Polls: McCain loses two points in Rasmussen, three in Gallup and Hotline
posted at 2:25 pm on September 26, 2008 by Allahpundit
Gallup still has him within three but he’s slipped to seven back in Hotline and five back in Rasmussen, where he and The One have traded leads of one or two points for the better part of four months. A backlash after he pulled out of the debate? Or is this just further byproduct of Obama’s lead on the economy? Hotline ventures a guess:
Also this: “When asked how the financial news/events will affect their vote in Nov., 48% said it would not. Among those who said it would, 29% said it would make them more likely to support Obama, 16% said they’d be more likely to support McCain.” Meanwhile, Rasmussen claims that McCain’s lead among white women is almost gone and that, incredibly, Obama now draws the same level of support among Dems that McCain does among Republicans, suggesting that Clintonites are at last coming home.
As for the trends in swing state polls, let’s just avoid the subject entirely, shall we?
Maybe we should stop thinking about politics for awhile. Here’s a clip of Canadian football players playfully celebrating a touchdown with Duck Duck Goose. Aw.
Update: Brutal.
Blowback
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Oh, I don’t know, it could be telling us that the pole sample has been skewed atrociously.
Count to 10 on September 26, 2008 at 3:14 PM
AP gets one post out so far today and it’s titled “The Great Depression.” Wonderful. Thanks for the lift AP! ;-)
Mr_Magoo on September 26, 2008 at 3:15 PM
And we’re now going to have active Obama partisans in the MSM and their surrogates (e.g. The Daily Show, David Letterman, SNL) mocking McCain claiming he’s the one making the bailout plan political.
And with McCain’s campaign suspension and not going to the debate, then going to the debate after donning his superman suit to save the country, get ready for chimes of “flip-flop” and “what leadership?”.
BowHuntingTexas on September 26, 2008 at 3:16 PM
These are the times that try men’s souls.
But we need to keep breathing.
By Election Day, the markets likely will have found a groove, regardless of what Congress does in the next few days. One can sustain panic and hysteria for only so long.
(and if it’s all gone to hell, then maybe we’d rather be out of power for four years)
We will have had debates. The nation will know all four candidates better, especially the three whom it does not yet know well – Obama, Palin, and Biden.
So, there’s a long way to go, with plenty of opportunity for both elation and depression in the meantime, if one is so inclined. (And all of us must be so inclined, a bit, as we follow Allah and his meter of despair.)
And, it is nowhere written that the Republicans are assured of winning every time.
JudetheFossil on September 26, 2008 at 3:17 PM
We were always going to be the underdog this year. Face it. This country doesn’t like one party to have the Presidency for too long.
Speedwagon82 on September 26, 2008 at 3:19 PM
The “homeless” guy on the corner is calling this “1929 all over again” and “another Republican failure.”
“Homeless” guy thus joins the list of political luminaries who have tried to encourage me to vote Obama:
Lindsay Lohan
Woody Allen
Diddy
Roger Ebert
Sandra Bernhard
Matt Damon
Pamela Anderson
Could all of these people be wrong?
saint kansas on September 26, 2008 at 3:21 PM
The media, including LetterDouche, would say the same things REGARDLESS of what McCain does, Bow. Haven’t you noticed that by now?
No matter what McCain does, they tear into him
No matter what Obama does, they kiss his a++
If McCain had not gone to D.C. they would have said he didn’t care about the ‘little guy’ or Main Street, etc
Haven’t you ever heard the phrase, “Damned if you do, damned if you don’t”? It applies to all media coverage of all Republicans and conservatives
Janos Hunyadi on September 26, 2008 at 3:21 PM
Cheer up: Some good news.
Count to 10 on September 26, 2008 at 3:22 PM
You know if all the “rich and powerful” in America (who are voting for Obama) go ahead and do the neighborly thing and contribute 50% of their wealth, then we won’t need this MOAB.
Where are you Oprah? Bill Gates? Hollyweird?
moonsbreath on September 26, 2008 at 3:22 PM
I would be so much more comforted by that if this were a fair fight :(
Priscilla on September 26, 2008 at 3:23 PM
Damn polls…
HornetSting on September 26, 2008 at 3:24 PM
I don’t normally put much stock in these polls but what McCain pulled with Letterman really hurt his credibility. I love Palin, but admit it guys, she looked shaky as hell in that Couric interview. As far as the bailout, the republicans need to call out Pelosi and Reid, if they think it’s such a good plan, vote on it.
McCain and Palin need to ace their debates or it’s over. Maybe I’m channeling Eeyore today but I just don’t think the media will let Obama slip like before.
kongzilla on September 26, 2008 at 3:24 PM
Anyone else noticing the trend taking place today on the cable news networks?
All of the Democrat “strategists” are saying the candidates need to focus on the troubling economy in tonight’s debate. They say that’s what is on the mind of the American voter and the public needs to know where the candidates stand on the issue. All of this punditry ignores the fact that foreign policy and national security were set as the topic of discussion many months ago.
Translation: Changey Hopey no likey to talk about foreign policy and national security and knows McCain is about to hand him his hat on those topics.
Prediction: NBC hacks moderating the debate will turn it on it’s head, play into Obama’s hands, ignore the agreed upon topic and go full bore into addressing the financial crisis at hand.
Count on it.
fogw on September 26, 2008 at 3:24 PM
Arrggh – you are right. And the true foreign policy debate will never happen. I’ll bet the word “surge” does not pass anyone’s lips tonight…..
Priscilla on September 26, 2008 at 3:28 PM
I think I said the election against Algore was the most important, and then came Kerry. I said THAT was the most important election. NOW, I am saying this is the most important election. Each time we had as opponents MARXIST! And now we have a candidate that is even LEFT of Algore, and Kerry. It kinda makes you wonder who is going to be next? Satan? Oh yeah, it will be that Alinsky, Lucifer loving Hillary Clinton. Yep, Satan will be running next.
I read the CC furnished article, and the one thing that stands out is the fact that people could really do an about face come the reckoning of pulling the switch, punching the paper or coloring in the circle with the #2 pencil. I do think people are going to see this whole week as McCain being pro-active. Obama said, “Knock 3 times on the ceiling if you want me!”
It may take some time for the American mostly center voters to recognize this, but the 3 leading Democrats that were at that meeting yesterday did not come out in a joint press conference saying THE ONE MANCHILD COMMUNITY ORGANIZER had done a swell job. You know we have been told by THE ONE himself that he can make the seas go down, and heal the planet. So why in the hell could he not champion the American taxpayers yesterday? It is rather odd considering all those magically delicious talents he is suppose to have. Even his VP candidate, Gaffe Joe has said he is clean and articulate; the picture is just not jiving.
As we are watching this all unfold there are several things I think Negative Nellies need to remember. This places the focus on Conservatism, and how every time it is applied, it works. It places the focus on the need for the electorate to pay attention to those in Congress who are really putting the American electorate as the most important thing for them and not appealing to the world body electorate. It places character in the lead. Who had the character to attempt to do the right thing? Who has character of these two? Who is having to have his advisors tell him what to do as opposed to just acting on what your gut tells you? The Dems are saying the was a political stunt, but is that how Americans see this? I doubt it. McCain has a history to point to and Obama has a speech and pissing everyone off in that room yesterday.
The next question is- what are you as a HotAir person going to do about all this? Are you out campaigning or spreading the word through the internet or making calls? I am not trying to preach, but this has reached the level of the press not doing its job in getting out the truth. I know, big Duh? But seriously WE are all going to have to do something. We have to be those “We The People” our Founders loved so much. So in the immortal words of Joe Obiden, “Stand up! God luv ya!”
freeus on September 26, 2008 at 3:35 PM
The Crisis – December 23, 1776
THESE are the times that try men’s souls. The summer soldier and the sunshine patriot will, in this crisis, shrink from the service of their country; but he that stands by it now, deserves the love and thanks of man and woman. Tyranny, like hell, is not easily conquered; yet we have this consolation with us, that the harder the conflict, the more glorious the triumph.
***
I have as little superstition in me as any man living, but my secret opinion has ever been, and still is, that God Almighty will not give up a people to military destruction, or leave them unsupportedly to perish…
***
‘Tis surprising to see how rapidly a panic will sometimes run through a country. All nations and ages have been subject to them…Yet panics, in some cases, have their uses; they produce as much good as hurt. They sift out the hidden thoughts of man, and hold them up in public to the world.
***
Quitting this class of men, I turn with the warm ardor of a friend to those who have nobly stood, and are yet determined to stand the matter out: I call not upon a few, but upon all: …lay your shoulders to the wheel; better have too much force than too little, when so great an object is at stake. Let it be told to the future world, that in the depth of winter, when nothing but hope and virtue could survive, that the city and the country, alarmed at one common danger, came forth to meet and to repulse it.
***
I love the man that can smile in trouble, that can gather strength from distress, and grow brave by reflection. ‘Tis the business of little minds to shrink; but he whose heart is firm, and whose conscience approves his conduct, will pursue his principles unto death.
***
I thank God, that I fear not. I see no real cause for fear. I know our situation well, and can see the way out of it…By perseverance and fortitude we have the prospect of a glorious issue; by cowardice and submission, the sad choice of a variety of evils…. Look on this picture and weep over it! and if there yet remains one thoughtless wretch who believes it not, let him suffer it unlamented.
ManlyRash on September 26, 2008 at 3:40 PM
Hahaha – seriously, you think doing his job and not going to spend a ten minute segment with a leftist boob really hurt McCain, huh? The polls reflect this? LMAO
capitalist piglet on September 26, 2008 at 3:41 PM
Oh jeez you people are crybabies!!!!!!!!
Gallup was tied just yesterday… and theres well over a month left, so it can swing right back in a few days.
Looks like McCains debate stunt didnt work and he’s getting hit on it. Bailout delay seems to work in Obamas favor as well.
Debate’s on- and good or bad, McCain just got millions and millions of free publicity to watch a debate alot of people probably would have missed because its on a Friday.
And its foreign policy- McCain’s going to do very well, if not outright cream Obama.
When people stop reading and hearing things and start watching McCain like at Saddleback, he does extremely well.
This bad week will be forgotten by tomorrow.
Chuck Schick on September 26, 2008 at 3:41 PM
Yes, Mr. Henry, but these are a few polls and there are no Hessians occupying Trenton.
Thanks for laying the groundwork for the Declaration of Independence with your “Common Sense”
Janos Hunyadi on September 26, 2008 at 3:46 PM
I agree… on the contingency that McCain does “cream Obama” at the debate.
If he tanks, not so likely.
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on September 26, 2008 at 3:47 PM
Um, Johnny…check the date that Crisis was written.
ManlyRash on September 26, 2008 at 3:48 PM
1. For DECADES – Too many blacks (obama voters) having too many subsidized bastard children.
2. For DECADED – Too many illegal aliens having “legal” babies.
COME ON OLD FOLKS! GET OUT AND VOTE!!!
marklmail on September 26, 2008 at 3:51 PM
I understand the country’s disaffection with Republicans, but I don’t see how we can turn the keys over to the likes of Obama, Pelosi, Reid, Dodd, and Frank. Too bad McCain lost his grip on the energy issue. These clowns will have us rubbing sticks waiting for technology to develop their crackpot energy sources.
I look at Obama’s resume, and he has about one year of private-sector economic experience. The rest of his adult life has been in the non-profit, governmental, and academic sectors. Where’s his economic expertise–academic or otherwise? I’ll concede his self-employment income from the book royalties, but that’s largely a function of his celebrity status.
Take a look at his and his wife’s tax returns dating back to 2000. From 2000 through 2004, they had no dividend income; meanwhile, they had interest income in only two of those five years–and less than $50 in each of those years. For 2005, 2006, and 2007, they had a fair amount of taxable interest income. They also had some amount of dividend income for 2005 and 2006, but none in 2007. In 2005 or 2006 they bought and sold two stocks for a net loss of about $13,000. They must have become afraid of equities because they had about $45K of tax-exempt interest in 2007. I’m convinced that Obama can’t run a lemonade stand.
I’m with Fiorini; no one on the two tickets can run a business. But McCain seems to believe in our country and in capitalism; incontrast, Obama doesn’t. Seems to me that America, imperfect as it is, aspires to be the land of equal opportunity not the land of equal results. Obama and his buddies will screw us up even worse as they shoot for equal results.
FWIW: when foreclosures are discussed tonight, I hope McCain can ask Obama to explain to Americans how Obama managed to get $300K knocked off of his home when the seller was asking $1.65M in a seller’s market. That’s some advice that all of us could use. I certainly reduced the amount that Obama and his wife were required to borrow to buy the place.
BuckeyeSam on September 26, 2008 at 3:53 PM
AP reminds me of the guy on your team that can’t stop whining, thinks every other team has some advantage, gets all of the calls, knows that bad things are going to happen, etc. You just end up saying, “Shut the farg up!” and look for ways to keep him out of the game.
Sugar Land on September 26, 2008 at 3:57 PM
He got caught lying. Plain and simple. He didn’t leave NY til the next day and did the interview with Couric when he was supposed to be on Letterman’s show. If you don’t think that clip looked bad to fence sitters you’re not being honest with yourself.
kongzilla on September 26, 2008 at 3:58 PM
ManlyRash on September 26, 2008 at 3:40 PM
I love Thomas Paine!
Disturb the Universe on September 26, 2008 at 4:01 PM
The MSM slams McCain and Palin incessantly yet the polls, on the whole, are virtually tied. That tells me that the average citizen isn’t very confident in Obama.
Even though tonight’s debate is supposed to be in McCain’s wheelhouse, all he has to do is come out the way he went in. Call it the Bradley Effect if you like, but McCain wins the election with Obama within five in the polls. It isn’t racial, though, it’s about confidence, or lack thereof, in the character of the man.
pugwriter on September 26, 2008 at 4:01 PM
I DID check, Manly
“Common Sense” was written at the end of 1775, and was the most widely-read publication in the colonies during the six months or so before the Dec of Indep. It explained the concepts underlying American independence in “layman’s terms”
What you are quoting from was written a year later.
Janos Hunyadi on September 26, 2008 at 4:03 PM
Janos Hunyadi on September 26, 2008 at 3:46 PM
It’s Tom Paine, not Patrick Henry!
Disturb the Universe on September 26, 2008 at 4:03 PM
Janos Hunyadi on September 26, 2008 at 4:03 PM
While you’re doing that checking, check the author!
Disturb the Universe on September 26, 2008 at 4:06 PM
It was purely a judgment call for McCain.
Be interviewed by the gap-toothed lefty clown or the horse-toothed liberal hack.
He went with the lesser of two weasels.
fogw on September 26, 2008 at 4:07 PM
You should try being better than the msm, and stop posting these worthless daily polls
mtbunji on September 26, 2008 at 4:07 PM
Democrats always win on the economy, we can argue that it should not be so, but it is. That is why we need to get a bailout bill and try to move on to other topics if we can.
Terrye on September 26, 2008 at 4:08 PM
But I have to admit, looking at the poll that seems like an awfully big change in 4 days.
Terrye on September 26, 2008 at 4:10 PM
I know who wrote what, Disturb. Patrick Henry was an ally of Tom Paine. Paine wrote Common Sense, and the pamphlet that ManlyRash is quoting from.
Meanwhile, get a life
Janos Hunyadi on September 26, 2008 at 4:11 PM
Allah Pundit…What can one say but “Salieri”.
Calm Before the Storm on September 26, 2008 at 4:12 PM
Janos Hunyadi on September 26, 2008 at 4:11 PM
Then why did you call him Mr. Henry? Your answer is bogus.
Disturb the Universe on September 26, 2008 at 4:13 PM
The Democrats shouldn’t win but they do, therefore we should just let them win?
fourstringfuror on September 26, 2008 at 4:14 PM
Your argument is neither here nor there. Please go Disturb some other Universe. Thank you.
fourstringfuror on September 26, 2008 at 4:15 PM
sigh…..
Get a hobby, man. Find something to occupy your time.
ManlyRash quotes Paine; I referred to ManlyRash as Patrick Henry because Henry was an ally and friend of Tom Paine. A friend and ally who would use the words of his friend and ally to rally others. It was a Historical Thing, and obviously beyond your comprehension and ability to make the connection
Again, get a life……
Janos Hunyadi on September 26, 2008 at 4:18 PM
fourstringfuror on September 26, 2008 at 4:15 PM
Your website shows you have a brain. I am not a troll. Why are you acting as Jano’s advocate?
Disturb the Universe on September 26, 2008 at 4:20 PM
Janos Hunyadi on September 26, 2008 at 4:18 PM
It’s your story and you’re sticking to it.
Disturb the Universe on September 26, 2008 at 4:21 PM
No one called you a troll, but you are acting oddly. You need to let things go, or end up looking like a Nut Job
Janos Hunyadi on September 26, 2008 at 4:23 PM
I haven’t blogged in months, but thanks.
It was sarcasm, by the way. I have no dog in your fight.
fourstringfuror on September 26, 2008 at 4:27 PM
The drop in the polls coincide with the recently poor performances of Sarah. It started after the Gibson interview and have gotten worse after the Couric interview.
My position if we bailout wall street and Obama gets elected.
I know I’m gonna get screwed, but I don’t have to watch.
csdeven on September 26, 2008 at 4:27 PM
You’re really depressing me…
blue13326 on September 26, 2008 at 4:27 PM
Janos Hunyadi on September 26, 2008 at 4:23 PM
I just didn’t want someone reading Paine’s words to get confused and think Henry wrote them. Not that Henry wasn’t a great writer himself.
Disturb the Universe on September 26, 2008 at 4:30 PM
These polls are bogus, unless it’s all libs….duh!!! Telling video?
Prophecy…maybe…hehehe!
jerrytbg on September 26, 2008 at 4:33 PM
Dems have over a thousand sophisticated computers standing by. They are capable of converting McCain’s debate oratory into text instantly so that teams of activists can have the entire debate fisked for the press within 15 minutes.
jay12 on September 26, 2008 at 4:38 PM
Heh.
*eats*
Grue in the Attic on September 26, 2008 at 4:47 PM
McCain had better rock the debate tonight.
madmonkphotog on September 26, 2008 at 4:48 PM
expect Reganese…
jerrytbg on September 26, 2008 at 5:12 PM
Eh, I think the polls also coincide with the McCain camp with all the bitching.
There is a reason they threw Carly under the bus, she contributed to one of the worst weeks this year in one of the most important times.
Spirit of 1776 on September 26, 2008 at 5:12 PM
Eh, I think the polls also coincide with the McCain camp with all the bitching.
There is a reason they threw Carly under the bus, she contributed to one of the worst weeks this year in one of the most important times.
I think that press presence was the more important part. It was enough to turn me off.
Spirit of 1776 on September 26, 2008 at 5:13 PM
You guys…take it easy…yesterday we were fine and today we are slightly down…all we have to be is close and we can win.
If you go by daily polls ,you will go bonko’s…..
Albertanator on September 26, 2008 at 5:46 PM
Well then, with these polls swinging so much, up one day and down the next,,, as they all say, the only poll that will really matter is the one on election day!
JellyToast on September 26, 2008 at 6:06 PM
WOW! I forgot about her. I totally blocked that fiasco from my memory. What a total maroon she is.
csdeven on September 26, 2008 at 6:22 PM
As someone said earlier, I really think that McCain’s actions could still really help him. If they come up with a more palatable bill soon and it passes then he’ll get credit and I think he’ll take over the economy issue.
Basically I think this was a gamble on his part and we just don’t know if it’s paid off yet.
As for the debate, as Karl Rove said, the first one is the most important since it shapes people’s perceptions on the others. If McCain makes Obama look like an idiot then Obama will have a hard time turning it around. But if McCain loses the first debate then we might just have reason to panic.
Kronos on September 26, 2008 at 6:32 PM
Agreed and no surprise. Palin is NOT READY TO BE A HEARTBEAT AWAY FROM THE PRESIDENCY, and this is becoming more and more obvious with each of her scary interviews.
Shelby on September 26, 2008 at 10:14 PM
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