Gallup: 39% say Palin is ready to be president, 33% say she isn’t

posted at 3:48 pm on August 30, 2008 by Allahpundit

The news isn’t all bad, but that’s the worst split since you know who. Biden shakes out at 57/18.

Big speech Wednesday night. Big, biiiiiig speeech.

• Forty-six percent rate McCain’s choice of Palin as excellent or “pretty good,” while 37% say it is “only fair” or poor. Over the past two decades, only Quayle received lower ratings after being picked for a ticket.

• Women overall have a slightly less favorable view of Palin than men, but they also are a bit more likely more likely to say her choice would prompt them to vote for McCain. Among women, 20% say her pick makes them more likely to vote for McCain, 11% less likely. That compares to 16%-12% among men.

Among Democratic women — including those who may be disappointed that New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton did not win the Democratic nomination — 9% say Palin makes them more likely to support McCain, 15% less likely.

I’m not worried about the less likelies. They’re probably “Hillary feminists” who weren’t voting McCain anyway and consider the pick an insult either because it offends their strong, principled opposition to identity politics or because they’re not voting for a pro-life ticket, period. Nine percent being more likely feels like a decent place to start.

Now the good-ish news:

Whatever their views on their qualifications, voters say neither Palin nor Biden will have much impact on their vote. Two of three registered voters, 67%, say putting Palin on the ticket won’t affect their vote; 72% say that of Biden.

Of those who say the running mates will make a difference, 18% say Palin makes them more likely to vote for McCain, 11% less likely. That net-positive impact of 7 points is similar to Biden’s: 14% said his pick made them more likely to vote for Obama, 7% less likely.

High risk, high reward. Whereas Biden’s not going to move much in either direction, she’s bound to win some people over simply by dint of her personal appeal. If she comes out like gangbusters on Wednesday and at the debate and reassures them that she’s qualified, I wonder if we won’t see major movement among that 67%.

And if she comes out and goes full Quayle on us, McCain’s finished.

Exit question: What proof should the alcohol I buy between now and November be? The standard 80 or is it time for this jittery pessimist to kick it up a notch?


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this won’t be a repeat of Katrina in terms of lots of people being trapped in the Superdome or Convention Center.

- SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:32 PM

Remember how MSM reported that 10,000 people were murdered in the Superdome, and babies were raped all over the place?

The actual statistics:

Murders: 0
Baby Rapes: 0

Also, never forget Mayor Nagin’s submerged yellow school buses!

jeff_from_mpls on August 30, 2008 at 4:39 PM

Am I being hopeful, or does this thing look like it might lose some steam when it hits the western tip of Cuber?

Yes, but the projection is to pick up intensity/strengthen over the warm waters of the Gulf as it makes its way to land. I.e., die down and then gather strength again. Ugh.

Latest projections here and here.

They usually lose some steam right before hitting shore though. Katrina did this.

SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:43 PM

Exit question: What proof should the alcohol I buy between now and November be? The standard 80 or is it time for this jittery pessimist to kick it up a notch?

I’d hang on to that everclear, if Obama gets elected you may need it to fuel your car!

4shoes on August 30, 2008 at 4:44 PM

Finally, McCain, to plagiarize another commenter, has been playing 3-D chess lately, so maybe he’s thought of this. Still, it might be smart for McCain to roll out a few key prospective cabinet appointments. Call it the Ticket and the Team. I’m open to suggestions: Romney, Lieberman, Guiliani. The point is to being introducing the team. I think that would take some heat off Palin and also put some effective people in roles beyond mere surrogates. Maybe it would prematurely show McCain’s hands, but it might have the Dems chasing after a lot of players. It might reinforce the idea of being ready on Day 1. It might reinforce judgment questions. Say, Romney as Secretary of Treasury or Commerce. Wouldn’t we want a rich guy there? American Thinker had a post on this within the last month.

Suggestions?

BuckeyeSam on August 30, 2008 at 4:24 PM

Governing isn’t easy. Someone needs to make informed decisions. Remember, we don’t elect the Secretary of State, Treasury, Defense. They are appointed, and of course, they can’t succeed to the Presidency. They can’t make policy, only advise and implement.

So, look at the succession and consider what bad decisions have done to this country. Yes, with experienced leaders.

McCain’s decision is either rash or bold, risky or relevant, arrogant or brave, bad or good. I hope it is all of the latter.

eaglesdontflock on August 30, 2008 at 4:45 PM

Latest projections here and here. – SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:43 PM

Shite. I was in FL when Andrew hit. My church (in Kendall) was flattened. I don’t wish this kind of destruction on anyone – not even moon bats.

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:45 PM

MB4 on August 30, 2008 at 3:54 PM

It’s really sad to see you so consistently wrong in just about every comment here.

wise_man on August 30, 2008 at 4:28 PM

What is sad is that you seem to have developed the same kind of obsession with this MB4 as Mike Huckabee has with Mitt Romney. That is what is really sad.

KentAllard on August 30, 2008 at 4:45 PM

Am I being hopeful, or does this thing look like it might lose some steam when it hits the western tip of Cuber?

Correction, you’re right.

The latest does look like it will lose some strength after passing Cuba.

Let’s hope so.

SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:45 PM

McCain’s decision is either rash or bold, risky or relevant, arrogant or brave, bad or good. I hope it is all of the latter. – eaglesdontflock on August 30, 2008 at 4:45 PM

You aren’t alone, Eagle.

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 4:46 PM

Suggestions?

BuckeyeSam on August 30, 2008 at 4:24 PM

John Bolton, official (not temporary) appointment to the UN, or as Secretary of State.

I’m certain McCain wants to do this anyway.

jeff_from_mpls on August 30, 2008 at 4:47 PM

Shite. I was in FL when Andrew hit. My church (in Kendall) was flattened. I don’t wish this kind of destruction on anyone – not even moon bats.

Yep. I’ve been through about 25 of these? 35? I’ve lost count.

The real danger are the tornadoes that come with the hurricanes. Those are just terrifying.

SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:47 PM

What a great chance for McCain and Paris Palin to fly down to an oil rig in the Gulf and talk about the dire need to drill in the path of hurricanes!

Are the Republicans still having their sleepover in support of their oil company masters, btw?

alphie on August 30, 2008 at 4:48 PM

I do like the person who mentioned – in comparison – John Edwards’ selection as VP.

If he’s qualified, Palin is overly-qualified.

SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 3:55 PM

No kidding. A one-term Senator, who had accomplished nothing of note in the Senate, and whose only other work experience was as a personal-injury trial lawyer. Which of us would have been comfortable having John Edwards “a heartbeat away” from the presidency? Yet I don’t recall the kind of MSM and Dim party spokespersons’ outrage against Edwards’ “inexperience” that we’re seeing expressed against Palin.

This is sexism at its worst.

AZCoyote on August 30, 2008 at 4:48 PM

I’m far more confident of a GOP victory than I was before Palin was selected, and I’ve been rooting for Mitt. I’m also more confident that real Congressional reform may start to shape up if we win than would have happened with Mitt, although the water is deeper and the sharks more numerous than what she is used to. Contrary to popular opinion, I also don’t think the VP debates will move the compass needle much either way. She was a fine choice, and I don’t think gender was as big a part of her selection as character and accomplishments. Long term, she can help the GOP get it’s brand back. That needs to be done.

a capella on August 30, 2008 at 4:48 PM

Exit question: What proof should the alcohol I buy between now and November be? The standard 80 or is it time for this jittery pessimist to kick it up a notch?

I’d go with the Bacardi 151 Rum.

Dusty on August 30, 2008 at 4:49 PM

reuters report about Gustav

William Amos on August 30, 2008 at 4:45 PM

Mayor Nagin “We started our Bus evacuations but had problems getting pets out of New Orleans”

Sugar Ray needs to look at the sign on that shell in Canal Street that says “hope is not a plan” every day.

sven10077 on August 30, 2008 at 4:49 PM

So the American people rate Palin as ready to be President by a very thing margin.

What are the numbers for Barry O? A quick google search didn’t seem to produce any polls that asked that particular question. I’m sure more would rate him as qualified, but I bet I’d like to see how he compares to McCain and Palin.

EditoratIP on August 30, 2008 at 4:50 PM

eaglesdontflock on August 30, 2008 at 4:45 PM

Um, you may want to go check, because Sec State and such IS in the line of succession.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_line_of_succession

Read up a bit…

Romeo13 on August 30, 2008 at 4:51 PM

What a great chance for McCain and Paris Palin to fly down to an oil rig in the Gulf and talk about the dire need to drill in the path of hurricanes!

Are the Republicans still having their sleepover in support of their oil company masters, btw?

alphie on August 30, 2008 at 4:48 PM

oil work is a hard business Ralph like soldiering…pretty sure you are neither.

sven10077 on August 30, 2008 at 4:51 PM

If the RNC has to postpone the convention; the good news is that the RNC has the center reserved until the 17th of September. There is not another event until the 24th (an NHL game, exhibition, I presume) which could probably be postponed or moved. So the RNC has some leeway here.

lorien1973 on August 30, 2008 at 4:56 PM

The good news for Republicans: She’s not as dumb as Quayle. She seems quite intelligent, actually.

The bad news for Republicans: You name it. She is very much unqualified. She makes Barack Obama look like Thomas Jefferson.

I am really nervous about her selection. What if they actually win? I fear for our country, and that’s not meant to insult women or Republicans, it’s a real concern.

sandman on August 30, 2008 at 4:57 PM

Troopergate is a non-scandal and people in Alaska know it more than anyone. Wooten was a crappy trooper and was punished appropriately (some say he should have been all out fired). The Walt Monegan firing was completely unrelated and occurred months later. No abuse of power. No overreactions. A non-scandal. It’s a bit embaressing that this is given any play at Hot Air. This belongs in a Kos diary along with the Sarah as Bree Hodge crap.

malan89 on August 30, 2008 at 4:14 PM

Here’s one of the tapes in question in case anyone’s interested. link

I can already anticipate the reaction: some LEFTY posted this on the net! That doesn’t change the fact that it exists, and that McCain and Palin will have to contend with the lefties who are going to be brining it to the nation’s attention.

Big S on August 30, 2008 at 4:57 PM

Ugly Not-so-attractive women are indignant.

AP, we need you here, and fairly sober, most of the time. Stick to the 80 strong. Buy the other one for Nov. 04, 2008, and consume it either way.

Entelechy on August 30, 2008 at 4:58 PM

The good news for Republicans: She’s not as dumb as Quayle. She seems quite intelligent, actually.

The bad news for Republicans: You name it. She is very much unqualified. She makes Barack Obama look like Thomas George Jefferson.

Corrected….

CC

CapedConservative on August 30, 2008 at 5:03 PM

What is the fear of Palin with the Right? A risk? A gamble? A worry? Wait until She speaks in a prime time situation, which will be very soon now.

Benjamin9 on August 30, 2008 at 5:11 PM

Geeze, and this is after one speech … Just imagine what will happen after America gets to know her.

Character, it’s all about the measure of character, and Obama and Biden come up short.

tarpon on August 30, 2008 at 5:15 PM

. She makes Barack Obama look like Thomas Jefferson.

sandman on August 30, 2008 at 4:57 PM

Um, Barry has ONE year in the Senate, before he became a perpetual candidate… and has NEVER put forward any significant legislation.

She has 2 years as a Govenor, during which she has accomplished things like getting the Pipeline deal with Canada done…

Please… lets talk about Experience… in SPECIFICS OF ACCOMPLISHMENT! Not by years sitting your rear in a seat voting “Present”.

Romeo13 on August 30, 2008 at 5:19 PM

What is the fear of Palin with the Right? A risk? A gamble? A worry? Wait until She speaks in a prime time situation, which will be very soon now.

Benjamin9 on August 30, 2008 at 5:11 PM

She had a job in front of a TV camera on a local TV station for two years. She gave a great speech accepting the VP nomination.

Next vapid worry.

NaCly dog on August 30, 2008 at 5:21 PM

If this is what conservatives/Republicans have to do to finally convince people we are niether sexist or racist, then so be it.

I will have to disagree with something. I would still be this excited if Governor “Stanly” Pali were the nominee. If he did the same things that Sarah has done, it would be a no brainer.

More freedom please.

Harpoon on August 30, 2008 at 5:23 PM

“Um, you may want to go check, because Sec State and such IS in the line of succession.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_line_of_succession

Read up a bit…

Romeo13 on August 30, 2008 at 4:51 PM”

I wasn’t looking beyond the ascension in the event of death of the President.

Meaning it wouldn’t help to have a strong cabinet, unless of course all of the elected officials perished. And the Cabinet would be moot, most likely, with the ascension of a democratic official to the Presidency. I should have been more clear.

eaglesdontflock on August 30, 2008 at 5:24 PM

Biden’s put himself out there for the Presidency before and and I don’t recall resounding majorities embracing his fitness for the job on those occasions. From what I know of Palin, when she saw things that needed to to be fixed she set about trying get them fixed and succeeded, in ways that no one would or could have predicted was possible, in the face of resistance few seasoned politicians would consider challenging,and emerged displaying little sign of the ego inflation that normally affects politicians with far less substantive achievements. At this point no one can say with certainty what the greatest challenges we will face as a nation in the next four or eight years are, but it seems to me that Palin has already demonstrated the character and courage that has exemplified our greatest presidents, many of whom weren’t ready to be President either, until circumstances and their own character forced them to be, and whatever the next challenge is, I’d be more comfortable with Palin providing the leadership to meet it, than with any Democrat.

djaces on August 30, 2008 at 5:25 PM

Sugar Ray needs to look at the sign on that shell in Canal Street that says “hope is not a plan” every day.

sven10077 on August 30, 2008 at 4:49 PM

It beats his 2005 disaster response plan: every citizen of New Orleans was given a copy of LORD OF THE FLIES.

With a note in the front: “In case of emergency, you’re on your own. Love, Ray.”

sulla on August 30, 2008 at 5:27 PM

Poptech, your name looks awfully familiar. Aren’t you a troll elsewhere as well?

Oh well, enjoy failing with your flames here, as the folks at Hot Air are far less bitter and hateful than the members at the fringe Left sites (Kos, HuffPo…).

Melchiz on August 30, 2008 at 5:27 PM

Romeo13 on August 30, 2008 at 4:51 PM

In the first days of the Republic, the Secretary of State was considered the heir-apparent.

Hasn’t been true in a good long while.

sulla on August 30, 2008 at 5:29 PM

Hmmm….

Ya know what would be an intersting excercise…

Writing Resumes of the Candidates…

What they did, and as you must in a resume, the specific accomplishments during that period…

Couple of pages each… heck… have them write them and try to sell themselves…

As someone who hires, its always enlightening to see what people consider important about themselves…

Romeo13 on August 30, 2008 at 5:29 PM

LEFTIST LOGIC?
*
Palin isn’t ready because she’s only been governor 2 yrs.
*
Biden is ready because of “time in the legislature”.
*
Obama is more ready than Palin because he’s been in the legislature for 2 yrs.
*
*
WTF?

marklmail on August 30, 2008 at 5:35 PM

I have no idead why the Gallup poll is still looked at as if it was even remotely accurate or fair. They are ALWAYS front loaded to the leberal side by at least 50%. ALWAYS. No exception ever. I challenge anyone to show me even one GALLUP result that was accurate or even close to accurate at the end result.

Griz on August 30, 2008 at 5:45 PM

Allah,

It’s good to have a pessimist around, and I appreciate your applying the brakes now and again when we get rolling too fast.

My sense about the Sarah Palin pick is that it will work out magnificently. But even if it doesn’t, there’s not a blessed thing we can do about it.

When you start to feel particularly bleak, imagine how you’d be feeling as you watched McCain/Romney stagger through eight weeks of plastic campaigning and then walk into the maw of almost inevitable destruction on election day.

JudetheFossil on August 30, 2008 at 5:47 PM

this won’t be a repeat of Katrina in terms of lots of people being trapped in the Superdome or Convention Center.

- SteveMG on August 30, 2008 at 4:32 PM

Nope, no worrys mate!
That state is under adult leadership this go ’round.

The situation is well in hand.

TheSitRep on August 30, 2008 at 5:48 PM

I’d vote for Palin for President, right now.

She has more executive experience than Mac, Bad’n & B. Hussain combined.

TheSitRep on August 30, 2008 at 5:52 PM

Say, Romney as Secretary of Treasury or Commerce. Wouldn’t we want a rich guy there? American Thinker had a post on this within the last month.

Suggestions?

BuckeyeSam on August 30, 2008 at 4:24 PM

Romney will not be offered any position, I bet.

Vashta.Nerada on August 30, 2008 at 5:58 PM

Romney will not be offered any position, I bet.

Vashta.Nerada on August 30, 2008 at 5:58 PM

I’d be surprised if that were the case.

Time will tell.

sulla on August 30, 2008 at 6:03 PM

120 proof, for sure. I think Palin is a poor but smart choice. If McCain’s aim was to play in the Democrats’ sandbox, then he’s made quite a choice. If McCain was looking to actually play the game how it should be played, then he should have gone with Romney.

At the end of the day, Romney would have beat any of these people (Obama, Biden, McCain, Palin) in the experience department. Playing rhetorical games against Obama with Palin seems cheap and gimmicky.

Seixon on August 30, 2008 at 6:03 PM

She had a job in front of a TV camera on a local TV station for two years. She gave a great speech accepting the VP nomination.

Next vapid worry.

Didn’t mean to make that sound negative toward Palin. What I meant to say … we seem(conservatives)to worry about the most damned stupid things. Palin is going to represent herself well.

Benjamin9 on August 30, 2008 at 6:16 PM

I’d be surprised if that were the case.

Time will tell.

sulla on August 30, 2008 at 6:03 PM

McCain made his choice for a variety of reasons, amongst which is 2012 and/or 2016.

Vashta.Nerada on August 30, 2008 at 6:18 PM

McCain made his choice for a variety of reasons, amongst which is 2012 and/or 2016.

Vashta.Nerada on August 30, 2008 at 6:18 PM

I have no doubt of that. But McCain/Palin’s slogan is “Country First.” Mac can make use of Romney’s talents without making him a headline act. If he puts Romney to work, however little public acclamation it generates, Romney will do it for the sake of the country.

sulla on August 30, 2008 at 6:38 PM

What a great chance for McCain and Paris Palin to fly down to an oil rig in the Gulf and talk about the dire need to drill in the path of hurricanes! Are the Republicans still having their sleepover in support of their oil company masters, btw? – alphie on August 30, 2008 at 4:48 PM

WTF? Oh, for heaven’s sake my sweet little potted plant…when I gave you the banana it wasn’t my intention that you EAT it.

ManlyRash on August 30, 2008 at 6:40 PM

And Obama is ready to be president right?

Borislav on August 30, 2008 at 7:06 PM

I have no doubt of that. But McCain/Palin’s slogan is “Country First.” Mac can make use of Romney’s talents without making him a headline act. If he puts Romney to work, however little public acclamation it generates, Romney will do it for the sake of the country.

sulla on August 30, 2008 at 6:38 PM

Add his strategic choices to his stance on global warming, cap and trade, and drilling, and you will begin to see his goal.

Vashta.Nerada on August 30, 2008 at 7:10 PM

I think you must put this in perspective . . . she’s as ready and Obama.

rplat on August 30, 2008 at 7:46 PM

Palin has higher favorability ratings than Biden. If she can impress people,I don’t think she will have trouble winning them over. Biden has been running for president for decades and 10,000 votes was the best he could do. A majority of people might feel like he can do the job if he has to, but it does not seem they much want him to.

Terrye on August 30, 2008 at 8:18 PM

I didn’t know Gov. Palin was running for president.

I don’t hear such questions about Biden, but he must be running for president. He must, because are running for the same position, right?

madmonkphotog on August 30, 2008 at 8:21 PM

If he puts Romney to work, however little public acclamation it generates, Romney will do it for the sake of the country.

sulla on August 30, 2008 at 6:38 PM

Just as the media is protecting Obama, they eviscerated Romney. He has been misreported and misjudged. For someone so obviously gifted and wealthy, he is very humble. The knife cuts both ways.

All of my big money Democratic donor friends are rejoicing that Romney is not the pick. They perceive the selection of Palin as an automatic win for them. The one thing their polls showed was Romney’s deep strength with independents and swing voters across the country. I hope his name is dropped for Cabinet position or some other noteworthy appointment. McCain would be a fool to diss Romney.

eaglesdontflock on August 30, 2008 at 8:38 PM

My Palin video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=quvBbcFDPI0

D0WNT0WN on August 31, 2008 at 2:40 AM

Gallup promotes the left in its polls. 33 percent is about the percentage of liberal voters

I would never have chosen Palin because she is running for President. That is the only job of a VP, to replace dead Presidents, and meanwhile break ties in the Senate

The most difficult part of the Palin choice is the Obama-fication of the GOP ballot. As with Obama on the Left, criticism of Palin is met with something like the slaughter scene in the Dionysian Mysteries, wherein the outsider to the ritual is torn to shreds and eaten raw. That in itself is not endearing. Having witnessed the infection of the Left with adoration, I now watch the Right engulfed

My wisest friend had this assessment of Palin, which does not put down her intellect or courage, but was an attempt to explain McCain’s choice:

My friend said first of all, McCain has a weak ego and had to choose someone he was not threatened by. That eliminated the men who ran against him in the primaries.

Secondly, Palin made one major decision I found bad when she veto’d the ban on state benefits for gay couples because she said was advised it would not be upheld. I said she was either not telling the truth, and wanted the benefits for her many gay friends, or she did not understand that she could follow her conviction and sign the Bill into Law and let the Courts tell her what they thought, not what her adviser thought.

My Friend said her ‘it was out of my hands’ act is the sign of someone who may be controllable or subject to influence. In otherwords willing to bend on stated convictions if the right words are correctly submitted to her. True or false, who knows. But it showed she was willing to find a reason not to go the full mile and this makes her less trouble for McCain.

That to me is a sign of someone not ready to be President. The President cannot be afraid to take a stand, and she avoided the stand on a simple issue that would not have killed her with the voters, but might have hurt the feelings of some of her buddies. Taking a stand may not have saved the bill, but it would have signaled she stood on her convictions and promises. And the new entitlement is forever, with lawsuits to gain the same entitlements for heterosexual couples down the road.

However she is fatally cute and the Princess Di movement is growing

entagor on August 31, 2008 at 3:21 AM

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