Comments on: WaPo/ABC poll: Check the sample

By: Who you want to be Commander in Chief - ExpressJet Forum

Who you want to be Commander in Chief - ExpressJet Forum — Thu, 25 Sep 2008 07:29:08 +0000

[...] Posted by FlyXJTnow And Obama’s lead grows! Hot Air

By: Obama wins election - Page 4 - ExpressJet Forum

Obama wins election - Page 4 - ExpressJet Forum — Thu, 25 Sep 2008 07:27:08 +0000

[...] part since the polls are showing a widening gap in favor of McCain. Isn’t Obama up by 9 now? Hot Air

By: Is Obama Really Up 9% Over McCain? | Mr. Conservative

Is Obama Really Up 9% Over McCain? | Mr. Conservative — Thu, 25 Sep 2008 06:51:39 +0000

[...] Morrissey of HOTAIR believes the marked increase of support for Obama in the Washington Post-ABC News Poll is to a [...]

By: Brutally Honest

Brutally Honest — Thu, 25 Sep 2008 00:33:30 +0000

Explaining the WaPo/ABC poll…

You know… the one showing a 9 point lead for Obama: In the raw numbers, the poll sample consists of 38% Democrats and 28% Republicans. This doubles the actual spread on party affiliation, last surveyed by the more-reliable Rasmussen at…

By: ALERT: MCCAIN: ‘Tomorrow morning, I will suspend my campaign and return to Washington’… | Right Voices

Wed, 24 Sep 2008 22:11:24 +0000

[...] Gallup, Washington Post, Marc Ambinder, The Moderate Voice, Hot Air, Hotline On Call, MyDD, Ace of Spades HQ and Oliver [...]

By: Polling For Obama « Tai-Chi Policy

Polling For Obama « Tai-Chi Policy — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 21:11:36 +0000

[...] in Bias, Despicable Liers, Dishonesty, The Media. trackback It looks like the media is up to the same tricks that they tried to use the last several elections with polling, to try and make things look better for their candidate. [...]

By: On the Right

On the Right — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 18:48:34 +0000

Yes, No, Maybe So…

WaPo/ABC poll: Check the sample
Two questions arise from the Washington Post/ABC poll.
Since they find an unusually high gap — an outlier from all other
polling — what kind of sample produced it? And does this really show a
shift in likely……

By: Ace of Spades HQ

Ace of Spades HQ — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 18:06:54 +0000

Polls: Trending Obama…

Gallup has Obama maintaining his three point edge, Rasmussen has Obama up by 2, a fairly big shift since yesterday’s track showed them tied. A FoxNews poll (not yet included in the RCP average) has Obama up by six –……

By: Mutnodjmet

Mutnodjmet — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 17:28:29 +0000

I will add that the more reliable Battleground Poll has McCain up by 2.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/BG_2-way-ballot-trender.pdf

By: blue13326

blue13326 — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 17:20:25 +0000

Well, if there are that many more Dems, why would they ever lose a national election?

By: Sapwolf

Sapwolf — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 17:14:52 +0000

Just about every poll is from an organization that is either publicly, substantively, or quietly for Obama.

Work hard in the race, NEVER look back, and run like you’ve never run before, and the numbers will take care of themselves.

Gallup is a joge because they are overemphasizing with a subjective view of the hype factor and overplaying the party affiliation.

Add to that 1-2% Bradley effect possibly in some battleground states, and McCain is actually probably winning this thing slightly.

The economy and uncertainty of the bailout plan is what is helping Obama right now.

By: anniekc

anniekc — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 16:58:32 +0000

At least FOX has been running with the Ayers stuff, and the astroturfing stuff, and the e-mail hacking stuff, and the Biden stuff, and the NRA stuff, and the Democraps caused the entire stinking bailout stuff, AND thank God that Obama’s IDIOTIC helper-boy, Bill Burton just keeps showing up on FOX so Megyn Kelly can rip him a new one! That’s always a good time-

By: 18-1

18-1 — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 16:29:47 +0000

How can anyone believe the liberal candidate be the best person to fix the economy since it was his like liberal buddies who screwed it up in the first place. Flipping main stream media is failing…they are hiding the truth and it is simply sickening.

mindhacker on September 24, 2008 at 9:49 AM

Because your average voter has been told Bush is to blame for the current problems?

By: Dusty

Dusty — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 16:22:45 +0000

I’m curious. It’s my impression that McCain has owned the opinion survey questions on who would handle the War in Iraq better, owned meaning, at least, by an outside the MOE amount, i.e., McCain consistently leading by 4% or more. In fact, this poll alone reflects this, although narrower than the 4 I suggest.

I aske because in this WaPo/ABC poll, the numbers are reversed:

9. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] – (Obama) or (McCain)?
Obama McCain
c. The war in Iraq 49 45

If my impression is right, would this answer be an indicator that the random selection of who was called appears to be very skewed?

By: The New Editor

The New Editor — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 16:05:19 +0000

Is this the New ABC News/Washington Post Poll — or a Trip to Fantasyland?…

The new ABC News/Washington Post poll shows that Barack Obama has a nine-point lead over John McCain among “likely” voters, 52% – 43%. This cannot be good news for the McCain campaign.

However, a closer look at the poll’s internals shows that the…

By: garry

garry — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 15:56:22 +0000

Why oh why dear Lord, year after year, do people think that the Democrats are the ones who can better handle the economy and to bring forth jobs to the American people?

Lack of common sense?

By: shick

shick — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 15:54:30 +0000

Splunge!

By: connertown

connertown — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 15:53:41 +0000

This is already’s yesterday’s news.

Just a thought – maybe it’s good to have polls skewed to Obama for now. Then the Dopler Effect (Red Shift) will be more surprising and effective in November.

By: Jazz Shaw

Jazz Shaw — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 15:51:40 +0000

As usual, you don’t need to see the actual poll results to know who is moving up in the polls. You just need to see who is complaining about the pollsters. ;-)

By: Angry Dumbo

Angry Dumbo — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 15:35:22 +0000

Jimmy Carter for a new century. Palin 2012.

By: GarandFan

GarandFan — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 15:29:34 +0000

Is it too early for me to order my Obama coin?

By: Rovin

Rovin — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 15:07:01 +0000

…that might result in angry reactions by the Obamatons.

NuclearPhysicist on September 24, 2008 at 10:49 AM

Would this be considered a pre-detonation or post-detonation? Either way, I can wait to see the implosion followed by a total meltdown of the Democrat party.

By: petunia

petunia — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 15:00:48 +0000

Someone call Huck, we need to reorganize.

Bishop on September 24, 2008 at 9:57 AM

I’m sorry but that is just uncalled for profanity!

By: petunia

petunia — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 14:54:03 +0000

Well if the intent of this poll was to discourage me. It worked.

By: Aristotle

Aristotle — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 14:51:43 +0000

Rovin on September 24, 2008 at 10:44 AM

You only put emphasis on McCain’s utter populist stupidity to repeat lies instead of telling the truth. He knows exactly who caused the crisis, but yet refuses to tell it like it is order to be seen as bipartisan. But instead he looks like a clueless panderer – and the polls show it.