Comments on: Rasmussen: McCain moves out to the lead

By: Captain Scarlet

Captain Scarlet — Sat, 13 Sep 2008 10:27:31 +0000

I, for one, would be ecstatic to see Washington go red for McCain/Palin, so I could then rub it in the face of my wife’s Seattle-burb relatives who have nothing at all positive to say about any Republican, who forwarded me the lengthy “Things you should know about Sarah Palin” e-mail from the disgruntled Wasillan, and who said Palin should be kept “barefoot and pregnant” (there’s leftist tolerance for you) where she belongs. On my last visit, I was arguing (really, elucidating) the finer points of foreign policy with the family’s 12-yr old (who says, “Bush is a bad man,” “I think all war is stupid,” “high gas prices are Bush’s fault”). It’s sad to see such indoctrination in someone so young.

By: Teddy

Teddy — Sat, 13 Sep 2008 08:48:54 +0000

No such angst in AZ about losing to Hussein. But I like it that way.

We’re Locked&Loaded For McCain/Palin!

So Bring It Barry! And you too Michelle.

We’ll intro’ you to some Real PUMAs!

Thing is, we call em’ mountain lions down here.

Maybe you can organize their community too?

Then you can call them whatever the hell you want to.

By: Mr Michael

Mr Michael — Sat, 13 Sep 2008 05:29:18 +0000

Hey Knuckles, don’t be so pessimistic. The earlier commenters who brought up Dino Rossi have a real point…

Some background for those who don’t live an breath local Washington politics… Dino Rossi ran for Governor in Washington four years ago, and you may remember the scandal that was the King County vote counting. I forget how many times they ‘found’ ballots, but they declared Rossi the winner twice, and then counted again… just putting Christine Gregoire (D) over the top for the win.

Dino’s from the Rainier Valley/South Seattle… a neighborhood that is historically Italian, then African American, now pretty much mixed African American and Asian American etc. The ethnic vote is up for grabs for Governor because there is a real feeling of the Dems ‘taking the election away from Our Dino.’

How this affects the Presidential Election we’ll have to wait to see… but I wouldn’t bet against a Dino Rossi landslide, and a McCain/Palin coat-tails win as well.

A lot of Seattle Blue Collar folks have either fished in Alaska or worked the pipeline, we do a LOT of retail sales to Alaska when they come south. Seattle sends Cruise Ships up to Alaska all summer long. Point is, we have a lot more ties to Alaska than the Eddie Bauer/REI trailstompers! And Sarah Palin would get just an absolutely HUGE response up here!

By: Knuckledragger

Knuckledragger — Sat, 13 Sep 2008 00:10:28 +0000

I seriously doubt that Washington will go for McCain
Eukardios on September 12, 2008 at 7:59 PM

You’re right….. too many wackos in this state are still pulling for Ron Paul. If I remember right, Paul got a higher percentage of the primary vote here than in any other state. I still see the stupid banners everywhere on my way to work!

By: Eukardios

Eukardios — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 23:59:31 +0000

I seriously doubt that Washington will go for McCain–Obama would have to win Seattle by less than the usual Democrat margin–I can verify that many Washingtonians who had been committed to Obama are now, at the least, back on the fence.

By: SuperCool

SuperCool — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 21:44:14 +0000

Straw Man, Straw House, Palin’s turned into the Human Torch, you do the math.

By: Blue_State_Blues

Blue_State_Blues — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 21:20:34 +0000

I wonder how the Washington local media has been playing Palin… They might have been giving Sarah “Northwest” Palin a free ride, and thus the boost in McCain’s numbers. Believe it!

Seixon on September 12, 2008 at 2:32 PM

That’s hardly the case. I live in the town that Governor Palin’s parents grew up in and our local newspaper smears her just as much, if not more than the other newspapers do.

By: JeffWeimer

JeffWeimer — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 20:12:36 +0000

That Washington thing mroe than likely stems from a rather provincial possessiveness the city of Seattle itself has for Alaska. Seattle has always considered Alaska as it’s own pet territory and then state, ever since the Yukon gold rush. We have a bit of a paternalistic affinity for Alaska and Alaskans. Western Washington has always largely drove statewide politics due to numbers in the Bellingham-Everett-Seattle-Tacoma-Olympia axis. Eastern Washington has been more Republican leaning, much like the rest of the interior western states, but they’ve usually been overwhelmed by the (much) more liberal areas west of the cascades. I’m a Seattlite, so I know a bit from whence I speak. I’m gonna crow a little bit now, I predicted on August 29th Palin might just bring WA to the red, or at least put it into play. One can only hope, they have a solid, strong Democrat organization in the state’s largest population centers. I’m doing my part, I vote absentee there – I’m military stationed in Virginia.

By: Dusty

Dusty — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 18:56:30 +0000

Now up today:

Rasmussen +3 McCain
Hotline +1 Obama
Gallup +3 McCain
AP/GfK +4 McCain
AP/GfK +4 McCain (with Barr and Nader included)

By: Mary in LA

Mary in LA — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 18:56:05 +0000

“… [Obama] really thought he was just going to stroll into the White House with throngs of adoring followers tossing ~~rose petals~~ palm branches at his feet and bowing as he passed by. …”

AZCoyote on September 12, 2008 at 12:01 PM

FIFY. :-P

By: hump1201

hump1201 — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 18:46:48 +0000

Also we had our own run in with ACORN and I believe some people went to jail for vote fraud a ittle while ago. The state sec of state is a republican and i saw a figure of 500,000 names purged from the voter rolls. WA elections have been a joke the past few years so thres more pressure to get it right. At my county GOP convention the sec of state spoke and said his office was working hard to fix the states reputation. Hopefully he did a good job! Keep hope alive! Stand up and fight!

By: hump1201

hump1201 — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 18:37:08 +0000

Republicans in WA are fired up about the gov race since it got stolen last time. Even my obamatron sister in law is planning to vote Rossi because ‘he got screwed’ in 04. Theres near-constant commercials from both candidates and the GOP ones highlight the current gov’s spending increase during her term. I’m not sure if it will translate into GOP wins in either race but it sure as hell is exciting and nice to see the possibilities.

By: eaglewingz08

eaglewingz08 — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 18:37:07 +0000

Don’t worry about Washington, that was the state that had more voters than registered voters (indeed, even more voters than residents of many areas of the State) in 2004.
The courts there are so corrupt that they waved off these ‘inconvenient’ facts in fraud cases following that election. So, if the dems there have to dig up a million bodies from the graveyard to vote this November, they will do so.

By: Seixon

Seixon — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 18:32:27 +0000

I wonder how the Washington local media has been playing Palin… They might have been giving Sarah “Northwest” Palin a free ride, and thus the boost in McCain’s numbers. Believe it!

By: Marines for Mccain

Marines for Mccain — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 18:14:09 +0000

Going from 12 points up to 2 points up, does mean that Obama will have to put money into WA if he wants to preserve it. And given his recent fund raising problems, he doesn’t have money to spend everywhere.

MarkTheGreat on September 12, 2008 at 12:58 PM

And the 10% point jump is gigantic!

By: Marines for Mccain

Marines for Mccain — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 18:12:55 +0000

MarkTheGreat on September 12, 2008 at 12:58 PM

Very good point mark

By: Marines for Mccain

Marines for Mccain — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 18:11:25 +0000

IF Washington goes red with all the latte libs there,its over for Osama!!!! Semper Fi

By: Ace of Spades HQ

Ace of Spades HQ — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 18:08:59 +0000

Polls: Good News From Rasmussen, Bad News from Gallup…

Rasmussen shows McCain finally out in front with a 3 point lead. Previous polls have showed McCain either tied or behind by one (among leaners). And, as noted, Rasmussen weights by party, which they adjust each month. They’re currently assuming……

By: rsrobinson

rsrobinson — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 17:53:53 +0000

Is it possible for The Obamassiah to be the first candidate to lose 57 states?

rbj on September 12, 2008 at 12:50 PM

Naw, he’s got Germany locked up. At least I’m presuming that’s one of the 57 since he took the time to make a campaign stop there.

By: BadgerHawk

BadgerHawk — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 17:52:17 +0000

AP Poll

Its A PDF file

William Amos on September 12, 2008 at 1:33 PM

I don’t think I’ve ever mentioned this, but thanks for posting links to polling numbers.

By: William Amos

William Amos — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 17:52:03 +0000

Keep in mind crongress flipped on some close GOP seats oing the dems way. If that reverses Nancy Pelosi wont be speaker

By: GulfCoastBamaFan

GulfCoastBamaFan — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 17:48:03 +0000

These numbers, if they hold even close to what they are for the next eight weeks, spell absolute DOOM for The One’s chances to win.

These daily tracking polls measure national opinion. They reflect the opinions of Californians, New Yorkers and the Starbucks bunch in the Pacific Northwest in greater number than in states where the race will be decided. This is so because those states are more populous and have much greater margins of Obama support.

Secondly (and sady), there is a Bradley effect. A small number of secretly bigoted people tell pollsters that they will vote for a black candidate, when they have no intentions of doing so once they enter the privacy of the booth. It’s probably not as bad now as it was when the phenomenon was named, but it is probably good for at least one to two points nationally.

Thirdly, the conservative base is more excited about the ticket now than they have been since the early 1980’s. When conservatives are motivated, there is no more reliable voting bloc in the free world. Conversely, liberals seem to have lost some air from their balloons. Even when they are motivated, their reliability at the polls causes sweating and heart palpitations.

Fourth, much of Obama’s support is expected to come from newly registered Democrats, in states where party choice is required at registration. A: Guess which states are more likely to go blue anyway, and B: Guess how reliable newly registered urban voters are on election day?

Fifth, another significant demographic Obama is depending on consists of younger voters. This is, again, not the most reliable bloc of the electorate. MTV has been trying to rock the vote for two decades and hasn’t so much as even gotten the vote to list a little.

Obama needs to go into November with a lead at or above the double digit threshold, or he will spend 2009 on the rubber chicken circuit with Al Gore and John F’ing Kerry.

By: Blue_State_Blues

Blue_State_Blues — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 17:38:54 +0000

Good point. Our high business taxes already drove Boeing out, and many other businesses went across the border to Idaho.

p40tiger on September 12, 2008 at 1:34 PM

Dino Rossi 08 !

By: Count to 10

Count to 10 — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 17:36:10 +0000

Agent of the Cross on September 12, 2008 at 1:20 PM

My sister lives in Bend. Moved there a couple of years back with her new husband. Dietitian.

By: p40tiger

p40tiger — Fri, 12 Sep 2008 17:34:24 +0000

MarkTheGreat on September 12, 2008 at 1:22 PM

Good point. Our high business taxes already drove Boeing out, and many other businesses went across the border to Idaho.