McCain: History did not end in 1990
posted at 9:25 am on August 14, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
John McCain offers an editorial expanding on his insistence that “we are all Georgians now” after the Russian invasion of the democratic nation last week. With the Russians now apparently on their way out, the essay reminds us that naked international aggression remains with us, despite the blindness some have about an “end to history” following the collapse of the Soviet Union. We face a future that requires leadership prepared to face these challenges, and that starts with recognizing that some world leaders can’t be trusted:
In the wake of this crisis, there are the stirrings of a new trans-Atlantic consensus about the way we should approach Russia and its neighbors. The leaders of Poland, Estonia, Lithuania, Ukraine and Latvia flew to Tbilisi to demonstrate their support for Georgia, and to condemn Russian aggression. The French president traveled to Moscow in an attempt to end the fighting. The British foreign minister hinted of a G-8 without Russia, and the British opposition leader explicitly called for Russia to be suspended from the grouping.
The world has learned at great cost the price of allowing aggression against free nations to go unchecked. A cease-fire that holds is a vital first step, but only one. With our allies, we now must stand in united purpose to persuade the Russian government to end violence permanently and withdraw its troops from Georgia. International monitors must gain immediate access to war-torn areas in order to avert an even greater humanitarian disaster, and we should ensure that emergency aid lifted by air and sea is delivered.
We should work toward the establishment of an independent, international peacekeeping force in the separatist regions, and stand ready to help our Georgian partners put their country back together. This will entail reviewing anew our relations with both Georgia and Russia. As the NATO secretary general has said, Georgia remains in line for alliance membership, and I hope NATO will move ahead with a membership track for both Georgia and Ukraine.
At the same time, we must make clear to Russia’s leaders that the benefits they enjoy from being part of the civilized world require their respect for the values, stability and peace of that world. The U.S. has cancelled a planned joint military exercise with Russia, an important step in this direction.
McCain gallantly refrains from saying or even hinting, “I told you so,” but he has justification for saying it. He has spoken for years about the gathering danger of an autocratic, corrupt Russia becoming belligerent and strong based on Western financial support. Not even the assassination of an outspoken Putin critic in London woke many up to the nature of the regime in Moscow, nor the oppression of political opposition from Garry Kasparov. Only the tanks rolling toward Tbilisi made McCain’s case clear.
The world remains a dangerous place, and Russia isn’t the worst of the problems we face now. Countries like Iran offer similar regional dangers which could destabilize the entire global systems of trade and diplomacy. Bribing them with financial support without verifying serious political reform only puts us in the position of subsidizing corruption or oppression, and usually both at the same time. Instead of holding photo-op summits as empty substitutes for progress — as we did with Vladimir Putin for years — we need to get a lot tougher in dealing with autocrats, mullahcracies, and the like.
Georgia paid the price for our naïveté in dealing with Russia. Who will pay the price if we offer similar fecklessness with Iran in the next four years?










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This is the McCain I thought I knew.
coldwarrior on August 14, 2008 at 9:27 AM
When Bush was making eyes at his new friend “Putie-Putie”, McCain was warning him not to trust old Boris Badenov.
jgapinoy on August 14, 2008 at 9:30 AM
Obama? He’s terrified of Putin:
“You see how big his pecs are?”
jgapinoy on August 14, 2008 at 9:32 AM
read Robert Kagan’s “Return of History and End of Dreams” its a direct play off the “End of HIstory non-sense that came out in 1992 that the Dems and some others bought into.
this is the school of though McCain is coming from on Foreign Policy.
jp on August 14, 2008 at 9:32 AM
Does anyone else get the feeling we’re watching a real James Bond movie?
Where’s Pierce Brosnan when you need him…..didn’t he already solve this problem in (IIRC) “The World is not enough”?
BobMbx on August 14, 2008 at 9:33 AM
I listened to him explain yesterday why he had such a hard stance against Russia, and I thought: Finally, someone who knows what the hell he’s talking about. The time to treat Russia with kid gloves is over. McCain is certainly not my first choice, but I think he’s spot on right now. It was short-sighted to think Russia ever would have embraced American-style democracy, doubly so with Putin involved.
You can hear the ‘I told you so’ in the subtext of his speaking, and I don’t have a problem with that at all.
Anna on August 14, 2008 at 9:33 AM
Even though it’s still too early to tell, so far, Georgia has survived. It loses S.Ossetia and Abkhazia, but never really had them anyway. It keeps its two pipelines, and now it’s an international cause célèbre. I wonder if it’s sovereignty isn’t more assured now than before.
Nothing is adding up to me on this story. Russia gets two hellholes? That’s it?
JiangxiDad on August 14, 2008 at 9:34 AM
If all McCain ever talked about was foreign policy he’d be the best presidential candidate ever.
BadgerHawk on August 14, 2008 at 9:34 AM
Dude, though, Putin can kick some serious tuckus. I watched a NTV documentary on him, he’s into martial arts. Not a man I’d want to meet in a dark alley (or a brightly-lit one either).
Anna on August 14, 2008 at 9:35 AM
“Who will pay the price if we offer similar fecklessness with Iran in the next four years?”
only military action can prevent Iranian nukes other wise to answer your question;
1) we will pay the price in credibility and security
2) the international system will pay the price and cease to exist while in its place we’ll see the rise of the international system of the 1930s again only this time with nukes.
3) the middle east will pay the price as the Arabs and the Israelis try to counterveil the Persians.
fear of fighting the Iranians now will guarantee that when the time comes to fight the Iranians later we and the planet will pay a huge butchers bill.
elduende on August 14, 2008 at 9:37 AM
wonder if Russia is trying to take spotlite off Iran for awhile, and parternered with them for awhile….enemy of my enemy…
jp on August 14, 2008 at 9:39 AM
“History did not end in 1990″ is a very very good soundbyte.
Dave Rywall on August 14, 2008 at 9:39 AM
Anna on August 14, 2008 at 9:35 AM –
All KGB officers who EOD’d in the 70-90′s were required to excel in the martial arts.
Over at CIA it was a suggested pasttime.
Most of my colleagues went out for tennis or racket ball.
coldwarrior on August 14, 2008 at 9:40 AM
McCain was not my first choice by any stretch but he may well prove to be the president we need during these turbulent times. The love child, hippie generation offers nothing for defending this great nation. In fact they have spent their lives trying to destroy this country from within. I thank god we have had someone like George Bush in the White House following 9/11 and believe McCain is what is needed now. Neither man is perfect but both will do what is best for the United States of America.
trs on August 14, 2008 at 9:41 AM
This is another veiled attack on Our Great And Glorious Leaders (May He Live Forever) Penis which cannot stand!
sabbott on August 14, 2008 at 9:41 AM
McCain is right on target. Only a liberal fool or any other Democrat would believe that an ex KGB chief would guide Russia into a functional democracy. Nothing has changed in the Russian (Soviet) psyche . . . they lost a few satellite countries but the totalitarian goals remain unchanged. The prevailing Neville Chamberlain attitudes will eventually cause the downfall of the world’s remaining democracies. The poor sick world is gasping for air but lacks the guts to take a deep breath.
rplat on August 14, 2008 at 9:41 AM
I think Russia’s interaction with Iran has always been as a destabilizing force towards us, so I agree. We fight our proxy-war against China and Russia constantly through economics and support for regimes/democracies that benefit us. If we weren’t a viable world power I don’t doubt that Russia would rather consume Iran than arm them/work with them. I guess the real lesson for the world (I hope) is that you’re a fool if you think nations actually want peace. Everyone always wants more, and always at the expense of someone that has worked for it.
blankminde on August 14, 2008 at 9:44 AM
That phrase “the end of history” that Ed correctly derides has been creeping up more frequently this August.
It was an inapt concept when Fukuyama introduced it, and if the events of August don’t put it permanently to rest, I don’t know what will.
The idea of an end of history was based on the confidence that a spirit of Progress has been guiding the world since the Enlightenment. We have to get honest with ourselves: the classic liberal utopia didn’t happen as promised. It’s gonna be a long, hard slog.
jeff_from_mpls on August 14, 2008 at 9:49 AM
Damn!!! Nice work Ed….Excellent post
elraphbo on August 14, 2008 at 9:50 AM
I’m betting McCain takes the outright lead in at least one tracking poll today.
Anyone in?
Typhoon on August 14, 2008 at 9:51 AM
I’m sure you are far better informed than I am, Ed, but every bit of news I’ve seen and heard this morning states that Russia is not pulling out. In fact, the Russian pull-out seems even more questionable since the fragile cease-fire appeared even more shaky after Russia’s foreign minister declared today that the world “can forget about any talk about Georgia’s territorial integrity.”
SilverStar830 on August 14, 2008 at 9:52 AM
The Presidency(and world) has become so complex you almost need two presidents in a way. one for Foreign Affairs and the other for domestic issues. Which is probably why the VP job has become important, and why us conservatives are hoping McCain picks someone who is good on Domestic issues to balance out his Foreign Policy Expertise and give us what we want.
jp on August 14, 2008 at 9:53 AM
Count me in.
Not to jinx the guy, but McCain is the right man at the right time. No doubt in my mind.
Honestly, we don’t have time for the silly transformative clap trap Obama is selling. Some other decade, not this one please.
jeff_from_mpls on August 14, 2008 at 9:54 AM
.
But…but…I thought we are the ones we have been waiting for. Brave new world indeed.
blankminde on August 14, 2008 at 9:55 AM
its a gross misunderstanding(and or ignorance) of Human Nature and the innate falleness of mankind. Secularist point to enlightenment non-sense in part for these answers and it will always lead to stupid ideas like the “End of History”.
no doubt this influenced Clinton into cutting our Military in Half in the 90′s.
jp on August 14, 2008 at 9:55 AM
wasn’t there reports a month ago of Russia sending missles to Cuba again?
jp on August 14, 2008 at 9:56 AM
Defines the dhimmicrats.
davidk on August 14, 2008 at 9:56 AM
Georgia-Russia, however tragic it is, is the second trump card in McCain’s hand in the play for November, the first being domestic energy. A strong, really strong campaign on both these issues can win him the election.
petefrt on August 14, 2008 at 9:57 AM
Are you joking?
davidk on August 14, 2008 at 9:59 AM
jp on August 14, 2008 at 9:56 AM
they have been sending flights of Bears to harass and probe our air defenses along the eastern seaboard; they have been landing and refueling i think in cienfuegos, cuba. The proposal that elicited a diplomatic protest recently was that the Russians wanted to base and stage directly from Cuba instead of using it for refueling.
elduende on August 14, 2008 at 10:00 AM
I hope being POTUS brings out the best in John. We’re gonna need ya buddy.
Mojave Mark on August 14, 2008 at 10:01 AM
Russia-Iran-China axis. Some form of the energy equation drives all three, with kleptocracy, totalitarianism, and radical theocracy structures as framework to mold the populace. It won’t all be solved by military means,..economics is the key.
a capella on August 14, 2008 at 10:02 AM
No, I read something not long ago about Russia trying this or proposing it and certainly to re-establish its relationship with Cuba again.
jp on August 14, 2008 at 10:02 AM
problem with this cold war emerging is they’ve learned that Communism is a failure, and they can allow basically state run capitalism to finance their military objectives.
the rise of the Autocracies?
fortunately both Russia and China have demographic issues.
jp on August 14, 2008 at 10:04 AM
Whoa! I hadn’t heard that. If true, Russia is gearing up for a real confrontation.
a capella on August 14, 2008 at 10:05 AM
I think economics is the key to marginalizing these competing ideologies, but it won’t defeat them. Even a military response won’t defeat them since they depend to a degree on nationalism and would be bolstered by our aggression. In the end, the only way I know to defeat them is to provide the people with a better alternative for life than their current leaders. The rest is up to them.
.
Of course, we could always shoot their leaders with laser beams from space or something… /sarc
blankminde on August 14, 2008 at 10:06 AM
McCain’s moral argument here, though valid in the general sense, is hampered by the fact that this georgian situation began with a georgian military operation in the middle of the night, and escalated out of control. Its not simply as cut and dry as “we are all georgians” blah blah fight oppression blah blah. the georgian president f*cked this up so bad that all we can do is talk. Bush knows it, Condi knows it, McCain knows it. We can talk tough now, but we cant force russia out by force.
We should cut the deal, overlook the eventual ousting of sakashvili, and insist that russia cooperate with us on iran in return for an international slap on the wrist. He flexes, we reposition, the only real loser is the asshat who started this whole mess, sakashvili
ernesto on August 14, 2008 at 10:10 AM
Okay, we have one step forward by McCain. We all know what typically comes after that — two steps back. Any bets on what form that will take? I’m guessing maybe a Democrat running mate.
BigD on August 14, 2008 at 10:10 AM
For some people, even the bombs falling on their heads are not enough, “I can’t believe this is happening!”
rockhauler on August 14, 2008 at 10:11 AM
“OCCUPIERS”
“No War for OIL”
“RUSSIA LIED PEOPLE DIED”
We are going to see even more turn out in peace raliies around the world, right? After all, Russians did not use ‘smart munitions’ to avoid and minimize collateral damage, they use the old fashion WWII way for their imperial conquer.
Well, where are the Code Pinkers, the World Workers Union (or whatever commies call themselves these days), SF peacenuts? I won’t hold these in such sub-human contempt if they truly stand up to the evil powers.
Sir Napsalot on August 14, 2008 at 10:13 AM
Francis Fukuyama backs Obama.
Shocka!
Karl on August 14, 2008 at 10:15 AM
even if the Georgians didn’t act perfectly, that acted within their Internationally recongized borders and Russia has no right to interfer the way they have.
jp on August 14, 2008 at 10:19 AM
I’m just impressed that he still does it, years later. One of my Russian teachers had a thing for Putin, I learned more about him than I ever needed to. Me, I was a squash player – played with some Agency folks once. There’s a joke about the CIA and rackets in there somewhere.
Anna on August 14, 2008 at 10:20 AM
What Obama doesn’t understand about how foreign engagement works will have repercussions. I remember when he was questioning General Patreaus about Iraq could we leave it a mess and call it a success? Who put those questions together for Obama? That is his major weakness the current team Obama.
Obama questions a decorated officer..Obama has never served in a military capacity. Chuck Hagel and James Webb are off the Obama team, and Colin Powell is saddling up? Either To U.S. Senators still have some integrity or Colin Powell has decided to re enter politics. My expectations would be for Colin Powell to remain true to his Military roots, that would include his fellow Military Officers, like General David Patraeus. All gave some, some gave all. Colin Powell weighing the downside of hitching his wagon to a Man, who could never serve in the Military if he wanted to. The Military will not take anyone who admitted to using “blow”
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=buCNr6_DD-M
Dr Evil on August 14, 2008 at 10:21 AM
I believe that after this week and then again after the debates all of the undecides will have made their decision for McCain. McCain was dead right about this conflict and Russia. He is showing his leadership in a time of crisis.
Lefty Empty Suit Moron will not have a prayer.
Winebabe on August 14, 2008 at 10:21 AM
So, Russia is allowed to attack and absorb Georgia entirely under the Osswetia pretext and we should give them a slap on the wrist and control of oil distribution? Exactly how do we force Russia to cooperate with us on Iran? Their word is good enough? Shame them into it? Promise them carrots?
a capella on August 14, 2008 at 10:22 AM
Make no mistake that the responses of the propspective candidates were carefully measured in Moscow during all this. Could be that Putin’s been re-reading Come Nineveh, Come Tyre and is now drooling at future prospects for hegemony with a weakling like Obama at the helm.
whitetop on August 14, 2008 at 10:30 AM
Obama’s American Foreign Policy let the U.N. deal with World crisis.
http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerkimball/2008/08/10/the-crisis-in-georgis-911-and-the-lessons-of-gratitude/
Dr Evil on August 14, 2008 at 10:33 AM
This, really, is what the presidential decision comes down to for me. The choice is between a man (McCain) who, although I disagree with him on some issues, has a proven track record of doing and saying what he believes is best for our country, and a man (Obama) who has a record of doing and saying what’s best for himself, while asking me to believe in him.
No contest.
Gilda on August 14, 2008 at 10:34 AM
ernesto on August 14, 2008 at 10:10 AM –
Surely you have done more study of the Georgian situation than what you expose here. If this is your take on Georgia, congrtatulations, you have been taken in by a Russian media counteroffensive that started way before the first Russian assault troops crossed the Georgian frontier.
It’s OK. You are not alone. Even some major media outlets took the Russian line…and have been repeating it often since this episode began.
For your consideration:
1) Can a President of a nation make decisions regarding events within the recognized borders of that nation?
2) Can a government of a recognized nation act to control crime, control the illegal influx of falsely documented foreign nationals into that country within that country?
3) Can a President or government dispatch its own military and security forces within its own borders to qwell lethal threats to the stability of that nation?
These are not trick questions.
Lastly,
4) How long, from a standing start, with no prior notice, does it take a brigade of troops at rest, to enter a combat zone with complete kit and gear, full ammunition/basic load, move through severe terrain over gravel roads to get to the FEBA and then advance toward the target?
This is nor a trick question, either.
Answer them correctly (and there is no relativism involved nor allowed) a simple yes or no for the first three, and a logisticians time-table for the last, and you will be able to see that the Russian invasion of Georgian was in no way at any time a mere “response” to a Georgian alleged provocation. It was and is and will remain, however, a central theme in how New Russia intends to conduct business for the next many decades.
coldwarrior on August 14, 2008 at 10:48 AM
coldwarrior on August 14, 2008 at 10:48 AM
excellent post, cutting throught the Reletvistic thought process to the truth of the matter.
jp on August 14, 2008 at 10:53 AM
davidk on August 14, 2008 at 10:55 AM
Instincts.
If you’ve been waiting for a single, overwhelming reason to vote for a particular candidate… there it is.
MikeZero on August 14, 2008 at 10:59 AM
Exactly. Russia invaded a soveriegn nation.
What would be the world’s response if the USA invaded PuertoRice or Samoa, let alone Mexico or Canada on the pretense that we have prior claim to any/all of the territory? Heck, what would the internal response be?
Russia should be shown that it’s Cold War aggresiveness will no longer be tolerated. The Bear’s armies are no match for ours. They are antiquated and in disrepair. B1 bombers and lazer guided missles from us on their troops positions in Georgia would convince them that we mean business.
It is time we take a pro-active stance against Russia instead of simply reacting. Then tell Iran that we will do the same to them if they don’t quit saber rattling and don’t STOP their nuclear weapons programme.
davidk on August 14, 2008 at 11:07 AM
Say it with me, children:
The Fukuyama Fallacy!
Vatican Watcher on August 14, 2008 at 11:13 AM
PuertoRice or Samoa…
Ya may want to change these two examples..Puerto Rico is part of the United States, as is American Samoa…
Secondly, flying in with guns blazing…well, does what?
The solution is not nor should not be modeled on the basic Cold War script. A lot of people died prematurely because of that script. But, it worked, then. It worked well, then. But, that was then. This is now.
Going after Russia today is not and will not be like going after Communism. While there are some operational similarities at certain levels within Russia, to conflate the two, Communism and Revanchist Russia is a danger from the start. Doing so will lessen, not enhance, our response(s) and the effectiveness of those responses over the coming decade or more.
Toss out the Communism from the playbook entirely. It doesn’t exist in Russia anymore, save for a few on the fringe, and for some holding nostaligia for the good old days. The New Russia is driven by something far more dangerous than Communism, yet driven by something that is far more easily dealt with than Communism.
coldwarrior on August 14, 2008 at 11:15 AM
interestingly there is a video today at NRO TV about the founders and Empire. I didn’t realize this but Jefferson wanted to march in and Take Canada and Cuba, of course he did aquire Lousianna. Of course the distinction here which few can grasp is it would be an Empire for Liberty as oppossed to the type of Empire Russia or the Islamo-Fascist are shooting for.
jp on August 14, 2008 at 11:16 AM
I’m not 100% sure about that. There is this quote, found in numerous sources today:
(this comes from the Toronto Star ).
Interesting times we live in.
Blaise on August 14, 2008 at 11:55 AM
GWB trusting PUTIN may go down as one of the GREATEST MISTAKES of his presidency… Old saying there is no such thing as an EX-MARINE, once a MARINE always a MARINE… Well, there is no such thing as EX-KGB…
pueblo1032 on August 14, 2008 at 12:40 PM
Looking at memeorandum and seeing how this has now become a blame America, blame neo-cons, blame mccain, blah blah blah issue for the left is disheartening. Russia is on the propaganda offensive and your tools lap it up asking for more. I guess this covers up the fact that the Democratic nominee has all but disappeared. I thought he was in Hawaii but apparently he stopped off in the bermuda triangle first.
Guy can’t move an inch without his 300+ foreign policy advisors typing it up for him first.
saus on August 14, 2008 at 12:58 PM
if they dont play ball on iran, we dont look the other way on georgia, we send nato peacekeepers into Gori and Tblisi, and start talking joint eurasian military operations with China instead of Russia. i mean, theres plenty of ways to play this hand. I think at the end of the day though, wether it be the WTO, the G8, further eurasian security partnerships, etc. etc…we CAN exert some pressure.
ernesto on August 14, 2008 at 1:11 PM
Can I seriously suggest that history did not begin in 1917 either?
I mean, Russia, Caucasus and the Eurasian nations have been playing this game a long time. and, Russia’s world ambitions have existed since Ivan IV extended Muscovy to the Baltic. Russia is trapped by its geography and it always plays to that.
Kat_Mo on August 14, 2008 at 1:46 PM
Russia is trapped by its geography and it always plays to that.
Kat_Mo on August 14, 2008 at 1:46 PM
Another Putin weakness we can and should exploit.
coldwarrior on August 14, 2008 at 2:05 PM
To quote Battlestar Galactica again:
All of this has happened before. All of this will happen again.
aero on August 14, 2008 at 2:12 PM
According to both Obama and Clinton, plus Fred Thompson, McCain is indeed “the man” when it comes to national security–which should be the only issue in this election, and which might be, depending on the next few months.
As far as all the other issues, here’s a great signature line I ran across earlier today:
Vote McCain. If he screws up the country, at least it won’t be on purpose!
glendower on August 14, 2008 at 2:23 PM
So say we all.
Anna on August 14, 2008 at 2:31 PM
Oddly enough he didn’t publish this in the New Tork Times…
Blaise on August 14, 2008 at 2:57 PM
Ten years ago, Russia was broke, and Yeltsin was drunk while BJ was off doing his cigar thingy. The only danger posed by Russia was through its mob activities (and yes, the Russian Mob had a VERY long reach back then).
Oh, and oil was USD$11/bbl.
Fast forward ten years, where the last five of those years have seen oil go from $30/bbl to peak at $145/bbl. Oddly enough, in that five year period, Russian nationalism and a resurgent Russian military has been on a meteoric rise.
SanFranNan would have you believe that she is “saving the planet” by preventing additional oil supplies from being drilled in the US. I believe she is hoping we lose sight of the fact that oil is almost as fungible as currency (Hugo Chavez’s crappy heavy sulfur crude notwithstanding).
So it’s the same solution for pushing back on Russian resurgence as it is for the Islamists: DRILL.
Any Republican who fights drilling (part of the Gang of Ten?) should have it pointed out to them, loudly and often, that their failure to support more drilling of oil to protect their Big Ag constituents amounts to the selling out of US interests and national security to the likes of ConAgra and ADM.
/rant OFF
Wanderlust on August 14, 2008 at 7:32 PM
Wanderlust on August 14, 2008 at 7:32 PM –
Excellent “rant” I might add…
coldwarrior on August 14, 2008 at 11:33 PM