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Dems retreat on energy, “wait for the wind”

posted at 10:45 am on July 8, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
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Democrats in Congress promised to make energy policy a high priority when they returned after the Independence Day break.  Instead, they have quietly scrubbed the schedule of any votes on their energy bill, afraid Republicans will make them vote on increased domestic oil production and force them to choose between popular sentiment for drilling and their environmentalist allies.  Their strategy?  Well, the Hill chooses a good quote:

“Right now, our strategy on gas prices is ‘Drive small cars and wait for the wind,’ ” said a Democratic aide.

Before the break, Democrats heralded two bills that supposedly showed their leadership on energy: an anti-speculator measure and a “use it or lose it” bill that forced oil companies to drill on federal leases — whether or not they had found oil yet — or lose the leases immediately.  They attacked Republicans who opposed both bills as oil-company lackeys, but the truth is that neither bill produces a single drop of oil to solve the supply crisis.

Now, both bills have disappeared off of the legislative calendar, and the Republicans have ideas of their own.  Politico reports that Mitch McConnell has a plan to peel off moderate Democrats in the Senate to get approval for drilling by combining the effort with conservation mandates.  He already has five Democrats ready to vote for more drilling, and if he can find a few more, he can effectively sideline the Slip-Up from Searchlight and keep him from getting ill:

GOP senators believe that a number of moderate Democrats would be open to legislation that balances increased energy exploration with conservation. If they’re right, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) could lose their grip on energy policy, and the Republicans could score a major coup on the No. 1 issue on the minds of voters.

At least five Senate Democrats support more domestic oil and gas exploration, and McConnell is sweetening the deal to make the sale to other moderates: The Kentucky Republican is pushing a package of incentives to boost conservation as well as a measure creating stricter enforcement of commodities markets in exchange for more offshore oil and gas drilling.

Moderate Democrats have now begun asking for a “Gang of 14″ on energy.   Ben Nelson (D-NE) has taken the lead in this demand, and he has nine other Senators from both parties willing to join him.  This amounts to a rebellion against Harry Reid and his knee-jerk opposition to increased domestic production of oil and coal.  His “sick” speech may have been the last straw for Democrats who see the American public demanding more domestic production and recognize the political danger that approaches in November for obstructionists.

Of course, the Democrats always have the option of going into November with the slogan, “Drive smaller cars and wait for the wind.”  I’m sure we’ll see television ads and bumper stickers highlighting that strategy.  Unfortunately for the Democrats, they will be produced by Republicans to demonstrate the utter bankruptcy of Democratic energy policy.


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Comment pages: 1 2

Romeo13,

It’s worse than doubling. Wind power is only available out in the middle of nowhere, so you have to build hundreds to thousands of miles of new power lines.

MarkTheGreat on July 8, 2008 at 5:08 PM

Oil would have to get to $300 to $400 dollars per barrel before wind power would become cost effective. And the fact still remains that having more than a few percent wind in the mix makes your electric grid unstable.

You could go higher if there was an effective means of storage, however that would more then double the cost of wind.

MarkTheGreat on July 8, 2008 at 5:10 PM

MarkTheGreat on July 8, 2008 at 5:10 PM

Ummm where do you live that they use Oil rather then Natural Gas or Coal for electricity?

And FYI, the price of coal and natural gas is going up slowly.

Stock show a surge even if the actual price has been slow to climb due, even if it is slow, to all the new methane projects and coal plants.

upinak on July 8, 2008 at 5:19 PM

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 4:10 PM

Your two links make my point. The Forbes last two paragraphs are the best. The WSJ article has good points throughout.

The subsidies are not exclusive to wind power and looks like theirs is lower than the others.

Not that I would use this article to push wind power (it isn’t a completely non-biased player), it shows that wind power is the least wasteful of taxpayer dollars.

Wind farms More than Pay Their Way

I am against all subsidies, but they are not going to go away no matter who gets elected.

MarkTheGreat,

Lots of words, nothing to back them up.

True believer? I don’t think so. I would prefer cheap oil or nuclear. But they aren’t on the table now are they.

Some folks would prefer nothing to alternatives that will work. Doing nothing may get us to the point we will have to put sails on our cars.

Oil would have to get to $300 to $400 dollars per barrel before wind power would become cost effective.

And your numbers come from?

It’s worse than doubling. Wind power is only available out in the middle of nowhere, so you have to build hundreds to thousands of miles of new power lines.

MarkTheGreat on July 8, 2008 at 5:08 PM

Again, you get those numbers from where?

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 5:20 PM

Sarjex posted a fantastic cartoon during the EMS this afternoon. Take a look, it is hilarious!

Dawnsblood on July 8, 2008 at 5:25 PM

Claim: Windpower will help ease the coming energy shortage.

Facts: As affirmed in EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2007, wind turbine technology offers virtually no possibility of supplying a significant share of US energy requirements for the foreseeable future. EIA estimates that, by 2030 wind will supply only 4/10 of 1% of US energy consumption and 89/100 of 1% of US electric generation.. EIA Lowers Forecast for Contribution of ‘Wind Power’

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 5:28 PM

upinak on July 8, 2008 at 5:19 PM

Yep, coal and Natural Gas have risen, but not even as much as they should with the drop of the dollar.

They are internaly generated and used commodities… we don’t really import much, so the price is rising due to transport costs increasing more than anything else. As they become worldwide commodities however, the depreciation of the dollar will destroy those prices as well…

Killer is oil… because like it or not, our entire transportation grid runs off of oil products. Even if we all went to electric CARS, trains, planes and trucks, would still need oil products… and there is no technology on the horizon that I know of which will replace the diesals used for transport, or the jet engine.

Romeo13 on July 8, 2008 at 5:29 PM

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 5:20 PM

Living in a cold climate, is the reason that I know that most of the alternatives do not work here. It isn’t because of predjudice for them.

Solar Panels, as I stated before, only works well up here for heating water… But then the snow, ice, frost and other “issues” are a pain in the buns. Wind hasn’t been throughly tested here due to the odd wind viances, circulature, Mountain valleys and the fact that the drier a climate doesn’t always mean the better the equipment works. I would like to try it on a cabin, to see the results, but no one here knows how to do the conversions for regular electric to turn off when the Wind Turbine is producing. And paying out for someone to come up and connect it correctly is not worth the time at this moment.

As for others, I won’t chance the cost. Call me ignorant… that is fine.

upinak on July 8, 2008 at 5:31 PM

Romeo13 on July 8, 2008 at 5:29 PM

As you and I know that will never happen. Oil in general for fuel and other items isn’t going to go away anytime soon.

As I am doing a lot of exploration and redrill work (coming up in the next 5-7 yrs at maximum) for Natural Gas here in my State. I don’t see the possibilities deminishing anytime soon.

Alternatives are great in some areas. OK, KS, TX and a few other States for wind. Hot desert like States for Solar… but other places are going to hurt more then people know.

I really wish nuclear would come up. It would drive down the oil in so many ways, only problem is will the producers stop drilling if nuclear was on the table.

upinak on July 8, 2008 at 5:36 PM

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 5:28 PM

Those nuts are just as nutty as the last nuts you used.

Your link is them lowering the expectations they made last month…using their own “experts” (unnamed)…when they attacked a D.O.E. report…that they will not link to.

upinak, dude, I know wind will not work everywhere. And have written to that effect. But, where it will work, it will reduce the demand for fossil fuels which will lower the cost in other places.

Texas has quite a bit of natural gas and more being found (Barnett Shale), but that will not stop Texas from putting up more wind turbines, or wanting nuke plants. That just leaves more natural gas in the pipeline for locations that it is not practical for other sources.

Geeze, folks, look at your own state governments. Many states have passed laws requiring alternative energy sources. Its not a soapbox for wind power, its the reality that your elected officials have made argument whether to have alternative sources moot. Now, its what alternative to use.

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 6:06 PM

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 6:06 PM

I know the Barnett Shale is loaded with Natural Gas. Trust me on this, and I am doing investigating on a certain well for free! I even brought in someone to answer some questions, because I couldn’t answer … TX has some weird laws, regs and such… ok I am not use to them.

If we want to get technical… Lets talk about BLM and their regulations! OMG, I am getting a headache looking through the differences in States.

upinak on July 8, 2008 at 6:18 PM

upinak, I haven’t had, or worked on, a well in years. And those were in Oklahoma. I don’t want to touch on Texas Oil & Gas laws.

I have a hard time just keeping up on the techno-babble now.

The Barnett find just keeps getting bigger, but what has it done for prices?

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 6:27 PM

Those nuts are just as nutty as the last nuts you used. –cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 6:06 PM

Bashing sources because they present a judgment contrary to your own fails to discredit the data therein.

The forecast data comes from the Energy Information Administration within the Department of Energy. Kindly read the EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2007, before you try to tell us what it says. Get real, dude.

You will note that EIA’s forecast, notably Tables A8 and A16, for the
contribution from wind in 2030 is nearly 20% lower in AEO 2007 than it was in AEO 2006.
Specifically, in AEO 2007, EIA forecasts that:
• Wind would supply 40/100 of 1% of total US energy consumption in 2030, down from
49/100 of 1% in AEO 2006.
• Wind would supply .89/100 of 1% of total US electric generation in 2030, down from 1.09%
in AEO 2006.

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 6:27 PM

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 6:27 PM

Since the barnett feeds most of the electrical for TX, it has been helping with the conditions down there (as I have heard) but yet that is to be determined. I.E. not raising the prices to high.

But that is what I have heard. I do not know first hand. And the fact they use a lot of the NG for … making fertilizer. I don’t know a man alive who doesn’t like Scotts Turf Builder!

upinak on July 8, 2008 at 6:31 PM

Another factor that puts a sever crimp in the use of wind and solar power as mainline electrical supply sources is amperage, or rather the lack of it.

Solar cells, assuming 40-50% conversion efficiency (which is what it was the last time I checked, two years ago) generate low-amperage current. Wind-turbine amperage varies with output voltage, which varies with (surprise!) wind velocity.

What both have in common is that amperage never gets high enough to overcome resistance (line-loss) over the long lines the “Wind And Sun Only (WASO)” mavens dream of.

Ohm’s Law will not be denied. And Congress can’t repeal it, either. The only way to make it work would be to have transmission lines composed of Room Temperature Super-Conductor (RTSC) material. The only problem with this is, so far, no one has managed to come up with a material which is a superconductor above cryogenic temperatures.

The reason I checked back in ‘06 was that on a PBS show, one “expert” from The Sierra Club said that it would work. All we needed to do (says he) is use superconductors for transmission lines. When someone else pointed out that there were no superconductors available that worked at normal temperatures, his response was, “no problem- we’ll just run them in pipes full of liquid nitrogen.”

Under every street in the country
.

I have worked with LN under laboratory conditions. I know that, while an inert gas per se, it is difficult and dangerous to handle under the best of circumstances.

And this…person… wants to use it in a way that is about as far from “the best of circumstances” as Long Island is from Lompoc, CA.

I think this tells you all you need to know about the scientific and technical “expertise” of the “Wind And Sun Only” crowd.

We need to stop letting scientific ignoramuses set our policies regarding energy. Or, indeed, our policies regarding anything to do with engineering, period.

I include lawyers in the “ignoramus category”. Recently, in our local court, a traffic case came up in which a woman ran a red light in front of an oncoming semi, and got corner-rammed and spun into a light pole for her trouble. Her “defense” was that (quote) “the truck driver should have understood that I was going through, and backed up”- while the truck was moving at 35 MPH.

The judge told her, “That would have required the truck driver to violate the laws of physics.”

Her lawyer’s response?

Well, he should have violated them instead of hitting my client!”

I rest my case.

cheers

eon

eon on July 8, 2008 at 6:43 PM

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 6:27 PM

Um. you did notice that this is their analysis of EIA forecasts.

And, they could be right. I don’t put a lot of faith in government forecasts either. But, this is an anti-wind power organization. Due ya’ think they are going to give straight numbers? At least the first nutball source gave information about their participants (their main guy is against everything…look him up). This one doesn’t. And they claim to have analyzed the numbers. The guy who wrote the paper has a name that can be searched though. And it doesn’t fill me with confidence in his analysis.

I don’t bash folks who disagree, but I will call a partisan nut a nut.

I may be pro-wind power, but that is because I am pro-energy. Nuclear is out, oil isn’t going to be cheap any time soon and solar will not do it. That leaves wind as the most practical, for now. You are digging for any sources you can to bash it. And still haven’t sourced most of your claims either with reputable, or even disreputable, sources. At this point I may even accept a Dan Rather source from you. Just to get one for your claims.

So, let me see, Federal law, and many states require renewable energy (that nixes oil), that leaves nuclear, solar, hydro, wind and power cells.

I choose nuclear, but that won’t happen. Anybody see fuel cells in the not to distant future? More hydro-electric dams are being dismantled than built. That leaves solar and wind. Take your pick, or chose to do nothing. Except complain.

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 7:08 PM

Another factor that puts a sever crimp in the use of wind and solar power as mainline electrical supply sources is amperage, or rather the lack of it.–
eon on July 8, 2008 at 6:43 PM

I had not considered this issue before. Thank you.

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 7:09 PM

why don’t these refresh?

upinak on July 8, 2008 at 7:13 PM

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 7:08 PM

Uh, why is nuclear out?

We could declass plans of some of the older Navy reactors and have them online in a hurry. We don’t have to build HUGE reactors, like we have in the past.

Smaller reactors would probably cost more initialy, but bringin them online faster would probably be worth it as energy prices are going to spike in the next couple of years.

Romeo13 on July 8, 2008 at 7:19 PM

Romeo13 on July 8, 2008 at 7:19 PM

As well as Smaller reactors would work better for areas that have more dispursed populations and can run off a good deep creek and not next to a river.

upinak on July 8, 2008 at 7:20 PM

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 7:08 PM

You are pro-energy? Then we can agree on that much.

But I reject completely your premise:

That leaves solar and wind. Take your pick, or chose to do nothing. Except complain.

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 7:08 PM

Were I to accept for the sake of discussion your premise, I would pick solar in a heartbeat, and discard wind as a fanciful waste of scarce resources. For at least solar, as a technology, has the prospect of becoming a cost-effective source of energy.

And then we could join ranks and get about the business of building nuclear plants and domestic exploring, drilling and refining.

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 7:30 PM

Nuclear would be great. IIRC,the US navy has the most efficient reactors in the world. And a lot of people who know how to run them. They have an excellent safety record and o lot of experience. McCain may be for nukes, but he needs to win with a mandate for them or congress will just demagogue the issue or until we are freezing in the dark. Even after nukes get the okay, the eco-nuts will hold them up in court for the next century.

Dems (they, for the most part, are the eco-nuts)are against nukes and republicans are afraid of the eco-nuts.

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 7:33 PM

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 7:30 PM

You either can’t see my post or are ignoring me. Whatever, I have other things to do.

Off I go… have a good night all.

upinak on July 8, 2008 at 7:37 PM

…at least solar, as a technology, has the prospect of becoming a cost-effective source of energy.

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 7:30 PM

Not any time soon, or even distant with the current technology.

Solar energy for electricity generation is more science fiction than reality.

And lots of nasty petrochemicals to make the cells. The enviros will never go for it.

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 7:44 PM

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 7:33 PM

It pleases me to say this: I agree with every word of that post. :)

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 7:54 PM

upinak on July 8, 2008 at 7:37 PM

I aplogize, upinak. I’ve been enjoying your posts, but I seem to have missed the one(s) inviting a reply. I do wish we had here a way of subscribing to notification by email of a reply to our posts. Sometimes there’s not enough time to keep checking back to see if there are any.

Sorry to be so obtuse, but please give me a link(s) to the post(s) I to which I might reply.

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 8:03 PM

Solar energy for electricity generation is more science fiction than reality.

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 7:44 PM

While I agree with your political analysis, the time frame for solar cost-effectiveness appears far shorter than for wind. Reason: Until they invent the perpetual motion machine or the electric grid utility battery, wind is a bankrupt technology.

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 8:13 PM

Reid is sick alright, because libs get depressed when their PC beliefs conflict with reality. Questioning their worldly malaise is enough for them to know that you’re trying to hurt their precious feelings. Not commiserating with them proves you’re a bad person. [rant off/]

elvis on July 8, 2008 at 8:28 PM

Actually the Pickens Plan, taking a cursory glance at it (which is good enough for government work, apparently) is pretty good – and it’s sole premise is replacing natural gas using power plants with wind powered sources. Therein freeing the natural gas supplies so we can use them in cars. Of course a long term and short term impact study would better evaluate that plan.

More importantly it would require a serious investment of hundreds of billions of dollars to convert to wind, and then convert the natural gas for use in cars (however that works). And which Congress person is going to be the first to raise their hand to deliver hundreds of billions of dollars to tilt some windmills?

PresidenToor on July 8, 2008 at 8:38 PM

I am just reading this thread but I had to jump in and thank PatriotPete at 10:59 a.m. for his nick name for the Speaker. Loved it and I plan to use it.

Cindy Munford on July 8, 2008 at 9:02 PM

More importantly it would require a serious investment of hundreds of billions of dollars to convert to wind, and then convert the natural gas for use in cars (however that works). And which Congress person is going to be the first to raise their hand to deliver hundreds of billions of dollars to tilt some windmills?

PresidenToor on July 8, 2008 at 8:38 PM

Yes, I agree. And might the advocates of this pie-in-the-sky wind fantasy be among the same who argue the payoffs for drilling/refining are too far out in the future? Somehow, while they reject drilling/refining for taking too long, they have no suggestions for the near term.

Of course Pickens is not to be blamed for making an investment in wind. He sees within his grasp a once-in-a-lifetime Pot ‘o Gold, today’s arrray of government subsidies for wind turbine farms, at the end of his Wind Rainbow. And he’s out to grab them, to parlay this corporate welfare back into his company.

I don’t blame Pickens. I blame government. Markets should determine energy technologies, not governments. Not governments, especially ours.

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 10:16 PM

cozmo on July 8, 2008 at 7:33 PM

It pleases me to say this: I agree with every word of that post. :)

petefrt on July 8, 2008 at 7:54 PM

Really? I think most of it is pure BS unsubstantiated by fact. Opinions vary I guess.

Oldnuke on July 8, 2008 at 11:53 PM

Last night at a Republican committee meeting at our county level, we had an election for reorganization purposes as we do every two years. Candidates for reelection at the grassroots level on up to the Congressional representative for our district spoke.

Two issues that our representative has championed for years (beyond support for war funding) is energy policy and veterans’ benefits. The rep’s surrogate said that Republicans have initiated multiple bills on behalf of our citizens to promote energy independence using domestic resources. (Our own state has plenty, and these sources offer the potential for well-paying, meaningful jobs and tax revenues.) Nevertheless, it is Nancy Pelosi, who will not allow these assorted energy bills to come to the floor.

Nancy Pelosi’s role in not addressing our energy crisis and in stagnating our economy should be shouted from the hilltops. She is working against the interests of American working taxpayers and families.

onlineanalyst on July 9, 2008 at 6:41 AM

The only reason wind is competitive is because 90% of the cost is born by the taxpayer.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 8:44 AM

There are no alternatives that work. That’s the problem.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 8:44 AM

That’s a strange argument cozmo. Wind is so effective that local govts have had to pass laws requiring people to use it.

If wind were truely effective people would decide to use it on their own, they would need govt to require them to use it.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 8:47 AM

There is one power technology that could be used to back up wind power. Gas turbine. The problem is of course is that these aren’t very efficient, are hideously expensive, and have to be kept at idle waiting for the wind to die.

I’m still waiting for cozmo to declare what power he wants to use as back up for when the wind isn’t blowing, and how he plans to pay for it.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 8:53 AM

40-50% conversion efficiency for solar cells? What’s your source.
I’ve never seen anything higher than about 20%, and that’s for super expensive, multi-layer, exotic material cells.
The cheap cells run closer to 10%.

I’m not sure where you’re going with this amperage thing.
What counts in electricity is power, wattage. Watts is the multiple of current times voltage. (For AC you also have to consider the phase angle between current and voltage, but for most of us, that’s not big enough to matter.)

I would presume that any power from a solar plant would be transmitted the same way power from other plants is. Jack up the voltage to 100K volts, convert it to DC, then send along the transmission lines, convert it back to AC, then drop the voltage to match the local distribution net.

Of course with solar you have an extra step, converting it to AC before you can start jacking up the voltage.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 8:59 AM

MarkTheGreat

Since you hadn’t backed anything else up I wasn’t going to respond to your latest, but the gas turbine remarks were just so ridiculous, I had to.

Gas turbines are inefficient? Long start up times? Really.

Gas turbines are the backup for most commercial applications that need a backup power supplies. Factories, hospitals and government buildings have them stuck to the sides. There is one just down the street from me for the telephone company.

Their biggest selling point is their instant start up time.

Gas turbines are the power plant of choice to supplement Los Angeles during peak demand.

The US Navy retired its nuclear cruisers and the gas turbine powered Tico’s took their place.

Turbine manufacturers did not force the subsidies. The government demanded clean energy and offered the subsidies to get it. It just so happens that wind energy is the most efficient and that’s what gets built.

I don’t care if y’all think its BS. It’s to bad, but that’s reality. Wind turbines have been contributing to the grids for over twenty years. And the way things are going, their percentage will just get larger.

cozmo on July 9, 2008 at 9:53 AM

Moderate Democrat? What’s that?
How is wind going to power my car?
Obama says he wants to cut energy consumption. One way to do that is rationing, and that’s what I believe his plan is. Either that or he and the socialists will make energy so expensive with taxes and fees that you will have to cut down.
And here in Virginia, our fearless socialist democrat governor backed by a worthless general assembly wants to add another 6 to 9 cents to a gallon of gas across the state to pay for roads in Northern Virginia. The local governments want to do the same to pay for more roads. But not one word about regulating residential growth.

abcurtis on July 9, 2008 at 10:29 AM

Wind hasn’t been throughly tested here due to the odd wind viances, circulature, Mountain valleys and the fact that the drier a climate doesn’t always mean the better the equipment works.

I’ve been to the southwest and also up in Wyoming and across to Minnesota. I’ve seen lots of wind farms – as far as the eye could see. I’ve also seen lots of turbines sitting idle, no wind. And how many acres are needed to have a wind farm that would provide power to a town as opposed to one coal fired or nuclear power plant? So when the wind doesnt blow or the sun doesnt shine where would one get power? Or would we be like a third world country (Cuba comes to mind) and not have electricity at certain times of the day? Then you have the delivery problem. People dont like power lines in their yards and miles and miles of pristine prairie and mountains would be cluttered with the towers and cables just to get the power into a community.
Dont think that’s going to go over too good.

abcurtis on July 9, 2008 at 10:37 AM

I would presume that any power from a solar plant would be transmitted the same way power from other plants is. Jack up the voltage to 100K volts, convert it to DC, then send along the transmission lines, convert it back to AC, then drop the voltage to match the local distribution net.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 8:59 AM

Don’t know where you got this information, but it’s wrong. Electricity is not converted to DC before transmission. Can’t think of a single reason why anyone would do that. Also transmission voltages are rarely less than 110kv.

Here’s a better source for some general info on transmission systems.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 10:44 AM

cozmo on July 9, 2008 at 9:53 AM

The US Navy retired its nuclear cruisers and the gas turbine powered Tico’s took their place.

Yes they did. Do you know why?

And what new nuke plants are on the horizon?

Well, this will give you some clue as to what’s on the horizon right now.

In addition this will give you an idea of what the NRC is expecting to come down the pike near future.

Nuclear would be great. IIRC,the US navy has the most efficient reactors in the world. And a lot of people who know how to run them.

No, the navy’s reactors are not the most effecient in the world. As a matter of fact all commercial nuclear plants are more efficient than navy plants. The Russian RBMK reactors are much more efficient than navy plants. That doesn’t make them desirable. The navy’s plants are as efficient as they can make them given the limited space available and the requirements for their mission. The navy nuke plants are designed to drive a slug of metal through water at a decent clip for a long time. Commercial plants are designed to produce electricity at the lowest cost possible. AS far as a lot of people to run them, I can introduce you to some folks who would like to hire all you can produce. If you know some who are looking for jobs tell them to pick a plant and submit a resume. Everybody’s hiring right now.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 11:09 AM

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 11:09 AM

Old you are awesome! Can I adopt you?

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 11:13 AM

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 11:13 AM

You’ll have to take my border collie too. Did I mention I can cook.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 11:18 AM

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 11:18 AM

WOO HOO a man who can cook! Border Collie is welcome :)

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 11:20 AM

Another factor that puts a sever crimp in the use of wind and solar power as mainline electrical supply sources is amperage, or rather the lack of it.

Solar cells, assuming 40-50% conversion efficiency (which is what it was the last time I checked, two years ago) generate low-amperage current. Wind-turbine amperage varies with output voltage, which varies with (surprise!) wind velocity.

What both have in common is that amperage never gets high enough to overcome resistance (line-loss) over the long lines the “Wind And Sun Only (WASO)” mavens dream of.

Solar (photovoltaic) cells generate a low voltage. Their current depends on how large they are and how intense the light is. You can array them in parallel to add currents or in series to add voltages; you can convert to AC and run through conventional transformers; you can use DC-DC converters with the amazing high-power semiconductor technology that utilities, railroads, and industry are using now, you can mix them in amazing ways just as the utilities are doing now when the convert high voltage AC to very high voltage DC for transmission without inductive and capacitive losses and convert it back down … these things are not obstacles, merely known co$t$.

The obstacle is the distance from the generation site to the place where the power is used. You may lose half your power to heat. Using overhead lines instead of buried lines and using DC transmission helps a lot, but you still have to figure on losing between a third and two thirds over long-haul transmission.

Oh, and before the WTC was taken down, there were cryo superconducting cables underground in lower Manhattan. They were used because they were the only way to get enough power through the very limited understreet duct space available.

njcommuter on July 9, 2008 at 11:31 AM

My bumper sticker says, “Drill Here. Drill Now.”

fossten on July 9, 2008 at 11:41 AM

Nuclear material used in medical treatment don’t need to go to anything like Yucca mountain. Most of the stuff is short lived, and will decay to non-hazardous status before it could be delivered to Yucca mountain. The rest is low level stuff.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 11:45 AM

cosmo,

Your ability to misread what others say and to use flexible definitions that change from post to post, remains remarkable.

Not to mention your ability to not understand whatever it is you choose to talk about.

Gas turbines are the backup for most commercial applications that need a backup power supplies. Factories, hospitals and government buildings have them stuck to the sides. There is one just down the street from me for the telephone company.

All true, and none of it contradicts what I said. Since you are so ignorant of how back up systems work, I will educate you. The systems that you mention also have battery systems. When power is lost, the batteries kick on instantly, and provide power for the 10 to 30 minutes it takes to start up the turbine and get it up to temperature so that it can be used at full power.

Their biggest selling point is their instant start up time.

Nothing has instant start up time. That’s a phsysical impossibility. Turbines can be started quicker than most other power sources. However they can’t be brought to full power until immediately, you have to wait until the turbines get to thermal equilibrium. At least you do if you want the turbines to last.

Gas turbines are the power plant of choice to supplement Los Angeles during peak demand.

Power companies know when peak power is going to be days in advance, which allows them time to start up the turbines before they are needed. The same can’t be said for wind, since you have no idea when the wind is going to stop blowing.

The US Navy retired its nuclear cruisers and the gas turbine powered Tico’s took their place.

And how does this refute any of my claims, that gas turbines are less efficient, more expensive than other forms of electric power generation, and can’t be started up quickly enough to serve as back up for wind power.

Turbine manufacturers did not force the subsidies. The government demanded clean energy and offered the subsidies to get it. It just so happens that wind energy is the most efficient and that’s what gets built.

I’m guessing that you have shifted back to wind turbines, there are no subsidies for gas turbines. Then again, given your utter ignorance regarding everything, who knows?

As to your claim that wind turbine makers were just standing there when congress decided to shove other people’s money into their pockets. You would believe that.

Wind turbines have been contributing to the grids for over twenty years. And the way things are going, their percentage will just get larger.

Just where have I ever stated that there are no wind turbines now?

As to them providing more power, that’s probably true. Given the huge subsidies and legal requirements, that’s inevitable.

You haven’t done anything to dispute the fact that as wind turbines increase as a percentage of power production, the gird gets unstable because of wind’s unfortunate habit of stopping and starting unpredictably.

Just whining that we’ve got to do something, is no answer.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 11:59 AM

Long distance distribution is done DC because of inductive and capacitive losses.

Local distribution is done in AC because of the ease of stepping up and down.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 12:01 PM

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 12:01 PM

How about you put up some links.

I haven’t seen any that I can recall on what you say, compared to what is tangible!

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 12:02 PM

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 12:01 PM

Let me put this delicately lest you be offended. You are full of crap and have no idea what you are talking about.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 12:15 PM

I love the way people who don’t know what they are talking about declare that everything they disagree with is crap.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 12:52 PM

I love the way people who don’t know what they are talking about declare that everything they disagree with is crap.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 12:52 PM

I didn’t say it was crap. I said provide some links or your supposed “evidence” isn’t Tangible.

I.E. you don’t cough up anything, you just spew. So where are these links?

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 12:56 PM

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 12:56 PM

He’s not going to post a link on his AC/DC delusions because he can’t. However I can post one that will substantiate what I said. Here ya go. Here’s a pertinent quote from the article. Emphasis is mine.

While DC distribution systems over significant distances are essentially extinct, DC power is still common when distances are small, and especially when energy storage or conversion uses batteries or fuel cells.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 1:22 PM

oldnuke,

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electric_power_transmission#HVDC

If you were half the man you thought you are, you would apologize. We both know that you won’t.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 1:25 PM

upinak,

I never said that you called my stuff crap.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 1:26 PM

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 1:25 PM

1. Why are you using Wikipedia?
2. If I felt the need I could add and change everything on it.
3. I would like something other then Wiki and the site given on it.

Oldnuke, thank you.

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 1:27 PM

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 1:22 PM

Old ugh!

Ok I am going to be a snob. I do not like wiki. I don’t trust it due to the crap people can change on it… who cares about IP addresses.

Such as an Oil research project I was looking into. I put in a search and a Wiki sight came up… and what I had learned first hand did not match this wiki sight at ALL! I am not a Wiki person. :|

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 1:32 PM

You need to read the parent article. Here it is

Again here’s the pertinent quote.

The longest HVDC link in the world is currently the Inga-Shaba 1700 km 600 MW link connecting the Inga Dam to the Shaba copper mine, in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Try again Mark. We don’t use DC distribution in the USA. Worldwide it’s very limited. You’re right I have nothing to apologize for.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 1:33 PM

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 1:32 PM

I don’t like Wiki much either but I knew it was what he was using to cherry pick his talking points from. Using Wiki is Ok for a quick link and better than just saying Hey I worked in the industry for 40 years, which I have no way of proving.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 1:35 PM

upinak,

oldnuke can use wikipedia, but I can’t?

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 1:41 PM

That last link didn’t work let’s try it again.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 1:42 PM

tsk, tsk,

oldnuke sure gets cranky in his old age. Perhaps senile as well.

Unless you agree with him 100%, he gets angry and calls you names.
I make a general statement that DC is used for long distance distribution.

He comes back by screaming that it isn’t used as much as it once was and that it’s used more outside the US than in.

And for this unforgiveable sin, I’m told that I’m full of crap.

Did you forget your ex-lax this morning?

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 1:46 PM

upinak,

I’ve was looking for links to medical waste, but oldnuke has demonstrated once again the futility of bothering.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 1:49 PM

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 1:46 PM

Long distance distribution is done DC because of inductive and capacitive losses.

Local distribution is done in AC because of the ease of stepping up and down.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 12:01 PM

There’s what you said. The way I read it is that you thought this was common. If that’s not what you meant then I apologize. You’re right I was a little cranky and I shouldn’t have snipped at you, but it was fun.

DC transmission is not common, it lost out a long time ago. It remeains to be seen if HVDC will work out.

You can disagree all you want, but let me ask you a simple question. Answer honestly. In the quote above when you made it were you under the impression that electrical power in this country was converted to dc for transmission and then re converted to AC for distribution?

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 1:58 PM

cozmo on July 9, 2008 at 9:53 AM

The US Navy retired its nuclear cruisers and the gas turbine powered Tico’s took their place.

Yes they did. Do you know why?

Yes, most of the reasons, anyway. I thought the Virginia class cruisers were among the most beautiful ships of war on the sea.

I’ll concede the efficiency of the navy’s reactors. I was more concerned with their safety record.

As for the reactor applications, great…how many are under construction? Comanche Peak, the one I am most familiar with, took 16 years to build. And that was after a long battle to get the license. I hope all those applications get granted, and many more to follow. Realistically though, even with fuel costs what they are now, do you see that happening in today’s political climate? Only two of those applications are in areas that are in desperate need on more production. And none for California. Though the one in Utah could supply the grid.

Wikipedia isn’t bad for what it is. Easy to use and free. But I like to corroborate anything I get from there.

Gosh MarkTheGreat, the power of your obviously superior intellect has pierced all of my defenses. Please accept my humble apologies and go hither to joust with the Obama.
Do with him what you did with me and get him to force his fellow dems to abandon wind power and focus on something that works. The sooner the better…like now.

cozmo on July 9, 2008 at 2:19 PM

oldnuke,

The last time I studied the issue, about 20 years ago, it was. I was not aware that the problems that required DC had been resolved. It would have been very simple for you to just let me know that things had changed, instead you just declared that I was full of crap.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 2:23 PM

cozmo on July 9, 2008 at 2:19 PM

The main reason the cruisers were retired was cost of operation. It took a lot of highly trained manpower to keep those reactors operating safely. It was much more cost effective to replace them with fossil fuelers than try to maintain the staffing necessary for the nukes.

The safety record of naval reactors is unparalleled.

Only two of those applications are in areas that are in desperate need on more production. And none for California. Though the one in Utah could supply the grid.

Not sure what you meant by that. Power generated here on the East coast can be transmitted to the West coast. It’s done all the time. Texas, at one time, was the only state that didn’t have interconnects to the rest of the US. At least that’s the rumor. I don’t know if that is true today or not, or even if it was ever true. Back around y2K during a particularly bad high heat low reserve period we sold emergency power to a California utility for a phenomenal rate. We made lots of money that month.

Right now there are no nukes under construction. I think Dominion is going to break ground in 2009 or 2010. The process is supposed to have been streamlined, but like anything the government has a hand in I’m skeptical. The COL is something new though and supposedly once you get that you’re free and clear to navigate from busting dirt to going commercial. I think there are about 4 or 5 plants that have those now. I do know the one I’m most familiar with is supposed to begin Operator licensing in 2010. That’s about a fourteen month process once the class starts, probably more like 2 years since it’ll be a cold license class.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 2:44 PM

And it was time for refueling and refitting. They couldn’t handle newer missiles and could no longer embark helicopters.
Oh, and they were sacrificed to the “peace dividend” Lots of reasons.

There are still the three grids, east, west and Texas. They can interconnect. Texas makes a lot of money from California every summer selling its excess electricity to them.

Though interconnected, they are still separate grids. So much for a single attack taking out all the country’s electricity.

cozmo on July 9, 2008 at 2:53 PM

The last time I studied the issue, about 20 years ago, it was. I was not aware that the problems that required DC had been resolved. It would have been very simple for you to just let me know that things had changed, instead you just declared that I was full of crap.

MarkTheGreat on July 9, 2008 at 2:23 PM

I already said I was snippy and shouldn’t have barked at you.

I’m not being contentious here but are you saying that 20 years ago DC distribution systems were common? If that’s what you mean I’m pretty sure you’re wrong. DC was never widely used in this country except for things like trolleys and subways. There were a couple of utilities that had small DC subsystems but I think even the last of those was eliminated a couple of years ago.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 2:59 PM

cozmo on July 9, 2008 at 2:53 PM

5 grids.. but Alaska and Hawaii do not count. But then again we aren’t part of the 57 States!

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 3:01 PM

And it was time for refueling and refitting. They couldn’t handle newer missiles and could no longer embark helicopters.
Oh, and they were sacrificed to the “peace dividend” Lots of reasons.

Mostly it was money. At least that was what a friend of mine told me. He was one of the last captains of the South Carolina.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 3:05 PM

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 3:01 PM

Hey, I’m not sure Alaska is on a grid by itself. You may be connected through Canada. I know the lower 48 have interconnects up North. I’m digging here but didn’t that big blackout back around 76 or so start in Canada?

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 3:08 PM

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 3:08 PM

I don’t want to be connected Old. As I do not want a Natural Gas Pipeline to go through Canada into IL.

Depends on which black out? Canada had one in 76 but it affected you all. We had a BIG one up here (about 15 yrs ago) due to a snow storm, and it was a nasty one at that, that turned off all electricity for 3 days or more depending on where you lived in the State. I was breeding exotic Parrots at that time and lost 4 of my hand fed babies. Couldn’t keep them warm.

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 3:15 PM

5 grids.. but Alaska and Hawaii do not count. But then again we aren’t part of the 57 States!

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 3:01 PM

What can I say, ya’ got me there.

cozmo on July 9, 2008 at 3:16 PM

cozmo on July 9, 2008 at 3:16 PM

Alaska: the island off the coast of Mexico in that box to the left!

Sometimes I feel like I am on an island.

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 3:20 PM

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 3:15 PM

I was speaking strictly about electricity. The Canadian blackout in 76 is the one that took out most of the Northeast US. Why don’t you want a natural gas line running through Canada?

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 3:31 PM

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 3:31 PM

Why should there be a LNG pipeline going through? There is plenty of NG down in the lower 48. Maybe it is time to get the Senate and Congress to have BLM open it up.

Besides the fact that Anchorage bowl area, Kenai/Homer area is about out of NG… we are worried about not being able to warm our houses for winter in a couple years. This is a Fact here.. not the bell curve fiction. Yet we can’t get a spur line to the cities? Something is wrong… and it smells like methane!

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 3:41 PM

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 3:41 PM

I had never thought much about utilities in Alaska, that’s why I asked. People down here are woefully ignorant about you guys up North. Like you said

Alaska: the island off the coast of Mexico in that box to the left!

Maybe you can get gas piped into Alaska. I’d say not being able to heat your home in Winter in Alaska is pretty serious. I’m all electric, don’t even have access to gas in my home. My heat pump is more than adequate for our winters here in Virginia.

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 3:53 PM

upinak said:

The algea idea is still up in the air. I am sure it would work, but at what cost? How would it work? What would happen if the algea got a virus or became diseased and stopped producing? Algea is just like a plant, it could happen!

I see an unintended consequence of using algae. Wouldn’t doing so upset the food chain for sea life? Is this another foolish idea that would jeopardize world food supplies?

onlineanalyst on July 9, 2008 at 4:17 PM

Oldnuke on July 9, 2008 at 3:53 PM

Alaska is not connected to anyone. We have our own massive grid and then multiple small ones. 2 are NG grid to convertion electricity and 1 is a coal to electricity grid. And some up here run on Diesel, think about those costs…

Yeah when it comes ot the LNG pipeline that is being purposed, it is one of those things. Is the State trying to become more wealthy and not listen to the people? Is this more for those who have outside interests? Is this to stimulate the ecomony. All good questions, yet unknown as to answer quite yet.

onlineanalyst on July 9, 2008 at 4:17 PM

People are building water buildings with shallow pools to “grow” algea. It is an easy item but lets say you now have a special strain of this super algea and you walk outside with thei strain on your shoes and it gets in the dirt or another water source. Will it kill the fish, plants and animals? Will it thrive to choke out oxygen? Will it become toxic? The possibilities are scarey and endless. But this is what many are wanting via the ethanol ideals.

upinak on July 9, 2008 at 4:29 PM

njcommuter on July 9, 2008 at 11:31 AM

Taking it in order;

1. You’re confusing voltage and amperage. Voltage is the amount of power being transmitted, amperage is the ability to overcome resistance, R, expressed in ohms. (Ohm’s Law.) To visualize the difference, do this gedanken experiment;

Put a gallon of water in a bucket, then throw the water (but not the bucket, please!) at somebody so that it takes 1 second for the full gallon to hit them. They’ll be drenched, and probably not too happy about it unless it’s a hot day.

Now, put the same gallon of water in a high-pressure centrifugal pump (like the ones on a fire pumper) and force it through a carburetor jet off of a 1965 Chevrolet V-8 in one second. If that narrow jet of water hits someone, it can draw blood, as the pressure behind it is high enough that it will scour off skin. (Add in sand, and you have an industrial sandblaster, actually.)

The amount of water (1 gallon) is the voltage. How hard it hits (by thrown bucketful or by HP pump) is the amperage. Never confuse the two.

2. The “heat loss” you mention over long lines is the result of the resistance (R, in ohms) of the conductors in the lines (usually copper) to the amperage (not voltage) of the current. Resistance is a factor of exactly what the conductors are made of; copper has about the least of the reasonably inexpensive metals. For really low R, the Apollo spacecraft’s DC electrical system used wiring made of gold and in some areas platinum; but that’s a bit expensive for long lines and can’t take as much tension on a “sag” as copper. (To say nothing of how fast it would be stolen by metal thieves.) The resistance of even copper renders long line transmission of solar or wind-turbine generated AC or DC power dicey at best.

3. My figure for 40-50% efficiency is that quoted by NASA for the solar arrays on their spacecraft. I don’t expect that they would work as well under 20+ miles of atmosphere, even on a sunny day, as they do in hard vacuum, but I like to give the other guy the benefit of the doubt. (If his hypothesis won’t work even under ideal conditions, it certainly won’t work in real-life conditions. Caveat Emptor.)

4. Other posters have dealt with the difference between AC short-range transmission and DC long-range, which is rarely used in the U.S. (I won’t say never, as I am not an electrical engineer). DC transmission is used in other countries because they use DC current domestically, not having realized (unlike George Westinghouse over here) that Nikola Tesla had his facts a bit straighter than Thomas Edison did.

5. I was aware of the cryogenic systems feeding WTC; you find similar systems in similar applications in everything from power plants to large buildings worldwide. I was referring to the impracticality (let’s call it what it is- plain dangerousness) of trying to run long lines underground for large areas of domestic grid, through all sorts of soils with the attendant problems of ground water, shear lines, strata differentials, and traffic-induced vibration (to say nothing of the occasional burst water main), with all the lines run in insulated pipes full of a liquid which can instantaneously freeze anything it hits. The guy on the show was conspicuously silent on the subject of how you insulate such a conduit, how you deal with inevitable vaporization pressure issues (especially on a hot day- or just in Southern California on any given day), or what you make the conduits out of that will resist embrittlement by being subjected to temperatures near absolute zero for years at a time. Not to mention what happens if somebody on a city work crew accidentally hits one with a backhoe while working on a sewer line. Best guess; work crew ends up in the nearest ER- if they’re very lucky. With frostbite the likes of which is rarely seen outside of the Arctic regions, or when something goes very badly wrong at Burdette Oxygen or Morton-Thiokol. Which, fortunately, is rare due to those organizations having safety regulations and procedures virtually identical to those those used at Cape Canaveral- for exactly the same reasons, NASA being one of their biggest customers.

However you slice it, Wind and Sun just won’t cut it except in very small-area, localized applications. You can change the laws of the land, but not the laws of physics.

(Don’t look at me- I didn’t write ‘em.)

cheers

eon

eon on July 9, 2008 at 6:13 PM

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