Gallup: 39% say Palin is ready to be president, 33% say she isn’t

posted at 3:48 pm on August 30, 2008 by Allahpundit

The news isn’t all bad, but that’s the worst split since you know who. Biden shakes out at 57/18.

Big speech Wednesday night. Big, biiiiiig speeech.

• Forty-six percent rate McCain’s choice of Palin as excellent or “pretty good,” while 37% say it is “only fair” or poor. Over the past two decades, only Quayle received lower ratings after being picked for a ticket.

• Women overall have a slightly less favorable view of Palin than men, but they also are a bit more likely more likely to say her choice would prompt them to vote for McCain. Among women, 20% say her pick makes them more likely to vote for McCain, 11% less likely. That compares to 16%-12% among men.

Among Democratic women — including those who may be disappointed that New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton did not win the Democratic nomination — 9% say Palin makes them more likely to support McCain, 15% less likely.

I’m not worried about the less likelies. They’re probably “Hillary feminists” who weren’t voting McCain anyway and consider the pick an insult either because it offends their strong, principled opposition to identity politics or because they’re not voting for a pro-life ticket, period. Nine percent being more likely feels like a decent place to start.

Now the good-ish news:

Whatever their views on their qualifications, voters say neither Palin nor Biden will have much impact on their vote. Two of three registered voters, 67%, say putting Palin on the ticket won’t affect their vote; 72% say that of Biden.

Of those who say the running mates will make a difference, 18% say Palin makes them more likely to vote for McCain, 11% less likely. That net-positive impact of 7 points is similar to Biden’s: 14% said his pick made them more likely to vote for Obama, 7% less likely.

High risk, high reward. Whereas Biden’s not going to move much in either direction, she’s bound to win some people over simply by dint of her personal appeal. If she comes out like gangbusters on Wednesday and at the debate and reassures them that she’s qualified, I wonder if we won’t see major movement among that 67%.

And if she comes out and goes full Quayle on us, McCain’s finished.

Exit question: What proof should the alcohol I buy between now and November be? The standard 80 or is it time for this jittery pessimist to kick it up a notch?


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Sarah Palin is the real deal. I’d rather have her running the Federal Government than McCain, Biden, or Obama. I will be voting for Sarah Palin enthusiastically and with no reservations whatsoever.

D0WNT0WN on August 30, 2008 at 3:52 PM

Its the unknow factor Allah. Some think she was simply picked because she was a woman.

But the speech is big for her no doubt. She does have to speak down to earth and get herself out there.

William Amos on August 30, 2008 at 3:52 PM

I’ve been told that the Rasmussen crosstabs show a 9% more likely to 31% less likely to vote for McCain split among undecideds after the Palin selection. I may have been misinformed, but I don’t have a subscription to his site to check it out. Anyone?

Big S on August 30, 2008 at 3:53 PM

As you say: high risk, high reward. It will either fail spectacularly, or succeed spectacularly.

One thing McCain’s rarely been is boring. “Better to flame out than fade way.”

sulla on August 30, 2008 at 3:53 PM

Everclear?!?! Ugh… Bad memories.

LibertarianConservative on August 30, 2008 at 3:53 PM

My toddler is more prepared for Kindergarten than a newborn, but that doesn’t mean that either one is ready.
The same goes here: just because Obama is woefully unprepared does not mean that anyone with more experience is automatically qualified. This is nothing more than a “two wrongs make a right” fallacy.

Send_Me on August 30, 2008 at 3:53 PM

And again the Hilar crowd is the big negative. They are still fuming at her not getting the VP to the point they are upset that McCain would steal hillary’s thunder.

Why I think its a big mistake if McCain tries to run Palin as an alternative to Hillary. As another pundit said “Let Sarah Palin be Sarah Palin and win on those merits”

William Amos on August 30, 2008 at 3:54 PM

I would like you to met my running mate, James Stockdale.
- Ross Perot

Who am I? Why am I here?
- James Stockdale

She’s ready to be President.
- John McCain

What exactly does the Vice President do?
- Sarah Palin

MB4 on August 30, 2008 at 3:54 PM

Skyy

omriceren on August 30, 2008 at 3:54 PM

I do like the person who mentioned – in comparison – John Edwards’ selection as VP.

If he’s qualified, Palin is overly-qualified.

She’s a work in progress; the public’s view on her is inchoate and will solidify later M. How she performs when the bullets really fly will be critical. And you know there are reporters working out trick questions to get her.

I hope they’re hooking up the briefing books to her intravenously. She has, unlike Obama, little margin to make a gaffe. E.g., divided Jerusalem.

SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 3:55 PM

Go to the Dalwhinnie single malt scotch it’ll soothe those pre victory nerves

elduende on August 30, 2008 at 3:55 PM

Heh….I’d say that’s not bad numbers considering the crap they started slinging within 12 minutes of her being confirmed.

If Sarah is as strong as I think she is those numbers will move.

GO SARAH!

sven10077 on August 30, 2008 at 3:55 PM

Better Palin than Obama POTUS to be sure.

That Palin has time on her side, and Obama hasn’t, seconds the motion.

That Palin’s record establishes her legitimate talents concludes the matter.

Biden’s double aneurysms leave him THE dead man walking, to be found under the marble slab after the inevitable pressure mounts.

maverick muse on August 30, 2008 at 3:56 PM

Rasmussen

Forty percent (40%) of voters say Palin was the right choice for McCain. That’s comparable to the 39% who initially said Biden was the right choice for Obama. Following the Democratic National Convention, the number who believed Biden was the right choice grew to 47%. It will be especially significant to see where Palin’s numbers are following the GOP gathering next week.

When Biden was selected, just over half (52%) of Democrats believed he was the right choice. Sixty-three percent (63%) of Republicans say McCain picked the right running mate in Palin, and 40% of unaffiliated voters agree. A week ago, 31% of unaffiliateds said the same about Obama’s selection.

Republicans were evenly divided as to whether Biden was the right choice for Obama, but Democrats strongly reject Palin as McCain’s best option. Only 22% of those in Obama’s party say Palin was the right choice, while 47% disagree.

Just 29% of voters say Palin is ready to be president if necessary, ten points below the 39% who said the same a week ago about Biden, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and a 36-year member of the Senate. Fifty-one percent (51%) of Republican voters say she is ready along with 32% of unaffiliated voters and 11% of Democrats.

William Amos on August 30, 2008 at 3:56 PM

And if she comes out and goes full Quayle on us, McCain’s finished.

There’s no reason for the pessimism. She has proven herself to be eloquent & persuasive in many interviews & in big speeches, such as the barn-burner yesterday..

jgapinoy on August 30, 2008 at 3:56 PM

I think the familiarity numbers undercut those a little. There’s still time for her to move that needle (either way), as you point out.

Since there are actually early Algonquian cave drawings depicting Biden’s approval numbers, his effect on the ticket’s a lot less mutable.

DrSteve on August 30, 2008 at 3:57 PM

As can be seen GOP and independants are fair to Palin. The Left is angry and clinging bitterly to their Hillary and their feminism.

William Amos on August 30, 2008 at 3:57 PM

Mainline that hootch, AP.

Things will go easier.

Why McCain didn’t go for a safe pick mystifies me. If he was a good 10 points behind, okay. But within the margin of error?

Makes no sense.

SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 3:58 PM

Big S on August 30, 2008 at 3:53 PM

There was a recent poll which said that chosing a generic female VP would hurt.

ninjapirate on August 30, 2008 at 3:59 PM

that’s the worst split since you know who

I want to be Robin to Bush’s Batman.
- Dan Quayle

MB4 on August 30, 2008 at 3:59 PM

William Amos on August 30, 2008 at 3:57 PM

read somewhere this morning those women are called the “Dependancy Divas”.

elduende on August 30, 2008 at 3:59 PM

The numbers are bad because the democrats are driving her numbes down. If you remove the democrats from the mix Sarah does rreally well.

The bitter hill factor is still strong in the democratic party.

William Amos on August 30, 2008 at 3:59 PM

“…just because Obama is woefully unprepared does not mean that anyone with more experience is automatically qualified.”

Yeah, but I’ll take someone who has actually DONE SOMETHING while in office rather than a person who spent 8 years voting “PRESENT!”.

GarandFan on August 30, 2008 at 4:01 PM

It Makes it a lot easier to put a McCain/Palin sticker on your car..

:)

Chakra Hammer on August 30, 2008 at 4:02 PM

My comment from the other “Palin Isn’t Ready” thread:
I’ll admit it. If I though McCain was going to die in his first 6 months of office, I’d be a bit worried. But I think he plans on at least serving his first term all the way through. He has a relatively clean bill of health and seems very energetic for a 72 y/o man. We also can’t ignore the fact that McCain has an entire cabinet to fill that should make up for Palin’s lack of NatSec experience. Having McCain (who has more experience than anybody when it comes to NatSec) as POTUS, Palin as VPOTUS (who has much needed experience on energy policy, a major national security issue and one McCain clearly needs some work on understanding), someone like Joementum (who understands the threats of Iran and other Islamofascist states/organizations) as SecState, and someone like Petreaus as SecDef has more than enough experience to run Washington and definitely more than enough experience to make Obama/Biden look like preschoolers.

malan89 on August 30, 2008 at 4:02 PM

Quayle was a man.

Stankleberry on August 30, 2008 at 4:02 PM

She’s not going to go Quayle on us. Everyone seems to think she’s come out of nowhere when in fact she’s been in politics for 16 years. You don’t have an approval rating of 80%, take on the old-boy corrupt network, and still wind up being perceived as a no-nothing fool. And there is no indication from anyone in Alaska that she is.

I predict that the more America sees of her the more they are going to love her.

Question: How many other governors have 80% approval ratings?

Rod on August 30, 2008 at 4:03 PM

I do like the person who mentioned – in comparison – John Edwards’ selection as VP.

If he’s qualified, Palin is overly-qualified.

Awesome.

Everyone start comparing Sarah Palin to John Edwards.

Well, they’re both pretty.

ninjapirate on August 30, 2008 at 4:03 PM

Yeah, but I’ll take someone who has actually DONE SOMETHING while in office rather than a person who spent 8 years voting “PRESENT!”.

GarandFan on August 30, 2008 at 4:01 PM

NOT only that but the only way that Obama got into office in the first place was to get all of his opposition throw off the ticket! He ran unopposed! LOL

Then to get re-elected his campaigns were funded by crooks!

Chakra Hammer on August 30, 2008 at 4:04 PM

I’m not worried about the less likelies. They’re probably “Hillary feminists” who weren’t voting McCain anyway and consider the pick an insult either because it offends their strong, principled opposition to identity politics or because they’re not voting for a pro-life ticket, period.

Or possibly – just possibly – because she’s an attractive woman who is content with her femininity…and they are not.

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:04 PM

AP,

Stick with the 80 proof. You can always compensate by drinking more of it if necessary.

Eukardios on August 30, 2008 at 4:04 PM

Well, they’re both pretty.

And they’re both familiar with changing diapers.

Recent familiarity at that.

SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:05 PM

It Makes it a lot easier to put a McCain/Palin sticker on your car..
Chakra Hammer on August 30, 2008 at 4:02 PM

I prefer this bumper sticker.

Send_Me on August 30, 2008 at 4:05 PM

I’m a firm believer in measuring twice, cutting once. So I’ve held my tongue for 24 hours or so. I have the same feelings I held when the announcement was made.

The function of government, and its leaders, is to develop and execute plans for the smooth operation of government services. One of the prime items is to develop orderly transitions and actions in worst case scenarios.

Sometimes the grassroots get carried away and press for things that, in the long run, are not so good.

Such may be the case here. I am troubled by this choice, much as I like Sarah Palin. I wanted Mitt Romney for two reasons–his obvious and oft proven capabilities and the continuity of governance issue.

This commentary makes the argument.

eaglesdontflock on August 30, 2008 at 4:05 PM

Hate to bust the meme…

But the Palin pick was MUCH more important for independents like myself, who had real problems with McCain.

Face it, Congress is pretty horrible right now, and we have THREE Senator’s running… Washington is considered the problem… and Palin is a breathe of fresh air… an outsider from the rootin tootin WEST…

If McCain does not blow it now… he has my vote, where before the Palin pick, he did not.

Romeo13 on August 30, 2008 at 4:05 PM

39 to 33? The ayes have it!

Jeesh, once again, we haven’t even had our RNC. At the convention, Palin will speak and they will do a bio about her. Confidence will rise. During the campaign, confidence in her will continue to rise, while the inverse will happen with that old fool Biden.

Blake on August 30, 2008 at 4:06 PM

Exit question: What proof should the alcohol I buy between now and November be? The standard 80 or is it time for this jittery pessimist to kick it up a notch?

Everclear. Keep it in the freezer and drink it cold; that’s when it tastes least like rocket fuel.

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:06 PM

Exit question: What proof should the alcohol I buy between now and November be?

You might want to try some of thses fine Fred Sanford beverages.

Mintchipple (Mint julep + Ripple)
Cripple (Cream + Ripple)
Champipple (Champagne + Ripple)
Beaujolipple (Beaujolais + Ripple)
Manischipple (Manischewitz + Ripple).

MB4 on August 30, 2008 at 4:06 PM

Question: How many other governors have 80% approval ratings?

Rod on August 30, 2008 at 4:03 PM

None, but neither does Palin. Troopergate’s been eating away at her approval for months now at a clip of about 5% per month. She’s at 64% as of August 1, if you trust Rasmussen, and that’s before the most embarrassing revelations in that scandal.

Big S on August 30, 2008 at 4:06 PM

And if she comes out and goes full Quayle on us, McCain’s finished.

She will do fine. It’s just that we all know that the MSM will be ready to air any video where a mistake is made. If she takes a bit and forgets to wipe her mouth they will be screaming about how could she possibly lead a nation when she can’t even feed herself.

RobertInAustin on August 30, 2008 at 4:06 PM

This just in folks.

Convention may get postponed!

Over.

1GooDDaDDy on August 30, 2008 at 4:08 PM

Sometimes the grassroots get carried away and press for things that, in the long run, are not so good.

You can say that again.

Big S on August 30, 2008 at 4:08 PM

Excellent Stephen Hayes piece on how Palin got chosen: “How Palin Got Picked”.

It apparently wasn’t a spur of the moment selection; McCain had a purpose in mind.

Hmm….

SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:09 PM

What exactly does the Vice President do?-Sarah Palin – MB4 on August 30, 2008 at 3:54 PM

Would have been honest if you had furnished the quote in its context. But that was never your intention, was it?

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:09 PM

Pappy Van Winkle Family Reserve 23 yr old bourbon!!! Smooth sippin’ spirit. Kick back, watch, sip and enjoy!!

Tom

marinetbryant on August 30, 2008 at 4:09 PM

Everclear can be used to disinfect cuts while dressing a wound and it is the best fuel to use in an alcohol stove. It is a wise investment, especially while packing a bail-out-bag or backpacking supplies.

MarcusBrody on August 30, 2008 at 4:10 PM

This sets a great playing field for us in the expectations game. They keep lowering the bar. That only helps Palin. Brilliantly played Johnny Mac you magnificent bastard.

D0WNT0WN on August 30, 2008 at 4:10 PM

And if she comes out and goes full Quayle on us, McCain’s finished.

And if Biden comes out full Biden, Obama’s finished.

Oh, Biden’s done it already.

fred5678 on August 30, 2008 at 4:10 PM

But the Palin pick was MUCH more important for independents like myself, who had real problems with McCain.

Romeo13 on August 30, 2008 at 4:05 PM

True that.

I was going to sit out this election cycle. But when he picked Palin, well, I ordered my bumper sticker today.

That being said, I will be voting this November, but it won’t be for McCain, it will be for Palin.

From the Libertarian blogs I have been reading, many Libertarians will also be coming out in November for Palin.

RobertInAustin on August 30, 2008 at 4:11 PM

I think the Constitution sets such a minimum eligibility floor for the presidency on purpose. We Americans don’t know what a President’s resume has to look like, but we know a President (or Vice President) when we see it. Excellence and character doesn’t always come with the wall full of framed documents.

RBMN on August 30, 2008 at 4:11 PM

Would have been honest if you had furnished the quote in its context. But that was never your intention, was it?

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:09 PM

It won’t be Obama’s intention either. They’ll point to this alongside the McCain quote about not knowing anything about the economy and ask how Americans can trust these two people if they don’t know anything about the job they’re trying to get. Yes, it will be dishonest, but it’ll work.

Big S on August 30, 2008 at 4:12 PM

We don’t seem to know what would even constitute a proper background and readiness for high office.

Let’s detach ourselves and see how things were done during America’s founding.

Gilbert Lafayette came over from France during the American Revolutionary War to serve as a Major General in the Continental Army — he as 19 years old, and he had less than one year of hands on experience. Why was he qualified?

I argue that his qualifications were (1) the requisite intelligence, organizational skills, and judgment, (2) a heartfelt sense of duty, and (3) a desire for the Continental Army to win.

Of these, Sarah Palin has all three.

I have grave doubts that Senator Obama meets any of these criteria.

By the way, Lafayette became the first honorary American citizen in US history.

jeff_from_mpls on August 30, 2008 at 4:12 PM

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:06 PM

Eww. Everclear is for immature frat boys that want to see how drunk they can get without dying. Tastes like sh*t and puts your life at risk. Not even something to joke about.

Big S on August 30, 2008 at 4:06 PM

Troopergate is a non-scandal and people in Alaska know it more than anyone. Wooten was a crappy trooper and was punished appropriately (some say he should have been all out fired). The Walt Monegan firing was completely unrelated and occurred months later. No abuse of power. No overreactions. A non-scandal. It’s a bit embaressing that this is given any play at Hot Air. This belongs in a Kos diary along with the Sarah as Bree Hodge crap.

malan89 on August 30, 2008 at 4:14 PM

It Makes it a lot easier to put a McCain/Palin sticker on your car..- Chakra Hammer on August 30, 2008 at 4:02 PM

Here you go: http://danglinginvective.blogspot.com/2008/08/baracudda.html

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:14 PM

Palin fired up the base something fierce. I haven’t seen this kind of excitement during this political season, at any time, period.

bnelson44 on August 30, 2008 at 4:14 PM

Can you please report Obama’s poll numbers on the day he announced he was running?

faraway on August 30, 2008 at 4:14 PM

I’m listening to the “Libs” running scared, this is fun.

bucko36 on August 30, 2008 at 4:15 PM

Palin!

RobertInAustin on August 30, 2008 at 4:15 PM

Be careful with the Everclear, AP.

The high-end version we can get here (illegal in NY) is something we’ve marinated fruit in for a version of “P.J.” down here that was locally legendary. One stadium cup was the limit, for safety’s sake, and smoking was not allowed nearby.

We spiked a watermelon with it once and let it infuse for several days. Was too strong and nasty to actually eat, but it made a great firelog, providing you don’t mind clear-blue flames and the smell of burning rind.

Hey, I wasn’t always an adult…

Bob Owens on August 30, 2008 at 4:16 PM

Eww. Everclear is for immature frat boys that want to see how drunk they can get without dying. Tastes like sh*t and puts your life at risk. Not even something to joke about. – malan89 on August 30, 2008 at 4:14 PM

LOL. No argument here, Malan. But Allah was obviously hinting toward something more anesthetic. For that, you can’t beat 200 proof alcohol. As for me…I’ll stick with 12 year old scotch – the drink of Manly Scottish Men.

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:16 PM

Obama’s new slogan: Who’s better for you if our top pick dies?

faraway on August 30, 2008 at 4:17 PM

1GooDDaDDy on August 30, 2008 at 4:08 PM

Good. It should be postponed. Wait a week till after the hurricane is done. That way, Jindal will get to speak about his amazing and efficient pre and post hurricane evac and prep. Watch the NOLA news (streaming live online). The ‘cane isn’t even in the gulf and Bobby is completely ready. This would be a great thing to highlight at the convention.

malan89 on August 30, 2008 at 4:17 PM

Troopergate is a non-scandal and people in Alaska know it more than anyone. Wooten was a crappy trooper and was punished appropriately (some say he should have been all out fired). The Walt Monegan firing was completely unrelated and occurred months later. No abuse of power. No overreactions. A non-scandal. It’s a bit embaressing that this is given any play at Hot Air. This belongs in a Kos diary along with the Sarah as Bree Hodge crap.

malan89 on August 30, 2008 at 4:14 PM

There are phone records and tapes showing that Palin’s administration pressured Moneghan. It’s not going away.

Big S on August 30, 2008 at 4:18 PM

It won’t be Obama’s intention either. They’ll point to this alongside the McCain quote about not knowing anything about the economy and ask how Americans can trust these two people if they don’t know anything about the job they’re trying to get. Yes, it will be dishonest, but it’ll work. -Big S on August 30, 2008 at 4:12 PM

Point taken. Time to get the Ayers Bomb ready for deployment.

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:19 PM

I’ve been on a bourbon kick lately. May I suggest some Wild Turkey?
There is an 80 proof, but the 101 is the more common poison.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wild_Turkey_(bourbon)

Kai on August 30, 2008 at 4:19 PM

Whats funny to is that Palin is EXACTLY the kind of person the founding fathers wanted to help run our country.

Started in the PTA, after having a reagular job… she’s NOT a carreer politician like McCain, Obama, or Biden…

Heck, her husband still has a job… you know, actualy WORKS for a living instead of being some type of political hack, or rich…

This Lady is the epitome of the REAL American success story… no affirmative action here folks… and yet being that American Success story is not enough for the “Pundits” because she is an outsider… she does not fit the mold, and thus won’t be easily controlled.

Gonna be interesting folks… and gonna get ugly as the Left looses its narrative. There are just way too many folks like me out there who still want the OLD AMERICAN DREAM… where you get somewhere through hard work, not through political connections…

Romeo13 on August 30, 2008 at 4:20 PM

Convention may get postponed!

Over.

1GooDDaDDy on August 30, 2008 at 4:08 PM

You know, if McCain had to scrap the festive convention and did business in a low-key venue without bravado, I’d be happy with that.

In my opinion, we just had our fireworks and we smoked the democrat party in every possible way.

jeff_from_mpls on August 30, 2008 at 4:20 PM

Kai on August 30, 2008 at 4:19 PM

Jim Beam man meself…. unless I’m going dancing with the Woman… then its becomes a Tequila night!

Romeo13 on August 30, 2008 at 4:21 PM

Everclear can be used to disinfect cuts while dressing a wound and it is the best fuel to use in an alcohol stove. It is a wise investment, especially while packing a bail-out-bag or backpacking supplies. – MarcusBrody on August 30, 2008 at 4:10 PM

Safer and MUCH cheaper to use Isopropyl alcohol for these purposes. Unless, of course, you are planning to flambee your pan fried lake trout or get smashed afterwards. In which case: Everclear, by all meas.

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:21 PM

You know, if McCain had to scrap the festive convention and did business in a low-key venue without bravado, I’d be happy with that.

In my opinion, we just had our fireworks and we smoked the democrat party in every possible way.

jeff_from_mpls on August 30, 2008 at 4:20 PM

He should go back to DC and actually vote something other than “present” on Hurricane relief…try to get it in the Press to recall the legislature back from recess….

heh

sven10077 on August 30, 2008 at 4:22 PM

(3) a desire for the Continental Army to win.

Of these, Sarah Palin has all three.

I have grave doubts that Senator Obama meets any of these criteria.

That’s the funniest (and dumbest) thing I’ve read all year, jeffy.

Kudos to you, sir.

alphie on August 30, 2008 at 4:22 PM

I would like you to met my running mate, James Stockdale.
- Ross Perot

Who am I? Why am I here?
- James Stockdale

She’s ready to be President.
- John McCain

What exactly does the Vice President do?
- Sarah Palin

MB4 on August 30, 2008 at 3:54 PM

Sarah Palin: “I am Sarah Palin. You know why I’m here. To take on Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid!”

SouthernGent on August 30, 2008 at 4:22 PM

I don’t think she’s quite ready, but then neither is The Obamassiah, and he’s at the top of the ticket. Why exactly did he have to pick Biden? For Biden’s experience. Probably after a few years as VP, Palin will be ready to be president. But with his views & policies I really don’t want Barack to be president.

rbj on August 30, 2008 at 4:22 PM

Jim Beam man meself…. unless I’m going dancing with the Woman… then its becomes a Tequila night!- Romeo13 on August 30, 2008 at 4:21 PM

*shudder* Jim Beam. I use Jim Beam to de-flea the dog.

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:23 PM

That’s the funniest (and dumbest) thing I’ve read all year, jeffy.

Kudos to you, sir.

alphie on August 30, 2008 at 4:22 PM

I WAS A COMMUNITY ORGANIZAER DAMN IT!

AND I HAVE BEEN INTERVIEWING FOR THIS JOB FOR 2+ YEARS!

sven10077 on August 30, 2008 at 4:24 PM

That’s the funniest (and dumbest) thing I’ve read all year, jeffy. – alphie on August 30, 2008 at 4:22 PM

Um…SECOND funniest and dumbest, ma petite zag-nut.

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:24 PM

Few things.

First, I’m plagiarizing a comment from weeks ago, but I wouldn’t trust Obama to plan and carry out a birthday party.

Second, when teeing off on Palin, consider that she confronted and overcame corruption in two smaller areas (Wasila and Alaska), both of which are her and her family’s longtime community. How difficult do you think that was for her and her husband? Meanwhile, throughout his ENTIRE life, Obama couldn’t muster the courage and conviction to confront and take down scum such as Wright, Pfleger, Ayers, Rezko, and the corrupt Daley Machine. Instead, we’re supposed to jump on the band wagon and to marvel how he and David Axelrod have created a paper candidate. Sorry, Obama is half-a** Internet pump ‘n’ dump.

Third, the media are in fifth-gear going after Palin and that’s fine. But the media continue to run around like children with hands over their ears screaming, “Lalalalala.” When are the media going to dig into Obama’s associations and other matters that we’ve never allowed candidates to whitewash in the past? Don’t talk to me about identity candidacies. Obama is the classic affirmative-action candidate. He has no business in this race.

Finally, McCain, to plagiarize another commenter, has been playing 3-D chess lately, so maybe he’s thought of this. Still, it might be smart for McCain to roll out a few key prospective cabinet appointments. Call it the Ticket and the Team. I’m open to suggestions: Romney, Lieberman, Guiliani. The point is to being introducing the team. I think that would take some heat off Palin and also put some effective people in roles beyond mere surrogates. Maybe it would prematurely show McCain’s hands, but it might have the Dems chasing after a lot of players. It might reinforce the idea of being ready on Day 1. It might reinforce judgment questions. Say, Romney as Secretary of Treasury or Commerce. Wouldn’t we want a rich guy there? American Thinker had a post on this within the last month.

Suggestions?

BuckeyeSam on August 30, 2008 at 4:24 PM

She can impress a whole lot of undecideds with the way she performs on the campaign trail (heck I’m an undecided because I don’t know enough about her yet), so no I wouldn’t be too pessimistic about the early numbers.

The Dean on August 30, 2008 at 4:25 PM

I live on the Gulf Coast and the latest projections – which appear pretty solid (though these things can make late turns) – is that the hurricane will come ashore near Lafayette, Louisiana. That’s about 135 miles west of New Orleans.

However, the east side of hurricanes usually pack the strongest winds, et cetera. No direct hit on New Orleans but it’s going to be tough. Lake/wind effect (Pontchatrain) may cause problems with those levees.

Again.

SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:25 PM

I’m a firm believer in measuring twice, cutting once.

eaglesdontflock on August 30, 2008 at 4:05 PM

My father was an engineer who was very good at building things. He always told me “Measure twice then cut once.” What I am seeing is “Forget the ruler, just cut.”

KentAllard on August 30, 2008 at 4:25 PM

She’s at 64% as of August 1, if you trust Rasmussen, and that’s before the most embarrassing revelations in that scandal. – Big S on August 30, 2008 at 4:06 PM

I’m curious to know how many governors have a 64 approval rating. Anyone?

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:26 PM

Its the unknow factor Allah. Some think she was simply picked because she was a woman.
But the speech is big for her no doubt. She does have to speak down to earth and get herself out there.
William Amos on August 30, 2008 at 3:52 PM

Correct. For people who didn’t watch the speech that McCain gave before introducing her, I can see how they could get that impression. Because they don’t know the process that McCain used.

I watched the speech. And McCain took like 8, or 9 minutes not to just introduce her, but list her qualifications. And the reasons that he laid out why he picked her. He made his case as to why he picked her, and to me watching that, it wasn’t just because she was a woman. Of course that played a part. Just as Obama, a young black man with extremely little experience picked an old white man who’s got decades of DC time under his belt. Obama would say that it wasn’t the only reason that he picked Biden. My point is, for the people who actually watched the speech, or were there as I recall you said you were, they are less likely to think that McCain picked Palin just because she is a woman. And McCain said, “when you get to know her as I have” to the audience.

wise_man on August 30, 2008 at 4:27 PM

Sarah Palin: “I am Sarah Palin. You know why I’m here. To take on Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid!”
SouthernGent on August 30, 2008 at 4:22 PM

Sure, as the “backup quarterback” for McCain, oh, and as the tie-breaker vote in the Senate.

Send_Me on August 30, 2008 at 4:27 PM

From Ras:

Most Republicans say they are more likely to vote for Palin and most Democrats say the opposite. As for voters not affiliated with either major party, 37% are more likely to vote for McCain and 28% less likely to do so. Those numbers are a bit more positive than initial reaction to Biden.

Guess it will all depend on how she does next week. I think she’ll blow everyone away.

lodge on August 30, 2008 at 4:27 PM

MB4 on August 30, 2008 at 3:54 PM

It’s really sad to see you so consistently wrong in just about every comment here.

wise_man on August 30, 2008 at 4:28 PM

I’m curious to know how many governors have a 64 approval rating. Anyone?

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:26 PM

There are a few. It’s still high, but she’s been stung by the scandal.

Big S on August 30, 2008 at 4:28 PM

If I was John McCain Id be making comments like

“I hope that after I win in 2008 my Good friend Hillary Clinton runs again for President. I look forward to running against her as the Democratic nominee in 2012.”

You REMIND the Hill backers that if Obama wins in 2008 their gal will never be President. You give them back their hope and convince them to stay home.

And PLEASE PLEASE MCCAIN dont state that Palin is a replacement or clone of Hillary Clinton. Palin is so much better a candidate than Hillary will ever be. Why play down her strengths to compare her to a weaker candidate ?

William Amos on August 30, 2008 at 4:28 PM

However, the east side of hurricanes usually pack the strongest winds, et cetera. No direct hit on New Orleans but it’s going to be tough. Lake/wind effect (Pontchatrain) may cause problems with those levees. Again. – SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:25 PM

Then let us pray the hurricane swings father west and breaks up over the Yucatan peninsula. Unless, of couse, you are Alphie, in which case you will be praying to whatever strange god you worship that Gustav will intensify, slow down, and linger over New Orleans for weeks – eh, my little fruit bat?

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:29 PM

14% of those polled are more likely to vote for Obama with Biden on his ticket? Who are these people and what universe did they slip in from?

DarkCurrent on August 30, 2008 at 4:30 PM

AP,

As a fellow new yorker, i haven’t been able to find Everclear in stores. Perhaps something of such a high proof is banned in NY. If you can’t find it, I’ll recommend bacardi 151. or just stick with good ol 80.

Xolom on August 30, 2008 at 4:30 PM

There are a few. It’s still high, but she’s been stung by the scandal. – Big S on August 30, 2008 at 4:28 PM

She has, indeed. Then again, Wooten has not exactly been a choir boy. If he had been, this would have redounded much more negatively for Sarah’cuda. As it is, I suspect she will clear this hurdle – in spite of the Nutroots and Brive-Bys clinging to it like a security blanket.

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:32 PM

Then let us pray the hurricane swings father west and breaks up over the Yucatan peninsula.

Well, they’re getting everyone out of the city. Not mandatory evacuation yet; but this won’t be a repeat (I don’t think) of Katrina in terms of lots of people being trapped in the Superdome or Convention Center.

SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:32 PM

Beleve it or not Ray Nagin has ordered a Bus evacuation

Althought they had trouble getting pets out.

William Amos on August 30, 2008 at 4:34 PM

Even if Palin was running for POTUS, or had to replace McCain, she still trumps BO in experience. The McCain campaign in their ads must not allow BO’s 2/3 years in the Senate seem interchangeable with being a Governor for 2 years. 2 years of executive experience – veto experience, Guard, negotiations with neighbours, et al- trumps 2/3 years of voting experience anyday. The McCain campaign must emphasise that.

Q: Who was the last president with legislative experience but no executive experience (governor/high rank in the military/CEO, maybe mayor)? Neither BO or Biden have it. Both McCain (commander) and Palin (governor) have executive experience and being POTUS or VPOTUS should come naturally to them.

An t-Oibriche Criosdail on August 30, 2008 at 4:34 PM

Big S on August 30, 2008 at 4:28 PM

According to wikipedia, there was one poll taken 2 days before the 65% poll that had her at IIRC 78%…

ninjapirate on August 30, 2008 at 4:34 PM

That’s the funniest (and dumbest) thing I’ve read all year, jeffy.

Kudos to you, sir.

alphie on August 30, 2008 at 4:22 PM

Oh, alph, I was hoping you’d get the metaphor. Ya see, I don’t believe Obama is rooting for our side. “No no no, not God bless America, God damn America!”

See that alph? That’s the kind of talk that makes me think Obama’s got some crazy stuff planned if he manages to stumble into office.

So the metaphor was sort of like, nineteen year old Lafayette wanted the Continental Army to win, and Community Organizer Obama wants America to lose.

But you knew that.

jeff_from_mpls on August 30, 2008 at 4:35 PM

Well, they’re getting everyone out of the city. Not mandatory evacuation yet; but this won’t be a repeat (I don’t think) of Katrina in terms of lots of people being trapped in the Superdome or Convention Center. – SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:32 PM

I’ve been following this storm since yesterday, Steve-O, and taking screen captures of the track map every couple of hours. Am I being hopeful, or does this thing look like it might lose some steam when it hits the western tip of Cuber?

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:36 PM

Today’s whiners would mope sour grapes regardless, persistently picking their nose as though choosing a VP.

McCain’s proven his masterful prowess as captain of his POTUS campaign ship and admiral of his party fleet exhibiting refined etiquette, talent and SKILL, chesting his cards and keeping the poker face for the ultimate win. I’m impressed that he did it without yet calling out the big guns on maneuvers. This will be what “shock and awe” actually reflect. First announce VP Palin. Enjoy the Convention unity. Finalize with Cabinet Awards ceremony. Usher in a renewed conservative American strength era for the 21st Century.

Bravo, McCain. Hats off to Palin.

maverick muse on August 30, 2008 at 4:38 PM

Exit question: What proof should the alcohol I buy between now and November be? The standard 80 or is it time for this jittery pessimist to kick it up a notch?

kick it up a notch” is the way to go. If you don’t pass out before getting too drunk, then you can always ‘cut‘ it a tad if it’s getting too strong.

Karmi on August 30, 2008 at 4:38 PM

But you knew that. – jeff_from_mpls on August 30, 2008 at 4:35 PM

Actually, she DIDN’T, Jeff. Alphie is…um…*whispering politely* not the sharpest paring knife in the HotAir drawer. But we love her anyway.

Isn’t that right, my little doorstop?

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:39 PM

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