Hotline poll: Palin’s favorables declining

posted at 5:05 pm on September 16, 2008 by Allahpundit

The numbers aren’t as dire as in the, ahem, Daily Kos tracking poll favored by Andrew Sullivan, but there does seem to be some erosion going on:

The poll has Obama up four over McCain so it’s a bit of an outlier, but keep an eye out for her favorables in major polls out tomorrow or on Thursday for comparison. It’s worrisome how quickly the trend has moved: As of Saturday, after both nights of the Gibson interviewed had aired, she was still +22, higher than any of the other three candidates. Three days later she’s +11, lower than both Democrats. The Gibson interviews finished Friday; if they’re the catalyst, I’m not sure why we’d be seeing such delayed movement. There must have been something over the weekend that nudged people. Was it the NYT and WaPo hit pieces? The fire she took on the Sunday morning talk shows? The, gulp, SNL skit? McCain’s favorables have also eroded, so maybe all the media whining about his ads has penetrated and Palin’s simply absorbed some collateral damage. Or maybe not: “What’s more, 35% of RVs now say Palin is ‘very unprepared’ to serve as POTUS — up from 28% who said so in the sample completed immediately after the GOP convo (fielded 9/5-7).” Could be that her leveling off is dragging him down, not vice versa.

Exit question: Big rebound coming from tomorrow night’s softball game with Hannity, right?


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I don’t think the McCain campaign can take Obama saying he is lying without really defending themselves. Even I was thinking it could be true. I remember he got where he is by bald faced lying about Mitt Romney. So he is vulnerable on that account.

petunia on September 16, 2008 at 6:49 PM

petunia – I believe this to be very true. McCain has a history of lying

What? A politician/leader lying?!

Big flippin’ deal. Nothing new for politicians, and nothing new for this campaign. Whatever it takes for the cause. A few inaccurate statements is better than the alternative (see the Bible–Jericho, when David’s wife protected him from Saul, the midwives protecting the Hebrew newborns, etc., etc., etc.). Just remember these two rules:
1. Don’t lie unless you have to (keep as much credibility as you can).
2. Make it the smallest, most obscure lie possible (minimize chance of getting caught, minimize damage to your storyline), unless you truly have to go nuclear and lay down a doozy (but that should be a last resort).

Tommygun on September 17, 2008 at 1:08 AM

Make it the smallest, most obscure lie possible (minimize chance of getting caught, minimize damage to your storyline), unless you truly have to go nuclear and lay down a doozy (but that should be a last resort).

Tommygun on September 17, 2008 at 1:08 AM

Are you an expert on lying or an expert liar?

Shelby on September 17, 2008 at 1:31 AM

Make it the smallest, most obscure lie possible (minimize chance of getting caught, minimize damage to your storyline), unless you truly have to go nuclear and lay down a doozy (but that should be a last resort).

Tommygun on September 17, 2008 at 1:08 AM
Are you an expert on lying or an expert liar?

Shelby on September 17, 2008 at 1:31 AM

Yes.

Tommygun on September 17, 2008 at 1:36 AM

Hotline?

http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NDA1ZDY1YjkwZmU5NTBiMDBjMDc0ZDBkOWFjYmUzMzg=

Mr. Wednesday Night on September 17, 2008 at 1:32 AM

So it would appear Hotline isn’t exactly the most reliable of polling services. Or all the others are screwed up.

AP strikes again.

Oh, one other rule on lying, which should be intuitively known but bears mention:

3. Don’t lie to the good guys.

Tommygun on September 17, 2008 at 1:39 AM

Oh, one other rule on lying, which should be intuitively known but bears mention:

3. Don’t lie to the good guys.

Tommygun on September 17, 2008 at 1:39 AM

Don’t lie AGAINST the good guys.

Shelby on September 17, 2008 at 1:43 AM

Hotline?

http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NDA1ZDY1YjkwZmU5NTBiMDBjMDc0ZDBkOWFjYmUzMzg=

Mr. Wednesday Night on September 17, 2008 at 1:32 AM

Thanks Mr. Wednesday. Appears Hotline is mainstream enough to be quoted on nationalreview. That’s good enough for me.

Shelby on September 17, 2008 at 1:49 AM

AP : The sky is falling, the sky is falling!!!!

Fuquay Steve on September 17, 2008 at 7:33 AM

If we are not ready to fight for this victory, we are likely to lose, and will wake up on November 5th to hear the words “newly elected President of the Unites State, Barack Hussein Obama… We we stay energized and work our butts off, McCain/Palin could win and win big.

Keemo on September 16, 2008 at 6:52 PM

They say people get the Gov they deserve. Dems, religious bigots and McCain’s lies kept us from having the best candidate on either side this election—Mitt Romney—as our nominee! The dems were terrified of him and for good reason. Can anyone say expert on the single most important voter-issue right now: THE ECONOMY! And who comes to mind: MITT ROMNEY!

Romney Poses Bigger Threat to Obama than McCain

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/earl-ofari-hutchinson/romney-poses-bigger-threa_b_102262.html

Shelby on September 17, 2008 at 12:43 PM

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