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Bailouts must be like Lay’s Potato Chips

posted at 7:50 am on September 17, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
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Apparently, we can’t just eat one.  Last night, despite sending clear signals that the Fed would no longer intervene to save private firms who bet badly on subprime mortgages, the government more or less nationalized insurance giant AIG, who teetered on the edge of collapse all day.  The Bush administration claims that taxpayers will be indemnified against the costs of a bailout through an orderly sale of AIG assets:

Invoking extraordinary powers granted after the 1929 stock market crash, the government seized control of the insurance giant American International Group to preserve a crucial bulwark of the global financial system.

The move to lend the Wall Street giant up to $85 billion in exchange for nearly 80 percent of its stock effectively nationalizes one of the central institutions in the crisis that has swept through markets this month.

The government had sought to avoid federal intervention by lining up private companies to rescue AIG. But the effort failed when companies were unwilling to take on the massive financial risk, forcing the government’s hand.

AIG found itself on the verge of bankruptcy because of mounting losses from investments tied to subprime home mortgages and also from the insurance it was providing to others who invested in mortgages.

The reasoning went like this: the Fed refused to bail out Lehman Brothers because they gave the government plenty of warning about their potential collapse.  Because AIG waited until the last minute to let the government know about their predicament, the Fed had to bail out AIG and essentially nationalize it, making the US government the world’s largest insurer.  What kind of message does that send?

Of course, given the rapid-fire bailouts that Washington has conducted, its status as the world’s largest insurer has some ironic value.  It first used the Depression-era authority to rescue Bear Stearns, which raised eyebrows among people who wondered why the bad investment decisions of BS management had suddenly become the liability of American taxpayers.  Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac followed, with the rationalization that, as GSEs, the government had an obligation to cover their losses.  Now another private firm, an insurer no less, has suddenly become the responsibility of American taxpayers.

When do we start holding investors accountable for their own failures?  When did investments stop carrying risk, and when did the Treasury become the co-signer for market stupidity?  There is actually an answer for this question.  It happened when the government began to dictate lending policy that forced them to create debt for marginally or totally unqualified borrowers, and then watched as that paper became the late 1990’s-early 2000’s equivalent of 1980s junk bonds.  Those bonds became highly-sought investment products, which firms like AIG snapped up for their high yield and implicit government backing.

They were also like Lay’s Potato Chips, and everyone kept eating and eating.

Now that we’ve decided to nationalize Bear Stearns and AIG, maybe we can put an end to stupid lending practices and equally stupid government mandates in lending.  A lesson this costly should not be soon forgotten.  In the meantime, we should demand an end to these bailouts and let the markets fend for themselves.


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Comment pages: 1 2

It would be difficult for me to give good advice to a young person regarding what field might give him a stable career.

Politics is a stable field. Some of those people have been camped out in DC for over thirty years.

flenser on September 17, 2008 at 10:55 AM

ON THE BAIL-OUT DNC FRONT

o/t headline: Rothschild from Clinton camp backing McCain now.

Lynn Forester de Rothschild is the CEO of EL Rothschild, a holding company with businesses around the world. She is married to international banker Sir Evelyn de Rothschild.

Putting rumors to rest, or preparing for sabotage?

Hillary will/will-not join the Obama ticket for the October surprise?

How best to crumble McCain’s forces than from within?

Is Rothschild a Trojan Horse? If such, is this where McCain keeps his friends close and his enemies closer?

maverick muse on September 17, 2008 at 10:58 AM

There is foreign competition for many jobs, that is just a way of life after NAFTA and subsequent trade deals.

I love the way you people act as if your own policy preferences are “just a way of life” which all must accept.

flenser on September 17, 2008 at 10:59 AM

Politics is a stable field. Some of those people have been camped out in DC for over thirty years.

flenser on September 17, 2008 at 10:55 AM

I was thinking law school when I wrote it, but I find the field too detestable to recommend, but that’s harsh, since it’s the people in the field, and not the field that is so detestable.

Exit question: Is there a lawyer who doesn’t make used car salesmen look like clergy?

DFCtomm on September 17, 2008 at 11:00 AM

The government was pretty much obligated to do this as the reason for AIGs problems is the holding of so much Lehman securities and debt. The state of Florida holds a bunch too, and might need bailing out. In this case, I don’t mind a *loan* as much as a straight out bailout. We are pretty likely to get our money back.

crosspatch on September 17, 2008 at 11:05 AM

I wouldn’t call the AIG takeover, nationalization. It is in a conservatorship which now means that the Feds will comb through the balance sheet and start selling of its assets. Government gets paid first. AIG was the largest dealer in Credit Defaults Swaps, which is basically saying that they insure debt. If they went down there would have been a worldwide assets revaluation that would have possibly led to a depression like event. The government had no good option.

knat on September 17, 2008 at 11:06 AM

Remember when Mitt Romney gave his controversial speech in which he claimed that the American way of life requires a Judeo Christian foundation, or else it will fail? — And everybody hissed and bitched the usual clap trap about theocracy, and who are you to judge, and keep your morals away from me, etc., etc.?

Romney was right.

jeff_from_mpls on September 17, 2008 at 8:37 AM

Yeah, it’s simply impossible to have a good government without believing in a magic man in the sky who’ll mess you up after you die.

Xolom on September 17, 2008 at 8:57 AM

Go ahead and ridicule the Judeo-Christian basis of civilization.

You place your faith in some words on parchment that were ratified by a bunch of guys in Congress in 1776, and who are now dead. That’s a pretty flimsy foundation for a nation.

Please explain, without a shred of metaphysics, why the hell I should honor that document, other than by a moral law that binds me as a human being to other human beings living in an ordered society.

Again, you can ridicule religion. We’re used to it. But what you fail to grasp is that you merely worship a different, vastly fallible god.

jeff_from_mpls on September 17, 2008 at 11:08 AM

The government was pretty much obligated to do this as the reason for AIGs problems is the holding of so much Lehman securities and debt. The state of Florida holds a bunch too, and might need bailing out. In this case, I don’t mind a *loan* as much as a straight out bailout. We are pretty likely to get our money back.

crosspatch on September 17, 2008 at 11:05 AM

I had read that it was eventually going to spread to local government institutions because of the insuring of junk securities. I’m glad I got most of my 401 out of stocks early, and now if I could just find a way to get into my mattress.

DFCtomm on September 17, 2008 at 11:10 AM

I think this sort of reemphasizes just how conservative the Bush administration is not.

It would have been difficult times short term had AIG failed, had Bear Stearns failed, but the market would have adjusted, been stronger and wiser as a result.

Instead the taxpayers get hosed, the CEOs who ran these companies into the ground walk away with millions of dollars. It is just plain wrong.

Sheerq on September 17, 2008 at 11:12 AM

The Ceo’s that ran Fannie Mae, the nexus of this whole problem, are advisers to Obama.

patrick neid on September 17, 2008 at 11:17 AM

TheBigOldDog on September 17, 2008 at 10:32 AM

I think my questions are legitimate. I don’t claim to be an economist. Fortunately, I can study economics but you sir will always be an a55hole.

ronsfi on September 17, 2008 at 11:28 AM

Wow. I think I am just witnessing my beloved country turning commie.

Yes we needed to bail out AIG. Yes we also needed to bail out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

But if this pattern continues, then we might as well nationalize the airline industry, auto industry and Google (for our own safety–wink).

If McCain loses this election, then its time to move. I have no desire to live in a country gone commie socialist nation.

Darnell Clayton on September 17, 2008 at 11:38 AM

I love the way you people act as if your own policy preferences are “just a way of life” which all must accept.

flenser on September 17, 2008 at 10:59 AM

Please don’t call them my policy preferences, but yes they are just a way of life. When you have an apathetic public and a two party oligarchy whose main differences are nuances, those policy preferences are just a way of life which we all must accept. This is what Western Civilization has and been all about.

LevStrauss on September 17, 2008 at 11:45 AM

“Wow. I think I am just witnessing my beloved country turning commie.

Yes we needed to bail out AIG. Yes we also needed to bail out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”

I see this as not even as bad as the bailout of Chrysler. It is a loan. Also, Sweetness and Light has a pretty good article where they show that Bush (with McCain’s support) tried to fix this in 2003 and was blocked by Congress.

crosspatch on September 17, 2008 at 11:48 AM

I think my questions are legitimate. I don’t claim to be an economist. Fortunately, I can study economics but you sir will always be an a55hole.

ronsfi on September 17, 2008 at 11:28 AM

Yes your questions are legit which is why I pointed you in the right direction. I guess that makes me an asshole in your book. So be it.

TheBigOldDog on September 17, 2008 at 11:52 AM

Wow. I think I am just witnessing my beloved country turning commie.

Yes we needed to bail out AIG. Yes we also needed to bail out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

But if this pattern continues, then we might as well nationalize the airline industry, auto industry and Google (for our own safety–wink).

If McCain loses this election, then its time to move. I have no desire to live in a country gone commie socialist nation.

Darnell Clayton on September 17, 2008 at 11:38 AM

Where are you going to move to? You’re concerned about socialism, so it won’t be Europe, or Canada, and Australia is pretty far down the socialist well, so let me know where this shining beacon of conservatism is, and I may join you.

Why don’t all conservatives move to Alaska, and demand independence. We then take Siberia, and form a true conservative northern nation. We have lots of resources, and won’t have to engage in much ideological cleansing, because of the sparse population.

DFCtomm on September 17, 2008 at 11:58 AM

Very important words today:

I hope we have once again reminded people that man is not free unless government is limited. There’s a clear cause and effect here that is as neat and predictable as a law of physics: As government expands, liberty contracts.

The Late Ronald Reagan

HotAirJosef on September 17, 2008 at 12:37 PM

From a UK reader:

Doesn’t AIG underwrite financial institutions and non-financial institutions around the world including my local department store and therefore if my local department store (John Lewis) goes belly-up does that mean you lot are paying for it? Isn’t this all a bit mental if you US taxpayers are now personally underwriting institutions across the globe?

I’m bewildered.

Also, what, in practice, does it actually mean for Joe Public if the US financial system becomes almost entirely nationalised?

schiehallion on September 17, 2008 at 1:22 PM

I believe there is a lot of misconception about exactly what was done with AIG. They were given a LOAN. They were not, as far as I know, “taken over” by the government as I have seen posted all over the Internet today. The government gave them a loan to remain solvent. The taxpayers have not taken over AIG to the best of my knowledge.

crosspatch on September 17, 2008 at 1:36 PM

As noted elsewhere, this is a loan, not a takeover — and a loan with 80% collateral. They aren’t ‘nationalized.’ That’s a McCain-esque confusion you got there, Cap’n.

Next, AIG is considered ‘too big to fail’ because they invested in, and insure a lot of, Alt-A mortgage product (such as MBSs) at US banks. If AIG folded, a lot of those banks would suddenly find their assets uninsured — and themselves in a rather precarious financial position. You only think the economy has problems now; if AIG folded, it’d be a lot worse.

Doesn’t mean I have to like it, but the Feds ain’t shoveling out money because they like it.

Paul_in_NJ on September 17, 2008 at 3:42 PM

People can complain about this all they want, but if the Fed had not done this and this huge company had gone belly up, the economic repercussions would almost certainly have doomed any possibility of a Republican victory.

And besides all that, the people who are angry about it, are not the people who are responsible for the outcome. It is easy to talk about this sort of thing in the abstract, but the damage done if AIG went belly up would have been very real, nothing abstract at all.

Terrye on September 17, 2008 at 4:27 PM

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