help support all the corruption!
I am going to buck up, though, and keep talking the talk and walking the walk. I will still volunteer at my victory center as long as the doors aren’t locked :(
ConMom on October 2, 2008 at 4:20 PM
While polls have proven to be inaccurate at times, let’s not discredit them all. Check out the RCP. Their average correctly predicting Ohio, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, Missouri, Indiana, and many others in 2004.
amerpundit on October 2, 2008 at 4:21 PM
That’s one reason and as soon as there are enough of them they begin making demands on the government that require…higher taxes. And thus the locusts move on to new crops to consume.
DerKrieger on October 2, 2008 at 4:21 PM
I’m already formulating ideas for youtube videos juxtaposing Obama’s primary speechs and the country after a year of Obama rule.
lodge on October 2, 2008 at 4:22 PM
Maybe they will start hitting harder on associations and bring Rev. Wright back out to visit us.
dmarie on October 2, 2008 at 4:22 PM
Just remember everytime we thought McCain was down this cycle he’s pulled it out. I’m sorry but people are seriously underestimating him.
McLovin on October 2, 2008 at 4:22 PM
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D93IHSUG0&show_article=1
Mason-Dixon has McCain up 3 in VA.
Keep hope alive!
Mark1971 on October 2, 2008 at 4:23 PM
Has Steve Schmidt been kidnapped? WTF?
Where has McCain’s hard hitting campaign been the last 10 days?
hippie_chucker on October 2, 2008 at 4:23 PM
Don’t worry. I bet she’s looking forward to it. She’s a gamer.
Spirit of 1776 on October 2, 2008 at 4:23 PM
You do realize that all of the swing states you mentioned were red last time, and the time before that, yes?
Vashta.Nerada on October 2, 2008 at 4:23 PM
Hey, you don’t have to tell me about locusts. I live behind enemy lines in Philly where people get paid to vote early and often and turnout for democrats in certain neighborhoods approaches 100% sometimes 110% if you count the dead who somehow manage to vote. Damn liberal zombies….
420sniper on October 2, 2008 at 4:23 PM
Obama has been on an Ad assault, funded of course by illegal donations from overseas. Haven’t seen many McCain ads at all.
jp on October 2, 2008 at 4:23 PM
I hope mccain wins even though he is a very flawed candidate and his veep is a joke in my view.
But if we get stuck with Obama…you can blame that a$$hole Huck and the fascist, ignorant, bigots in the south that F’ed up the primary process.
Roger Waters on October 2, 2008 at 4:24 PM
I’m with him.
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on October 2, 2008 at 4:24 PM
Or maybe he needs to be kidnapped.
Mark1971 on October 2, 2008 at 4:24 PM
if Santorum won in Penn once, McCain should have a shot. Especially with Blue Collar voters.
and don’t forget, Obama polled 6 points higher in Penn. than he ended up getting on election night.
jp on October 2, 2008 at 4:24 PM
Pennsylvania is a damn shame. If Maverick coulda won that one, Obama would have been poop-canned as of 9PM EST.
Hoodlumman on October 2, 2008 at 4:24 PM
PA to Obama, what the H is wrong with you people?
FireBlogger on October 2, 2008 at 4:24 PM
My comment was meant to be more ‘tongue in cheek’ than it seemed. I hate the fact we almost have to pin our hopes on the Bradley Effect at this point. Cripes McCain, what happened these last few weeks? It was really the lipstick on a pig overreaction that the wheels started coming off…
changer1701 on October 2, 2008 at 4:25 PM
Not jumping off a cliff. Being an Auburn fan, I’ve had enough of close matches this fall. I’m ready for someone that I’m pulling for to come out and not only eviscerate his/her opponent, but totally shame anyone who ever thought about supporting that opponent. The dems deserve that shaming.
AubieJon on October 2, 2008 at 4:25 PM
The only thing that can save McCain now is Karl Rove coming out of retirement.
lodge on October 2, 2008 at 4:25 PM
I’ve gotta say that I’m not looking forward to Obama’s victory but I simply don’t see McCain out there doing what needs to be done to win the election. He says he’s against earmarks and then votes for that piece of crap bailout legislation in the Senate last night. He says he’s a reformer but he never tells us what exactly that means. He’s running out of time and he’s not energizing the base.
Not good.
highhopes on October 2, 2008 at 4:25 PM
Guys (and gals), please, there is more to this story. Let it play out before all of the OH NOES! OH NOES! OH NOES!
blogRot on October 2, 2008 at 4:25 PM
Did McCain even ever try to run any ads showing Obama arm-and-arm with Kwame Kilpatrick, convicted mayor of Detroit?
At the end of World War II, right up until the time he committed suicide, wasn’t Hitler mumbling something to the Germans about secret weapons. Is McCain trying to pull the same stunt? Where is he? Scheduling Senate Dining Room lunches for late January and February?
All Biden has to do tonight is go through the motions. Then, beginning tomorrow, Biden will campaign exclusively in PA as Mr. Scranton. Meanwhile, Obama will skip his two remaining debates, his campaign will play some occasional teleprompter speeches from an undisclosed location, and Obama will spend the next five weeks playing cards with Jeremiah Wright in the same cave where Wright’s been hiding for months–and McCain will still seem as if he’s nowhere to be found.
BuckeyeSam on October 2, 2008 at 4:25 PM
wasn’t Reagan down to Carter till the end then it broke heavy towards Reagan?
They have to play up the shady stuff with Obama, it plants seeds of doubt. Much needed doubt and reminder heading into the polling booth.
jp on October 2, 2008 at 4:26 PM
It’s becoming a bit like Hannity and Colmes here (and Morrisey’s not the Colmes half).
Ronnie on October 2, 2008 at 4:26 PM
Bipartisanmania! Way to go…Maverick!
Despair-O-Meter now at 9.991 and climbing. Who else wants to join Allah and me on our hellish crusade to darken your hearts and crush your spirits?
The Dark Side is calling…come on, you know you want to.
ManlyRash on October 2, 2008 at 4:26 PM
Obama dropped out of states and if I didn’t come here I wouldn’t have known it.
tomas on October 2, 2008 at 4:27 PM
Go back to threatening Toby McGuire. That’s your speed.
AubieJon on October 2, 2008 at 4:27 PM
The reason Dems seem to be winning is that they are promising that Mommy Government will step in and start taking care of everyone…with free food, free child care, free education, free housing, and free healthcare. It’s a sweet siren song that will spell the death of us eventually. Look at Europe. Seems like they are a snapshot of us in 10 years in terms of social ills, lack of Christians/spirituality, and rampant socialism.
Sorry for the cheery post.
hippie_chucker on October 2, 2008 at 4:27 PM
It’s over. Despair awaits you. Join us….
ManlyRash on October 2, 2008 at 4:28 PM
Michigan has to keep voting Dimocrap now that it’s a welfare state. That’s hoe the Dims play the game. They hook you on crack, i.e., welfare, and then you can’t get away, even if you know you should.
As for McCain, what did we expect? We let the MSM convince us not to vote for a true conservative this year, b/c we just had to have a uniter, a moderate, a bipartisan after 8 years of Bush. McCain didn’t help himself either with the pick of Palin. And I say that as a huge Palin fan. McCain was spooked by all the talk about how many houses he owned and what the MSM would say if Romney were on the ticket. Prior to that gaffe it seemed a foregone conclusion that Romeny would be the VP selection. When was the last time anyone heard a word about McCain’s houses? Seems to me Romeny could’ve defended himself and McCain better than anyone out there, including McCain.
Those of you who didn’t support Romney because he just saw the light a few years ago or because he’s a Mormon should feel some responsibility, too. Fred? I was a huge Fred fan, but he blew it. No energy. No enthusiasm. He could’ve sewn up the nomination last Christmas if he had shown he gave a crap. Fred against Obambi would’ve been no contest.
Oh well. We can’t focus on what might have been. Instead, we have to brace ourselves for the inevitable: 4 years of Obambi and his terrorist, fringe hacks. If that doesn’t motivate us to nominate a true conservative, someone like Bobby Jindal, then I don’t know what will.
uncalheels on October 2, 2008 at 4:28 PM
Seems like this is an urban vs. non-urban voter. So many states have the voting characteristics you describe–heavily minority cities voting democratic.
I suppose the Republican population needs to settle more exclusively in one area so that their numbers outweigh Dems. Otherwise so many states fall into the Dem. category.
Michiganer’s move to PA! Or something like that. The Mormons settled Utah. Let’s designate some area of the country as Republican/conservative.
JiangxiDad on October 2, 2008 at 4:28 PM
I have held my powder on this but now I am done. This election was always Barack Obama’s to lose, and while it may have appeared for a few days that he was capable of losing it, he fought back effectively and got back on track. The financial crisis helped him, but I think we would be in the same plae today without it.
I thought Sarah Palin could have won Michigan for McCain. They should have parked her there for at least a week. They should have had her out hunting with Ted Nugent and meeting with the folks that Track stayed with for a year in Kalamazoo while he played hockey. They should have had her speaking about energy independence and slamming the Democrats for their environmental policies that have killed the auto industry. I just can’t believe how badly this campaign has booted every single advantage that Palin brought to the ticket. They shut her off and allowed her to be turned into a national joke.
Too many people now believe McCain is not serious. He has not run a campaign but a series of stunts designed to grab attention for a couple of days. He even managed to turn the financial crisis into a stunt, and it backfired. While Obama was dithering and doing nothing, McCain should have been hammering him and rolling out a serious economic team with a real plan for recovery. He didn’t do it. He allowed half of the debate to be about the economy and blew that part if it because he had no plan.
Obama took a big blow from McCain after the popularity of Sarah Palin threatened to bury him. But his campaign regrouped and righte itself. He is running a serious campaign now, even if it as 100% lies, and McCain isn’t.
rockmom on October 2, 2008 at 4:28 PM
It’s not over yet. It’ll be over at about 11pm Eastern tonight.
*cringes*
lorien1973 on October 2, 2008 at 4:28 PM
Depends. Do you have cookies?
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on October 2, 2008 at 4:28 PM
Actually you need to blame the idiots who rigged the process so that Rudy or McCain won big in winner take all states while the real Republicans split the conservative vote.
The only thing nice I can say about Huckabee is that he makes a better TV host than he does a left of center/faux evangelical political candidate.
highhopes on October 2, 2008 at 4:28 PM
Iowa’s a lost cause for McCain for one reason and one reason only: Ethanol – he opposes the subsidies (one of his positions I resoundlingly agree with). I’m all for ethanol which can now be produced from algae and switchgrass – and thus doesn’t need the subsidy that applies only to corn-based ethanol. McCain also opposes tarriffs against sugar-cane based ethanol that is produced in large quantities in Brazil, a country that was largely unaffected by the recent run-up in oil prices, given that their car fleet is overwhelmingly flex-fueled. Iowans favor these subsidies and tarriffs.
Thanks Iowa – handouts first, country last.
thirteen28 on October 2, 2008 at 4:28 PM
The polls swung by double digits just on the Sarah Palin announcement. Don’t tell me anything is decided yet. There’s more to come. Enjoy the show.
Ronnie on October 2, 2008 at 4:29 PM
Yes but they were almost perfectly purple. My county in Florida went Bush by less than 200 votes…The state of Ohio was very close…hence “swing state.”
McLovin on October 2, 2008 at 4:29 PM
That’s the first thing I thought when I saw the headline on Yahoo about McCain and MI. This will get trumpeted…Obama leaving MT< ND< and so forth wasn’t. Did I mention how I hate the media?
changer1701 on October 2, 2008 at 4:29 PM
Don’t be stupid, be a smarty – join the Secessionist Party!
ManlyRash on October 2, 2008 at 4:29 PM
I prefer a stand-up fight to all this sneakin’ around
[/solo]
LimeyGeek on October 2, 2008 at 4:29 PM
It’s over. Despair awaits you. Join us….
No! Never! I will never join the ranks of Allahpundit and his band of Eeyores!
happyhappysunshinerainbowunicorns
blogRot on October 2, 2008 at 4:29 PM
Meh. Michigan and Pennsylvania usually go blue.
terryannonline on October 2, 2008 at 4:30 PM
Sorry, but for a few days, in my state of Ohio, Obamanation is rounding up sketchy people in Columbus and Dayton to similtaneously register to vote and complete an absentee ballot. And Republicans are forbidden from even observing the “registration” process. See if you can wake up McCain.
BuckeyeSam on October 2, 2008 at 4:30 PM
I simply cannot let this moping continue. I’m quoting DJ Drummond here from wizbangblog.com:
“The media is completely in the tank for Obama, we know that. So it should not surprise anyone that the polls they publish all show him in the lead. Numbers can be fudged, and the polls have done that. The funny thing is, if we give up and don’t vote, if we sit on our butts and whine about the world and do not get our neighbors, friends and citizens motivated to support John McCain, then those weasels will have succeeded in getting us to quit and they will get the lopsided party turnout they are predicting. Make no mistake, though, if Obama wins it will be because too many good men did nothing.
I explained yesterday that when the polls are reweighted to historically valid norms, McCain leads Obama. It’s tight but very real, and if we just fight through to the end the way we have through August, then we will certainly win.
Want more? There’s a lot of folks still undecided out there. Taking the levels of support by party from four major polls which published their internals, here are the portions of undecided voters as of October 1:
GALLUP: 15.52% of voters are still undecided
CBS NEWS: 9.70% of voters are still undecided
FOX NEWS: 15.56% of voters are still undecided
Franklin & Marshall: 17.19% of voters are still undecided
When you add that information to the margin of error and correct for the historically invalid weighting the polls are using, it becomes absolutely clear that this race has a long way to go. Trusting the MSM is like believing what the other team’s cheerleaders tell you.
Gut it up, this one’s no where near over, we’re just starting the fourth quarter. Now is where we find out who’s got what it takes. ”
That’s what DJ Drummond says. That’s what I’m saying. I’m fighting and I’m not giving up. I live in Deep Blue Boulder County, Colorado and I saw a bumper sticker at the store today: Bush Lied. Terrorists Died.
We can still win this.
bonnie_ on October 2, 2008 at 4:30 PM
…. Like the South? :)
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on October 2, 2008 at 4:30 PM
Forget about McCain. He’s a lost cause. Here’s the question: Can we hold the Democrats to fewer than 60 seats in the Senate, or must we get ready for bread and circus?
paul006 on October 2, 2008 at 4:30 PM
Oh yeah, neither the McCain campaign nor the RNC has had the brains to use that footage of Obama embracing Kwame Kilpatrick and calling him one of America’s great mayors. They should have FLOODED the airwaves with ads of this.
I’ve never seen a campaign go from brillint to stupid so fast.
rockmom on October 2, 2008 at 4:30 PM
I just left a mini rally at the victory center in Ann Arbor. We heard from Jim Warner, who was a fellow POW of John McCain, Lynn Rothschild, and Joe McCain. It was a fun event, but they seemed to see the writing on the wall. Unless something big happens, Michigan is going to Obama. Nevertheless they encouraged our efforts, and asked us to do all we can. I left in good spirits. Leave it AP to ruin my mood.
thebriand on October 2, 2008 at 4:31 PM
Ditto.
Jersey hasn’t gone blue since 1988, Michigan since 1988, and Pennsylvania the same year. Florida went blue in ‘96, Ohio in ‘96 and ‘92, and Colorado in ‘92. The latter have been better indicators of electoral outcomes.
amerpundit on October 2, 2008 at 4:31 PM
Comment pages: 1 2 3 Next »